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Page 1: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

!"#$%&#'()%#*%+&#,(%-.-/0#12%

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Page 2: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

=#*%>(%-1(4+?$%>"#$%>+00%@(?.&(%-.-/0#12%

Page 3: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

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Page 4: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

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Page 5: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

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Page 6: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

!"#$%&'($)*$+,-'./0

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Page 7: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

Related  work

• Social  networks  -   Gladwell,  2002  -   Rogers,  2003  -   Romero  et  al,  2011  

• Video  popularity  -   Pinto  et  al,  2013  -   Shamma  et  al,  2011  -   Nwana  et  al,  2013  

• High-­‐level  aJributes  -   Dhar  et  al,  2011  -   Isola  et  al,  2011  -   PaJerson  et  al,  2012  -   Khosla  et  al,  2013  

• Text  popularity  -   Petrovic  et  al,  2011  -   Hong  et  al,  2011  

Page 8: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

Overview

• What  is  image  popularity?  

• Predict  popularity  using  image  content?  

• How  does  this  compare  to  social  factors?  

• What  makes  an  image  popular?  

• Conclusions  and  future  work  

Page 9: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

Overview

• What  is  image  popularity?  

• Predict  popularity  using  image  content?  

• How  does  this  compare  to  social  factors?  

• What  makes  an  image  popular?  

• Conclusions  and  future  work  

Page 10: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

!",*$)($)+,7'$8&892,.)*#/0

Page 11: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

!",*$)($)+,7'$8&892,.)*#/0

Page 12: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

!",*$)($)+,7'$8&892,.)*#/0

Page 13: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

!",*$)($)+,7'$8&892,.)*#/0

Page 14: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

What  is  image  popularity?

• Context  dependent  

Facebook  newsfeed  

Flickr  search  results  

Flickr  user  

Page 15: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

:&892,.)*#$%,*,('*0

3(%<)&

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Page 16: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

V)%*I;9%!(0!&%U4U&(#'(3(',2/&,)%*)&

:&892,.)*#$;&<*'=*(0

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V)%*I5(O&%U4U&S2!%+""=&#%<)7%%'&

Page 17: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

Popularity  metric

Page 18: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

Popularity  metric

Page 19: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

Popularity  metric

   

   

 Task:  predict  log  normalized  views  

 

Measure:  rank  correla7on  (ρ)  Szabo  and  Huberman,  2010  

Page 20: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

Overview

• What  is  image  popularity?  

• Predict  popularity  using  image  content?  

• How  does  this  compare  to  social  factors?  

• What  makes  an  image  popular?  

• Conclusions  and  future  work  

Page 21: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

:.'%);><7$8&892,.)*#$9()<7$)+,7'$;&<*'<*0

1.2 2.7

0.7 4.5

3.6 5.3

X&

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7&

?

@UC&

Page 22: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

:.'%);><7$8&892,.)*#$9()<7$)+,7'$;&<*'<*0

•! ;(59/%&(524%&7%2$,*%T&(524%&(#$%#)($8&

norm

aliz

ed v

iew

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intensity mean 0 0.5 1 0

9

18

1.2

AUDC&

Page 23: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

:.'%);><7$8&892,.)*#$9()<7$)+,7'$;&<*'<*0

•! ;(59/%&(524%&7%2$,*%T&(524%&(#$%#)($8&

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aliz

ed v

iew

s

intensity mean 0 0.5 1 0

9

18

1.2

AUDC&

3.6

AUYC&

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Page 24: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

:.'%);><7$8&892,.)*#$9()<7$)+,7'$;&<*'<*0

•! ;(59/%&(524%&7%2$,*%T&(524%&(#$%#)($8&

1.2

AUDC&

3.6

AUYC&

X&rank corr = -0.00

intensity mean 0 0.5 1 0

9

18

norm

aliz

ed v

iew

s

Page 25: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

:.'%);><7$8&892,.)*#$9()<7$)+,7'$;&<*'<*0

•! ;(59/%&(524%&7%2$,*%T&(524%&(#$%#)($8&

rank corr = -0.00 rank corr = 0.01 rank corr = -0.02

norm

aliz

ed v

iew

s

norm

aliz

ed v

iew

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norm

aliz

ed v

iew

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intensity mean intensity variance intensity skewness 0 0.5 1 0

