0930_1000_mcardozo_1
TRANSCRIPT
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Peru: A Leader in Mining
Exploration?Geological potential and other
factors
Miguel Cardozo ProExplo 2009
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Exploration investment per km 2 in the world ten top investment destinations
Worldwide Exploration Investment - 2008 = $12,600 (US$ million)
Country Investment Country Area % of Worldwide 2008 Investment Investment/km 2 RankingRanking millions of km2 Investment (US$ millions) (US$) US$/km2
Canada 1 7.7 19% 2,394 311 5 Australia 2 9.1 14% 1,764 194 6United States 3 9.2 7% 882 96 7Mexico 4 1.9 6% 756 398 3
Peru 5 1.3 5% 630 485 2Russia 6 17.0 5% 630 37 10Chile 7 0.8 4% 504 630 1Brazil 8 8.5 3% 378 44 8South Africa 9 1.2 3% 378 315 4China 10 9.3 3% 378 41 9
Fuentes:Areas territoriales: http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/index.htmlInversin en Exploracin "World Exploration Trends", Special Report from the Metals Economics Group for the PDAC
2009 Internacional ConventionUranium excluded
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Gold
0
2
4
6
8
10
1 9 9 4
1 9 9 5
1 9 9 6
1 9 9 7
1 9 9 8
1 9 9 9
2 0 0 0
2 0 0 1
2 0 0 2
2 0 0 3
2 0 0 4
2 0 0 5
2 0 0 6
2 0 0 7 e
P e r c e n t a g e
Production
Reserve Base
Calculated from USGS published figuresReserve base: Measured + Indicated resources
Copper
0
2
4
6
8
10
1 9 9 4
1 9 9 5
1 9 9 6
1 9 9 7
1 9 9 8
1 9 9 9
2 0 0 0
2 0 0 1
2 0 0 2
2 0 0 3
2 0 0 4
2 0 0 5
2 0 0 6
2 0 0 7 e
P e r c e n
t a g e
Production
Reserve Base
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Peruvian Gold Production by Deposit Types
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1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
M o z
Alluvial Gold Other IOCGSkarn Porphyry Mesothermal veinsLS Epithermal HS Epithermal
6.7 6.5
4.1
5.5
Actual Forecast
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Peruvian Copper Production by Deposit Types2001 - 2020
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500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
C o p p e r (
T M F )
Paleocene Copper-Moly Porphyry Belt Miocene Cu-Au Porphyry-Skarn BeltCentral Peru Polymetallic Replacement & Skarn Belt Eocene-Oligocene Copper Porph yry & Skarn BeltSouthern Coast IOCG & VMS Other
Actual Forecast
1.2Mt
3.5Mt
http://localhost/var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/scratch_6/ProExplo_2009_M_Cardozo_2.ppthttp://localhost/var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/scratch_6/ProExplo_2009_M_Cardozo_2.ppt -
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Mining and Investment
Several Latin American economies depend andwill continue depending on mining
Development of the mining sector entirelydepends on private investment
An increasing number of new regions andcountries in the world are now opened tomining investment.
Mining companies have numerous investment
options but limited budgets Attracting mining investment becomes
essential, but mining has to contribute to localeconomic and social development
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Attracting Investment
Key factors to attract investment are determined byinvestors
Only some of these factors can be controlled or influenced by governments
Optimizing mining contribution to local sustainabledevelopment and at the same time maintaining countrycompetitiveness is a real challenge
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Exploration Investment
Geological potential Profitability of potential operations Tenure and permits reliability
Profit expatriation Consistency of mining policy Realistic currency exchange
control
Stable exploration rules Reliable environmental rules Reliable tax regulations Stability of tax regime
10 top decision factors
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Geological potential
Reliable tenure and exploration rules Attractive and stable financial and tax regimes Predictable mining and environmental policies
Exploration Investment
What do exploration companies need?
