1 smu emis 7364 ntu to-570-n more control charts material updated: 3/24/04 statistical quality...

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1 SMU EMIS 7364 NTU TO-570-N More Control Charts Material Updated: 3/24/04 Statistical Quality Control Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow

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3 Operating Characteristic (OC) Function for the x – Chart (continued)

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Page 1: 1 SMU EMIS 7364 NTU TO-570-N More Control Charts Material Updated: 3/24/04 Statistical Quality Control Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow

1

SMUEMIS 7364

NTUTO-570-N

More Control Charts Material Updated: 3/24/04

Statistical Quality ControlDr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow

Page 2: 1 SMU EMIS 7364 NTU TO-570-N More Control Charts Material Updated: 3/24/04 Statistical Quality Control Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow

2

Operating Characteristic (OC) Function for the x - Chart

• The OC curve describes the ability of the x-chart to detect shifts in process quality.

• For an x-chart with known & constant mean shifts from in-control value, 0 to another value 1, where

1 = 0 + K

Page 3: 1 SMU EMIS 7364 NTU TO-570-N More Control Charts Material Updated: 3/24/04 Statistical Quality Control Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow

3

Operating Characteristic (OC) Function for the x – Chart (continued)

μβμOC

σKσμLσnμΦ

σKσμLσnμΦ

Kσμ-LCLΦ

Kσμ-UCLΦ

Kσμμμ|UCLXLCLPμ)|sample subsequent

first on theshift detectingP(not

00

00

00

01

n

n

Page 4: 1 SMU EMIS 7364 NTU TO-570-N More Control Charts Material Updated: 3/24/04 Statistical Quality Control Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow

4

Operating Characteristic (OC) Function for the x – Chart (continued)

where

andL is usually 3, the three-sigma limits

dzey 2zy 2

2π1Φ

,nkLΦnkLΦ

Page 5: 1 SMU EMIS 7364 NTU TO-570-N More Control Charts Material Updated: 3/24/04 Statistical Quality Control Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow

5

Example

If n=5 & L=3, determine & plot the OC function vs K, where 1= 0 + K.

Page 6: 1 SMU EMIS 7364 NTU TO-570-N More Control Charts Material Updated: 3/24/04 Statistical Quality Control Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow

6

Example - Solution

KβKOC 53Φ53Φ

ΦΦ

kk

nkLnkL

k b

-3.0 0.000104397-2.5 0.00479646-2.0 0.070492119-1.5 0.361631295-1.0 0.777546112-0.5 0.9700606330.0 0.9973000660.5 0.9700606331.0 0.7775461121.5 0.3616312952.0 0.0704921192.5 0.004796463.0 0.000104397

-0.2

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

-4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0

Page 7: 1 SMU EMIS 7364 NTU TO-570-N More Control Charts Material Updated: 3/24/04 Statistical Quality Control Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow

7

OC Function of the Fraction Nonconforming Control Chart

pβpOC

nLCLFnUCLF

p1pdn

p1pdn

p|nLCLDPp|nUCLDPp|LCLp̂Pp|UCLp̂P

p)|control lstatisticain is process a that hypothesis thegP(acceptin

nLCL

0d

dndnUCL

0d

dnd

Page 8: 1 SMU EMIS 7364 NTU TO-570-N More Control Charts Material Updated: 3/24/04 Statistical Quality Control Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow

8

OC Function of the Fraction Nonconforming Control Chart

Where

[nUCL] denotes the largest integer nUCLand <nLCL> denotes the smallest integer nLCL

Note: The OC curve provides a measure of the sensitivity of the control chart – i.e., its ability to detect a shift in the process fraction nonconforming from the nominal value p to some other value p.

Page 9: 1 SMU EMIS 7364 NTU TO-570-N More Control Charts Material Updated: 3/24/04 Statistical Quality Control Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow

9

Example

For a fraction nonconforming control chart with parameters

n = 50,LCL = 0.0303,

andUCL = 0.3697,

Determine & plot the OC curve.

Page 10: 1 SMU EMIS 7364 NTU TO-570-N More Control Charts Material Updated: 3/24/04 Statistical Quality Control Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow

10

Example - Solution

pβpOC p|52.1DPp|49.81DP

p|0.030350DPp|0.369750DP

p P(D<=18|p) P(D<=1|p) P(D<=18|p) - P(D<=1|p)0.01 1.0000 0.9106 0.08940.03 1.0000 0.5553 0.44470.05 1.0000 0.2794 0.72060.10 1.0000 0.0338 0.96620.15 0.9999 0.0291 0.97080.20 0.9975 0.0002 0.99730.25 0.9713 0.0001 0.97120.30 0.8594 0.0000 0.85940.35 0.6216 0.0000 0.62160.40 0.3356 0.0000 0.33560.45 0.1273 0.0000 0.12730.50 0.0325 0.0000 0.03250.55 0.0053 0.0000 0.0053

Page 11: 1 SMU EMIS 7364 NTU TO-570-N More Control Charts Material Updated: 3/24/04 Statistical Quality Control Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow

11

Example - Solution

-0.2

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

p

OC(p)

Page 12: 1 SMU EMIS 7364 NTU TO-570-N More Control Charts Material Updated: 3/24/04 Statistical Quality Control Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow

12

OC Function for c-charts and u-charts

• For the c-chart cβcOC

LCLFUCLF!!

