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06-06-17: A696-04: [5] H.1-7: Heads JCS-CIA-FTW-DP Attachments: [5] H.1-2-3-4-5-6-7TRANSCRIPT
The Background is Oilby
Dale Alien Pfeiffer
[For many it is difficult to accept the truthabout the events of September 11th
without seeing the context of an
unavoidable global crisis that cannot be
postponed or evaded. The myth of
perpetual American prosperity is
destroyed by this layman-friendly
analysis of the global oil picture and the
hard choices facing the planet. Enron
employees are only adding to a list of
innocent American victims that is going
to increase rapidly. Many thanks to Dale
Alien Pfeiffer for this cogent and ominous
analysis. - MCR]
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FTW, December 18,2001 - The past year has seen
events unprecedented in the history of this country,
from the installment of George W. Bush as president
due to an extremely controversial 5 to 4 decision of the
Supreme Court to the horrific terrorist attacks of 9-11.
These events seem unreal and beyond
comprehension. Many people have been left
wondering why the presidential coup and why theterrorist attacks.
Many people have assumed that the last presidential
election simply resulted in a political squabble due to
the close vote. A few have opined that this squabble
resulted in a power grab by one segment of the elite inthis country. As for the events of 9-11, the established
line is that this was due to evil people who hate
freedom and democracy. However, many people have
sought to explain that these terrorists were bred by
decades of imperialist intervention undertaken by this
country in order to keep secure the privileged position
of US corporations and the US public in general. Thereare a small few who have wondered whether the
events of 9-11 were the work of Islamic terrorists at all,
just as there are a few who believe that the Bush
regime staged a coup in every sense of the word. The
wisest and best informed say all of this is about oil.
To understand the events of the past year, it is first
necessary to set the scene. And the scene in which all
of these events have played out is the approaching end
of the oil age. This background has not been talked
about in the mass media, or even in the alternative
media. However, this knowledge is essential in order to
understand not only what has transpired in the past
year, but also the events to come. And we need this
knowledge in order to consider what actions we should
take to assure a positive future for all.
Oil Dependency
The civilization we live in today is based entirely on
hydrocarbons (by which term I mean both oil and
natural gas). The energy which runs our technology is
derived from hydrocarbons. The energy which does
our work is derived from hydrocarbons. The energy
which powers our homes, our transportation and which
generates our electricity is all largely derived from
hydrocarbons. All of the plastics which surround us with
consumer goods are derived from hydrocarbons. Our
produce is fed with hydrocarbon-based fertilizers and
sprayed with hydrocarbon-based pesticides. Every
person in the US has the energy equivalent of a dozen
slaves working for him or her.
Why this dependency on oil? Simply put, there is no
other energy source which holds as much energy perunit. The only exception to this is uranium, which is
dangerous, difficult to work with, and far too rare an
element to ever provide for more than a small
percentage of our energy needs.j Even the highest
grade of coal only holds about 50% as much energy as
an equivalent quantity of hydrocarbons.l Renewable
energy resources can provide nowhere near enough
energy to meet our current needs.~ Fusion remains, as
ever, just beyond our grasp. The highly touted
0L.-o Years 40
After Colin J. Cat11Jbell& Jean H.laherrere,THE END OF CHEAP Oil, Sd Am, March 1998
hydrogen fuel cells are not an energy source but a form
of energy storage; the energy contained in the fuel cell
must be generated from another source.-1
In short, there is no other source which can provide for
the energy needs of our present civilization.
Nonrenewable Resources
Hydrocarbons are considered a nonrenewable
resource. Many millions of years ago, atmospheric
carbon was absorbed by ocean waters and ultimately
processed into living matter. Millions of years ago the
oceans abounded in microorganisms. Life forms similar
to plankton were far more abundant than they are even
at the present time. As these organisms died their
bodies settled on the ocean floor, forming an organic
ooze. It is interesting to note that the planet was
incapable of supporting terrestrial life until much ofthecarbon had been leeched from the atmosphere.
Atmospheric carbon is a poison which had to be locked
into sediment by ocean life before land-dwelling lifeforms could evolve.
Once this organic ooze was deposited, it had to be
buried in sediment and subjected to just the rightcombination of conditions in order to transform it into
energy rich hydrocarbons. The combination of
pressure, heat and time is very precise. Too much
pressure will transform the carbon to graphite. Toomuch heat will overcook it.
Finally, once the ooze has been transformed into
hydrocarbons, they will migrate through the Earth's
crust until captured by the "trap." A trap is a non
permeable geological formation which holds the
hydrocarbons and prevents them from escaping.
Without a trap, the hydrocarbons will migrate to the
Earth's surface and dissipate into the atmosphere.
All of the conditions for hydrocarbon generation have
only been met once in the history of the Earth. It is
arguable that the process of transforming atmospheric
carbon into hydrocarbon deposits itself altered
atmospheric, oceanic and earth chemistry, as well as
the biosphere, in such a way that the process will never
be repeated, it would take millions of years for
hydrocarbon deposits to be replenished.
And so hydrocarbons are a nonrenewable resource
which we are using up at an alarming rate.
{73d-
Production & Demand
The production of oil from any given field follows a bell
curve. After discovery of the field, production increases
as more and more wells are opened. A team of
exploration geologists and engineers will quickly map
out the field and develop a pattem of well placement so
as to maximize production. Each well has a cone of
production which, when well placed, will cover the
entire field. If placed too closely, the cones of
production will overlap and the overlapping wells will
each wind up producing less. So, to increase
production by drilling more wells only works until the
field is covered, beyond which point adding more wells
only leads to diminishing retums.
Because of this, there is a point where the production
of any particular field is maximized. This is the peak of
the production curve. The peak can be narrow or
broad, short or long in duration, but production will
never be increased beyond this point.
In the earth, oil moves at a very slow rate. The classic
gusher effect is due to the fact that oil at depth is held
under pressure. When a hole is drilled, the oil in the
area immediately around the hole is ejected by this
pressure. Once this oil has been pumped, the well
must draw oil from farther away. Under its own
impetus, oil travels at a very slow rate, the same rate
as damp spreading through a stone foundation. Once a
well has pumped all of the oil in its immediate vicinity,
the rate of production must drop. We have techniques
for boosting the draw of a well, such as pumping inwater under pressure at other sites to drive oil to the
well. But production will inevitably decrease.
This is the downward side of the production curve. On
this downward slope more and more energy is required
to pump oil from a field, until a point is reached where it
takes as much or more energy to pump the oil than can
be extracted from the oil. At this point the wells are
closed and the field ceases production, forever.
This is the trend for every oil field ever discovered:
increasing production, peak production, and declining
production. Even fields as immense as those in Saudi
Arabia follow this pattem.
In the 1950s and 1960s, Dr. King Hubbert managed to
combine production from several different wells to
develop production profiles for regions, nations, and
even the entire planet. These regional oil production
plots also have the form of a bell curve, known now as
the Hubbert curve. Such curves can be used to predict
peak production and decline, both nationally and
globally. Using this technique, Dr. Hubbert was able to
surmise that US oil production would peak in the early1970s and then fall into decline. Dr. Hubbert was
ridiculed by other scientists who relied on differing,
erroneous methodologies ..1
/733
More could be said about natural gas, which is also
expected to decline in production in the next decade.§. ,
~ Likewise, the coal resources within the US will be
exhausted in another fifty years at most. 10 And coalalone will never meet our current, much less projected,
energy demand. Nor can salvation be expected from
the Athabaskan (Alaskan) oil sands, which require a
major energy investment to harvest and process.ll
Number of Years to Peak for Various Nations, 1998
US oil production did peak in the early 1970s. To meet
its rising energy needs after this point the US became
increasingly dependent on foreign oil. This paved the
way for the Arab oil embargo. By the end of the
decade, US oil production had begun to decrease
irreversibly. Whatever anyone tries to say to the
contrary, our dependence on foreign oil is permanent
and increasing all the time. Dr. Hubbert was vindicated,
and his is now the standard methodology for projectingoil production.
This is the composite global picture. To better
understand what is happening, we have to comparevarious oil producing regions. In doing this we see that,
except for the Middle East and the Caspian Sea Basin,
the rest of the world has already peaked, and most oil
producing regions are now in decline. The Middle East
and Caspian Sea regions are not expected to peak for
at least several years to come. With the passage oftime, all countries will vie with each other for the oil of
these regions, vying for the survival of their civilization.
And whoever controls the oil production of the Middle
East and Caspian Sea regions will control the world.]
Global production curves have also been in existencesince the 1960s.
They have beenrefined as data on
oil resources is
revised; yet the
timing and length of
--- -- --- _""--c:o.~""" •. ;:::;: the peak have
varied little through the years, Global oil production
peaked sometime in this past year and will begin to
decline within another five years. Production will peak
at a maximum of 90 million barrels per day; however,
demand stands at 75 million barrels per day currently
and will rise by 2.5 % per year to 100 million barrels perday by 2010.~
/;'
Against This Backdrop
Now that we have this background in place, let's reflect
on the events of the past year.
The 2000 presidential election has been referred to as
a coup, and there is good reason for this. Never mind
the widespread corruption and voter fraud. Never mind
the disenfranchisement of black voters and the outright
destruction of untallied ballots in minority voting
precincts. Never mind the manipulations of JamesBaker, Govemor Jeb Bush and various other Florida
officials. The Supreme Court decision was itself
unheard of, and probably unconstitutional. The self
described job of the Supreme Court is to decide
questions of constitutional law and set precedents. Yet
in this one case and no other in the history of the US
the Supreme Court stated that itwas rendering a
special decision which cannot be used as a precedent
in any other case. 12
So we have a president put into office by a 5 to 4 vote
of the Supreme Court, in direct opposition to the
popular vote. What about the background of thispres'ident and his cabinet? The Bush cabinet is a virtual
who's who of oil, defense and pharmaceutical bigwigs.
13 The Bush family is itself closely tied financially to thebin Ladens.14 , 15 Both families are involved in the
Carlyle Group.j§ Bush Sr. sits on the board of Carlyle,
a 12 billion Equity company with oil holdings and
defense contracts.j1 Dick Cheney was the former
CEO of Halliburton Oil. Colin Powell is a majorstockholder in several defense contractors. National
Security Advisor Condoleeza Rice sat on the board of
Chevron. Andrew Card, the Chief of Staff is from
General Motors. Donald Rumsfeld, Secretary ofDefense, was CEO of Searle Pharmaceuticals. Dick
Armitage, the Deputy Secretary of Defense, has ties to
the Russian mafia and is a board member of Cartyle.
Robert Jordan, the Saudi ambassador, was a member
of Baker Botts, a legal firm specializing in oil and
defense (the Baker in Baker Botts is James Baker).
Tony Principi, Secretary of Foreign Affairs, comes fromLockheed Martin. Gordan England, Secretary of the
Navy, is tied to General Dynamics. James Roche,
Secretary of the Air Force, is from Northrop Grumman.Gen. Thomas White, retired, Secretary of the Army, is
from Enron Energy. Donald Evans, the Commerce
Secretary, owns Colorado Oil Company. National
Security Advisor Condoleezza Rice sat on the board ofExxon. And Mr. Cartucci, the Chief of Cartyle, sits on
the Middle East Policy Council. 18
One of the first acts of the Bush administration was to
declare an energy crisis and delineate a controversial
set of measures for solving this problem. On the
surface, the Bush energy package called for increased
domestic production. This is the favored solution ofcertain mainstream, free-market economists, who
believe that increased production is the answer to
current energy woes while research and development
of new technology will take care of the future. Mostmainstream economists refuse to realize that
hydrocarbons are the underpinning of our technological
civilization, instead of just another commodity. And, of
course, increasing production has great appeal to
businesspeople whose prime concem is maximizing
short-term profit.
Under the surface, however, the Bush energy package
is a give away for the oil industry, and a strengthening
of US commitment to support corporate oil interests.
The energy package sought to give away drilling rightsin the Alaskan National Wildlife Arctic Reserve
(ANWAR) and other remaining wildemess areas, open
up our continental shelves to full exploitation, role back
environmental and health regulations, and subsidize
the oil industry with major tax breaks. One controversial
measure which received very little attention was an
item allowing energy corporations to extract resources
from public land without paying for the right to do so.
The Bush energy plan was a giveaway for energy
corporations. It met with stiff opposition in congress
and certain prized measures such as drilling in
ANWAR were defeated. Related to the energy
package was President Bush's withdrawal from the
Kyoto Treaty on global warming, which action wasreviled around the wortd.
In his first months in office, Bush managed to alienate
almost every country on the planet in one arrogantmove after another. When asked what he would do
should Canada seek to limit natural gas flow to the
United States, Bush said he would do whatever was
necessary to protect our right to Canada's natural gas.
Likewise, at home, he was highly reviled by many US
citizens. There was even some talk of impeachment.
All of this changed after 9-11, and it is to be wonderedhow the Bush administration would have survived
without the terrorist attacks.
911
It is now earty summer of 2001, and the Bushadministration informs Pakistan and India that it will
launch a military mission against Afghanistan beforethe end of October.19 , 20 This is the same
Afghanistan to which the US gave 43 million dollars just
a couple months before to aid them in destroying their
poppy crops; that on top of 132 million given to the
Taliban in the previous year·ll, 22 At the time
Secretary of State Colin Powell informs Pakistan andIndia of US intentions there is no animosity between
the US govemment and the Taliban, despite the fact
that the Taliban is openly harboring wanted terroristOsama bin Laden.
In July, while seeking treatment for a kidney infection at
an American hospital in Dubai, Osama bin Laden is
visited by a CIA operative who later brags about the
meeting.23 Shortly after this meeting came to light in
late October, the CIA issued a statement insisting thatit has never had contact with Osama bin Laden. Yet it
is very well known that the CIA originally trained and
supported bin Laden during the Taliban's fight againstSoviet invasion. 24 , 25 , 26
After 9-11 there has been a great deal of investigation
to see who profited from the attack on the Wortd Trade
Center. Investigators have tumed up a list of financial
institutions in the US which profited from short-selling
and put options on the WTC, airtine companies and the
companies housed in the WTC. Short selling and put
options indicate prior knowledge that an asset is about
to lose its value. The list of brokers handling the insider
trading connected to 911 includes A.B. Brown, an
investment bank. "Buzzy" Krongard, the current
Executive Director of the Central Intelligence Agency isthe former Chairman of the investment bank A.B.
Brown.27 , 28
In the months prior to the terrorist attacks, there were
many warning passed around various levels of the
government and elsewhere. David Schippers the
Republican lawyer who pressed impeachment against
President Clinton, clairns he spent rnonths before 9/11
trying to get information to Attorney General Ashcroft
from FBI agents who claim they were told not to
investigate leads that suggested a terrorist attack on
Manhattan was imminent. 29 The New York DailyNews stated that some Middle-Easterners in New York
were forewarned of the attacks.30 Bin Laden had
wamed a few months previously that he and his
followers would undertake an unprecedented attack on
US interests.l1 Finally, on Friday, Sept 7, the State
Dept issued a worldwide terrorist alert to Americansabroad.32 It is hard to believe that no one in the US
intelligence community had knowledge of the pendingattacks.
Between 7:45 and 8:10 EST, the moming of
September 11th, four US passenger jets were hijackedsimultaneously. This was an event unprecedented in
US history and should have set off all sorts of alarms
by itself. Nothing was done. The FM had all four
planes on radar the whole time. 35 minutes later,
American Airlines flight 11 crashed into the WorldTrade Center. The air force was not scrambled.
President Bush was not even informed. After another
18 minutes, United Airlines flight 175 struck the second
tower of the WTC. Bush is briefly informed of these
events as he attends a 2nd grade class in Florida.
Instead of taking emergency actions, Bush continueswith his lessons. Another excruciating 37 minutes pass
during which nothing is done. Radar tracks American
Airlines flight 77 as it flies by Washington D.C., makes
a tight spiraling descent, descending 7,000 feet in 2.5
minutes, and levels off to fly straight into the Pentagon
at 640 knots, clipping power lines along the way.
Some time later, United Airlines flight 93 crashes in
Pennsylvania. Witnesses report debris falling from the
plane many miles before it hit ground. There has been
a lot of speculation about the intended target of this 4th
plane. Some say the target was Camp David, some the
White House. It has also been speculated that this craft
sought a midair coJlision with Air Force One. We will
probably never know its intended target. However, it isinteresting to consider if the target of flight 93 had
actually been the Capitol Building. Had this jet struck
congress, President Bush might have temporarily
assumed the powers of congress.
Subsequent Events
After 9-11, President Bush's approval rating rose to
80%. A wave of patriotic hysteria has washed over the
entire country, giving Bush the mandate he so
desperately desired. Instead of seeking out the
perpetrators and bringing them to justice through legalchannels, Bush declared war on all terrorists and on
any country which harbors or supports terrorists. This is
to be a very long and open-ended war, without specific
goals against which its success and eventual resolution
can be measured. Operation "Infinite Justice" as it was
originally called. The US public must preparethemselves to suffer and sacrifice while the war itself
will be fought largely in secret.
