002 making strategy, an introduction to national security processes
TRANSCRIPT
B V I A K I N G S 7 R A T E G V
A n n t r o d u c t i o n t o N a t i o n a l S e c u r i t y
p r o G O S s e s a n d E ' r o D i e m s
COL DENNIS M . DREW
DR DONALD^jW. SNOW
' J^riJ^ ni.- 'r.L ,'^
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1. REPORT DATE
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5d. PROJECT NUMBER
5e. TASK NUMBER
Air Univ, Maxwell AFB, AL
8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION
11. SPONSOR/MONITOR’S REPORT
13. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES
16. SECURITY CLASSIFICATION OF: 17. LIMITATION OF
ABSTRACT
SAR
Processes an d Problems
Airpower Research nstitute
A ir University
University o f Alabama
Augus t 1988
Li brary of Congr ess Cat al ogi ng- i n- Publ i cat i onData
Dr ew,
Denni sM
Maki ngStrategy : An I t roducti on t o Nat i onal Securi t y
Processes and Pr obl ems / byDenni sM
Dr ew, Donal dMSnow
I ncl udes bi bl i ographi es .
1 . Uni t ed Stat es- Nat i onal s e c u r i t y . 2 Uni t ed States- M l i tary ol i cy 3 Strategy
I . Snow
UA23.D691988
I SB 1- 58566- 021- 3
F i r s t Pri nt i ng August 1988
Second Pri nt i ng Oct ober 1989
Thi rd Pri nt i ngMay 1991
Fourth Pri nti ngMarch1995
Apri l
1999
Sevent h Pri nt i ng J u l y 2001
Ei ghth Pri nt i ng Sept ember 2002
SCLA R
hi s publ i cati onwasproduced i n theDepart ent of Defenseschool envi ronment i n thei nt erest
of academc freedo andtheadvancement of
nati onal defense-rel ated concepts. Thevi ews
expressedi nt h i s publ i cat i onarethoseof the
authorsanddonot ref l ec t theof f i c ia l pol i cyor pos i t i on
of theDepartment of Defenseor theUni tedStates
government .
hi s publ i cat i onhasbeen reveiwedbysecuri tyandpol i c y revi ewaut hor i t i es andi s cl eared
f or
i i
Drew, Dennis M .
Making Strategy: A n Introduction to National Security Processes and Problems / by Dennis M .
Drew, Donald M . S n o w .
p. cm .
"August 1988."
Includes bibliographies.
1 . United States—National security. . United States—^Military policy. 3. Strategy.
I. S n o w , Donald M ., 1943- II. Title.
UA23.D691988
Second Printing October 1989
Fourth Printing March 1995
Sixth Printing September 1999
Seventh Printing July 2001
Eighth Printing September 2002
DISCLAIMER
This publication was produced in the Department of Defense school environment In the Interest
of academic freedom and the advancement of national defense-related concepts. The views
expressed In this publication are those of the autfrars and do not reflect the official policy orposition
of the Department Defense or the United States govemment.
This publication has been revelwed by security and policy review authorities and Is cleared for
public release.
I TR CTI . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xv
STRATEGYI N E TI . . . . . . . . . . . 1
.
. . . . . . . . . . . . . .
EG ES . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 3
St ep 1- Det ermni ng Nat i onal Securi t y
Obj ect i ves . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
St ep 2- Formul at i ngGrandSt rat egy . . . . . . .
16
St ep 3- Devel opi ng Mi l i t a r y
St rat egy . . . . . . 18
Operat i onal St rat egy . . . . 19
St ep 5
- Formul at i ng
B a t t l e f i e l d St rat egy
( Tac t i c s ) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
I nf l uences on t he St rat egy Process . . . . . . . . . 21
Cont i nui ng t he I nve s t i gat i on
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
CONTENTS
Chapter age
D I S C L A I M E R i
FOREWORD
Foundations o f M o d e r n Warfare
Contrasts in the Nuclear A ge
Objectives 4
Step 3—Developing Military Strategy 8
Step 4—Designing Operat ional Strategy .... 9
Step 5—Formulat ing Battlefield Strategy
(Tactics)
Continuing the Investigation
THEPOLI I CA D SI
3 GRANDATI AL AT . . . . . . . . 27
Vi tal Nat i onal I n t e r e s t s . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
I nst ruments o f Nat i onal Power
. . . . . . . . .
4 POLI I A RO
OF
GRAND
Fundament al Nature . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47
Negat i ve Obj ect i ves . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49
Conservat i ve i as . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51
Technol ogi cal Nature . .
St r a t egi c Cul t ure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57
Concl usi on . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Execut i ve Branch . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65
L e g i s l a t i v e Branch . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73
Ot her Actors
T H E POLITICAL DIMENSION
3 RAND N A T I O N A L S T R A T E G Y 7
Vital National Interests 7
2
5 RAND STRATEGY A C T O R S A N D
INSTITUTIONS
her Woul
ForceDepl oyment S t r a t e g y . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
87
Mi l i t a r y Strategy
. . . . . . . .
ombi nedCampai gns . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95
po t Campai gns . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101
Essence of Operat i onal Strategy :
Orchest rat i ng Theater Campai gns . . . . . . 102
8 I SURG
. .
.
. . . . . . . . . . 116
. . . . . . . . . . . . 118
. . . . . . . . 123
Atomc . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . 124
125
I ntercont i nental B a l l i s t i c Mi s s i l e . . . . . . .
126
Mul t i pl e I ndependent l y Targetabl e
Reent r y Vehi cl e . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
127
Against W h o m Would Forces Be
Employed? 3
Combined Campaigns 5
Joint Campaigns 7
C o m p o n e n t Campaigns 01
Essence o f Operat ional Strategy:
Orchestrating Theater Campaigns ..... 02
Nature o f Insurgent Warfare —, 10
Fundamenta l Differences 16
Chapter
Page
Basi c Concept s and Rel at i nshi ps . . . . . . . . 128
Def i ni t i on . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . .
Rel at i onshi ps
bet ween Concept s . . . . . . . 131
Nucl ear S t a b i l i t y . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . 136
P LITI , AND
Cl ausew t zi an T r i o . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 149
Fogof War . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 150
F r i c t i on i n War . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 150
Chance i n War . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151
Strategy and t he Cl ausew t zi an T r i o
. . . . . . . 153
.
154
. .
on
Strategy
. . . . . . . . 158
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 163
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 163
Types
Fundament al . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 168
Or gani zat i onal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 169
I n t e r r e l a t i o n s h i p s . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 170
Rel at i onshi p o f Doct r i ne and Strategy . . . . . 171
Chapter age
Definition 28
INFLUENCES O N TH E PROCESS
10 OG, FRICTION, C H A N C E , M O N E Y ,
Chance in W ar
Economic Influences on Strategy 54
Political Influences o n Strategy
11 ILITARY DOCTRINE
How E f f o r t ? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 177
Get t i ng Ther e versus Bei ng Ther e . . . . . . . . 179
Qual i t y versus Quant i t y . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 181
Expans i on and Escal at i on . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 183
13 I SU ENWRAR . . 185
How E f f o r t ?
. . . . . .
and
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Wagi ngaCount er i nsurg nt War . . . . . . . . . 190
14
CL SSUES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 195
Per spect i ve onNucl ear I s s ues . . . . . . . . . . . . 195
Current I s s ues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 199
Of f ensi ve Force Moder ni zat i on . . . . . . . . 197
St r a t egi c . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 201
Arm Control andArm Reduct i on . . . . . 203
15
. . .
