1 a market-backed model for agdsm a market-backed model for an agriculture demand side management...
TRANSCRIPT
1
A Market-backed Model for AGDSM
A Market-backed Model for an Agriculture Demand Side Management
Presented By –Apurva Chaturvedi USAIDRakesh K Goyal Tetra TechAshish Meshram Tetra Tech
December 14, 2011
2
A Market-backed Model for AGDSM
Why Agriculture Demand Side Management (AgDSM) in India?
Agriculture consumes 23% of power & 38% of water (90% groundwater)
55 – 60% population dependent on groundwater
Financial health of
power sector
Availability of water both for
irrigation & drinking
Livelihood of Farmers
Food & Water
security of 1.2 Billion population
Subsidy of 8 billion US $ per annum
3
A Market-backed Model for AGDSM
Pilots Conducted before the development of innovation Project Duration Location Funding
agencyNature of work/Key learning
Energy efficiency through replacing pump sets
1993-1996 Warangal District, Andhra Pradesh
JBIC (earlier, OECF) Replacement of conventional pumps with efficient pumps; savings were measured
Replacement of pipes and foot valves
1987-1990 Chittor District, Andhra Pradesh
DFID Replacement of pipes and foot valves; 5-15% savings were achieved.
APEEP single-phase high-voltage distribution system for 16 villages
1998-2000 Nalgonda District, Andhra Pradesh
DFID AP Transco- supplied pumps converted to single phase. Pump can work on single phase.
Implementation of power factor correction devices in the agriculture sector
1992 Madhya Pradesh -- End users reportedly refused to maintain the installed equipment. Results could not be measured.
DSM for Climate Change Project
2002-2005 Madhya Pradesh CIDA Pump replacement achieved 25-40% savings.
Agricultural Pump Set Efficiency Improvement Programme with NPCL
2001-2002 Noida, Uttar Pradesh
USAID 75 conventional belt-driven above-ground 5 hp pumps replaced by 3.5 hp Kirloskar energy-efficient mono-block pumps; metered supply. 30-45% saving achieved.
State government scheme to improve the efficiency of agricultural pump sets
2003-2004
2004-2005
Three transformer areas in Tamil Nadu
State Government Results not known
Reach to Power Programme of MSEDCL-Dindori
2005-2006 8,000 villages in Nasik District, Maharashtra
Not Known MERC permitted MSEDCL to charge expenses to the Load Management Charge Fund.
Agricultural pump Replacement
2006-2007 Doddaballapur USAID Savings of 30-70% were achieved.
4
A Market-backed Model for AGDSM
What Pilots Established –Saving Potential
S.N. Measures Potential for Energy Savings
1 Efficient Pumpsets 15-25%
2 Suction Pipe & Foot Valve 5-15%
3 Efficient Irrigation Methods 15-25%
4 Total Saving Potential 35-65%
5
A Market-backed Model for AGDSM
Pilots Could not be Scaled Up
Water & Electricity nearly free to farmers
Absence of market based approach
Ownership
ESCO's in a nascent stage
Reluctance to work in rural areas
Tough geography and vast area
Low literacy level of farmers
Livelihood of farmers depends on irrigation.
Reliability of DISCOMs getting subsidy has increased
6
A Market-backed Model for AGDSM
Rules of public procurement followed
Active engagement of all stakeholders
Extensive groundwork – studies, information – reduce perceived project risks
A market-backed model developed for an Agriculture Demand Side Management
Mark
et b
ase
d
appro
ach
Process adopted
Win
-win
sit
uat
ion
Innovation
Farmers - get new efficient pump, after-sales services, good quality power & required amount of water
DISCOM – energy savings with greater opportunity cost
ESCO – profit from saving energy, payback is less than 5 years
Project based on commercial principles
Long term horizon – no ‘snap back’ effect
Project risks shared among stakeholders and ESCO
7
A Market-backed Model for AGDSM
Innovation – Key stakeholders Roles and Responsibility
DISCOM
• Up gradation and maintenance of Electrical Network suitable for efficient pumps and Metering
• Support to ESCO in building relationship with farmers
•Timely payment to ESCO for energy saving
• All Approvals from Regulator & State Govt.