President Bush quickly established a new cabinet level
Office of Homeland Security, to be headed by former
Pennsylvania Govemor Tom Ridge. This office is tostand over and coordinate among all existing domestic
police on national, state and local levels. And it is to be
given its own special security forces with practically
unlimited powers. Among their duties will be monitoring
interstate travel at checkpoints and policing protests.
Security forces will reserve the right to kill anyone whoresists them. Bush and Ridge are pushing for national
ID cards, and it is rumored that checkpoints will be
equipped with face recognition technology. 33
In congress, unpopular legislation which had previously
limped along was rammed through with patriotic fervor.
Lobbyists lined up in a feeding frenzy. Where only a
month before budget surpluses had dried up and
congress people were arguing for defense cuts, now
practically the entire budget was given over to defense
spending. And finally, congress passed a new anti
terrorism act which granted police and the military vast
new powers, ended habeas corpus and the posse
comitatus act, and severely hamstrung the Bill of
Rights. 34 , 35
All the while, the public is being kept in a state of alert
with threats of anthrax exposure and other vagueterrorist alarms. The anthrax attacks are themselves
extremely peculiar. The Bush administration wants to
point the blame at Iraq, while the FBI and other
investigators believe them to be the work of
homegrown, probably rightwing, terrorists. Yet all the
leads seem to evaporate into thin air. The main targets,media and Democratic Senator Tom Daschle, make
little sense if the perpetrators are Islamic extremists.Those who would benefit the most from these attacks
are President Bush and his administration, as the
attacks only serve to scare the media and his political
opposition further into his protective arms. Finally there
is the ineffective nature of the attacks; for the most part,
the exposures are easily treated with antibiotics. Itwould be easier and more effective to use letter
bombs. That is, unless your goal was to instill fear in
the media, the political opposition and the general
public without massive casualties.
Lastiy, the assault on Afghanistan began just as
planned. And the US now has the excuse to attack anyother nation it pleases. All that is required is to firstlabel them as terrorists.
Oil, Again
Just what was the planned purpose of the assault on
Afghanistan? You could say it was a pipe dream. US
oil interests have their eye on large untapped
hydrocarbon resources in the Caspian Sea region. Just
Jigs-
as the Bosnian conflict was part of an effort to secure
the Balkan states for an oil and gas pipeline to the
European energy market, so the US is seeking secure
passage for a pipeline through Afghanistan to feed theAsian energy markets and
__~' the US itself.36 , 37\2"1
",;,:;:"-"r _ : Beyond this, the War on. ,r ""...::"':,.- ",r'. Terrorism, gives the US a
/", i perfect excuse to seize::;.=,' I control of major oil deposits
in other countries such as
Iran and Colombia. Likewise, it legitimates a police
state within the US so that the elite can prepare for the
day when the common people of this country are
impoverished and starving due to the collapse of oilbased civilization. The Elite will maintain their own
comfort and their average of twelve energy slaves per
person.
Here then, is the scenario. Wary of the peak and
approaching decline of hydrocarbon production, the oiland defense elite in this country back a political coup to
put their people in the White House. However, this oil
administration can do very little toward achieving their
ends because of unpopularity at home and abroad. In
growing desperation, this regime provokes and
permits, if not outright planning the enterprise on its
own, a massive terrorist attack against the US
homeland, striking at the very symbols of globalization
and US imperialist military might. Perhaps failing in an
attempt to attack congress which would then give the
president the opportunity to "temporarily" suspend the
constitution and assume sole power. This terrorist act
negates all opposition to the regime and gives them the
authority to do whatever they wish intemationally and
domestically to protect the interests and the positionsofthe oil elite.
This scenario may seem farfetched but no other theory
can explain as adequately all the events of the past
year, given the facts that are known and the
background of the approaching end of the oil age.
Even if you don't believe the events of the past year
were intentional, that does not change the picture ofthe future before us. We stand at the dusk of oil-based
civilization, and the US is preparing for the approaching
night by extending its military might throughout the
world and instituting a police state at home.
Ending on a Positive Note
Global oil is peaking; in five years we will no longer be
able to produce enough oil to meet the needs of our oil
civilization. The oil elite wants to grab the remainingsupplies and dictate their use. Likewise, the people of
this country, who will soon be faced by starvation and
extreme impoverishment, can be held in check throughthe establishment of a police state.
All the while, people are being diverted from seeing
that we have just enough energy resources left that wecould build a true ectopian democracy where all of us
could lead freer, healthier, more fulfilling lives. We need
bottom up democracy. We need small-scale
economies, and small-scale technologies powered by
renewable energy. We need smaller communities,structured to be self-sufficient, all tied together by high
speed monorails. We need gardens and parks in ourcities instead of cars. We need social halls, not
shopping malls. And we have enough energy
remaining to do this, if we act now.
The oil elites, however, want to use our remaining
energy resources to establish a security state where
they can enjoy the remaining riches while the rest of ussuffer, starve and slave for them.
Yet they are not the ones pulling the triggers and
enforcing the rules. We are. And that's what they fear
most. So tell me, what do you think we should let
happen now?
ENDNOTES:
1 ENERGY FOR TOMORROW'S WORLD; World Energy
Council, p. 90, 1993
2 Energy Synopsis, Jay Hanson, Mar, 8, 2001
http://www.dieoff.orq
3 Environmental Accounting: Energy and Environmental
Decision Making, Howard 1. Odium, WHey, 1996. From page314, we find that in 1993 total USA fuel use was 4.78 x
10e24 sej (increasing about 2% per year ever since). From
page 187 we find that total net solar radiation absorption for
Alaska and the lower 48 was 4.48 x 10e22 sej. In other
words, the USA is presently using fossil fuels more than 100
times greater than the total absorption of solar radiationacross the entire USA!
4 ENERGETIC LIMITS TO GROWTH, Jay Hanson; Energy
Magazine, Spring, 1999; http://dieoff.com/paqe175.htm
5 http://www.hubbertpeak.com/hubbertl
6 Energy Synopsis, Jay Hanson, Mar, 8, 2001
http://www.dieoff.orq
7 The Hubbert Peak for World Oil,
http://www.hubbertpeak.com/summary.hlm
8 Energy Synopsis, Jay Hanson, Mar, 8, 2001
http://www.dieoff.orq
9 http://dieoff.com/naqas.hlm
10 BEYOND OIL, by John Gever et al., pp. 65-68, Univ. Pr.
Colorado, 1991.
11 GeoDestinies, by Waiter Youngquist; National Book
Company, 1997.
See http://dieoff.com/paqe132.htm
12 The Betrayal of America: How the Supreme Court
Undermined the Constitution and Chose Our President, by
Vincent Bugliosi, Thunder's Mouth Press/Nation Books,
2001.
13 The Oil behind Bush and Son's Campaigns by Ranjit
Devraj, Inter Press Services, 5 October 2001; Posted at
globalresearch.ca 15 October 2001.
http://www.qlobalresearch.calarticles/DEV110Ahtmi
14 George W. Bush's Dubious Friends, IntelligenceNewsletter, 2 March 2000; Posted at globalresearch.ca 1
October 2001. http://qlobalresearch.calarticles/INL110A.html
15 BUSH LADEN by Jared Israel, Emperor's Clothes; 8October 2001.
http://emperors-clothes.com/news/bushladen.htm16 Judicial Watch: Bush/bin Laden Connection "has now
tumed into a scandal!", Jared Israel, Emperor's Clothes;
posted 6 October 2001. http://emperors
clothes.com/newsflw. htm
17 The Carlyle Group, Alfred Mendes, Spectrezine.
http://www.spectrezine.orq/qlobal/carlvle.htm
18 You've got to be Up Front, Mike McCormick, transcription
of an interview with Stan Goff; October 24, 2001.
http://narconews.com/qoffrnccormick1.html&
http://www.radi04all.netlproqinfo.php?id=3795
19 US Planned Attack on Afghanistan, George Amey, BBC;
18 September, 2001.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/enqlish/world/south asialnewsid 1550000/1550366.stm
20 India in Anti-Taliban Military Plan, Indiareacts.com; 26June, 2001.
http://www.indiareacts.com/archivefeatures/nat2.asp?recno=
10&ctq=
21 Bush sends Money to Taliban while Planning War,
TASHKENT, Aug 08, 2001 (Itar-Tass via COMTEX).
22 The Washington Post, 25 May 2001.23 CIA AGENT ALLEGEDLY MET BIN LADEN IN JULY,
From 'Le Figaro' [1 November 2001], Translated by Tiphaine
Dickson, By Alexandra Richard; Page 2, October 31st, 2001.
http://emperors-clothes.com/misc/lefiqaro.htm
24 Washington: Parent of the Taliban and Colombian Death
Squads, by Jared Israel, Emperor's Clothes; Posted 5 June
2001. http://emperors-clothes.com/articles/iared/mis.htm
25 "OSAMAGATE", by Michel Chossudovsky, Professor of
Economics, University of Ottawa; Centre for Research on
Globalisation (CRG), Montreal. Posted at globalresearch.ca9 October 2001.
http://qlobalresearch.calarticles/CH011 OAhtml
26 GAPING HOLES IN THE 'CIA VS. BIN LADEN' STORY,
by Jared Israel, Emperor's Clothes; Posted 8 November
2001. http://emperors-clothes.com/news/probestop-i.htm
1?-3"}-
27 Suppressed Details of Criminal Insider Trading lead
directly into the CIA's Highest Ranks, CIA Executive Director
"Buzzy" Krongard managed Firm that handled "put" Options
on UAL , by Michael C. Ruppert , FTW Publications, 9October 2001. Centre for Research on Globalisation,
globalresearch.ca, 20 October 2001.
http://qlobalresearch.calarticles/RUP110Ahtml28 The CIA's Wall Street connections, Transcript of interview
with Michael C. Ruppert. Guns and Butter, The EconomyWatch with Kellia Ramares and Bonnie Faulkner Aired on
KPF A 94.1 FM, Berkeley, CA Friday, October 12, 2001.
Centre for Research on Globalisation (CRG), Montreal,
globalresearch.ca 3 November 2001.
http://qlobalresearch.calarticles/RUP111Ahtml
29 David Shippers Interview, Alex Jones Radio Show;
October 10, 2001.
http://www.infowars.com/transcriptschippers.html
30 Some Got Warning: Don't Go Downtown on Sept. 11, By
GREG B. SMITH, Daily News; 10/12/2001.
http://www.nvdailvnews.com/2001-10-
12/News and Views/City Beatla-128273.asp
31 Who Did It? U.S. Searches for Terror Clues; Analysts See
Signs of Osama Bin Laden, By David Ruppe, ABC News,
Sept 11, 2001.
http://abcnews.qo.com/sections/world/DailvNews
/wtc terrorsuspects 010911.html
32 David Ruppe, ibid.
http://abcnews.qo.com/sections/world/DailvNews/wtc terrors
uspects 010911.html
33 Citizen, Can I See Your ID , by AI Martin, AI Martin Raw.
http://www.almartinraw.com/column37.html
34 ATTACK ON THE BILL OF RIGHTS, by Marty Jezer,
Brattleboro (VT) Reformer; 10/19/01.35 From the United States of America to the National
Security States of America, by AI Martin, AI Martin Raw.
http://www.almartinraw.com/column36.html36 Turkmenistan: China Plans To Aid Construction Of
Iranian Pipeline, By Michael Lelyveld, Radio Free Europe
Radio Liberty; 17 November 1997.
http://www.rferl.orq/ncalfeatures/1997/11/F.RU.971117130313.html
37 Same Investors, Oil Companies Merge, Poised for War
Profits, H. Michael Sweeney, Noilwar.
http://www.proparanoid.com/priorknowledqe.htm#merqe
[Dale Alien Pfeiffer is a Michigan structural geologist, activist,and novelist. He can be reached at
enerqv [email protected]
CIA FOIA - THE IMPENDING SOVIET OIL CRISIS (ER 77-10147)
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(1St>
THE IMPENDING SOVIET OIL CRISIS (ER 7710147)Title:
Abstract:
Pages:
THE IMPENDING SOVIET OIL CRISIS (ER 77-10147)
0014
lET INDUSTRIAL ANALYSIS ISOVIET ENERGY ANALYSIS
Irltelligel1ce MemOfdl'ldum
The ltnpending S()viet. Oil Crisir
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CIA FOIA - THE IMPENDING SOVIET OIL CRISIS (ER 77-10147)
NATIONAL SECURITY INFORMATION
Unouthorizcd m~dosure Subject to CriminQI SanctiOns
CIAn~rI•.d ~, .• oemp1 hro. (I.",~I ::::oH'e: •• I'ln::IlI-aft S-ch.du!.
of !.O_tll-..c;3 •• Ii.-'Olie. .•• 1:9J:1~'yt
,n:I/. (21."nd 1]1""IJ·eorPoo:J;III:.:d, ~I:,gUlI 1.'It cn,:....,~ '...,... •• '01. #f) otI.I."W ..••----~----------------_._•....•. -----
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I..Sqerct -~
t'~ 77·10U7Merth 1977
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l11C' Impending Sovlef
Oil Cri~i:s
. The $avkt oil jnd~lstry Is in (!ouble. S,wiet; oil productjon wil1 SOU;) peak,. pos.~ibly liS early as next .'~ear Elnd 'certalnly not I,,(cr tl1"n the ~:ar1y I980s, The
maximum level of output tCIl~hed Is likely to be I~[wccn I I nnd 12 mmlon b:Jrrcls
per day Cb/d)-up from the ]976 Icvci of 10.4 rtimlon bid. MnxJrml111 levels tiro
, noi: Hkcly (0 be mnJnta]J1cd for long, !howcver, Ilhd the decline, when ii co 1111;5.
will be ~h.arp_ . j !iI
The Soviets have t ••••.o baslc problems: or,e orrescrves .md Onc of production .
. B:J·rring an extremely unHkcl~' discoverY of a mnssi\'e r.cw field dose to 1.1n existing
ftdd. ncw dej}Qsi[s will not be fowid j·apidly er-on;:!! W ma::It;tJn ;;;ccep(;)blc
!1:SC['i';::S-(o-productior\ ra"ios, Md Iho5U fjcld~ that' p.ccount for th~ bulk of $ovi;:; t
pmducliQn nr-e expericncing seVere wntcr encrollchmcl1.t. As {~rcsutt. ir;<;~nstJ\!.:1y
IIl,gc qmmtltlcs of Water mU!:t be lifted for cllch. b1lrrcl of oil p!tJd~j(;cd. and
high-cJJ.pacity submersihJe pumps-ob!.nirmblc pnly from th~ Unih:~ Statcs-wi!l he
rtq:.Ji~J if production dcdim::; ~re to. be st<!ved·off cn;n tcmpo[;Jri!y.
DurJng the l1..:xt d~c(jc!o. the USS R :rmy well find itself not <)Ill,' ~.nublc tt!
sU;lply oi] to E.r:stcrn Europe !1tH' the West o;~ the rr~scnl sCi:lk. bu: ;I(SO 11;Jvinr,
fo wmpete for OPEC {liI for its own ~!se.·nlis wOll!d be :! miJrkcd dla:ll;c frol11
the Current situ;Jtion, in which c:>:.port:; of {)il to the West rJnnu:1!ly provide- 40~tccat of toflll Soviet hJfd currency er.rnill!;5. The USSH hilS l:trg{: rescn'cs of •
cou] and !Il1tuml S"I$, but. those scheduled fur exploitation eve: the n(')( t dec:tde:
;tP: cast of tlte Umh, far rrom con~<Jming ccotcrs in the W{'stcln USSR. Distance:,
dir~:!tt:, omJ h: Il\irt win rrmkc exploitation ;md tntfiSport dif,jr;ult ant! cXPCnSi\'l',
EXI)Orts l1f gas ·•••·ill jncrcll~<:. ellr will I1C! f;ompc!J!i:HC for the loss or c;lrIli:J,!,. ••• from
thr: eXj10rt of oil. Although somc wbstitution of \;(1(!1und ~:Js for oil in. C01Tlc,tlc
U~~ .•••.111bIJ 1J()~s:blc It! the ~loJ1R nw, tile ('ffel:t of sllch 51~b:stH,,(jor: will bc rlli~1mltl
--"------- -NUl •..: C(}mm~11t·· '''''I qucrlc5 rct~(lrdlng lIII" menw~nndllm ;!re wl'koll1c. Tlw)' IUt"J~, directed !()
rite Office of EC(;:llImk: Re!>'.:J:c])
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tn the short mo. Neither hydrool~ctrtc power trcnsmlHcd from th.e ellst nor
corutrtlction of nuclear electric plant5 (mainly In thl: Western USSR) can be
expected to nfford rnuch ~Jicf in the Soviet energy !;ttuation for r\'iorc th:tn :1
d!:cadc •.
The Problem
I. Unlike the United Stotcs. whkh has long rcstricted production for reasons
of cOllservation IInd profit. the USSR f~vors ,I forced draft nppro::lch. Short-term",...... •.f'sl •.•'~""" "_'1'011< ~"A ••.•.••••H.•. rA....•......1 n __ _ .....•........J,!. ....• .J. _
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I••"' •••••••••.••• .l:\V'''''' '"'' 1r""""'I."'''U I<VUp., I1U~ {':1:IIIIlI!!i, uno rcwar<Js are given lor
eKcccdir1!; them with I1ttJe regard to productl.·Jty over the longer I..:nn. Und,'r lhcseconditions, Sovi('t production has expanded much morc rapidly in the last 20 yearsthlln that of the United States.
