© 2014 e 3 alliance 2014 central texas education profile

62
© 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

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Page 1: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

Page 2: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

Made possible with the support of

Page 3: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

Join us for a broader discussion

Tweet your

thoughts, questions and insights to:

#centexedu

#E3Alliance

3

Page 4: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

Central Texas Education Profile• The most comprehensive regional view of

education trends and outcomes in the state, including data and information about: Early childhood education K-12 enrollment, attendance, and student achievement High school graduation College and career readiness Higher Education enrollment, persistence, and

completion

• Available for download now at E3Alliance.org under ‘What’s Happening’

4

Page 5: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

Overview

• PK-12 and Higher Education Profile• Outcome data presentations and discussion

1. School Readiness

2. ELL Student Success

3. Higher Education Enrollment and Persistence

5

Page 6: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

PK-12 and Higher Education Profile

Shawn ThomasDirector of Research and Policy

6

Page 7: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

Central Texas Early Education Through Grade 12 Enrollment, 2012-13

Source: E3 Alliance analysis of Texas Education Agency TAPR data

Number of Schools

Number of Students

35 Independent School Districts 448 310,058

20 Charter Organizations 43 11,296

Total 491 321,354

7

Page 8: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance8

© E3 Alliance, 2014Source: E3 Alliance analysis of Texas Education Agency AEIS data

Central Texas Income Distribution by School

10 Years Ago…

Page 9: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

…And District Income Distribution Last Year

9© E3 Alliance, 2014Source: E3 Alliance analysis of Texas Education Agency TAPR data

Page 10: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance10© E3 Alliance, 2014

Central Texas ELL Enrollment, by School District

10 Years Ago…

Source: Texas Education Agency AEIS/TAPR data

Page 11: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance11© E3 Alliance, 2014

Central Texas ELL Enrollment, by School District

…Last Year

Source: Texas Education Agency AEIS/TAPR data

Page 12: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

…And District Income Distribution Last Year

12© E3 Alliance, 2014Source: E3 Alliance analysis of Texas Education Agency TAPR data

Page 13: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance13© E3 Alliance, 2014

Teachers with Least Experience in Poorest Districts

Source: Texas Education Agency AEIS/TAPR data

Page 14: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance14© E3 Alliance, 2014

More Teachers with Advanced Degrees in Urban Areas

Source: Texas Education Agency AEIS/TAPR data

Page 15: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

About Half of CTX students Enrolling in Postsecondary in CTX Enter 4-Year

Institutions

College or University2-Year

Institution4-Year

Institution

Austin Community College 3,213

Texas State University at San Marcos 853

University of Texas at Austin 819

Texas A&M University 545

University of Texas at San Antonio 439

Texas Tech University 395

Blinn College 276

TOTAL= 3,489 3,051

Source: E3 Alliance analysis of THECB data at the UT Education Research Center

Top 7 Institutions of Higher Education Serving Central Texas, Central Texas HS Class of 2012 Enrollment

Note: An additional 2,794 enrolled in other Texas Higher Education 2- or 4 year Institutions.15

Page 16: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

Half of Central Texas High School Graduates Enrolled In Higher Education

Within the Central Texas Region

Regional 2-Year Institution

32% Regional 4-Year Institution

19%

Out of Region Institution

42%

Out of State Institution7%

Central Texas High School Graduates Enrolled in Higher Education Institu-tions, By Location of Institution, High School Class of 2012*

16Source: E3 Alliance analysis of high school graduation and higher education enrollment data at the UT Austin ERC and NSC data*Out-of-state enrollment estimated from 2007-2010 rates

Page 17: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

Discussion

• What part of this story resonated the most for you?

• What was the biggest surprise?

• What are the best ways our region can support its changing student population?

17

Page 18: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

What part of this story resonated the most for you?

18

Page 19: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

What was the biggest surprise?

19

Page 20: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

What are the best ways our region can support its changing student population?