c|LCLXPc|UCLXPc)|control lstatisticain is process a

that hypothesis thegP(acceptin

LCL

0d

UCL

0d

xce

xce xcxc

Page 13: 1 SMU EMIS 7364 NTU TO-570-N More Control Charts Material Updated: 3/24/04 Statistical Quality Control Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow

13

OC Function for c-charts and u-charts

• For the u-chart uβuOC

nLCL xwhere!x

u|nLCLXPu|nUCLXPu)|control lstatisticain is process a

that hypothesis thegP(acceptin

nUCL

0d

x

nu nue

Page 14: 1 SMU EMIS 7364 NTU TO-570-N More Control Charts Material Updated: 3/24/04 Statistical Quality Control Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow

14

Example

Determine & plot the OC function for a u-chart with parameter.

LCL = 6.48,and

UCL = 32.22.

Page 15: 1 SMU EMIS 7364 NTU TO-570-N More Control Charts Material Updated: 3/24/04 Statistical Quality Control Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow

15

Example - Solution

uβuOC

nUCL

0d !x

u|UCLxUCLPu|UCLcPu|UCLcP

u|UCLxPu|UCLxP

xnu nue

nnnn

u P(D<=33|c) P(D<=6|c) P(D<=33|c) - P(D<=6|c)0.01 1.000 0.999 0.0010.03 1.000 0.996 0.0040.05 1.000 0.762 0.2380.10 1.000 0.450 0.5500.15 1.000 0.220 0.7800.20 0.999 0.008 0.9910.25 0.997 0.000 0.9970.30 0.950 0.000 0.9500.35 0.744 0.000 0.7440.40 0.546 0.000 0.5460.45 0.410 0.000 0.4100.50 0.151 0.000 0.1510.55 0.038 0.000 0.038

Page 16: 1 SMU EMIS 7364 NTU TO-570-N More Control Charts Material Updated: 3/24/04 Statistical Quality Control Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow

16

-0.2

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

Example - Solution

u

OC(u)

Page 17: 1 SMU EMIS 7364 NTU TO-570-N More Control Charts Material Updated: 3/24/04 Statistical Quality Control Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow

17

Average Run Length for x-Charts

• Performance of Control Charts can be characterized by their run length distribution.

• Run Length (RL) of a control chart is defined to be the number of samples until the process characteristic exceeds the control limits for the first time.

• Run Length, RL, is a random variable and therefore has a probability distribution

Page 18: 1 SMU EMIS 7364 NTU TO-570-N More Control Charts Material Updated: 3/24/04 Statistical Quality Control Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow

18

Average Run Length for x-Charts

Let p = P(x falls outside control limits)

Then

P(RL = 1) = P(x1 falls outside CL)=pP(RL = 2) = P(x1 falls inside CL & x2 falls outside of CL)

= (1-p)pP(RL = 3) = P(x1, x2 fall inside CL & x3 falls outside of CL)

= (1-p)(1-p)p

P(RL = i) = P(x1, x2, … xi-1 fall inside CL & xi falls outside of CL)

= (1-p)i-1p

Page 19: 1 SMU EMIS 7364 NTU TO-570-N More Control Charts Material Updated: 3/24/04 Statistical Quality Control Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow

19

Average Run Length for x-Charts

Therefore, the probability mass function of RL is

The mean or expected value of RL is kRLP 1,2,...Kfor pp1 1K

RLEμ

1a

1a

32

321

1K

1K

p1ap

...p-14p-13p-121p

...p-14pp-13pp-12pp

pp1K

Page 20: 1 SMU EMIS 7364 NTU TO-570-N More Control Charts Material Updated: 3/24/04 Statistical Quality Control Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow

20

Average Run Length for x-Charts

• The Average Run Length, ARL, indicates the number of samples needed, on the average before x will exceed the control chart limits.

p1

p-1-11p 2

Page 21: 1 SMU EMIS 7364 NTU TO-570-N More Control Charts Material Updated: 3/24/04 Statistical Quality Control Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow

21

Probability of Out-Of-Control Signal and ARL

• Process in control with mean 0

• p = 1 – P(LCL x UCL) = 0.0027

• ARL

i.e., one the average we would expect 1 out-of-control signal out of 370 samples.

,3700.0027

1p1

Page 22: 1 SMU EMIS 7364 NTU TO-570-N More Control Charts Material Updated: 3/24/04 Statistical Quality Control Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow

22

Probability of Out-Of-Control Signal and ARL

• Process in control with mean 10+with constant

• What happens if the process goes out of control?

• How long does it take until the control charts detects the shift?

• Probability of detecting shift

n

xn

3μ3μP1δp 00

Page 23: 1 SMU EMIS 7364 NTU TO-570-N More Control Charts Material Updated: 3/24/04 Statistical Quality Control Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow

23

Probability of Out-Of-Control Signal and ARL

nδ3Pnδ3P

nδ3nδ3P1

δσμn

σ3μZ

δσμn

σ3μP1

0000

ZZ

Z

Page 24: 1 SMU EMIS 7364 NTU TO-570-N More Control Charts Material Updated: 3/24/04 Statistical Quality Control Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow

24

Example

For example, if n = 5, and = 1,

and

2225.07775.00000.01

764.01236.553P53P

ZZ 1p

495.40.2225

11p

1

ARL