•Feedback from farmers
ESCO
• Financing, Planning, procurement, replacement and maintenance, of pumps.
• Water side interventions
•Capacity Building of farmers
•Obtaining farmers acceptance
Farmers A free new branded energy efficient
pump sets and better O&M
Public Private Partnership
8
A Market-backed Model for AGDSM
Innovation-Tested at Site
Site Profile
Location : Doddaballapur (BESCOM)
70 KM from Bangalore, India
Geographical area : 11,000 Acres
No. of villages/population : 34/17,000
% net sown area : 75%
% irrigated area : 16%
Major crops : Mulberry & Grapes
Depth of ground water : 400-750 ft.
No. of feeders/pump-sets : 4/604
Typical pump sets capacity : 10-15 HP
9
A Market-backed Model for AGDSM
Innovation- Test Implementation Overview
Electrical Network
Data Bid Process & Selection of
ESCO
Baseline Project
Execution
• Pump replacement
• Monitoring & evaluation protocols
• Governing structure
• Keeping stakeholders informed
• Consumption before pump replacement
• Ag & Non-Ag Load
• Supply hours
• Pump running hours
• Single phasing
• Acceptance by stakeholders
• Draft RFP and marketing• Pre NIT• Pre- bid meeting• Site visit • Bid evaluation • Negotiation and award
• Data collection• Mining• Presentation• Preparing business model
• HVDS• Capacitor Banks Electronic meters
•Separate agriculture feeders
Sa
ving
s
Capacity Building of Farmers
Project Monitoring
10
A Market-backed Model for AGDSM
Innovation-Salient Features of the Contract (ESCO and DISCOM)
Sr.No
Particulars Remarks
1 Contract Term 10 years from 1st April 2011. Contract was signed in July 2009
2 Area is ring faced Number of pumps are ring fenced.
3 Ownership of Pump Co-ownership between farmer and ESCO through a written agreement.
3 Energy Saving Payment Mechanism
Within 15 days of invoice. ESCROW account
4 Base Line True up Mechanism Number of hours of 3 phase supply availability. Number of hours to be determined from downloaded data.
5 O&M of pumps during the 10 years period.
O&M office and call centre in the area. Price list to be decided bythe committee involving farmers. Within 72 hours otherwise penalty.
6 Grievance Handling Procedure (Pump and electrical)
A procedure with three tier mechanism for satisfactory resolution of the grievance.
7 Governing Structure A three tier governing structure to steer, monitor and resolveof operational issues.
8 CDM registration Mandatory. Hot country approval obtained
11
A Market-backed Model for AGDSM
Innovation-Metering and Verification Protocol
Findings Contracted Load of Pumps as per BESCOM Record = 2.6 MW Actual Connected Load of Pumps = 5.9 MW Average Capacity of a Pump as per BESCOM record = 4.3 KW Actual Average Capacity of a Pump = 9.7 KW
About 16% pumps in each month have zero consumption. Supply hours are more than pump running hours Farmers run pump as per their convenience and use capacitors to convert
single phase supply into three phase supply.
New Tools Developed Determination of IP set and non IP set Consumption separately One meter can help in determination of up to 4 different capacity pumps
consumption. Estimation of consumption for the period when meter is not working.
