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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-1

    Strategic ManagementConcepts & Cases

    8thedition

    Fred R. David

    Chapter 3:The External Assessment

    PowerPoint Slides By:

    Anthony F. Chelte

    Western New England College

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-2

    Comprehensive Strategic Management Model

    Vision

    &MissionStatements

    Chapter 2

    External

    Audit

    Chapter 3

    Internal

    Audit

    Chapter 4

    Long-Term

    Objectives

    Chapter 5

    Generate,

    Evaluate,Select

    Strategies

    Chapter6

    Implement

    Strategies:Mgmt Issues

    Chapter 7

    Implement

    Strategies:Marketing,Fin/Acct,R&D, CIS

    Chapter 8

    Measure &

    EvaluatePerformance

    Chapter 9

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-3

    External Assessment

    If you're not faster than your competitor,youre in a tenuous position, and ifyoure only half as fast, youre terminal.

    George Salk

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-4

    External Assessment (Contd)

    The idea is to concentrate our strengthagainst our competitors relativeweakness.

    Bruce Henderson

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-5

    External Assessment (Contd)

    External Strategic-Management Audit

    Industry analysis

    Environmental scanning

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-6

    External Assessment (Contd)

    External audit:

    Focuses on identifying &

    evaluating events beyond theimmediate control of the firm

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-7

    External Assessment (Contd)

    External audit focuses on:

    Increased foreign competition

    Population shifts

    Demographics (e.g., aging population)

    Information technology

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-8

    External Assessment (Contd)

    External audit reveals:

    Key opportunities

    Key threats

    Managers then formulate strategies:

    Take advantage of opportunities

    Avoid/reduce impact of threats

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-9

    External Assessment (Contd)

    External Audit

    Aimed at identifying key variables thatofferactionableresponses

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-10

    External Assessment (Contd)

    Key External Forces

    Five (5) broad categories:

    Economic forces

    Social, cultural, demographic, &environmental forces

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-11

    External Assessment (Contd)

    Key External Forces (Contd)

    Five (5) broad categories:

    Political, governmental, & legal forces

    Technological forces

    Competitive forces

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-12

    External Assessment (Contd)

    Key

    ExternalForces

    CompetitorsSuppliers

    DistributorsCreditors

    CustomersEmployees

    CommunitiesManagers

    StockholdersLabor UnionsSpecial Interest Groups

    ProductsServices

    Opportunities

    &Threats

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-13

    External Assessment (Contd)

    Process of External Audit:

    Involve as many managers & employees as possible

    Gather competitive intelligence

    Information about social, demographic, cultural,environmental, etc.

    Monitor sources of information (key magazines,articles, etc.)

    Utilization of Internet

    Suppliers, distributors, customers as sources ofinformation

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-14

    External Assessment (Contd)

    Key External Factors:

    Vary over time

    &

    Vary by industry

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-15

    External Assessment (Contd)

    Key External Factors:

    Important to achieving long-term

    objectives

    Measurable

    Applicable to all competing firms

    Hierarchical

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-16

    External Assessment (Contd)

    Examples of Key External Factors:

    Market share

    Breadth of competing products World economies

    Proprietary & key account advantages

    Price competitiveness Technological advancements

    Interest rates

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-17

    Economic Forces

    Monitor Key Economic Variables:

    Availability of credit

    Level of disposable income Interest rates

    Inflation rates

    Money market rates

    Federal government budget deficits Gross domestic product trend

    Consumption patterns

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-18

    Economic Forces (Contd)

    Monitor Key Economic Variables: (Contd)

    Unemployment trends

    Worker productivity levels Value of the dollar in world markets

    Stock market trends

    Foreign countries economic conditions

    Import/export factors Demand shifts for goods/services

    Income differences by region/customer

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-19

    Economic Forces (Contd)

    Monitor Key Economic Variables: (Contd)

    Price fluctuations

    Exportation of labor & capital

    Monetary policies

    Fiscal policies

    Tax rates

    ECC policies OPEC policies

    LDC policies

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-20

    Social & Environmental Forces

    Social, cultural, demographic, andenvironmental changes:

    Major impact on:Products

    Services

    Markets

    Customers

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-21

    Social & Environmental Forces(Contd)

    World population > 6 billion

    U.S. population < 300 millionGreat potential for domestic production

    expansion to other markets

    Domestic only is a risky strategy

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-22

    Social & Environmental Forces(Contd)

    53.3346 m30 mOceania

    28.52392 m305 mNorth America

    16.08729 m628 mEurope

    60.52809 m504 mLatin America

    140.321.8 b749 mAfrica

    47.225.3 b3.6 bAsia

    % Increase20501998Country

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-23

    Social & Environmental Forces(Contd)

    E-commerce Perspective

    Question:

    Is the Internet Revolution BypassingPoor, Minorities?

