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Page 1: © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017 3 - roedl.de · © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017 4 Executive summary At the end of 2016, China tightened administrative reviews for capital outflows, which

1 © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017

Globally active

Rödl & Partner

Chinese Outbound: Germany M&A Report 2017

Page 2: © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017 3 - roedl.de · © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017 4 Executive summary At the end of 2016, China tightened administrative reviews for capital outflows, which

2 © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017

Agenda

Executive summary

Chinese Outbound: Germany M&A Report 2017 02

M&A outlook and trends 03

About Rödl & Partner 04

01

Your contact 05

Page 3: © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017 3 - roedl.de · © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017 4 Executive summary At the end of 2016, China tightened administrative reviews for capital outflows, which

3 © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017

Page 4: © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017 3 - roedl.de · © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017 4 Executive summary At the end of 2016, China tightened administrative reviews for capital outflows, which

4 © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017

Executive summary

At the end of 2016, China tightened administrative reviews for capital outflows, which has

slowed down the pace of Chinese outbound M&A activity in the first half of 2017 in

Germany

The new deal activity in 1H 2017 also shows a smaller average deal size compared to

2016 with a series of mega deals (e.g. Kuka/ Midea, KraussMaffei/ ChemChina, etc.)

The 2016 M&A boom was largely driven by private companies, whereas the first half of 2017

shows a new rise of state-owned companies

The new investment environment also had an impact on the industry composition of the

target companies in Germany and Europe: while the M&A activity has fallen in most sectors,

industrials, high-tech and health/ medical are most resilient

Due to investment restrictions, the completion time for Sino-German deals has increased.

The risk of not moving towards closing is still high, but after closing the development is more

sustainable

Outlook for 2H 2017: resilient but further positive M&A activity

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5 © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017

Top M&A deals in Germany first half 2017

Target company Industry Buyer Type of acquirer Deal value in

EUR billion

Deutsche Bank Financials HNA Group Listed company > 3,000

Biotest AG Healthcare Creat Group Listed company 1,300

Robert Bosch

Starter Motors

Energy & Power Zhengzhou Coal

Mining & China

Renaissance

Capital

SOE 545

Romaco

Pharmatechnik

Gmbh

Healthcare Truking Technology

Ltd.

Listed company

150

In-tech Gmbh Automotive/ IT Beijing BDStar

Navigation Co. Ltd.

Listed company

80

Grammer AG Automotive Ningbo Jifeng Auto

Parts Co. Ltd.

Listed company

60

SMA Railway

Technology GmbH

Beijing Dinghan

Technology Co.Ltd.

Listed company

23

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6 © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017

Top M&A deals in Germany 2011-2016

Target company Industry Buyer Type of acquirer

Deal value in

EUR billion

Kion Group Industrials Weichai Power Listed company 2255.1

EEW Energy Renweable

Energies

Beijing Enterprise Listed company 1438

KraussMaffei Heavy Machinery ChemChina/ AGIC SOE/ PE 925

Medion AG IT Lenovo Listed company 627.7

Örlikon Industrials Jinshen Group PE 540

普茨迈斯特 Industrials Sany Listed company 525

BHF Bank 金融 Fosun PE 513.6

Hilite International Automotive AVIC SOE 473

KHD Humboldt

Wedag

Industrials AVIC SOE 471.3

Schwing Industrials XCMG SOE 423.1

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7 © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017

Chinese investment in Germany

Deal value of Chinese FDI in Germany (in 100 million EUR)

18 20

30 36

46

65

13,87 19,59 17,01

13,72 12,40

112,61

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Total of transactions Deal value in 100 m. EUR

Source: own research

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8 © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017

Chinese investment in Europe

Deal value of FDI between China and European Union (in billion EUR)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Investment of EU countires in Europe Chinese investment in EU countries

Source: own research

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9 © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017

