î ì í ô } u u µ v ] Ç } } l · î ì í ô } u u µ v ] Ç } } l ] p ] o ( ] o w Á Á Á x o...

ϮϬϭϴ��ŽŵŵƵŶŝƚǇ��ĂƚĂ��ŽŽŬ �ĂƚĂ�WƌŽĚƵĐĞĚ�ŝŶ�WĂƌƚŶĞƌƐŚŝƉ�ǁŝƚŚ͗�

· >ĂŶĚ�ƵƐĞ ϭ · �ĞŵŽŐƌĂƉŚǇ Ϯ

- /ŶĐŽŵĞ ϯ - ZĂĐĞ ϱ - WŽƉƵůĂƟŽŶ�'ƌŽǁƚŚ ϴ - DŝŐƌĂƟŽŶ ϭϬ - WŽƉƵůĂƟŽŶ�WƌŽũĞĐƟŽŶ ϭϯ - WŽƉƵůĂƟŽŶ��ĞŶƐŝƚǇ ϭϱ

· �ĐŽŶŽŵǇ ϮϬ - �ŽŵŵƵƟŶŐ�WĂƩĞƌŶƐ ϭϲ - �ŵƉůŽǇĞƌƐ�ďǇ�>ŽĐĂƟŽŶ ϮϬ - EŽŶ-WƌŽĮƚƐ Ϯϯ - �ŵƉůŽǇŵĞŶƚ Ϯϰ - DĂũŽƌ��ŵƉůŽǇĞƌƐ Ϯϱ - DŝŶŽƌŝƚǇ�Θ�tŽŵĂŶ-KǁŶĞĚ��ƵƐŝŶĞƐƐ�KǁŶĞƌƐŚŝƉ Ϯϳ

- zŽƵŶŐ�tŽƌŬĞƌƐ Ϯϴ - /ŶŶŽǀĂƟŽŶ Ϯϵ

· ZĞƚĂŝů�^ĂůĞƐ�ĂŶĚ��ĐŽŶŽŵǇ ϯϬ - dĂǆĂďůĞ�^ĂůĞƐ ϯϭ - ZĞƚĂŝů��ĞŵĂŶĚ ϯϯ - ZĞƚĂŝů�'ĂƉ�Θ�>ĞĂŬĂŐĞ ϯϰ - �ŽƐƚ�ŽĨ�>ŝǀŝŶŐ�/ŶĚĞǆ ϯϳ - sŝƐŝƚŽƌ�^ƉĞŶĚŝŶŐ ϯϴ

· �ĚƵĐĂƟŽŶ ϰϭ - WƵďůŝĐ�^ĐŚŽŽůƐ ϰϭ - �ƵƌŚĂŵ�dĞĐŚ ϱϯ - hE��ŚĂƉĞů�,ŝůů ϱϱ

· ,ŽƵƐŝŶŐ ϱϴ - &Žƌ�^ĂůĞ ϱϴ - ZĞŶƚĂů� ϲϯ - >ĂŶĚ�sĂůƵĞ ϲϳ

· �ƌŝŵĞ ϲϵ · ,ĞĂůƚŚ��ĂƚĂ ϳϭ · WŽǀĞƌƚǇ ϳϳ · tĂƚĞƌ ϴϯ

dĂďůĞ�ŽĨ��ŽŶƚĞŶƚƐ

2018 Community Data Book

Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 1

Orange County + Chatham County + Neighbors Orange County Total Value Per Acre

Source: Urban3

Assessed Value Per Acre

Source: Urban3Source 2012-2016 American Community Survey

Orange County Land DistributionChapel Hill 5% Carrboro 2%

Hillsborough 1%

Mebane0.5%

Rest of Orange

92%



Orange County 56,494 Housing Units Distribution Percentage

Source 2012-2016 American Community Survey

Chapel Hill36%

Carrboro17%

Hillsborough4%

Mebane2%

Rest of Orange

41%

Southern Orange County Planning Jurisdictions

Town of Chapel Hill

Income and Demography

Chapel Hill Second Highest in Nation with BA+Percent of Residents 25+ with Bachelors degree or higher (2012-16)

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Cambridge (MA), 74.9%Chapel Hill, 74.6%

Carrboro, 69.1%

Orange County, 57.7%

Charlottesville (VA), 50.0%

Chatham County, 38.8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

Cambridge (MA)Chapel Hill (NC)Ann Arbor (MI)

Boulder (CO)Berkeley (CA)Carrboro (NC)Evanston (IL)

Amherst (MA)Sunnyvale (CA)

Corvallis (OR)Orange County (NC)

Santa Clara (CA)Bloomington (IN)Fort Collins (CO)

Burlington (VT)Charlottesville (VA)

Austin (TX)Tallahassee (FL)

Boston (MA)Gainesville (FL)

Athens-Clarke County (GA)San Jose (CA)

Chatham County (NC)Columbus (OH)

#CHCSOTC



Orange Highest Per Capita Income in State (2016)

Source: 5-Year American Community Survey

#CHCSOTC

Orange$37,103 Chatham

$35,109North Carolina

$26,779

Scotland$16,192

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

$30,000

$35,000

$40,000

Ora

nge

Wak

eCh

atha

mM

eckl

enbu

rgD

urha

mU

nion

New

Han

over

Dar

eM

oore

Cart

eret

Brun

swic

kIre

dell

Curr

ituck

Dav

iePo

lkBu

ncom

beCa

barr

usFo

rsyt

hG

uilfo

rdN

orth

Car

olin

aH

ende

rson

Hay

woo

dCa

mde

nLi

ncol

nPe

rqui

man

sTr

ansy

lvan

iaCr

aven

Mac

onPa

mlic

oCa

taw

baN

ash

Pitt

Pend

erAl

aman

ceBe

aufo

rtG

asto

nG

ates

Gra

nvill

eJo

hnst

onCu

mbe

rland

Dav

idso

nCl

ayW

atau

gaO

nslo

wPa

squo

tank

Wils

onRo

wan

Fran

klin

Lee

Ashe

Mad

ison

Chow

anM

itche

llSt

anly

Pers

onSt

okes

Jack

son

Yadk

inRa

ndol

phW

ayne

Aver

yYa

ncey

Surr

yRo

ckin

gham

Har

nett

Mar

tinCo

lum

bus

Alle

ghan

yBu

rke

Leno

irCl

evel

and

Cald

wel

lAl

exan

der

Was

hing

ton

Jone

sSw

ain

Casw

ell

Wilk

esH

alifa

xM

ontg

omer

ySa

mps

onRu

ther

ford

War

ren

Blad

enRi

chm

ond

Cher

okee

McD

owel

lN

orth

ampt

onG

raha

mH

yde

Hok

eVa

nce

Gre

ene

Edge

com

beD

uplin

Her

tfor

dAn

son

Bert

ieTy

rrel

lRo

beso

nSc

otla

nd

Per Capita Income (Top Ten Counties)


#CHCSOTC

$37,103 $35,752 $35,109 $34,091$31,473 $31,185 $30,375 $29,746 $29,679 $29,349

2016 Median Household Income

$65,299 $63,303$54,255

$46,060

$76,173

$50,595$57,617

OrangeCounty

ChathamCounty

DurhamCounty

AlamanceCounty

Wake County NorthCarolina

United States

Source: U.S. Census Bureau SAIPE

Median Household Income 1998-2016 (Adjusted for Inflation) $2016

$45,000

$50,000

$55,000

$60,000

$65,000

$70,000

$75,000

$80,000

$85,000

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Orange County Chatham County Durham CountyWake County North Carolina United States



Median Household Income 1998-2016 (Adjusted for Inflation) $2016

$65,299$61,796

$54,255

$45,000

$50,000

$55,000

$60,000

$65,000

$70,000

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Orange County Durham County

Orange County Shows Growth in Inflation Adjusted Median Family Income (1998-2016)Dollar Change in Median Household Income From 1998 to 2016 (adjusted for inflation) $2016

$3,161

($2,696)

($7,541)

($8,367)

($5,057)

($2,385)

$363

Orange County

Chatham County

Durham County

Alamance County

Wake County

North Carolina

United States

Orange County Shows Growth in Inflation Adjusted Median Family Income (1998-2016)Percent Change in Median Household Income From 1998 to 2016 (adjusted for inflation) Inflation Adjusted

5.1%

-4.1%

-12.2%

-15.4%

-6.2%

-4.5%

0.6%

Orange County

Chatham County

Durham County

Alamance County

Wake County

North Carolina

United States

Orange has #1 Adjusted Gross Income, Chatham #18

Source: National Center for Charitable Statistics

CountyAverage AGI on

Itemized ReturnsRank

(of 100 Counties)

Orange County $175,600 1

Mecklenburg County $134,897 2

Wake County $128,756 3

Guilford County $110,738 11

Durham County $106,478 15

Chatham County $101,900 18

Alamance County $92,312 36



Orange #4 in Value of Itemized Deductions, Chatham #85

County Average Itemized Contributions Reported Rank (of 100 Counties)

Orange County $5,665 4

Mecklenburg County $5,230 19

Guilford County $5,080 32

Durham County $4,678 55

Wake County $4,519 62

Alamance County $4,425 68

Chatham County $4,166 85Source: National Center for Charitable Statistics

#CHCSOTC

Orange Ranks 98th in % of Income Donated, Chatham 90th

County Percent of AGI Contributed Rank (of 100 Counties)

Alamance County 4.8% 72

Guilford County 4.6% 79

Durham County 4.4% 82

Chatham County 4.1% 90

Mecklenburg County 3.9% 91

Wake County 3.5% 96

Orange County 3.2% 98Source: National Center for Charitable Statistics

#CHCSOTC

Yancey and Macon Counties Lead NC in Contributions

County Average Itemized Contribution

Rank (of 100 Counties) Percent of AGI Contributed

Yancey $7,919 (9.2%) 1

Macon County $8,007 (8.5%) 2

Washington County $5,579 (7.3%) 3

Anson County $5,086 (7.2%) 4

Warren County $4,169 (7.1%) 5

Source: National Center for Charitable Statistics

#CHCSOTC

Orange County Population by Race

Source: US Census Bureau; Orange County Planning

80% 76% 71% 69%

16%14%

12% 11%

1%4%

8% 9%3% 4% 7% 8%

2% 3% 3%

1990 2000 2010 2017

White Black Hispanic Asian Other or MultiracialChanges By Decade



Orange Minority Population by Race

Source: U.S. Census BureauNOTE: Does not include American Indian or Other, as per earlier charts

