> erste bank - strategy and execution · 5 morgan stanley pan european banks conference london,...
TRANSCRIPT
> Erste Bank- Strategy and execution
> Morgan Stanley - Pan European Banks ConferenceLondon, 21–24 March 2006
> Andreas Treichl, CEO
2
Morgan Stanley Pan European Banks ConferenceLondon, 21-24 March 2006
> Presentation topics
1. Consistent strategy
2. Strong execution track record
3. Growth drivers
4. Financial targets
5. Appendix
3
Morgan Stanley Pan European Banks ConferenceLondon, 21-24 March 2006
> Consistent strategy since 1997 IPO
Value creation for shareholders
Success factors of the “Erste Bank model”
» Exploiting corebusiness potentials
» Growth drivers:Loans & wealthmanagement
» Targeting a coherenthome market of 70mpeople
» Developing group-wideinitiatives to gain fromsynergies
Business focus:Retail banking
Geographic focus:Central and Eastern
Europe
Efficiency focus:New Group
Architecture
4
Morgan Stanley Pan European Banks ConferenceLondon, 21-24 March 2006
> Presentation topics
1. Consistent strategy
2. Strong execution track record
3. Growth drivers
4. Financial targets
5. Appendix
5
Morgan Stanley Pan European Banks ConferenceLondon, 21-24 March 2006
Turning around the Austrian Retail & Mortgage business
2003
264.1
653.0
175.4
280.4634.8
200.6
314.5
624.1
240.5
Commissionincome (EUR m)
Administrativeexpenses (EUR m)
2003 2004 2005
ROE 2.7% 5.0% 10.1%
CIR 78.8% 76.0% 72.2%CAGR: +9.1%
> Business focus - Exploiting core business potentials
20052004 2003 20052004
CAGR: -2.2%
Operating result(EUR m)
Net profit(EUR m)
19.841.1
93.2
2003 20052004 2003 20052004
CAGR: +17.1%
CAGR: +>100%
» Focusing on….…. profitability…. strict cost management.… growth opportunities
(wealth management,mortgage lending etc)
6
Morgan Stanley Pan European Banks ConferenceLondon, 21-24 March 2006
> We managed transformational acquisitions…
….through stringent execution of our transition model» Complete restructuring within 18 months» Instant upgrade of key functions to Erste Bank Group standards» Keep local character to maximize market potential
2000 2005 2001 2005Net profit (m EUR) 1.2 � 306.0 26.5 � 92.5ROE 0.2% � 22.3% 10.1% � 20.7%
Cost/income ratio 70.7% � 56.9% 78.5% � 55.4%
Total assets (EUR bn) 12.5 � 22.5 4.6 � 6.8
Clients (m) 3.5 � 5.3 1.8 � 2.5Branches 804 � 646 542 � 302
Employees 15,742 � 10,755 6,275 � 4,836
7
Morgan Stanley Pan European Banks ConferenceLondon, 21-24 March 2006
> Our group has developed rapidly
Cost/income ratio ROE
Net profit (in EUR m) Customers (m)
2.6 2.7
6.1
9.110.6
11.9 11.9
15.2
FY 98 FY 99 FY 00 FY 01 FY 02 FY 03 FY 04 FY 05*
133 165192 223 255
353
521
712
FY 98 FY 99 FY 00 FY 01 FY 02 FY 03 FY 04 FY 05
*incl. BCR
11.2%
13.0%14.3% 14.5%
15.3%
17.0%
19.0%
16.6%
FY 98 FY 99 FY 00 FY 01 FY 02 FY 03 FY 04 FY 05
71.8%70.1%
67.9%67.1%
67.9%
64.1%
61.8%
64.2%
FY 98 FY 99 FY 00 FY 01 FY 02 FY 03 FY 04 FY 05
8
Morgan Stanley Pan European Banks ConferenceLondon, 21-24 March 2006
> Geographic focus – Central and Eastern Europe
302Branches32%; #1Retail deposits2.5m; #1Customers
160Branches6%; #4Retail deposits0.9m; #2Customers
390Branches30%; #1Retail deposits2.8m(1); #1Customers
122Branches10%; #3Retail deposits0.6m; #3Customers
711Branches2.0mCustomers
276(2)Branches24%; #2Retail deposits0.8mCustomers
646Branches33%; #1Retail deposits5.3m; #1Customers
66Branches2%Retail deposits0.3mCustomers
