0 financial return on investment in energy efficiency and renewable energies: a smart investment...
TRANSCRIPT
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Financial return on investment in
energy efficiency and renewable energies:
a smart investment opportunity?
Michele Calcaterra
Roma - 12 Marzo ‘07
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ECP is an Independent Financial Advisor, management owned, active since 1997 in Europe.
ECPI performs Innovative Portfolio Screening
ECPI uses a Proprietary but Transparent Technology: the “ECPI Screening Methodology” developed on client consensus/input, NGOs’ information flow, international treaties, academic studies and our International Advisory Board (see appendix).
We aim at capturing Corporate Intangible Value through 400+ screening tests
The results of our screening activity are an enhanced Capital Preservation and Alpha Generation
We produce Performance Benchmarks, advise Ethical Static/Dynamic CDOs, Hybrid Index structures and Funds of Hedge Funds.
E.Capital Partners and its full subsidiary ECPI
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ECPI Business Goals
Intangible Value Scouting and Alpha generation:
ECPI Alpha Index aims at scouting value in financial markets.
ECPI selects “Best in Class” companies by assessing their Intangible Value as an indicator of expected higher Alpha Returns.
Socially Responsible Investments and Capital Preservation:
By adding additional sector screens (Traditional SRI), ECPI methodology becomes an outstanding Credit Enhancement tool – 3 year 70pct Default Rate reduction.
ECPI is the European leader in SRI Advisory leveraging its Ethical Screening Methodology® as the underlying engine of SRI benchmarks and structured products.
ECPI performs MARS® – Manager’s Alpha Risk Scoring for Ethical Funds of Hedge Funds.
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European SRI market: a steadily growing trend. Background for Ren Energy
€ 68,28 billion AUM in Mutual Funds
Overall SRI Institutional market among European Investors has grown up to approximately € 1,033 trillion2
European SR Mutual Funds: 2001– 20051 Asset Under ManagementEuropean SR Mutual Funds: 2001– 20051 Asset Under Management
Currently 432 SR Mutual Funds
Strong trend since 1998, and growing.
European SR Mutual Funds: Number of Asset Management Product Lines (1984 – 2004)1European SR Mutual Funds: Number of Asset Management Product Lines (1984 – 2004)1
1Source: E.Capital Partners Fundwatcher “Trends in European SRI”, September 20042Source: Eurosif – Report 2006 “European SRI Study 2006”
432384
260
136
9772
5546261310
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004
19,42421,430
23,587 24,100
68,280
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Mio
€
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ECPI Alpha Screening: Enhanced Positive Tests
Portfolio selection processPortfolio selection process
Global Investment Universe
Recommended High Alpha Candidates
Alpha Positive screening:Selection of the businesses with high standards
of corporate social and environmental responsibility
In order to capture Corporate Intangible Value
Positive criteria for the positive screening, enhanced by EcoValue21 test
Up to 450 sector sensitive environmental and social tests, with a customizable bias:
Product Process Environmental Impact Community Relations Diversity Human Resources Opportunistic Cross Border operations Balance Sheet Transparency Corporate Governance Initiatives
Forward-Looking Approach:In case of relevant news/facts we evaluate reiteration, reaction, malice, guilt, industry
custom of such companies, with a predictive goal
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SRI universe shows high stability and very low default rates
Ethical screening acts as an efficient positive filter: over 70% of defaults avoided
Corporate Defaults with Investment-Grade Ratings within One Year of Default (Moody’s)1Corporate Defaults with Investment-Grade Ratings within One Year of Default (Moody’s)1
Ethical investment universe of 1,700 eligible companies, analyzed and selected according to negative and positive criteria out of a total of more than 2,800 companies covered. Analysis over the 12-month period from 1st June 2003 to 1st September 2006
“Downgraded” companies are companies which used to be rated “ethical” but lost the ethical label and were then excluded from the ethical investment universe
Evaluation of the probability of “ethical downgrade” events within ECP ethical investment universe
Evaluation of the probability of “ethical downgrade” events within ECP ethical investment universe
1 Based on ECP’s coverage and ethical universe on default date. Full list presented in appendix
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… very accessible through Bloomberg menu ECPS <go>
Ethical Euro Corporate BondEthical Euro Corporate BondEthical indices monitored and published
Ethical indices monitored and published
Ethical Euro Index (Equity)Ethical Euro Index (Equity)Ethical Global Government Bond Index
Ethical Global Government Bond Index
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Renewable Energy: an inexhaustible source Large Net reserves (es: Solar Energy cannot be
exhausted)
Continuous Renew process (Biomass)
Bioenergy: Biodiesel, Biogas, Plant oil fuel. Can be obtained from biomass, in particular wood straw maize, sugar beet, oil-seed rape, biogas and plant oils. Its main advantages to be Co2-neutral.
Solar Power: Photovoltaic, Solar heating and Chemistry. Energy of the sun (nuclear fusion), which takes the form of electromagnetic radiation.
Water Power: Tidal and wave power, Ocean temperature gradient and Thermal energy. Energy of water currents, which can be converted into mechanical energy using suitable machines
Wind power: Is the kinetic energy produced by masses of air moving in the atmosphere.