Soviet and US Crude 011 ProductionIIlllID. BID
12
D
19!!1I 80 70
fiGURE 1
7G 70 80 815J---.-- proJKtf'd---i
2. The Soviet stakh:!nollite approach has led to (a) :m empha!ils on
development drHling over explorntion. with the rcsult that new discoveries atc feiling
to keep pl'CC with output growlh; Cb) Q\'crproductlon of existing wells and ncldsthroush rapid WilIer injection find other methods. with the result that less of the
Dil In place is ultimntely recovered; and (c) new capacit}lo; requiremcnts that SOOn
will run for beyond the Soviet 011 industry's capobility, Erfo!"ts to further im;rcilsc
flrod~lctlon-!lH:h Il! oIlrc dcmllndJ:d by the 80:lls of the rcc~ntly annfJllnccd S~ycorplan-can only Worsen the :illuatlon und mllke tho CVcJ1lUoJ downward slide marc
rttpld.
I~T
USSR: I"u,duclicn of Crud~ Oil,'by Rrghm
Million Dnrn!! P<" 0111
CiA F.s(£m;]tuof Puk Out~19~O_
.- .-1910 1975 .Goal. 1:I.!ihLow
...:Tot'"
; 1.069.8212,W11.811.0Western ~gion and Urnls
: 5.806.00S.715.64.9. Urnh,V(Jlgn
; 4.17
~:~~)
NA4.13.5Tllrlnr
'2.012.85 !
LS
Ollshklr0.810.81 2.9O,r.
Kllybyshev
0.70Q.69 ,O.Sn___'
- --
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1743n=rm
U.J;;:0.450.62 :0.605
Orenburg
: 0.150.24
wWl:r Volg"
' 0.140.14 r 0.60.4Udml.lrt
0.010.07~al(Jv
O.oJ0.03Iklorus-1J"
0.08
0.16 J
1.74 i0.2 )Cnui::o~U!
0.690,41
OJ j
lv.~rb:i1'dl.h3n
0.41O.JS . 0.41.0
Ukmlne
0.270.23 ;. :).2
Other
0.0.10.07 : NcglKoml :md Arklumgel'sk
a.1S0.22Q.SO j0040.4
E~s1em r~l!lon1.263.827.09 '6.16.1
WeslS!bcrl30.632.Q66.16 ;5.2S.l
Cenwll AJI",
0.58O.R2Nil0.90.8
M<lligysMnk
O.2t0.40 }0.54tsnba
0.050,08Tutkmcn
0.290.310.28Olhcr
0.031
O.OJ 1
! .Snkhnlln
. 0.050.04
0.11 }0.10.1o~h~r
. NeglN~g1
1,.'1\<;1\1.1111.1 ~:ucon~n"'u~.
,L
,3.: As th~ ratio of rc~o~~! to output hit!!. f{lUen, the bulk or Sovlct output
has COITI~ Increasingly from nl.:id!l. npproadling cKhnus.tlon. Tho rcsult hus Ixcn noect:clerntlon of drilling requirement:!:. which will level off or <Jcelim: only wht:rl-and
If-v~ry 'lm~c n~w L1I.hlitiotl~ ure mude to the producing rC$~rv'c basc. llw Sovil!B
~W.:':lk of this problem 111terms 6r thc dcplction orf~ct-thc umouot of new cllPllcity
n:qllit1:d 10 ofr",ct (kpft'1ioll of old ('ul'm:ity In each S-ycllr plan period.!
'2
rr'-~
4. During the 196+65 plan period. ot'lly 1.3 milUon bId {67 mmion tnnsper ~eaT) of capocily had to be replaced. In 1971·75, 5.1 million bid (254 million
tOI1~ per ycur) of rcl!ltl(:~mcnt cnpndry WII,,'I required bCCIUl'lC of mplll dcplct.l(m.
Viewed in. Linother WLlY. about 72 pcn:crn or 1970 cOIpm.:Hy h:l<I to be replacedby the end of 1975. 11~e target fot th~ 1976·80 plan is 10.6-; 0.8 million bId
{S30-540 million. tOrts pet ycarLoI new. capacity; 7.8 million b/~-cquIIJ to aboutgD .percent of the C(lfladty on lin(! In .L97S.-iS:lo 9rfscI dcpTctioll.lr" deph:tioT\
is more repld th:m the Soviets expcct-nnd. based on-·thcli--past record. it may
wcl~ bc-c-onsidcrabl>' more' of the 1975 capacity will have to be replaced.
RescrvC$
S. There is uncertainty about the Si7-C [)f the USSR's reserves. becausc of
deOnition~1 problems as well as Soviet scclY"~y. Our best estimatc is that Sovietproved rescrves are 3Q..)S, billion barTeI~. roughly comparable with those of the
United States. There is 110 doubt that Russinn proved rcscrw:s have been ramng
in r~ccnt Years, and there is very little chance that enough ncw oil will 00 di~co~rcdduring toe next few y"ars to appreci:!bly improve tbe rescf\·cs.to·production ratio.Indeed. d(~piCe rtm.Jor cffort~ it will probably detcriotrl!l: further.
6. Although the USSR has :Ibund.tnt potcotial tCserves in Arctic. East
Sjhcri31n, IInd offshore :maS. development of such reserves iS:lt least a decade away •
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Thu~" during the !lCx.! 8·10 years. almost :tll Soviet output will have EO come from
cxistlng fields cnd from new fields in c~ ~s[ing prodm:ing rCj!iol'ls,
Th~ Outlook fur Output rromF.:x.~tin!J ProductiDn Regiuns
, 7•. From World Wj),~U through 1970, the fU'owlh In Soviet oH output clime
either from the Caspian ficlds Of. nftor the mid-19Scrs, front Inr~1,)fields in the
Ural$·Volg:l (t!gion. Since ,1970, neart~ :311output growth has come (tom WcstSiberia, primarily from the jpant Samotlor field. Current Soviet plans eaU for holding!lAAtcgatc output l1eLlrly constLlnt west ~f the Urnl~. while doubling production ~t'West SlbNiu, 8IJcuuse of a variety of 'problems. we Iwl!~ve thltt output w('.~! of
the, Urals will decline, while that of West Slberin :wll1 [nil fat short of dOllblln~.
! !;
8. Production from llo1ds in the wc5tcrn purt of the country I:,>comlnR
Increasingly ftom weater depths nnd from In-OU drilling which nnOW!! mo~ Inlcnsl •••~
eX(3lolta!lon of alNady tapped r~ervolrs. All growth in O\ltput through 1~80 will. ' ..
I
USSR: Additions to on Producing Capacity
;-
MtLUON BARRELS OF OIL PER DA.,
1.8
FIGURE 2
10.8
,.,'
.-:-'- 3.0-- GROY/TH
,. ~
4.0
. ' ,.,. '
,.1' ~ J,jjtf'!I"t, ! '(' I. '.;'J ,I' ,. ,I
I :' f;: :,;; .,
r •.
. 1.11
5.1
DEPI.Elh1~OmtT
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CIA FOIA - THE IMPENDING SOVIET OIL CRISIS (ER 77-10147)
..•,I ! :: ,:
'"I' :i I ";, ... ,, ;, I " I;', ::,.i,', !, •.", ,'"
:1\ .: 'U i•
":,,rl: ," I ••.. I - ,"" ~
.:t:~ ~.'. 1.3: ,-:~~4;','.
.'
!." "I
,:".. i. ". - .. "t :::" I.~ .:.. 'I)I
:I'""
Page 8 ofl2
", •.•.l I ~I
1070·80 pi .• "
c(lm~ from West Siberh" wlll'rc Ill\.' il1h!l~pitl1blc dimntt.:. dlflkult terrain. ntHl Vllst
distances grently complicltt4.:' opcrntions. [n 1976. n!'lproxitn:Jt~ly 60 pCl\:clil of West
Siberian output :md toughly onc-fifth of ulltionnl productit'u cam" frOln the gi:!!It
Sumotlor field on the middle Ob'.Sovict soure\1S indicate that this field will rc;!ch
peak production In the nl.:xt year Of SO and will hold pcnk II.:\'~I~ for no ",orc
than 4 years. It .Is already CXJ11.'~~ocJ"grupid watef IncursIon. The _water ~ut rcachcd
47, percent In 1915. and; iru:rcasingqu::ItHitics "Ofl1u.id (W<itCf plus ~oil)-must bc,lifted to recover any givcn:qu:mtity of oil. Although ne\~tf'k'ltts arc bci'ng discoveredin West Slb~rla, no gianl: ne!!.!:> comparable to Snmotlor have been found.
The Drilling Problem
: 9. The USSR does not have Ihe drilling cupability 10 pursue adequ:ltc
dcvelopment lIod cxploroUol\ progrurnsslmultl.incously. The Sovich hnve some 1,600
active rigs, abo\lt .he sam~!ls the Untied States. In terms of metcrs drilled, however,the Soviet dfort amounts to only about one·fifth U13t of the United St3tes. InIQ71-75. the Soviet Ministry of the Oil Industry drilled a total ofaboul 52 millionmeters. 1n t 975 alonc, the United Sltttes drilled S3 million meters with about
1.700 rigs. We estimate that. even wHh !I maximum effort. the Soviets will notbe: able to come close to drilling by 1980 the 7S million meters called fOf by
their current S-year plan .
. '
10. The poor Soyiel' drilllng record Is in part thc fC!;UIt of the fact thut 80
percent of their drilling is done with turbodrilling rigs that arc highly inefficientfor deep drilling or for use in soft formatians. Greater access to advanced Westernt~hnology und rotary drilllna equipment could help allcvlntu the Soviet drilHn!! '
problem.
The Fluid Urtlng Problemi. ,
11. In the 1950-". when well!! In thc Umls-Volg:1 region began to stop flowing
nntufal1y, tho Soviets were forced to begin pu~plng. ft thnt time, howcyer.pumping equipment was In short supply. To forestall 11 slowdown 1n th.J growthIor 011 output. the Soviets ndoptl:!d the; practice of RUlsslve wnter Injection withIn
, aM I110ng the edge~ of ellch field. If: enough \Y~ter i! forced into 11.formnllon,, Lt rniSl:!5 ~crvoir pressures so that W~115once I1sUin now without pumplog,' The
, Soviet sys.tem differs from thc standard W~stcrn secondary recovcry technlquc or
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?G.R€r- jii ,
wDtcrf100ding ill thut the QbJc-::t Is 10 inclcll~c f:\lhcr t:um Just to malrHlJln premlf('.Much more w~ter 1.0; il\.itded th1l11 oil rroduced.
, ,
12•• Althoul::h mL1<;slvc WdN InjectIon c~n; boo~t ~rodllctlon for a time.c'icntuv.Ur tho watc: wiH find Cl channel of lcn~t r('sl~ta"c~ nnd brcnk throllghto
the oU-producing well, a procu.s that leaves bc~ind much ~U 111 the IcS$ rCj:Jnr.:n];!lt,;
portlons of the (.cirmat!.;In. When the w~lts beg/ri to show ·wa'tel' in large quantitlcs.I I _.~,the natural now will w>lIlll1y !top and the wells must be 'p\lmp~d. In thb ea~.however. conventlono] pumpIng equipment cannot be used; spcclnl hll':h·coj)Qcily
submersible pumps are needed bcc:msc much ~atc~r volucncs of nuid (water plusoil) must be lifted. ..
, , I\3. Such pumpJ\ began to bc, used extensive!}' 10 the USSR 10 the l>itc 1960s.
In ] 973, tha.o;cpumps provided 2:5 million bid of the So~ct total of 8.6 millionij
USSR: Fluid Lifting Requlrements1!I ttH 0~ UET~lt fDH3.Y.:II
FIGUP. E 3
B~I.!28
t.C~
!JOO r-
i~l.tIO!Ij....
~I
;
IWATER~~ l... , ,Olt :',i -I
-/
o J
' t>I ,
107~
1DTe11U' 7
UI78 : ling 19f1Dpia"
'.V. •.'.ftM' u••m.'.1 n j:,..,.II" ,I ""-iftl k ~I.'!••fld,. I•• e,.!, •••1III1IU.
}lIoIl4I .~I •• u •.t·,"'~I~ t., nren. ~ UI1Ic3J "". 1I~5 ..r..•till !!II U .f.~n'"• nu.
b ..,---~ ,,.,.'
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bId. The Su •••icts h;.td ~omc 12.00U or thcs~ pumps in 1975, ::md their need ror
sllch cquirmlcnl is lncrenslng rJpidly as water encroachmcnt becomes 11prohlemin more urld mure fields., Allhou~h some WI;$.! E~lroflcun lI;ltion~ und the USSR
itJir:lr manuractuft< D JOWCI: capacity versiou of tho:sc pumps, Ihe Soviets recoimi1.c
nun the only pumps I:Idcqu1ItC' to del11 with their UfUng problem IIfC made hI the
Uni!cd States. The 1.000,pump$ alrcady purchased from the UnHcd Slates haven higher toted lifting cnpoclty 'lhsn the Il,oaO-{JUmps of domesticl>nr;ln. Even
In the United States, such pumps lire nuin'ufacturod 'bY-onl~two compl1nlc:.s and'
are' in short supply. As un' alh:rnntive to high·capaclty submcrsible pumps, lit leastin sOtn~ fields, the Soviets are considering wider, use of gas·lift equipment. Thc
kInd of projects they hQVC In mind :woutd rcI;J.ulre Inrgc-sc1Ilc imports of UStechnology nod lang Ictld times.' i
Tltr: Longer Tenn 01.1 Uook
,
14. The Jnitlol fallorr. wh~rI,1t comes. will almost 4;crtalnly he s.hl1rp; th!:!t"Dn~r
output may continue to faU sharply, level off, or pcrhap~ even Increase a.~newfjc!d~ are brought into prodl1ctlon in frontier areas. There Is 110 quc-stiO[1 that newf1elds-some quite large-win eventuoHy be di1icovered. Givclt the rnpid ratc of
dcpletlo[1 of exl!tlng ficld$ Dnd the technical difficulties nssocll1f,::d with exp1oratlonDnd cx'ploitatlorl In fronth:r nrcns, howcycr, we doubt thllt the new discovcrics
will come on stream rapidly enough to do mqre thur.. temporarily um:st the rapid
slide 'of Soviet output.
15. A'J WC :o>tlltcd earlier, only small nmounts of So••..ict production during
the. next decade will come from outside e~istjng proc!t1di'\g nreas. In the early 19805
new offshore Cuspla.n reserves mar mJ.ke somo small contribution to Qutput. asWIll neW dlscovcriC!l on th~ MangyshlBK Peninsula on the cn!f shore ('\1 the Caspian
and in the PcchClm region west of the Urnl$. The Soviets. IIlso h\1pc to find oilin deep structures in the northern part of West Slberia.'s Tyumcn' Oblnst Limilt::d
c~plorl1Uon In this rcgJon. how('vcr. ha..<; so far yielded 'mainly naturol gas podcondensate. I ~! ~
,i
16. Geo!ogleal condItions favumblc to II!r~ future disCQveric!\ cxi$t over muchof the Arctic offshore: rdglons (especially in the Barcnts and KDrn SeD!:), 11'1 the
East SlbQrlan lowland!!, In deep structure~ In the Ca~phm tJrca, IIr:tI l1~rhups. orrKlllw.:hrlt1HI IInd 8akhlln in the Scn or Okhotsk. Production from most of these:1fCn::, however. Is ut lenst 11decade away. 11'1 tha: ofr~horo Arctic, environmental
7
conditions lire much Illore ~cvr.:rl:! th:H1 In the North Set!: l4:dmo]o~y for I,.'XplOf(lIiotl
nOli prodm:lIcf\ In this fc!-,oion 'does l1ul y!:!t ,c!(lst, ~V()n in till: Wesl. AllhulI,!,:h
conditions [l1"C ftlore fao,'orablc "CDr S:JkJU1lin and in the Eas' Sibo..'riall lowhuuJs,
production and tran:o;portatio[J! difficl,iti·:S make it doubtrul Iha' signilic:mt~ __J .. _IL·I I ." •••
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CIA FOIA - THE IMPENDING SOVIET OIL CRISIS (ER 77-10147) Page 11 of 12
proullcuon cOUla uucc place un ~iI 10 YC:Jf$j)rtcr a mu.lor discovery-which hn~ yi:tto be ltl;tgc. The Icad time would b~_~.hortcr for production from dc<;r wcll.s inthe Caspian region; the USSR; however. lac.k.5 thc· ~Lljpr!1cnt ana i:xpi"ricnce·ni:ccss;tr)' to undcrt"kc 11 deep :drilling program witbOJut cx.fchsivc-Wcslcrri help.
Economic Impliclttlom
,
17. When oil pmduction SI()ps growing, and perhaps eVCn before. profQl.lnd
rcper~ussions will bc fclt on th~ domestic. economy of the USSR and on Itsintcrnalionw economic relations. The extent of such rcpNcu!t~ion~ can be only
guessed at without further research. AlII minimum. the USSR will find it extremely,difficult to continuc t1) simultaneou!:1y meet its (\wn rcquircrm:nts and (husc of
Enstern Europe while cxporting:to non·Communist countries on Ihc prcsent scalc.More pcs.o;iml!\tically, the USSR. wJII i!~drbecome un 011 importer.
