© the treasury a presentation for the singapore central provident fund dr brian mcculloch —...

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© The Treasury A Presentation for the Singapore Central Provident Fund Dr Brian McCulloch Strategy Unit 30 August 2006

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© The Treasury

A Presentation for the Singapore Central Provident Fund

Dr Brian McCulloch — Strategy Unit

30 August 2006

© The Treasury -- 2

© The Treasury -- 3

NZ has a multi-pillared retirement income framework.

World Bank Pillars0. Basic social pension1. Public pension plan2. Mandated personal3. Voluntary personal4. Informal support, social

programs, other individual financial and nonfinancial assets

New Zealand Superannuation

Private Schemes,SSRSS, KiwiSaver

Health care, disability support, long-term residential care,

financial assets, home ownership, student loans

New Zealand

• simple and efficient• fits World Bank prescription

• has political consensus• has room to evolve

© The Treasury -- 4

New Zealand Superannuation provides a basic public pension.

• Universal benefit• Paid to all residents over age

65• A married couple receives

65% of the national average wage (32.5% each)

• Indexed annually• No income test or means

test• Not related to past

earnings history• Not a contributory scheme

Fortnightly payments (as at 1 April 2006) Before tax After tax

Single, living alone $640 $528

Single, living with others $589 $488

Married or civil union couple (when both partners qualify)

$486 each $406 each

Married or civil union couple (when only 1 partner qualifies)

$462 $387

[NZD1.00 ≈ SGD1.00][Fortnight = 2 weeks]

© The Treasury -- 5

Population level and structure will change significantly over the next few decades

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100

Millio

ns

0-14

15-64

65-84

85 and overProjection

Total population

• A larger proportion of “elderly”, especially “older elderly”.• Some “unexpected longevity” – people underestimating how long they live.• People available for work for longer and/or longer in retirement/semi-

retirement.• There will be changing demands on Crown finances.

© The Treasury -- 6

Most countries will experience ageing populations over the next few decades.

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

19

50

19

60

19

70

19

80

19

90

20

00

20

10

20

20

20

30

20

40

20

50

Pe

rce

nta

ge

65

an

d O

lde

r

New Zealand

Singapore

© The Treasury -- 7

The cost of New Zealand Superannuation is set to rise significantly.

0

2

4

6

8

10

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

% o

f G

DP

Projection

© The Treasury -- 8

New Zealand Superannuation FundPolicy Background

• Seek a stronger Crown Balance Sheet to cushion the impact on Crown finances …

• … and Public Debt is already at relatively low levels, so …

• … build up a fund of Crown-owned financial assets.

• Also a diversification benefit of broadening the Crown financial portfolio across capital markets.

• But need good governance arrangements to avoid repeating the international record of poor financial performance of public funds.

© The Treasury -- 9

Capital contributions to the Fund smooth over time the Budget effect of the increase in NZS.

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

2005 2015 2025 2035 2045 2055 2065 2075 2085 2095

Year ended 30 June

Per

cen

tag

e o

f N

om

inal

GD

P

Net NZS Expenditure Capital Contribution Plus Net NZS Expenditure

© The Treasury -- 10

NZ has a multi-pillared retirement income framework

World Bank Pillars0. Basic social pension1. Public pension plan2. Mandated personal3. Voluntary personal4. Informal support, social

programs, other individual financial and nonfinancial assets

New Zealand Superannuation

Private Schemes,SSRSS, KiwiSaver

Health care, disability support, long-term residential care,

financial assets, home ownership, student loans

New Zealand

• simple and efficient• fits World Bank prescription

• has political consensus• has room to evolve

© The Treasury -- 11

According to flow measures, household savings are low relative to other countries, and chronically negative …

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

$b

United Kingdom United States Australia New Zealand

© The Treasury -- 12

… but stock measures suggest that wealth has increased, even after allowing for house price increases.