    Answer:

    Yes!

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-24

    Social & Environmental Forces(Contd)

    Internet revolution is widening the gapbetween rich & poor

    42% U.S. households have personalcomputers

    80% of them are in householdsw/family income > $75,000

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-25

    Social & Environmental Forces(Contd)

    Internet usage lowest (3%) amongAmericans earning $10K or less

    26.7% of White Americans use Internetat home compared to 9.2% Blacks &8.8% of Hispanics

    90% shares of common stock ofAmerican companies held by thewealthiest 10% of Americans

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-26

    Social & Environmental Forces(Contd)

    Key social, cultural, demographic, &environmental variables:

    Childbearing rates Number of special-interest groups

    Number of marriages

    Number of divorces

    Number of births

    Number of deaths

    Immigration & emigration rates

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-27

    Social & Environmental Forces(Contd)

    Key social, cultural, demographic, &environmental variables: (Contd)

    Life expectancy rates Per capita income

    Attitudes toward business

    Average disposable income

    Buying habits

    Ethical concerns

    Attitudes toward saving

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-28

    Social & Environmental Forces(Contd)

    Key social, cultural, demographic, &environmental variables: (Contd)

    Racial equality Average level of education

    Government regulation

    Attitudes toward customer service

    Attitudes toward product quality

    Energy conservation

    Social responsibility

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-29

    Social & Environmental Forces(Contd)

    Key social, cultural, demographic, &environmental variables: (Contd)

    Value placed on leisure time

    Recycling

    Waste management

    Air & water pollution

    Ozone depletion

    Endangered species

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-30

    Political, Govt., & Legal Forces

    Government Regulation

    Key opportunities & key threats

    Antitrust legislation (Microsoft)

    Tax ratesLobbying efforts

    Patent laws

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-31

    Political, Govt., & Legal Forces(Contd)

    Increasing Global Interdependence

    Impact of political variables

    Formulation of strategies

    Implementation of strategies

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-32

    Political, Govt., & Legal Forces(Contd)

    Increasing Global Interdependence

    Strategists in a global economy

    Forecast political climates

    Legalistic skillsDiverse world cultures

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-33

    Political, Govt., & Legal Forces(Contd)

    Globalization of Industry

    Worldwide trend toward similar

    consumption patterns

    Global buyers & sellers

    E-commerce

    Instant transmission of money &information across continents

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-34

    Political, Govt., & Legal Forces(Contd)

    Key Political, govt., & legal variables:

    Government regulation/deregulation

    Tax law changes

    Special tariffs

    Political Action Committees (PACs)

    Voter participation rates Number of patents

    Changes in patent laws

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-35

    Political, Govt., & Legal Forces(Contd)

    Key Political, govt.,& legal variables: (Contd)

    Environmental protection laws

    Equal employment legislation

    Level of government subsidies

    Antitrust legislation/enforcement

    Sino-American relationships

    Russian-American relationships

    European-American relationships

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-36

    Political, Govt., & Legal Forces(Contd)

    Key Political, govt.,& legal variables:(Contd)

    African-American relationships

    Import-export regulations

    Monetary policy

    Political conditions in other countries

    Government budgets

    World oil, currency, & labor markets

    Location and severity of terrorist activities

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-37

    Technological Forces

    Technological Change

    Dramatic effect on businessFiber optics

    Biometrics

    EFT

    Computer engineering

    Superconductivity advancements

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-38

    Technological Forces (Contd)

    Internet impact on opportunities & threats:

    Altering life cycles of products

    Increasing speed of distribution Creating new products & services

    Erasing limitations of traditional

    geographic markets

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-39

    Technological Forces (Contd)

    Internet impact on opportunities & threats:(Contd)

    Altering economies of scale Changing entry barriers

    Redefining relationships

    Industries & suppliers, creditors,customers, and competitors

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-40

    Technological Forces (Contd)

    Capitalizing on Information Technology (IT)

    Chief Information Officer (CIO)

    Chief Technology Officer (CTO)

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-41

    Competitive Forces

    External Audit & Competing Firms

    Identifying rival firms

    StrengthsWeaknesses

    Capabilities

    Opportunities

    ThreatsObjectives

    Strategies

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-42

    Competitive Forces (Contd)

    Competitor Information Sources:

    Moodys Manuals

    Standard Corporation DescriptionsValue Line Investment Surveys

    Duns Business Rankings

    Standard & Poors Industry Surveys Industry Week

    Forbes, Fortune, Business Week

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-43

    Competitive Forces (Contd)