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Mining in Latin America
Unexplored terrains in general Current regional predominance of gold exploration Four Latin American countries in the 10 top investment destinations in
2008:
Mexico, Peru, Chile, Brazil After Canada, Australia and the USA
Variable quality of available geological information (significant room for improvement)
Lack of comprehensive public geological databases (local or regional)
No legislation to enforce public availability of geological informationgenerated by mining exploration companies
Private investment in the acquisition of geological information isequivalent to hundreds of times the annual budgets of the localgeological surveys
Geological Potential
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Mining in Latin America
Geological information from the oil industry is available inseveral countries, but it has had very limited use in miningexploration
Geological surveys require far more support; some are in acritical situation
Geological education and research need urgent financialsupport and quality upgrade
Adopting of standard, regulated reporting rules for resource-reserve estimates and exploration results, and thecreation of a register for Qualified Persons is key for obtaining financing of exploration
Geological Potential
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Mining in Latin America
Historically complex systems; frequently subject tocorruption practices
Peru showed the way in 1992 creating a simple,transparent, high-tech, efficient system. Somecountries are following the example
Still expensive tenure payments for early stageprojects
Turn around of exploration ground still far from ideal Staggered tenure fees to incentive prospecting and
early stage exploration are usual regulatory options
Tenure and exploration rules
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Mining in Latin America
Stable and predictable regimes needed Frequent public discussions on tax related issues by
politicians generate negative impact on investors Mining has to contribute to the sustainable development
of the society as a whole, and companies require areasonable return on their investment: win-win situation
Tax reforms should not: consider individual taxes in isolation without evaluating their impact on the
competitiveness of the mining sector
reduce country competitiveness, make mineral deposits economically marginal reduce minable reserves by increasing cut-off grade of existing mines
Financial and tax regimes
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Mining in Latin America
Tax incentives to high-risk exploration activities would helpto accelerate discoveries, like in Canada
The creation of a junior segments in the Peruvian Stockexchanges could be an important financing source for exploration juniors, considering the decline of theexploration budgets by most international companies. The
Lima Stock Exchange has given the example.
Financial and tax regimes
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Mining in Latin America
Stable and predictable permitting rules, using internationalstandards are required
Environmental evaluation of projects must be technicallydriven, avoiding political interferences Social and community issues are not necessarily related to
environmental problems
Strong governmental support must be given to viableprojects, even against local political interests
Educational programs of the population must be a priority for
governments and companies Auto-regulation as a mechanism to ensure clean and safe
operations must be adopted by the industry. This will: reduce work load on the authorities that have to supervise mining operations improve the industry image and the public trust on mining companies in respect
to their management of safety and environmental issues
Mining and environmental policies
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Mining in Latin America
Corporate developments Exploration budgets had considerably increased in recent
years, but the current economic and financial crisis hassignificantly reduced investment in projects. The consolidation of the mining industry will continue
negatively affecting exploration budgets. In the long term, metal prices will continue their cyclic
variation, affecting investment returns, accelerating or delaying the development of new projects and impacting onthe exploration investment
Other factor controlling mining
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Mining in Latin America
Technological developments Improved mining methods and more intensive use of heavy
equipment in underground operations.
Biotechnological developments will allow for the treatment of low-grade copper sulfides.
Efficiency- and cost-conscious management will be reinforcedin new public companies as a result of corporate changes
High-tech exploration technologies will be more intensivelyused, while exploration maturity of the different terrainsincreases
Other factor controlling mining
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Summing up
Mining development in Latin America will continue as aneconomic need, but it will increasingly require socialacceptance, which will depend on: Mining contributing to sustainable development through clean and
safe operations and social commitment of the operating companies Sustained education efforts by governments and companies to get
people to understand the benefits of a modern mining industry thatsupports and promotes other long-term economic activities
Attracting mining investment by maintaining stable rulesand eliminating country-risk factors is an obligation of governments and local politicians
Strong support of governments to the mining industry willbe needed for a trouble-less development of viable andsustainable mining projects
Auto-regulation as a mechanism to ensure clean and
safe operations must be adopted by the industry.
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Summing up Tax incentives to exploration investment will help to increase
the discovery rate and improve the resource base requiredfor expanding the mining industry
Tenure and exploration regulations should provide low-costaccess to prospecting and early stage exploration ground,
and guarantee rapid turn around of exploration claims Financing of local and international exploration juniorsshould be organized and promoted through local stockexchanges
Standard reporting practices should be enforced, and QPstrained and registered
Geological surveys will need much stronger financial andscientific support to deliver quality geological information thatallows for the identification of new and less obvious
exploration targets
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Summing up
Public geological databases should be created to hostand distribute quality information from different sources,including exploration companies
Delivery of exploration information from privatecompanies to public files must be enforced by law Geoscientific education and research must be reinforced
through generous financing and international technicalcooperation
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PERU: A MINING COUNTRY