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    Single Top Productionat the Tevatron

    Top Quark SymposiumUniversity of MichiganApril 7, 2005Gordon Watts

    for D and CDF

    Searches

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    Gordon Watts Top Quark Symposium - Single Top at the Tevatron April 7, 2005 2

    A Lonely Production

    Too small for theTevatron (LHC?) Tait hep-ph/990352

    s-channel t-channel

    s NLO = 0.88pb 8% s NLO = 1.98pb 11%hep-hp/207055 (Harris, Laenen, Phaf, Sullivan, Weinzierl)

    Pair Production

    Weak Decay VertexVtb , unitarityExotic Models (FCNC, Top

    Flavor, 4th Gen)SM Higgs BackgroundW+Jets Proving Ground

    Discovery First!

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    Gordon Watts Top Quark Symposium - Single Top at the Tevatron April 7, 2005 3

    Signature & Backgrounds

    Signal for s and t channel mostly similar

    Lepton + Missing ET + Jets

    t-channel extra b tends tobe forward Similar to top pair

    production, but with less jetsHarder Signal To Find

    Backgrounds

    W/Z + jets ProductionFake LeptonsTop Pair Production

    WW, WZ, Ztt , etc.

    Anything with a lepton + jets + ET signature

    (t-channel)

    Much worse than for pair productionbecause of lower jet multiplicity

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    Gordon Watts Top Quark Symposium - Single Top at the Tevatron April 7, 2005 4

    The MC SituationZTOP single top generator is most often used as bench mark

    http://home.fnal.gov/~zack/ZTOP/ZTOP.htmlNot an event generator, so

    Re-weights MADEVENT to fit the ZTOP distributions

    The trick is in getting the t- channel correct

    Generate bq,gq t+b+q separately

    Modified version of CompHEPMatch 2 2 and 2 3 process using b p T for cross overComparison with ZTOP shows no difference

    (single top)

    CDF

    D

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    Gordon Watts Top Quark Symposium - Single Top at the Tevatron April 7, 2005 5

    The MC Situation(background)

    W+Jets with Heavy Flavor is most important Jet Double Counting issues HF factions both b and c

    CDF and D use ALPGENFull Event SimulationHF fraction (b, c) from ALPGEN

    Wbb from NLO calculation

    Bowen, Ellis, Strassler :understand W(b,c) as itaffects shape variables!

    (charm tagging not measured!)

    Steve: There is more than one R

    http://www-d0.fnal.gov/Run2Physics/top/public/winter05/singletop/figures/input_variables/Add_njets.eps
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    Gordon Watts Top Quark Symposium - Single Top at the Tevatron April 7, 2005 6

    Search StrategyCommon Analysis Strategy

    Basic SelectionCuts

    Final Cuts

    Limit Fitting

    Clean up the data, removedetector backgrounds. Does not

    maximize S:B.

    Apply btagging, understandshape variables (s, t channel),multivariate analysis, etc.

    Use binned maximum likelihood(fit distributions to maximizelimit)

    CDF D

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    D

    The Approach

    CDF Improve S/B to maximize separation in onedistribution (Qx h)

    Basic Selection Cuts More Restrictive

    Use Multiple distributions, combined with aNeural Network, to maximize separation

    Basic Selection are efficient, but let in agreat deal more background.

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    Basic Selection Cuts

    Lepton (e, m) PT > 20 GeV PT > 15 GeVJet E T > 15 GeV,

    | h| 15 GeV(Jet 1: E T >25

    GeV), |h| 20 GeV ET > 15 GeV

    CDF D

    Along with other clean-up cuts

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    Final Cuts IB-Tagging Both apply a secondary Vertex

    Reconstruction Algorithm(Lxy)

    B

    Decay Length ( Lxy)Hard Scatter

    Eff on bs

    Fake On lights

    CDF Recently released improved version of tagging(15%), but it isnt used in blessed single top results.Ds is a comparable to what is shown here.

    Charm Tagging Rates ~ 30% of bBoth experiments classify events by

    single or more than one tag

    CDF D

    http://www-cdf.fnal.gov/physics/new/top/public/btag/gen4/efficiency_et.epshttp://www-cdf.fnal.gov/physics/new/top/public/btag/gen4/efficiency_et.epshttp://www-cdf.fnal.gov/physics/new/top/public/btag/gen4/mistag_et.epshttp://www-cdf.fnal.gov/physics/new/top/public/btag/gen4/mistag_et.epshttp://www-cdf.fnal.gov/physics/new/top/public/btag/gen4/mistag_et.epshttp://www-cdf.fnal.gov/physics/new/top/public/btag/gen4/efficiency_et.eps
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    Final Cuts IITop Mass Cut

    140 GeV Mlbn 210 GeV CDF:

    Mlbn Lepton, b-tagged jet, neutrino (Missing E

    D: Input to MultivariateAnalysis tt

    W+JetsQCDt-channel (x10)s-channel (x10)

    CDF D

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    Final Sample StatisticsLuminosity D: 230 pb-1

    CDF: 162 pb-1

    Acceptance(%) s-channel 2.7 0.2 1.06 0.08

    t-channel 1.9 0.2 0.89 0.07

    D CDF

    S/ Bs-channel 0.32 0.25

    t-channel 0.28 0.48

    D CDF

    These Are Small Numbers!CDF: Expects ~2 events on ~34D: Expects ~5 events on ~280

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    Straight Cut AnalysisHow Well Can We Do With a Straight Cut Analysis?