    Most competitive firms in America Seven Characteristics

    Market share matters

    Understand what business youare in

    Broke or not, fix itInnovate or evaporate

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-44

    Competitive Forces (Contd)

    Most competitive firms in America(Contd)

    Seven Characteristics

    Acquisition is essential to growth

    People make a difference

    No substitute for quality

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-45

    Competitive Analysis: Porters Five-Forces Model

    Potential development

    of substitute products

    Rivalry amongcompeting firms

    Bargaining powerof suppliers

    Potential entry of newcompetitors

    Bargaining powerof consumers

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-46

    Global Challenge

    Differences U.S. and MNCs

    Affect strategic management:

    LanguageCulture

    Politics

    Economy

    Government interferenceLabor relations

    Trade barriers

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-47

    Industry Analysis (EFE)

    External Factor Evaluation MatrixSummarize & evaluate:

    CompetitivePoliticalCultural

    TechnologicalEnvironmentalSocial

    GovernmentalDemographicEconomic

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-48

    Industry Analysis (EFE)(Contd)

    Five-Step process:

    List key external factors (10-20)Opportunities & threats

    Assign weight to each (0 to 1.0)

    Sum of all weights = 1.0

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-49

    Industry Analysis (EFE)(Contd)

    Five-step process:

    Assign 1-4 rating to each factor

    Firms current strategies response to thefactor

    Multiply each factors weight by itsrating

    Produces a weighted score

    I d t A l i (EFE)

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-50

    Industry Analysis (EFE)(Contd)

    Five-step process:

    Sum the weighted scores for eachDetermines the total weighted score

    for the organization.

    Highest possible weighted score forthe organization is 4.0; the lowest,1.0. Average = 2.5

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-51

    .201.20Clinton Administration

    .202.10Bad media exposure from FDA

    .102.05Smokeless market SE region U.S.

    .153.05Production limits on tobacco

    .202.10Legislation against the tobacco industry

    Threats.303.10More social pressure to quit smoking

    2.101.00TOTAL

    .604.15Pinkerton leader in discount market

    .051.05Astronomical Internet growth

    .153.05Increased demand

    .151.15Global markets untapped

    Weighted

    scoreRatingWeight

    USTKey External Factors

    Opportunities

    I d A l i (EFE)

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-52

    Industry Analysis (EFE)(Contd)

    Total weighted score of 4.0 =

    Organization response is outstanding to

    threats & weaknesses

    Total weighted score of 1.0 =

    Firms strategies not capitalizing on

    opportunities or avoiding threats

    I d t A l i (EFE)

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-53

    Industry Analysis (EFE)(Contd)

    UST (in the previous example), has

    a total weighted score of 2.10indicating that the firm is belowaverage in its effort to pursue

    strategies that capitalize onexternal opportunities and avoidthreats.

    I d t A l i (EFE)

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-54

    Industry Analysis (EFE)(Contd)

    Important

    Understanding of the factors used in theEFE Matrix is more important than the

    actual weights and ratings assigned.

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-55

    Industry Analysis (CPM)

    Competitive Profile Matrix

    Identifies firms major competitorsand their strengths & weaknessesin relation to a sample firmsstrategic position

    (CPM) Procter

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-56

    (CPM) ProcterAvon LOreal & Gamble

    2.803.253.151.00Total

    0.1530.2040.0510.05Market Share0.4020.4020.8040.20Global Expansion

    0.2020.4040.4040.10Customer Loyalty

    0.4530.4530.6040.15Financial Position0.3030.3030.4040.10Management

    0.4040.3030.3030.10Price Competition

    0.3030.4040.4040.10Product Quality

    0.6030.8040.2010.20Advertising

    ScoreRatingScoreRatingScoreRatingWeightCritical SuccessFactor

    K T & C t

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    2001 Prentice Hall

    Ch. 3-57

    Key Terms & Concepts

    America Online Chief Information

    Officer (CIO)

    Chief Technology

    Officer (CTO) Competitive advantages

    Competitive analysis

    Competitive intelligence

    (CI) Competitive Profile

    Matrix (CPM)

    Critical success factors Cyberspace

    Decruiting

    Director of competitive

    analysis Downsizing

    Econometric models

    Environmental scanning

    External audit External Factor

    Evaluation (EFE) Matrix

    K T & C t (C td)

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    Ch 3 58

    Key Terms & Concepts (Contd)

    External forces Industry analysis

    Information Technology(IT)

    Industrial policies Internet learning from

    the partner

    Linear regression

    Lifecare facilities Porters Five-Forces

    Model

    Netscape

    On-Line databases Rightsizing

    Trend extrapolation

    World Wide Web (www)