18. I These are Import::!n! considcrntion'1 for the Sm1ct Union. IllloW supplies
three-fourths of the oil required by the Cummunist counlrics of Eastern Europe,and It undoubtedly wishes to I"Otuln th~ political a!1d economic leverage tllnt goes.
with being' thi:lr prJncipnl !Oupp1ier, For mOlriy ycnl'S (he export of oil tonOIl-'Comtnunist countries, mllinly in Western Europe. hus I:P-CI1 01t' USSR's l:1r~cstsingle sOUrce of hard currency.·
19. I In the long run, con~ideruble substitution for oil will be pos.'\iblcdom~UcBlIv And n.pl"hnl'¥: in ,.vnnrt •••••••.•••••~••••.•11 "'M.~ IIcen.., --' --- .--.-
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transmission must be s.olved before such resources can be fully c;otploited. Th":'
Soviets consider nuclear power to b<: the best source of lIew electric pO''''l'r inEuropean area.s. A program for constructing nuclcllr ),JOwerplllnts Is under WilY, but
it will be quite! somo time boro..., the,,, plana ca~;havc.Qn important effcct onthe: power base. In 1975 nuclear power n:pr~sen.t~d2 perct'!nt. of total powerprod..uction. and .It will reach Qply abOut 6 percent In ·1980.
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" ,THE JOINT CHIEFS OF STAFF
WASHINGTON 25, D.C.
. 13 l\1arch 1962,
, , ,
MEMORANDUMFOR THE SECRETARY 9F DEFENSE:Subject; Justification for US Military Intervention
in Cuba (TS) ,', ,/.
1. The Joint Chiefs of Staff have considered the attachedMemorandum'~or .the Chief 'of Operations, Cuba Project, whichresponds to a'·~equest of that office for brief but precisedescription of pretexts ,which would prOVide justificationfor US military intervention in Cuba.
( ,
For the Joint Chiefs of staff:
..2. The ,Joint Chiefs of~Staff recommend that the
proposed memorandum be forwarded as a preliminary submissionsuitable for planning purposes. It is assumed that therewill be similar submissions from other agencies and thatthese inputs will be used as a basis for aeveloping at~e-phas~d plan. Individual projects can then beconsidered on a case-by-case basis .
3. Further, it is assumed that a single agency will begiven th~ 'primary respon~ibility for developing milit~and para-military aspects of the basic plan. It isrecommended that this responsibility for both overt and,covert military operat+ons be assigned the Joint Chiefs ofStaff.
EXCLUDED FROM GDS
L. L. LEMNITZERChairman
Joint" Chiefs pr St
..
I.EnclosureMemo for Chier of Ope~at1ons, Cuba Project
S'(gTEMATICA.'lLU~IEW~ .. GeLBY JCS ON __ ~-a! - --:lr:i~~LA~SIFICAI!mi,9.l!Il!'!!LEll - ," ...•_----"'--.~ ..
,I!~"'rI
,.,
EXCLUDED FROM AijTOMATrc
REGRADING; DOD DIR 5200.10
, DOES NOT APPLY
_ ••v In •• '.•.. "I LVI" L nit nU Llt\..A 11ur u Itn
AmffiX TO APPENDIX TO ENCLOSURE A ~~tt~~~'HtkPRETEXTS TO JUSTIFY US MILIT!lliY INTERVENTION IN OUBA
(Note: The ?ourses of action wp~ch follow are a preliminary
submission suitable only for planning purposes: They are
arranged neither ohronologioally nor in ascend2ng order.
Together w2th similar inputs from other agencies, they are
intended to provide a point of departure for the development
of a aingle, integrated, time-phased plan. Such a plan would
permit the evaluation of individual projects within the context
of cumulative, correlated actions designed to lead inexorably
to the objective of adequate justification for US military
intervention in CUba).
1. Since it would seem desirable to use legitimate
provooation as the basis for US military intervention in Cuba
a cover and deception plan, to include requisite prel1minary
actions ~uch as has been developed in response to Task 33 c,
Qould be exeouted as an initial effort to provoke CUban
reactions. Harassment plus deceptive actions to convince the
Cubans of imminent 'invasion would be emphasized. OUr military
posture throughout exeoution of the plan will allow a rapid
change from exercise to intervention if CUban reBponB~ j~Bt~£ies.
2. A series of well o~rdinated incidents ,will be planned_ r '
to take place in and around Guantanamo't3 give genuine
appearance of being done by hostile Cuban forces.
a. In~identa to establish a credible attack (not in
ohronologicalorder):
(1) Start rumors (many). Use clandestine radio.
(2) Land friendly Cubans in uniform lIover-the-fence"
to stage attack on base.
(3) Capture Ouban (friendly) saboteurs inside the
base.
(4) start riots near the base main gate (friendly
Cubans) •
- .')
.'
7Annex to Appendixto Enclosure A
u~tl~~~\Ht~---:r..~J-.-&P'~~UJ.R.t.f.NL-JlJU~.O.MI~.
-. -_...~~N~U~Itlr--uvnnrn-'(5) Blow up ammunition inside the basei start fires.
(6) Burn airoraft on air base (sabotage).
(7)Lob mortar shells from outside of base into base.
Some "damage to installations.
(8) Capture assault tea.rns approaching :f.'romthe sea
or vicini"ty of GUantanamoCity.
(9) Capture militia grOUl) which stornlS the base.
(10) Sabotage Ship 1n harbor i large fires -- napthalene.
(11) Sink ship near tlaI'bor entrance. Conduct funerals
for mock-vlct~ (may be lieu of (10».
b. United states would resl)ond by e~ecuting offensive
ol)erations to secure water and power supplies, destroying
artillery and mortar emplaoements which threaten the base.
c. Commence large scale United states military operations.
3. A )lRemember the Maine 11 inoident oould be a:I':t'anged in
several forms:
a. We could blow up a US ship in Guantanamo Bay ahd
blame CUba.
b. He could blow up a d,rone (unmanned) vessel anywhere
in th~ Ouban waters. We could arrange to oause such incident
in the vicinity of Havana or Santiago as a spectacular result
of Cuban attack from tJ;le air or sea, or b·oth. The presence
of OUbanplanes or Ships merely inVe';&gating the intent of
the vessel could be fairly compelling evidenoe that the ship
was taken 'under attack. The nearnesa to Havana or Santiago
woUld add credibility espeoially to those people that might
have heard the blast or ha.veBeen the fire. TheUScould
f'ollow up with an air/sea rescue operation covered by US
fighters to I!evaouatell remaining members of the non-existent
orew. Casualty lists in US newspapers would ca.use a helpful
wave of na~ional indignation.
4. We CO~~ddevelop a C01lD1lun:tst. Cuban -cerror campaign in
the Miami a:rea~ in other Florida oities and even in Washington.
"'1:'0"'.
,,"
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..-,.-'-- _ ... -.--." --_.-
8Annex to Appendixto Enolosure A
":~.,.-
."I "L "':n (. I \.... .)r e.1I ••••.•••••••..••• n ....
The terror oampaign oould be p01!t~lll~~{)~~refugee .... king
haven in the United states. Wecould sink a boatload o~ Cubans
enroute to Florida (real or simulated). we could foster attempts
on lives of Cuban refugees in the United states even to the
extent of wounding in instanoes to be widely publicized.
Exploding a few plastio bombsin carefully chosen spots, the
arrest of CUbanagents and the ~elease of prepared documents
substantiating Cuban invo1veznerltalso would 'be helpful in
projecting the idea of an irresponsible government.
5. A IICuban-based, Oastro-supportedll filibuste:t' could be
s~lated against a ne1ghboring Oaribbean nation (in the vein
of the 14th of June invasion of the Dominican RepUblic). We
know that Castro ia backing subversive efforts clandestinely
against Haiti, Dominican Republic, Guatemala, and Nicaragua at
present and possible others. These efforts can be magnified and
additional ones cOrltrived for e~osure. For example, advantage
oan be taken of the sensitivity of the Dominioan Air Force to
intrusions within their national air space. "Cubanl1 B-26 or
0-46 'type airorat't oould make cane-burning raids at. night.
Soviet Bloc inaendlarles oould be found. This cquld be aoupled
with !lCuban"messages to the Communist UIldersround in the
Domin;l..canRepublio and 'I CUban11 shipments of arms which \'iould- ,• '"I
be found, 03:' intercepted, on the beach.'
6. Use of MIG type airoraft by USpilots coUld provide
additional provocatiorl. Harassment of civil air, a.ttacks on
sur.t'ace shipping and dest:t'uction of USmilitary drone airoraft
by .MIGtype planes would be useful a.s oomplementary actions.
An F-86 properly painted would convince air passengers that they
saw a Cuban MIG,especially if the pilot 01' the transport were
to announce suoh fa.ct. The pr.:t.ma.rydrawback to this suggestion
appears to be the secUJ:'ity risk 1nhe:t'ent in obtaining or modify
ing an aircraft. However, reasonable copies or the MIGcould
be produced from US resour.ces in about three months.
9Annex to Appendixto Enclosure A
-'. - - - - -
nUl unA
~~~lA~""'~..~I,!";, \ ~t~ 2" ..
7. Hijacking attempts aga.ins~ civil air and surface craft
should appear to continue as harassing measures oondoned by the
government of Cuba. Ooncurrently, genuine defections of Cuban
civil and mill tary aix' and surfaoe oraft ahould be encouraged.
8. It is possible to create an incident which will demonst!'ate
oonvincingly that a Cuban'aircraft has attacked and shot do~~
a ohartered civil airliner enroute from the United states to
Jamaioa, Guatemala, Panama or Venezuela. The de6t:Lnation would
be chosen only to oause the flight plan route to cross Cuba.
The passengers oould be a grOUP of oOllege students off on a
holiday or any grouping of persons with a common interest to,support chartering a non~scheduled flight.
a. An aircraft a.t Eglin .I\FBwould be pail1ted and
numberE(!as an exact duplicate tor a oivil registered
aircraft belonging to a CIA proprietary organization in the
M:1.amiarea.. At a designated time the duplicate would be
substituted for the a~tual civil aircraft and would be
loaded with the selected passengers, all boarded under
carefully prepared aliases. The actual registered
aircraft would be converted to a drone.
b. Take of!' times of the drone aircraft and the aotual
aircraft will be soheduled .to allow a rendezvous south or- ,I' '-/
Florida. From the rendezvous point the passenger-oarrying
aircraft will descend to minimum altitude and go directly
into an aUXiliary field at Eglin AF.Bwhere arrangements will
have been made to evacuate the paasengers and return the
airora.!'t to its original status. The drone a:Lrcra.!'t
meanwhile will oontinue to fly the filed flight plan. When
over Cuba the drone will being transmitting on the inter
national dlstrBs6 frequency a "MAYDAY"message stating he
is under attack by CUbanMIGa.ircraft. The transmission
vdll be interrupted by destruction of the airoraft which will
be triggered by radio signal. This will allow ICAOradio
Ii-'
.•.. '
, ,
l163
10 Annex to Appendixto Enclosure A
, ~,
,,''I,,
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No other
The pilots
nUlunn
Annex to Appendixto EhclosUI'e A
the US what
11
The pilot would then fly direotly
Crews would be briefed to remain at
The pilot and aircraft wou19 then have
Search Ships and aircraft could be dispatched
stations in
1
a. Approximately 4 or :5 F-IOl ai3:'craft·will be dispatched \'in trail from Homestead AF.B, Florida, to the vicinity of CUba.
! .\I\aircraft for an air defanse exercise in southern Florida.
Their mission will be to reverse course and s:1.mU1atefakir
frequent intervals.
he had been jumped by MIGs and was going down.
calls would be made.
west at extremely low altitude and land at a secure base, an
least 12 miies off the Cuban ooast; however, they would be
required to carry live ammunition in the event that hostile
actions were taken by the Cuban MIGs.
b. On one such flight, a pre-briefed pilot would fly
tail-end Charley at considerable interval betwe?D aircraft.
lihile near the Cuban Island this pilot would broadoast that
These aircraft would conduct variations of these rl~ghts at
of business.
Eglin auxiliary. The airoraft would be met by the proper..people, quiokly stored and given a ~~wtail number. The
pilot who had performed the mission under 'an alias, would
resume hiB proper identity and return to his nor.mal place
has happened to the airoraft' instead of the US trying to
15 to 20 miles off the Ctl.bancoast and depart.
d:tsappeared.
c. At preoisely the same time that the aircraft was
presumably shot down a submarine or small surface craft
would disbl.tt'seF-IOl parts, paraohute, etc., at a.pproximately
and parts of aircraft found.
they knew.
returning to Homestead would have a true story as far as
over international waters in an unprovoked attack.
IIse11" the incident.
9. It is possible to create an incident which win make itappear that Communist CUban MIGs have destroyed a USAF aircraft
~ ~ - .•• _ '"".'"" ••• ...,.., ••••. ~4
ENCLOSURE B
FACTS BEARING ON THE PROBLEM
•• W'. "Inl..~1':! 'J
*1. The Joint Chiefs of Staff have previously stated
that US unilateral military inte~vention in CUba can be
undertaken in the event that the Cuban regime commits hostile
acts against US forces or property which would serve as an
incident upon'which to base overt intervention. "
2. The need for positive action in the event that current
covert efforts to foster an internal Cuban rebellion are
unsuccessful was ind1cated** by the Joint Chiefs of Staff
on 7 March 1962J as follows:
n determination that a credible internal
revolt is impossible of attainment during the next
9-10 months will reqMire a decision by the United States
to develop a Cuban IIprovocationl1as justification for
posl tive US military action. 11
3. It is underst90d that the Department of State also is
preparing suggested courses of action to develop justification
for US military intervention in Cuba.
* JCB 1969/303** JCB 1969/313
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12 EnolosUI'e B
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WHAT IS PROMIS AND WHAT DOES IT DO?
PROMIS stands for Prosecutor's Management Information System.
In the late 1970s the legal system of the United Court imposed a compulsory license on the 44
States Department of Justice (DoJ) was comprised largest U.S. ~ttome~s Offices for ~heperp.etualuse
of more than thirty semi-autonomous regional U.S. of the 32-blt. v.ersl~n of Pro~IS and Iss~edh aAttorne s (USA) offices. Each had a computer permanent InJunctr~n against any urt er
systemy to track case man~g.e~~nt. for dissem.inationof Promls by the government exceptprosecutions, investigations, and CIVil IItrgatlons. under license from Inslaw.
The problem was that they used as many as seven Subsequent appeals by the government saw the
different programming languages. This made the original rulings overturned on legal, ~ot factu~1,transmission and sharing of information between grounds. Legal actions in the case continue to thiSoffices virtually impossible. The computers in the day.
USA's office in Sa~ Francisco could not read files Hamilton told FTW that none of the uses described
sent from the USA In New York. above had anything to do with any licensing
The genius of Hamilton and Inslaw was to c~eatea agreements for the software's use to tr~cksoftware program that could access files In any terrorists, intelligence matters or worldWidenumber of databases and programming languages financial transactions.
and translate and then unify them into one The paper tracking of the refinements in Promisconsistent file. Promis was the Rosetta stone of after the legal dispute erupted between INSLAWcomputer languages. and the Reagan administration, verifies that atInslaw won a $10 million, three-year contract in least one version of Promis was given to MartinMarch 1982 to install a 16-bit architecture version Marietta, now Lockheed-Martin, which is now theof Promis, which the govemment had the right to nation's second largest defense contractor. Untiluse but not the right to modify without paying late 2000, Lynne Cheney, the wife of Vicelicense fees to Inslaw, on government computers President Dick Cheney sat on Lockheed's board ofin the 22 largest U.S. Attorneys' Offices. In April directors. Research conducted by many1983, the second year of the three-year contract, investigative joumalists has indicated that Promisthe government modified Inslaw's contract in order has spread widely throughout the defenseto obtain delivery of a 32-bit architecture version of contractor network. FTW has received multiplePromis, which the government could not even use reports of Promis use by companies andwithout paying license fees. In modifying the institutions like DynCorp, Raytheon, Boeing, SAICcontract, the government promised to pay license and the Harvard Endowment as well as byfees if it decided to substitute the 32-bit version for government agencies such as the Financialthe 16-bit version. In May 1983, the month Criminal Enforcement Network (FINCEN) and thefollowing Inslaw's delivery of the 32-bit version of U.S. Treasury.