20

Page 21: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

School Readiness

Laura KoenigDirector of School Readiness

21

Page 22: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

Impact of School Readiness

Higher test scores

Improved social skills

Better classroom behavior

Less grade repetition

Fewer special education placements

Greater graduation rates

Increased productivity

Reduced crime

22

Page 23: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

Measuring School Readiness

23

Ready,Set,K!

• Developed in Central Texas

• Community Baseline

• Using Sample data

• Representing the nearly 25,000 Kindergarten students in the region

Page 24: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

Just Over Half of Central Texas Students

Are Ready to Succeed in School

Ready53%

Not Ready47%

Kindergarten Readiness, Central Texas, 2010-11 to 2013-14

Source: E3 Analysis of TAPER Enrollment Data 2012 24

Page 25: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

Fewer Low Income Students Kindergarten Ready

Low Income Non-Low Income0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

42%

66%

Kindergarten Readiness, Central Texas, 2010 to 2013

Pe

rce

nta

ge

of

Kin

de

rga

rtn

ers

Source: E3 Analysis of Ready, Set, K! weighted data25

Page 26: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

Pre-K Better Than No Pre-K

Home or with Relative District Pre-K0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

20%

47%

Kindergarten Readiness for Low-Income Students , Central Texas 2010 to 2013

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Kin

de

rga

rtn

ers

E3 Analysis of Ready,Set,K! weighted data26

Page 27: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

More Low Income Children Kindergarten Ready Over Time*, Among Children from

District Pre-K

2010 2011 2012 20130%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

42%46%

50% 51%

Kindergarten Readiness for Low Income Children Who Attended District Pre-K, 2010 to 2013

% L

ow

In

co

me

Kin

de

rga

rtn

ers

2020 School Readiness Objective for All Children = 70%

E3 Analysis of Ready, Set, K! weighted data27

*p < .01

Page 28: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

Greatest School Readiness for Eligible Students

with Full Day Pre-K and Low Student-Teacher Ratio

Half Day, > 15 students

Half Day, <= 15 students

Full Day, > 15 students

Full Day, <= 15 students

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

62% 65%61%

69%

Kindergarten Readiness by Amount of Instruction and Student-Teacher Ratio

Pre-K Type

% R

ea

din

es

s o

n R

ea

dy

, S

et,

K!

*

28* Greater readiness than the other groups, p < .005Source: E3 analysis of Central Texas Ready, Set, K! data from 2010-11 to 2012-13

Page 29: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

3 out of 4 Low Income Children Attend District Pre-K

29

13%

74%

9%

3%

Home or w/ RelativeISD Pre-KChild Care CenterHead Start

E3 Analysis of Ready,Set,K! weighted data 2010-2013, Central Texas

Central Texas Low Income Students in Year Prior to Kindergarten

Page 30: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

Discussion

• What part of this story resonated the most for you?

• What was the biggest surprise?

• What contributed to the consistent growth in the rates of readiness for low income children who attended Pre-K?

• What can the region do to further increase school readiness for low-income children?

30

Page 31: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

What part of this story resonated the most for you?

31

Page 32: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

What was the biggest surprise?

32

Page 33: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

What contributed to the consistent growth in the rates of readiness for low income

children who attended Pre-K?

33

Page 34: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

What can the region do to further increase school readiness for low-income children?

34

Page 35: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

ELL Student Success

Molly YoungDirector of Student Success

35

Page 36: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

English Language Learners in Texas

• There are 864,682 ELLs in Texas (2013)

17% of total Texas enrollment

• 91% of Texas ELLs speak Spanish (2012-13)• Over 120 languages are spoken in Texas

schools (2012-13)• 59% of ELLs in secondary grades were born in

the US

Source: National Center for Education Statistics; US Census Bureau American Community Survey; www.elltx.org; US Department of Education

36

Page 37: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

Enrollment of ELLs Decreases after 5th Grade

PK KG 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 120

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000English Language Learner Enrollment, Grades PK-12

