1 1 asia pacific: the third global ip traffic region. 1 28 april 2004 sturt eastwood director,...
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11
Asia Pacific: the third global IP traffic region.
1
28 April 2004
Sturt Eastwood
Director, Europe
22
• Asia Pacific IP traffic growth.
• Asia Pacific’s position in the global Internet space.
• Real drivers behind IP traffic growth in the Asia Pacific region.
• Asia Pacific: the centre of the global Internet?
Outline
33
Will IP Follow Telephony?
(ITU World Telecommunication Indicators Database)
Asia-Pacific
22%
Europe41%
Americas35%
Africa/Arab States
2%
1991 TotalTelephone
Subscribers555 million
Asia-Pacific
29%Europe
36%
Americas33%
Africa/Arab States
2%
1996 Total Telephone
Subscribers877 million
Asia-Pacific
36%Europe
35%
Americas27%
Africa/Arab States
2%
2001 Total Telephone
Subscribers1’979 million
Total telephone subscribers = mobile + fixed line
44
Top Level Regional Indicators
EMEA• Population - 1.6b• GDP per cap. - US$5,986• Internet Access (%) - 10.9%• Broadband (%) - 0.8%
EMEA• Population - 1.6b• GDP per cap. - US$5,986• Internet Access (%) - 10.9%• Broadband (%) - 0.8%
Asia Pacific• Population - 3.7b• GDP per cap. - US$2,343• Internet Access (%) - 5.9%• Broadband (%) - 0.7%
Asia Pacific• Population - 3.7b• GDP per cap. - US$2,343• Internet Access (%) - 5.9%• Broadband (%) - 0.7%
Americas• Population - 0.85b• GDP per cap. - US$15,050• Internet Access (%) - 24.3%• Broadband (%) - 2.9%
Americas• Population - 0.85b• GDP per cap. - US$15,050• Internet Access (%) - 24.3%• Broadband (%) - 2.9%
Source: ITU, Birth of Broadband, Sept, 2003
55
International IP Backbone Capacity
62.1 Gbit/s 103.3 Gbit/s
386.2 Gbit/s
4.4 Gbit/s
Source: Global Internet Geography, 2004, PrimetricaSource: Global Internet Geography, 2004, Primetrica
66
IP Backbone Bandwidth Growth Trends
Actual and Forecast IP Backbone Bandwidth
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
IP B
ac
kb
on
e B
an
dw
idth
(G
bit
/s)
Trans-Atlantic Trans-Pacific Intra-Asia
Intra-Asia Bandwidth Starts to Exceed Trans-
Pacific Bandwidth
Intra-Asia Bandwidth Growth Rapidly Exceeds Growth in Trans-
Pacific Bandwidth Growth
Source: Telegeography, International Bandwidth 2004
77
Routing Intra-Asia Traffic via the US
Now: estimated 30% of intra-Asia traffic via US
1998: 100% of intra-Asia traffic via US
70%
88
Direct Europe-Asia Capacity
Sing to London RTD is 192msSing to London RTD is 192ms
Via the US RTD is 368msVia the US RTD is 368ms
Direct Europe to Asia Actual and Forecast IP Backbone Bandwidth
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
EU
-As
ia IP
Ba
ck
bo
ne
Ba
nd
wid
th (
Mb
it/s
)
Source: Gartner IP Backbone Opportunities, 2003
99
Broadband Penetration by Region
Share of Broadband Lines
Asia Pacific44%
EMEA32%
Americas24%
Asia Pacific
EMEA
Americas
Region Thousands of Lines (31/12/03)
Asia Pacific 44,109
EMEA 24,777
Americas 31,983
Source: Point Topic, 2004
1010
So Where is the Broadband Market Going?
Asia broadband rates are ten times fasterthan in North America and Europe.
Corning, 2003
Asia broadband rates are ten times fasterthan in North America and Europe.
Corning, 2003
Asia Pacific will continue to dominateglobal broadband uptake. By the end of 2004, the region will have 56.6m broadband households, topping North America 37.7m and Western Europe’s 28.7m
Broadband Worldwide, 2004
Asia Pacific will continue to dominateglobal broadband uptake. By the end of 2004, the region will have 56.6m broadband households, topping North America 37.7m and Western Europe’s 28.7m
Broadband Worldwide, 2004
Source: Point TopicTop ten broadband countries by lines added
Source: Point Topic
The number of Chinese Internet usersconnecting to the Internet over broadband connections rose by 173% during 2003.
CNNIC, 2004
The number of Chinese Internet usersconnecting to the Internet over broadband connections rose by 173% during 2003.
CNNIC, 2004
1111
Broadband Pricing and Download Speeds
Aust.$881.5M
Aust.$881.5M
China$242M
China$242M
HK$516M
HK$516M
India$36
0.06M
India$36
0.06M
Japan$3645M
Japan$3645M
Korea$358M
Korea$358M
Philipp.$500.3M
Philipp.$500.3M
Malay.$260.5M
Malay.$260.5M
Sing.$1232.5M
Sing.$1232.5M
Taiwan$363M
Taiwan$363M
$351.5M
$351.5M
$341.5M
$341.5M
UK$671M
UK$671M
Ger.$692M
Ger.$692M
France$481M
France$481M
REACH research – typical residential broadband packages, April, 2004
$453M
$453M
1212
REACH Global IP Backbone NetworkDuring the last year, direct Asia to
Europe IP backbone bandwidth hasincreased from 155 to over 700 Mbit/s
During the last year, direct Asia toEurope IP backbone bandwidth has
increased from 155 to over 700 Mbit/s
Over the past year, intra-AsiaIP network capacity has
Increased from 6.3 to 13.9 Gbit/s
Over the past year, intra-AsiaIP network capacity has
Increased from 6.3 to 13.9 Gbit/s
Trans-Pacific IP backbone Bandwidth has increased from
9.1 to 10.7 Gbit/s in 12mths
Trans-Pacific IP backbone Bandwidth has increased from
9.1 to 10.7 Gbit/s in 12mths
Chicago
London
ToHongKong
Equinix
NYIIX
LINX
Newark
Palo Alto
Miami
Dallas
New York
Washington DC
NAP of the Americas
Equinix
Equinix
Los Angeles
San Jose
Equinix
Tokyo
Perth
SydneyAuckland
Jakarta
JPNAP
JPIX
NSPIXP2
UAE
New Delhi
Guangzhou
ShanghaiBeijing
Manila
Singapore
Kuala Lumpur
Mumbai
Seoul
To London
Bangkok
HKIX
MacauPAIX
NIX
SOX
IIX
GIX
MIX
EquinixTo
London
To Mumbai
To London
To Singapore
Chennai
KTIX
KINX
DIX
NIXI
REACH actual customer traffic has increased 2.3 times over the last 12 months.
REACH actual customer traffic has increased 2.3 times over the last 12 months.