the most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available the market is...

41
Sales Comparison Approach

Upload: mariah-henderson

Post on 16-Jan-2016

212 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Sales Comparison Approach

Page 2: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available

The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for land in a given circumstance

Improved and unimproved sales What you are looking for is a sale with a

single land class or something that you can use as the basis for making the comparisons

Page 3: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Appraisal principles

• Supply and demand; remember that the appraisal is made at a specific time and you have to know the effective demand and the supply of properties

• Substitution; REMEMBER the value of the property is set by the price paid to acquire a substitute property; changed by special circumstances and the appraiser has to be aware of these

Page 4: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Appraisal principles

Externalities; neighborhood, services; roads, access to markets, …

Balance; appraiser has to constantly stay in touch with what is happening not only in the neighborhood but throughout the industry

Page 5: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Approach• Obtain information on sales, listings and offers for all

properties similar to the subject• Verify that information; too many tall tales with respect

to land; be aware!• Get the right unit for comparison; dollars per acre; per

square foot; other• Compare the subject property and the comparable sales

and adjust the price of comparables as needed or eliminate them

• Reconcile the values from the comparables into a single value or range of values

Page 6: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Elements of comparison

• Property rights conveyed; if there are leases and other encumbrances on the property and the desire is for a fee simple appraisal then adjustments may be necessary to make the subject and the sale the same; this adjustment should be done first

• Financing; the terms of the sales can have an impact on the price that is paid; appraisal should be adjusted to cash or cash equivalency basis for the appraisal

Page 7: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Financing adjustments Assume we have a 160 acre farm that sold

for $600,000 with a $120,000 down payment and the seller financed the mortgage of $480,000 for 20 years at 5%. The market interest rate was 8%. The 20% down and the 20 years are within market parameters so only the low interest rate needs to be considered.

Page 8: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

$480,000 mortgage at 5% for 20 years has a payment of $38,516 per year.

The present value of $38,516 for 20 years at 8% is $378, 156.

$378,156 + $120,000 = $498,156 cash equivalent price

$600,000 - $498,156 = $101,844 or $637 per acre adjustment

Page 9: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Financing adjustment

Appraiser has to be careful in how they do this and what values they assume.

If a financing adjustment is made it should be the second adjustment made

Page 10: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Condition of the sale adjustments

• This can be a sale under duress or a sale as settlement of a divorce or something similar where there is a need for the sale.

• Sale to a relative; • Purchase because of some special reason

(sentimental)• All these factors can influence the price paid • It is best to not use such sales as a comparable

but if you have to then be careful; this should be the third adjustment

Page 11: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Market condition adjustment This is the basic idea that times changes and

so do market conditions. Remember that the appraisal is made as of a specific date

If conditions have not changed then there is no need for an adjustment, in other words don’t change the comparable simply to change it for time

This should be the fourth change made

Page 12: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Location adjustment This can be a major difference depending on

the circumstances (3 most important things in determining the value of a piece of property)

Roads, markets (ethanol plant, river, rail lines, etc. )

Urban centers ( farming opportunities, highest and best use)

Page 13: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Physical characteristics

Land type ratios Ranges Land quality Timber Slope Percent tillable

Page 14: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Types of adjustments

Percentage 1) Subject equal to comparison; no adjustment 2) When presented as “subject is…” then use

multiplication 3) When presented as “the comparable is…”

then use division

Page 15: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

• Subject is 10% superior to the comparable– Multiply the price of the comparable by 1.1 to estimate the

value of the subject. % adjustment to the price of the comparable is plus 10%

• Subject is 10% inferior to the comparable– Multiply the price of the comparable by .9 to estimate the value

of the subject. % adjustment to the price of the comparable is minus 10%

• Comparable is 10% superior to the subject– Divide the comparable by 1.1 to estimate the value of the

subject. % adjustment to comparable is minus 9%• Comparable is 10% inferior to the subject

– Divide the comparable by .9 to estimate the value of the subject. % adjustment to comparable is 11%

Page 16: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Adjustments for Comparisons

Type of rights being conveyed Fee simple

Financing conditions Conditions of the sale Market conditions Location Physical adjustments

Page 17: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Adjustments The key is to be consistent; don’t mix

comparable to subject, and vice versa

Dollar adjustments; Most common; dollars are added to or subtracted from comparable to obtain the value of the subject

Page 18: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Paired analysis

Page 19: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for
Page 20: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for
Page 21: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for
Page 22: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for
Page 23: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for
Page 24: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for
Page 25: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for
Page 26: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Paired analysis

Provides market evidence for amount and direction of a particular adjustment

Pair only two sales for the adjustment and check them against other sales

Appraiser has to use some judgment “but judgment without market evidence is simply not acceptable appraisal practice.”