14,847 16,643

12,336

11,823

3,232

-

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

1990 2000 2010 2017

Black Hispanic (any Race) Asian or Pacific Islander Multiracial

Chapel Hill Minority Population by Race

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning

4,840 5,460

3,638 1,678

6,786

1,282

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

1990 2000 2010


Carrboro Minority Population by Race

NOTE: Does not include American Indian or Other, as per earlier chartsSource: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning

1,916 1,933

2,706

1,592

430

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

1990 2000 2010


Chatham Minority Population by Race


8,794 8,666

564

8,228 8,916 68

1,373

-

1,094

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

1990 2000 2010 2017




Hillsborough Minority Population by Race


1,660 1,777

404

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

1990 2000 2010


Municipal Minority Make Up

10% 10%

29%

14%

6% 7%8%12%

2%2% 2% 2%

Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough



State and County Minority Makeup

21%

12% 11%9%

12%

9%

3% 2%

8%

2% 2% 2%

North Carolina Chatham Orange



Residential Segregation - Black/WhiteCompared to Adjacent and Peer Communities

Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation

25

4237 40 43

53 5058

3643

63

49

#CHCSOTC



Population Growth

Population Growth

Jurisdiction 2010 2017 Pop Growth Growth Rate

Orange County 133,688 144,946 11,258 8.4% (1.1% PY)

Hillsborough 6,613 7,231 618 7.9% (1.2% PY)

Carrboro 19,564 21,544 1,980 10.1% (1.3% PY)

Chapel Hill 57,221 59,862 2,641 4.6% (0.6% PY)

North Carolina 9,535,721 10,273,419 737,698 7.7% (1.0% PY)

Note: showing April 1, 2010 Estimates BaseSource U.S. Census Bureau

Orange County Population Growth Slowest Since 1960sNumeric Growth By Decade, 1930-2010

Source U.S. Census Bureau

1,901

11,363 8,535

14,737

19,348 16,796

24,376

15,574

11,258

1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010-2017

9.0%

49.3%

24.8%

34.3% 33.5%

21.8%26.0%

13.2%8.4%

1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010-2017Source U.S. Census Bureau

Orange County Population Percentage Growth Slowest Since 1930sPercent Population Increase By Decade, 1930-2010



Chatham County Grew By 7,993 in First 8 Years of this DecadeNumeric Growth By Decade, 1930-2017


549 666 1,393

2,769 3,861

5,344

10,570

14,176

7,993

1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010-2017

549 666 1,393

2,769 3,861

5,344

10,570

14,176

7,993

1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010-2017Source U.S. Census Bureau

2.3% 2.7%5.5%

10.3%13.1%

16.0%

27.3% 28.7%

1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s

2000s Fastest Growth Decade for Chatham CountyPercent Population Increase By Decade, 1930-2017

2.3% 2.7%5.5%

10.3%13.1%

16.0%

27.3% 28.7%

12.6%

1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010-2017

7,993

11,193

11,258

41,656

171,144

Chatham County

Alamance County

Orange County

Durham County

Wake County

Population Gains Since 2010 Smallest in Chatham Numeric Population Growth, April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2017


7%

8%

8%

13%

15%

19%

AlamanceCounty

North Carolina

Orange County

Chatham County

Durham County

Wake County

Chatham, Durham and Wake Grew Faster than State AveragePopulation Growth Rate, April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2017




Share 65+ Increased Statewide and LocallyPopulation proportion 65+, April 1, 2010 vs July 1, 2017


18%

15%13%

10% 10% 8%

24%

17% 16%13% 13%

11%

Chatham Alamance North Carolina Orange Durham Wake

2010 2017

Migration Drove County Population Growth 2010 - 2017Components of Orange County's estimated 11,258 person growth, 2010- 2017

Note: Not shown is the estimated loss of 2 individuals that cannot be attributed to births, deaths, or migration (residual)Source U.S. Census Bureau

11,2588,872

-5,565

2,8025,159

Total Change Births Deaths Domestic MigrationInternational

Migration

Net Migration Drove Population Growth for Orange and Most Neighbors in 2016-17Rate of net migration and natural increase (births-deaths) per 1,000 residents, July 1, 2016 to July 1, 2017


1.4

-1.1

7.3

2.77.0

17.7

24.4

7.4

12.814.7

Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake

Natural Increase Rate Net Migration Rate

Migration



-20,000

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75

Num

ber o

f Peo

ple

Age

NC Net Migration by Age, 2000-2010

Source: Winkler et al., 2013

-10,000

-5,000

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75

Num

ber o

f Peo

ple

Age

Orange

Net Migration by Age, 2000 - 2010


-10,000

-5,000

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75

Num

ber o

f Peo

ple

Age

Orange

Pitt

Watauga

Net Migration by Age, 2000 - 2010


-1,400-1,200-1,000

-800-600-400-200

0200400

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75

Num

ber o

f Peo

ple

Age

Youth DrainHalifax

Net Migration by Age, 2000-2010




0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75

Num

ber o

f Peo

ple

Age

Employment CenterWake



0500

1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,5005,000

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75

Num

ber o

f Peo

ple

Age

Family SuburbsJohnston



-1,500

-1,000

-500

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75

Num

ber o

f Peo

ple

Age

Chatham Moore

Retiree DestinationsChatham & Moore



-10,000-8,000-6,000-4,000-2,000

02,0004,0006,0008,000

10,00012,000

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75

Num

ber o

f Peo

ple

Age

Orange





-8,000-6,000-4,000-2,000

02,0004,0006,0008,000

10,000

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75

Num

ber o

f Peo

ple

Age

WhiteBlackOtherHispanic

Net Migration by Age and Race, 2000-2010


-1,500

-1,000

-500

0

500

1,000

1,500

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75

Num

ber o

f Peo

ple

Age

Black

Other

Hispanic

Net Migration by Age and Race, 2000-2010


Population Projecting

Three Population Projection Models – Annual Change20-Year Exponential, 20-Year Linear, 10-Year Linear

GeographyExponential (1990-2010)

Linear (1990-2010)

Linear (2010-2017)

Orange 1.8% 1,553 people 1,999 people

Chatham 2.5% 1,237 people 1,102 people

Carrboro 2.4% 372 people 273 people

Chapel Hill 2.0% 926 people 364 people

Hillsborough 1.8% 91 people 85 people



How many people in 2050? Orange County3 Population Projection Models

Source: Carolina Demography, Orange County Planning

271,957

213,701

133,801

195,914

0

75,000

150,000

225,000

300,000

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Exponential (1990-2010) Linear (1990-2010) Linear (2010-2017)

How many people in 2050? Chapel Hill3 Population Projection Models


125,104

94,277 2010-2017

57,233 71,804

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050


How many people in 2050? Carrboro3 Population Projection Models


50,999

34,478

19,582 30,506

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050


How many people in 2050? Hillsborough3 Population Projection Models


12,410 9,735

6,087

9,497

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050




How many people in 2050? Chatham County3 Population Projection Models


170,482

112,997

107,604

0

75,000

150,000

225,000

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050


Carrboro Remains One of the Most Densely Populated Communities in NCPeople per square mile by census and using ‘Linear 1990-2010’ projections


2,9703,437

3,754

3,1083,586

4,158

1980 Census 1990 Census 2000 Census 2010 Census 2020 Projected 2030 Projected

2,9703,437

3,754

3,031

3,6084,184


Chapel Hill Population Density To Increase


2,5832,342 2,330

2,7103,148

3,587


People per square mile by census and using ‘Linear 1990-2010’ projections

4,246

4,116

4,094

3,948

3,472

3,108

3,037

2,710

3,587

Charlottesville (VA)

Burlington (VT)

Ann Arbor (MI)

Boulder (CO)

Bloomington (IN)

Carrboro (NC)

Madison (WI)

Chapel Hill (NC)

Chapel Hill 2030

Chapel Hill in 2030 is Less Dense than Most Peers People Per Square Mile




The Economy Commuting

Orange Worker Inflows/Outflows, 201543,036 drive in, 35,818 drive out, and 20,406 live and work in Orange


#CHCSOTC

Chapel Hill/Carrboro Worker Inflows/Outflows, 201538,804 drive in, 18,697 drive out, and 11,106 live and work in Chapel Hill/Carrboro


#CHCSOTC



Chapel Hill Worker Inflows/Outflows, 201538,804 drive in, 18,697 drive out, and 11,106 live and work in Chapel Hill/Carrboro


#CHCSOTC

Carrboro Worker Inflows/Outflows, 20153,623 drive in, 8,524 drive out, and 645 live and work in Carrboro


#CHCSOTC

Chatham Worker Inflows/Outflows, 20158,997 drive in, 20,551 drive out, and 5,124 live and Work in Chatham


#CHCSOTC

Few differences in earnings by place of work/residenceCommuters into/out of Orange County by income, 2015


17% 17% 16%

31% 29% 33%

52% 54% 51%

Live and Work Drive Out Drive In

Less than $15,000 $15K - $40K $40K or more

#CHCSOTC



Chatham Out-Commuters Most Likely to Earn <$40KWorkers who live & work in Chatham earn least

25% 17% 22%

47%33%

42%

29%51%

36%

Live and Work Drive Out Drive In

Less than $15,000 $15K - $40K $40K or more

61% of Orange County Households Have 2+ CarsShare of Households by Number of Vehicles Available, 2012-16

Source: 2012-16 American Community Survey

No Vehicles5%

1 Vehicle34%

2 Vehicles38%

3 or More Vehicles

23%

#CHCSOTC

Fewer Orange, Chatham Workers Drive Alone to WorkPercent of commuters who drive alone to work, 2012-16

Source: Vehicle Availability and Commuting, 2012-16 American Community Survey

81%

67%78% 84%

76% 79%

North Carolina Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake

#CHCSOTC

Chapel Hill Transit Ridership DownTotal Chapel Hill Transit Ridership (in millions), FY2004-FY2017

5.27

7.236.94

6.736.33 6.18

4.0

6.0

8.0

FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17

(mill

ions

)

Source: Chapel Hill Transit

#CHCSOTC



0.71 0.75 0.82 0.87 0.941.14 1.09

1.29

1.581.77 1.82 1.84 1.78

1.66

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17

GoTriangle Ridership Declines 10% from 2015 PeakTotal Triangle Transit Ridership, FY2004-FY2017

Source: Triangle Transit

#CHCSOTC

High Share of Orange, Chatham Workers Work from Home

4.8%

8.2% 7.8%

2.7%

4.8%

7.6%


52,698

63,442

48,702

56,224

40,000

45,000

50,000

55,000

60,000

65,000

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Jobs in Orange Workers in Orange