9

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0 0.125 0.25 0

9

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-5

8

20

-50 50 150

Page 26: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

:.'%);><7$8&892,.)*#$9()<7$)+,7'$;&<*'<*0

•! ;(59/%&(524%&7%2$,*%)T&H;E&!"/"*&)92!%&

Page 27: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

Predic>ng  popularity  using  image  content

•  Simple  image  features:  HSV  color  space  

rank corr = -0.05

norm

aliz

ed v

iew

s

mean hue

norm

aliz

ed v

iew

s

norm

aliz

ed v

iew

s

rank corr = 0.02 rank corr = 0.01

mean saturation mean value 0 0.5 1 0

10

20

0 0.5 1 0

10

20

0 0.5 1 0

10

20

Page 28: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

:.'%);><7$8&892,.)*#$9()<7$)+,7'$;&<*'<*0

I*-/$%%I&#,(%

<JK%KI9A% 9ILA%=.&-/$(1%%D+)+.*%M(#$/1()%

9/--.1$%N(?$.1%

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DUZ& I&#,(%-.-/0#1+$5%

Page 29: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

:.'%);><7$8&892,.)*#$9()<7$)+,7'$;&<*'<*0

>*2'(%#$&%U4U&HW>&[K2/2/&@AAY\&

>()$&%U4U&>L;N&[W/(32&@AAD\&

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R"/"*&%U4U&[32#&'%&P%(_%*&@AAZ\&

K%%9&/%2*#(#4&%U4U&[M*(6:%3)=8&@AD@\&

DAAA&W+_%!$)&%U4U&[M*(6:%3)=8&@AD@\&

2(*9/2#%&+(!8!/%&+(*'&+"2$&+"J/%&"*2#4%&+%#!:&

X&9%*)"#&):%%9&$*2(#&$%/%3()("#&'"4&7"O&

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Page 30: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

Predic>ng  popularity  using  image  content

0  

0.1  

0.2  

0.3  

0.4  

User-­‐specific  

rank  correla-o

n  

Page 31: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

Predic>ng  popularity  using  image  content

0  

0.1  

0.2  

0.3  

0.4  

One-­‐per-­‐user  

User-­‐mix  

User-­‐specific  

rank  correla-o

n  

Page 32: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

Predic>ng  popularity  using  image  content

Page 33: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

Predic>ng  popularity  using  image  content

Page 34: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

Overview

• What  is  image  popularity?  

• Predict  popularity  using  image  content?  

• How  does  this  compare  to  social  factors?  

• What  makes  an  image  popular?  

• Conclusions  and  future  work  

Page 35: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

Predic>ng  popularity  using  social  cues

• User  informa-on  • Mean  views  • Photo  count  • Contacts  • Groups  • Group  members  • Member  dura-on  • Is  pro  

• Image  informa-on  • Tags  • Title  length  • Descrip-on  length  

Page 36: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

Predic>ng  popularity  using  social  cues

-­‐0.1  

0  

0.1  

0.2  

0.3  

0.4  

0.5  

0.6  

0.7  

0.8  

One-­‐per-­‐user  

User-­‐mix  

User-­‐specific  

rank  correla-o

n  

Page 37: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

Predic>ng  popularity  using  image  +  social  cues

0  

0.2  

0.4  

0.6  

Content  only   Social  only   Combined  

One-­‐per-­‐user  

User-­‐mix  

User-­‐specific  

rank  correla-o

n  

Page 38: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

Predic>ng  popularity  using  image  +  social  cues

0  

0.2  

0.4  

0.6  

0.8  

1  

Content  only   Social  only   Combined  

One-­‐per-­‐user  

User-­‐mix  

User-­‐specific  

rank  correla-o

n  

Page 39: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

Predic>ng  popularity  using  image  +  social  cues

0  

0.2  

0.4  

0.6  

0.8  

1  

Content  only   Social  only   Combined  

One-­‐per-­‐user  

User-­‐mix  

User-­‐specific  

rank  correla-o

n  

Page 40: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

Overview

• What  is  image  popularity?  