-100

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005

$ b

illi

on

Net Worth Adjusted Net Worth excluding house price effects

Removal of house prices

© The Treasury -- 13

Average household wealth levels are within the range of those of other countries …

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Canada Finland Italy Sweden US NZ (couples)

NZ(individuals)

Australia

$ (000)

© The Treasury -- 14

… but retirement wealth varies significantly across the population.

0

400,000

800,000

1,200,000

1,600,000

2,000,000

2,400,000

2,800,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20Wealth Ventile

Housing Wealth Financial Wealth Pension Wealth NZ Superannuation

Total Net Wealth of Couples aged 56-64 by wealth ventiles (2001 Household Savings Survey)

© The Treasury -- 15

8-10

5-7

Lower income deciles: New Zealand Superannuation will meet their main retirement income needs. Limited scope for any significant change in saving rates.

Upper income deciles: More than adequate wealth to sustain retirement consumption as a rule - not a focus of policy.

What are the policy implications?

Middle income deciles: Average levels of wealth Ok but wide variation. Scope for higher saving. KiwiSaver is likely to self-select to this group.

1-4

© The Treasury -- 16

What is KiwiSaver?

• A voluntary work-based savings scheme.• Announced in Budget 2005 as part of an

ongoing package of initiatives to increase individual savings and support New Zealanders in retirement.

• KiwiSaver’s purpose is to encourage a long-term savings habit and asset accumulation to improve financial well-being, particularly for retirement.

© The Treasury -- 17

What are the underlying drivers of KiwiSaver?

• Creating a long term saving habit• Encourages saving by making it easy

– Immediate benefit to join– Simple to join, rules of thumb– Safe, secure with effective oversight

• Avoiding constant temptation to spend– Deduction from pay through Inland Revenue– Lock in until age 65

• Home or retirement saving accommodated

© The Treasury -- 18

What are the key features of KiwiSaver?• Work-based savings scheme• Voluntary participation (opt out)• Defined contribution• Private sector providers• Payroll deductions through Inland Revenue• Government up-front contribution and fee subsidy• Locked-in until eligible for NZS (age 65)

– Access for first-home ownership

• To be implemented in 2007– 25% of workforce assumed to be enrolled by 2012

© The Treasury -- 19

Why is KiwiSaver based on savings through the workplace?

• Allows deductions for contributions to be made at source.– Avoids temptation to spend.

• Obtains benefits from economies of scale in administration in conjunction with income tax collection.

• Reaches a high proportion of the population who are able to save.

© The Treasury -- 20

Who participates in KiwiSaver?

• New employees are enrolled automatically.– The need to actively opt out uses human inertia to

encourage participation.

• Existing employees and non-employed can sign up, either through their employer or directly with a provider.

• Applies to all New Zealand citizens and permanent residents below the age of eligibility for New Zealand Superannuation (65).

© The Treasury -- 21

Why isn’t participation compulsory?• Some people might be better off not contributing to KiwiSaver.– Those who would be better to be repaying debt.

– Those who have other goals than passive saving for retirement (for example, building a business).

– Those on low incomes for whom New Zealand Superannuation may be adequate in retirement.

• Contribution holidays can be taken to temporarily suspend making contributions.– Up to 5 years after a minimum membership of 12

months.

© The Treasury -- 22

What decisions to savers have to make?When joining:• Can choose which scheme (and investment

profile) to join [or be allocated to a default provider].

• Can choose a contribution rate: 4% [the default] or 8%.

While saving:• Can transfer between schemes.• Can take a contribution holiday.• Can make a first home purchase withdrawal.

© The Treasury -- 23

How much are the contributions to KiwiSaver?

• Employees contribute 4% (the default) or 8% of their gross salary or wages through payroll deductions.

• Employers can also make contributions.– These count toward the 4% or 8%.– Tax exempt up to a cap.

• Employees can make additional contributions direct to providers.

© The Treasury -- 24

What can KiwiSaver balances be withdrawn for?