County Job Growth has not Consistently Translated to More Workers Living in OrangeNumber of jobs in Orange vs. workers in Orange, 2002-2015


#CHCSOTC

Orange County Workers Driving in for Work Growing Faster than Workers Driving Out


32,262

37,915 35,81837,935

40,520 43,036

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Driving Out for Work Driving In for Work



While Most Orange County Residents Work Elsewhere, Percent Driving Out for Work is Declining from Peak


#CHCSOTC

55%

66%

64%

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Share of Orange County resident workers who work outside of Orange County, 2002-2015

Employment by Location

14,22812,088

4,6621909

16351596

13241297

1037683

15,765

Chapel Hill town, NCDurham city, NCRaleigh city, NC

Hillsborough town, NCCarrboro town, NC

Cary town, NCGreensboro city, NC

Charlotte city, NCBurlington city, NC

Mebane city, NCAll Other Locations

Where Do Orange County Residents Work?Location of Primary Job, 2015


#CHCSOTC

Where Orange County Residents Work is ChangingLocation of Primary Job, 2005-2015


#CHCSOTC

-2,3831,141

1,971259

97609

298228266

14 3,509


Hillsborough town, NCCarrboro town, NC

Cary town, NCGreensboro city, NC

Charlotte city, NCBurlington city, NC

Mebane city, NCAll Other Locations



46% of Chatham Workers Driving Alone Travel 30+ MinutesPercent of those who drive alone to work commuting 30+ minutes, 2012-16

Source: Vehicle Availability and Commuting, 2012-16 American Community Survey

31% 29%

46%

31%

24%

33%


#CHCSOTC

Majority of Chatham Residents Work ElsewhereShare of Chatham County resident workers who work outside of Chatham, 2002-2015


65%

81%80%

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

75%

80%

85%

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

#CHCSOTC

Where People Commute From to Fill Chapel Hill JobsPlace of Residence of Individuals Whose Primary Job was in Chapel Hill in 2015


8,9916,815

3,1682,600

2,164652542458394391

19,467

Durham city, NCChapel Hill town, NC

Carrboro town, NCRaleigh city, NC

Cary town, NCApex town, NC

Burlington city, NCMebane city, NC

Charlotte city, NCMorrisville town, NC

All Other Locations

#CHCSOTC

Where Do Chapel Hill Residents Work?Location of Primary Job, 2015


6,8154,180

1,791680

575478453

252192190

5,028


Cary town, NCCharlotte city, NC

Carrboro town, NCGreensboro city, NCMorrisville town, NC

Hillsborough town, NCBurlington city, NCAll Other Locations

#CHCSOTC



Where People Commute From to Fill Carrboro JobsPlace of Residence of Individuals Whose Primary Job was in Carrboro in 2015


645548

478174

1026456545352

2,042

Carrboro town, NCDurham city, NC

Chapel Hill town, NCRaleigh city, NC

Cary town, NCBurlington city, NC

Greensboro city, NCCharlotte city, NCMebane city, NC

Apex town, NCAll Other Locations

#CHCSOTC

Where Do Carrboro Residents Work?Location of Primary Job, 2015


3,1681,464

750645

279176172

127122

942,172


Carrboro town, NCCary town, NC

Charlotte city, NCGreensboro city, NCMorrisville town, NC

Hillsborough town, NCBurlington city, NCAll Other Locations

#CHCSOTC

3,4992,683

2,4441,3801,3521,324

771669631

44210,480


Durham city, NCSiler City town, NCPittsboro town, NC

Cary town, NCSanford city, NC

Greensboro city, NCCharlotte city, NCAsheboro city, NC

All Other Locations

2015 2005

Top Ten Places Chatham County Workers Work2015 vs. 2005


#CHCSOTC

Top Ten Places Chatham County Workers Work2005 vs. 2015


#CHCSOTC

3,499

2,683

2,444

1,380

1,352

1,324

771

669

631

442


Durham city, NCSiler City town, NCPittsboro town, NC

Cary town, NCSanford city, NC

Greensboro city, NCCharlotte city, NCAsheboro city, NC

2005 2015



Where People Drive From to Fill Chatham County Jobs2005 vs. 2015 (Top 10)


775

761

472

425

369

348

262

228

176

172

Durham city, NCSiler City town, NC

Raleigh city, NCCary town, NC

Sanford city, NCPittsboro town, NC

Chapel Hill town, NCCarrboro town, NC

Greensboro city, NCApex town, NC

2005 2015

#CHCSOTC

Total Non-Profit EmploymentNonprofit Employee County by County (2015)

29,808

1,681

42,373

Orange Chatham Durham

Source Center for Nonprofits

#CHCSOTC

47% of Orange County workers employed in NonprofitNonprofit employment as percent of total employment, 2015

47%

12%

23%

Orange Chatham DurhamSource: Center for Nonprofits

#CHCSOTC

Orange County Nonprofits

Orange County Registered Nonprofits 975

Orange County 501(c)3 Orgs Filing 990s 437

Annual Revenue of Orange County 501(c)3s $870 million

Assets of Orange county 501(c)3s $3.3 billion


#CHCSOTC



Orange, Chatham and Durham Boast 871 CharitiesTotal Registered 501c3 Non Profits by County (2015)

303

83

485



#CHCSOTC

Chatham County Nonprofits

Chatham County Registered Nonprofits 254

Chatham County 501(c)3 Orgs Filing 990s 98

Annual Revenue of Chatham County 501(c)3s $105 million

Assets of Chatham county 501(c)3s $245 million


#CHCSOTC

Employment

Monthly Unemployment Rate (Unadjusted)1/2004 to 4/2018

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

1/20

047/

2004

1/20

057/

2005

1/20

067/

2006

1/20

077/

2007

1/20

087/

2008

1/20

097/

2009

1/20

107/

2010

1/20

117/

2011

1/20

127/

2012

1/20

137/

2013

1/20

147/

2014

1/20

157/

2015

1/20

167/

2016

1/20

177/

2017

1/20

18

North Carolina Orange County Chapel Hill Chatham County

Source: BLS LAUS



Annual Unemployment Rate (Unadjusted)Unemployment Rate, 1997-2017

Source: NC Department of Commerce

#CHCSOTC

10.9%

6.6%

Orange3.8%

6.6%Chapel Hill,

4.6%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

Une

mpl

oym

ent R

ate

North Carolina Orange County Chapel Hill Chatham County

Source: BLS LAUS

Number of Unemployed Persons, 2017

1,379 1,365

2,921

Chapel Hill Chatham County Orange County

Orange County Employment PatternsOrange Top 5 Specialized Industries, by Employment, 2016 (NACO)

Source: National Association of Counties

#CHCSOTC

41,300 jobs | 44.6%

6,700 jobs | 7.2%

5,400 jobs | 5.8%

2,000 jobs | 2.1%

170 jobs | 0.2%

State & LocalGovernment

Food & Hospitality

Professional &Business Services

EducationalServices

Mining

Orange County Major Employers 2017 Q41. UNC Chapel Hill2. UNC Health Care System3. Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools4. Orange County Schools5. UNC Physicians Network LLC, Education

& Health Services6. Local Government7. Town Of Chapel Hill Inc8. Eurosport9. General Electric Company10. Aramark Food And Support Services G.11. Wal-Mart Associates Inc.12. Harris Teeter


13. A K G Of America Inc. 14. Food Lion15. The Chapel Hill Residential16. United Parcel Service Inc.17. P H E Inc.18. Summit Consulting-Engineering19. Weaver Street Market20. Performance BMW21. Wellspring Grocery22. Residential Services Inc.23. U S Postal Service24. Carolina Inn25. The Arc Of The Triangle

#CHCSOTC 2018 State of the Community Report



Top Ten Orange County Industries by EnterpriseBy North American Industry Classification System (NAICS)

Source: NC Commerce (ESRI Business Numbers) - 2016

735647

588571

467376

348346

338333

Other Srv excl Public Admin NAICS81

Retail Trade NAICS44-45

Prof/Scientific/Tech Srv NAICS54

Health Care/Social Assist NAICS62

Construction NAICS23

Accommodation/Food Services NAICS72

Finance & Insurance NAICS52

Unclassified Establishments NAICS99

Real Estate/Rental/Leasing NAICS53

Food Srv & Drinking Places NAICS722

#CHCSOTC

Retail, Wholesale & Health Care Lead Sales in Orange2016 Sales by NAICS Industry Code (Millions)


$2,168$2,040

$1,334$806

$685$675

$550$407$399$384


Wholesale Trade NAICS42


Manufacturing NAICS31-33




Food & Beverage Stores NAICS445


Secur/Commodity Contracts NAICS523

#CHCSOTC

4.9K jobs12.6%

3.4K jobs8.6%

1.9K jobs4.7%

1.2K jobs3.1%

130 jobs0.3%

Professional & BusinessServices

Real Estate

Arts & Entertainment

Agriculture

Mining

Chatham County Employment PatternsChatham Top 5 Specialized Industries, by Employment, 2016

Source: National Association of Counties

#CHCSOTC

357312

251176173

153128

124112

106

Other Srv excl Public Admin NAICS81






Public Administration NAICS92


Accommodation/Food Services NAICS72

Admin/Waste Mgmt&Remediatn NAICS56

Chatham County Number of Enterprises by IndustryBy North American Industry Classification System (NAICS)


#CHCSOTC



Wholesale & Manufacturing Lead in Chatham CountySales By NAICS Industry Code (millions)


#CHCSOTC

$1,212$802

$650$277

$259$250$246

$153$126$125

Health Care/Social Assist NAICS62Clothing/Accessories NAICS448

Sports/Hobby/Book/Music NAICS451Manufacturing NAICS31-33

Secur/Commodity Contracts NAICS523Prof/Scientific/Tech Srv NAICS54

Furniture/Home Furnishings NAICS442Electronics/Appliances NAICS443

Transportation/Warehouse NAICS48-49Bldg Matl/Gardn Equip&SupplNAICS444

Chatham County Major Employers 2017 Q11. Chatham County Schools2. County Of Chatham3. Carolina Meadows Inc.4. Galloway Ridge Inc.5. Mountaire Farms Of NC Inc.6. Wal-Mart Associates Inc.7. Arauco Panels Usa LLC8. Chatham Hospital Inc.9. Fitch Creations, Inc.10. Palletone Of North Carolina Inc.11. Boise Cascade Company LLC12. The Laurels Of Chatham


13. Piedmont Health Services Inc.14. Sunrise Home Care Inc.15. Town Of Siler City16. Harris Teeters17. Lowes Home Centers Inc.18. Food Lion19. Brookwood Farms Inc. 20. Mas Acme USA21. Scotts & Associates Inc. 22. Central Carolina Community College23. Town & Country Hardware Stores24. Governors Club Inc. 25. Triangle Electrical Services Inc.

