© 2014 e 3 alliance 2014 central texas education profile
TRANSCRIPT
© 2014 E3 Alliance
2014 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE
© 2014 E3 Alliance
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
Central Texas Education Profile• The most comprehensive regional view of
education trends and outcomes in the state, including data and information about: Early childhood education K-12 enrollment, attendance, and student achievement High school graduation College and career readiness Higher Education enrollment, persistence, and
completion
• Available for download now at E3Alliance.org under ‘What’s Happening’
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
Overview
• PK-12 and Higher Education Profile• Outcome data presentations and discussion
1. School Readiness
2. ELL Student Success
3. Higher Education Enrollment and Persistence
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
PK-12 and Higher Education Profile
Shawn ThomasDirector of Research and Policy
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
Central Texas Early Education Through Grade 12 Enrollment, 2012-13
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of Texas Education Agency TAPR data
Number of Schools
Number of Students
35 Independent School Districts 448 310,058
20 Charter Organizations 43 11,296
Total 491 321,354
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© 2014 E3 Alliance8
© E3 Alliance, 2014Source: E3 Alliance analysis of Texas Education Agency AEIS data
Central Texas Income Distribution by School
10 Years Ago…
© 2014 E3 Alliance
…And District Income Distribution Last Year
9© E3 Alliance, 2014Source: E3 Alliance analysis of Texas Education Agency TAPR data
© 2014 E3 Alliance10© E3 Alliance, 2014
Central Texas ELL Enrollment, by School District
10 Years Ago…
Source: Texas Education Agency AEIS/TAPR data
© 2014 E3 Alliance11© E3 Alliance, 2014
Central Texas ELL Enrollment, by School District
…Last Year
Source: Texas Education Agency AEIS/TAPR data
© 2014 E3 Alliance
…And District Income Distribution Last Year
12© E3 Alliance, 2014Source: E3 Alliance analysis of Texas Education Agency TAPR data
© 2014 E3 Alliance13© E3 Alliance, 2014
Teachers with Least Experience in Poorest Districts
Source: Texas Education Agency AEIS/TAPR data
© 2014 E3 Alliance14© E3 Alliance, 2014
More Teachers with Advanced Degrees in Urban Areas
Source: Texas Education Agency AEIS/TAPR data
© 2014 E3 Alliance
About Half of CTX students Enrolling in Postsecondary in CTX Enter 4-Year
Institutions
College or University2-Year
Institution4-Year
Institution
Austin Community College 3,213
Texas State University at San Marcos 853
University of Texas at Austin 819
Texas A&M University 545
University of Texas at San Antonio 439
Texas Tech University 395
Blinn College 276
TOTAL= 3,489 3,051
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of THECB data at the UT Education Research Center
Top 7 Institutions of Higher Education Serving Central Texas, Central Texas HS Class of 2012 Enrollment
Note: An additional 2,794 enrolled in other Texas Higher Education 2- or 4 year Institutions.15
© 2014 E3 Alliance
Half of Central Texas High School Graduates Enrolled In Higher Education
Within the Central Texas Region
Regional 2-Year Institution
32% Regional 4-Year Institution
19%
Out of Region Institution
42%
Out of State Institution7%
Central Texas High School Graduates Enrolled in Higher Education Institu-tions, By Location of Institution, High School Class of 2012*
16Source: E3 Alliance analysis of high school graduation and higher education enrollment data at the UT Austin ERC and NSC data*Out-of-state enrollment estimated from 2007-2010 rates
© 2014 E3 Alliance
Discussion
• What part of this story resonated the most for you?
• What was the biggest surprise?
• What are the best ways our region can support its changing student population?
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
What part of this story resonated the most for you?
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
What was the biggest surprise?
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
What are the best ways our region can support its changing student population?
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
School Readiness
Laura KoenigDirector of School Readiness
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
Impact of School Readiness
Higher test scores
Improved social skills
Better classroom behavior
Less grade repetition
Fewer special education placements
Greater graduation rates
Increased productivity
Reduced crime
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
Measuring School Readiness
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Ready,Set,K!
