the most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available the market is...
TRANSCRIPT
Sales Comparison Approach
The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available
The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for land in a given circumstance
Improved and unimproved sales What you are looking for is a sale with a
single land class or something that you can use as the basis for making the comparisons
Appraisal principles
• Supply and demand; remember that the appraisal is made at a specific time and you have to know the effective demand and the supply of properties
• Substitution; REMEMBER the value of the property is set by the price paid to acquire a substitute property; changed by special circumstances and the appraiser has to be aware of these
Appraisal principles
Externalities; neighborhood, services; roads, access to markets, …
Balance; appraiser has to constantly stay in touch with what is happening not only in the neighborhood but throughout the industry
Approach• Obtain information on sales, listings and offers for all
properties similar to the subject• Verify that information; too many tall tales with respect
to land; be aware!• Get the right unit for comparison; dollars per acre; per
square foot; other• Compare the subject property and the comparable sales
and adjust the price of comparables as needed or eliminate them
• Reconcile the values from the comparables into a single value or range of values
Elements of comparison
• Property rights conveyed; if there are leases and other encumbrances on the property and the desire is for a fee simple appraisal then adjustments may be necessary to make the subject and the sale the same; this adjustment should be done first
• Financing; the terms of the sales can have an impact on the price that is paid; appraisal should be adjusted to cash or cash equivalency basis for the appraisal
Financing adjustments Assume we have a 160 acre farm that sold
for $600,000 with a $120,000 down payment and the seller financed the mortgage of $480,000 for 20 years at 5%. The market interest rate was 8%. The 20% down and the 20 years are within market parameters so only the low interest rate needs to be considered.
$480,000 mortgage at 5% for 20 years has a payment of $38,516 per year.
The present value of $38,516 for 20 years at 8% is $378, 156.
$378,156 + $120,000 = $498,156 cash equivalent price
$600,000 - $498,156 = $101,844 or $637 per acre adjustment
Financing adjustment
Appraiser has to be careful in how they do this and what values they assume.
If a financing adjustment is made it should be the second adjustment made
Condition of the sale adjustments
• This can be a sale under duress or a sale as settlement of a divorce or something similar where there is a need for the sale.
• Sale to a relative; • Purchase because of some special reason
(sentimental)• All these factors can influence the price paid • It is best to not use such sales as a comparable
but if you have to then be careful; this should be the third adjustment
Market condition adjustment This is the basic idea that times changes and
so do market conditions. Remember that the appraisal is made as of a specific date
If conditions have not changed then there is no need for an adjustment, in other words don’t change the comparable simply to change it for time
This should be the fourth change made
Location adjustment This can be a major difference depending on
the circumstances (3 most important things in determining the value of a piece of property)
Roads, markets (ethanol plant, river, rail lines, etc. )
Urban centers ( farming opportunities, highest and best use)
Physical characteristics
Land type ratios Ranges Land quality Timber Slope Percent tillable
Types of adjustments
Percentage 1) Subject equal to comparison; no adjustment 2) When presented as “subject is…” then use
multiplication 3) When presented as “the comparable is…”
then use division
• Subject is 10% superior to the comparable– Multiply the price of the comparable by 1.1 to estimate the
value of the subject. % adjustment to the price of the comparable is plus 10%
• Subject is 10% inferior to the comparable– Multiply the price of the comparable by .9 to estimate the value
of the subject. % adjustment to the price of the comparable is minus 10%
• Comparable is 10% superior to the subject– Divide the comparable by 1.1 to estimate the value of the
subject. % adjustment to comparable is minus 9%• Comparable is 10% inferior to the subject
– Divide the comparable by .9 to estimate the value of the subject. % adjustment to comparable is 11%
Adjustments for Comparisons
Type of rights being conveyed Fee simple
Financing conditions Conditions of the sale Market conditions Location Physical adjustments
Adjustments The key is to be consistent; don’t mix
comparable to subject, and vice versa
Dollar adjustments; Most common; dollars are added to or subtracted from comparable to obtain the value of the subject
Paired analysis
Paired analysis
Provides market evidence for amount and direction of a particular adjustment
Pair only two sales for the adjustment and check them against other sales
Appraiser has to use some judgment “but judgment without market evidence is simply not acceptable appraisal practice.”