#CHCSOTC

Minority Business Ownership RatesOrange County & Municipalities Fall Below U.S. and Statewide Averages

10.3%11.8%

13.5%13.7%14.0%

14.9%15.2%

20.5%20.8%21.1%

22.8%26.3%

28.8%36.7%

Bloomington (IN)Chatham County (NC)

Madison (WI)Chapel Hill (NC)

Orange County (NC)Ann Arbor (MI)Carrboro (NC)

Johnston County (NC)Alamance County (NC)

Hillsborough (NC)North Carolina

Wake County (NC)United States

Durham County (NC)

#CHCSOTC

Higher share of women-owned firms in unincorporated Orange County

30.2%

31.2%

32.2%

32.4%

34.2%

34.6%

35.4%

35.5%

35.6%

35.6%

35.8%

35.9%

36.3%

41.7%

Bloomington (IN)Hillsborough (NC)

Johnston County (NC)Ann Arbor (MI)

Chapel Hill (NC)Alamance County (NC)

Madison (WI)Chatham County (NC)

North CarolinaWake County (NC)

United StatesCarrboro (NC)

Orange County (NC)Durham County (NC)

Female Business Ownership Rates



Most Regional Jobs Filled by In-CommutersShare of county jobs filled by individuals who live outside of respective county, 2002-2014


64%

68%

40%

45%

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Chatham County Orange County

#CHCSOTC

Younger Workers

Young Workers Living and Working in Orange Increasing Number living and working in Orange County, 29 or younger, highest since 2011


4,567

3,625 3,751

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

#CHCSOTC

Fewer Workers Under 29 Commuting Out of OrangeNumber of young workers commuting out of Orange County declining


7,889

7,4956,956

5,500

6,000

6,500

7,000

7,500

8,000

8,500

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

#CHCSOTC



Total People 29 or Younger Working Orange County Increasing (2012 – 2015)

12,199

12,975

11,000

11,500

12,000

12,500

13,000

13,500

14,000

14,500

15,000

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015


New Young Workers Driving Into Orange for Work Increasing2009 through 2015


8,966

9,224

8,5008,6008,7008,8008,9009,0009,1009,2009,3009,400

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

#CHCSOTC

More young workers live in Orange but don’t work hereOrange County by place of work, 2010 vs. 2014


0.7%

-5.2%

4.2%

0.7%

Total Live in Orange Live and Work inOrange

Drive Out Drive In

#CHCSOTC

Innovation



• 75 Companies served, 44+ completed survey (59%)• At least 46 remain in business (61%)• 94% remain in business after 1 year, 64% after 2 years• 31 Companies - Student as a primary Founder (41%)

7 remain in business (23%)

Launch 5 Year Data 2012-2015

#CHCSOTC

Launch Chapel HillCalendar 2017 Results (all companies)

• $12.75 million raised (19 companies)• $20.6 million in annual revenues• 1124 employees – 215 f/t and 909 p/t• 202 in Orange County – skews f/t

#CHCSOTC

Launch Chapel Hill Calendar 2017 Results (all companies)

• 25 companies call Orange County home• 12, 150 sq ft of leased space• $184,500 expended on rents

• $99,000 annual spend in Downtown Chapel Hill

#CHCSOTC

Retail Sales and Economy



Taxable Sales Grows to $1.76 BillionOrange County Taxable Sales (in millions), FY06 - FY18

Source: NC Department of Revenue*Change in reporting

#CHCSOTC

$908 $948 $972 $927 $988 $1,017 $1,058$1,176

$1,422 $1,477$1,568

$1,726 $1,766

2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15* 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18

Annual Growth of Orange County Taxable SalesChange (in millions) from Taxable Sales of Prior Year FY05-FY18

Source: NC Department of Revenue

#CHCSOTC

$41 $23

-$45

$61$30 $41

$117

$246

$55$91

$158

$40

-$100-$50

$0$50

$100$150$200$250$300

Orange County Percent Change of Taxable Sales of Prior YearFY05-FY18

4%2%

-5%

7%3% 4%

11%

21%

4%6%

10%

2%

Sales Tax Collections Grow to $84 MillionOrange County Gross Sales Tax Collections (in millions), FY06-FY18


#CHCSOTC

$41 $42 $42 $41

$52$59

$52$56

$68 $70 $75$82 $84



Distribution of $56 Million in Orange County Sales Tax Distributions Municipality share of Orange County Local Option Sales Tax (LOST) Revenue Distributions, FY 2016-17


#CHCSOTC

$37 million

$4.5 million

$12.3 million

$6,759 $1.4 million $441,692

Orange CountyTotal

Carrboro Chapel Hill Durham Hillsborough Mebane

Chapel Hill & Carrboro Receive 30% of Orange County Sales Tax Distributions ) Municipality share of Orange County Local Option Sales Tax (LOST) Revenue Distributions, FY 2016-17


#CHCSOTC

67%

8%

22%

0.01% 3% 1%

Orange CountyTotal

Carrboro Chapel Hill Durham Hillsborough Mebane

2017-18 County Tax Disbursements

Sales Tax Per Capita FY2016 and FY2017


$175$157

$251

$172$154

$177 $177

$255

$182$156


2016 2017

#CHCSOTC

Sales Tax Per Capita RankingsRanking of 100 NC Counties (1=highest), 2013-2017


#CHCSOTC

81

3148

55

90

20

40

60

80

100

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Coun

ty R

anki

ng (1

to 1

00)




Total Household Income (billions)2017 Inflation Adjusted Dollars

Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce

$3.99

$2.75

$9.86

$4.86

Alamance

Chatham

Durham

Orange

#CHCSOTC

Average Household Retail Demand2016

$51,358

$32,097

$44,329

$38,192

$48,176

Orange County

Alamance County

Chatham County

Durham County

Wake County


#CHCSOTC

Number of Households (2016)

64,369

28,568

123,697

50,203

Alamance County

Chatham County

Durham County

Orange County

$2.1 $1.3

$4.7$2.6

$18.7


Retail Demand 2016 in Billions (revised)


Values shown in billions

#CHCSOTC



The Retail Gap

Orange Had Largest Retail Gap in 2016 (revised)Retail Potential vs. Retail Sales (in billions), 2016


#CHCSOTC

$2.1

$1.3

$4.7

$2.6

$1.8

$0.6

$4.6

$1.8

Alamance Chatham Durham OrangeTotal Retail Potential Total Sales

Orange Had Largest Retail Gap in 2016Retail Gap– Demand Minus Supply (in Millions), 2016 revised


#CHCSOTC

$269

$648

$81

$796

$623


Retail Leakage occurs when local people spend a larger amount of money on goods than local businesses report in sales, usually due to people traveling to a neighboring town to buy goods.



Orange County Draws Outside Dollars in 4 Categories2016 Retail Leakage (in Millions)


#CHCSOTC

$85.7$49.5

$13.9$0.2

-$28.3-$30.7

-$45.4-$47.1

-$50.9-$52.7

-$87.8-$280.8

-$321.9

Nonstore RetailersSports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores

Gasoline StationsMiscellaneous Store Retailers

Furniture/Home Furnishing StoresFood Services & Drinking Places

Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply StoresHealth and Personal Care Stores

Electronics & Appliance StoresClothing/Accessories Stores

Food and Beverage StoresMotor Vehicle and Parts Dealers

General Merchandise Stores

Chatham County Draws Outside Dollars in 1 Category2016 Retail Leakage (in Millions)


#CHCSOTC

$10.7-$9.9

-$20.3-$21.6-$23.0

-$29.5-$40.8-$41.0-$41.3-$41.8

-$73.3-$99.1

-$217.4

Sports/Hobby/Book/Music StoresGasoline Stations

Furniture/Home Furnishing StoresNonstore Retailers

Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply StoresHealth and Personal Care Stores

Clothing/Accessories StoresElectronics & Appliance Stores

Food Services & Drinking PlacesMiscellaneous Store Retailers

Food and Beverage StoresGeneral Merchandise Stores

Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers

2016 Aggregate Household Income (in billions)(in 2017 Inflation-Adjusted Dollars)

Source: American Community Survey

#CHCSOTC

$4.0

$2.8

$9.9

$4.9

$39.9

Alamance

Chatham

Durham

Orange

Wake

Total Household Income (billions)2017 Inflation Adjusted Dollars


$3.99

$2.75

$9.86

$4.86

$39.93

Alamance

Chatham

Durham

Orange

Wake

#CHCSOTC



Orange County Taxable Sales (in millions)FY06 – FY18


#CHCSOTC

$243

$603$908

$1,766

0

500

1000

1500

2000 Chatham Orange

Sales Tax Collection (in millions), FY06-FY18

28.75

84.27

0

20

40

60

80

100 Chatham Orange

$2.1 $1.3

$4.7$2.6

$18.7

$1.8$0.6

$4.6

$1.8

$18.1


Total Retail PotentialTotal Sales

Orange Had Largest Retail Gap in 2016 (revised)Retail Potential vs. Retail Sales (in billions), 2016


Values shown in billions

#CHCSOTC

Orange County Retail Businesses Detail2016 Retail Businesses in Orange County by Category


#CHCSOTC

2453

40102

27330

5549

417878

3720

Nonstore Retailers

Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores

Gasoline Stations

Miscellaneous Store Retailers

Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores

Food Services & Drinking Places

Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores

Health and Personal Care Stores

Electronics & Appliance Stores

Clothing/Accessories Stores

Food and Beverage Stores





Chatham County Retail Businesses Detail2016 Retail Businesses in Chatham County by Category


#CHCSOTC

1728

205

3715

1415

10052

4521

28

Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores

Gasoline Stations

Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores

Nonstore Retailers

Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores

Health and Personal Care Stores

Clothing/Accessories Stores

Electronics & Appliance Stores

Food Services & Drinking Places

Miscellaneous Store Retailers

Food and Beverage Stores



Cost of Living

Chapel Hill93.4

Asheville96.3 Burlington

89.2

Charlotte96.3 Durham

90.8

Raleigh94.7

Wilmington96.1

Winston-Salem92.4

65

100

135

C2ER 2017 Cost of Living Composite Index

Source: C2ER (Council for Community and Economic Research)

