1 - 1 © 1997 prentice-hall, inc. statistical methods
TRANSCRIPT
1 - 1 - 11
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
Statistical MethodsStatistical MethodsStatistical MethodsStatistical Methods
StatisticalMethods
DescriptiveStatistics
InferentialStatistics
StatisticalMethods
DescriptiveStatistics
InferentialStatistics
1 - 1 - 22
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
Descriptive StatisticsDescriptive StatisticsDescriptive StatisticsDescriptive Statistics
InvolvesInvolves Collecting dataCollecting data Presenting dataPresenting data Characterizing Characterizing
datadata
PurposePurpose Describe dataDescribe data
1 - 1 - 33
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
Inferential StatisticsInferential StatisticsInferential StatisticsInferential Statistics
InvolvesInvolves EstimationEstimation Hypothesis Hypothesis
testingtesting
PurposePurpose Make decisions Make decisions
about population about population characteristicscharacteristics
Population?Population?
1 - 1 - 44
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
Population (universe)Population (universe) All items of interestAll items of interest
SampleSample Portion of populationPortion of population
ParameterParameter Summary measure about populationSummary measure about population
StatisticStatistic Summary measure about sampleSummary measure about sample
Key TermsKey TermsKey TermsKey Terms
1 - 1 - 55
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
Data TypesData TypesData TypesData Types
Data
Numerical(Quantitative)
Categorical(Qualitative)
Discrete Continuous
Data
Numerical(Quantitative)
Categorical(Qualitative)
Discrete Continuous
1 - 1 - 66
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
Data Type ExamplesData Type ExamplesData Type ExamplesData Type Examples
NumericalNumerical DiscreteDiscrete
To how many magazines do you subscribe To how many magazines do you subscribe currently? ___ (Number)currently? ___ (Number)
Continuous Continuous How tall are you? ___ (Inches)How tall are you? ___ (Inches)
CategoricalCategorical Do you own savings bonds? __ Yes __ NoDo you own savings bonds? __ Yes __ No
1 - 1 - 77
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
How Are Data How Are Data Measured?Measured?
How Are Data How Are Data Measured?Measured?
Nominal scaleNominal scale
Ordinal scaleOrdinal scale
Interval scaleInterval scale
Ratio scaleRatio scale
1 - 1 - 88
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
Standard NotationStandard NotationStandard NotationStandard Notation
Measure Sample Population
Mean X
Stand. Dev. S
Variance S2 2
Size n N
Measure Sample Population
Mean X
Stand. Dev. S
Variance S2 2
Size n N
1 - 1 - 99
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
Numerical Data Numerical Data PropertiesProperties
Numerical Data Numerical Data PropertiesProperties
Central Tendency Central Tendency (Location)(Location)
Variation Variation (Dispersion)(Dispersion)
ShapeShape
1 - 1 - 1010
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
Numerical DataNumerical DataProperties & MeasuresProperties & Measures
Numerical DataNumerical DataProperties & MeasuresProperties & Measures
Numerical DataProperties
Mean
Median
Mode
Midrange
Midhinge
CentralTendency
Range
Interquartile RangeVariance
Standard Deviation
Coeff. of Variation
Variation
Skew
Kurtosis
Shape
Numerical DataProperties
Mean
Median
Mode
Midrange
Midhinge
CentralTendency
Range
Interquartile RangeVariance
Standard Deviation
Coeff. of Variation
Variation
Skew
Kurtosis
Shape
1 - 1 - 1111
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
Central TendencyCentral TendencyCentral TendencyCentral Tendency
1 - 1 - 1212
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
MeanMeanMeanMean
Measure of central tendencyMeasure of central tendency Most common measureMost common measure Acts as ‘balance point’Acts as ‘balance point’ Affected by extreme values (‘outliers’)Affected by extreme values (‘outliers’) Formula (sample mean):Formula (sample mean):
X
X
nX X X
n
ii
n
n
1 1 2
X
X
nX X X
n
ii
n
n
1 1 2
1 - 1 - 1313
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
MedianMedianMedianMedian
Measure of central tendencyMeasure of central tendency Middle value in ordered sequenceMiddle value in ordered sequence
If odd n, middle value of sequenceIf odd n, middle value of sequence If even n, average of 2 middle valuesIf even n, average of 2 middle values
Not affected by extreme values Not affected by extreme values Position of median in sequencePosition of median in sequence
Positioning Point n 12
Positioning Point n 12
1 - 1 - 1414
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
ModeModeModeMode
Measure of central tendencyMeasure of central tendency Value that occurs most oftenValue that occurs most often Not affected by extreme valuesNot affected by extreme values May be no mode or several modesMay be no mode or several modes May be used for numerical & May be used for numerical &
categorical datacategorical data
1 - 1 - 1515
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
QuartilesQuartilesQuartilesQuartiles
Measure of Measure of noncentralnoncentral tendency tendency Split ordered data into 4 quartersSplit ordered data into 4 quarters
25%25% 25%25% 25%25% 25%25%
QQ11 QQ22 QQ33
1 - 1 - 1616
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
Summary of Summary of Central TendencyCentral Tendency
Summary of Summary of Central TendencyCentral Tendency
