© 2008 robert h. smith school of business university of maryland m&a prof. alex triantis robert...

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© 2008 Robert H. Smith School of Business University of Maryland M&A Prof. Alex Triantis Robert H. Smith School of Business September 18, 2008

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Page 1: © 2008 Robert H. Smith School of Business University of Maryland M&A Prof. Alex Triantis Robert H. Smith School of Business September 18, 2008

© 2008 Robert H. Smith School of BusinessUniversity of Maryland

M&A

Prof. Alex Triantis

Robert H. Smith School of Business

September 18, 2008

Page 2: © 2008 Robert H. Smith School of Business University of Maryland M&A Prof. Alex Triantis Robert H. Smith School of Business September 18, 2008

© 2008 Robert H. Smith School of Business, University of Maryland

The Good (for so long)

Source: moneycentral.msn.com

Page 3: © 2008 Robert H. Smith School of Business University of Maryland M&A Prof. Alex Triantis Robert H. Smith School of Business September 18, 2008

© 2008 Robert H. Smith School of Business, University of Maryland

The Bad (turned good)

Source: moneycentral.msn.com

Page 4: © 2008 Robert H. Smith School of Business University of Maryland M&A Prof. Alex Triantis Robert H. Smith School of Business September 18, 2008

© 2008 Robert H. Smith School of Business, University of Maryland

The Ugly

Source: moneycentral.msn.com

Page 5: © 2008 Robert H. Smith School of Business University of Maryland M&A Prof. Alex Triantis Robert H. Smith School of Business September 18, 2008

© 2008 Robert H. Smith School of Business, University of Maryland

The way it should be

• Create shareholder value by having the discipline to:

– Select the right target(s)• A company that the buyer can manage more effectively than the seller• A company that provides significant synergistic gains on the top line, or through

operating efficiencies.

– Negotiate the right price• Ensure that some of the value creation through the acquisition is allocated to

the buyer! Don’t pay too large a premium for the target relative to the ability to create synergistic gains.

– Structure the right deal• Negotiations revolve around more than just price

– Integrate well and realize the value creation• Disciplined approach

Page 6: © 2008 Robert H. Smith School of Business University of Maryland M&A Prof. Alex Triantis Robert H. Smith School of Business September 18, 2008

© 2008 Robert H. Smith School of Business, University of Maryland

Common sources of synergies

• Revenue Enhancement Synergies– Cross-selling by the two firms’ sales forces; leverage distribution channels– Cross-branding between the target’s and buyer’s products – Leveraging technology (combined R&D) and technical expertise (personnel, IP, etc.)

• Cost Reduction Synergies– Economies of scale (horizontal mergers)– Greater purchasing power vis-à-vis suppliers– Elimination of supply chain intermediaries (vertical mergers)– Logistics and distribution improvements– Closing the target’s HQ– Transfer of technology/know-how– Other G&A cost takeout

• Other synergies– Tax related efficiencies– Relax financial constraints– Reduce cash buffer

Page 7: © 2008 Robert H. Smith School of Business University of Maryland M&A Prof. Alex Triantis Robert H. Smith School of Business September 18, 2008

© 2008 Robert H. Smith School of Business, University of Maryland

Success Factors• Disciplined strategy: make vs. buy – what is the fundamental economic rationale

for buying, and at what price? (Alternatives include minority investment, JVs, strategic alliances, long-term contracts.)

• Rinse and repeat: Serial acquirers are more successful. They get better at estimating synergies that can realistically be captured, and better at PMI. “String of pearls”…

• Proactively seek (private) targets, and not through an IB-organized auction.

• Stick close to home: “bolt-on acquisitions”. This also avoids chasing hot sectors. • Pay with cash rather than stock.

• Earn-outs and other incentives for target management.

• Management of acquirer has skin in the game.

Page 8: © 2008 Robert H. Smith School of Business University of Maryland M&A Prof. Alex Triantis Robert H. Smith School of Business September 18, 2008

© 2008 Robert H. Smith School of Business, University of Maryland

Current state of M&A

• Are deals getting done in this environment?

• How does deal volume in 2008 compare to prior years? • Comparable to 2007?

» OR

• Fewer than half of the deals as in 2007?» OR

• Worst year in the last two decades?

Page 9: © 2008 Robert H. Smith School of Business University of Maryland M&A Prof. Alex Triantis Robert H. Smith School of Business September 18, 2008

© 2008 Robert H. Smith School of Business, University of Maryland

Key M&A drivers to consider

• Liquidity affects ability to do deals– Credit supply drying up; structured debt market is dormant

• Financial buyers have drastically curtailed acquisitions

• Strategic buyers in key industries are still acquiring– But, deals are much more tentative

• Risk affects appetite to do deals

• Other common drivers of M&A cycles:– Rapid technological change? Yes – Regulatory changes? Not so much

Page 10: © 2008 Robert H. Smith School of Business University of Maryland M&A Prof. Alex Triantis Robert H. Smith School of Business September 18, 2008

© 2008 Robert H. Smith School of Business, University of Maryland

What deals are getting done?

• Rescue (workout) M&A– JP Morgan / Bear Stearns; BofA / Merrill; Barclay / Lehman

• Value investment (Mars / Wrigley)– Better deals in colder M&A markets

• Commodities/materials (proposed BHP / Rio Tinto)

• Cross-border deals (weak $): InBev / Anheuser-Busch

Page 11: © 2008 Robert H. Smith School of Business University of Maryland M&A Prof. Alex Triantis Robert H. Smith School of Business September 18, 2008

© 2008 Robert H. Smith School of Business, University of Maryland

Deal structure and execution

• Big MAC attack!– Options are valuable when risk is high!– Material Adverse Change with exclusions (which ones?)

• Corporate Governance in a post-SOX world

• Due Diligence, as always– “In God we trust, everyone else must bring data!”– Scrutinize legal, accounting, tax, IP, environmental,

insurance, property, finance, operational, HR and IT issues

Page 12: © 2008 Robert H. Smith School of Business University of Maryland M&A Prof. Alex Triantis Robert H. Smith School of Business September 18, 2008

© 2008 Robert H. Smith School of Business, University of Maryland

Thank You

Alex TriantisProfessor and Department Chair, Finance

[email protected]