Promis, the govem~ent reneged on i.tscontractual Here's how owerful the software is.agreement to pay license fees and Simultaneously . pbegan to find fault with Inslaw's implementation ApproXimately two weeks after the September 11services as justification for withholding services attacks on the World Trade Center and thepayments. Pentagon, the History Channel aired a
. documentary entitled "The History of Terrorism." InT~~ Ju~tice D~partment thereaft~r Withheld $1.77 that documentary, a law enforcement officermillion In services payments forcln.g In.slaw to file described some of the methods used to track
for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection In February terrorist movements. He stated that "computers"1985. were able to track such things as credit cardIn January 1988, following several we~ks of trial in purchases, entry and exits visas, telephone and1987, the U.S. Bankruptcy Cou~ Issued fully utility usage etc. It was implied that these diverselitigated findings of fact that the Justice Department data base files could be integrated into one unified"took, converted, stole" the 32-bit version of Promis table. He gave an example that through the use of:'through trickery,. fra~d and .. deceit," such a system it would be possible to determineImplemented the 32-blt version of Promls In the 44 that if a suspected terrorist entered the country andlargest U.S. Attorneys Office~, and ~hen tried to was going to hide out, that by monitoring the waterforce INSLAW out of bUSiness In order to and electrical consumption of all possible suspectsincapacitate INSLAW from litigating the Justice in a given cell, it would be possible to determineDepartment's theft of Promis. The Bankruptcy
where the terrorist was hiding out by seeing whoseutility use increased. Conversely, it would bepossible to determine if a terrorist was on the moveif his utility consumption declined or his localshopping patterns were interrupted. Aren't those"club" cards from your supermarket handy?
This is but the barest glimpse of what Promis cando. Mated with artificial intelligence it is capable ofanalyzing not only an individual's, but also acommunity's entire life, in real time. It is alsocapable of issuing warnings when irregularitiesappear and of predicting future movements basedupon past behavior.
In the financial arena Promis is even more
formidable. Not only is it capable of predictingmovements in financial markets and trackingtrades in real time. It has been reported, on anumber of occasions, to have been used, via the"back door" to enter secret bank accounts,including accounts in Switzerland and then removethe money in those accounts without being traced.Court documents filed in the various INSLAW trials
include documentation of this ability as well asaffidavits and declarations from Israeli intelligenceofficers and assets.
The one essential weakness of Promis is that it
must be physically installed on a targetedcomputer for it to be effective. Hence, if Osama binLaden is able to penetrate a U.S. Governmentsystem it must mean that Promis is there.
FTW has previously reported that the CIA usesPromis to track stock trades in real time. Thus, as
described in FTW stories on insider trading directlyconnected to the September 11 attacks, theAgency had the ability to determine that immediateimpending attacks were planned against bothAmerican and United Air Lines. The IsraeliHerzliyya Institute for Counter terrorism was ableto publish a detailed accounting of the trades withindays of the attacks and their report underscoresthe connection between counter terrorist efforts
and the monitoring of financial markets. [See FTW
Vol. IV, No 7 - Oct. 15, 2001] Suspicions of CIAadvance knowledge of the attacks wereheightened when FTW disclosed that the current
Executive Director of the CIA, A.B. "Buzzy"Krongard was, until 1998, the CEO of A.B. Brown,the company which handled many of thesuspicious trades.
All of these abilities were a given when this writer
met with members of the RCMP National SecurityInvestigation Section in the summer of 2000. Ourmeetings were reported in the Toronto Star and
are described in the previously referenced issue ofFTW. A key question that lingered after the
meetings with the RCMP was how many versionsof the software had the CIA and the U.S.
government given out and might they not havebeen also using a back door against "friendly"nations for economic motives to give advantage toU.S. companies. It was not a question that theRCMP dismissed as unlikely.
In another mind boggling development, onNovember 10 The Calgary Sun reported: U.S.police said many of the suspected al-Qaidaterrorists were nabbed through the use of a stateof-the-art computer software program calledPromis The system interfaces with any databaseand can provide information on credit card,banking, pension, tax, criminal and immigrationrecords. Police can input an alleged terrorist nameor credit card and the software will provide detailsof the person's movements through purchases orphone records." After so many years of denialsthese public confirmations that Promis is widely inuse must come as a relief to Hamilton who now
can walk into court and reopen his case. But theyalso indicate that newer generations of softwarehave likely replaced the legendary program thathas been connected with so much death, intrigueand mystery.
The FOX story reported that Osama bin Ladenonce boasted that his youth "knew the wrinkles ofthe world's financial markets like the back of their
hands and that his money would never be frozen."He may be right. And an administration so lost incovering up criminal conduct - no less than theconduct of the ones which preceded it -- whiletrying to fight a war at the same time -- might finditself doubly wounded by the software of BillHamilton and Inslaw.
PROMIS & ETHNO-SPECIFIC BIO-WARFAREWEAPONS: The Last Circle describes in detail
how Promis software was modified byRiconosciuto to allegedly include the back door"eavesdropping" capability but also enhanced withone form of AI and subsequently applied to the
development of new weapons systems including"ethnospecific" biowarfare compounds capable ofattacking specific races.
PROMIS & MICROSOFTIWINDOWS SYSTEMS:
In the winter of 94-95, Inslaw's investigator intoPromis, a former green beret named McCoy,reveled to FTW, that he was using former GreenBerets to conduct physical surveillance of theWashington, D.C. offices of Microsoft in connection
with the Promis case. Subsequent thereto FTW
received information indicating that piracy ofMicrosoft products at the GE Aerospace Herndon
facility were likely tied to larger objectives, possiblythe total compromise of any Windows based
product. It is not by chance that most of the militaryand all of the intelligence agencies in the U.S. nowoperate on Macintosh systems.
PROMIS & FINANCIAL MARKETS: The Tyreediagrams laid out in detail how Promis, afterimprovement with AI, had allegedly been matedwith the software of Jackson Stephens' firmSystematics. In the late seventies and earlyeighties, Systematics handled some 60-70% of allelectronic banking transactions in the U.S. Thegoal, according to the diagrams which laid out(subsequently verified) relationships betweenStephens, Worthen Bank, the Lippo Group and thedrug/intelligence bank BCCI was to penetrateevery banking system in the world. This "cabal"could then use Promis both to predict and toinfluence the movement of financial marketsworldwide.
Tyree informed FTW that just before McCoy'sdeath, he had given McCoy information on "Elbit"flash memory chips, allegedly designed at Kir YatGat south of Tel Aviv. The unique feature of theElbit chips was that they worked on ambientelectricity in a computer. In other words, theyworked when the computer was turned off. When
combined with another newly developed chip, the"Petrie," which was capable of storing up to six
. months worth of key strokes, it was now possibleto burst transmit all of a computer's activity in themiddle of the night to a nearby receiver - say in apassing truck or even a low flying SIGINT (SignalsIntelligence) satellite. According to Tyree this wasthe methodology used by Jonathan Pollard and theIsraeli Mossad to compromise many foreignembassies in Washington.
PROMIS & BIG PICTURE: Tyree described howPromis progeny, having inspired four newcomputer languages had made possible the
positioning of satellites so far out in space that theywere untouchable. At the same time the progenyhad improved video quality to the point where thesame satellite could focus on a single human hair.The ultimate big picture.
PROMIS & MECHANICAL HUMANS: Tyreeexplained that Promis progeny had also evolved tothe point where neural pads could be attached to
plugs in the back of the human head and thoughtcould be translated into electrical impulses thatwould be equally capable of flying a plane or wiretransferring money. Names like Sandia, Cal-Tech,Micron, Tech University of Graz, Oded Leventerand Massimo Grimaldi were mentioned. Data, suchas satellite reconnaissance, could also now be
downloaded from a satellite directly into a humanbrain. The evolution of the artificial intelligence hadprogressed to a point where animal behavior and
thought were being decoded. Mechanical humanswere being tested. Animals were being controlledby computer.
PROMIS & THE NAGASAKI SYNDROME: Then,
placing the evolutions of Promis in context with theCanadian story Tyree asked a question as to whyone would really now need to go to all the troubleof monitoring all of a foreign country's intelligenceoperations. "There's an easier way to get what Iwant," he said. "I access their banks. I access theirbanks and I know who does what and who's
getting ready to do what," he said. He describedhow Canada had been provided with modifiedPromis software which Canada then modified, or
thought they had modified, again to eliminate thetrap door. That software turned loose in thefinancial and scientific communities then became
Canada's means of believing that they weresecuring the trap door information from the entitiesto whom they provided their versions of Promis.
But, unknown, to the Canadians the Elbit chips inthe systems bypassed the trap doors andpermitted the transmission of data when everyonethought the computers were turned off and secure.
A weapon is only good if someone knows what itscapability is. Prior to using the atomic bomb it wasirrelevant." He continued, "They refer to it as theNagasaki Syndrome."
Suggested Reading:
- The Washington Times - Search Archives for"Promis"
- Insight Magazine - a four part series byinvestigative reporter Kelly O'Meara located athttp://www.insightmag.com/archive/200101307.shtm!. If the link is broken, do an archive searchfrom their main web page atwww.insjghtmagazine.com.
- "The Last Circle" - An online e-book by CarolMarshalllocated at
http://www .1ycaeum.org/books/books/last cire le/.
"Trail of The Octopus" - by Lester Coleman, 1993,Bloomsbury Publishing, London.
- The Inslaw Affair -
http://www. webeom.eom/~pinknoiz!covert/jnslaw.
html. Includes Congressional testimony supportingInslaw and a record of court proceedings.
- FTW: Vo!. IV, No 7 - Oct. 15,2001
http://www.fromthewilderness.com/fTee/pandora/O52401 promis.html.
A Planet in Crisis
By Dale Alien Pfeiffer
The world's scientific community has issued an
unprecedented series of wamings over the past
decade.1 They have worked feverishly to assess the
state of the planet, and have found that all of the
Earth's ecosystems are suffering, with many near the
point of collapse. They wam us that we have one
generation, or at most two, to remedy this situation.2
Yet even they do not understand how little time we
have left. They tell us that business as usual cannot
go on. And their assessment goes unheeded.
We are wamed that the planet is threatened by global
climate change and by ozone depletion. Ice masses
in the Arctic and Antarctic are beginning to break up,
and species vulnerable to increased UV penetration
are diminishing. Skin cancers and eye cataracts areon the increase, as is desertification the world over.
Northem species are retreating as warm-loving
species expand from equatorial regions to highlatitudes, bringing with them diseases once termed
tropical. And plant species the world over, including
many of our important crop species, are stressed by
increased ultraviolet penetration.3
We are already in the middle of the third greatest
extinction event in the history of the planet. Theextinction rate is from 100 to 1,000 times in excess of
the natural rate of extinction.4 The diversity of life onthis planet, which is a clear indication of the health of
the biosphere and its ability to adapt to change, is
severely diminished. Humankind has appropriated
fully half of the incipient sunlight on this planet
available for photosynthesis, and has put intocultivation virtually all of the arable land on thisplanet.s The rest of the biota is forced to make due
with the marginal lands which are left, or to scavengefrom our refuse.
Modem agriculture is draining the soil of nutrients far
faster than they can be replaced, while soils are beingeroded wherever they are exposed. Surface water is
being diverted to the point that in many riverbeds
barely a trickle remains, and groundwater is beingpumped out for agricultural and industrial use at rates
exceeding the recharge rates many times over.6 The
world's fisheries are collapsing.? Everywhere,
supplies of vital resources are being depleted.8
At the other end of the entropy scale, garbage dumps
are overflowing. Pollution, heavy metals and
manufactured chemicals are tainting the atmosphere,the water, and the ground, entering into food chains
everywhere. It is doubtful that there is a person alive
today who is not storing manufactured poisons in her
or his body.9
This is but a sampling from a myriad of problems
associated with conducting business as usual. The
world scientific community is waming us that we must
deal with these problems now, while there is still time,
or these problems will deal with us. Yet few of these
scientists know how very little time we have to deal
with these problems. We do not have a generation or
two. In all likelihood, we have at most a few years.
Within the next 5 to 10 years, our energy base will
begin to contract irreversibly. This shrinking energy
base will be due to the inevitable peak and decline of
global oil production. We currently live in the opulence
of the oil age. Each of us has the energy equivalent of
some fifty slaves to do our work for us, and to pamper
us with all of the latest technological comforts.
Hydrocarbons are used as feedstock for over
500,000 different products: fertilizers, medicines,
plastics, insulation, computers, asphalt, inks & toners,
paints, glues, solvents, antiseptics, golf balls, COs,
trash bags, nail polish, detergents, and chewing gum
- to name but a few. 10 And virtually all of our industrial
processes are run by the energy of hydrocarbons.
Hydrocarbons have provided us with a treasure trove
of high-quality, easily obtainable energy, from which
we could draw at an unlimited rate for so long as the
supply lasted. And it is that abundant energy store
which has powered all of our technological advances,
including the green revolution, making possible a
nearly logarithmic growth in human population. When
it comes to the bang for the buck, there is nothing to
equal oil. One liter of petrol holds as much energy as
1,000 liters of natural gas, 3 kilograms of firewood, or
24 solar panels working all day in sunny Brisbane.11Oil provides 1.3 to 2.45 times more economic value
per kilocalorie than coal.12
Yet we are fast approaching the day when we will
have produced all the easily obtainable oil.13 From
here on out we must invest increasing amounts ofenergy to produce oil. In short order, we will reach a
day when it will take as much energy to produce (Le.,
extract and, ultimately, refine and bring to market) abarrel of oil as we will get out of that barrel of oil. Past
this point, the net energy of oil production will fall into
the negative range. We will never run out of oil; there
will always be some oil in the ground. Oil wells are not
abandoned because they dry up - they are
abandoned because the net energy production hasreached zero.
Nothing has the bang for the buck of oil, and nothing
can replace it - either separately or in combination.
Ethanol has a net energy value of zero (notaccounting for soil and water damage and other costs
due to unsustainable agricultural practices) - it is
subsidized as a boon to agribusiness.14 Solar energy
produces marginal net energy, and solar photovoltaic
cells (PVC) are built from hydrocarbon feed stocks.
Wind turbines do have an appreciable net energyprofile - but the wind is intermittent at best.1s
The highly touted hydrogen fuel cells are not an
energy source at all, but are more properly termed a
form of energy storage. Free hydrogen does not exist
on this planet. It requires more energy to break a
hydrogen bond than will ever be garnered from that
free hydrogen. The current source of hydrogen is
natural gas - that is, a hydrocarbon. In the envisioned
system of solar PVC & hydrogen fuel cells, every
major component of the system, from the PVC to the
fuel cells themselves will require hydrocarbon energy
and feedstocks. The oil age will never be replaced by
a hydrogen fuel-cell economy.16
Coal is abundant, but its net energy profile is poor
compared to oil, and will continue to diminish fast.
Coal production is extremely harmful to the
environment, and burning coal is far dirtier than oil.17
Nuclear power plants are simply too expensive to
build, uranium is rare, and the wastes (including
decommissioned plants) must be stored and guarded
virtually forever. 18
Industrial, green revolution-style agriculture is
particularly energy intensive. Every calorie of food
produced today requires 10 calories of hydrocarbon
energy.19 This includes the energy of packaging and
shipping to the store, but not the energy of
consumers traveling to and from the store, nor the
home energy costs of cooking the food. Without
hydrocarbons, this planet can only produce enoughfood to sustain a population of 2.5 billion. The current
world population is in excess of 6 billion. In the US,
without industrial agriculture, we will only be able to
feed 2/3's of our current population.2o
Our energy base will soon begin to contract. The
planet's resources are being depleted, and we arebeing faced with a planet in crisis. Business as usual
cannot go on.
Business as Usual
Instead of focusing on these critical problems, which
threaten to undermine the quality of life on this planet,
we have chosen to ignore them. Instead of looking for
and implementing answers, we put the bulk of our
efforts into denying the very existence of these
problems or, failing that, denying that anything needsto be done about them. At most, we shake our heads
before continuing with our conspicuous consumptionand our push for a global free market.
Neo-classical economists tell us that the market will
solve all of our problems. They assure us that
pollution, resource depletion, the collapse of
ecosystems and the failure of agriculture will produce
economic stimulus which will spur the discovery of
new resources and the development of new
technologies. The market, they say, will maintain
equilibrium no matter how much people and the
environment have to suffer as a consequence. But
It60
we must avoid any impetus towards regulations
which might restrict economic growth. They have no
clue how economic growth can be maintained with a
shrinking energy base, so they blithely deny any
possibility of the latter.
The neo-classical economists believe that free market
capitalism has proven its supremacy through the
collapse of authoritarian communism. Globalization is
the endgame of capitalism, pushing for open access
to resources throughout the globe while driving down
labor costs to provide cheap products and maximum
profits. All we have to do to share in the benefits of
this supposedly benevolent system is to consume,consume, and consume more.
Yet the power disparity upon which this system is
based has been exaggerated to the breaking point.
The royalty and the robber-barons of previous erasnever dreamed of such a concentration of wealth as
that experienced now by the Waltons, the Gates, andthe Eisners of the world. In the United States as of
2002, the average CEO made 282 times as much as
the average worker.21 And the average worker today
in the US is actually making comparatively less than
30 years ago, though worker productivity hasincreased.22
Outsourcing has given corporations the ability to
move jobs to wherever workers can be paid the least,
and where their operations will be subjected to the
least regulation and the least taxation. White collar
workers are no less vulnerable to outsourcing. Even
service sector jobs are moving out of the US
whenever possible. And to fill the poor paying jobs
that remain, corporations are bringing in tens of
thousands more immigrants every year. As a result,globalization has become a race to the bottom for the
working class, for communities, and for ecosystemsthroughout the world.
