1 the anatomy of a turnaround a seminar prepared by fti consulting, inc. and the altma group for the...
TRANSCRIPT
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The Anatomy of a Turnaround
A Seminar prepared by FTI Consulting, Inc. and the ALTMA Group for the
World Bank ConferenceCorporate Restructuring: International Best Practices
March 24, 2004
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Agenda
I. IntroductionII. Stages of Business DeclineIII. Case Study: LaRoche Industries
• Primary Conditions Leading to InsolvencyIV. Turnaround OptionsV. Stages of the Turnaround Process VI. Case Study: LaRoche Industries
• Turnaround Options and Plan FormulationVII. Role of ProfessionalsVIII. Appendices
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Presenters
• Randall S. Eisenberg, FTI Consulting, Inc.
• Elliot Fuhr, FTI Consulting, Inc.
• Sean A. Gumbs, FTI Consulting, Inc.
• Peter L. Tourtellot, Anderson Bauman Tourtellot Vos & Co.
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Introduction
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Introduction
• High visibility corporate failures in the United States and other countries have heightened awareness of the corporate restructuring field. While these particular companies may be news-worthy, the reality is that business failures of all sizes occur in all regions of the world with significant impacts on local and global economies.
• The foundational issue affecting how these business failures are dealt with is the country-specific willingness to rehabilitate distressed companies versus liquidate them. Assuming this willingness, countries must have in place (or develop):
– Mechanisms to support direct restructuring negotiations with major creditors (Out-of-court workouts); and
– A legal / government structure to provide oversight for in-court restructurings
• The are a host of critical policy issues to be considered during business rehabilitation, including:– Local regulations regarding the displacement of employees (an unfortunate potential
outcome)– Local regulations regarding discharge of debt via restructuring– Local regulations regarding payment of government obligations (e.g., taxes)
• This seminar will provide participants with frameworks for identifying the stages of business decline and the stages of the turnaround process. The goal is to provide the tools to assist both companies and their creditors to institute corrective measures earlier and to avoid the high costs of insolvency.
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Stages of Business Decline
Chart of the Causes of Business Failure
Source: Association of Insolvency and Restructuring Advisors
Sheer bad luck1%
Internally generated problems within
management’s control52%
External factors beyond management’s control8%
Real balance of external and internal factors24%
Internal problems triggered by external factors15%
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Infancy Stage – Infancy Stage – Stagnation (Stage 1)Stagnation (Stage 1)
Early Stage – Underperforming Early Stage – Underperforming (Stage 2)(Stage 2)
Late Stage – Crisis Late Stage – Crisis (Stage 4)(Stage 4)
Expected PerformanceExpected Performance
Midstage - Significant Midstage - Significant Performance Impairment Performance Impairment
(Stage 3)(Stage 3)
The Corporate Demise Curve
Stages of Business Decline
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• Operating margins and other key ratios falling behind industry averages
• Period-over-period revenues flat or declining
• Increased inventory write-downs
• Lack of (or misguided) product investment
• Problems with integration of acquisitions
Stages of Business Decline
Infancy Stage – Stagnation (Stage 1)
Changes in the environment (e.g., economic, competitive or regulatory) combined with internal shortcomings (e.g., poor, fraudulent or unbalanced management) can cause a
company’s problems to incubate during this stage.
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• Significant declines in revenue and/or EBITDA as variable costs grow and fixed costs remain constant
• Assets are not sufficiently liquid
• Underutilization of fixed assets
• Needed capital is tied up in receivables and inventories
• Management attention is diverted from traditional functions due to cash shortage
Stages of Business Decline
Early Stage – Underperforming (Stage 2)
This is the time to keep a grass fire from turning into a forest blaze…but management may not be willing to accept that problems exist or appreciate the severity of these
problems.
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• Credit and merchandise shortages occur
• Cash and credit difficulties become apparent to both insiders and the general business community
– Creditors unwilling to advance further credit– Suppliers may refuse to ship altogether
• Increased risk of loan covenant defaults
• Potential loss of key customers and/or suppliers
• Potential loss of key employees
Stages of Business Decline
Midstage – Significant Performance Impairment (Stage 3)
Without proper forecasting, a cash shortage may be the first time management acknowledges a problem. With insolvency looming, action must be taken immediately.