• Developed in Central Texas
• Community Baseline
• Using Sample data
• Representing the nearly 25,000 Kindergarten students in the region
© 2014 E3 Alliance
Just Over Half of Central Texas Students
Are Ready to Succeed in School
Ready53%
Not Ready47%
Kindergarten Readiness, Central Texas, 2010-11 to 2013-14
Source: E3 Analysis of TAPER Enrollment Data 2012 24
© 2014 E3 Alliance
Fewer Low Income Students Kindergarten Ready
Low Income Non-Low Income0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
42%
66%
Kindergarten Readiness, Central Texas, 2010 to 2013
Pe
rce
nta
ge
of
Kin
de
rga
rtn
ers
Source: E3 Analysis of Ready, Set, K! weighted data25
© 2014 E3 Alliance
Pre-K Better Than No Pre-K
Home or with Relative District Pre-K0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
20%
47%
Kindergarten Readiness for Low-Income Students , Central Texas 2010 to 2013
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Kin
de
rga
rtn
ers
E3 Analysis of Ready,Set,K! weighted data26
© 2014 E3 Alliance
More Low Income Children Kindergarten Ready Over Time*, Among Children from
District Pre-K
2010 2011 2012 20130%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
42%46%
50% 51%
Kindergarten Readiness for Low Income Children Who Attended District Pre-K, 2010 to 2013
% L
ow
In
co
me
Kin
de
rga
rtn
ers
2020 School Readiness Objective for All Children = 70%
E3 Analysis of Ready, Set, K! weighted data27
*p < .01
© 2014 E3 Alliance
Greatest School Readiness for Eligible Students
with Full Day Pre-K and Low Student-Teacher Ratio
Half Day, > 15 students
Half Day, <= 15 students
Full Day, > 15 students
Full Day, <= 15 students
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
62% 65%61%
69%
Kindergarten Readiness by Amount of Instruction and Student-Teacher Ratio
Pre-K Type
% R
ea
din
es
s o
n R
ea
dy
, S
et,
K!
*
28* Greater readiness than the other groups, p < .005Source: E3 analysis of Central Texas Ready, Set, K! data from 2010-11 to 2012-13
© 2014 E3 Alliance
3 out of 4 Low Income Children Attend District Pre-K
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13%
74%
9%
3%
Home or w/ RelativeISD Pre-KChild Care CenterHead Start
E3 Analysis of Ready,Set,K! weighted data 2010-2013, Central Texas
Central Texas Low Income Students in Year Prior to Kindergarten
© 2014 E3 Alliance
Discussion
• What part of this story resonated the most for you?
• What was the biggest surprise?
• What contributed to the consistent growth in the rates of readiness for low income children who attended Pre-K?
• What can the region do to further increase school readiness for low-income children?
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
What part of this story resonated the most for you?
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
What was the biggest surprise?
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
What contributed to the consistent growth in the rates of readiness for low income
children who attended Pre-K?
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
What can the region do to further increase school readiness for low-income children?
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
ELL Student Success
Molly YoungDirector of Student Success
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
English Language Learners in Texas
• There are 864,682 ELLs in Texas (2013)
17% of total Texas enrollment
• 91% of Texas ELLs speak Spanish (2012-13)• Over 120 languages are spoken in Texas
schools (2012-13)• 59% of ELLs in secondary grades were born in
the US
Source: National Center for Education Statistics; US Census Bureau American Community Survey; www.elltx.org; US Department of Education
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
Enrollment of ELLs Decreases after 5th Grade
PK KG 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 120
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000English Language Learner Enrollment, Grades PK-12
Central Texas, 2012-13
Grade
Nu
mb
er
of
Stu
de
nts
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of Texas Education Agency PEIMS Standard Reports37
© 2014 E3 Alliance
More Than Half of English Language Learners
are in Bilingual Programs
Central Texas Texas0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
29,398 487,896
21,857 328,792
1,638 47,994
ELL Students by Language Program, 2012-13
Other
ESL
Bilingual
Pe
rce
nt
of
EL
Ls
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of Texas Education Agency PEIMS Standard Reports38
© 2014 E3 Alliance
Low Income Former ELL Students Perform on Par or Better than Low Income Non ELL
Peers
Current ELL Non ELL Prev ELL - Year 1
Prev ELL - Year 2
Prev ELL Year >2
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Low Income ELL and Non ELL 8th Grade STAAR Reading Met Standards Rate, 2012-2103
% L
ow
In
com
e S
tud
ents
Met
Sta
nd
ard
on
ST
AA
R
39Source: E3 Alliance analysis of data at the UT Austin Education Research Center
© 2014 E3 Alliance
Low Income Former ELL Students Perform on Par or Better than Low Income Non ELL
Peers
Current ELL Non ELL Prev ELL - Year 1
Prev ELL - Year 2
Prev ELL Year >2
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Low Income ELL and Non ELL 8th Grade STAAR Reading Met Standards Rate, 2012-2103
% L
ow
In
com
e S
tud
ents
Met
Sta
nd
ard
on
ST
AA
R
40Source: E3 Alliance analysis of data at the UT Austin Education Research Center
© 2014 E3 Alliance
More than 1 in 4 ELLs in Secondary Does Not Graduate on Time
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ELL Non ELL0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
73%
90%
High School Graduation Rates, Central Texas, Class of 2012
Per
cen
t o
f C
oh
ort
2020 Blueprint Objective
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of data at the UT Austin Education Research Center
© 2014 E3 Alliance
Bright Spots Schools in Central Texas
Mathematics English Language Arts0
5
10
15
20
25
30
25
20
1517
5 6
Bright Spots Schools, Mathematics and English Language Arts, Central Texas, 2012 STAAR Data
Elementary Middle High
Nu
mb
er o
f C
amp
use
s
42Source: E3 Alliance analysis of data at the UT Austin Education Research Center
© 2014 E3 Alliance
Discussion
• What part of this story resonated the most for you?
• What was the biggest surprise?