First half-year 2017 compared to same period 2016

0

1.000

2.000

3.000

4.000

5.000

6.000

7.000

8.000

9.000

10.000

1 H 2016 1 H 2017

28

23

FDI in million EUR Transactions

Despite foreign exchange

control Chinese Outbound

investment still on high

level

FDI in first half year of 2017

about 5.5 billion EUR

compared to 8.6 billion

EUR same period 2016

High rise because of HNA

investment in Deutsche

Bank worth 3.3 billion EUR

First half-year 2017 counts

23 M&A transactions

compared to 23 to same

period 2016

Total of M&A transactions in Germany

Source: dealogic, Platform M&A China/Germany

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10 © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017

Chinese Outbound investment in Europe

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

2017 2016

Germany took an outsized

role in attracting Chinese

investment in 2016 and was

the largest recipient of

Chinese FDI

In 1H 2017 Germany is still

leading slightly before in

terms of amount of deals

Regarding the total

investment volume UK is

leading due to mega deal of

China’s CIC EUR12bn

takeover of Blackstone's

Logicor

M&A transactions by European countries

Source: dealogic, own research

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11 © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017

German industry trends 2014 - 2016

Mechanical engineering,

health care and automotive

sectors remain stable since

2014

Germany’s strong industrial

manufacturing and

automotive industries offer

attractive investment

opportunities for Chinese

companies seeking growth

and know-how

Sino-German investments

has grown by over 130% in

2014 over the past five

years

21%

14%

14% 10%

7%

4%

3%

2%

3%

21%

Mechanical Engineering

Health

Automotive

Energy

Retail & Consumer Goods

Electronics

Traffic Engineering

Aerospace

Software

Other

Chinese Outbound M&A in Germany: Industry Trends 2014 - 2016

Source: dealogic, own research

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12 © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017

Industry trends 2016 - 2017

Recent M&A industry trends

show acquisitions of large

industrial players and

technology leaders

Popular target companies

are in the areas of

mechanical engineering,

health care/ medical and

automotive

Renewable energies as

well as energy and power

sector and automation are

moving more and more into

focus of Chinese investors

21%

15%

10%

10%

8%

8%

6%

5%

5%

13% Mechanical Engineering

Health

Automotive

Energy

Environment engineering

IT/Software

Retail & Consumer Goods

Electronics

Rail Engineering

Other

Chinese outbound M&A Germany: Target industry transactions

Source: dealogic, Platform M&A China/Germany

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13 © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017

Sino-German transactions in Germany / Europe first half 2017

16 3

2

2

2

Industrials

Healthcare/Medical

Energy and Power

High Technology

Financials

41

18 16

11

6

7

6 5

4 3

Industrials

High Technology

Financials

Healthcare-Medical

Materials

Media and Entertainment

Consumer Staples

Energy and Powers

Consumer Products & Services

Retail

Three Sino-German

transactions are among the

top 10 China outbound

deals in Europe in 1H 2017

Especially in the industrial

sector German and

European targets are

attractive investment

targets

Due to Brexit, investment

activity in Germany will

further increase and shifts

of European HQ from UK to

Germany to be expected

Europe

Germany

Source: dealogic, own research

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14 © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017

Industry focus Made in China 2025 – perfect match with

Germany

Source: Merics “Made in China 2025”

High-end computerized machines and robots

Space and aviation

Maritime equipment and high-tech ships

Advanced railway transportation equipment

New energy and energy-saving vehicles

Energy equipment

Agricultural machines

New materials

Biopharma and high-tech medical devices

Made in China 2025 key technologies

Dec 2013:

AVIC acquires KHD

Wedag Jun 2014:

Joyson acquires

IMA Automation

Jan 2016:

ChemChina acquires

Krauss Maffei

May 2016:

Shanghai Electric

acquires Manz

May 2016:

Shanggong Group

acquires H.Stoll

Aug 2016:

Midea acquires Kuka

Mar 2017:

Truking acquires

Romaco Pharma

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Distressed M&A in Germany: Chinese investors on the rise

88

51

34

20

9 4

5

10

32 53

63 63

7

39 34

20 28

33

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

China Germany USA UK Switzerland Japan

High investment interest Medium investment interest Neutral

Source: Roland Berger “Distressed M&A-Survey 2017”

Finance and M&A experts

predict a new rise of

Chinese investors in the

market of companies in

special situations /

distressed M&A in Germany

88% forecast new

competitors from China,

while only 51% say that

German investors show a

high interest in distressed

targets

Overall higher competition

in bidding on distressed

targets is predicted

From which regions do you expect investment activities in the German

distressed M&A market?