Ho w M u c h Effort? 77
Gett ing There versus Being There 79
Quality versus Quantity 81
Expansion and Escalation 83
1 3 NSURGENT WARFARE D I L E M M A S . 85
Ho w M u c h Effort? 85
Deterring and Assisting
14 NUCLEAR I S S U E S 95
Perspective o n Nuclear Issues
Strategic Defense 01
Arms Contro l and Arms Reduction 03
Page
1 The S t r a t e g y Pr ocess . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
.
. . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . 29
3 Capabi l i t y / S t r at egy Rel at i onshi ps . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . 134
. . . . . . . . . . . . 171
5
.
. . . . . . . .
Nat i onal secur i t y strategy i s a vast subj ect
i nvol vi ng
adaunt i ng
array of i nt er r el at ed subel ement s o n i n i n t r i c at e , somet i mes
vague, andever - changi ng patterns . I t s processes ar e often i r r egul ar
and conf usi ng and ar e al ways basedon d i f f i c u l t deci si ons l aden
w t h ser i ous r i sks
.
I n short, i t i s a subj ect under s t ood by fewa d
conf si n t o mst . I t i s , a t t he s m t i me, a subj ect of
ver helmng i mpor t ance t o t he f a t e of t he Uni t ed States a d
c i v i l i z a t i on i t s e l f .
Col Denni sM
rewandDr al dMSnowhave done a
consi der abl e ser vi ce by drawng together of t he di ver se
t hr eads of nat i ona secur i t y strategy i n t o a coher ent whol e They
consi der pol i t i cal andml i t a r y strategy el ement s as part of a l ar ger
deci si onmaki ng process i nf l uenced by economc, t echnol ogi cal ,
c u l t u r a l , and factors . knowof no other recent vol ume
t hat addr esses t he enti r e nat i onal secur i t y m l i e u i n such a l ogi cal
manner and yet al so mna es t o
addr ess current concer ns so
t hor oughl y . I t
i s
they
such evenhanded a r .
l tho gh the t i t l e suggests t hat thi s i s an i nt r oduct or y
vol ume-and i t i s-I amconvi nced t h a t exper i encedpr acti t i oner s
i n t he f i e l d of nat i onal secur i t y strategy ul dbenef i t gr eat l y om
a cl ose exam nat i on of t h i s excel l ent book
SI EY7WSE
Col onel ,
Cent er f or Aer ospace Doct r i ne,
Resear ch, and Educat i on
i x
National security strategy is a vast subject involving a daunting
array of interrelated subelements woven in intricate, ometimes
vague, and ever-changing patterns. Its processes are often irregular
and confusing and are always based on difficult decisions laden
with serious risks. In short, it is a subject understood by fe w and
confusing o most. t s, t he ame ime, ubject f
overwhehning unportance o he ate of the United States and
civiUzation itself.
C ol Dennis M . Drew and D r Donald M . Snow have done a
considerable ervice by drawing ogether many of the diverse
threads of national security strategy into a coherent whole. They
consider political and military strategy elements as part of a larger
decisionmaking process influenced by economic, echnological,
cultural, and historical factors. I know of no other recent vo lume
that addresses the entire national security milieu in such a logical
manner and yet also manages o address current concerns o
thoroughly. It is equally remarkable that they have addressed so
many contentious problems in such an evenhanded manner.
Although he itle uggests hat his s n ntroductory
vo lume—and it is—I am convinced that experienced practitioners
in th e field of national security strategy would benefit greatly from
a close examination of this excellent book.
U-^/^A
SlDNEYJJ. WISE
Commander
Research, and Education
di r ect or of t he i rpowr
Resear ch
I nst i tute a t t he Ai r
Uni ver si t y Cent er f or erospace
Doct r i ne
el l AFB, Al bamaA
vet er an of 23 year s
ser vi ce, he has been on
ext ended f acul t y
appoi ntment t Ai r
Uni ver si t y si nce 1978 He i s a
r of t he
Secti on on
M l i t ar y St udi es of t he
I nt er nat i onal St udi es
Associ at i on and i s a
f el l ow of t he I nt er - Uni ver si t y
Semnar on
hol ds a BAfromWl l amet t e
Uni ver si y, anMSfromt he
Uni ver si t y of W ng, andan
MA
t he Uni ver si t y of Al abama
Si nce 1981, Col onel Drewhas
aut hor ed or coaut hor ed f our books and
nu er us book chapt er s,
monographs,
anda r t i c l e s deal i ng w t h
ml i t ar y strategy, ai r er
doct r i ne, and
i nsur gent war f ar e .
DrDonal
MSnow s pr of essor of p o l i t i c a l sci enceand
di r ect or
of t he I nt er nat i onal
St udi es Programt t heUni ver si t y of
Al bam
He i s a past chai rman of t he
Sect i on of M l i t ar y St udi es of
t he
I nt er nat i onal St udi es
Associ ati on and i s a f e l l ow of
t he
I nt er - Uni ver si t y Semnar on
Ar edFor ces and Soci et y
He hol ds
andMAfromt he
Uni ver si t y of C l or do andaPhD
from
numerous
a r t i c l e s ondef enseandnucl ear
i ssues, i ncl udi ngNucl ear
St r at egy i n a
Wor l d : Amer i can
Pol i cy i n t he 1980s and
The Nucl ear
Uncer t ai nt y .
XI
Colonel Dennis M . Drew s he director of he Airpower
Research nstitute at th e Air University Center or Aerospace
Doctrine, Research, and Education, Maxwell AFB, Alabama. A
veteran of 23 years ervice, he has been on extended aculty
appointment at A ir University since 1978. He is a member of th e
Section on M ili tary Studies of he nternat ional Studies
Association and is a fellow of the Inter-University Seminar on
Armed Forces and Society. He holds a BA rom Willamette
University, an M S from the University of Wyoming, and an M A
from the University of Alabama. Since 1981, Colonel Drew has
authored or coauthored four books and numerous book chapters,
monographs, and articles dealing with military strategy, air power
doctrine, nd insurgent warfare.
Dr Donald M . Snow is professor of political science and director
of the International Studies Program at th e University of Alabama.
He is a past chairman of th e Section of MiUtary Studies of the
International tudies Associat ion nd s a ellow f he
Inter-University Seminar on Armed Forces and Society. He holds
a BA and M A from the University of Colorado and a PhD from
Indiana University. D r Snow has published several books and
numerous articles on defense and nuclear issues, including Nuclear
Strategy in a Dynamic World: American Policy in the 1980s and
The Nuclear Future: Toward a Strategy of Uncertainty.
aki ng I n 1980 t he
aut hor s began
worki g on a t ext book
f or Ai r Uni ver si t y' s Ai r
and
Staff Col l ege t h a t woul di nt r oduce
t he concept of
st r at egyandt hevagar i es of
st r at egymaki ng t om dcareer Ai r Force
of f i cers . Theout om
of t hat effort was I nt roduct i on t o S t r a t e g y ,
a r at her r udi ment ary vol ume
t h a t , surpr i si ngl y, has remai ned i n
const ant use f or t he past seven
years . The current wor i s an
out gr owt h of I nt roduct i on t o St rat egy
andi t i ncorpor at es al l t h a t
we have l earned about wr i t i ng and
or gani zi ng an i nt r oduct or y t e x t
t hat examnes t he t f undament al and yet arcane
ml i t a r y ar t
The aut hor s owea great debt of grat i t ude
t o t he out st andi ng
product i on s t a f f of
t he Ai r Uni ver si t y Press f or t hei r
consi der abl e
l abor s i n
br i ngi ng th is vol um t o f r u i t i on . We al so owe a
mnu ntal debt t o
our edi t or , J ohn E J or dan, J r . ,
whose
consi der abl e s k i l l , great
i n s i g h t , andl i m t l ess pat i encehave t urned
, .
