1

National Aeronautics and Space AdministrationNational Aeronautics and Space Administration

www.nasa.govwww.nasa.gov NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Software Engineering Division

Introduction of CCMC and SWRCIntroduction of CCMC and SWRC

Yihua ZhengNASA Goddard Space Flight Center

http://ccmc.gsfc.nasa,govhttp://swrc.gsfc.nasa,gov

21 -26 January 2013International Space Weather Winter School

1

2

OutlineOutline

Intro of CCMC and NASA Space Weather Research Center

Services and Capabilities ISWA Summary

3

“A US multi-agency partnership to enable, support, and perform the research and development for next generation space

science and space weather models”

CCMC: Community Coordinated Modeling Center

4

5

6

✦ Serves models to the research community ✦ Develops advanced on-line visualization and analysis tools✦ Highly utilized world-wide: > 6000 runs (~ 40 per week), 100s publications/presentations✦Tests models, facilitates improvements✦Develops innovative space weather prediction systems ready to be used by space weather forecasters and decision makers.

CCMC

7

Objectives: provide the latest space weather information to NASA’s robotic mission operators, as well as DoD partners.

NASA GSFC Space Weather Research CenterNASA GSFC Space Weather Research Center

Primary Objective: Provide the latest space weather information to NASA’s robotic mission operators and bring space weather knowledge to the public.

since March 2010

Space Weather Forecasting @ NASA/SWRCSpace Weather Forecasting @ NASA/SWRC

iSWASystem

NASA, Other,(near) Real-time Data

Streams

Protecting NASA’s Missions

Space Weather

Research Center

Tools for Citizen Scientists

PartneringSpace Weather Related

Research

Education & Training

Community Coordinated Modeling

Center

9

Support R2O Transition

Support R2O Transition

Facilitate Community Research

Facilitate Community Research

Knowledge to the Public

Knowledge to the Public

(in operation since 2000)CCMC

(in operation since 2010)

SWRC

Test Drive RT SWx Products

Test Drive RT SWx Products

Space Weather Services to NASA’s Robotic Missions

Community Coordinated Modeling Center

Space Weather

Research Center

ultimate test of accuracy and robustness

10

PFSS

WSA

Heliospheric Tomography

ENLIL Fok RC/RBE

CTIPe

SWMF

SC/IH/BATSRUS+RCM/GITM

AbbyNormal

10

RELeASE

PBMOD – ionospheric scintillation

WSA+Cone+ENLIL

ASAP

Ovation Prime

Leveraging CCMC Modeling CapabilitiesComprehensive Collection Of Models Running In Real-timeLeveraging CCMC Modeling CapabilitiesComprehensive Collection Of Models Running In Real-time

…enabling the creation of next generation prediction systems…enabling the creation of next generation prediction systems

CME & ambient solar wind forecasting (WSA+ENLIL+Cone, WSA+ENLIL, HELTOMO) Flare forecasting/monitoring (ASAP) Radiation (ions and e-) forecasting/now casting (RELeASE, RBE) 3-D States of the magnetosphere and ionosphere (SWMF, CTIPe, Fok RC, RBE) Scintillation, HF absorption, drag effects, Aurora, etc (PBMOD, AbbyNormal, CTIPe, OP). Forecasting GICs (SWMF and its coupling with other models).

CME & ambient solar wind forecasting (WSA+ENLIL+Cone, WSA+ENLIL, HELTOMO) Flare forecasting/monitoring (ASAP) Radiation (ions and e-) forecasting/now casting (RELeASE, RBE) 3-D States of the magnetosphere and ionosphere (SWMF, CTIPe, Fok RC, RBE) Scintillation, HF absorption, drag effects, Aurora, etc (PBMOD, AbbyNormal, CTIPe, OP). Forecasting GICs (SWMF and its coupling with other models).

• Monitor and analyze space environment (~16 h/day) using innovative tools (web-based, smartphone apps, +).