• At age 65, the full balance can be withdrawn.

• One-off withdrawal for first home purchase.

• Under certain circumstances for financial hardship or serious illness.

© The Treasury -- 25

Will KiwiSavers’ money be protected?

• KiwiSaver schemes will be run by trust deeds (like existing registered superannuation schemes).

• Schemes must meet the requirements of the KiwiSaver Act and be approved by the Government Actuary.

• Regulated as for other superannuation products.

• No government guarantee of scheme balances.

© The Treasury -- 26

What support does the Government provide to KiwiSaver?• Financial

– A kick-start contribution of $1,000 to new accounts.– An annual contribution toward members’ fees.– Targeted assistance to individuals buying a first home.– Tax exemption for employer contributions up to a cap.

• Administrative– Contributions are collected and aggregated through the

PAYE tax collection system.– The Government appoints default providers and

negotiates their fees.– BUT the financial returns of schemes are not

government guaranteed.

© The Treasury -- 27

How will KiwiSaver affect employers?• KiwiSaver has been designed to minimize compliance costs by using

the existing PAYE tax collection processes.• Employers will be required to:

– Provide information packs (prepared by IRD) to all employees.– Notify IRD of new employees’ details– Deduct contributions from payroll and remit to IRD.

• Employers can:– Nominate a provider for their employees for when employees do not

choose their own.– Make voluntary employer contributions– Apply for exemption from automatic enrolment if their existing pension

scheme meets certain requirements.– Apply to convert their existing pension scheme to a KiwiSaver scheme.

• Employers are not liable as a scheme advisor or promoter.– (Unless they go further and provide specific advice.)

© The Treasury -- 28

What is the role of the Inland Revenue Department in KiwiSaver?

Inland Revenue is the central administrator:• Providing information about KiwiSaver to

employers for distribution to employees• Administering the opt-out process• Receiving contributions from employers and

others and on-paying these to providers (with interest)

• Administering the contribution holiday• Paying up-front $1000 contribution to each new KiwiSaver account

• Allocation of default schemes to employees

© The Treasury -- 29

What are the requirements on KiwiSaver providers?Requirements for all KiwiSaver providers:• Comply with the securities legislation and the

Superannuation Schemes Act• Comply with the KiwiSaver Act• Register with the Government Actuary

– Entry requirements for registration

• Ongoing Monitoring by Government Actuary and Trustee

Requirements for KiwiSaver default Providers:• Open and Competitive tender to appoint Default Providers• Further Requirements for Default Providers

© The Treasury -- 30

KiwiSaver Enrolment Process

Saver EmployerCentral

Administrator(IRD)

FundProviders

Employee details

Send default investment statement

Allocate to fund

Active opt-out (weeks 2 to 8)

Employee details

Information pack

Information packs

© The Treasury -- 31

KiwiSaver Contribution Process

Saver EmployerCentral

Administrator(IRD)

FundProviders

Contributions deducted from

wages

Annual contribution

advice

Transfer to fund

Investment return advice

Government

Kickstart and fee contributions

Contributions directly to provider (optional)

Contributions by employer

© The Treasury -- 32

What is the progress of implementation of KiwiSaver?

• Select Committee has considered the draft legislation and reported back to Parliament last week.

• Currently going through the final legislative processes before becoming law.

• Implementation was intended to be by 1 April 2007, but now likely to be 1 July 2007.

• A competitive tender process to select default providers has been initiated but will not be completed until the legislation is passed.

© The Treasury -- 33

Further information on KiwiSaver

• Inland Revenue Department (Central Administrator)

www.ird.govt.nz/kiwisaver/

• The Treasury (Overall Policy)www.treasury.govt.nz/kiwisaver/

• Ministry of Economic Development (Provider Selection and Regulation)

www.med.govt.nz/kiwisaver/

© The Treasury -- 34

Dr Brian McCullochDirectorNew Zealand Treasury

[email protected]