% young rebels - population % 15-24 year olds (1990 – 2050)
DESCRIPTION
% Young Rebels - Population % 15-24 year olds (1990 – 2050). % Young Rebels - Population % 15-24 year olds (1990-2050). Demographics Maturing population = economic boom? (US 1982-2000). Source: US Census Bureau, International Data Base. Stifel Nicolaus compilation. % Mature Workers – - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
% Young Rebels - Population % 15-24 year olds (1990 – 2050)
% Young Rebels - Population % 15-24 year olds (1990-2050)
Demographics
Maturing population = economic boom? (US 1982-2000)
Source: US Census Bureau, International Data Base. Stifel Nicolaus compilation.
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
110%
120%
130%
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
U.S
.: R
atio
of
35-4
9 Y
ear-
Old
s t
o 2
0-34
Yea
r-O
lds
1,000
10,000
Do
w J
on
es I
nd
ust
rial
s (R
eal,
bas
e ye
ar 1
982-
4)
Ratio of U.S. People Age 35-49 to Age 20-34 (Left axis)
Real (After U.S. Inflation, using CPI Index 1982-84 = 100 as deflator) Dow Industrials (Right axis)
Source: Census Bureau International Database.
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
110%
120%
130%
140%
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Rat
io o
f m
atu
re (
35-4
9) t
o y
ou
ng
er (
20-3
4) w
ork
ing
-ag
e p
op
ula
tio
n
Germany
% Mature Workers – Ratio 35-50 year olds to 20-34 year olds
Source: Census Bureau International Database.
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
110%
120%
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Rat
io o
f m
atu
re (
35-4
9) t
o y
ou
ng
er (
20-3
4) w
ork
ing
-ag
e p
op
ula
tio
n
Brazil
% Mature Workers – Ratio 35-50 year olds to 20-34 year olds
% Mature Workers - Ratio 35-50 year olds to 20-34 year olds
% Mature Workers - Ratio 35-50 year olds to 20-34 year olds
Demographic Destiny - Productivity, Dependency & Maturity
Demographic Destiny - Productivity, Dependency & Maturity
Demographic Destiny - Productivity, Dependency & Maturity
Demographic Destiny - Productivity, Dependency & Maturity
Demographic Destiny - Productivity, Dependency & Maturity
Demographic Destiny - Productivity, Dependency & Maturity
Demographic Destiny - Productivity, Dependency & Maturity
Demographic Destiny - Productivity, Dependency & Maturity
Urbanization
Source: WDI Database 2013
Education Strathmore University, Nairobi
Education – 1909 Consequences in 2000
Source: New York Times, 2009
Education – 1900 Consequences in 2000
Source: New York Times, 2009
(Oil)
Literacy (Adult Female %)
Source: WDI Database 2012
Literacy
Source: WDI Database 2012
LiteracyRates First Year Latest Year % ChgHigh income: nonOECD (1990 - 2010) 83% 91% 10% 20 yearsMiddle income (1990 - 2010) 72% 83% 16% 20 yearsLow & middle income (1990 - 2010) 70% 81% 16% 20 yearsLow income (1990 - 2010) 51% 63% 24% 20 yearsLeast developed ctries (1990 - 2010) 46% 60% 30% 20 years
Brazil (1980 - 2009) 75% 90% 21% 29 yearsChina (1990- 2010) 78% 94% 21% 20 yearsSouth Africa (1980 - 2007) 76% 89% 16% 27 YearsTurkey (1975 - 2009) 62% 91% 47% 34 Years
Source: World Bank, Pinker: The Better Angels of Our Nature, 2012
LiteracyRates First Year Latest Year % ChgHigh income: nonOECD (1990 - 2010) 83% 91% 10% 20 yearsMiddle income (1990 - 2010) 72% 83% 16% 20 yearsLow & middle income (1990 - 2010) 70% 81% 16% 20 yearsLow income (1990 - 2010) 51% 63% 24% 20 yearsLeast developed ctries (1990 - 2010) 46% 60% 30% 20 years
Brazil (1980 - 2009) 75% 90% 21% 29 yearsChina (1990- 2010) 78% 94% 21% 20 yearsSouth Africa (1980 - 2007) 76% 89% 16% 27 YearsTurkey (1975 - 2009) 62% 91% 47% 34 Years
Wages
Photo: Frontier Market Asset Management, 2010
0
50
100
150
200
250
1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006
Thailand China Vietnam
Competitive advantage
Average monthly wages*, $
Source: EIU, * excluding social security
Source: Lockheed Corporation
Wages
Wages