#CHCSOTC

C2ER 2017 Cost of Living Grocery Index


#CHCSOTC

Chapel Hill90.9

Asheville99.6 Burlington

93.5


95.6

Raleigh102.7

Wilmington102.7

Winston-Salem98.3

65

100

135



C2ER 2017 Cost of Living Housing Index


#CHCSOTC

Chapel Hill98 Asheville

94.3

Burlington73.7


81.4

Raleigh84

Wilmington82.6

Winston-Salem67.7

65

100

135

C2ER Cost of Living Healthcare Index

Chapel Hill97.1

Asheville101.4

Burlington105.5

Charlotte105.8

Durham93.3

Raleigh100.2

Wilmington121.3

Winston-Salem114.7

65

100

135

Visitor Spending and Economic Impact

Domestic Visitor Expenditures (millions) on Steady IncreaseOrange County Domestic Visitor Expenditures (unadjusted values)

Source: Prepared for VisitNC by the US Travel Association

$108$136

$169

$193

$50

$100

$150

$200

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

#CHCSOTC



$107.35

$102.12 $101.61 $104.38

$106.49

$113.65

$121.48 $124.43 $126.13

$85

$100

$115

$130

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Hotel Average Daily Rate Continues to IncreaseOrange County Average Daily Rate, 2009-2017

Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau

#CHCSOTC

Orange County Hotel Average Daily Occupancy Off PeakAverage Daily Hotel Occupancy, 2009-2017


#CHCSOTC

58.9% 59.6%

64.1% 65.1% 65.1%

69.9% 70.5% 70.1%

66.8%

48%

56%

64%

72%

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

$63.34 $60.87 $65.15 $68.00 $69.60 $79.45

$85.69 $87.18 $84.25

$-

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Revenue per Room Continues to GrowOrange County Average Revenue Per Room, 2009-2017


#CHCSOTC

Orange County Revenues from Tourism Rising (Adjusted for Inflation)State and Local Visitor Spending Tax Revenue (millions)


#CHCSOTC

$9.2 $8.9 $9.2 $9.6 $10.1 $10.5

$3.2 $3.5 $3.7 $3.9 $4.0 $4.2

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

State Tax Receipts ($2016) Local Tax Receipts ($2016)



Domestic Visitor Spending Increases 4.4%Orange County Domestic Visitor Spending (millions)

$184.45$192.63

2015 2016Source: Prepared for VisitNC by the US Travel Association

#CHCSOTC

Domestic Visitor Expenditures (millions) on Steady Increase (Adjusted for Inflation $2016)Orange County Domestic Visitor Expenditures


#CHCSOTC

$151

$153

$193

$70

$110

$150

$190

$230

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

191 203 217262

339

261255 254282

355

467

394

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun

2017 2018

#CHCSOTC

Air B&B Room Nights Increasing Air B&B Annual Revenue Growing in Orange County*2018 projected based on trends

$1,739,404

$4,000,892

$6,645,065

$9,823,136

2015 2016 2017 2018*



Education Public Schools

Total Per Pupil Expenditure (2016-17)

Source: NC Department of Public Instruction

$8,588

$8,742

$10,180

$10,641

$11,012

$11,601

$12,017

Alamance-Burlington Schools

Wake County Schools

Chatham County Schools

Durham County Schools

Orange County Schools

Asheville City Schools

Chapel Hill/Carrboro City Schools

#CHCSOTC

Local Per Pupil Expenditure (2016-17)


$1,826

$2,537

$3,463

$3,556

$4,281

$4,880

$6,151


Wake County Schools


Durham County Schools


Asheville City Schools

Chapel Hill/Carrboro City Schools

#CHCSOTC



Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Per Pupil ExpenditureTrends in CHCCS Per Pupil Expenditure (PPE) by Source, 2004-2017


$4,461

$4,619

$4,637

$5,010

$5,195

$5,240

$4,831

$4,768

$4,971

$4,891

$4,883

$5,170

$5,249

$5,343

$464

$460

$446

$427

$477

$507

$840

$1,019

$503

$502

$475

$560

$535

$524

$4,180

$4,092

$4,107

$4,495

$4,907

$5,214

$4,934

$4,779

$5,075

$5,341

$5,514

$5,618

$5,879

$6,151

20042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017

State PPE Federal PPE Local PPE

#CHCSOTC

Local School Dropout Rate Declines2000 through 2017

Source: NC DPI

1.9%

CHCCS0.8%

5.2% Orange2.0%

5.7% NC2.3%

CHCCS Orange NC

#CHCSOTC

Share of 9th Grade Cohort that Graduated in 4 Years, by Graduation YearGraduation Rates in Neighboring Districts Nearly Equal to CHCCS


#CHCSOTC

CHCCS

Orange

Chatham NC

Wake

Durham

Alamance-Burlington

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017Year of Graduation

CHCCS Orange Chatham NC Wake Durham Alamance-Burlington

Graduation Rates in Neighboring Districts Nearly Equal to CHCCSShare of 9th Grade Cohort that Graduated in 4 Years, by Graduation Year


#CHCSOTC

CHCCS90%

90%

Orange67%

89%

Chatham67%

88%NC

68% 87%

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017Year of Graduation

CHCCS Orange Chatham NC



Average SAT Evidence Based Reading and Writing (ERW) Score 2017


#CHCSOTC

568

573

621

522

539

520

542

Wake County Schools


Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools

Durham Public Schools



North Carolina (All Students)

Average SAT Math Score 2017


562

559

611

505

524

521

532

Wake County Schools







#CHCSOTC

Average SAT Total Scores 2017


1,130

1,133 1,231

1,027

1,063

1,041

1,074

Wake County Schools







#CHCSOTC

EOG Math Grade 3, 2016-17College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5)


#CHCSOTC

60%50%

70%

38%

58%

47%52%

Wake County Schools Orange CountySchools

Chapel Hill-CarrboroCity Schools

Durham PublicSchools

Chatham CountySchools

Alamance-BurlingtonSchools

North Carolina (AllStudents)



EOG Math Grade 8, 2015-16 College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5)


48% 48%

66%

28%

45%38% 40%

Wake CountySchools

Orange CountySchools






#CHCSOTC

EOG Reading Grade 8, 2016-17 Grade Level Proficient (Level 3+)


#CHCSOTC

63%55%

72%

41%

57%47%

54%







EOG Reading Grade 3, 2016-17Grade Level Proficient (Level 3+)


67%

56%

74%

45%

60%53%

58%







#CHCSOTC

Grades 3-8 Math EOG "College and Career Ready", 2017


28%23% 26% 23%

28% 26% 30%

60% 56%65%

72%66%

83%74%

NC Alamance Chatham Durham Orange CHCCS Wake

Black White



CHCCS EOG Reading Grade 3 Proficient2015-2016 vs. 2016-2017 Grade 3 Proficient (Level 3+)


80

4739

92

77

5543

89

Asian Black Hispanic White

2016 2017

#CHCSOTC

Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Subgroups Grade 3 Reading EOG "Grade Level Proficient"

4452 49

26

5256 58

36

Black Hispanic EDS SWD

2016 2017

Orange County Schools EOG Reading Grade 3 Proficient2015-16 vs. 2016-2017 Grade 3 Proficient (Level 3+)


4434

71

3529

74

Black Hispanic White

2016 2017

#CHCSOTC

Chatham County Schools EOG Reading Grade 3 Proficient2015-16 vs. 2016-17 Grade 3 Proficient (Level 3+)

39 36

72

3542

78


2016 2017

#CHCSOTC



CHCCS EOG Reading Grade 3 "Grade Level Proficient"2014-2017

79.1 77.4

34

54.543.6 42.8

91.5 88.5

0

20

40

60

80

100

2014 2015 2016 2017


CHCCS EOG Reading Grade 3 "Grade Level Proficient“ 2014-2017

34

54.5

43.6 42.8

2014 2015 2016 2017

Black Hispanic

Orange County Schools Percentage Point "Gap" between White and Black Student PerformanceGrade 3 EOG Reading "Grade Level Proficiency" Scores

27.129.8 27.4

39.1

2014 2015 2016 2017

Chatham County Schools Percentage Point "Gap" between White and Black Student PerformanceGrade 3 EOG Reading "Grade Level Proficiency" Scores

37.7

29.233.1

42.8

2014 2015 2016 2017



CHCCS Percentage Point "Gap" between White and Black Student PerformanceGrade 3 EOG Reading "Grade Level Proficiency" Scores

57.5

37.444.9

34

2014 2015 2016 2017

EOG Math Grade 3, 2016-17College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+)


#CHCSOTC

69% 65%76%

49%

71%

57%64%60%

50%

70%

38%

58%47%

52%







% Grade-Level Proficient (Level 3+) % College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5)

EOG Reading Grade 3, 2016-17College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+)


67%56%

74%

45%

60%53% 58%57%

46%

67%

35%

49%43% 46%








#CHCSOTC

EOG Math Grade 8, 2015-16 College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+)


53% 55%

72%

33%

52%43% 46%48% 48%

66%

28%

45%38% 40%








#CHCSOTC



EOG Reading Grade 8, 2016-17 College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+)


#CHCSOTC

63%55%

72%

41%

57%47%

54%51%43%

64%

31%43%

37%42%








Graduation Rates IncreasingPercent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2017


2%

17%

10%

23%

12%

29%

16%


#CHCSOTC

Black Student Graduation Rate ImprovementPercent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2017


28%34%

13%

34%28%

42%

31%


#CHCSOTC

Hispanic Student Graduation Rate ImprovementPercent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2016


17%

90%

17%

43% 46%

89%76%


#CHCSOTC



Economically Disadvantaged Student Graduation Rate ImprovementPercent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2017


26%33%

8%

38% 40%

57%

30%


#CHCSOTC

Students with Disabilities Graduation Rate ImprovementPercent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2017


13%

7%

12%

24%

33%

3%

32%


#CHCSOTC

Grades 3-8 Math EOG “College and Career Ready”2015-16 Math EOG Grades 3-8 (Levels 4 and 5)

47 4854

68

State of NorthCarolina



Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools


Grades 3-8 Math EOG “College and Career Ready”2016-17 EOG Math Grades 3-8 (Level 4 and 5)


48%42%

52%

35%

53%

69%57%

33% 29% 34%22%

33% 28% 29%


All Students EDS



Grade 5 and 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready"2016-17 Science EOG Grade 5 and 8 (Level 4 and 5)