Central Texas, 2012-13

Grade

Nu

mb

er

of

Stu

de

nts

Source: E3 Alliance analysis of Texas Education Agency PEIMS Standard Reports37

Page 38: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

More Than Half of English Language Learners

are in Bilingual Programs

Central Texas Texas0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

29,398 487,896

21,857 328,792

1,638 47,994

ELL Students by Language Program, 2012-13

Other

ESL

Bilingual

Pe

rce

nt

of

EL

Ls

Source: E3 Alliance analysis of Texas Education Agency PEIMS Standard Reports38

Page 39: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

Low Income Former ELL Students Perform on Par or Better than Low Income Non ELL

Peers

Current ELL Non ELL Prev ELL - Year 1

Prev ELL - Year 2

Prev ELL Year >2

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Low Income ELL and Non ELL 8th Grade STAAR Reading Met Standards Rate, 2012-2103

% L

ow

In

com

e S

tud

ents

Met

Sta

nd

ard

on

ST

AA

R

39Source: E3 Alliance analysis of data at the UT Austin Education Research Center

Page 40: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

Low Income Former ELL Students Perform on Par or Better than Low Income Non ELL

Peers

Current ELL Non ELL Prev ELL - Year 1

Prev ELL - Year 2

Prev ELL Year >2

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Low Income ELL and Non ELL 8th Grade STAAR Reading Met Standards Rate, 2012-2103

% L

ow

In

com

e S

tud

ents

Met

Sta

nd

ard

on

ST

AA

R

40Source: E3 Alliance analysis of data at the UT Austin Education Research Center

Page 41: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

More than 1 in 4 ELLs in Secondary Does Not Graduate on Time

41

ELL Non ELL0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

73%

90%

High School Graduation Rates, Central Texas, Class of 2012

Per

cen

t o

f C

oh

ort

2020 Blueprint Objective

Source: E3 Alliance analysis of data at the UT Austin Education Research Center

Page 42: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

Bright Spots Schools in Central Texas

Mathematics English Language Arts0

5

10

15

20

25

30

25

20

1517

5 6

Bright Spots Schools, Mathematics and English Language Arts, Central Texas, 2012 STAAR Data

Elementary Middle High

Nu

mb

er o

f C

amp

use

s

42Source: E3 Alliance analysis of data at the UT Austin Education Research Center

Page 43: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

Discussion

• What part of this story resonated the most for you?

• What was the biggest surprise?

• How much of an issue for Central Texas is the disparity in outcomes for ELL and non-ELL students?

• What are some strategies that we can amplify to improve ELL outcomes at the secondary level?

43

Page 44: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

What part of this story resonated the most for you?

44

Page 45: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

What was the biggest surprise?

45

Page 46: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

How much of an issue for Central Texas is the disparity in outcomes for ELL and non-

ELL students?

46

Page 47: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

What are some strategies that we can amplify to improve ELL outcomes at the

secondary level?

47

Page 48: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

Higher Education Enrollment and PersistenceHannah GourgeyVice President of Strategic Alignment

48

Page 49: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

Enrollment Rates for Low Income HS Grads Increased

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

39% 40% 41%44% 46% 47% 48% 46%

65% 67% 69% 68% 68% 67% 68% 67%

Percent of Central Texas HS Graduates Enrolled in Texas Higher Ed Institutions Within One Year, by Income Status

Low Income Not Low IncomeHigh School Graduating Class

Pe

rce

nt

of

Gra

du

ate

s

Source: E3 Alliance analysis of high school graduation and higher education enrollment data at the UT Austin ERC

49

Page 50: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

Higher Education Enrollment Among Hispanic Graduates Increased Dramatically

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

74% 76%

55% 55%

43%51%

65% 62%

Percent Enrolled in Higher Ed in Texas Within One Year of Graduating HS, by Ethnicity, Central Texas