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• Company cannot pay obligations as they come due– Inability to service long-term debt
• Overall payables growth with delinquent payables becoming significant and unmanageable
• Actual or appearance of insolvency
• Public acknowledgement of business failure
Stages of Business Decline
Late Stage – Crisis (Stage 4)
In some countries, legal systems are not structured for a turnaround at the crisis stage, therefore a company’s only option is to liquidate.
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Potential Areas to Search for Warning Signs
StakeholdersAccounting/
Accounts Receivable
Management/Board of Directors
Late or Nonpayment of Obligations
Operating Trends
WarningWarningSignsSigns
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Stakeholders – Creditors, Lenders, Customers, Investors and Employees• Loss of financial backing• Loss of major supplier where special relationships existed, such as extended credit terms• Excessive negotiations regarding credit issues• Increased stock trading and/or declining stock price (public company)• Excessive staff turnover/loss of key employees• Increased vendor concerns cause management to spend more time preserving relationships
Management/Board of Directors• Loss of key officers and/or members of the Board of Directors• Ineffective leadership (i.e. lack of vision, rigidity among management)• Cash management becoming a primary activity at the expense of traditional management functions• Not capitalizing on potential synergies after mergers or acquisitions
Late or Nonpayment of Obligations• High percentage of payables over 90 days past due• Inability of the company to make timely deposits of trust funds such as employee withholding taxes and
pension plans• Inability to service long term debt• Vendor canceling terms and requiring cash on delivery• Difficulty meeting payroll• Line of credit at or near ceiling with no recent decreases• Frequent or continued extensions of credit
Potential Areas to Search for Warning Signs
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Operating Trends• Loss of major customer with no apparent redirection or operational changes by management• Increasing operating costs• Key operating ratios continue to decline• Decreasing or inadequate margins• Loss in market share/Increasing competition• Cash flow shortage• Unusual or extraordinary litigation and events not customarily encountered in the industry• Significant discrepancies between actual and projected results over the last three years
Accounting/Accounts Receivable• Default on payment by major customers• Creative accounting and beneficial adjustments to the books• Poor record keeping or inadequate financial records• No internal operating controls (i.e. lack of cash flow budgets or contingency plans)• Change in accounting firm• Major bad debt• Excessive receivables unpaid over 90 days• Lack of collection policy and lack of significant controls• Insufficient segregation of duties in the collections department
Potential Areas to Search for Warning Signs
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LaRoche IndustriesCompany History and Primary Conditions
Leading to Chapter 11 Filing
Case Study
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Background
• By 1999, LaRoche Industries, Inc. was an international diversified producer and distributor of inorganic and organic chemicals operating in three principal segments, including Nitrogen Products and Electrochemical Products both in the North American and European Markets.
• The Company operated eight plants including four Ammonium Nitrate plants, one Ammonia plant, one plant producing both fluorocarbon and Chlor-alkali products, and two Chlor-Alkali facilities in Europe.
• Also operated 23 national ammonia/AN distribution centers throughout the continental United States.
LaRoche Industries, Inc.
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1994 Establishment of Joint Venture with Avondale Ammonia
1995 Construction of Seneca, IL blasting grade ammonium nitrate facility
1997 / 1998 Expansion into Western Europe by purchasing a 50% joint venture interest in a Rhodia Chlor-Alkali operation in France ("ChlorAlp"), and by purchasing a Chlor-Alkali facility in Frankfurt from Hoechst Celanese
1998 March Initial downturn in ammonia and Chlor-Alkali prices
1998 November Company begins corporate reorganization efforts
1999 Purchase of the remaining 50% interest of ChlorAlp
1999 Refocus on core AN and Chlor-Alkali business including the sale of Aluminas business and related Joint Ventures, strategic review of options
1986 Founded by William LaRoche through a management buyout of U.S. Steel Corporation’s Nitrogens, mixed fertilizers, and retail business
1988 LaRoche acquires certain chemical production operations of Kaiser Aluminum and Chemical Corp in Gramercy, Louisiana
1990 Strategic capacity investments at Cherokee, Alabama AN facility
1990 Phase out of CFC, replace with HCFC
1986-19901986-1990 1996-19991996-19991991-19951991-1995
A Brief History….