Impact of a paved road; Sale A on paved and Sale B on dirt
Sale A Sale B • Selling price $800 $750 • Acres 160 160 • Financing Cash Cash • Market conditions Current Current • Size 0 0 • Location ? ? • Land 0 0 • Buildings 0 0 • Adjusted price $800 $750
Paired Comparison
• $50 per acre impact from the paved vs dirt road• Appraiser will keep checking this amount as
they find sales that let them make the comparison
• Once one adjustment has been ‘proved’ in the market it can be used for other comparisons
• Assume two similar sales except location and size
Size Comparison
• Sale C Sale D
• Selling price $700 $750• Acres 320 160• Financing Cash Cash• Market Current Current• Size ? ?• Location -$50 0• Land 0 0• Buildings 0 0• Adjusted price $650 $750
Size comparison
• Adjustment is $100 per acre assuming that the adjustment of $50 for location holds
• Next is time adjustment• Remember with time adjustment that the
percentage adjustment is a reflection of compounding too
• Sale two years ago at $1000, next year at $1,100 and this year at $1,200 What’s the percent change due to time?
Market conditions (time)• Sale E Sale F
• Selling Price $780 $950• Acres 320 150• Financing Cash Cash• Market conditions Current 1.5 yrs. • Size $100 0• Location 0 0• Land 0 0• Buildings 0 0• Adjusted Price $880 $950
Market conditions (time) What is the percentage change due to time?
$880 - $950 = -$70 -$70/950 = -7.4%/1.5 = -4.9%
Sale 1 yr. ago for $600,000 Sale this yr. for $742,000 but property had
$65,500 in improvements
Comparison Sale A: 160 Ac. on Hyw. 6, two miles from
Growthville, all Class II soils, no improvements, sold 1 year ago for $1,200, Cash
• Sale A Sale B Sale C Sale D Subject
• Price $1,200 $1,000 $860 $905
• Acres 160 140 180 150 160
• Financing Cash Cash Loan Cash Cash
• Market 1 yr. Now Now 1yr. Now
• Location 2mi. 4 mi 6 mi. 7 mi. 6 mi.
• Land 0 0 0 0 0
• Improvements 0 0 0 0 0• 5% decrease in land values over past year
Steps First thing to do is to find a control sale.
This is the sale as similar to the subject property as possible.
Comparisons will be made to this sale Assume that we are interested in finding the
market contribution of location using these sales.
Time adjustments have to be made first Which is the most like the subject?
Pairs for Location• Sale C Sale A
• Selling Price $860 $1,200• Acres 180 160• Financing Cash Cash• Market conditions Current• Size 0 0• Location 6 miles 2 miles• Land 0 0• Buildings 0 0• Adjusted Price $ $• Difference due to location
Pairs for Location• Sale C Sale B
• Selling Price $860 $1,000• Acres 180 140• Financing Cash Cash• Market conditions Current Current• Size 0 0• Location 6 miles 4 miles• Land 0 0• Buildings 0 0• Adjusted Price $ $• Difference due to location
Pairs for Location• Sale C Sale D
• Selling Price $860 $905• Acres 180 150• Financing Cash Cash• Market conditions Current• Size 0 0• Location 6 miles 7 miles• Land 0 0• Buildings 0 0• Adjusted Price $ $• Difference due to location
Improved land Appraisal of improved land starts with
determining the value for each land class through evaluating sales of unimproved land
These land classes will then be used to determine the value of the land to the sale and the residual will be the value of the improvements
The value of the improvements will then be allocated among the buildings, etc.
Value of the land classes Assume that the appraiser knows that
unimproved sales indicate this division for each land class Class I 100% Class II 60% Class III 40%
What is the value of each land class if we had a sale for $260,000 with 100 acres of Class I, 200 acres of Class II and 100 acres of Class III.
Land class example• Class I 100%, Class II 60% and Class III 40%• 100 ac. Class I, 200 ac. Class II, 100 ac. Class III• $260,000 sale price• 100 * 100% = 100• 200 * 60% = 120• 100 * 40% = 40
260$260,000/260 = $1,000 Class I
$1,000 * .60 = 600 Class II $1,000 * .40 = 400 Class III