050407 watts g talk
TRANSCRIPT
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Single Top Productionat the Tevatron
Top Quark SymposiumUniversity of MichiganApril 7, 2005Gordon Watts
for D and CDF
Searches
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A Lonely Production
Too small for theTevatron (LHC?) Tait hep-ph/990352
s-channel t-channel
s NLO = 0.88pb 8% s NLO = 1.98pb 11%hep-hp/207055 (Harris, Laenen, Phaf, Sullivan, Weinzierl)
Pair Production
Weak Decay VertexVtb , unitarityExotic Models (FCNC, Top
Flavor, 4th Gen)SM Higgs BackgroundW+Jets Proving Ground
Discovery First!
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Signature & Backgrounds
Signal for s and t channel mostly similar
Lepton + Missing ET + Jets
t-channel extra b tends tobe forward Similar to top pair
production, but with less jetsHarder Signal To Find
Backgrounds
W/Z + jets ProductionFake LeptonsTop Pair Production
WW, WZ, Ztt , etc.
Anything with a lepton + jets + ET signature
(t-channel)
Much worse than for pair productionbecause of lower jet multiplicity
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The MC SituationZTOP single top generator is most often used as bench mark
http://home.fnal.gov/~zack/ZTOP/ZTOP.htmlNot an event generator, so
Re-weights MADEVENT to fit the ZTOP distributions
The trick is in getting the t- channel correct
Generate bq,gq t+b+q separately
Modified version of CompHEPMatch 2 2 and 2 3 process using b p T for cross overComparison with ZTOP shows no difference
(single top)
CDF
D
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The MC Situation(background)
W+Jets with Heavy Flavor is most important Jet Double Counting issues HF factions both b and c
CDF and D use ALPGENFull Event SimulationHF fraction (b, c) from ALPGEN
Wbb from NLO calculation
Bowen, Ellis, Strassler :understand W(b,c) as itaffects shape variables!
(charm tagging not measured!)
Steve: There is more than one R
http://www-d0.fnal.gov/Run2Physics/top/public/winter05/singletop/figures/input_variables/Add_njets.eps -
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Search StrategyCommon Analysis Strategy
Basic SelectionCuts
Final Cuts
Limit Fitting
Clean up the data, removedetector backgrounds. Does not
maximize S:B.
Apply btagging, understandshape variables (s, t channel),multivariate analysis, etc.
Use binned maximum likelihood(fit distributions to maximizelimit)
CDF D
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D
The Approach
CDF Improve S/B to maximize separation in onedistribution (Qx h)
Basic Selection Cuts More Restrictive
Use Multiple distributions, combined with aNeural Network, to maximize separation
Basic Selection are efficient, but let in agreat deal more background.
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Basic Selection Cuts
Lepton (e, m) PT > 20 GeV PT > 15 GeVJet E T > 15 GeV,
| h| 15 GeV(Jet 1: E T >25
GeV), |h| 20 GeV ET > 15 GeV
CDF D
Along with other clean-up cuts
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Final Cuts IB-Tagging Both apply a secondary Vertex
Reconstruction Algorithm(Lxy)
B
Decay Length ( Lxy)Hard Scatter
Eff on bs
Fake On lights
CDF Recently released improved version of tagging(15%), but it isnt used in blessed single top results.Ds is a comparable to what is shown here.
Charm Tagging Rates ~ 30% of bBoth experiments classify events by
single or more than one tag
CDF D
http://www-cdf.fnal.gov/physics/new/top/public/btag/gen4/efficiency_et.epshttp://www-cdf.fnal.gov/physics/new/top/public/btag/gen4/efficiency_et.epshttp://www-cdf.fnal.gov/physics/new/top/public/btag/gen4/mistag_et.epshttp://www-cdf.fnal.gov/physics/new/top/public/btag/gen4/mistag_et.epshttp://www-cdf.fnal.gov/physics/new/top/public/btag/gen4/mistag_et.epshttp://www-cdf.fnal.gov/physics/new/top/public/btag/gen4/efficiency_et.eps -
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Final Cuts IITop Mass Cut
140 GeV Mlbn 210 GeV CDF:
Mlbn Lepton, b-tagged jet, neutrino (Missing E
D: Input to MultivariateAnalysis tt
W+JetsQCDt-channel (x10)s-channel (x10)
CDF D
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Final Sample StatisticsLuminosity D: 230 pb-1
CDF: 162 pb-1
Acceptance(%) s-channel 2.7 0.2 1.06 0.08
t-channel 1.9 0.2 0.89 0.07
D CDF
S/ Bs-channel 0.32 0.25
t-channel 0.28 0.48
D CDF
These Are Small Numbers!CDF: Expects ~2 events on ~34D: Expects ~5 events on ~280
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Straight Cut AnalysisHow Well Can We Do With a Straight Cut Analysis?