• How much of an issue for Central Texas is the disparity in outcomes for ELL and non-ELL students?
• What are some strategies that we can amplify to improve ELL outcomes at the secondary level?
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
What part of this story resonated the most for you?
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
What was the biggest surprise?
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
How much of an issue for Central Texas is the disparity in outcomes for ELL and non-
ELL students?
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
What are some strategies that we can amplify to improve ELL outcomes at the
secondary level?
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
Higher Education Enrollment and PersistenceHannah GourgeyVice President of Strategic Alignment
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
Enrollment Rates for Low Income HS Grads Increased
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
39% 40% 41%44% 46% 47% 48% 46%
65% 67% 69% 68% 68% 67% 68% 67%
Percent of Central Texas HS Graduates Enrolled in Texas Higher Ed Institutions Within One Year, by Income Status
Low Income Not Low IncomeHigh School Graduating Class
Pe
rce
nt
of
Gra
du
ate
s
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of high school graduation and higher education enrollment data at the UT Austin ERC
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
Higher Education Enrollment Among Hispanic Graduates Increased Dramatically
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
74% 76%
55% 55%
43%51%
65% 62%
Percent Enrolled in Higher Ed in Texas Within One Year of Graduating HS, by Ethnicity, Central Texas
Asian Black Hispanic White
Pe
rce
nt
of
Hig
h S
ch
oo
l G
rad
ua
tes
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of high school graduation and higher education enrollment data at the UT Austin ERC
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
Majority of Low Income Graduates Enrolled In Higher Ed Attend 2-Year
Colleges
Low Income Not Low Income0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
57%
38%
34%
51%
8% 11%
Central Texas HS Grads Enrolled in Higher Ed in Texas Within 1 Year, by Institution Type and Income Status, Class of 2012
2-year 4-year Public 4-year Independent
Pe
rce
nt
of
En
roll
ee
s
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of high school graduation and higher education enrollment data at the UT Austin ERC
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
25% of High School Graduates Enroll in College
Part-Time Regardless of Income
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All Graduates58%
Non-low Income67%
Low Income46%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
25% 25% 25%
33%42%
21%
College Enrollment, Central Texas, Class of 2012
Full TimePart Time
Per
cen
t o
f G
rad
uat
es 58%
46%
67% 2020 Blueprint Objective
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of data at the UT Austin Education Research Center
© 2014 E3 Alliance
Fewer than Half of Part Time Enrollees Persist to Second Year
53All Part Time Full Time
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
71%
45%
90%
Second Year Persistence in Higher Ed, Central Texas, 2012 HS Graduates
Column2
Per
cen
t o
f H
igh
er E
d E
nro
llee
s
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of data at the UT Austin Education Research Center
© 2014 E3 Alliance
One in Ten Low Income Graduates Complete College Within 6 Years of
Finishing High School
Lo
w I
nc
om
eN
on
-lo
w I
nc
om
e
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
11%
36%
41%
69%
High School Graduates at 2-or 4-Year Higher Education Institutions, Cen-tral Texas Class of 2007
Enrolled within 1 year
Completed within 6 Years
Percent of High School GraduatesNote: Completion defined as receiving a certificate, associate’s degree, or bachelor’s degreeSource: E3 Alliance analysis of data at the UT Austin Education Research Center
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
Majority of Higher Ed Enrollees That Earn a Certificate, Associates, or Bachelors Do So
Within 5 Years
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
1%
Percent of Central Texas HS Grads That Enrolled in Texas Higher Ed Within 1-Year, Completing College Within 2 to 10-Years, 2003 HS Grads
2-Years
3-Years
4-Years
5-Years
6-Years
7-Years
8-Years
9-Years
10-Years
Percent of EnrolleesNote: Completion is defined as receiving a certificate, associate’s degree, or bachelor’s degree.Source: E3 Alliance analysis of PEIMS and Higher Ed enrollment and completion data at the UT Austin ERC
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© 2014 E3 Alliance
Discussion
• What part of this story resonated the most for you?
• What was the biggest surprise?
• What other questions do the data raise for you?
• What role does your organization play in moving the needle on postsecondary access and success?
57
© 2014 E3 Alliance
What part of this story resonated the most for you?
58
© 2014 E3 Alliance
What was the biggest surprise?
59
© 2014 E3 Alliance
What other questions do the data raise for you?
60
© 2014 E3 Alliance
What role does your organization play in moving the needle on postsecondary
access and success?
61
© 2014 E3 Alliance
Central Texas Education Profile
• The most comprehensive regional view of education trends and outcomes in the state, including data and information about:
• Available for download now at E3Alliance.org under ‘What’s Happening’
• Please take time now to complete our survey
62
© 2014 E3 Alliance
www.e3alliance.org
The conclusions of this research do not necessarily reflect the opinions or official position of the Texas Education Agency, the Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, or the State of Texas.
E3 AllianceSusan Dawson, [email protected]
Hannah Gourgey, Vice [email protected]
Laura Koenig, [email protected]
Molly Young, [email protected]
Shawn Thomas, Director of Research and [email protected]