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Products
• Ammonium Nitrate• UAN Solutions• Industrial Ammonia
Nitrogen ProductsNitrogen Products Electrochemical ProductsElectrochemical Products
Markets
• Fertilizers• Blasting Products• Industrial Products
US Chlor-Alkali Products
• Chlorine• Caustic Soda• Fluorocarbons
Markets
• Vinyls• Water Treatment• Chemicals• MDI/TDI• Titanium Dioxide
European Chlor-Alkali Products
• Chlorine • Caustic Soda• Chlorinated Methanes• Hydrochloric Acid• Calcium Chloride
Markets
• Pharmaceuticals • Agrochemicals• Water Treatment• Pulp and Paper• Detergents• Silicones, fluoropolymers
and solvents
Diversified Products and Markets
A closer look at the chemistry reveals a high dependence on natural gas for raw materials necessary to make end products.
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Corporate Headquarters
Manufacturing Facilities:Nitrogen Products
Industrial Ammonia Distribution CenterNitrogen Products Terminal
Chlor-Alkali ProductsChlorinated Methanes
Diversified Geographic Presence
LaRoche had several small manufacturing facilities acquired through a “roll-up” strategy.
GenevaCrystal City
Seneca
Cherokee
Gramercy
Fortier
Atlanta
Pont-de Claix
Frankfurt
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Sales over the five years prior to 2000 remained at relatively consistent or improving levels.
Yet, profitability slumped due to the increased costs of production and depressed pricing.
(1) Pro Forma for the divestiture of Aluminas and the purchase of the remaining 50% interest in ChlorAlp.
Notes:
Past Performance
$361.0
$386.9
$339.0 $342.6
$389.5 $398.6
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000PF
$46.4
$57.8
$35.0$30.5 $33.1
$17.3
$310
$320
$330
$340
$350
$360
$370
$380
$390
$400
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
Historical Sales EBITDA
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000PF
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Factors Contributing to Poor Performance
Catastrophic EventExplosion in July 1999 at Kaiser plant idled Gramercy electrochemical facility for six months resulting in accumulated loss on income and damages in excess of $16mm.
Capital SpendingAlthough strategic acquisitions were made, most were non-accretive to value. Maintenance capital expenditures were above normal due to the age of facilities.
Inappropriate OverheadOverhead levels in place for a large company with multiple layers of management.
High Debt / Interest BurdenHigh levels of debt due to the purchase of European operations. Cyclical nature of business does not promote even debt repayment strategy.
Increasing Costs of Raw Materials
Natural Gas, both the raw material and source of energy for Ammonia and Ammonium Nitrate products grew steadily from mid-1998, and increased dramatically in the first 5 months of 2000 immediately before filing.
Decreasing Prices for ProductsApproximately two years of depressed market prices for its domestic Nitrogen and Chlor-alkali products.
• Supply/Demand imbalances compounded by foreign imports
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Domestic prices for Nitrogen and Chlorine / Caustic Soda dropped to lower levels than in the previous profitable years. Hedging strategies were not sufficient to offset the sharp increase in natural gas prices.
1. Pricing Market Impact
Ammonium Nitrate Historical Pricing
150
175
200
225
250
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
$ pe
r ton
Ammonium NitrateAmmonium Nitrate
LaRoche Chlor-Alkali Historical Selling Price
0
100
200
300
400
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
$ pe
r ton
ChlorineChlorine
Caustic SodaCaustic Soda
ECUECU
A commodity business with little control over product pricing.
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– Natural Gas, a precursor for most of LaRoche’s products, experienced an unprecedented 4-fold increase in price in a matter of months directly after filing.