Page 27: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Impact of a paved road; Sale A on paved and Sale B on dirt

Sale A Sale B • Selling price $800 $750 • Acres 160 160 • Financing Cash Cash • Market conditions Current Current • Size 0 0 • Location ? ? • Land 0 0 • Buildings 0 0 • Adjusted price $800 $750

Page 28: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Paired Comparison

• $50 per acre impact from the paved vs dirt road• Appraiser will keep checking this amount as

they find sales that let them make the comparison

• Once one adjustment has been ‘proved’ in the market it can be used for other comparisons

• Assume two similar sales except location and size

Page 29: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Size Comparison

• Sale C Sale D

• Selling price $700 $750• Acres 320 160• Financing Cash Cash• Market Current Current• Size ? ?• Location -$50 0• Land 0 0• Buildings 0 0• Adjusted price $650 $750

Page 30: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Size comparison

• Adjustment is $100 per acre assuming that the adjustment of $50 for location holds

• Next is time adjustment• Remember with time adjustment that the

percentage adjustment is a reflection of compounding too

• Sale two years ago at $1000, next year at $1,100 and this year at $1,200 What’s the percent change due to time?

Page 31: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Market conditions (time)• Sale E Sale F

• Selling Price $780 $950• Acres 320 150• Financing Cash Cash• Market conditions Current 1.5 yrs. • Size $100 0• Location 0 0• Land 0 0• Buildings 0 0• Adjusted Price $880 $950

Page 32: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Market conditions (time) What is the percentage change due to time?

$880 - $950 = -$70 -$70/950 = -7.4%/1.5 = -4.9%

Sale 1 yr. ago for $600,000 Sale this yr. for $742,000 but property had

$65,500 in improvements

Page 33: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Comparison Sale A: 160 Ac. on Hyw. 6, two miles from

Growthville, all Class II soils, no improvements, sold 1 year ago for $1,200, Cash

Page 34: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

• Sale A Sale B Sale C Sale D Subject

• Price $1,200 $1,000 $860 $905

• Acres 160 140 180 150 160

• Financing Cash Cash Loan Cash Cash

• Market 1 yr. Now Now 1yr. Now

• Location 2mi. 4 mi 6 mi. 7 mi. 6 mi.

• Land 0 0 0 0 0

• Improvements 0 0 0 0 0• 5% decrease in land values over past year

Page 35: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Steps First thing to do is to find a control sale.

This is the sale as similar to the subject property as possible.

Comparisons will be made to this sale Assume that we are interested in finding the

market contribution of location using these sales.

Time adjustments have to be made first Which is the most like the subject?

Page 36: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Pairs for Location• Sale C Sale A

• Selling Price $860 $1,200• Acres 180 160• Financing Cash Cash• Market conditions Current• Size 0 0• Location 6 miles 2 miles• Land 0 0• Buildings 0 0• Adjusted Price $ $• Difference due to location

Page 37: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Pairs for Location• Sale C Sale B

• Selling Price $860 $1,000• Acres 180 140• Financing Cash Cash• Market conditions Current Current• Size 0 0• Location 6 miles 4 miles• Land 0 0• Buildings 0 0• Adjusted Price $ $• Difference due to location

Page 38: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Pairs for Location• Sale C Sale D

• Selling Price $860 $905• Acres 180 150• Financing Cash Cash• Market conditions Current• Size 0 0• Location 6 miles 7 miles• Land 0 0• Buildings 0 0• Adjusted Price $ $• Difference due to location

Page 39: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Improved land Appraisal of improved land starts with

determining the value for each land class through evaluating sales of unimproved land

These land classes will then be used to determine the value of the land to the sale and the residual will be the value of the improvements

The value of the improvements will then be allocated among the buildings, etc.

Page 40: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Value of the land classes Assume that the appraiser knows that

unimproved sales indicate this division for each land class Class I 100% Class II 60% Class III 40%

What is the value of each land class if we had a sale for $260,000 with 100 acres of Class I, 200 acres of Class II and 100 acres of Class III.

Page 41: The most important part of an appraisal is the analysis of the market data available  The market is telling you what people are willing to pay for

Land class example• Class I 100%, Class II 60% and Class III 40%• 100 ac. Class I, 200 ac. Class II, 100 ac. Class III• $260,000 sale price• 100 * 100% = 100• 200 * 60% = 120• 100 * 40% = 40

260$260,000/260 = $1,000 Class I

$1,000 * .60 = 600 Class II $1,000 * .40 = 400 Class III