Not only are people in the working class working
harder for less pay, they are also receiving fewer
benefits than comparatively 30 years ago.23 In the
US, consumers are maintaining a record level of
personal debt, and personal bankruptcy now exceeds
the divorce rate. Meanwhile, our social safety net is
being dismantled and our infrastructure is beingallowed to decay, where it is not being privatized.
Public education has to go begging while the prison
industry is one of the fastest growing industries in thecountry.24
Rugged individualism is the standard of the day,forcing all of us into direct competition. The basic
human instinct toward cooperation has been all but
forgotten in the mad rush to push everyone else
aside. Our society has become atomized; the village
green has been replaced by the shopping mall. Opendebate and the free communication of ideas and
news can now only be found in cyberspace.
Yet, at the same time, true individuality and originality
has become suspect. People are encouraged to
conform. Cultural distinctions are being lost in the
homogenization of the cultures of the globe - what
Benjamin Barber called "McWorfd."
Much of the public is becoming increasingly bovine,
unquestioningly following authority. Critical thinking
has been replaced by reactionary impulses, response
to emotional appeals, and other substitutes forrational debate. Atomized and removed from direct
interaction with the world around them, the
overworked populace are largely dependent on the
cultural fodder which is tendered to them by the
marketplace. It's a diet of mental junk food, blended of
anxious fantasy, appeals to consume, fear mongering
and quietism, promoted by media industry whose
paying advertisers prefer an audience of passive
spectators, addicted to entertainment and largelyunable to govem their own affairs.
The Result of Business as Usual
None of this should come as a surprise. This is all anatural and foreseeable result of business as usual in
a capitalist system. In that system, capital generates
profit through the exploitation of labor and resources.
So, as capitalism approaches its climax on a global
scale, it has to result in an unstable power disparity
with the concentration of wealth among a small and
exclusive upper class, an impoverished and
disempowered working class, bankrupt communities,
overstressed ecosystems and a depleted resource
base. The only way to avoid this is to do away withcapitalism.
Capitalism cannot be reformed. Any attempt to
regulate it more fairfy, any attempt to reform
capitalism - be it monetary reform or any other sort ofreform - is destined to fail due to the basic unalterable
nature of capitalism. Regulations and reforms mayhelp to level out the playing field for a time, but in the
long run capitalism will find a way to circumvent or
deregulate any attempt to temper it. Capitalism is a
system of exploitation which is ultimatelyunsustainable.
As such, capitalism is antithetical to democracy. A
system is democratic only to the extent that its
citizens are equal - in their political rights; in their
access to participatory social space; in their
opportunities to secure purchasing power without the
threat of poverty or asset seizure; and in their
recourse to the law, whose equal protection must be
guaranteed to everyone if the term "democracy" is to
meaningfully apply. Genuine popular sovereignty (the
literal meaning of democracy) is sustained by an
informed citizenry. Yet capitalism is based upon the
exploitation of power disparities, and its smooth
operation is maintained by a disempowered,uninformed working class.
/16(
Here lies the reason for the failure of democracy in
the US. And here is the secret of why our founding
fathers chose a system of representative democracy,
and why the ratification of the US Constitution was
resisted by the public in its day. The framers of the
constitution were, without exception, rich white males
worried about a popular uprising. Under the draperies
of democracy, they designed a political system where
decision making power was insulated from the
general population and easily controlled by the rich
and powerful. This disparity was later heightened by
granting a protected status and legal rights to
corporations.25
As a result, every war the US has ever fought, every
intervention the US has ever sponsored, and every bit
of foreign aid the US has ever supplied was
undertaken to support the right of the upper class to
exploit labor and resources, all under the guise of
democracy.
An End to Business as Usual
Business as usual can no longer be allowed to
proceed. To go on with business as usual is to
promote the collapse of civilization, the destruction of
ecosystems, the death of billions of human beings,untold suffering and impoverishment for those who
survive, and just possibly the extinction of life on this
planet at a level to match or exceed the end of the
Permian Era.26 And all this to ease our consciences,
as we allow the end play of unbridled greed andignorance.
We cannot trust our elected leaders to do the right
thing, much less our corporations. There is very little
time left, and it could very well be impossible at thispoint to redesign our entire civilization. But we can
possibly restructure our own lives and our local
communities to survive the transition. This is our dutyto generations to come, and to the rest of the
biosphere.
1 For the story of these warnings see The End oftheOil Age, Chapter 15, Imminent Peril, Part 1, bythis author; http://www.lulu.com/allenadale).The individual warnings can be found online:
Population Growth, Resource Management and aSustainable World. Joint Statement of the RoyalSociety of London and the US NationalAcademy of Sciences, 1992. Archived athttp://www.dieoff.comlpage7.htmWorld Scientists' Warning to Humanity. Union of .Concerned Scientists, 11/18/1992.
http://www.ucsusa.org/ucs/aboutipage.cfin?pagel 0=1009
Joint Statement by 58 ofthe World's ScientificAcademies. US National Academy of Sciences,10/27/1993.
http://www4.nas.eduiiap/iaphome.nsflweblinks/SAlN-4XVKHY?OpenDocumentJoint National Academy of Sciences and Royal
Society Resolution: Towards SustainableConsumption. US National Academy of Sciences,1997.
http://www4.nas.edu/NAS/nashome.nsf/Multi+Database+Search/65F4E52642745F 1485256709006FBD9 I70penDocumentWorld Scientists' Call for Action. Union ofConcerned Scientists, December, 1997.http://www.ucsusa.org/ucs/aboutlpage.cfin ?pa!?-el0=1007Transition to Sustainability in the 21st Century:The Contribution of Science & Technology.InterAcademy Panel, May 2000.http://www4 .nas.eduliap/iaphome.nsf/webl inks/SAlN-4XVLCT?OpenDocument
2 An overview ofthese global assessment studies canbe found in The End of the Oil Age, Chapter 15,Imminent Peril, Part 1, by this author;(http://www.lulu.comlallenadale). The actualassessment studies can be accessed via these links:Guide to World Resources, 2000-2001: People &Ecosystems; The Fraying Web of Life. WorldResources Institute, April 2000.http://wri. igc.org/wri/wrr2000/Global Environmental Outlook-3. United Nations
Environment Programme, May 22 2002.http://www.grida.no/geo/ge03/State of the World 2003. Worldwatch Institute, June2003.
http://www .worldwatch.org/pubs/sow/2003/
3The story of industry-induced global climate changeis presented in my ongoing series Global ClimateChange and Peak Oil, which can be found athttp://www.fromthewilderness.com.The scientific case for industry-induced climatechange, and its impact, are discussed in full detail atClimate Change 2001, The IntergovernmentalPanel on Climate Change. Cambridge UniversityPress, 2001.http://www.grida.no/cI imate/ipcc tar/And a statement ofthe world's scientific academies
supporting this studycan be found at The Science of Climate Change.5/17/2001.
http://www.rovalsoc.ac. uk/fi les/statfiles/document138.pdfSome web sites with information about ozone
depletion are:http://www .epa.gov/ozone/http://www.igc.org/envreview/blaustei.htm Ihttp://www.arn.org/cun-page/uvhealth.htmSites with additional information about globalclimate change are:http://www.climatehotmap.org/http://www.ucsusa.org/warmingJ
4 An excellent website for information on the currentmass extinction is:
http://www.well.comluser/davidulextinction.htm I
5 Human appropriation ofthe products ofphotosynthesis, Vitousek,
P.M. et al. Bioscience 36, 1986.http://www.science.duq.edulesmlun it2-3Land, Energy and Water: the constraintsgoverning Ideal VS Population Size,Pimental, David and Pimental, Marcia. Focus,Spring 1991. NPG Forum,1990. http://www.dieoff.com/pageI36.htm
6 For information about the effects of modern
agriculture, seeThe End of the Oil Age, Chapter 17, Eating FossilFuels, by this author;(http://www.lulu.com/allenadale). Or find in thearchives at www.fromthewilderness.com.
Food, Land, Population and the V.S. Economy,Executive Summary, Pimentel, David andGiampietro, Mario. Carrying Capacity Network,11/21/1994. http://www.dieoff.com/page40.htm
7 Collapse of Wild Fisheries, Western CanadaWilderness Committee. Co-published by WildernessCommittee and the Union ofB.C. Indian Chiefs, Vo!.21. No. 5; Fall, 2002.
http://www.wildemesscommittee.org/campaigns
Imarine/policy/fish_farms/
reports/fal12002lcollapseWhy Fisheries Collapse and What To Do AboutIt, Roughgarden,Jonathan, & Smith Fraser. Proceedings oftheNational Academy ofSciences, Vo!. 93, pp. 5078-5083; May, 1996.http://www .pnas.or~cgi/reprintl93/1 0/5078 .pdf
8 The Limits to Growth, Meadows, Dennis, et a!.Universe Books, 2nd Edition. Limits to Growth: the30 year global update, Meadows, Dennis, Randers,Jorgen, & Meadows, Donella. Chelsea GreenPublishing Company, June 2004. Influence ofCapital Inertia on Renewable Resource Depletion,Weisbuch, Gerard, et a!. Labratorie de PhysiqueStatistique de I'Ecole Normale Superieure; February,1997.
http://www.lps.ens.fr/~weisbuch/inertlp3/p3.html
9 http://www.pbs.org/tradesecrets/
10 The Oil Crash and You, Thomson, Bruce. Lookin the RunningOnEmpty2 Yahoo Group's filessection. Document name: !CONVINCE SHEETv 19.doc. 9/2/2001.
http://groups.yahoo.coml group/RunningOnEmpty2/files/
11Oil Crisis Powerpoint Presentation, Stasse,Mike. Look in the RunningOnEmpty2 yahoo group'sfiles section. Document name: oil crisis.ppt.2/14/2004.
http://groups.yahoo.com/ group/RunningOn Empty2/files/
12 Synopsis, edited by Hanson, Jay. March 8, 2001.http://www.dieoff.comlsvnopsis.htm
13npetroleumexperts Colin Campbell, JeanLaherrere, Brian Fleay, Roger Blanchard, RichardDuncan, Waiter Youngquist, and Albert Bartlett(using various methodologies) have all estimated a
"peak" in "conventional oil" around 2005. Moreover,the CEOs of Agip, EN! SpA, (Italian oil companies)and Arco have all published estimates of peak in2005. So it seems like a reliable estimate." Synopsis,edited by Hanson, Jay. March 8, 2001.http://www.dieoffcom/synopsis.htmFor more information on the peak of global oilproduction, see The End ofthe Oil Age, by thisauthor. Lulu Press, April, 2004.http://www.lulu.com/allenadale. Or The Party'sOver: Oil, War, and the Fate ofIndustrialSocieties, Heinberg, Richard. New SocietyPublishers, 2003. The Energy InformationAdministration and the US Geological Surveyestimate peak world oil production around 2025 to2030. But their methodologies have been highlycriticized, and members of both agencies haveprivately expressed doubts concerning theseestimates.
14 Ethanol from Corn: clean renewable fuel forthe future, or drain on our resources andpockets?, Patzek, Tad W. Dept. of Civil andEnvironmental Engineering, University of California,June 14,2003.http://www.ce.berkeley.edu/Courses/EII/PatzekEthanolPaper.pdfEthanol from Corn: just how unsustainable is it?,Patzek, Tad W. Seminar at Stanford University.http://pangea.stanford.edulESY S/Energy'>1o20seminars/patzek ethanol.pdf
15 The Party's Over: Oil, War, and the Fate ofIndustrial Societies, Heinberg, Richard. NewSociety Publishers, 2003; pp. 139-146.
16 For a critical look at some of the problemsassociated with hydrogen fuel cell technology, seeThe End of the Oil Age, Chapter 8, Much Adoabout Nothing, by this author. Lulu Press, April,2004. http://www.lulu.com/allenadaleOr see The Party's Over: Oil, War, and the Fateof Industrial Societies, Heinberg, Richard. NewSociety Publishers, 2003; pp. 146-149.
17 The Party's Over: Oil, War, and the Fate ofIndustrial Societies, Heinberg, Richard. NewSociety Publishers, 2003; pp. 129-132. Beyond Oil,Gever, John, et a1.Univ. Pr. Colorado, 1991. pp. 6568.
18 The Party's Over: Oil, War, and the Fate ofIndustrial Societies, Heinberg, Richard. NewSociety Publishers, 2003; pp. 132-139.
19 The Tightening Conflict: Population, EnergyUse, and the Ecology of Agriculture, Giampietro,Mario and Pimentel, David, 1994.http://www.dieoff.com/page69.htm
20 The End of the Oil Age, Chapter 17, EatingFossil Fuels, Pfeiffer, Dale AlIen. Lulu Press, April,2004. http://www.1uIu.com/allenadale
21 Executive Excess 2002, Anderson, Sarah, et a1.Institute for Policy Studies & United for a FairEconomy, August 26th, 2003.http://www.ufenet.org/press/2003/EE2003.pdf
22 State of Working America 2002-2003:Executive Summary and Introduction. EconomicPolicy Institute.http://www.epinet.org/press/em bargoed/swa2002. pdf
23 Ibid.
24 The Prison Industry.http://www.cofPwatch.org/issues/PII.isp?topicid=119
25 Toward an American Revolution: Exposing theConstitution and other llIusions, Fresia, Jerry.South End Press, 1988.A People's History oftheUnited States: 1492 to present, Zinn Howard.Perennial, 2003 (latest edition).
26 The Permian Era ended approximately 250 millionYears Ago, in an extinction event which killed off95% of all marine life on the planet, and 70% of allland families. It was much worse than the end of the
dinosaurs, which ranks a distant second on the list ofextinction events (the current extinction event ranksthird). It is now most widely accepted that thePermian Extinction began with volcanic outgassingleading to global warming, which in turn sparked offmassive methane venting from permafrost and fromthe ocean floor, resulting in runaway global warming.The implications for modem global warming arefrightening. For more on the Permian Extinction, agood starting place is:http://palaeo. !?:ly.bris.ac.uklPalaeofiles/Permian/intro
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A Career In Microbiology Can Be Harmful To YourHealth
DEATH TOLL MOUNTING AS CONNECTIONS TO
DYNCORP, HADRON, PROMIS SOFTWARE ANDDISEASE RESEARCH EMERGE
by
Michael Davidson, FTW staff writer
and Michael C. Ruppert
[Copyright 2002, From The Wilderness Publications,
http://www.fromthewirlderness.com/. All rights reserved.
May be recopied, distributed for non-profit purposes only.
[EO. NOTE: As FTW has begun to investigate serious
discussions by legitimate scientists and academics on the
possible necessity of reducing the world's population by
more than four billion people, no stranger set of
circumstances since Sept. 11 adds credibility to this
possibility than the suspicious deaths of what may be as
many as 14 world-class microbiologists. Following on the
heels of our two-part series on the coming world oil crisis,
this story by Michael Davidson, a graduate of the Syracuse
University School of Journalism, is one, which takes on a
unique significance. The newest connections to DynCorp,Hadron and PROMIS software are leads an amateur would
not miss. How else would any microbiologists threatening
an ultra secret government biological weapons program be
identified than by secretly scanning their databases to see
what they were working on? - MCR]
FTW -- Feb. 28, 2002 - In the four-month period from Nov.
12 through Feb. 11, seven world-class microbiologists in
different parts of the world were reported dead. Six died of
"unnatural" causes, while the cause of the seventh's death
is questionable. Also on Nov. 12, DynCorp, a major
government contractor for data processing, military
operations and intelligence work, was awarded a $322
million contract to develop, produce and store vaccines for
the Department of Defense. DynCorp and Hadron, bothdefense contractors connected to classified research
programs on communicable diseases, have also been
linked to a software program known as PROM IS, which
may have helped identify and target the victims.
In the six weeks prior to Nov. 12, two additional foreign
microbiologists were reported dead. Some believe there
were as many as five more microbiologists killed during the
period, bringing the total as high as 14. These two to seven
additional deaths, however, are not the focus of this story.
This same period also saw the deaths of three persons
involved in medical research or public health.
- On Nov. 12, Benito Que, 52, was found comatose in the
street near the laboratory where he worked at the
University of Miami Medical School. He died on Dec. 6.
- On Nov. 16, Don C. WHey, 57, vanished, and hisabandoned rental car was found on the Hernando de Soto
Bridge outside Memphis, Tenn. His body was found onDec. 20.
- On Nov. 23, Vladimir Pasechnik, 64, was found dead in
Wiltshire, England, not far from his home.
- On Dec. 10, Robert Schwartz, 57, was found murdered in
his rural home in Loudoun County, Va.
- On Dec, 11, Set Van Nguyen, 44, was found dead in the
airlock entrance to a walk-in refrigerator in the laboratorywhere he worked in Victoria State, Australia.
- On Feb. 8, Vladimir Korshunov, 56, was found dead on a
Moscow street.
- And on Feb. 11, lan Langford, 40, was found dead in his
home in Norwich, England.
OOPS!
Prior to these deaths, on Oct. 4, a commercial jetliner
traveling from Israel to Novosibirsk, Siberia was shot down
over the Black Sea by an "errant" Ukrainian surface-to-air
missile, killing all on board. The missile was over 100 miles
off-course. Despite early news stories reporting it as a
charter, the flight, Air Sibir 1812, was a regularly scheduled
flight.