#CHCSOTC

43%33% 35% 38% 41% 41% 43%

76%67%

75% 81% 82%91%

83%


Black White

Black vs. White Students Grade 5 and 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready” by County2016-17 Science EOG Grade 5 and 8 (Level 4 or 5)

43%33% 35% 38% 41% 41% 43%

76%67%

75% 81% 82%91%

83%


Black White

Grades 3-8 Math EOG “College and Career Ready” 2015-16 EOG Math Grade 3-8 (Level 4 and 5)


76

60

7381

2721

2825

3833

4138

596265

82

State of North CarolinaChatham CountySchools


Chapel Hill-CarrboroSchools


Grade 5 and 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready"2015-16 Science EOG Grade 5 and 8 (Level 4 and 5)


82

68

8285

44

3138

4753

30

5352

757176

92

State of North CarolinaChatham CountySchools

Orange County SchoolsChapel Hill-CarrboroSchools




Orange County Subgroups Grade 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready" 2016 vs. 2017

4452 49

26

5256 58

36

Black Hispanic EDS SWD

2016 2017

Black Students Grade 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready"2014 - 2017

59.3

46.5

2014 2015 2016 2017

NC Alamance Chatham Durham Orange CHCCS

Hispanic Students Grade 8 EOG "College and Career Ready"

60.757.4

0

20

40

60

80

2014 2015 2016 2017


EDS Grade 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready"Economically Disadvantaged Students 2014-2017

52.2%49.4%

0

20

40

60

80

2014 2015 2016 2017




SWD Grade 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready"2014-2017

25.635.6

39.4 39.6

0

10

20

30

40

50

2014 2015 2016 2017


Orange County EOG Reading Grade 3 "Grade Level Proficient" 2014-2017

4635

37 29

73 74

2014 2015 2016 2017


Chatham County EOG Reading Grade 3 "Grade Level Proficient"2014-2017

38.3 35.2

43.8 41.8

76 78

0

20

40

60

80

100

2014 2015 2016 2017


Orange County Schools Percentage Point "Gap" between White and Black StudentGrade 3 EOG Reading "Grade Level Proficiency" Scores

57.5

37.444.9

3427.1 29.8 27.4

39.1 37.729.2

33.1

42.8

2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017



Chatham County Schools Percentage Point "Gap" between White and Black StudentsGrade 3 EOG Reading "Grade Level Proficiency" Scores

57.5

37.444.9

3427.1 29.8 27.4

39.1 37.729.2 33.1

42.8

2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017

CHCCS Percentage Point "Gap" between White and Black StudentsGrade 3 EOG Reading "Grade Level Proficiency" Scores

57.5

37.444.9

3427.1 29.8 27.4

39.1 37.729.2

33.1

42.8

2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017

Durham Tech

Durham Tech Licensure Pass Rates and Transfer Performance2017

Source: Durham Tech

84.50%97%

76%

95% 100% 94%

TransferPerformance(2015-2016)

PracticalNursing

RegisteredNursing

EMT EMT-P Esthetician

#CHCSOTC



49%of CHCCS or OCS graduatesreceived financial aid fromDurham Tech (2013-2018)

Source: Durham Tech

#CHCSOTC

Capacity Growing at Durham Tech Orange County CampusTotal Seats Offered and Total Seats Filled at Durham Tech Orange County Campus

Source: Durham Tech

3,2073,466 3,374 3,373 3,412 3406

2,552 2,7312,420 2,360 2,368 2,322

2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018

Total Seats Offered Total Seats Filled

#CHCSOTC

Credit Classes Offered and Total Seats Used At Durham TechOrange County Campus, 2011-12 - 2017-18

Source: Durham Tech

83 150 153 138 140 141 143

1,418

2,582 2,789

2,459 2,401 2,403 2,344

2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018

Classes Offered Total Seats Used

#CHCSOTC

Continuing Education Offered and Total Seats UsedDurham Tech Orange County Campus, 2011-12 through 2017-18

Source: Durham Tech

269 245 215 188 213 204 237

4,063 3,623

3,087 2,686

3,071 3,274 3,686

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018

Classes Offered Total Seats Used

#CHCSOTC



University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

State Appropriations to UNC Chapel Hill

Source: OIRA

$500 million

$543 millionin 2008

$107,782,727$108 million$0

$100,000,000

$200,000,000

$300,000,000

$400,000,000

$500,000,000

$600,000,000

1980 - 2017

#CHCSOTC

UNC Chapel Hill Revenues Rise, State Appropriations Flat

Source: OIRA

$3.2 billion

$500 million

$0$500,000,000

$1,000,000,000$1,500,000,000$2,000,000,000$2,500,000,000$3,000,000,000$3,500,000,000

Revenues Appropriations

#CHCSOTC

UNC Chapel Hill Campus Grows Past 20 Million square feetGross Square Feet of UNC Chapel Hill Campus

Source: OIRA

20.1 million17.8 million in 2008

7.8 million

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

#CHCSOTC



UNC Annual Research Funding nears $900 million

Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research

$898 million

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

Mill

ions

#CHCSOTC

Value of UNC Chapel Hill Endowment, 1980 - 2017

Source: OIRA

$2.95billion

$0.0$0.5$1.0$1.5$2.0$2.5$3.0$3.5

Billi

ons

#CHCSOTC

UNC Chapel Hill Student Population Nearing 30,000Number of Students Enrolled at UNC, 1980-2017

29,91128,567 in 2008

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

2017201520132011200920072005200320011999199719951993199119891987198519831981

#CHCSOTC

UNC Student Enrollment by Housing Type

Source: UNC Fact Book, Office of Institutional Research & Assessment (OIRA)

Fall 2013 Fall 2014 Fall 2015 Fall 2016 Fall 2017N % N % N % N % N %

Resident Student Housing 8,614 30% 8,520 29% 8,113 28% 8,033 27% 8,076 27%

Married Student Housing 366 1% 321 1% 374 1% 465 2% 485 2%

Off-Campus18,091 62% 18,238 63% 18,541 64% 18,927 64% 19,300 65%

Fraternity & Sorority 841 3% 841 3% 841 3% 841 3% 834 3%Other University Affiliated Housing (Granville Towers) 1,215 4% 1,215 4% 1,215 4% 1,203 4% 1,216 4%

Total 29,127 100% 29,135 100% 209,084 100% 29,469 100% 29,911 100%



2017 UNC Student Enrollment by Housing Type

Source: UNC Fact Book, OIRA

Resident Student Housing,

8,076, 27%

Married Student Housing, 485, 2%

Off-Campus, 19,300, 64%

Fraternity & Sorority, 834, 3%

Other University Affiliated Housing (Granville Towers), 1,216, 4%

46%of UNC’s employeesLive in Orange County


#CHCSOTC

Distribution of UNC-CH’s 12,652 Employees (2017)By county of home address


5,8062,515

1,6591,142

672593

7473662725

OrangeDurham

WakeAlamance

OtherChatham

PersonLee

GuilfordRandolphGranville

#CHCSOTC

Growing number of UNC employees live in Wake, DurhamChange in number of UNC employees by county of residence, 2013-2017


157193

33555

-42-57

-137

217

OrangeDurham

WakeAlamance

OtherChatham

PersonLee

GuilfordRandolphGranville

#CHCSOTC



More than 12,652 Work for UNC Chapel HillUNC Employees by State Classification, 1980-2017

Source: OIRA

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

2017201520132011200920072005200320011999199719951993199119891987198519831981

SPA Employees EPA Faculty/Non-Faculty

#CHCSOTCSource: UNC Office of Institutional Research

#CHCSOTC

UNC Research Startups

Housing

Homes Sold in 2017 Decline From 2016 PeakNumber of single and multifamily home sales, 2007 through 2017

Source: Triangle MLS

1,7511,815

1782

1,008 1,037

1323

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Orange Chatham



Homes Sold in 2017 DeclinesNumber of single and multifamily home sales in Orange County, 2007-17


1,751

1,2751,143 1,143 1,128

1,277

1,6301,433

1,6501,815 1,782

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Price in Chatham Exceeds All Others2017 Median Residential Closing Price


$230,750

$285,000

$369,000

$316,245$360,000

Durham Wake Chatham Orange CHCCS District

$260,000$255,000$258,000

$275,000$262,250$265,000

$274,450$267,000

$290,000$300,000

$316,245

20072008200920102011201220132014201520162017

Orange Median Home Prices Rise9% since 2015 and 15% since 2013


Chatham Median Home Prices Rise10% since 2015 and 22% since 2013


$282,500$270,000

$250,703$263,930

$274,990$277,700

$303,350$317,373

$335,000$352,140

$369,000

20072008200920102011201220132014201520162017



Home Prices Have Risen Across the RegionChange in median residential sales price, 2017 vs 2013


34%

28%

22%

15%

Durham

Wake

Chatham

Orange

Change in Median Home Sale Price 2017 vs 20152017 vs. 2015

20%

14%

10%

9%

6%

Durham

Wake

Chatham

Orange

CHCCS District

New Construction Activity Concentrated in WakeNumber of single and multi-family homes built and sold, 2010-2017


1,346

2,575

5,514

28,629

Orange

Chatham

Durham

Wake

New Construction as a Percent of Total Sales

11%

40%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Orange Chatham



2.4%

9.0%

4.6%

7.7%

Orange

Chatham

Durham

Wake

Chatham New Housing Stock Growing the FastestNew construction (2010-2017) as percent of 2010 housing stock


Chatham New Construction Sales Outpace OrangeNumber of single and multi-family homes built and sold, 2007-2017


253 194

313

532

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Orange Chatham

Steady Growth in Regional Home PricesMedian residential closing price, 2007-2017

Orange

Chatham

Chatham

Orange


$282,500 $277,700

Chatham$369,000

$260,000 $265,000

Orange$316,245

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Chatham Orange

$123$144 $149 $151

$166

Durham Wake Chatham Orange CHCCS District

Price Per Square FootMedian Price Per Square Foot, 2017




38% of Homes in CHCCS District and 47% of All Orange County Homes Sold for <$300K2016 Orange County home sales by price

25%

21%

28%

22%

17%

26%

18%

19%

14%

21%

25%

14%

13%

18%

18%

Orange County (All)(1,782 Sales)

CHCCS District(1,049 Sales)

Not CHCCS(686 Sales)

<$200,000 $200,000-$299,999 $300,000-$399,999$400,000-$600,000 $600,000 or more


2017 Orange County Homes Sales by Price

454

224

230

395

178

217

316

197

119

378

258

120

239

192

147

-200 300 800 1,300 1,800

Orange County (All)(1,782 Sales)