PREFACE
This volume has been seven years in the making. In 1980 the
authors began working on a textbook fo r Air University's A ir
Command and Staff College that would introduce the concept of
strategy and th e vagaries of strategymaking to midcareer A ir Force
officers. The outcome of that effort was Introduction to Strategy,
a rather rudimentary volume that, surprisingly, has remained in
constant use or the past even years. The current work s an
outgrowth of Introduction to Strategy and it incorporates al l that
we have leamed about writing and organizing an introductory text
that examines th e most fundamental and yet arcane military art.
The authors owe a great debt of gratitude to the outstanding
production staff of th e A ir University Press fo r their considerable
labors n bringing his volume o ruition. We also owe a
monumental debt o our editor, ohn E. ordan, r. , whose
considerable skill, great insight, and limitless patience have turned
our scribbhngs into a readable text.
DENNIS M . DREW, Col, USAF
Director
Airpower Research Institute
DR D O N A L D M. S N O W
Professor of Political Science
I TR TI
Thi s book
i s about nat i onal s e c ur i t y s t r a t e g y : what
i t
i s ,
what i t s
obj ecti ves are , what probl ems i t seeks t o
sol ve or at l eas t manage,
andwhat
ki nds of i nf l uences constr ai n and c r e a t e
oppor t uni t i es f o r
t he devel opment
and i mpl ement at i on of s t r a t egi es .
Theheart of t he
pr obl emw t h whi ch nat i onal s ec ur i t y s t r a t e gy
deal s i s t he s er i es of m l i t a r y
t h r e a t s t h a t t he nat i on must conf ront .
Thus, t he maki ng and
i mpl ement i ng of s t r at eg a r e l a r ge l y an
exerci se i n r i s k m e ent and r i s k
r educt i on . The not i on of r i s k
r equi r es d e f i n i t i o n at t he out s e t . I n a or or
l e s s t r adi t i ona l
manner , r i s k i s def ned as t e di f f erence
bet ween
t he
t o
our s ec ur i t y by adversari es and po t e nt i a l
adversari es and our
c a p a b i l i t i e s t o
count er t hose t h r e a t s . I n ci r cumst ances wher e
adequate
resources ( manpower , mat er i e l , percei ved wi l l , et c . ) a r e
av ai l abl e, r i s k can
be reduced and s ec ur i t y i ncr eased t h e r e
i s a gap bet ween t he amount
of t h r e a t and c apabi l i t y t o count er i t ,
.
I n t h ebest of al l wor l ds, r i s k assessment
and anagement oul
not be probl ems . One oul si mpl y l i s t
al l t he e x i s t i n g and
pot ent i a l t h r e a t s t o nat i onal s ec ur i t y
and then a l l o c a t e what ever
resources
wer e needed t o bl unt t hose t h r e a t s , thereby
r educi ng al l
r i s k s
t o nonexi st ence .
I n t he r ea l
wor l d, i t i s i possi bl e t o r emove r i s k
al t ogether f o r
a t l eas t t wo r e l a t e d
reasons . The f i r s t i s t h a t t h e r e i s
honest
di sagr eement ng
t hosewho pol i cy about what t he t h r e a t s
a re , hows e r i ous they a r e ,
and wh ch a r e i n need of bei ng reduced
and t o what degree . About such
probl ems as t he physi cal s u r v i v al
o r t e r r i t o r i a l i n t e g r i t y of Amer i can
s o i l , t h e r e i s agreement t h a t t he
t h r e a t , ho ever def i ned, must be
countered . Even a t t hi s
consensual
l e v e l , def i ni ng t h nature of t he
t h r e a t and determ ni ng
t he
appropr i at e ans t o counteract i t i s a
mat t er
XV
INTRODUCTION
This b o o k is about national security strategy: what it is , what its
objectives are, what problems it seeks to solve or at least manage,
and what kinds of influences constrain and create opportunities fo r
the development and implementat ion of strategies.
The heart of the problem with which national security strategy
deals is the series of military threats that the nation must confront .
Thus, he making and mplementing of strategy are argely an
exercise in risk management and risk reduction. The notion of risk
requires definition at he outset . n a more o r ess raditional
manner, risk is defined as the difference between the threats posed
to o ur security by adversaries and potential adversaries and o ur
capabilit ies o counter hose hreats. n circumstances where
adequate resources (manpower, materiel, perceived will, etc.) are
available, risk can be reduced and security increased. W h e n there
is a gap between the amount of threat and capability to counter it,
th e difference is the risk one incurs.
In the best of all worlds, risk assessment and management would
no t be problems. ne would imply is t all he existing nd
potential threats to national security and then allocate whatever
resources were needed to blunt those threats, thereby reducing all
risks to nonexistence.
In the real world, it is impossible to remove risk altogether fo r
at east w o elated easons. he irst s hat here s honest
disagreement among those w ho make policy about what the threats
are, how serious they are, and which are in need of being reduced
and to what degree. A b o u t such problems as the physical survival
or territorial integrity of American soil, there is agreement that the
threat, owever efined, must be ountered. ven t his
as t he ent i r e debat e about appr opr i at e nucl ear st rategy and forces
vi vi dl y t e s t i f i e s . I n ot her areas, such as t he t hr eat s t o meri can
i n t e r e s t s
posed
by var i ous p o l i t i c a l andm l i t ar y f or ces i n
Cent r al
Amer i ca, there i s consi der abl e di sagr eement about
how
uch
threat ( i f any) i s posedbyt he di f f er ent forces and t hus hat ( i f any)
m l i t a r y capabi l i t i es we need t o count er t em
Theot her const r ai nt i s on t he r esour ces avai l abl e t o count er t he
threat . Thedebat e of t he ear l y andm ddl e 1980s i s strong t est i mony
that eri can def ense pol i cy, al ong w t h ot her a c t i v i t i e s of t he
f eder al gover nment , w l l beunder i ncr eased f i scal const r ai nt ; and
there ar e
sol ut i ons
t o t he probl m The hear t of t h i s
const r ai nt i s t he pol i t i cal (and m woul d ar gue
economc)
l ar ge
di scr epanci es bet ee f eder al r evenues
andexpendi t ur es- t he
def i i t .
per cent
of
t he gr os s nat i onal pr oduct dur i ng t he 1970s, t he def i ci t has
bal l ooned t o appr oxi mat el y 6per cent i n t hemd-1 0s; even or
di st r ess i ng, an i ncr eas i ng pr opor t i on of t he accumul at i ng debt i s
hel d by f or ei gn nat i onal s ( t he l ar ges t s i ngl e hol der of Ameri can
debt i n 1987 wasaJ apanese bank) .
The s i z e of t he def i ci t andt he r esul t ant const r ai nt on m l i t a r y
a c t i v i t i e s ar e not goi ng t o change eas i l y or r api dl y . The sol ut i on
w l l r equi r e d i f f i c u l t deci s i ons
t h a t
beunpopul ar
.
Gvent he structure of t he f eder al budget ( al most
85 per cent of expendi t ur es ar e f or ent i t l ement pr ogr ams , def ense,
andser vi ce of t he nat i onal debt- i n t h a t order), there can bel i t t l e
r educt i on of t he debt t h a t does not i ncl ude s i zabl e sacr i f i ces i n
f undi ng f or nat i onal def ense . The onl y al t er nat i ve way t o r educe
t he debt i s t o i ncr ease f eder al re enu s- t x i nc ases .