– Natural Gas contributed to 56-67% of unit cost for production of ammonia, while ammonia contributed to up to 79% of unit cost for various ammonium nitrate products.
– The Company was unable to hedge its risk against the rising costs due to liquidity reasons.
2. Natural Gas Market Impact
Natural Gas Prices Sold to Industrial Consumers1997-2001
Source: Natural Gas Monthly
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
Jan97
Jul97
Jan98
Jul98
Jan99
Jul99
Jan00
Jul00
Jan01
$ per ton
LaRoche was unable to pass along higher raw material prices to customers and found it difficult to compete with better capitalized, more efficient competitors.
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Debt increased due to two major factors:• Europe Plant acquisitions required a total of $75-$80 million from 1997 through 1999• Early debt retirement and new debt issues cost of $17 million in 1997
Debt (a) to EBITDA
Debt to Free Cash Flow
(b)Debt to Assets
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
Debt to Enterprise Value (c)
Agrium, Inc. 1.5x 3.2x 0.3x 4.0x 0.4x
Mississippi Chemical 6.0x 28.1x 0.3x 8.9x 0.7x
Geon Co. 1.2x 2.0x 0.2x 8.4x 0.2x
Georgia Gulf 2.6x 3.1x 0.7x 7.3x 0.4x
Olin Corp. 1.1x 1.1x 0.1x 4.1x 0.3x
Pioneer Cos, Inc. 7.1x 12.2x 0.8x 7.1x 1.0x
Average 3.3x 8.3x 0.4x 6.7x 0.5x
LaRoche (d) 9.7x n/a 0.7x 1.7x 1.7x
(a) Debt includes all interest-bearing debt obligations.
(b) Free cash flow is defined as EBITDA minus capital expenditures.
(c) Enterprise value is defined as debt plus market value of equity less cash.
(d) EBITDA ratios calculated on projected FY 2000 peformance.
Enterprise value based on Chase debt plus market value of notes.
Source: Bloomberg
As credit markets tightened, deleveraging through a sale of assets or refinancing became increasingly more difficult.
3. Debt Position
The message: Don’t take on debt unless you can pay it back.
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• Overhead levels were in place for a much larger company:− Legacy Issues – Due to the Company’s creation from ancillary parts of USX and Kaiser, there
were certain contract stipulations binding LaRoche which mirrored the pension and medical benefits plans of those legacy employers. LaRoche was burdened with high costs of labor.
• Certain investments and expenditures occurred which added little accretive value:− LaRoche Air and Filter Business - $14 million− Personnel Team Building Program - $4 million− Dividend Payments - $3 million− Stock Repurchase Program of approximately $25 million
• Capital spending was above normal:− Replacement of brine line for Gramercy operations - $12 million− Cherokee Plant expansion - $31 million. Expansion yielded little if any payback. Further,
LaRoche did not have a “look-back” procedure to monitor return on investment from capital projects.
• Explosion at Gramercy Plant site resulted in $16 million in damages and losses.− The thinly capitalized company could not overcome the lost revenue. Although LaRoche
ultimately did recover business interruption insurance, the time delay was significant.
4. Other Expenditures
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• Infancy Stage – Stagnation (Stage 1)− Due to increased costs, certain production facilities were idled short-term.
− Operational revenues declined along with EBITDA as variable costs were growing and fixed costs remained constant.
• Early Stage – Underperforming (Stage 2)− Vendors tightened existing credit.− Cash shortage ensued.
• Midstage – Significant Performance Impairment (Stage 3)– Weak operating performance left Company in violation of certain debt covenants included
in its senior credit facility beginning in mid-1998 resulting in amendments and reduction in borrowing bases from this point through filing.
• Late Stage – Crisis (Stage 4)− Company defaulted on bond interest payment in March 2000.
Result: Stages of Business Decline
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Turnaround Options
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Foundations for a Successful Turnaround
The foundations of a successful turnaround are:– The overall environment must be receptive to business restructuring. Government,
companies and creditors each play important roles in shaping this environment.– The specific business under consideration must be worth restructuring.