Asian Black Hispanic White

Pe

rce

nt

of

Hig

h S

ch

oo

l G

rad

ua

tes

Source: E3 Alliance analysis of high school graduation and higher education enrollment data at the UT Austin ERC

50

Page 51: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

Majority of Low Income Graduates Enrolled In Higher Ed Attend 2-Year

Colleges

Low Income Not Low Income0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

57%

38%

34%

51%

8% 11%

Central Texas HS Grads Enrolled in Higher Ed in Texas Within 1 Year, by Institution Type and Income Status, Class of 2012

2-year 4-year Public 4-year Independent

Pe

rce

nt

of

En

roll

ee

s

Source: E3 Alliance analysis of high school graduation and higher education enrollment data at the UT Austin ERC

51

Page 52: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

25% of High School Graduates Enroll in College

Part-Time Regardless of Income

52

All Graduates58%

Non-low Income67%

Low Income46%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

25% 25% 25%

33%42%

21%

College Enrollment, Central Texas, Class of 2012

Full TimePart Time

Per

cen

t o

f G

rad

uat

es 58%

46%

67% 2020 Blueprint Objective

Source: E3 Alliance analysis of data at the UT Austin Education Research Center

Page 53: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

Fewer than Half of Part Time Enrollees Persist to Second Year

53All Part Time Full Time

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

71%

45%

90%

Second Year Persistence in Higher Ed, Central Texas, 2012 HS Graduates

Column2

Per

cen

t o

f H

igh

er E

d E

nro

llee

s

Source: E3 Alliance analysis of data at the UT Austin Education Research Center

Page 54: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

One in Ten Low Income Graduates Complete College Within 6 Years of

Finishing High School

Lo

w I

nc

om

eN

on

-lo

w I

nc

om

e

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

11%

36%

41%

69%

High School Graduates at 2-or 4-Year Higher Education Institutions, Cen-tral Texas Class of 2007

Enrolled within 1 year

Completed within 6 Years

Percent of High School GraduatesNote: Completion defined as receiving a certificate, associate’s degree, or bachelor’s degreeSource: E3 Alliance analysis of data at the UT Austin Education Research Center

55

Page 55: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

Majority of Higher Ed Enrollees That Earn a Certificate, Associates, or Bachelors Do So

Within 5 Years

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

1%

Percent of Central Texas HS Grads That Enrolled in Texas Higher Ed Within 1-Year, Completing College Within 2 to 10-Years, 2003 HS Grads

2-Years

3-Years

4-Years

5-Years

6-Years

7-Years

8-Years

9-Years

10-Years

Percent of EnrolleesNote: Completion is defined as receiving a certificate, associate’s degree, or bachelor’s degree.Source: E3 Alliance analysis of PEIMS and Higher Ed enrollment and completion data at the UT Austin ERC

56

Page 56: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

Discussion

• What part of this story resonated the most for you?

• What was the biggest surprise?

• What other questions do the data raise for you?

• What role does your organization play in moving the needle on postsecondary access and success?

57

Page 57: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

What part of this story resonated the most for you?

58

Page 58: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

What was the biggest surprise?

59

Page 59: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

What other questions do the data raise for you?

60

Page 60: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

What role does your organization play in moving the needle on postsecondary

access and success?

61

Page 61: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

Central Texas Education Profile

• The most comprehensive regional view of education trends and outcomes in the state, including data and information about:

• Available for download now at E3Alliance.org under ‘What’s Happening’

• Please take time now to complete our survey

62

Page 62: © 2014 E 3 Alliance 2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

© 2014 E3 Alliance

www.e3alliance.org

The conclusions of this research do not necessarily reflect the opinions or official position of the Texas Education Agency, the Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, or the State of Texas.

E3 AllianceSusan Dawson, [email protected]

Hannah Gourgey, Vice [email protected]

Laura Koenig, [email protected]

Molly Young, [email protected]

Shawn Thomas, Director of Research and [email protected]