Geothermal: Geothermal heat is the heat stored in the upper layer of the earth’s crust. It describes both the energy produced by or stored in the earth.
Fuel cells: A fuel cell is a voltaic cell that converts a continuous supply of fuel and an oxidising agent into usable electrical energy.
Renewable energy sources have the potential to replace fossil and nuclear energy sources
Renewable energy sources have the potential to replace fossil and nuclear energy sources
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Renewables Industry: from risk to opportunity
Renewable Energy
Industry &
Efficiency
From risk to opportunity— Sustainability
Companies & Governments1
— Capex in the industry— Policy on renewables
Current Risks— Energy Economics— Energy Security— Global Warming
Investors— Financing Providers— Participate in the next economic Boom
149 countries have policies on renewables in place that will foster rapid growth at clean-energy firms, including big emerging markets such as Brazil, China and India
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The benefits of strong and early action far outweigh the economic costs of not acting
Because climate change is a global problem, the answer must be international
Action on climate change will also create significant business opportunities, as new markets are created in low-carbon energy technologies and other low-carbon goods and services
Latest warning: the Stern Review (Though criticized…)
Stern Review is available at: www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/independent_reviews/stern_review_economics_climate_change/stern_review_report.cfm.
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Why Investing in Renewable Energy: scenario
“At Today’s rates of consumption, oil desposits should last another 30 years or so and gas approximately 70 years. Coal will last rather longer – about 200 Years”1
The increased marketability of renewable energy: the use of new technology has led to steadily falling prices.
A fuel cell power plant has fallen in price by more than 90% in the last 10 years.2
Wind energy as a proportion of totalenergy production:3
· Denmark: 20%· Germany: 6%· USA: already 1.5 million households
1) 2) Heinz Deubelbeiss: Alternative Energiequellen stillen Energiedurst(Alternative energy sources quench the thirst for energy), emagazine, 25.04.053) Jonathan Bernstein: Alternative Energy – Time to invest? ETFZone.com, 15.06.05
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Why Investing in Renewable Energy: growth forecast
Analysts confidently predict the clean-energy business will grow by 20-30% a year for a decade.The Economist, November 16th, 2006
Solar Energy, Wind Energy and Fuel Cells will probably grow from about 16$ billion in global revenues in 2004 to more than 100 $ billion by 2014 according to a report released by Clean Edge (an energy research and publishing firm)
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Total investment going into clean energy at $63 billion this year, up from $49 billion last year and just $30 billion in 2004 (estimate by New Energy Finance)1
In light of the longterm risks of investing in conventional energy systems, institutional investors, such as the California Public Employees Retirement System (CalPERS), have begun directing larg blocks of funds to the environmental sector, including to renewable energy, much of it under the rubric of sustainable or socially responsible investing2
In November 2005, Goldman Sachs committed to investing more than $1 billion in renewable energy projects, including biofuels, solar power, and wind energy2
Investment in the field by venture capitalists and private-equity firms has quadrupled in the past two years, from some $500m in 2004 to almost $2 billion so far this year1
Sustainable Investment: a growing trend
1 The Economist, November 16°, 20062 From American Energy, The World Watch Institute, September 2006
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Global Share of Renewable Energy
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Sector Validation from ECPI Strong Financial results Very Good liquidity (Relative
High Market Cap) Good Rating from fundamental
analysis
ECPI® Renewable Energy Global Tradeable
Performance & BreakdownPerformance & Breakdown
FeaturesFeatures
24.36%
1.80%
27.53%
17.67%
3.76%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
30.00%
2003 2004 2005 2006 YTD
Average
Since 2003
Annualized Volatility
16.80%
700
900
1100
13001500
1700
1900
2100
gen-03 gen-04 gen-05 gen-06 gen-07
ECPI® Reneable Energy Global MSCI World
Country
DENMARK 6.93%
ITALY 9.76%
J APAN 13.77%
SPAIN 15.03%
UNITED STATES 33.24%
UNITED KINGDOM 15.29%
NORWAY 5.99%
Tot. 100%
Sector
Basic Materials 4.92%
Consumer, Non-cyclical 3.63%
Energy 11.81%
Industrial 31.16%
Technology 13.99%
Utilities 29.44%
Consumer, Cyclical 5.04%
Tot. 100%
Number of Constituents
Eligibility Monitoring
Component Weights
Minimum 6 months ADV
Index Rebalancing Frequency
Currency of Calculation
Average Market Cap (EUR bio)
Largest Market Cap (EUR bio)
Smallest Market Cap (EUR bio)
Highest Index Value (since 2003)
Lowest Value (since 2003) 911.64
16.82
55.91
4.16
1967.79
EURO
Annual (1th of October)
20
Equal
Daily
EUR 10 mln
As of 22 January 2007
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ECPI® Renewable Energy Index
Structured Notes ETFs Index Trackers
By..International Investment Banks and Asset Managers
Investment OpportunitiesInvestment Opportunities
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Corso Italia, 13
20122 Milano
Tel: +39 02 80509813
Fax: +39 02 88181210
www.e-cpartners.com
Bloomberg: ECPS <GO>
Reuters: ECAPITAL
Disclaimer
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