According to several press reports, including a Dec. 5
article by Barry Chamish and one on Jan. 13 by Jim Rarey
(both available at http://wwwJense.comQ, the plane is
believed by many in Israel to have had as many as five
passengers who were microbiologists. Both Israel and
Novosibirsk are homes for cutting-edge microbiological
research. Novosibirsk is known as the scientific capital of
Siberia, and home to over 50 research facilities and 13 full
universities for a population of only 2.5 million people.
At the time of the Black Sea crash, Israeli journalists had
been sounding the alarm that two Israeli microbiologists
had been recently murdered, allegedly by terrorists. On
Nov. 24 a Crossair flight from Berlin to Zurich crashed on its
landing approach. Of the 33 persons on board, 24 were
killed, including the head of the hematology department at
Israel's Ichilov Hospital, as well as directors of the Tel Aviv
Public Health Department and Hebrew University School of
Medicine. They were the only Israelis on the flight. The
names of those killed, as reported in a subsequent Israeli
news story but not matched to their job titles, were Avishai
Berkman, Amiramp Eldor and Yaacov Matzner.
Besides all being microbiologists, six of the seven scientistswho died within weeks of each other died from "unnatural"
causes. And four of the seven were doing virtually identical
research -- research that has global, political and financial
significance.
QUE PASA?
The public relations office at the University of Miami
Medical School said only that Benito Que was a cell
biologist, involved in oncology research in the hematology
department. This research relies heavily on DNA
sequencing studies. The circumstances of his death raise
more questions than they answer.
Que had left his job at a research laboratory at the
University of Miami Medical School, apparently heading for
his Ford Explorer parked on NW 10th Avenue. The Miami
Herald, referring to the death as an "incident," reported he
had no wallet on him, and quoted Miami police as saying
his death may have been the result of a mugging. Police
made this statement while at the same time saying there
was a lack of visible trauma to Que's body. There is firm
belief among Que's friends and family that the PhD was
attacked by four men, at least one of whom had a baseball
bat. Que's death has now been officially ruled "natural,"
/1/£
caused by cardiac arrest. Both the Dade County medicalexaminer and the Miami Police would not comment on the
case, saying only that it is closed.
A MEMPHIS MYSTERY
Don C. Wiley of the Howard Hughes Medical Institute at
Harvard University, was one of the most prominent
microbiologists in the world. He had won many of the field's
most prestigious awards, including the 1995 Albert LaskerBasic Medical Research Award for work that could make
anti-viral vaccines a reality. He was heavily involved in
research on DNA sequencing. Wiley was last seen around
midnight on Nov. 15, leaving the St. Jude's Children's
Research Advisory dinner held at the Peabody Hotel in
Memphis, Tenn. Associates attending the dinner said he
showed no signs of intoxication, and no one has admitted
to drinking with him.
His rented Mitsubishi Galant was found about four hours
later, abandoned on a bridge across the Mississippi River,
headed towards Arkansas. Keys were in the ignition, the
gas tank full, and the hazard flashers had not been tumed
on. Wiley's body was found on Dec. 20, snagged on a tree
along the Mississippi River in Vidalia, La., 300 miles south
of Memphis. Until his body was found, Dr. WHey's death
was handled as a missing person case, and police did noforensic examinations.
Early reports about Wiley's disappearance made no
mention of paint marks on his car or a missing hubcap,
which tumed up in subsequent reports. The type of
accident needed to knock off the hubcaps (actually a
complete wheel cover) used on recent model Galants
would have caused noticeable damage to the sheet metal
on either side of the wheel, and probably the wheel itself.
No damage to the car s body or wheel has been reported.
Wiley's car was found about a five-minute drive from the
hotel where he was last seen. There is a four-hour period in
his evening that cannot be accounted for. There is also no
explanation as to why he would have been headed into
Arkansas late at night. Wiley was staying at his father's
home in Memphis.
The Hemando de Soto Bridge carries Interstate 40 out of
Memphis, across the Mississippi River into Arkansas. The
traffic on the bridge was reduced to a single lane in eachdirection. This would have caused westbound traffic out of
Memphis to slow down and travel in one lane. Anything in
the other two closed lanes would have been plainly obvious
to every passing person. There are no known witnesses to
Wiley stopping his car on the bridge.
On Jan. 14, almost two months after his disappearance,
Shelby County Medical Examiner O.C. Smith announced
that his department had ruled WHey s death to be
"accidental;" the result of massive injuries suffered in a fall
from the Hemando de Soto Bridge. Smith said there were
paint marks on WHey's rental car similar to the paint used
on construction signs on the bridge, and that the car's right
front hubcap was missing. There has been no report as to
which construction signs WHey hit. There is also no
explanation as to why this evidence did not move the
Memphis police to consider possibilities other than a
"missing person."
Smith theorizes that Wiley pulled over to the outermost lane
of the bridge (that lane being closed at the time) to inspect
the damage to his car. Smith's subsequent explanation for
the fall requires several other things to have occurred
simultaneously: - Wiley had to have had one of the two or
three seizures he has per year due to a rare disorder
known only to family and close friends, that seizure being
brought on by use of alcohol earlier that evening; - passing
truck creating a huge blast of wind and/or roadway bounce
due to heavy traffic; and, - WHey had to be standing on the
curb next to the guardrail which, because of WHey's 6-foot
3-inch height, would have come only to his mid-thigh.
These conditions would have put WHey's center of gravity
above the rail, and the seizure would have caused him tolose his balance as the truck created the bounce and blast
of wind, thus causing him to fall off the bridge.
SCIENCE IS MIGHTIER THAN THE SWORD?
Robert M. Schwartz was a founding member of the Virginia
Biotechnology Association, and the Executive Director of
Research and Development at Virginia's Center for
Innovative Technology. He was extremely well respected in
biophysics, and regarded as an authority on DNA
sequencing.
Co-workers became concemed when he didn't show up athis office on Dec. 10. He was later found dead at his home.
Loudoun County Sheriffs officials said Schwartz wasstabbed on Dec. 8 with a sword, and had an "X" cut into the
back of his neck. Schwartz's daughter Clara, 19, and three
others have been charged in the case.
BREATHE DEEPLY, AND CARRY A BIG STICK
Set Van Nguyen was found dead on Dec. 11 at theCommonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research
Organization's animal diseases facility in Geelong,
Australia. He had worked there 15 years. According to an
article on http://www.rense.com/by lan Gumey, in Jan.
2001 the magazine Nature published information that two
scientists at this facility, using genetic manipulation and
DNA sequencing, had created an incredibly virulent form of
mousepox, a cousin of smallpox. The researchers were
extremely concemed that if similar manipulation could be
done to smallpox, a terrifying weapon could be unleashed.
According to Victoria Police, Nguyen died after entering a
refrigerated storage facility. "He did not know the room was
full of deadly gas which had leaked from a liquid nitrogen
cooling system. Unable to breathe, Mr. Nguyen collapsed
and died," is the official report.
Nitrogen is not a "deadly" gas, and is a part of air. An
extreme over-abundance of nitrogen in one's immediate
atmosphere would cause shortness of breath,
lightheadedness, and fatigue - conditions a biologist would
certainly recognize. Additionally, a leak sufficient to fill the
room with nitrogen would set off alerts, and would be so
massive as to cause a complete loss of cooling, causing
the temperature to rise, which would also set off alerts
these systems are routinely equipped with.
A RUSSIAN, BRITISH INTELLIGENCE AND OLDCORPSES
In 1989, Vladimir Pasechnik defected from the Former
Soviet Union (FSU) to Great Britain while on a trip to Paris.
He had been the top scientist in the FSU's bioweapons
program, which is heavily dependent upon DNA
sequencing. Pasechnik's death was reported in the New
York Times as having occurred on Nov. 23.
The Times obituary indicated that the announcement of
Pasechnik's death was made in the United States by Or.
Christopher Davis of Virginia, who stated that the cause ofdeath was a stroke. Davis was the member of British
intelligence who de-briefed Or. Pasechnik at the time of his
defection. Davis says he left the intelligence service in
1996, but when asked why a former member of British
intelligence would be the person announcing the death of
Pasechnik to the US media, he replied that it had come
about during a conversation with a reporter he had had a
long relationship with. The reporter Davis named is not the
author of the Times' obituary, and Davis declined to say
which branch of British intelligence he served in. No reports
of Pasechnik's death appeared in Britain for more than a
month, until Dec. 29, when his obituary appeared in the
London Telegraph, which did not include a date of death.
Pasechnik spent the 10 years after his defection working at
the Centre for Applied Microbiology and Research at the
UK Department of Health, Salisbury. On Feb. 20, 2000, it
was announced that, along with partner Caisey Harlingten,
Pasechnik had formed a company called Regma
Biotechnologies Ltd. Regma describes itself as "a new drug
company working to provide powerful altematives to
antibiotics." Like three other microbiologists detailed in this
article, Pasechnik was heavily involved in DNA sequencing
research. During the anthrax panic of this past fall,
Pasechnik offered his services to the British govemment to
help in any way possible. Despite Regma having a public
relations department that has released many items to the
press over the past two years, the company has notannounced the death of one of its two founders.
FEBRUARY,BLOODYFEBRUARY
On Feb. 9 the news publication Pravdaru reported that
Victor Korshunov had been killed. At the time, Korshunov
was head of the microbiology sub-facility at the Russian
State Medical University. He was found dead in the
entrance to his home with a cranial injury. Pravda reports
that Korshunov had probably invented either a vaccine to
protect against biological weapons, or a weapon itself.
On Feb. 12 a newspaper in Norwich, England reported the
previous day's death of lan Langford, a senior researcher
at the University of East Anglia. The story went on to say
that police "were not treating the death as suspicious." The
next day, Britain's The Times reported that Langford was
found wedged under a chair "at his blood-spattered and
apparently ransacked home."
The February 12 story, from the Eastern Daily Press,
reports that clerks at a store near Langford's home claim he
came in on a daily basis to buy "a big bottle of vodka" Two
of the store's staff also claim Langford had come into the
store a few days earlier wearing "just a jumper and a pair of
shoes." None of the store's staff would give their name.
It is hard to understand how a man can reach the highest
levels of achievement in a scientific field while drinking "a
big bottle of vodka" on a daily basis, and strolling around
his hometown nearly nude. A Feb. 14 follow-up story from
the Eastern Daily Press says police believe Langford died
after suffering "one or more falls." They say this would
account for his head injuries and large amount of bloodfound at the death scene.
THE HOWARD HUGHES MEDICAL INSTITUTE -ANOTHER LINK?
There is another intriguing connection between three of the
five American scientists that have died. WHey, Schwartz,
and Benito Que worked for medical research facilities that
received grants from Howard Hughes Medical Institute
(HHMI). HHMI funds a tremendous number of research
programs at schools, hospitals and research facilities, and
has long been alleged to be conducting "black ops"
biomedical research for intelligence organizations, includingthe CIA.
Long-time biowarfare investigator Patricia Doyle, PhD.
reports that there is a history of people connected to HHMI
being murdered. In 1994, Jose Trias met with a friend in
Houston, Texas and was planning to go public with his
personal knowledge of HHMI "front door" grants being
diverted to "back door" black ops bioresearch. The next
day, Trias and his wife were found dead in their Chevy
Chase, Md. home. Chevy Chase is where HHMI is
headquartered. Police described the killings as a
professional hit. Tsunao Saitoh, who formerly worked at an
HHMI-funded lab at Columbia University, was shot to death
on May 7, 1996 while sitting in his car outside his home in
La Jolla, Calif. Police also described this as a professionalhit.
BEYOND THE BIZARRE
Early-October saw reports that British scientists were
planning to exhume the bodies of 10 London victims of the
1918 type-A flu epidemic known as the Spanish Flu. An
October 7 report In The Independent, UK said that victims
of the Spanish Flu had been victims of "the world's most
deadly virus." British scientists, according to the story, hope
to uncover the genetic makeup of the virus, making it easierto combat.
Professor John Oxford of London's Queen Mary's School
of Medicine, the British govemmenfs flu adviser,
acknowledges that the exhumations and subsequentstudies will have to be done with extreme caution so the
virus is not unleashed to cause another epidemic. The
uncovering of a pathogen's genetic structure is the exact
work Pasechnik was doing at Regma Pasechnik died six
weeks after the planned exhumations were announced.
The need to exhume the bodies assumes no Type-A flu
virus sample exists in any lab anywhere in the world.
A piece on MSNBC that aired September 6 makes the
British exhumation plans seem odd. The story refers to an
article that was to be published the following day in the
weekly magazine Science, reporting the 1918 flu virus had
recently been RNA sequenced. Researchers had traced
down and obtained virus samples from archived lung tissue
of WWI soldiers, and from an Inuit woman who had been
buried in the Alaskan permafrost.
HELP WANTED, SPIES, AND A LINK TO PROMIS
Almost immediately at the outset of the anthrax scare, the
Bush administration contracted with Bayer Pharmaceuticals
for millions of doses of Cipro, an antibiotic to treat anthrax.
This was done despite many in the medical community
stating that there were several cheaper, better altematives
to Cipro, which has never been shown to be effective
against inhaled anthrax. The Center for Disease Control's
(COG) own website states a preference for the antibiotic
doxycycline over Cipro for inhalation anthrax. CDC
expresses concerns that widespread Cipro use couldcause other bacteria to become immune to antibiotics.
It was announced Jan. 21 that the director of the CDC,
Jeffrey Koplan, is resigning effective March 31. Six daysearlier it was announced that Surgeon General David
Satcher is also resigning. And there is currently no director
for the National Institutes of Health - NIH is being run by an
acting director. The recent resignations leave the three
most significant medical positions in the federal
government simultaneously vacant.
After three months of conflicting reports it is now official thatthe anthrax that has killed several Americans since October
5 is from US military sources connected to CIA research.
The FBI has stated that only 10 people could have had
access, yet at the same time they are reporting astounding
security breaches at the biowarfare facility at Fort Detrick,Md. -- breaches such as unauthorized nighttime
experiments and lab specimens gone missing.
The militarized anthrax used by the US was developed by
William C. Patrick Ill, who holds five classified patents on
the process. He has worked at both Fort Detrick, and the
Dugway Proving Grounds in Utah. Patrick is now a private
bio-warfare consultant to the military and CIA. Patrick
developed the process by which anthrax spores could beconcentrated at the level of one trillion spores per gram. No
other country has been able to get concentrations above
500 billion per gram. The anthrax that was sent around the
eastem US last fall was concentrated at one trillion spores
per gram, according to a Jan. 31 report by Barbara Hatch
Rosenberg of the Federation of American Scientists.
In recent years Patrick has worked with Kanaijan Alibekov.
Now known by the Americanized "Ken Alibek", he defected
to the US in 1992. Currently, Ken Alibek is President of
Hadron Advanced Biosystems, a subsidiary of Alexandria,
Va.-based Hadron, Inc. Hadron describes itself as a
company specializing in the development of technical
solutions for the intelligence community. As chief scientist
at Hadron, Alibek gave extensive testimony to the House
Armed Services Committee about biological weapons on
Oct. 20, 1999, and again on May 23, 2000. Hadron
announced on Dec. 20 that as of that date, the company
had received $12 million in funding for medical biodefense
research from the Defense Advanced Research Projects
Agency, the US Army Medical Research and Materiel
Command, and the NIH. Hadron said it was working in the
field of non-specific immunity.
In the 1980s Hadron was founded and headed by Or. Earl
Brian, a medical doctor and crony of Ronald Reagan and
an associate of former Attorney General Edwin Meese.
Brian was convicted in the 1980s on fraud charges. Both
Hadron and Brian have been closely associated in court
documents and numerous credible reports, confirmed since
Sept. 11, with the theft of enhanced PROM IS software from
its owner, the INSLAW Corporation. PROMIS is a highly
sophisticated computer program capable of integrating a
wide variety of databases. The software has reportedly
been mated in recent years with artificial intelligence.
PROMIS has long been known to have been modified by
intelligence agencies with a back door that allows for
surreptitious retrieval of stored data. [For more informationon what PROMIS can do and its history, please use the
search engine at http://www.fromthewilderness.com/ .• or
further below a brief description of PROMIS is given.]
Given this unique capability, and Hadron's prior
connections to PROM IS, it is a possibility that the software,
by tapping into databases used by each of the victims,
could have identified any lines of research that threatened
to compromise a larger, and as yet unidentified, more
sinister covert operation.
A PATTERN?
The DNA sequencing work by several of the
microbiologists discussed earlier is aimed at developing
drugs that will fight pathogens based on the pathogen's
genetic profile. The work is also aimed at eventually
developing drugs that will work in cooperation with a
person's genetic makeup. Theoretically, a drug could be
developed for one specific person. That being the case, it's
obvious that one could go down the ladder, and a drug
could be developed to effectively treat a much broader
class of people sharing a genetic marker. The entire
process can also be tumed around to develop a pathogen
that will affect a broad class of people sharing a genetic
marker. A broad class of people sharing a genetic marker
could be a group such as a race, or people with brown
eyes.