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16 © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017

Chinese serial investors in Germany focusing on automotive

Year Volume (million €) Target Buyer

2017 60 Grammer AG Ningbo Jifeng Auto Parts Co., Ltd.

2017 6 Schürholz GmbH, Schürholz GmbH & Co. KG Stanztechnik, Schürholz Polska Sp z o.o. Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech Co., Ltd.

2017 N/A Finoba Automotive GmbH China National Machinery Industry Corp (Sinomach)

2016 170 TriStone Flowtech S.A.S. Anhui Zhongding Sealing Parts Co., Ltd.

2016 200 Carcoustics International GmbH Liaoning Dare Industrial Company Ltd.

2016 N/A Sideo Vogt GmbH, Hermann Vogt GmbH & Co. KG Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology Co., Ltd.

2016 130 AMK Holding GmbH & Co. KG Anhui Zhongding Sealing Parts Co., Ltd.

2016 N/A Metalsa Automotive GmbH China National Machinery Industry Corp (Sinomach)

2016 180 TechniSat Automotive Ningbo Joyson Electronics Corp., Preh Holding GmbH

2015 N/A Elektrofahrzeuge Stuttgart (EFA-S) GmbH Beijing Zhonghuan Investment Management Co., Ltd.

2015 N/A Whitesell Germany GmbH & Co. KG, Werke in Becklingen und Schrozberg Shanghai Prime Machinery Co., Ltd.

2015 N/A Mercedes-Benz Vertriebsgesellschaft mbH Lei Shing Hong Ltd., Hongkong

2015 3.5 Waldaschaff Automotive GmbH Lingyun Industrial Corp. Ltd.

2015 95 Wegu Holding GmbH Anhui Zhongding Holding (Group) Co., Ltd.

2014 N/A Russ & Janot GmbH (Tochter der Daimler AG) Lei Shing Hong Ltd., Hongkong

2014 90 Quin GmbH Ningbo Joyson Holding Group Co. ,Ltd.

2014 0,9 Alterprodia GmbH Ningbo Huaxiang Electric Co. (NBHX)

2014 N/A KS Aluminium und Technologie GmbH Shanghai Automotive Industry Corp (SAIC)

2014 N/A Koki Technik Transmission Systems GmbH AVIC Electromechanical Systems Co., Ltd.

2014 N/A KACO GmbH + Co. KG Anhui Zhongding Holding (Group) Co., Ltd.

2014 20 IMA Automation GmbH Amberg Ningbo Joyson Holding Group Co., Ltd.

2014 3 Schumag AG Meikai via Meibah International GmbH

2014 N/A Kokinetics GmbH AVIC Electromechanical Systems Co., Ltd.

2014 473 Hilte International AVIC Electromechanical Systems Co., Ltd.

Source: dealogic, own research

*Red marked buyer have invested several

times in Germany.

N/A = not available

Listing of M&A transactions in the automotive industry in Germany 2014-2017

Among Chinese

investors who

acquired German

OEM suppliers are

several serial

investors like

AVIC, Anhui

Zhongding or

Joyson

Through the

acquisition they

took the next step

to become the

world's most

successful

automotive

suppliers

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17 © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017

Minority vs. majority investments

16

13

Total transactions 1st half year 2017

Majority Minority

47

3,2

Total transactions 2016

Majority Minority

Source: Platform M&A China/ Germany

In 2016 a clear

trend of majority

share deals have

been observed in

Sino-German M&A

transactions

In the first half of

2017 there seems

to be a slight shift

that Chinese

buyers tend to

minority

investments which

might be linked to

the new political

environment

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18 © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017

Analysis of the Chinese big buyers in Germany

65%

35%

SOE or POE (2011-2016)

Privately-owned enterprise State-owned enterprise

Source: Bloomberg, Rhodium Group

Among SOE’s the ratio of

serial investors is notably

high

The majority of SOE are

originated in the industrials

are, whereas most of the

private companies are

focused on automotive

As the 2016 M&A boom

was largely driven by

private companies, experts

predict that state investors

are staging a comeback

starting from 2017

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19 © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017