Note: Market share based on number of clients and retail deposits as per end of 20051) Approximately 5 million account holders, translating into an estimated 2.8 million customers2) Including branches of majority owned regional savings banks
Erste Bank customers (million)
Population in extendedhome market (million)
+22%
Erste Bank branches
+14%
+48%46
68
Erste BankGroup
With BCR
12.515.2
Erste BankGroup
With BCR
2,2832,673
Erste BankGroup
With BCR
9
Morgan Stanley Pan European Banks ConferenceLondon, 21-24 March 2006
After closing of the acquisitionin Q2 2006
Pre closingDec. 2005 & Q1 2006
» Transition ConsultancyCommittee (“TCC”)consisting of 10 EB seniormanagers has full accessto BCR since January 2006
» Two TCC team membersattend meetings of theExecutive Board
» TCC team is assisted by 14Romanian professionalswho have been trained atErste Bank since summer2004
» Transition programme consisting of more than 20 teamscovering all business functions of BCR will be headedby Erste Bank CEO
» Full focus on realising BCR‘s revenue potential
» Centralisation of back office functions
» Optimisation of branch network and workforce
» New BCR management team headed by present CEOwill be in place by September 2006
» Update on transition programme will be given inQ3 2006
Integration procedures started with signing of SPA
> BCR - expanding our future growth potential
10
Morgan Stanley Pan European Banks ConferenceLondon, 21-24 March 2006
2004 20092004 2009
> EB has defined clear financial targets for BCR
Cost/income ratio Return on equity after tax
(1) Based on a Tier 1 ratio of 9%(2) RoI defined as 62% of BCR net income divided by purchase price for the 62% stake in BCR; RoI calculation excludes funding costs
54%<48%
(1)
17%
>35%
Erste Bank targets a return on investment (RoI)of around 10% for BCR by 2009(2)
11
Morgan Stanley Pan European Banks ConferenceLondon, 21-24 March 2006
NGA initiatives create synergies across the group
Targets announced at Erste Bank CMD in September 2005
New
reve
nues
Cos
t re
duct
ion
> Efficiency focus - New Group Architecture (NGA)
~ EUR +210m~ EUR +53m
EUR +39m
2008E2005Group Large Corporates
NGA projects
Group Cards Synergy Project
Retail 2008Sale of structured investment products EUR +14m
Information Technology
Group ProcurementProcurement cost savings
Positive pretax P&L effect:
EUR +45m
EUR +25m
EUR +55m
EUR +40m
EUR +45m
» Group Performance Model is the strategic backbone of the NGA programme» Almost equal contribution to profit growth from revenue enhancement and efficiency improvement
12
Morgan Stanley Pan European Banks ConferenceLondon, 21-24 March 2006
> Presentation topics
1. Consistent strategy
2. Strong execution track record
3. Growth drivers
4. Financial targets
5. Appendix
13
Morgan Stanley Pan European Banks ConferenceLondon, 21-24 March 2006
> Growth drivers – Loan growth
Quality growth in Central Europe» Attractive margins» Good repayment record» Benign risk environment
Strong product demand» Mortgages and home improvement loans» Consumer finance» Car leasing
Product penetration still very low» Loan stock/capita shows significant
potential» Developed CEE: gathering momentum» Early stage CEE: just starting
Long growth path ahead» In early stage CEE markets, eg Romania,
Serbia and Ukraine as well as in developedCEE economies
As per end of 2005 - Source: Local central banks. Austria: domestic loans only.
