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1 The Airplane as a Collective Invention Peter B. Meyer U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics But nothing here represents official findings or policy. sia-Pacific and Business History Conference HS ANZ risbane, Feb. 16, 2006

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Page 1: 1 The Airplane as a Collective Invention Peter B. Meyer U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics But nothing here represents official findings or policy. Asia-Pacific

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The Airplane as a Collective Invention

Peter B. Meyer U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsBut nothing here represents official findings or policy.

Asia-Pacific and Business History ConferenceEHS ANZBrisbane, Feb. 16, 2006

Page 2: 1 The Airplane as a Collective Invention Peter B. Meyer U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics But nothing here represents official findings or policy. Asia-Pacific

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Introduction

Hobbyists have developed important technology. Examples: open source software (Linux; email; Web servers/browsers) personal computers (Homebrew Club of hobbyists, circa 1975) airplanes – a clearly documented case

These individuals shared information in networks.Firms and industries then arose.How to model the individuals and explain the

network? What are the stylized facts such a model might

predict? What assumptions in a model are needed? How would an industry start in the model?

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Agenda in this presentation

Describe the network of proto-airplane developers

Octave Chanute, his book, and his correspondence

Example experimenters: Lilienthal, Hargrove, Langley, and the

Wrights

Possible stylized facts Possible assumptions for model of

individuals

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Experimenters and Octave Chanute

Octave Chanute takes interest in flying machines Wealthy former engineer in Chicago Ran experiments of his own on gliders Described previous work in 1894 book Progress in Flying

Machines. discusses a hundred individuals, from many countries,

professions and many experiments, devices, theories helps define “flying machines” work, focused on kites book supports network of information and interested

people Chanute corresponded actively with many experimenters.Chanute preferred that everyone’s findings be open.

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What are they making?Aeronautical journals appear in 1870s and 1880s. Experimenters make diverse choices.Available metaphors:

Balloons are light, ascends without power Meteorological balloons, hot-air, helium-filled balloons

Rockets are high-powered, rigid, hard to control Kites and gliders (light; fixed wings generating

lift) For lift (upward force), requires speed. Propulsion?

Flapping wings? Birds are light and have big wings Propellers? Jets?

Power? muscles, steam engines, internal combustion engines, in models, wound up rubber bands

Hard to control

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Example: Clement Ader’s Eole

It traveled 50 meters in uncontrolled flight in 1891

Ader and others foresaw military implications. He would not patent outside France because it

would expose details. Chanute criticized this choice.

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Lilienthal’s wings and gliders

German engineer Otto Lilienthal studied birds and lift shapes in wind

20 years of experiments, often with brother Gustav

Wrote book Birdflight as the Basis of Aviation.

Made hang gliders Flew 2000+ times Became famous and an

inspirational figure

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Hargrave’s wings, kites, and engines

Retired in Sydney Ran many creative diverse experiments starting in

1884 Drawn to flapping-wings designs Also made innovative engines Box kites showed layered wings were stable and had lift

Often made small models or designs without building.

Devices often did not work right the first time but he moved on to new inspirations.

Did not patent. Published hundreds of findings Chanute: “If there be one man . . . . who deserves to

succeed in flying through the air” – it is Hargrave.

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Samuel Langley's technology choices

Professor in Pittsburgh, then Director of Smithsonian Institution in DC

His 1896 powered gliders went over half a mileDecides that for safety:• aircraft must be intrinsically stable, and• pilot must sit up craft must be rigid and strong innovatively, makes strong frame from steel

tubing much heavier than a glider; needs strong

engine for liftSo he gets the best engine made, to that time, for

its weight. (Balzer-Manly engine)

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Langley’s aerodrome

Resulting aircraft is heavy, expensive, housed with difficulty Steel materials Large wings Powerful engine Cost ~$50,000

Hard landings; lands on water => can't try twice easily

Operator is not too useful, like rocket, unlike glider

Langley's demonstrations are big, sometimes public

In key demonstrations in Oct & Dec 1903 it crashes early

Editorials attack Embarrassed trustees asked him to stop research But it was designed like a modern passenger jet

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Wilbur and Orville Wright

No college degrees No interest in engineering/academic

careers Ran bicycle shop in Dayton, Ohio, US Starting in 1899 read from Langley and

Chanute Corresponded actively with Chanute Good tool makers and users. Have a

workshop. Generally crafted each piece. Collaborated intensely.

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Wrights' technology choices

Focused on wing shape, propellers, and control mechanism

Built craft as kites, then gliders Did not attach an engine until 1903. Materials light & cheap, wood &

canvas pilot lays flat less drag intrinsically unstable, like a bicycle Pilot controlled that by hip

movements which pulled wires to warp (twist) wing tips to turn glider

This invented piloting skill had no future

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Wrights’ wings and propellers

Wrights’ wind tunnel carefully tested to make air flow smooth

Their balance device measured lift precisely They tested many wings systematically and came to an

ideal design for their craft.