Thi s di scussi on serves as asampl e of he r eal -wor l d const r ai nt s
w t h i nwh c st rategy and s t r a t e g i s t s ust oper at e . Theheart of t he
s t r a t e g i c
pro l em
s howt o
t he maj or
m l i t a r y cont i ngenci es t h a t door ght conf r ont t he Un i t ed States
whi l e r ecogni z i ng t he
i mposs i bi l i t y
of r educi ng
that
ar e
three
maj r pl anni ng cases or cont i ngenci es w t h wh c s t r at egi c
Xvl
as the entire debate about appropriate nuclear strategy and forces
vividly testifies. n other areas, uch as the threats to American
interests posed by various political and military forces in Central
America, here s considerable disagreement about how much
threat (if any) is posed by the different forces and thus what (if any)
mihtary capabilities w e need to counter them.
The other constraint is on the resources available to counter the
threat. The debate of the early and middle 1980s is strong testimony
that American defense policy, along with other activities of the
federal government, will be under increased fiscal constraint; and
there are no easy olutions o he problem. The heart of this
constraint s he political and many ould argue economic)
unacceptabiUty of large discrepancies between federal revenues
and expenditures—the deficit. After running less than 2 percent of
the gross ational product during he 970s, he eficit has
ballooned to approximately 6 percent in th e mid-1980s; even more
distressing, an increasing proport ion of the accumulating debt is
held by foreign nationals (the largest single holder of American
debt in 1987 w as a Japanese bank).
The size of the deficit and the resultant constraint on military
activities are no t going to change easily o r rapidly. The solution
will require difficult decisions that will undoubtedly be unpopula r
in some quarters. Given the structure of th e federal budget (almost
85 percent of expenditures are fo r entit lement programs, defense,
and service of the national debt—in that order), there can be little
reduction of the debt that does no t include izable acrifices n
funding fo r national defense. The only alternative w ay to reduce
the debt is to increase federal revenues—tax increases.
This discussion serves as a sample of the real-world constraints
within w hich strategy and strategists must operate. The heart of the
strategic problem is how to adapt as best as possible to the major
military contingencies that do or might confront the United States
while recognizing the impossibili ty of reducing to zero the risks
that each contingency presents. General ly speaking, there are three
major planning cases r contingencies ith hich trategic
pl anner s mst deal
: str at egi c nucl ear war , maj or convent i onal war ,
and l ow- i nt ens i t y conf l i c t .
Qui t e obvi ousl y, str at egi c nucl ear
war wi t h
Sovi et U i oni s
t he wor st case because t he consequences of such a
war
c l ear l y
t he ost devast at i ng . Gven t he possi bl e di sast r ous
outcomes
of
such a war , avoi dance of i t s occurrence t hr ough det er r ence has
been t he
hi ghest nat i onal pr i or i t y . There a r e , however , di f f er i ng
i deas about howl i k e l y such awar i s , howi t mght s t a r t and be
conduct ed, and t hus hat st rat egi es and f or ces are necessary t o
m ge t he
r i s k i t pr esent s .
Amaj or convent i onal ( at l e a s t
i n i t s ear l y st ages) war i n Europe
between NA and t he Warsaw Pact has been
t he pr i nci pal
concern f or s t r a t e g i s t s andpl anner s s i nce t he endofWrl dWar I I .
Because such awar woul dp i t nuc l ear - armed
nat i ons agai nst one
anot her andbecausesuchawar coul d escal at e t o astr at egi c nucl ear
war betweent heUni t ed States andt he Sovi et Uni on, i t s det er r ence
i s a primary cons i der at i on . c agai n, there are maj or
di sagr eement s (both w t hi n t heUni t ed St at es andwi t hi n t heNA
al l i ance) about l i k e l y such a
war
t hus hat ki nds and
l evel s of ef fort ar e necessary t o
m i nt ai n det er r ence .
The t hi rd cont i ngency i s not a
s i ngl e cont i ngency at a l l , but i s
i nst ead he probl emof
pot ent i al Ameri can i nvol vement i n t hi r d
worl dconf l i ct s t hat f a l l under t he general rubr i c of
l ow- i nt ens i t y
conf l i c t . Thi s i s a rel at i vel y newt opi c of concern wi t hi n m l i t a r y
pl anni ng c i r c l e s , and f u l l consi der at i on has been st unt ed by t h e ' ,
per cei ved r esembl ance of of t hese si t uat i ons t o Vi etnam
Al thou h t her e
i s consi der abl e agr eement t hat t hese t ypes of
s i t uat i ons
provi e t he st numerou "oppor t uni t i es" f or
A eri can
m l i t a r y i nvol vement, there i s consi erabl e
di sagr eement about t he
pr opr i et y of such i nvol vement andwhat '
k i nds of pr epar at i ons t he
Uni ted States shoul d e f or hese
cont i ngenci es . The contemporar debat e
about appr opr i at e
Ameri can response t o t he pol i t i co-m l i t ar y
si t uat i on i n Cent r al
.
and low-intensity conflict.
Quite obviously, strategic nuclear w ar with the Sovie t Union is
the worst case because the consequences of such a w ar are clearly
the most devastating. Given th e possible disastrous outcomes of
such a war, avoidance of it s occurrence through deterrence has
been the highest national priority. There are, however , differing
ideas about ho w likely such a w ar is , ho w it might start and be
conducted, and thus what strategies and forces are necessary to
manage the risk it presents.
A major conventional (at least in it s early stages) w ar in Europe
between NATO nd he Warsaw Pact has been he principal
concern fo r strategists and planners since the end of World W ar H.
Because such a w ar would pit nuclear-armed nations against one
another and because such a w ar could escalate to a strategic nuclear
w ar between the United States and the Sovie t Union, it s deterrence
is primary onsideration. Once gain, here re major
disagreem ents (both within the United States and within the NATO
alliance) about how likely such a w ar is and thus and
levels of effort are necessary to maintain deterrence.
The third contingency is no t a single contingency at all, but is
instead the problem of potential American involvement in third
world conflicts that fall under the general rubric of low-intensity
conflict. This is a relatively new topic of concern within military
planning circles, and full consideration has been tunted by the;
perceived resemblance of many of these ituations o Vietnam:
Although here s considerable agreement hat hese ypes of
situations rovide he most or
American military nvolvement, here s onsiderable
disagreement about th e propriety of such involvement and what
kinds of preparations he United States hould make o r these
contingencies. he contemporary ebate bout appropriatq
American esponse o he politico-mihtary ituation n Centrall
America is illustrative of this disagreement.
One t hi ng i s cl ear about these
three cont i ngenci es- t hey af f ect
t hi nki ng about strategy and
i t s i mpl ement at i on . Each cont i ngency
poses a
di f f er ent set of str at egi c quest i ons w t h
di f f erent answer s,
and these
answers and t he capabi l i t i es they suggest
ar e not
necessar i l y
mut ual l y suppor t i ve. The str at egi es
and f or ces one
devi ses
t o det er str at egi c nucl ear war , i n
ot her wor ds, mynot hel p
det er convent i onal wa i n Eur ope, and
they al most cer t ai nl y have
l i t t l e deterrent effect on l ow- i nt ensi t y
war f ar e i n t he t h i r d worl d
Li kewi se, a l esson of t he Vi et am
Wr i s that pr eparat i ons f or
convent i onal war i n Europe di d
not t r ansl at e i nt o appr opr i at e
capabi l i t y t o deal
w t h that si tuat i on . Si ml ar l y, few
woul dar gue
that a l l t he
count er i nsur gency pr epar at i on i n
t he worl d oul d
r educe t he r i s k
of str at egi c nucl ear war . These
poi nt s hel p def i ne
t he pr bl em
of strategy and pr epar e a
s t a r t i n g poi nt f or our
i nvest i gat i on of m i n strategy
As
and
t he al l ocat i on of resources
t o reduce t he r i sk i n one
cont i ngency does not necessar i l y
r educe ot her r i sks as wel l , t he
pro l emof strategy wi l l be r i s k
mnagemnt rather than r i s k
al l evi at i on . Howone
wi sel y devi ses pl ans of act i on
and
capabi l i t i es i n suppor t
of t hose pl ans i s t hus at t he
heart of t he ar t
of st r at egymaki ng
.