Retail loan growth in EB CEE subsidiaries (EUR bn)
2.0
3.3
4.9
6.9
9.8
49%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Customer loans/capita in CEE (EUR 1,000)
30.6
4.7 4.6 4.1 2.70.5 0.8
Austria Croatia Hungary Czech R Slovakia Serbia Romania
Developingtransformation
economies Emergingtransformation
economies
41% 42%
14
Morgan Stanley Pan European Banks ConferenceLondon, 21-24 March 2006
> Growth drivers – Wealth management
Fund management» FUM/capita indicates huge opportunity» Strong growth in CE, but from low base» Markets will reach scale in the medium
term
Life insurance» Same scenario as with fund management» Premiums/capita show gap to EU levels» Growth is steadier, tied to state regulations
Leading market positions» 24.3% FUM share in Central Europe» 18.0% FUM share in Austria» Life shares range from 2% - 15%
Beneficiary from catch-up process» Leveraging existing client base» Launch of new, more sophisticated
products» Increased fee contribution
FUM/Capita in Central Europe (in EUR) *
757 743 606380
4
18,921
11,709
Czech R Hungary Slovakia Croatia Romania Austria Germany
2001 2005
EB fund management market shares
6.6%
25.0%
37.3%
17.3%
24.5%
35.8%
18.0%
24.3%
Czech R Croatia CEE Total Austria
2004 2005
1998
27.9%28.8%
Slovakia
9.5%10.2%
Hungary
15
Morgan Stanley Pan European Banks ConferenceLondon, 21-24 March 2006
> Presentation topics
1. Consistent strategy
2. Strong execution track record
3. Growth drivers
4. Financial targets
5. Appendix
16
Morgan Stanley Pan European Banks ConferenceLondon, 21-24 March 2006
New TargetOld Target
Net profit growth
Return on equity(1)
15% p.a. averagefor 2005-2008
57% in 2008
More than 20% p.a. averagefor 2005-2009
Below 55% in 2009
The acquisition of BCR significantly increases Erste Bank’slong-term earnings growth potential
(1) Based on a Tier 1 ratio of at least 7%
Cost/income ratio
20% in 2008 18-20% in 2009
> Erste Bank Group’s new targets
17
Morgan Stanley Pan European Banks ConferenceLondon, 21-24 March 2006
> Presentation topics
1. Consistent strategy
2. Strong execution track record
3. Growth drivers
4. Financial targets
5. Appendix
18
Morgan Stanley Pan European Banks ConferenceLondon, 21-24 March 2006
> Group income statement (IFRS)
Strong operating performance continues to drive net profit growth
EUR m FY 2005 FY 2004 % ChangeNet interest income 2,794.2 2,660.3 5.0Risk provisions for loans and advances (421.6) (406.2) 3.8Net commission income 1,256.8 1,135.4 10.7Net trading result 241.7 216.5 11.6General administrative expenses (2,676.9) (2,594.9) 3.2Result from insurance business 36.7 36.8 (0.3)Other operating result (16.1) (51.3) (68.6)Pre-tax profit 1,214.8 996.6 21.9Taxes on income (300.0) (277.9) 8.0Minority interests (203.1) (197.9) 2.6Net profit after minority interests 711.7 520.8 36.7
Operating income 4,329.4 4,049.0 6.9Operating expenses (2,676.9) (2,594.9) 3.2Operating result 1,652.5 1,454.1 13.6
Cost/Income ratio 61.8% 64.1%ROE 19.0% 17.0%
19
Morgan Stanley Pan European Banks ConferenceLondon, 21-24 March 2006
> Group balance sheet (IFRS)
Assets – CE loan business drives asset growth
EUR m 31-Dec-05 31-Dec-04 % ChangeCash and balances with central banks 2,728 2,723 0.2Loans and advances to credit institutions 16,858 15,684 7.5Loans and advances to customers 80,419 72,843 10.4Risk provisions for loans and advances (2,817) (2,804) 0.5Trading assets 5,426 4,628 17.2AfS and assets through profit and loss 18,644 15,967 16.8Financial investments 23,611 21,926 7.7Intangible assets 1,911 1,823 4.8Tangible assets 1,688 1,723 (2.0)Other assets 4,192 5,299 (20.9)Total assets 152,660 139,812 9.2
