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BHP Billiton Merrill Lynch Australian Investment Conference 30 September 2005 Marius Kloppers – Chief Commercial Officer

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  • BHP Billiton

    Merrill Lynch Australian Investment Conference 30 September 2005Marius Kloppers – Chief Commercial Officer

  • Page 2

    DisclaimerThe views expressed here contain information derived from publicly available sources that have not been independently verified. Norepresentation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information. Any forward looking information in this presentation has been prepared on the basis of a number of assumptions which may prove to be incorrect. This presentation should not be relied upon as a recommendation or forecast by BHP Billiton.

    Nothing in this release should be construed as either an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell shares in any jurisdiction.

  • Page 3

    Angl

    o Am

    erica

    n

    CVRD

    Alco

    a

    Shen

    hua

    Newm

    ont

    Noril

    sk

    Xstra

    ta

    Barri

    ck

    Alca

    n

    Phelp

    s Dod

    ge

    Anglo

    Plat

    Angl

    ogol

    d

    Peab

    ody E

    nerg

    y

    Falco

    nbrid

    ge

    Came

    co

    Inco

    Teck

    Com

    inco

    SPCC

    BHPB

    Rio

    Tinto

    05

    101520253035404550556065707580859095

    100

    Mark

    et C

    ap. o

    n 19

    /08/0

    5 (US

    $Bn)

    The largest company in a consolidating sector

    Market value of minerals industry US$572bnValue of Top Five US$241bnValue of BHP Billiton US$ 92bn

    Source: Datastream

  • Page 4

    The world’s largest diversified resources company

    Energy CoalDiamonds & Spec Prod

    Aluminium

    Carbon Steel Materials

    Base Metals

    Petroleum

    Stainless Steel Materials

  • Page 5

    Strategic focus

    People

    Low Cost, High Quality Assets

    Cost Savings and Efficiencies

    Growth Pipeline

    Bolt-onAcquisitions

    M&A

  • Page 6

    Highlights – year ended June 2005

    Note – the financial results of BHP Billiton are prepared in accordance with UK generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP).

    • Record full year earnings− EBITDA up 53% to US$11.4 billion− EBIT up 70% to US$9.3 billion− Attributable profit of US$6.5 billion and earnings per share of

    106.4 US cents, up 86% and 89%, respectively• EBIT up across all CSGs with Group EBIT margin of 37.1%• Available cashflow up 70% to US$8.7 billion• Eight major projects commissioned since 30 June 2004• Successful US$7.2 billion acquisition of WMC Resources• Successful completion of US$2 billion capital management programme• Final dividend increased to 14.5 US cents per share, consistent with

    outlook and higher earnings and cashflow

  • Page 7

    Outstanding assetsIncreasing margins and return on capital

    EBIT margins exclude exceptional i tems and third party products.

    25.4%

    20.5%

    12.9%10.7%

    37.1%

    29.8%

    24.3%20.3%

    0%5%

    10%15%

    20%25%30%35%40%

    2002 2003 2004 2005

    Return on Capital EBIT Margin

  • Page 8

    Outlook - 2005

    EuropeSubdued domestic demand, high unemployment and strong EuroLimited improvement expected in next 12 months

    Higher raw material and energy prices not materially impacting growthHigher raw material and energy prices not materially impacting growth

    ChinaGDP growth rate remains s trong and sustainableFixed asset investment focussed on infrastructurede-bottleneckingRMB revaluation neutral to positiveQuality and sustainability of growth is key

    JapanConfidence increasing due to domestic demandRising business confidence, capital expenditure and employment

    USAImprovements in consumer spending, industrial production and employmentTightening in monetary policyHigh oil prices not impacting growth

    CY01 CY02 CY03 CY04 H105 CY01 CY02 CY03 CY04 H105

    CY01 CY02 CY03 CY04 H105

    CY01 CY02 CY03 CY04 H105

    Source: BHP Billiton, EIU

  • Page 9

    0250

    500

    750

    1,0001,250

    1,500

    1,750

    2,0002,250

    2,500

    FY02 H1 03 H2 03 H1 04 H2 04 H1 05 H2 05Petroleum Aluminium Base Metals CSM Energy Coal SSM

    China• Sales into China increasing but diversification remains• Currently 12.6% of total company revenues, up from 9.8% in FY04

    US$M

    431

    785

    1,0751,357

    371

    1,588

    Europe

    JapanOther Asia

    Nth America

    China

    Australia

    ROW2,407

  • 0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    3,500

    4,000

    4,500

    95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 0 4 05 Est.0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    Chinese refin ed copperconsumption

    % sha re of world refined copperconsumption (ri ght hand scale)