• Daily logs and Database of space weather events. Watch for interesting/unusual features.

• Sending out timely space weather notifications and forecasts of adverse conditions throughout the solar system to NASA mission operators & involved personnel.

6

SWRC Activities ISWRC Activities I

• Weekly space weather reports and event summaries. • Assistance in spacecraft anomaly resolution. • Material for SWRC website and social media • Daily 15 min tag-ups.

7

SWRC Activities IISWRC Activities II

13

SWRC Youtube videos

• http://www.youtube.com/user/NASASpaceWeather

Space Weather Event Logging SystemSpace Weather Event Logging System

• Forecasters log space weather events and activities

• Allow events/activity chains, establish cause and effect relationships

• Multi user/forecaster system designed to promote community involvement

• Entry point for initiating alerts, cataloging events

• Knowledge management system for human generated logs, analysis

ReporReportsts

SWx SWx EventEvent

ss

SWx SWx ActivitiActiviti

esesEvenEven

t t ChaiChainsns

Space Space WeatherWeather

Event Logging Event Logging SystemSystem

iSWAiSWA

emailemail

websitewebsite

twittertwitter

FacebookFacebook

15

Innovative Dissemination: iSWAInnovative Dissemination: iSWA

ISWA has ~300 products including modeling results and comprehensive sets of observational data.

Web-based. User configurable. Available world-wide.One-stop shop for state-of-the-art information!

http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov

Web-based. User configurable. Available world-wide.One-stop shop for state-of-the-art information!

http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov

16

Configurable LayoutsConfigurable Layouts

17

18

iSWA enables tracking space weather events in interplanetary space (throughout the solar system) and analyzing their expected impacts

iSWA enables tracking space weather events in interplanetary space (throughout the solar system) and analyzing their expected impacts

iSWA

One iSWA layout for the 12 July 2012 space weather event

This web link provides a dynamic (and rather comprehensive) view of this solar event

http://bit.ly/July12_2012

19

Forecasting Earth-Directed CME and its impact

the 12 July 2012 solar eruption

Forecasting Earth-Directed CME and its impact

the 12 July 2012 solar eruption

a minor radiation storm (SEP)But a major geomagnetic storm

20

Modeling of the 12 July 2012 CMEModeling of the 12 July 2012 CME

QuickTime™ and aGIF decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

V=1400 km/s, associated with an X1.4 class solar flare

21

Earth’s Response to the CME’s ArrivalEarth’s Response to the CME’s Arrival

The CME seen by STEREO A

Resulting in a Kp = 7- on a scale from 0 – 9, Kp: a measure of geomagnetic disturbances

QuickTime™ and aGIF decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

22

2 July 2012 CME heading towards STEREO B

2 July 2012 CME heading towards STEREO B

QuickTime™ and aGIF decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

History of the same active region

23

History of the Active RegionCME Arrival at STEREO B

History of the Active RegionCME Arrival at STEREO B

24

High spatial/temporal res runs can be done

through CCMC run-on-request

High spatial/temporal res runs can be done

through CCMC run-on-request

The above results are from our real-time runs in supporting SWRC functions

25

Students’ OpportunitesStudents’ Opportunites

• Research projects using CCMC/SWRC capabilities.• run-on-request services• database of interesting space weather events• CCMC Student Research Contest winners (spring

semester).• Emily Hyatt, Embry-Riddle (talk at GEM workshop).• Corinna Gressl, Institude of Physics in Gratz (presentation at

SHINE).

• Space Weather REDI Summer Camp (June 3 - 14, 2013)• An intense 2-week training camp including teaching

basic space weather knowledge and how SWRC does SWx operations

26

Solar-Helio ModelsSolar-Helio Models

27

SummarySummary

CCMC/SWRC: valuable tools/resources for research, education and space weather needs

• Suggestions on further improvement are always welcome

28

QuickTime™ and aGIF decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

ENLILENLIL

29