Selected Variables:Object E T /p T Jet #1HT like (various sums of
the objects E T s) Invariant Mass of
combinations of
masses (like Mlbn)
D
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Relative Sizes OfBackgrounds
(Sum Of Jets In Event)
W+Jets Is LargestBackground!
One of hardest to getright!
Single b-tagrequired for this
plot.
Need to takeadvantage ofother topologiesto improve limit!
CDF D
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b
Getting Clevert-channel
Charge of up quark determines charge of W lepton (p vs p)Recoil against gluon/quark makes for asymmetry
Look at d-quark Jet Rapidity normalized by Charge!
CDF D
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Q X h
Monte Carlo TemplatesCDF Uses thesedistributions as
input to the finallimit calculationfor separate s,t channel limits
Use HT for acombined s+tchannel limit
CDF
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Other Variables
D S/B is worse by design than CDFs
Use a Multivariate analysis to separate the signal frombackground
A multi-dimensional maximum likelihood possible Statistics are prohibitive!
Shape Variable 1
Shape Variable 2Shape Variable 3Shape Variable 4
Neural Net
BinnedMaximumLikelihood
OutputDistribution
D
Basic Selection Cuts: Let in as much signal as possible
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Input Variables IEvent Energy, Object Properties
Cross Check Background Model
MC Shapes
pTjet1 , H, HT
D
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Input Variables IIObject Combinations
Cross Check Background Model
MC Shapes
Mtop, Mall jets
D
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Input Variables IIIAngular Variables
Cross Check Background Model
MC Shapes
cos(lepton,jet1 untagged) top tagged
D
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Input VariablesEvent Energy
pTtag , pTuntag, pTtopjet , pTjet1,jet2 , H (all jets but tagged), HT (jets), H T (jets-tagged), H(jets-top quark jet), H T (jets-top quark jet)
Object CombinationsM (jets), p T (all jets tagged), Mtop (tagged jet), s,M(jets-tagged) , MT (jets 1&2), pT (jets 1&2), M(jets-topquark jet) M top (best jet)
Angular VariablesDR(jets 1&2), h(untagged)XQ(lep), cos(lepton,untagged)top rest , cos(jets, jet1 tagged) all jets rest ,cos(lepton, Q(lepton)xz) best top rest , cos(jets, jet1 not
best) all jets rest Both s&t, t-only, s-only
D
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Neural Net Design
Neural Net
Wbb
NeuralNettt
l+jets
Two Networks Per Analysis
2d Histogram used inbinned likelihood fit
Trained on signal andWbb as background
Trained on signal andtt lepton + jets as
background
D
We also use Decision Trees in place of NN
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SystematicUncertainties
Fitting Shape Variables Requires Special Handling ofSystematic Errors
1 binCalculate the Systematic Errors For That 1 Bin
Jet Energy Scale, Trigger, BTagging, etc.
Repeat for All BinsShape Fluctuations Will Be Properly Accounted For
DCDF
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Systematics
B-ID: 7%Luminosity: 6%
Top Quark Mass: 4%JES: 4%
D CDF
DCDF
Some will improve withincreased Luminosity
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Final Results
Channel CDF (pb) D (pb) SM
s+t
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Probability Density
s-channel
t-channel
DCDF
http://localhost/var/www/apps/www-d0/WWW/docs/Run2Physics/top/public/winter05/singletop/figures/limit_plots/lim_tb_tqb_posterior.eps -
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Beyond The Standard Model
m dataonly
e data only
http://localhost/var/www/apps/www-d0/WWW/docs/Run2Physics/top/public/winter05/singletop/figures/limit_plots/new_2d_posterior.eps -
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Theorist talk@ UW inMay, 2003
With this analysisas it stands willstill needs ~2 fb -1for evidence!
Record Store of1.05x1032 last
week!
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Near Future
Upgrade to modern b-quark taggingExplore multivariate methodsIncreased Dataset!
Aggressive Program to Increase AcceptanceB-tagging improvementsNeural Network & Other Technique (DTs) Improvements
Last paper published before evidence! (I suspect)
CDF: PRD is publishedD: Paper in preparation
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Monte Carlo Understanding
From hep-ph/041223(Bowen, Ellis, Strassler)
No ParticularW+Jets
Background Type
is dominate!Production
Mechanismsaffect shapes
How well do we knowCharm Tag RateProduction Fractions?
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SingleTop at TeV4LHCStart of Workshop
Single Top Theory Qing-Hong CaoSingle Top Experiment R. Schwienhorst
Working Group MeetingSingle top: Simulations & Strategies; Zack SullivanSingle top in MCFM; Keith EllisEffective NLO generator SingleTop from CompHEP;
Edward BoosElectroweak & Single Top Plans (Discussion)
BNL
Single Top Production: Ellis
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Conclusions
Channel CDF (pb) D (pb)s+t