Risk weighted assets 75,078 65,384 14.8
20
Morgan Stanley Pan European Banks ConferenceLondon, 21-24 March 2006
EUR m 31-Dec-05 31-Dec-04 % ChangeAmounts owed to credit institutions 33,911 28,551 18.8Amounts owed to customers 72,793 68,213 6.7Debts evidenced by certificates 21,291 19,710 8.0Provisions 8,635 7,500 15.1Other liabilities 5,279 6,179 (14.6)Subordinated capital 4,290 3,706 15.8Total equity 6,461 5,953 8.5thereof: shareholders' equity 4,129 3,424 20.6thereof: minority interests 2,332 2,529 (7.8)
Total Liabilities 152,660 139,812 9.2
Tier 1 ratio 6.8% 6.7%Solvency ratio 11.0% 10.7%
> Group balance sheet (IFRS)
Liabilities – moderate growth in retail funding
21
Morgan Stanley Pan European Banks ConferenceLondon, 21-24 March 2006
> Current shareholder structure
By Investor Type
Austria57.9%
Continental Europe6.4%
UK & Ireland17.2%
North America17.6%
Others0.9%
By Region
Total numbers of shares: 308,032,560*
* February 2006
Private investors7.2%
Savings banks6.9%
30.5%
Employees1.5%
Other institutionalinvestors43.8% Free Float
64.5%
Austria Verein5.0%Capital Research
& Management5.1%
22
Morgan Stanley Pan European Banks ConferenceLondon, 21-24 March 2006
> Disclaimer
THE INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS DOCUMENT HAS NOT BEEN INDEPENDENTLY VERIFIEDAND NO REPRESENTATION OR WARRANTY EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED IS MADE AS TO, AND NORELIANCE SHOULD BE PLACED ON, THE FAIRNESS, ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS ORCORRECTNESS OF THS INFORMATION OR OPINIONS CONTAINED HEREIN.
CERTAIN OF THE STATEMENTS CONTAINED IN THIS DOCUMENT MY BE STATEMENTS OF FUTUREEXPECTATIONS AND OTHER FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS THAT ARE BASED ONMANAGEMENT’S CURRENT VIEWS AND ASSUMPTIONS AND INVOLVE KNOWN AND UNKNOWNRISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES THAT COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS, PERFORMANCE OR EVENTSTO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED IN SUCH STATEMENTS.
NONE OF ERSTE BANK OR ANY OF ITS AFFILIATES, ADVISORS OR REPRESENTATIVES SHALL HAVEANY LIABILITY WHATSOEVER (IN NEGLIGENCE OR OTHERWISE) FOR ANY LOSS HOWSOEVERARISING FROM ANY USE OF THIS DOCUMENT OR ITS CONTENT OR OTHERWISE ARISING INCONNECTION WITH THIS DOCUMENT.
THIS DOCUMENT DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN OFFER OR INVITATION TO PURCHASE ORSUBSCRIBE FOR ANY SHARES AND NEITHER IT NOR ANY PART OF IT SHALL FORM THE BASIS OFOR BE RELIED UPON IN CONNECTION WITH ANY CONTRACT OR COMMITMENT WHATSOEVER.
Cautionary note regarding forward-looking statements
23
Morgan Stanley Pan European Banks ConferenceLondon, 21-24 March 2006
Fax +43 (0)5 0100-13112E-mail: [email protected]: www.erstebank.com
Reuters: ERST.VI Bloomberg: EBS AVDatastream: O:ERS ISIN: AT0000652011
* The new EB shares out of the capital increase in January 2006 are listed on the Vienna and Prague StockExchange - ISIN AT0000506217, Security Symbol EBSN.
Gabriele WerzerTel: +43 (0)5 0100-11286 E-Mail: [email protected]
Thomas SommerauerTel: 43 (0)5 0100-17326 E-Mail: [email protected]
Josef KerekesTel: +43 (0)5 0100-16878 E-Mail: [email protected]
> Investor relations contacts
Investor relations
Erste Bank, Graben 21, 1010 Vienna