• Predict  popularity  using  image  content?  

• How  does  this  compare  to  social  factors?  

• What  makes  an  image  popular?  

• Conclusions  and  future  work  

Page 41: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

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32#&'%&P%(_%*&%$&2/?&REFB&@AAc&

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Page 42: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

!",*$+,4'($,<$)+,7'$8&892,./0

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Page 43: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

What  makes  an  image  popular?

colors

colo

r im

port

ance

Page 44: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

!",*$+,4'($,<$)+,7'$8&892,./0

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M*(6:%3)=8&%$&2/?&GLF;&@AD@&

L524%& W+_%!$&&!2$%4"*8&

Page 45: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

What  makes  an  image  popular?

•  tench,  Tinca  -nca  •  goldfish,  Carassius  auratus  •  great  white  shark  •   -ger  shark,  Galeocerdo  cuvieri  •  hammerhead,  hammerhead  shark  

•  electric  ray,  crampfish,  numbfish,  torpedo  

•  s-ngray  •  cock  •  hen  •  ostrich,  Struthio  camelus  

•  brambling,  Fringilla  mon-fringilla  

•  goldfinch,  Carduelis  carduelis  •  house  finch,  linnet,  Carpodacus  mexicanus  

•  junco,  snowbird  •  indigo  bun-ng  •  robin,  American  robin  

•  bulbul    

•  jay  •  magpie  

•  chickadee  •  water  ouzel,  dipper  •  kite  •  bald  eagle,  American  eagle,  Haliaeetus  leucocephalus  

•  vulture  •  great  grey  owl,  great  gray  owl,  Strix  nebulosa  •  European  fire  salamander,  Salamandra  salamandra  

•  common  newt,  Triturus  vulgaris  

•  eg  •  spoJed  salamander,  Ambystoma  maculatum  

•  axolotl,  mud  puppy,  Ambystoma  mexicanum  

•  bullfrog,  Rana  catesbeiana  •  tree  frog,  tree-­‐frog  •  tailed  frog,  bell  toad,  ribbed  toad,  tailed  toad,  Ascaphus  trui  •  loggerhead,  loggerhead  turtle,  CareJa  careJa  

Page 46: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

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Page 47: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

a%'(,5&9")(-3%&(592!$&&

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Page 48: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

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Page 49: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

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Page 50: 0#12% - Massachusetts Institute of Technologypeople.csail.mit.edu/khosla/slides/ · Whatmakesanimagepopular? • tench, Tinca&nca& • goldfish, Carassiusauratus • greatwhiteshark

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Overview

• What  is  image  popularity?  

• Predict  popularity  using  image  content?  

• How  does  this  compare  to  social  factors?  

• What  makes  an  image  popular?  

• Conclusions  and  future  work  

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Conclusion

• Image  popularity  can  be  predicted  to  a  reasonable  extent  using  content  alone!  

• Both  image  content  and  social  cues  are  important  for  popularity  predic-on  

• Content/social  cues  help  to  a  different  degree  in  different  contexts  

• We  iden-fy  some  factors  that  make  an  image  popular  

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Future  work

• Predic-ng  other  no-ons  of  popularity    e.g.  shareability,  likeability,  comments  

• Temporal  evolu-on  of  popularity  

• Effect  of  high-­‐level  aJributes  such  as  emo-ons  

• Automa-cally  modifying  image  popularity  

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hPp://popularity.csail.mit.edu  

Thank  you!