Overall Environment
Government Role– Regardless of the country, a legal system must be in place for dealing with distressed
or financially troubled companies.– The “model” for a successful legal structure should weigh many variables although the
decisions and ultimately the outcome will differ for every country. For instance:– Stance of the government concerning creditor issues – Favorable/Non-
favorable?– Stance of the government concerning company/debtor issues – Favorable/Non-
favorable?– Stance of the government on financial issues such as monetary backing and
other monetary policies for troubled companies– The most favorable option for a government may consider a combination of both
creditor and debtor concerns.
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Foundations for a Successful Turnaround
Corporate Role• Recognize when a turnaround/workout is necessary. Prolonging this will likely only
decrease chances for success.• Make a commitment to the task and the time and get appropriate crisis management
and legal advice.• Define roles and responsibilities of key employees and communicate.• Quantify the problem and evaluate options and resources, understand advantages,
disadvantages, opportunities and consequences.• Establish control over financial data and performance requirements, include deadlines
for reports.• Require clearly written and defined plans, quantified and in time sequence with
resources identified and obtain any relevant accurate and timely information.
Creditor Role• Make a commitment to work with the company to return maximum value to the
stakeholders.
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Foundations for a Successful Turnaround
The Business Must be Worth Restructuring
• Identify one or more viable core businesses–Shrink company back to segments that provide positive cash flow–May involve selling profitable business segments unrelated to the core business
• Ensure sources of adequate bridge financing– Seek internal sources first to lessen the need for external financing
– Form collections team– Factor receivables– Utilize trade credit– Evaluate inventory– Reduce costs
– Secure outside financing– Banks– Asset lenders– Other
An informal survey conducted at a national meeting of the Turnaround Management Association suggests that only approximately 20% of all distressed companies recover.
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Turnaround Options
• Factors to consider when choosing a viable turnaround option include:– Sophistication, size, and history of company– Quality / integrity of company’s management– Types and sizes of creditors’ claims– Attitudes, leverage and positions of other parties-in-interest that will play a role in
negotiations– Fundamental business circumstances and prevailing economic conditions– Depth of the company’s financial problems and the future outlook
• Analyzing the above factors will help to choose:– Reorganization or complete liquidation– Reorganization via direct negotiation with major creditors (Workout)– Reorganization with government oversight (e.g., U.S. – Chapter 11,
U.K. – Administration under the Insolvency Act)
By committing to a turnaround effort and analyzing the situation, management can begin to choose the appropriate turnaround option.
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Advantages of Workouts
• Conservation of Resources– With planning and focus, efforts directed
towards a successful workout– Avoid costly professional fees which frequently
occur in governmental cases– Agreement is usually faster, directed to be
more sensible and fair
• Continuation of Business and Maximization of Value
– Less disruptive to business, no court/trustee to which to attend
– Management maintains decision-making control
– Considerable asset base maintained, future cash flows less compromised
• Facilitated Negotiations– More trust and less hostility in negotiations– More informal, speedier, and less frustrating
than court hearings– Goodwill and public relations preserved
• Governmental provisions avoided– Some type of government approval may
be necessary, depending on legal structure
– Management loses some control and efficiency in decision making ability, more flexibility without court system
– Depending on a country’s legal system, management can possibly lose control over company to creditors or lenders
– Formal process, court hearings, and attention to detail complicates turnaround
• More Time for Rehabilitation– New funding possibly easier to obtain
and may be granted better terms
• Forgiveness of Debt– Debt unpaid may be forgiven if this is part
of a previous agreement
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Advantages of Turnarounds with Government Oversight
• Negotiations with Several Parties– If a larger number of creditors exists,
consensus may be difficult and opposition can occur at any point, rendering past work useless
• Prevent Imminent Threat of Attack while Settlement is Pending
– Additional lawsuits, foreclosures, or seizure of assets may impair workout efforts
– There may be protection in the automatic stay provisions depending on the legal structure in place
• Priority Debts and Income Tax Laws– Certain tax provisions may make
government-assisted turnaround more advantageous
– Cancellation of debt taxable income may deter creditors from this course and make liquidation more attractive
• Terminal Business– If there is no hope, remedies to
repossess monies increasing the value of the estate may be available depending on the legal structure in place
– Recovery of preferential payments– Fraudulent transfers/conveyances
• Legal Provisions– Depending on the country’s legal
system a company may be able to reduce or eliminate certain obligations (e.g., in the US it may reject executory contracts) or modify rights of secured creditors
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Stages of the Turnaround Process
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Stages of the Turnaround Process
Stages can overlap and some tasks may impact more than one stage. Overall, moving through all stages can take 12 – 36 months.