What’s a propeller for an aircraft? Standard idea: like a water propeller, it would pushes air

back. Having studied wings, Wrights’ experiment with propellers

that have a cross section like a wing, with lift in forward direction

This produces 50% more pulling power from a given engine!

This idea lasts

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This evidence is selected

Many other experimenters and publishers would be worth mentioning if time permitted:

Alphonse Penaud Horatio Phillips Hiram Maxim James Means Alberto Santos-Dumont Richard Pearse Many others

Paper has the beginnings of a list of what was available in the public domain.

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Two tentative lessonsInventors and experiments were highly idiosyncractic.1. Goals and “progress” were subjective.

Most of these early aircraft developers shared designs and information, including Langely and the Wrights.

Chanute, Hargrove, and others encouraged it.

At a few points there was tension:- Chanute criticizes Ader for keeping secrets- Langley keeps secret wing design after 1901. Chanute

shares it anyway.- Wrights stop sharing as much in late 1902

2. Each time, the experimenters thought they’d made some kind of breakthrough.

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Possible assumptions for micro model

These individuals (“tinkerers”) are special: Assume there are tinkerers with exogenous motivation. No clear market product is identifiable, so R&D

doesn’t seem justified: Assume total technological uncertainty. Then tinkerers would agree to share information,

specialize, and coordinate.

Supporting the information network is a specialty, e.g. of Chanute.

Technological moderators help the process along.

If a tinkerer has a certain insight, past the technological uncertainty

He may quit the network to do it, make a product or start a firm.

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Technology advance through collective invention

Quantity

Product value per unit of cost

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Industry birth

Quantity

Product value per unit of cost

Players who worked together to create a valuable new technology have different incentives once the product has value in a market. The same incentive to mass-produce makes them competitors. The hobbyist activity has then become an industry.

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Conclusion

Airplane case makes plain certain aspects of these individuals and networks.

It seems relevant to personal computer hobbyists open source software projects

A model of this kind could be useful to describe or account for

engineering “skunkworks” in organizations scientific advances differences between societies in speed of

technology development

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Motivation of the Experimenters: Why Would Individuals Do This?

To start manufacturing company To get revenues from patented technology To establish oneself professionally

(Lerner and Tirole, 2002) To earn research funding (Langley, from

War and Smithsonian) To earn respect for their contribution To win a competition To grapple with interesting problems or

solve them

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Conclusion Why would individuals do this? Start manufacturing company Get revenues from patent Get hired as engineer Lerner and Tirole (2002, and repeatedly) Research funding (Langley, from War dept and Smithsonian) Prestige of accomplishment in contributing To grapple with interesting problems. Or, the concept is so cool! They want the problem solved -- that is, they want to live in a world in which they

can fly through the air (that is, to change their world, not their place in it) "Our experiments have been conducted entirely at our own expense. At the

beginning we had no thought of recovering what we were expending, which was not great . . ." Wrights, How We Invented the Airplane, [1953] p. 87

"I am an enthusiast, but not a crank in the sense that I have some pet theories as to the construction of a flying machine. I wish to avail myself of all that is already known and then if possible add my mite to help on the future worker who will attain final success."

-- Wilbur Wright, 1899 letter to Smithsonian Institution Other airplane; computer; open source people express this thought. Tentative formal assumption: Relevant individuals ("players") have utility functions

that support this activity. - tentatively treat motivation of innovators as exogenous - testable implications of different utility functions? psychic joy of experimenting; or

research salary; or imagined future payoff.

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Secrecy? Not usually Books by Lilienthal (1889) and Chanute (1894) Journal periodicals in France, Britain, US Wrights collected info from Smithsonian and Weather Bureau (location) Chanute actively corresponds with experimenters, researchers

technology moderator Wilbur’s speech to Society of Western Engineers, 1901 Journal publications in 1901 in England and Germany Scientific American article about them in 1902. Visit of Spratt and Herring on tip back problem Langley gets secretive about his wing design Wrights get secretive starting late 1902 Modeling ideas: Sharing institution exists already Innovator chooses sharing vs. secrecy Players may be open (prestige; joy of sharing; desire for progress) Public pool of information is productive But if their device approaches some threshold (technical success or profitability), they close their

connections to the network. (Homebrew and Apple example) This creates an industry. Then competition stimulates progress.