Theor gani zat i on
of t he r e s t of t h i s book i s i nt ended
t o f ac i l i t a t e
t he r ader ' s under st andi ng andappr eci at i on
of str at egi c probl ems
and pr ocesses . I n t he f i r s t sect i on, we l ook
at t he evol ut i on of
strategy and t he pr ocess by whi ch
strategy i s devi sed, a pr ocess
that f orms t he f r wor f or t he ent i re
book Thi s appr oach i s
uni que . aut hor s have of f er ed
advi ce andcounsel concer ni ng
howt o mke strategy
deci s i ons . Thi s vol u , i n contrast,
concentrates on
what deci si ons ust bemdeandt he f actor s that
i nf l uence t hose deci si ons
. Thus, t h i s book i s descr i pt i ve rather than
pr escr i pt i ve
i n nature . Thesecond sect i on deal s w t h
t he p o l i t i c a l
di mensi ons of strategy i n t er ms of t he r el at i onshi p
betwee
p o l i t i c a l
andm l i t a r y obj ect i ves andt he const r ai nt s
t h a t po l i t i c a l
r e a l i t i e s
pl ace on strategy . The t h i r d sect i on
concentrates on t he
m l i t a r y di mensi ons of strategy
and i ncl udes consi er abl e mat er i al
on t he cont i ngency cases j ust
i nt r oduced . The f our t h sect i on
xv i i i
One thing is clear about these three contingencies—they affect
thinking about strategy and its implementation. Each contingency
poses a different set of strategic questions with different answers,
and hese answers nd he capabihties hey uggest are no t
necessarily mutual ly upportive. The trategies and orces o ne
devises to deter strategic nuclear war, in other words, m ay no t help
deter conventional w ar in Europe, and they almost certainly have
little deterrent effect on low-intensity warfare in the third world.
Likewise, a lesson of the Vietnam W ar is hat preparations for
conventional w ar n Europe did no t ranslate nto appropriate
capability to deal with that situation. Similarly, fe w would argue
that all he counterinsurgency preparation n he world would
reduce the risk of strategic nuclear war. These points help define
the problem of trategy nd prepare a tarting point or o ur
investigation of making strategy. A s long as resources are scarce
and he llocation f resources o educe he risk n ne
contingency does no t necessarily reduce other risks as well, the
problem of trategy will be isk management ather han isk
alleviation. o w ne wisely evises lans f action nd
capabilities in support of those plans is thus at the heart of the art
of strategy making.
The organization of the rest of this b o o k is intended to facilitate
the reader's understanding and appreciation of strategic problems
and processes. n he irst ection, w e o o k at the evolut ion of
strategy and the process by which strategy is devised, a process
that forms the f ramework fo r th e entire book. This approach is
unique. M a n y authors have offered advice and counsel concerning
ho w o make trategy ecisions. his olume, n contrast,
concentrates on what decisions must be made and the factors that
influence those decisions. Thus, this book is descriptive rather than
prescriptive in nature. The second section deals with the political
dimensions f trategy n erms f he elationship etween
political and military objectives and th e constraints that political
realities place on strategy. The third section concentrates on the
mihtary dimensions of strategy and includes considerable material
on he contingency cases ust ntroduced. he ourth ection
examnes t he i n s t i t u t i o n a l and
ot her i nf l uences t h a t shape
deci si ons
wi t hi n t he s t r a t e gy pr ocess . I n
t he f i n a l s ec t i o n, we r e t u r n t o
t he
cont i ngency cases a s away t o
f r ame consi der at i on of f u t u r e
.
examines the institutional and other influences that shape decisions
within the strategy process. In the final section, w e return to the
three contingency cases as a w ay to frame consideration of future
strategic problems.
FRAMING TH E
ml i t ary st rat egy have not
changed i n
recorded hi st ory . M l i t a r y
l eaders ( s t r a t e g i s t s ) have al ways
st r uggl ed, w t h gr eater or
l esser degr ees of success, to
overcom t he pr obl ems
i nvol ved i n ma shal i ng and
usi ng
m l i t a r y f orces t o achi eve
a desi red obj ect i vewhi l e copi ngw t h
myr i ad i nf l uences, of whi ch arebeyond
anyone' s control .
aki ng strategy i s as
si mpl e,
easy,
or st rai ght f orward t oday as i t
once t have
The r o le of t he
m l i t a r y st rat egi st has be
or
compl i cat ed .
Moder ml i t a r y f or ces are
general l y l a r g e r ,
r l e t h a l ,
f a r mr compl ex i n t hei r
organi zat i on, and
often r speci al i zed
i n of t hei r f unct i ons .
Thus they
are re d i f f i c u l t and
expensi ve t o t ra in and support,
part i cul arl y f or oper at i ons
i n envi r onment s that d i f f e r
i n
oppor t uni t i es and rest rai nt s . Moder
ml i t a r y f orces oper at e
i n three di mensi ons ( l a nd, s e a ,
and a i r ) andperhaps even
i n
wor l dw de basi s . Al l
of
these f a c t o r s , and a host of others,
compl i cat e t he process
of
l eaders have devel oped var i ous
et ods f or copi ng
w t h t he
i ncreasi ng compl exi t i es of war f ar e
and t he at t endant
d i f f i c u l t i e s i n
devel opi ng ef f ect i ve st rat egi es
. The t
been t he
prol i f erat i on of
l arger m l i t a r y s t a f f organi zat i ons
and, w t h i n
t he s t a f f s , t he use of
omplex t ool s of anal ysi s .
Perhaps t he
ul t i mat e ext ensi on of t h i s
trend i s f ound i n t he
A eri c
ml i t a r yest abl i shment
w t h i t s el aborat e s t a f f syst emthat
often
1
CHAPTERl
STRATEGY IN PERSPECTIVE
The fundamentals o f military strategy have no t changed in
recorded history. Military leaders strategists) have always
struggled, with greater o r lesser degrees o f uccess, o
overcome he problems nvolved n marshaling and using
military forces t achieve a desired objective while coping with
myriad influences, many o f which are beyond anyone's control .
This is no t to say that the process of making strategy is as
simple, easy, or straightforward today as it once must have
been.
The role o f he military strategist has become more
compUcated. M o d e r n military orces are generally arger,
much more lethal, far more complex in their organization, and
often more specialized in many of their functions. Thus they
are more difficult and expensive o rain and support,
particularly o r operat ions n environments hat differ n
opportunities and restraints. M o d e r n military forces operate
in three dimensions (land, sea, and air) and perhaps even in a
fourth (space). Often they operate o n a worldwide basis. A ll
of these factors, and a host o f others, compUcate the process
o f making strategy.
difficulties n developing effective trategies. The most
obvious and pervasive o f hese methods has been he
proliferation of larger military staff organizations and, within
the staffs, the use o f complex tools o f analysis. Perhaps the
AKI STRATEGY
depends on sophi s i cat ed, hi gh- speed, o puter-b sed
quant i t at i ve anal ysi s t echni ques .