Suspicious Death of David Kelly
On Thursday, July 17ft! 2003, sometime between 3 and
3:30pm, Or. David Kelly started out on his usual afternoonwalk. About 18 hours later, searchers found his body, left
wrist slit, in a secluded lane on Harrowdown Hill. Kelly, the
U.K.'s premier microbiologist, was in the center of a political
maelstrom having been identified as the "leak" ininformation about the "dossier" Prime Minister Tony Blair
had used to justify the war against Iraq.
In 1984 Or. Kelly was invited by the Ministry of Defense
(MoD) to take the position of chief microbiologist at its
secret facility at Porton Down. Kelly had been working in
the NERC Institute of Virology in Oxford. He brought anumber of scientists with him from there to Porton Down.
At the Hutton inquiry, Brian Jones testified as to Kelly's
involvement, with the highest security clearance, in
analyzing top-secret information regarding biological
weapons of the U.K. and other governments. Jones was
director of a department on the Defence Intelligence Staff
(DIS). That involvement, beginning in 1987, presumably
continued until his death and through his several other jobs
as weapons "inspector" in Russia and (for UNSCOM) in
Iraq.
It was before and during Kelly's tenure at Porton Down that
it became involved with South Africa's bioweapon program
named Project Coast, headed by cardiologist, Wouter
Basson. Basson was said to have had entree not only to
Porton Down but the U.S. Army facility at Fort Detrick,
Maryland (the U.S. counterpart of Porton Down). The two
main thrusts of Project Coast were developing genetically
altered diseases that would affect only groups with similar
DNA characteristics, e.g. blacks, and weapons to be used
in assassination of individuals. Two (as yet unidentified)
scientists working at Porton Down were also paid
consultants to Basson's projects. The CIA in the U.S.
contributed to Basson's efforts through Dr. Larry Ford. Ford
was set up as co-president of a laboratory supposedly
developing a feminine birth control device that would also
protect against AIDS. The company never had a product or
any sales. According to an undercover FBI informant, Ford
did develop an "anti-black" product he delivered to an
attache of the South African govemment in Califomia.
In 1991, a team of U.S. and U.K scientists, including Kelly
and Davis, made a trip to the USSR to inspect Biopreparat
facilities at four locations. Their host was deputy chief of the
program, Kanaijan Alibekov, who would later "defecf' to the
U.S. and change his name to Ken Alibek. Kelly made
several inspection trips to Russia.
KEN ALfBEK got a medical degree at the military
medical institute at Tomsk. In 1982, at the age of 31, he
became the acting director of the Omutninsk
bioweapons-production plant, a major facility in the
Kirov region of Russia. Before defecting, he ended up
working in Biopreparat headquarters, a large building inMoscow. His boss was Vladimir Pasechnik.
He explains: Genetic engineering, in military terms, is the
creation of genetically altered viruses and bacteria in order
to enhance their power as weapons. This work can be
done by altering an organisms DNA, which is the ribbonlike
molecule that contains the organism's genetic code and is
found in every cell and in every virus particle.
"Russia has researched the genetic alteration of smallpox, "
Alibek told Richard Preston, author of The Hot Zone. "In
1990 and 1991, we engineered a smallpox at Vector. It was
found that several areas of the smallpox genome" - the
DNA - "can be used for the introduction of some foreign
genetic material. The first development was smallpox and
VEE. VEE, or Venezuelan equine encephalitis, is a brain
virus. It causes a severe headache and near-{;oma, but it is
generally not lethal. Alibek said that the researchers spliced
VEE into smallpox. The result was a recombinant chimera
virus. In ancient Greek myth, the chimera was a monster
made from parts of different animals. Recombination
means the mixing of genes from different organisms. "It iscalled smallpox-VEE chimera," Alibek said. It could also be
called Veepox. Under a microscope, Alibek said, the
Veepox looks like smallpox, but it isnY. According to A1ibek,
the Vector researchers found more than one place in the
smallpox DNA where you could insert new genes without
decreasing smallpox's ability to cause disease. More
recently, the Vector researchers may have created arecombinant Ebola-smallpox chimera. Ebola virus uses the
molecule RNA for its genetic code, whereas smallpox usesDNA. Alibek believes that the Russian researchers made a
DNA copy of the disease-{;8using parts of Ebola, then
grafted them into smallpox.
A possible motive for the death of Dr. Kelly?
For several months, Kelly had been communicating with
Victoria Roddam, a commissioning editor for Oneworld
Publications based in Oxford. One week before Kelly's
death, she had sent him an e-mail that said in part, "I think'
the time is ripe now more than ever for a titie which
addresses the relationship between government, policy and
war-I'm sure you would agree." They had been discussing
Kelly authoring a book to be published by Victoria's
company.
Another document found among Kelly's effects at his homewas an undated hand-written note from Roddam with a list
of suggested topics to be included in the book. One such
topic was the ethics of biological warfare, a sticking point
that could be responsible for a string of deaths of world
dass micro biologists in various countries. A second one
was the involvement of corporations in biological warfare. A
third was the role of the pharmaceutical and biotech
industries in bio-warfare as well as prevention andcontainment. Yet another was the connection between
Russia and Iraq with WMD, and a look at the proliferation inthe arms trade. It would have been in character for him to
discuss the project with Judith Miller and perhaps seek her
advice as she had authored several books on topic. At any
rate, now David Kelly has joined the growing list of world
class microbiologists who have met mysterious deathsandlor been murdered.
PROMIS & PTECH:
PROMIS software and its evolutions were the lynch pin of
every new military, scientific and financial advance being
pursued by the US government and corporate sector.
PROMIS progeny have become the "operating system"
underlying data management and data mining for every
major technology under development in all arenas of
technological advance from medicine, to finance, to
surveillance, to battlefield Command, Control and
Communications or C3. By definition, PROMIS progeny are
the backbone of a current DoD plan to develop a "Godlike"
view of all human (or battlefield) activity from space. They
are also inherently a part of the data processing being
envisioned for advanced space weapons requiring
machines to think as they share data in virtual real time.
MIT in a recent scientific publication titled "Space
Weapons: Crossinq the US Rubicon" described a number
of capabilities to which FTW referred in our October 2000
story on PROMIS, including a statement that space is "the
ultimate high ground."
As time passes it is beginning to appear that PROMIS is
literally what made possible not only 9/11, but everything
that has followed since and what is being planned. TIA hasbeen renamed several times. We know that the first
software was delivered to the Defense Advanced Research
Projects Agency (DARPA) in 2003. Its latest nom de guerre
is TIE or Trusted Information Environment. According to theSan Francisco Chronicle last October TIE now allows the
government to access private databases without a warrant.
FTW go one step further to assert that TIE allows access to
private databases without the knowledge of the database
owners, provided only one condition exists: the database
can be accessed through the internet.
In this electrifying timeline-driven report, Wall Street
whistleblower Indira Singh lays out the connections
between the providers of this advanced software (derivedfrom the PROMIS software stolen from the Inslaw
corporation in the 1980s by the US Justice Department and
others) and the network of terrorist financing (sustained
with US blessing) that has pervaded U.S covert operations
for years.
WHAT IS PROMIS AND WHAT DOESIT DO?
PROMIS stands for Prosecutor's Management Information
System.
In the late 1970s the legal system of the United States
Department of Justice (DoJ) was comprised of more than
thirty semi-autonomous regional U.S. Attorneys (USA)
offices. Each had a computer system to track case
management for prosecutions, investigations, and civil
litigations. The problem was that they used as many as
seven different programming languages. This made the
transmission and sharing of information between offices
virtually impossible. The computers in the USA's office inSan Francisco could not read files sent from the USA in
New York.
The genius of Hamilton and Inslaw was to create a
software program that could access files in any number of
databases and programming languages and translate and
then unify them into one consistent file. Prom is was the
Rosetta stone of computer languages.
Inslaw won a $10 million, three-year contract in March 1982to install a 16-bit architecture version of Prom is, which the
government had the right to use but not the right to modify
without paying license fees to Inslaw, on government
computers in the 22 largest U.S. Attorneys' Offices. In April
1983, the second year of the three-year contract, the
government modified Inslaw's contract in order to
obtain delivery of a 32-bit architecture version of Promis,
which the government could not even use without paying
license fees. In modifying the contract, the government
promised to pay license fees if it decided to substitute the32-bit version for the 16-bit version. In May 1983, the
month following Inslaw's delivery of the 32-bit version of
Promis, the government reneged on its contractual
agreement to pay license fees and simultaneously began tofind fault with Inslaw's implementation services as
justification for withholding services payments.
In January 1988, following several weeks of trial in 1987,
the U.S. Bankruptcy Court issued fully litigated findings of
fact that the Justice Department "took, converted, stole" the
32-bit version of Promis "through trickery, fraud and deceit,"
implemented the 32-bit version of Prom is in the 44 largest
U.S. Attorneys Offices, and then tried to force INSLAW out
of business in order to incapacitate INSLAW from litigating
the Justice Department's theft of Prom is. The Bankruptcy
Court imposed a compulsory license on the 44 largest U.S.
Attorneys Offices for the perpetual use of the 32-bit version
of Promis and issued a permanent injunction against any
further dissemination of Prom is by the government exceptunder license from Inslaw.
Subsequent appeals by the government saw the original
rulings overturned on legal, not factual, grounds. Legal
actions in the case continue to this day.
Hamilton told FTW that none of the uses described above
had anything to do with any licensing agreements for thesoftware's use to track terrorists, intelligence matters or
worldwide financial transactions.
The paper tracking of the refinements in Prom is after the
legal dispute erupted between INSLAW and the Reaganadministration, verifies that at least one version of Promis
was given to Martin Marietta, now Lockheed-Martin, whichis now the nation's second largest defense contractor.
Research conducted by many investigative journalists has
indicated that Prom is has spread widely throughout the
defense contractor network. FTW has received multiple
reports of Prom is use by companies and institutions like
DynCorp, Raytheon, Boeing, SAIC and the Harvard
Endowment as well as by government agencies such as
the Financial Criminal Enforcement Network (FINCEN) and
the U.S. Treasury.
Here's how powerful the software is.
Approximately two weeks after the September 11 attackson the World Trade Center and the Pentagon, the History
Channel aired a documentary entitled "The History of
Terrorism." In that documentary, a law enforcement officerdescribed some of the methods used to track terrorist
movements. He stated that "computers" were able to track
such things as credit card purchases, entry and exits visas,
telephone and utility usage etc. It was implied that these
diverse data base files could be integrated into one unified
table. He gave an example that through the use of such a
system it would be possible to determine that if a suspected
terrorist entered the country and was going to hide out, that
by monitoring the water and electrical consumption of all
possible suspects in a given cell, it would be possible to
determine where the terrorist was hiding out by seeing
whose utility use increased. Conversely, it would be
possible to determine if a terrorist was on the move if his
utility consumption declined or his local shopping patterns
were interrupted. Aren't those "club" cards from your
supermarket handy?
This is but the barest glimpse of what Promis can do.
Mated with artificial intelligence it is capable of analyzing
not only an individual's, but also a community's entire life, in
real time. It is also capable of issuing warnings when
irregularities appear and of predicting future movements
based upon past behavior.
In the financial arena Prom is is even more formidable. Not
only is it capable of predicting movements in financial
markets and tracking trades in real time. It has been
reported, on a number of occasions, to have been used, viathe "back door" to enter secret bank accounts, including
accounts in Switzerland and then remove the money in
those accounts without being traced. Court documents filedin the various INSLAW trials include documentation of this
ability as well as affidavits and declarations from Israeli
intelligence officers and assets.
FTW has previously reported that the CIA uses Promis totrack stock trades in real time. Thus, as described in FTW
stories on insider trading directly connected to the
September 11 attacks, the Agency had the ability to
determine that immediate impending attacks were planned
against both American and United Air Lines. The Israeli
Herzliyya Institute for Counter terrorism was able to publish
a detailed accounting of the trades within days of the
attacks and their report underscores the connection
between counter terrorist efforts and the monitoring of
financial markets. [See FTW Vol. IV, No 7 - Oct. 15,2001]
Suspicions of CIA advance knowledge of the attacks were
heightened when FTW disclosed that the current Executive
Director of the CIA, AB. "Buzzy" Krongard was, unti/1998,
the CEO of AB. Brown, the company which handled many
of the suspicious trades.
The FOX story reported that Osama bin Laden once
boasted that his youth "knew the wrinkles of the world'sfinancial markets like the back of their hands and that his
money would never be frozen." He may be right. And an
administration so lost in covering up criminal conduct - no
less than the conduct of the ones which preceded it - while
trying to fight a war at the same time -- might find itself
doubly wounded by the software of Bill Hamilton andInslaw.
PROMIS & ETHNO-SPECIFIC BIO-WARFARE
WEAPONS: The Last Circle describes in detail how
Promis software was modified by Riconosciuto to allegedly
include the back door "eavesdropping" capability but also
enhanced with one form of AI and subsequently applied to
the development of new weapons systems including
"ethnospecific" biowarfare compounds capable of attacking
specific races.
PROMIS & MICROSOFTIWINDOWS SYSTEMS: In the
winter of 94-95, Inslaw's investigator into Promis, a former
green beret named McCoy, reveled to FTW, that he was
using former Green Berets to conduct physical surveillance
of the Washington, D.C. offices of Microsoft in connection
with the Prom is case. Subsequent thereto FTW received
information indicating that piracy of Microsoft products at
the GE Aerospace Herndon facility were likely tied to larger
objectives, possibly the total compromise of any Windows
based product. It is not by chance that most of the military
and all of the intelligence agencies in the U.S. now operate
on Macintosh systems.
PROM IS & FINANCIAL MARKETS: The Tyree diagrams
laid out in detail how Promis, after improvement with AI,
had allegedly been mated with the software of Jackson
Stephens' firm Systematics. In the late seventies and early
eighties, Systematics handled some 60-70% of all
electronic banking transactions in the U.S. The goal,
according to the diagrams which laid out (subsequently
verified) relationships between Stephens, Worthen Bank,
the Lippo Group and the drugfrntelligence bank BCCI was
to penetrate every banking system in the world. This
"cabal" could then use Promis both to predict and toinfluence the movement of financial markets worldwide.
Tyree informed FTW that just before McCoy's death, he
had given McCoy information on "Elbif' flash memory
chips, allegedly designed at Kir Yat-Gat south of Tel Aviv.
The unique feature of the Elbit chips was that they worked
on ambient electricity in a computer. In other words, they
worked when the computer was turned off. When
combined with another newly developed chip, the "Petrie,"
which was capable of storing up to six months worth of key
strokes, it was now possible to burst transmit all of a
computer's activity in the middle of the night to a nearby
receiver - say in a passing truck or even a low flying
SIGINT (Signals Intelligence) satellite. According to Tyree
this was the methodology used by Jonathan Pollard and
the Israeli Mossad to compromise many foreign embassies
in Washington.
PROM IS & BIG PICTURE: Tyree described how Prom is
progeny, having inspired four new computer languages had
made possible the positioning of satellites so far out in
space that they were untouchable. At the same time the
progeny had improved video quality to the point where the
same satellite could focus on a single human hair. The
ultimate big picture.
PROMIS & MECHANICAL HUMANS: Tyree explained
that Promis progeny had also evolved to the point where
neural pads could be attached to plugs in the back of the
human head and thought could be translated into electrical
impulses that would be equally capable of flying a plane or
wire transferring money. Names like Sandia, Cal-Tech,
Micron, Tech University of Graz, Octed Leventer andMassimo Grimaldi were mentioned. Data, such as satellite
reconnaissance, could also now be downloaded from a
satellite directly into a human brain. The evolution of the
artificial intelligence had progressed to a point where
animal behavior and thought were being decoded.
Mechanical humans were being tested. Animals were
being controlled by computer.
PROMIS & THE NAGASAKI SYNDROME: Then, placing
the evolutions of Promis in context with the Canadian story
Tyree asked a question as to why one would really now
need to go to all the trouble of monitoring all of a foreign
country's intelligence operations. "There's an easier way to
get what I want," he said. "I access their banks. I access
their banks and I know who does what and who's getting
ready to do what," he said. He described how Canada had
been provided with modified Promis software which
Canada then modified, or thought they had modified, again
to eliminate the trap door. But, unknown, to the Canadians
the Elbit chips in the systems bypassed the trap doors and
permitted the transmission of data when everyone thought
the computers were turned off and secure.
A weapon is only good if someone knows what its
capability is. Prior to using the atomic bomb it was
irrelevant." He continued, "They refer to it as the Nagasaki
Syndrome."
Suggested Reading:
- The Washington Times - Search Archives for "Promis"
- Insight Magazine - a by investigative reporter K. O'Mearaat http://www.insightmag.com/archivel200 10 1307.shtml.
- "The Last Circle" - An online e-book by Carol Marshall athttp://www.lvcaeum.org/books/books/last circle/.
"Trail of The Octopus" - by Lester Coleman, 1993.
- The lnslaw Affair
http://www.webcom.coml-pinknoi7Jcovert/inslaw. html.Includes Congressional testimony supporting Inslaw and arecord of court proceedings.
- FfW: Vol. N,No 7 - Oct 15,2001
http://www.fromthewilderness.com/free/pand
ora/052401 oromis.html.
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