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1866British engineers founded Aeronautical Society of

Great Britain

Crouch, p. 30; Anderson p. 4

1866F.H. Wenham

highlight superiority of long narrow wings over short wide ones in generating lift (though this is sometimes forgotten, later)

Anderson, p. 45

1868 Britainpublication of Annual Reports of Aeronautical Society starts

Crouch, p. 31

1868 Moy scale effects in aerodynamics established

Anderson, p. 46

1869 Parisbeginning of publication of L'Aeronaut

Crouch, p. 31

1870-1871

F.H.Wenham and John Browning developed wind tunnel

Crouch, p. 31

History

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1871 Wenham

found that the center of pressure (center of lift) tended to be near the leading edge of a wing -- a fact sometimes forgotten, later

Anderson, p. ??

1871Alphonse Penaud

upward sloping tail, for stability; center of pressure . . . .; understood it; had theory, created standard.

Anderson, pp. 35-37

1871du Temple powered hop in France

1875Octave Chanute

discovers, on trip to Europe, that European engineers treat airplane as possible

Crouch, p. 26

1876

Penaud

cambered wing 1876. dihedral angle 2 degrees. Was on track to further success, but committed suicide

P 37 Anderson

1883Osborne Reynolds

analysis of "laminar" (smooth) versus turbulent air flows

Anderson, p. 44

1884Horatio Phillips Analysis of wing shapes

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1884Mozhaiski powered hop. Russia.

1888 Francebeginning of publication of the Revue de l'Aeronautique

Crouch, p. 31

1889 Lilienthalpublished Birdflight as the Basis of Aviation

1890Clement Ader

Piloted, steam-engine-powered airplane, the Eole; no controls; wings moved like a bat's

Anderson, p. 51

1894 Jan

ChanutePublication of Progress in Flying Machines

Stoff, p. iv

1894Hiram Maxim Flying machine

Anderson, p. 4

1896Chanute & Herring adapted Pratt truss to gliders

Stoff, , p. iv

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1896Chanute/Herring two-surface, double decker wings

Jakab,47;54-58

1896Samuel Langley

steam-powered unpiloted one minute flight over Potomac

Anderson, p.5

1897Arnot / Herring Indiana gliders

Crouch, p. 210

1898Langley and others

internal combustion gasoline engine determined to be superior to steam enginesfor lightweight power

Anderson, p. 143

1899 Wrightswing warping for control of rolling motion

Jakab, p. 54

1900 Mar

Wrightswilbur wright contacts chanute; ww's already studied Progress

Stoff, p. vi

1901 Oct

Wrightscalculation of smeaton coefficientir wind tunnel, and wing tests, and lilienthal calculations

Jakab, circa p. 130

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ConclusionCollective Invention Model:Individuals are motivated by utility functions Sometimes unknown reasons for joining the network Discoveries are random

Key choice – share their findings or not?Octave Chanute and Samuel Langley –co-inventors of the Wright airplane or not?

How much of the invention X is due to its inventor?

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Secrecy: When Does it Start? Books by Lilienthal (1889) and Chanute

(1894) Journal periodicals in France, Britain, US Wrights collected info from Smithsonian and

Weather Bureau (location) Chanute actively corresponds with

experimenters, researchers Wilbur’s speech to Society of Western Engineers,

1901 Publications in 1901 Visit of Spratt and Herring on tip back

problemLangley gets secretive about his wing designWrights get secretive starting late 1902

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1901 Balzer & Manly

high powered light engine (not known or available to Wrights)

Anderson, p 144

1903 May

Wrights

Wrights blade-element propeller (50% more efficient than contemporaries; apparently highest recorded to that time).

Anderson, p. 141

1903 Dec

Langley / Manly

Public demonstration of aerodrome; crashes before full flight

1903 Dec

Wrightsself-powered sustained flight;

takeoff and landing at same level

1904 Wrightstesting grounds on Huffman

Prarie

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End of Information Sharing If the activity succeeds, it becomes an

industry – competitive “commercial production and sale of goods”

The network loses importance, shrinks, breaks up Examples: Wrights in late 1902 clamp down; disagree

with Chanute. Langley's wings Later: Apple computer

Model assumption: Network will self-destruct if there is enough success

Then industry players have private intellectual capital and don't share R&D.

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Two dimensions of new-technology exploration

Quantity

Product value per unit of cost

A player’s technology of production can be characterized by a location. With time the player may invent or adopt technologies producing higher-valued quality per unit of cost, or producing more copies of the same product.

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Wrights’ Propeller

Propeller: “a mechanical device that rotates to

push against air or water A machine for propelling an aircraft or

boat, consisting of a power-driven shaft with radiating blades that are placed so as to thrust air or water in a desired direction when spinning.”

Wrights invented propellers that delivered 50% more pulling power from a given engine!