The al most overwhel m ng compl exi t y of mod r ml i t a r y
deci si onmaki ng obscures t he f a c t that t he f undament al s
of
strategyremai nunchangedWe st under st andhowandwhy
t he st r ategymaki ngprocess has evol ved bef or e
we
examne
t he
process i t s e l f . Al though i t l be i st ruct i ve t o begi n our
anal ysi s i n anci ent t i mes, i t w l l suf f ice t o begi n i n t he
ei ght eent h cent ur y . The two i nt er veni n cent ur i es have
w t nessed t l changes i n p o l i t i c s , econom cs, and
t echnol ogy that i l l u s t r a t e howandwhyt he strategyprocess
has
t he i ght eent h Ce t r
M l i t ar y hi st or i ans onl ref er to t he per i od fromt he
l a t t e r part of t he sevent eent h cent ur y t o t he begi nni ng of t he
.
The
l i mt at i onswerenei t her i n t erms of t he ber of war s f ought
.
of
bat
dur i ng
that per i od er general l y f ought f or l i m ted
obj ect i ves w t h l i m t ed resources andw t h a l i m ted ber
of bat t l es .
Theei ght eent h cent ur ywas t he age of absol ut emonarchi es
i n Eur ( Engl and bei ng a sem except i on) . The dynast i c
armes that suppor t ed t hese onar hs f ought war s f o r what
can onl y be c l a s s i f i e d
as
dynast i c obj ect i ves -as l i c e of l and
her e, a c i t y
there,
and t he r i g h t s of successi on t o
var i ous
t hrones . Suchobj ect i ves di d l i t t l e t o arouse t he man' s
ent husi asm f o r wr d gave himnoreal r easons t o r i sk h i s
l i f e i n bat t l e . The f er vor of t he r el i gi ous war of t he
sevent eent h cent ur y was a dimemor , and t he i deol ogi cal
passi ons pawne
by
t he Ameri c and Fr ch revol ut i ons
had
not
yet
appeared
quantitative analysis techniques.
decisionmaking obscures th e fact that the fundamentals of
strategy remain unchanged. We must understand how and why
the strategymaking process has evolved before we examine the
process itself. Although it would be instructive to begin our
analysis n ancient imes, t will uffice o begin in he
eighteenth century. The wo ntervening centuries have
witnessed monimiental changes in politics, economics, and
technology that illustrate how and why the strategy process has
evolved.
MiUtary historians commonly refer to the period from the
latter part of the seventeenth century to the beginning of the
French Revolut ion as an age of limited warfare. The
limitations were neither in terms of the number of wars fought
nor in terms of the number of years in which war occurred.
Nor was war limited in terms of combat casualties. Rather,
wars during that period were generally fought fo r limited
objectives with hmited resources and with a Umited number
of battles.
The eighteenth century was th e age of absolute monarchies
in Europe England being a semiexception). The dynastic
armies that supported these monarchs fought wars fo r what
can only be classified as dynastic objectives—a slice of land
here, a city there, and the ights of succession to various
thrones. Such objectives did Httle to arouse the common man's
enthusiasm fo r war and gave him no real easons to risk his
life n battle. The ervor of the eligious wars of the
seventeenth century was a dim memory, and the ideological
passions spawned by the American and French revolutions
had not yet appeared.
Dynast i c arm es were al so
l i m t ed i n size The l i m ted
t axat i on base of prei ndust r i al
econom es coul d not support
massi ve m l i t a r y est abl i shment s .
Further, pr i mt i ve, al most
subsi st ence
agai nst l arge- scal e
conscri t i on e f f o r t s that woul ds t r i p awayt he t
pr oduct i ve
n
servi ce . One
resul t of t h i s si t uat i onwas
that mer cenar y s o l d i e r s , s e l l i n g
t hei r
s k i l l s and servi ces t o
t he hi ghest bi dder r egar dl ess of
nat i onal i t y, mnated
uropean me . Such
mer cenar y f orces were
expensi ve t o mai nt i n . To f i l l out t he
ranks, onar h er f or ced t o
i mpress nonmer cenar i es,
dr aw ng themr i mari l y fromhe dr egs
of Europea soci et y.
Faced
w t h rel at i vel y smal l yet expensi ve
armes, m l i t a r y
l eaders
st r uggl ed t o i ncrease t he ef f ect i veness
of t hei r f or ces
by t he st
ef f ecti ve use of avai l abl e t echnol ogy .
The
was t hemuzz l e- l oadi ng smoot hbore
us et . Sl owt o
r el oad andonl y accurat e t o about
f i f t y yards
agai nst man- si zed
t ar get s , t hi s weapon' s l i mt at i on di ctated
t he t a c t i c s used ont he bat t l ef i el d
. Thepr obl ems er howt o
i ncrease f i r epower and
.
t he speed of rel oadi ng, t her eby
i ncreasi ng t he rat e of f i r e . But there
er l i m t s t o t he speed
at t ai nabl e
Asecond sol ut i onwas t o f i r e
musket s byvol l ey to
i ncrease
t hei r shock e f f e c t . A h i r d approachwas t o
pack r
menw t h
musket s ont o t he b a t t l e f i e l d . owever,
t he heavy
cr eat ed byei ght eent h- cent ur y
musket s often di d
as t o
f ri endl y f or ces ( by bl ow ng
i n t hei r
ear dr ums) as t he
musket s di d t o t he The sol ut i on
was
t o pack t hemen
t i g h t l y t oget her i n l ong, st rai ght
l i n e s so t hat
each mancoul d di scharge
h i s po w t hout doi ng
harmo
h i s comades ( al i gnment
bei ng al l i mpor t ant t o protect
f r i endl y
ear dr ums) . Al l three approaches
erecom ned
i n
t h i s t a c t i c a l
sol ut i on t o anessent i al l y
t echnol ogi cal probl em
and
fromt h i s sol ut i on t he term
l i near warf are, used t o
charact er i ze
era
3
taxation base of preindustrial economies could not support
massive military establishments. Further, primitive, almost
subsistence evel economies militated against arge-scale
conscription efforts that would strip away the most productive
members of a society and place them in military service. One
result of this situation was that mercenary soldiers, selHng their
skills and ervices o he highest bidder egardless of
nationali ty, dominated many European armies. Such
mercenary forces were expensive to maintain. To fill out the
ranks, monarchs were orced o mpress nonmercenaries,
drawing them primarily from the dregs of European society.
Faced with relatively small yet expensive armies, military
leaders straggled to increase the effectiveness of their forces
by making the most effective use of available technology. The
standard infantry weapon was the muzzle-loading smoothbore
musket. Slow to reload and only accurate to about fifty yards
against man-sized targets, this weapon's limitation dictated
the tactics used on the battlefield. The problems were how to
increase firepower and how best to use available firepower.
One solution was to increase the speed of reloading, thereby
increasing the rate of fire. But there were limits to the speed
attainable. A second solution was to fire muskets by volley to
increase their shock effect. A third approach was to pack more
men with muskets onto the battlefield. However, the heavy
muzzle blast created by eighteenth-century muskets often did
as much damage o riendly orces by blowing n their
eardrams) as the muskets did to the enemy. The solution was
to pack the men tightly together in long, straight lines so that
each man could discharge his weapon without doing harm to
his comrades alignment being a l important o protect
friendly eardrams). All three approaches were combined in
this tactical solution to an essentially technological problem,
and from this solution came the term inear warfare, used to
characterize th e tactical formations of th e era.
fronts . Consequent l y,
they ere
cl umsy t a c t i c a l f ormat i ons,
d i f f i c u l t t o depl o a f t e r
t he arc
t o t h e b a t t l e , and d i f f i c u l t
t o i n at t acki ng a f t e r
depl oyment . The at t ackers i n
ei ght eent h- cent ury bat t l ef i el d
m nuet s had t o mar ch, s t o p ,
real i gn t hei r f ormat i on, and
then
ar on-often whi l e
under f i r e fromar t i l l e ry
and
theywerecl ose enough
t o f i r e , e f f e c t i v e l y ,
often an
ext r emel y short r ange . I t was
reported, f or exampl e,
that i n t h e bat t l e
at Benheim1704) , t he
Br i t i sh di d not f i r e
t hei r f i r s t vol l ey
u n t i l t hei r l eadi ng
br i gadi er t ouched t he
French
bar r i cades w t h h i s swor d .