Measure Equation DescriptionMean Xi / n Balance pointMedian (n+1) Position
2Middle value whenordered
Mode none Most frequentMidrange X Xsmallest l est arg
2
Middle of smallest& largest
Midhinge Q Q1 3
2 Middle of 1st &
3rd quartile whereQi = i (n+1)/4
Measure Equation DescriptionMean Xi / n Balance pointMedian (n+1) Position
2Middle value whenordered
Mode none Most frequentMidrange X Xsmallest l est arg
2
Middle of smallest& largest
Midhinge Q Q1 3
2 Middle of 1st &
3rd quartile whereQi = i (n+1)/4
1 - 1 - 1717
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
VariationVariationVariationVariation
1 - 1 - 1818
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
7 8 9 10 7 8 9 107 8 9 10 7 8 9 10
RangeRangeRangeRange
Measure of dispersionMeasure of dispersion Difference between largest & Difference between largest &
smallest observationssmallest observations
Ignores how data are distributedIgnores how data are distributed
Range X Xl est smallestargRange X Xl est smallestarg
1 - 1 - 1919
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
Interquartile RangeInterquartile RangeInterquartile RangeInterquartile Range
Measure of dispersionMeasure of dispersion Also called midspreadAlso called midspread Spread in middle 50%Spread in middle 50% Not affected by extreme valuesNot affected by extreme values Formula:Formula:
Interquartile Range Q Q3 1Interquartile Range Q Q3 1
1 - 1 - 2020
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
4 6 8 10 12
X = 8.3
4 6 8 10 12
X = 8.3
Variance & Variance & Standard DeviationStandard Deviation
Variance & Variance & Standard DeviationStandard Deviation
Measures of dispersionMeasures of dispersion Most common measuresMost common measures Consider how data are distributedConsider how data are distributed Show variation about mean (Show variation about mean (XX or or ))
1 - 1 - 2121
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
DISPERSION ABOUT DISPERSION ABOUT THE MEANTHE MEAN
•VarianceVariance
ss22== X-X
n -1
2
1 - 1 - 2222
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
DISPERSION ABOUT DISPERSION ABOUT MEAN (cont.)MEAN (cont.)
•Standard deviation (sd)Standard deviation (sd)
X-X
n -1
2
s =s =
1 - 1 - 2323
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
PROPERTIES OF THE PROPERTIES OF THE STANDARD DEVIATION IN STANDARD DEVIATION IN
A NORMAL CURVEA NORMAL CURVE
X
X
X
1s1s 68%68%
2s2s 95%95%
3s3s 99%99%
1 - 1 - 2424
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
Summary of Summary of Variation Measures Variation Measures
Summary of Summary of Variation Measures Variation Measures
Measure Equation Description
Range X largest - Xsmallest Total spread
Interquartile range Q3 - Q1 Spread of middle 50%
Standard deviation(Sample)
X X
ni
2
1
Dispersion aboutsample mean
Standard deviation(Population)
X
N
i
2 Dispersion aboutpopulation mean
Variance(Sample)
(X i -X)2
n - 1Squared dispersionabout sample mean
Coeff. of variation (S /X)100% Relative variation
Measure Equation Description
Range X largest - Xsmallest Total spread
Interquartile range Q3 - Q1 Spread of middle 50%
Standard deviation(Sample)
X X
ni
2
1
Dispersion aboutsample mean
Standard deviation(Population)
X
N
i
2 Dispersion aboutpopulation mean
Variance(Sample)
(X i -X)2
n - 1Squared dispersionabout sample mean
Coeff. of variation (S /X)100% Relative variation
1 - 1 - 2525
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
ShapeShapeShapeShape
1 - 1 - 2626
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
ShapeShapeShapeShape
Describes how data are distributedDescribes how data are distributed Measures of shapeMeasures of shape
Skew: SymmetrySkew: Symmetry
Right-SkewedLeft-Skewed Symmetric
Mean = Median = ModeMean Median Mode Mode Median Mean
1 - 1 - 2727
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
Median
4 6 8 10 12
Q 3Q 1 X largestX smallestMedian
4 6 8 10 12
Q 3Q 1 X largestX smallest
Box-and-Whisker PlotBox-and-Whisker PlotBox-and-Whisker PlotBox-and-Whisker Plot
Graphical display of data usingGraphical display of data using5-number summary5-number summary
1 - 1 - 2828
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
Right-SkewedLeft-Skewed Symmetric
Q 1 Median Q 3Q 1 Median Q 3 Q 1 Median Q 3
Shape & Shape & Box-and-Whisker PlotBox-and-Whisker Plot
Shape & Shape & Box-and-Whisker PlotBox-and-Whisker Plot
1 - 1 - 2929
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
ConclusionConclusionConclusionConclusion
Explained numerical data propertiesExplained numerical data properties Described summary measuresDescribed summary measures
Central tendencyCentral tendency VariationVariation ShapeShape
Analyzed numerical data using Analyzed numerical data using summary measures summary measures
1 - 1 - 3030
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc.
This Class...This Class...This Class...This Class...
What was the most important thing What was the most important thing you learned in class today?you learned in class today?
What do you still have questions What do you still have questions about?about?
How can today’s class be improved?How can today’s class be improved?
Please take a moment to answer the Please take a moment to answer the following questions in writing:following questions in writing:
© 1997 Prentice-Hall, Inc. 7 - 1 Principles of Operations Management People & Work Systems Chapter 7
Smalltalk Coding Patterns mostly from Smalltalk Best Practice Patterns Kent Beck Prentice-Hall, 1997