    Selected Variables:Object E T /p T Jet #1HT like (various sums of

    the objects E T s) Invariant Mass of

    combinations of

    masses (like Mlbn)

    D

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    Relative Sizes OfBackgrounds

    (Sum Of Jets In Event)

    W+Jets Is LargestBackground!

    One of hardest to getright!

    Single b-tagrequired for this

    plot.

    Need to takeadvantage ofother topologiesto improve limit!

    CDF D

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    b

    Getting Clevert-channel

    Charge of up quark determines charge of W lepton (p vs p)Recoil against gluon/quark makes for asymmetry

    Look at d-quark Jet Rapidity normalized by Charge!

    CDF D

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    Q X h

    Monte Carlo TemplatesCDF Uses thesedistributions as

    input to the finallimit calculationfor separate s,t channel limits

    Use HT for acombined s+tchannel limit

    CDF

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    Other Variables

    D S/B is worse by design than CDFs

    Use a Multivariate analysis to separate the signal frombackground

    A multi-dimensional maximum likelihood possible Statistics are prohibitive!

    Shape Variable 1

    Shape Variable 2Shape Variable 3Shape Variable 4

    Neural Net

    BinnedMaximumLikelihood

    OutputDistribution

    D

    Basic Selection Cuts: Let in as much signal as possible

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    Input Variables IEvent Energy, Object Properties

    Cross Check Background Model

    MC Shapes

    pTjet1 , H, HT

    D

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    Input Variables IIObject Combinations

    Cross Check Background Model

    MC Shapes

    Mtop, Mall jets

    D

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    Input Variables IIIAngular Variables

    Cross Check Background Model

    MC Shapes

    cos(lepton,jet1 untagged) top tagged

    D

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    Input VariablesEvent Energy

    pTtag , pTuntag, pTtopjet , pTjet1,jet2 , H (all jets but tagged), HT (jets), H T (jets-tagged), H(jets-top quark jet), H T (jets-top quark jet)

    Object CombinationsM (jets), p T (all jets tagged), Mtop (tagged jet), s,M(jets-tagged) , MT (jets 1&2), pT (jets 1&2), M(jets-topquark jet) M top (best jet)

    Angular VariablesDR(jets 1&2), h(untagged)XQ(lep), cos(lepton,untagged)top rest , cos(jets, jet1 tagged) all jets rest ,cos(lepton, Q(lepton)xz) best top rest , cos(jets, jet1 not

    best) all jets rest Both s&t, t-only, s-only

    D

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    Neural Net Design

    Neural Net

    Wbb

    NeuralNettt

    l+jets

    Two Networks Per Analysis

    2d Histogram used inbinned likelihood fit

    Trained on signal andWbb as background

    Trained on signal andtt lepton + jets as

    background

    D

    We also use Decision Trees in place of NN

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    SystematicUncertainties

    Fitting Shape Variables Requires Special Handling ofSystematic Errors

    1 binCalculate the Systematic Errors For That 1 Bin

    Jet Energy Scale, Trigger, BTagging, etc.

    Repeat for All BinsShape Fluctuations Will Be Properly Accounted For

    DCDF

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    Systematics

    B-ID: 7%Luminosity: 6%

    Top Quark Mass: 4%JES: 4%

    D CDF

    DCDF

    Some will improve withincreased Luminosity

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    Final Results

    Channel CDF (pb) D (pb) SM

    s+t

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    Probability Density

    s-channel

    t-channel

    DCDF

    http://localhost/var/www/apps/www-d0/WWW/docs/Run2Physics/top/public/winter05/singletop/figures/limit_plots/lim_tb_tqb_posterior.eps
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    Beyond The Standard Model

    m dataonly

    e data only

    http://localhost/var/www/apps/www-d0/WWW/docs/Run2Physics/top/public/winter05/singletop/figures/limit_plots/new_2d_posterior.eps
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    Theorist talk@ UW inMay, 2003

    With this analysisas it stands willstill needs ~2 fb -1for evidence!

    Record Store of1.05x1032 last

    week!

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    Near Future

    Upgrade to modern b-quark taggingExplore multivariate methodsIncreased Dataset!

    Aggressive Program to Increase AcceptanceB-tagging improvementsNeural Network & Other Technique (DTs) Improvements

    Last paper published before evidence! (I suspect)

    CDF: PRD is publishedD: Paper in preparation

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    Monte Carlo Understanding

    From hep-ph/041223(Bowen, Ellis, Strassler)

    No ParticularW+Jets

    Background Type

    is dominate!Production

    Mechanismsaffect shapes

    How well do we knowCharm Tag RateProduction Fractions?

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    SingleTop at TeV4LHCStart of Workshop

    Single Top Theory Qing-Hong CaoSingle Top Experiment R. Schwienhorst

    Working Group MeetingSingle top: Simulations & Strategies; Zack SullivanSingle top in MCFM; Keith EllisEffective NLO generator SingleTop from CompHEP;

    Edward BoosElectroweak & Single Top Plans (Discussion)

    BNL

    Single Top Production: Ellis

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    Conclusions

    Channel CDF (pb) D (pb)s+t