Needl ess
t o s a y , t he successf ul
appl i cat i on of l i near t a c t i c s
r equi r ed
sol di ers t o f ace such
r i g o r s .
Freder i ck t he Great , t he Prussi an
sol di er - ki ng, once
opi ned
that h i s men t f ear
t hei r o f f i c e r s r than
t hei r
uropeanarmes
even mnor br eaches
Sol di ers coul d bef l ogged
t o deat h onorders fromhei r
o f f i c e r s
( ho ere
most l y ber of t he n o b i l i t y )
w t h t he o f f i c i a l
causeof deat h
l i s t e d as "di ed byact of God "
Suchwas t he s t a t u s
of o f f i c e r s and
t hei r men
di sci pl i ne and t o t each
t he i n t r i c a t e maneuvers
r equi r ed
by l i near f ormat i ons, d r i l l
was endl ess andexact i ng .
Pr ussi an of f i cers were
noted f or t hei r use of
surveyors'
i nst r ument s t o al i gn and real i gn
r anks d r i l l i n g on parade
gr ounds
of
t he age of
l i near t a c t i c s .
Theresul t s of al l t hese
factors er several . F i r s t ,
as al r eady
ment i oned, armes
er rel at i vel y smal l and er
not drawn
fromhe
bul k of t he popul at i on Si nce
armes consi st ed of
mer cenar i es
andt he dr egs of s oc i e t y ,
t of anat i on' s soci et y
was
i sol at ed fromt s r y except i n
suppor t i ng i t through t ax
l e v i e s
of one sort or anot her . Second, monar hs
hesi t at ed t o
put t hei r
armes a t ser i ous r i s k because
t he t i me and
rebui l di ng
def eat ed ( even vi ct ori ous
4
they were clumsy tactical formations, difficult to deploy after
the march to the battle, and difficult to move in attacking after
deployment. The attackers in eighteenth-century battlefield
minuets had to march, stop, realign their formation, and then
march on—often while under ire rom artillery and
skirmishers-until they were close enough to fire, effectively,
often an extremely short range. It was reported, fo r example,
that in the battle at Blenheim (1704), the British did not fire
their first volley until their leading brigadier ouched the
French barricades with his sword.
Needless to say, the successful appUcation of linear tactics
required incredibly disciplined soldiers to face such rigors.
Frederick the Great, the Prussian soldier-king, once opined
that his men must fear their officers more than their enemy.
Harsh corporal punishment was universal in European armies
and was meted out fo r even minor breaches of discipline.
Soldiers could be flogged to death on orders from their officers
(who were mostly members of the nobility) with the official
cause of death listed as "died by act of God." Such was the status
of and their men.
To instill discipline and to teach the intricate maneuvers
required by linear formations, drill was endless and exacting.
Prussian officers were noted or heir use of surveyors'
instruments o align and realign ranks drilling n parade
grounds. Conventional wisdom held that it took tw o years of
discipline and practice to make a good soldier in the age of
linear tactics.
The results of all these factors were several. First, as already
mentioned, armies were relatively small and were not drawn
from the bulk of th e population. Since armies consisted of
mercenaries and the dregs of society, most of a nation's society
was isolated from its army except in supporting it through tax
levies of one sort or another. Second, monarchs hesitated to
put their armies at serious riskbecause of the time and cost of
rebuilding an army should it be defeated even victorious
armes requi red
consi derabl e
" r e b u i l d i n g " a f t e r maj or
b a t t l e s ) .
Thi r d, because armes er sl ow and um rsom t o
maneuver , bot h s i d e s had t o t a c i t l y agree t o f i g h t a b a t t l e .
Ei t her s i d e coul d w t hdraw f a s t e r t han t he other s i d e coul d
depl oy and arc w t h i n f i r i n g r ange . Fourth, war s t ended t o
be sl owmovi ngbecauseof pri mt i vet ransport at i onand suppl y
syst ems and because campai gni ng was usual l y l i mted
t o
went i n t o " i n t e r
q u a r t e r s , "
a
p r a c t i c e t ha t prevai l ed at l eas t t hrough t het i me
of
t he Amer i can C i v i l War .
I n
t erms o f s t r a t e g y , t he ar t o f t he eneral was l i m t e d t o
rather
narrow
c on f i nes , t h a t i s , pr i mar i l y t o t he b a t t l e f i e l d
i t s e l f . Cer t ai nl y l o g i s t i c s were a concern, but t he pr i mary
i n t e r e s t cent ered on t he b a t t l e f i e l d , and by ext ensi on t o t he
pract i ce f i e l d wher di sci pl i ne was i n s t i l l e d and l i near
m ent mast ered. Tobe s u r e , t hevagar i es of i n t e r n a t i o n a l
p o l i t i c s were i mpor t ant , p a r t i c u l a r l y i n choosi ng one' s a l l i e s
and l i m t i n g one' s enemes . But t he hor i zons o f t he s t r a t e g i s t
were l im ted
and t heprocess of
maki ng s t r a t e g y was r e l a t i v e l y
si mpl e by oder st andards .
Of t en i n t e r n a t i ona l p o l i t i c a l
consi derat i ons andb a t t l e f i e l d
s t r a t e g i e s were t he provi nce
of
a s i n g l e person, t he "warr i or
ki ng "
Fr eder i ck t he Gr eat i s an
exc el l e n t exampl e of t h i s phenomenon, a s i s Napol eon Aswe
s ha l l s ee , however , t he s t r a t e g i s t ' s task soon be s o
compl ex t h a t s p e c i a l i s t s were requi red t o di vi det hewor k l oad .
Fo dati on of Moder arf re
TheAmer i can and French revol ut i ons near t he end of t he
ei ght eent h cent ury ret urned i deol ogy
and i t s passi ons t o
war f are . Al t hough t he Amer i can
Revol ut i on preceded i t s
French counterpart, i t was probabl y l e s s
s i g n i f i c a n t i n i t s
i mmedi at e e f f e c t onwar f are
TheAmer i canRevol ut i onwas a
rel at i vel y smal l af f ai r i n a remote cor ner of the
ei ghteent h- cent ury wor l d . Further, i t di d not
generat e t he
m ss emot i onal i sm of t he French Revol ut i on
Hi stor i ans
Third, because armies were low and cumbersome o
maneuver, both sides had to tacitly agree to fight a battle.
Either side could withdraw faster than the other side could
deploy and march within firing range. Fourth, wars tended to
be slow moving because of primitive transportation and supply
systems and because campaigning was usually limited o
seasons of mild weather. Armies often went nto "winter
quarters," a practice that prevailed at least through the time of
the American Qvil War.
In terms of strategy, the art of the general was limited to
rather narrow confines, that is, primarily to the battlefield
itself. Certainly logistics were a concern, but the primary
interest centered on the battlefield, and by extension to the
practice ield where discipline was nstilled and linear
movements mastered. To be sure, the vagaries of international
politics were important, particularly in choosing one's aUies
and limiting one's enemies. But the horizons of the strategist
were limited and the process of making strategy was relatively
simple by modern standards. Often international politick
considerations and battlefield strategies were the province of
a single person, th "warrior king." Frederick the Great is an
excellent example of this phenomenon, as is Napoleon. As we
shall ee, however, he trategist's ask oon become o
complex that specialists were required to divide the work load.