Top four announced Chinese outbound M&A deals by quarter (2015-2017)

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000

1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17

Source: Bloomberg, Rhodium Group

Other Private sector acquirers State-owned acquirers Deal Value in USD Millions

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20 © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017

Target structure in Germany

1 4

2

39

Chinese Majority Holdings in Germany 2016

Family-owned Listed Distressed Private

1

3

12

Chinese Majority Holdings in Germany 1st Half Year 2017

Listed Distressed Private

Source: Platform M&A China/ Germany, own research

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21 © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017

Leading clusters in Germany

The most popular cities for

foreign investors are

Munich, Dusseldorf, Berlin

and Frankfurt

The top provinces are

Northrhine-Westphalia,

state of Baden-

Wurttemberg and Bavaria

Chinese investors are

tightly located in

Northrhine-Westphalia and

Frankfurt area

Apx. 900 Chinese

companies are located in

Germany

194 foreign

investment*

projects in

2016

244 foreign

investment

projects* in

2016

232 foreign

investment*

projects in

2016

Source: Germany Trade and Invest * Investment projects defined as greenfield and M&A

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22 © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017

M&A outlook & trends from the German perspective

In general, the amount of cross-border deals between China and Europe is expected to

increase. Germany will continue to attract investors looking to acquire advanced technology

Financial investors will play even a stronger role in the future, either through buy-outs or as

co-investors

There will be fewer big-ticket deals, whereas the investments in mid and small-cap targets

will increase

German sellers tend to have a quite strong position in the market since the demand is much

higher than the supply which leads to the fact that in some cases buyers are willing to

overpay fair values of target

Since 95% of all German companies are family-owned, many entrepreneurs encounter

difficulties with finding a successor who will lead their company onto the next generation. This

gap will be a key driver for foreign investors in the future

The rise of China as an investor and the commensurate shift in Chinese preferences also opens

up a unique window of opportunity to improve investment governance in Europe and globally

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23 © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017

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24 © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017

Your partner for cross-border M&A transactions

Review Consult Develop Operate

4.500 colleagues – 108 offices – 50 countries; all locations including cooperation partners available at www.roedl.com/locations.html

Founded in 1977 as a single

practice in Nuremberg

ONE firm, family-owned, no

network or franchise-system

More than 20 years of China

experience

Tailor-made solutions for

international engaged enterprises

Interdisciplinary

Caring Principle

Internationality

Legal consulting

Tax consulting, BPO

Audit

Corporate and IT consulting

Page 25: © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017 3 - roedl.de · © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017 4 Executive summary At the end of 2016, China tightened administrative reviews for capital outflows, which

25 © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017

Cross-border M&A services

Seamless teamwork of a multinational team of professionals

Due Diligence

Transaction Services

Team

Munich Team

Frankfurt

Valuation PMI

Private Equity Corporates

Due Diligence Valuation Services PMI

Team

Cologne

M&A

Team

Shanghai

Team

Beijing

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26 © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017

Best practice (non exhaustive)

Transaction support for

acquiring a UK company in

the area of smart TV

Transaction support for

SuK (acquired by

Shenzhen Luxshare

Precision Industry Co., Ltd)

Advising Bilfinger in Post

Merger Integration

(acquired by Techcent)

Advising WEGU in Post

Merger Integration

(acquired by Anhui

Zhongding Group)

Advising Ningbo Huaxiang

Electronic Co., Ltd.in

acquiring Sellner Group

Advising Cybex in Post

Merger Integration

(acquired by Goodbaby)

Transaction support for

Estun Automation Co., Ltd.

in acquiring British Trio

Motion Technology Ltd.

Transaction support for

Skyworth in acquiring TV

division of Metz

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27 © Rödl & Partner 10/18/2017

Your contact

Anna Ereth

Consultant

China Practice, M&A

Rödl & Partner

Denninger Str. 84

81925 Munich, Germany

Tel. +49 (89) 92 87 80 – 216

Fax +49 (0) 89 / 92 87 80 – 300

E-Mail [email protected]