12
A Market-backed Model for AGDSM
Innovation-Pilot-Water-Side Interventions
Farmer awareness - Cropping Pattern & Cultivation Practices
Promotion of Drip Irrigation Construction of Field Bunds
Construction of Check Dam
13
A Market-backed Model for AGDSM
Project Parameters Option -1 Replace all (28,97,157)
Option -2 Replace Pumps > 10 HP ( 94,264 )
Option -3 Replace Pumps in Ag Dominated area Baramati, Nasik & Amravati (13,13,630)
Capital Cost (Rs Crores) 8279 416 4071
Debt Service (Rs Crores) 10022 503 4929
Energy Savings (Rs Crores) 26737 2565 14435
Project NPV (Rs Crores) 8437 1647 5334
Project IRR (%) 18 56 20
Additional savings in Generation capacity (Rs Crores)
3052 285 1635
Additional savings in Network capacity (Rs Crores)
2775 259 1486
CER Savings (Rs Crores) 2174 211 1165
Subsidy & Cross-Subsidy Avoided (Rs Crores)
30314 1287 15395
Scaling Innovation -Business Case Study Results with Maharashtra as Sample State (worst Case 100% debt with 15% Interest)
14
A Market-backed Model for AGDSM
Innovation- Pilot Status
Pumps replaced by energy efficient pumps
Pumps maintenance Call Centre and office established
Feedback from farmers is encouraging
Host country approval for CDM obtained
First energy saving invoice generated and paid by DISCOM to ESCO- 25% saving
A dedicated website for farmers developed (www.agripowerindia.com) and kiosk
installed for use of farmers
Holistic water side intervention plan is ready implementation to start soon.
Capacity building is continuous process. .
15
A Market-backed Model for AGDSM
Sensitizing Stakeholders About Innovation
Multi-stakeholder Meeting
Interactive session with DISCOM officials
Involving Farmers
Workshop with Pump Manufacturers
16
A Market-backed Model for AGDSM
Scaling Innovation at India Level will -
Save Electricity (19 Billion Units)
Save Network Capacity (83,557 ckt. Kms and 13,126 MVA)
Can help to bridge existing demand supply gap of electricity (by 60%)
Can improve the financial health of the power sector
Saves Subsidy annually (8000 Cr INR )
Cross-Subsidy – Boost Industrialization, Reduce cost
Reduce Carbon Emissions (14.8 Tera Tonnes per annum)
Save Water
Rural development
Arrest shift from rural to urban
Data from CEA Annual Report 2008
A conservative saving of only 20% has been assumed.
17
A Market-backed Model for AGDSM
A MARKET -BACKED MODEL for AgDSM
CAPACITYBUILDING
POLICYSITE ACTIVITIES
DOCUMENTATION
Scaling up of Innovation at India Level - Requires
18
A Market-backed Model for AGDSM
Coordinated Approach
Urban Development
Food Security
Finance
Energy
Agriculture
Rural Development
Surface Water
Ground Water
AGDSM
19
A Market-backed Model for AGDSM
Key Issues
Sr. No.
Issues Addressed Un-addressed For Large Program
1 Market based commercial approach
Public Private Partnership model in AGDSM projects is possible
more risks to be shared by DISCOM/Govt
2 Financing Financing from financial institutions like NABARD is possible
Guarantee for the loan ?
3 Baseline Data Methodology and tools established. Measurement and availability of data
4 Availability of NHEP Only 35 -40% pumps manufacturered today are NHEP (progressive pump manufacturer’s)
Increasing it to 100% will be a challenge. Market for BEE star rated pump is developing. BEE star rated NHEP > 15 HP still not available.
5 Power supply improvement
HVDS and capacitor banks Segregation of Ag feeder is very helpful.
6 Capacity Building Course material developed On going process
7 Pump Manufacturer Interested to sell energy efficient pumps Not interested to share the risk of saving.
8 Water-side Interventions
Pilot successfully executed M&V protocol to be established.
9 Calculation of energy savings
Truing-up mechanism for calculating energy savings.
Risk associated due to change in cropping pattern, availability of power supply etc.
10 Documentation Electrical Case Studies, RFP, Policy work, Documentary and Guide for Ag DSM under preparation
On going Process.