Foundations ofModern Warfare
The American and French revolutions near the end of the
eighteenth century returned ideology and ts passions o
warfare. Although he American Revolution preceded its
French counterpart, t was probably less ignificant in its
immediate effect on warfare. The American Revolution was a
relatively small affair n a remote corner o f he
eighteenth-century world. Further, it did no t generate the
mass emotionalism of the French Revolution. Historians
AKI STRATEGY
est i mat e that onl y about one- t hi r d of meri an
acti vel y
suppor t ed t he revol ut i on, about one- t hi r d opposed
i t , and
The French Revol ut i on, ont he ot her
hand, ws amassi ve
upheaval i n t he cent er of
e t r c i v i l i z a t i o n . I t aroused
f i ercepassi ons andchanged t he
face of war f ar e I n def endi ng
i t s revol ut i on from
reacti onary f orei gn monarchi es,
France
a
i n
arms w t h al arge r recrui t ed f omhe
masses and
mot i vat e byt he passi ons of popul ar nat i onal i sm
Nap l eon l at er
harnessed p ul ar nat i onal i sm f or hi s
purposes and as thus abl e t o f i e l d hugearm es and
t o r epl ace
f earsome
l osses w t h recrui t s suppl i ed bya
nat i on dedi cat ed
t o l i t t l e r than support of i t s r
The meri c and French revol ut i ons
gave t he
ma acauseheconsi der ed
wrthdyi ng f o r i n b a t t l e . Theywere
cruci al st eps on t he
road t o od rn t o t a l war . owever,
anot her revol ut i on, t he i ndust r i al
revol ut i on, had e f f e c t s of at
l east equal i mpor t ance .
Oneof t he f i r s t
e f f e c t s rought b t he i ndust ri al r evol ut i on
was t he mechani zat i on
of t ranspor t at i on by t he advent of
steam r and
t he devel opment of rai l roads . I n t he
Uni ted
States,
t he i mpact of r a i l transport onwar f ar ewas f i r s t
f e l t i n
a maj or way dur i ng t he C i v i l War . Rai l r oads
r api d
al l owed these depl oyed
t obesuppl i ed e f f i c i e n t l y . The
s t r a t e g i s t s ' hor i zons expanded beyondt he
narrowconf i nes of
i ndi vi dual bat t l ef i el ds
t o encompass hol theaters of
oper at i ons, and ometi es
extended t o several w del y
separ at ed theaters .
Ra l r oads, com ned
w t h armes, al so ef f ect i vel y
ended
t he era of t he "deci si ve" bat t l e as t he det erm ner of a
war ' s
out ome Previ ousl y, war s had often consi st ed of l i t t l e
ore than one or two l arge pi t ched bat t l es a f t e r w i ch t he
def eat ed si de sued f or peace . Because rai l r oads al l owed rapi d
r ei nf or cement or r epl acement of def eat ed f orces,
they
any one vi ct ory or def eat l e s s deci si ve . Thus, t he C i v i l
War
6
estimate hat only about one-third of Americans actively
supported the evolution, about one-third opposed it, nd
one-third were neutral.
The French Revolution, on the other hand, was a massive
upheaval in the center of Western civilization. t aroused
fierce passions and changed the face of warfare. In defending
its revolution from reactionary foreign monarchies, France
became a nation in arms with a large army recruited from the
masses and motivated by the passions of popular nationalism.
Napoleon later harnessed popular nationalism o r his
purposes and was thus able to field huge armies and to replace
fearsome losses with recruits supplied by a nation dedicated
to little more than support of its army.
The American and French revolutions gave the common
man a cause he considered worth dying fo r in battle. They were
crucial steps on the oad to modern total war. However,
another revolution, the industrial revolution, had effects of at
least equal importance.
One of the first effects wrought by the industrial revolution
was the mechanization of transportation by the advent of
steam power and the development of railroads. In th e United
States, the impact of rail transport on warfare was first felt in
a major way during he Qvil War. Railroads made apid
transport of mass armies over great distances possible and
allowed these deployed armies to be supphed efficiently. The
strategists' horizons expanded beyond the narrow confines of
individual battlefields o encompass whole heaters of
operations, and ometimes extended o everal widely
separated theaters.
Railroads, combined with mass armies, also effectively
ended the era of the "decisive" battle as the determiner of a
war's outcome. Previously, wars had often consisted of little
more than one or two large pitched battles after which the
defeated side sued fo r peace. Because railroads allowed rapid
reinforcement or replacement of defeated forces, they made
STRATEGYINPE SPECTIVE
pr oceeded f o r f our years i n s p i t e of maj or b a t t l e s , any of
whi chm ght previ ousl y havebeendeci si ve .
The const r uct i on, mai nt enance, and
oper at i on of an
ef f ect i ve rai l road
syst em al so r equi r ed a
l arge
i dust r i al
capaci t y, theresources to feed that i ndustry, andconsi derabl e
t echni cal exper t i se
i n r a i l
operat i ons . Thes t r a t e g i s t was agai n
f or ced t o broaden hi s hor i zons, t h i s t i me t o i ncl ude such
"nonm l i t ar y" consi der at i ons as the mobi l i zat i on and
oper at i on of the nat i on' s i ndust ri al i nf rast ructure .
Other products of t he i ndust r i al r evol ut i on al so changed t he
f ace of ar . For exampl e, t he mme bal l (na ed a f t e r t he
French i nvent or aude $ti enn Mni e)
sol ved t he
of
musket s qui ckl y and
w t h i t s devel opment r i f l e d
po be t he st andard f o r
Ci vi l War i nf ant ry . R f l ed po s provi ded f a r greater
accuracy andvast l y i ncr eased ef f ecti ve ranges h ompared
w t h smoothbor musket s, a ci r cumst ance w t h f ar - reachi ng
i mpl i cat i ons . The r i f l e spel l ed t he end of r i g i d l i near t a c t i c s
and f or ced i nf ant ry t o "go t o gr ound" f or survi val . Gr eat er
accuracy a t l ong r ange t i ncr eased c as ua l t i e s , pl aci ng
great er emphasi s onmedi cal servi ces andi ncreasi ng t he need
f or an ef f i ci ent r epl acement syst em or r epl acement s
st rai ned t he troop
t rai ni ng
syst em as wel as t he l o g i s t i c a l
syst em
i ncl udi ng
t he i ndust r i al pr oduct i on r equi r ed t o equi p
newsol di ers . Br eech- l oadi ng eapon ereal so used dur i ng
t he Ci vi l War ( al t hough
general l y
not as st andar d i s s u e ) ,
whi ch
i ncr eased t he aver age rate of f i r e andpl aced great er s t r a i n on
l o g i s t i c a l syst ems and i ndust r i al capaci t y
Al l of these factors l ed o t he est abl i shment of l a y e r s of
subor di nat e t o cont r ol arm es and t he
prol i f erat i on of speci al i zed s t a f f s t o pr ovi de t echni cal
exper t i se ThePrussi ans f i r s t r ecogni zed t he need f o r super i or
s t a f f wor and,
dur i ng t he Napol eoni c War s, establ i shed a
general s t a f f syst em h a t , w t h l a t e r modi f i cat i ons, be t he
t he e ternwor l d ther nat i ons
f ol l owed s u i t , t oone
degr ee or anot her , but f ewequal ed t he syst em
of educat i on
STRATEGY IN PERSPECTIVE
proceeded fo r four years in spite of many major