    ‘000 tonnes

    Data: CRU, BH, BHP Billiton

    Chinese copper, nickel, iron ore and steel demand

    ‘000 tonnes

    ‘000 tonnes

    Data: CRU

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 H1 Est0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    14%

    Chinese primary nickelconsumpti on

    % share of world pri mary nickelconsumpti on (ri ght hand scal e)

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 YTD0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    35%

    40%

    Chi nese iron ore imports

    % share of global seaborne ironore (right hand scale)

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 YTD0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    Chinese crude steelconsumption

    % share of global crude steelconsumption (right hand scale)

    Data: IISI, China Customs, CRU, Tex, Clarksons & BHP Bill iton (NB: 05 YTD is to end April) Data: IISI, China Customs, CRU, Tex, Clarksons & BHP Bill iton (NB: 05 YTD is to end April)

    Page 10

    ‘000 tonnes

  • Page 11

    Exchange stocks and copper, nickel, aluminium and petroleum prices

    LME copper p rice – US$/tonne

    Data: LME, Comex, SHFE (from 1997)

    0

    400

    800

    1,200

    1,600

    2,000

    2,400

    2,800

    80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05YTD

    0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500Aluminium price – US$/tonne LME Aluminium stocks – ‘000 tonnes

    Data: LME, IAI

    LME stocks

    LME cash price

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05YTD

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1, 000

    1, 200

    1, 400Copper stocks – ‘000 tonnes

    LME cash price

    LME

    Comex

    SHFE

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 040%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%OECD spare capacity as % of demandWTI Price US$/ bbl

    Data: EIA

    WTI

    Nickel price – US$/tonne

    Data: CRU

    0

    5,000

    10,000

    15,000

    20,000

    80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 Dec0

    20,000

    40,000

    60,000

    80,000

    100,000

    120,000

    140,000

    160,000Nickel stocks – tonnes

    LME cash price

    LME stocks

    OECD spare capacity

  • Page 12

    0.50

    0.70

    0.90

    1.10

    1.30

    1.50

    1.70

    1801

    1808

    1815

    1822

    1829

    1836

    1843

    1850

    1857

    1864

    1871

    1878

    1885

    1892

    1899

    1906

    1913

    1920

    1927

    1934

    1941

    1948

    1955

    1962

    1969

    1976

    1983

    1990

    1997

    2004

    Commodities price cycle – 200 year view

    Source: “US All Commodities Producer Price Index and US Consumer Price Inflation,US Bureau of the Census, His torical S tatis tics of the United States, Colonial Times to 1970”

    WW-2 / Korea

    War of 1812

    U.SCivil War

    U.S. Industrial revolution & overheating

    WW-1

    Cold War

    Great Depression

    US Commodity Price Index adjusted for CPI

    Gold Rush/

    Railroads

    Illiquidity/ Contraction of

    money and credit

    Panic of 1893/ U.S. transition to

    gold standardRecession/

    End of Bretton Woods Turn of

    cycle?

  • Page 13

    Deep inventory of growth projectsB R O W N F I E L D

    G R E E N F I E L D

    SpenceSpence

    Atlantis SouthAtlantis South

    As at 24 August 2005Size of bubble indicates proposed capital expenditure;bold outer border signifies sanctioned project

    $US 200M$US 200M

    Paranam

    BlackwaterCPP

    Worsley

    RavensthorpeRavensthorpe

    BMAPhase 1

    Esc’daNorte

    Esc’daNorte

    BMA Phase 2

    WA Iron OreRGP 2

    WA Iron OreRGP 2

    SamarcoSamarco

    NeptuneNeptune

    NWS T5NWS T5

    StybarrowStybarrow

    NWS Angel

    Koala UG

    ZamzamaPhase 2

    WA Iron OreRGP 4+

    WA Iron OreRGP 4+

    NickelPetroleum

    Diamonds

    Alumina

    Iron OreBase Metals

    Met. Coal

    ShenziShenzi

    AtlantisNorth

    YabuluYabulu

    20092007 2008CY2006 2010

    Esc’daSulphideEsc’da

    Sulphide

    WA Iron OreRGP 3

    WA Iron OreRGP 3

    MaruwaiMaruwai

    AlumarAlumar

    Esc’daCPR

  • Page 14

    • Strong production performance leading to record financial results• Outlook remains positive

    − Strong demand− Low inventories− Supply lagging demand

    • Portfolio diversification drives cash flow stability• Track record of delivering growth in line with market demand• Management will continue to exercise value accretive expansion

    options to capture our share of demand growth

    Summary and conclusions

    Increasing Shareholder ValueIncreasing Shareholder Value

  • Page 15