CHCCS District(1,049 Sales)

Not CHCCS(686 Sales)

<$200,000 $200,000-$299,999 $300,000-$399,999$400,000-$600,000 $600,000 or more

Median Age of Home and Median Year of Move In Median Year

Structure BuiltMedian Year Householder Moved into Unit by Ownership Status

All Households Owner Occupied Renter Occupied

Orange County 1986 2008 2003 2012

Carrboro 1986 2011 2005 2012

Chapel Hill 1985 2011 2004 2012

Hillsborough 1980 2007 2003

Chatham County 1991 2005 2003 2011

Durham County 1986 2010 2003 2012

Wake County 1994 2008 2004 2012

Alamance County 1981 2006 2001 2012

North Carolina 1986 2006 2002 20121986

1986

1985

1980

1991

1986

1994

1981

1986

Orange County

Carrboro

Chapel Hill

Hillsborough

Chatham County

Durham County

Wake County

Alamance County

North Carolina

Median Year Structure Built




1986median year house built in Orange County


2003median year Orange Countyhomeowner moved into unit


vs. 2012 for renters

59%of Orange 2017 home saleswere in CHCCS District Was 68% in 2016

Renting



Most People Renting(2012-2016 ACS)


39%

59%52%

37%

23%

Orange Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough Chatham

Most People Renting, Though Percentage of Residents Renting Declines


40%

65%

51%45%

20%

39%

59%52%

37%

23%

Orange Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough Chatham

2007-2011 ACS 2012-2016 ACS

Median Rent2007-2011 vs 2012-2016 American Community Survey

$887 $846$934

$870$824 $872

$970 $945$1,061

$831 $803$921

Orange Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough Chatham Durham

2007-2011 ACS 2012-2016 ACS

What People are Paying for RentOrange County Gross Rent Paid (2012-2016 ACS)

5%

49%

31%

15%

Less than $500

$500 to $999

$1,000 tp $1,499

$1,500 or more



Changes in % Paying $1,000 or More in Rent

34%

25%

42%

30% 31% 33%

46%43%

56%

24% 24%

40%

Orange Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough Chatham Durham

2007-2011 ACS 2012-2016 ACS

46%of county renters spent $1,000 or more on rent in 2017


25%

25%

50%

21%

25%

54%

Less than 20%

20-29%

30% or more

2007-2011 ACS 2012-2016 ACS

Households Paying >30% of Gross Income on Rent DeclinesGross Rent as a Percentage of Household Income


19%

-1%

-7%

Less than 20%

20-29%

30% or more

Households Paying >30% of Gross Income on Rent DeclinesPercent Change 2007-2010 to 2012-2016




2018 Fair Market Rent

North Carolina

Durham-Chapel Hill

HMFA

Alamance County

Raleigh MSA

Zero Bedroom $658 $731 $587 $741

One Bedroom $708 $847 $601 $893

Two Bedroom $850 $990 $754 $1,026

Three Bedroom $1,144 $1,356 $1,029 $1,327

Four Bedroom $1,389 $1,512 $1,142 $1,656 Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition

Local Housing Wage is $16.29 for a 1 Bedroom AptHousing Wage = Hourly Wages Needed to Afford Fair Market Rate Rent, 2018

North Carolina

Durham-Chapel Hill

HMFA

Alamance County

Raleigh MSA

Zero Bedroom $12.66 $14.06 $11.29 $14.25

One Bedroom $13.61 $16.29 $11.56 $17.17

Two Bedroom $16.35 $19.04 $14.50 $19.73

Three Bedroom $22.01 $26.08 $19.79 $25.52

Four Bedroom $26.72 $29.08 $21.96 $31.85 Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition

$33,880 Needed for 1 Bedroom Fair Market RentAnnual Salary Needed to Afford Fair Market Rate Rent, 2018

North Carolina

Durham-Chapel Hill

HMFA

Alamance County

Raleigh MSA

Zero Bedroom $26,339 $29,240 $23,480 $29,640

One Bedroom $28,313 $33,880 $24,040 $35,720

Two Bedroom $34,004 $39,600 $30,160 $41,040

Three Bedroom $45,776 $54,240 $41,160 $53,080

Four Bedroom $55,576 $60,480 $45,680 $66,240Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition

90 Hours of Work Needed for Minimum Wage Worker to Afford Local 1 Bedroom RentalWeekly Hours of Minimum Wage Work Needed to Afford Fair Market Rate Rent, 2018

North Carolina

Durham-Chapel Hill

HMFA

Alamance County

Raleigh MSA

Zero Bedroom 70 78 62 79

One Bedroom 75 90 64 95

Two Bedroom 90 105 80 109

Three Bedroom 121 144 109 141

Four Bedroom 147 160 121 176Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition



Land Value

Orange County Total Value Per Acre

Source: Urban3

Assessed Value Per Acre

Source: Urban3

Orange County 2018 Total Assessed Value

Chapel Hill, $7B (44%)

Carrboro, $2.1B (13%)

Hillsborough, $886 M (5.5%)

Rest of County, $6B

(37.3%)

Total = $16 billion



2018 Orange County Commercial Assessed Value (millions)

Chapel Hill, $1.3 Billion

(63%)

Carrboro, $229

million (11%)

Hillsborough, $296 million

(14%)

Rest of County, $234 million

(11%)

Total = $2.06 billion

2018 Orange County Residential Assessed Value

Chapel Hill, $5 billion

(39%)

Carrboro, $1.6 billion

(13%)Hillsborough,

$516 million (4%)

Rest of County,

$5.7 billion (44%)

Total = $13 billion

2018 Orange County Apartment Assessed Value (millions)

Chapel Hill, $654 million

(64%)

Carrboro, $260 million

(25%)

Hillsborough, $74 million (7%)

Rest of Orange County, $34 million (3%)

Total = $1 billion

72.1% 77.1%58.2%

95.5%80.7%

18.5% 10.7%33.4%

3.9%12.9%

9.3% 12.2% 8.4%

0.6% 6.4%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Rest of OrangeCounty

Total County

Residential Commercial Apartment

2018 Orange County Assessed Value

#CHCSOTC



Orange County Assessed Value (millions)

$5,058

$1,650$516

$5,696

$1,300

$229$296

$234

$654

$260

$74

$34

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

$7,000

Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Rest of OrangeCounty

Residential Commercial Apartment

#CHCSOTC

Crime

Violent Crime Rate Per 100,000By County

Source: North Carolina Department of Public Safety -> View Crime Statistics -> Annual Summary Report (most recent year)

232.0

158

371.5

173

2001 2006 2011 2016

Chatham Orange

#CHCSOTC

Violent Crime Rate Per 100,000By County


397

158

773

173

240

2001 2006 2011 2016


#CHCSOTC



Property Crime Rate Per 100,000By County, 2001 - 2016


3318.6

1,511

4,887

2,051

2001 2006 2011 2016

Chatham Orange

#CHCSOTC

Property Crime Rate Per 100,000By County, 2001 - 2016


2,405

1,511

3,7154,887

2,0511,885

2001 2006 2011 2016


#CHCSOTC

Violent Crime per 100,000

150

396

174

613

245 210

372231 277 299 264

435363

2017-18 City and Town Property Tax Rates


Cary, 0.3500Apex, 0.3800

Raleigh, 0.4253

Chapel Hill, 0.508

Durham, 0.5786

Carrboro, 0.5894

Salisbury, 0.7096

HuntersvilleCaryApex

RaleighAshevilleCharlotteConcord

WilmingtonFayettevilleChapel HillGreenvilleGastonia

WilsonHickoryDurhamMonroe

CarrboroBurlington

Winston-SalemKannapolis

GreensboroJacksonvilleHigh PointGoldsboro

Rocky MountSalisbury



Cary, 0.965

Apex, 0.995Raleigh, 1.0403

Chapel Hill, 1.3457

Durham, 1.3465

Carrboro, 1.4271

CaryAsheville

ApexRaleigh

WilmingtonHuntersville

HickoryBurlington

ConcordGreenville

WilsonCharlotte

FayettevilleGoldsboro

JacksonvilleWinston-Salem

KannapolisRocky Mount

Chapel HillDurham

GreensboroMonroe

SalisburyHigh Point

GastoniaCarrboro

2016 All Jurisdictions Property Tax Rates


Burlington, $1,246

Raleigh, $2,720

Durham, $2,841

Apex, $3,388

Cary, $3,449

Carrboro, $3,873

Chapel Hill, $4,979

GoldsboroRocky Mount

BurlingtonFayetteville

GreenvilleHickory

High PointJacksonvilleKannapolis

Winston-SalemWilson

SalisburyGreensboro

GastoniaConcordMonroe

WilmingtonAsheville

RaleighCharlotte

DurhamHuntersville

ApexCary

CarrboroChapel Hill

2017-18 Tax Assessed on Median Home Value

Source: NC Department of Revenue, Zillow 5/2018

Health Data

2018 Health Indicators

Health IndicatorOrange County

ChathamCounty Who is #1

Length of Life #1 #9 OrangeQuality of Life #4 #19 Dare

Health Behaviors #2 #3 WakeClinical Care #1 #17 Orange

Social and Economic Factors #2 #13 Union

Physical Environment #33 #19 HydeSource: 2016 County Health Rankings - Robert Wood Johnson Foundation

#CHCSOTC



Orange County Children Faring Better

Source: NC Child*2015

2011 2016

Low Birthweight 8.2% 8.9%

3 and 4 year-olds enrolled in school 57.6% 64.9%*

Children living in poor or low income homes 33.0% 28.7%

Teen births age 15-17 (per 1000 girls) 9.2 Too small to measure

Children in foster care (per 1000) 6.7 5

Uninsured Children 9% 5.1%

Children assessed for abuse or neglect (per 1000) 38.4 39.5

#CHCSOTC

Adult Smoking RatesCompared to Adjacent and Peer Communities


14%

19%15% 16%

14%11%

22%

13%

19%

13%10%

16% 16%

#CHCSOTC

Adult ObesityCompared to Adjacent and Peer Communities


23%

33%26% 26%

23%

14%

26% 24% 23% 24%21%

29%

#CHCSOTC

Violent Crime Rate per 100,000Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities


150

396

174

613

245 210

372

231 277 299 264

435363

#CHCSOTC



Disconnected YouthCompared to Adjacent and Peer Communities


4%

13%

20%

13%

8%6% 5% 6% 6%

4%

10%13%

#CHCSOTC

912

69 10

1317 18

11

1715

18

Drug Overdose Deaths per 100,000Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities


#CHCSOTC

21%16% 16% 17%

20%24%

17%

29%

21%25%

20% 19%

Excessive DrinkingCompared to Adjacent and Peer Communities


#CHCSOTC

Access to Exercise OpportunitiesCompared to Adjacent and Peer Communities


86% 86%65%

92% 92% 97%87% 95%

83%94% 96% 88%

#CHCSOTC



Orange County Teen Pregnancy Rates DecreasePer 1000 Girls, Age 15-17

Source: NC Health and Human Services

26.1

9.1

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Too few to calculate rates

#CHCSOTC

Health Care CostsCompared to Adjacent and Peer Communities


$7,579$9,125

$8,214$8,572

$8,986$8,554

$7,616$9,338

$8,691$7,816

$9,440$8,614

Orange CountyAlamance CountyChatham CountyDurham County

Wake CountyBoulder County (CO)

Clarke County (GA)Dane County (WI)

Monroe County (IN)Washtenaw County (MI)

Fairfield County (CT)Spokane County (WA)

#CHCSOTC

Leading Causes of Death in 2016Chatham County, NC Orange County, NC

1. Cancer (24.9%) 1. Cancer (23.5%)

2. Heart diseases (18.7%) 2. Heart diseases (20.3%)

3. Cerebrovascular diseases (6.5%) 3. Chronic lower respiratory diseases (4.8%)

4. Chronic lower respiratory diseases (4.3%) 4. All other unintentional injuries (4.2%)

5. Alzheimer's disease (3.9%) 5. Alzheimer's disease (3.9%)

6. Diabetes mellitus (3.3%) 6. Cerebrovascular diseases (3.9%)

7. All other unintentional injuries (2.8%) 7. Diabetes mellitus (2.5%)

8. Parkinson's disease (1.9%) 8. Nephritis, nephrotic syndrome, and nephrosis (2.4%)

9. Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis (1.8%) 9. Intentional self-harm (suicide) (1.8%)10. Intentional self-harm (suicide) (1.6%) 10. Parkinson's disease (1.6%)

Source: NC Center for Health Statistics

#CHCSOTC

Prostate Cancer Rate per 100,0002006-2010 vs. 2011-2015

Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics

154.9167.6

134.2160.9

142.8

178.5

109.4 108.3 96.9 101.884.1

118.3

NORTHCAROLINA


2007-2011 2012-2016

#CHCSOTC



Female Breast Cancer Rate per 100,0002007-2011 vs. 2012-2016


159.2

166.0

181.0

173.0170.6 169.5

157.5

181.2

169.4174.6

177.0

168.0

NORTHCAROLINA


2007-2011 2012-2016

#CHCSOTC

All Cancers Rate per 100,0002007-2011 vs. 2012-2016


505 524497 497 482 497

465495

450 447 447 463

NORTHCAROLINA


2007-11 2012-2016

#CHCSOTC

Colon/Rectum Cancer Rate per 100,0002007-2011 vs. 2012-2016


42.0 41.0 41.2 39.834.3 36.436.1 35.6

32.4 31.5 32.2 32.3

NORTH CAROLINA Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake

2007-2011 2012-2016

#CHCSOTC

Lung/Bronchus Cancer Rate per 100,0002007-2011 vs. 2012-2016


73.9 76.2

58.868.9

60.0 58.766.3 69.3

47.3 51.1 54.1 52.4

NORTHCAROLINA


2007-2011 2012-2016

#CHCSOTC



Orange County Infant Mortality RatePer 1,000 live births

Source: NC Health and Human Services

12.0

5.1

8.87.2

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Orange County North Carolina

#CHCSOTC

Asthma in Hospital Discharges per 100,000

72.747.7

135.7

115.1

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

All Ages Ages (0-14)

Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data

#CHCSOTC

Asthma in Hospital Discharges per 100,000

48 50.9 50

72.7

57.350.3

55.262.8

55.2 51.545.6 47.7

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data

#CHCSOTC

NC 2014 Emergency Department Visit with Primary Diagnosis of Asthma by County


#CHCSOTC



NC 2014 Emergency Department Visits with the Primary Diagnosis of Asthma, Ages 0 -14, By County


#CHCSOTC

Poverty

Orange County SNAP Individuals Decline from PeakMonthly Participants Over Time

Source: NC Department of Health and Human Services

9,898

11,779

6,111

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

11,000

12,000

13,000

Jan-18Jan-17Jan-16Jan-15Jan-14Jan-12Jan-11Jan-10Jan-09Jan-08Jan-07

#CHCSOTC

Number of Children in Poverty Decreasing1998 through 2016

Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)

2,773

4,822

3,229

1,848

2,952 2,462

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

Orange County Chatham County

#CHCSOTC



Food Insecurity Rate by County (2016)

Source: Feeding America

15.4%13.2%

14.7%

10.9%

17.3%

12.7%

North Carolina Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake

#CHCSOTC

Food Insecure People by County (2016)


#CHCSOTC

18,460 22,930

7,480

50,890

Orange Alamance Chatham Durham

Percent of People in Poverty

2000 2006 2011 2016Orange County 10% 14% 17% 13%

Chatham County 9% 12% 11% 12%Durham County 11% 16% 20% 16%

Wake County 7% 9% 12% 9%North Carolina 12% 15% 18% 15%United States 11% 13% 16% 14%


#CHCSOTC

Orange County SNAP Households and Individuals Decline from PeakMonthly Household Cases and Recipients Over Time


5,054

6,279

2,925

9,89811,779

6,111


Orange Cases Orange Participants

#CHCSOTC



Chatham County SNAP Households and Individuals DeclineMonthly Household Cases and Recipients Over Time


2,503

3,221

1,345

5,249

6,632

2,948


Chatham Cases Chatham Participants

#CHCSOTC

-2.9%

-2.2%-2.0%

-1.1%-0.9%

-1.7%

North Carolina Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake

Percentage Point Change in Food Insecurity Rate2013 to 2016


#CHCSOTC

Percent of Students Enrolled in Free and Reduced Lunch2016-17 School Year


61.5%52.5%

65.6%

47.0%

29.3%34.5%

Alamance Chatham Durham OrangeCounty

CHCCS Wake

#CHCSOTC

Percent of Students Enrolled in Free and Reduced Lunch2007 through 2017


#CHCSOTC

44.0% 52.5%

32.6%

47.0%

21.7%29.3%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%

Chatham Orange County CHCCS



Growth of Students Enrolled in Free and Reduced Lunch from 2009-10 to 2015-16

3.8%7.5%

-2.1%

8.7%

15.9%19.4%

-3.2%Alamance Chatham Durham Johnston Orange:

OCSOrange:CHCCS

WakeSource: NC Department of Public Instruction

#CHCSOTC

Percent of Children in Poverty1998 through 2016


#CHCSOTC

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%Orange County Chatham County Durham County Wake County

Orange County Children in Poverty Lowest Among NC Peers


11%

24%17%

24%

12% 9%

30%

10%

18%12% 10%

16% ELI = Extremely Low Income

30% or Less of Area Median Income



Affordable Units Per 100 ELI HouseholdExtremely Low Income (ELI) Households earn 0-30% Area Median Income

26

39 40 36

49

2834

68

27

62

Orange Durham Chatham Wake Alamance

2005-09 2010-14

Source: Urban Institute

Orange County Gap between ELI Households and Available Units Decreased by More than 1,000 UnitsGap between ELI households (<30% area median income) and available units

5,891

7,504

5,821

2,251

1,927

1,616

2000

2005-2009

2010-2014

Units ELI households


Chatham County Gap between ELI Households and Available Units Decreases by Nearly 50%Gap between ELI households (<30% area median income) and available units

764

1,443

1,773

453

576

1,197

2000

2005-2009

2010-2014

Units ELI households


Total Homeless 2010 - 2018

135

136

110

123

108

129

80

127

152

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018



Orange Chronically Homeless Remains LowNumber of Chronically Homeless Individuals (annual point-in-time count), 2010-18

Source: Orange County Partnership to End Homelessness

3850

2928

2325

1614

19

201020112012201320142015201620172018

Percentage of Chronically Homeless as Share of all Homeless

28%37%

26%23%

21%19%

20%11%

13%

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

19 Homeless Children in Families in OrangeNumber of Homeless Children in Families (annual point-in-time count), 2010-18

Source: Orange County Partnership to End Homelessness

15

17

15

16

17

19

6

18

19

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

Percentage of Unsheltered as Share of all Homeless

13%

24%

25%

24%

8%

16%

19%

29%

26%

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018



People Living Unsheltered

17

3328

309

20

1537

39

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

Water Sales

Water Sales and Accounts

6.03

21,385

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

22,000

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

Customer Accounts

Wat

er S

ales

(Mill

ion

Gal

lons

Pe

r Day

Ave

rage

)

Actual Water Sales Customer Accounts

Reclaimed Water to UNC begins 2009

Source: OWASA

Monthly Water & Sewer Bills

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

$0

$25

$50

$75

$100

Rate Increase

Aver

age

Mon

thly

Bill

Bas

ed o

n 4,

000

gallo

ns p

er m

onth

Average Bill Amount (actual) Average Bill Amount (projected)Rate Increases (actual) Rate Increases (projected)

Source: OWASA



10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

22,000

24,000

4.04.55.05.56.06.57.07.58.08.59.0

Customer Accounts

Wat

er S

ales

(Mill

ion

Gal

lons

Per

D

ay A

vera

ge)

Actual Water Sales Customer Accounts

OWASA Water Sales Summary

• We are growing, but slowly, and we are less dense than peer communities.

• Young workers working in Orange, and driving into Orange, is increasing.

• Household income is out-pacing inflation.• Orange has number 1 in per capita income but lags in

per capita sales.• Retail gap remains wide with additional retail

opportunity on the horizon.

Summary

• CHCCS continues to out perform peers.• Minority student reading is improving in CHCCS and

the achievement gap is closing there.• Health Indicators show Orange and Chatham lead

neighbors and peers.• Rent is getting more expensive, but wage growth is

outpacing it.

Summary

• Housing prices are increasing, though rate of growth in Orange is slowest

• Orange and Chatham properties are valuable and have a strong and growing tax bases.

• Poverty, and children in poverty, are declining.• Crime is down.• We remain one the best places in the world to live,

work, shop, play, learn, and raise a family.

î ì í ô } u u µ v ] Ç } } l · î ì í ô } u u µ v ] Ç } } l ] p ] o ( ] o w Á Á Á x o...

Documents