Management Change
Situation Analysis
Return-to-Normal
Emergency Action
Business Restructuring
54321
Stabilize
Position for Growth
Restructure
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Stage 1: Management Change
• Select a CEO (current or new) who can successfully lead a turnaround– Proven track record– Ability to assemble a management team that can restructure and implement effective
turnaround strategies
• Weed out obstructionists– May require replacement of some or all of top management including weak Board
members
• Once appropriate management is in place, management must first address issues related to the following four major stakeholder groups:
– Human Resources• Executives• Employees
– Vendors– Lenders– Customers
• It is essential for communication with the major stakeholders to take place initially, as well as through each stage of the turnaround process
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Stage 2: Situation Analysis
• The objectives that should be set and accomplished during the Situation Analysis stage include:
– Determine viability of business– Determine the severity of the situation
• Create a 13-week cash flow forecast to understand cash usage (See Exhibit A)– Identify an effective turnaround strategy
• Operational– Revenue increasing strategies– Cost reduction strategies– Asset reduction and redeployment strategies– Competitive repositioning strategies
• Strategic– Specific goals and objectives– Sound corporate and business strategies– Competitive repositioning strategies
• Combination strategies
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Stage 2: Situation Analysis
• Objectives (continued)– Understand the life cycle of the business in relation to the chosen strategy– Identify and document key issues in order to establish framework for integration of
strategy into Business Plan• What products/business segments are most profitable?• What are strengths and weaknesses of the Company?• What areas should be expanded? Liquidated?• In what areas do the real potential for this business lie?• What direction should this business take?
– Develop preliminary action plan• Communicate to all key parties in the company as well as bankers, major creditors
and vendors outside the company
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Stage 2: Situation Analysis
• Turnaround strategies will likely be impacted by public policy considerations. For example, if a turnaround strategy will include employee displacement, local regulations must be considered. Some examples follow:
– United States• WARN Act requires employers who are planning massive lay-offs to give affected employees
at least 60 days notice of such an action.
– United Kingdom• The employer must consult the employee’s representatives (this includes unions) if 20 or more
people are going to be made redundant (lay-offs). Failure to do so can result in the employer being forced to pay Protective Awards (wages) to laid-off employees for a period of time.
• The employer must also consult the Department of Trade and Industry (D.T.I.) prior to dismissals (30 days before dismissal of 20 - 99 employees, 90 days prior to dismissal of 100 or more employees)
– Germany• For operational-driven lay-offs (e.g., plant closings or general reductions in the work force), a
so-called “Social Selection” is a prerequisite. The employer must consider the personal and social circumstances of all comparable employees when deciding which to terminate. A company might be forced to terminate the most capable employee, if this employee is, by the applicable standards, least deserving of protection under social considerations.
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Stage 2: Situation Analysis
Examples (continued)
– France• Employment in France is not “at will”. Dismissals can only be made based on demonstrably
and limited objective grounds which must be brought to the attention of the employee in writing. Dismissals are subject to stringent, and often bureaucratic, procedural statutory constraints.
• Redundancies, or lay-offs on economic grounds, are subject to separate and complex procedural and substantive constraints particularly in the case of multiple dismissals.
• The French entity (as opposed to the group to which it may belong) must be in a sufficiently severe economic situation to justify laying off staff or making them redundant.
• There are a number of French State Agencies which have a statutory right to be advised of, and in some cases to authorize, proposed dismissals by private sector employers.
– Republic of Lithuania • For operational-driven lay-offs (e.g., plant closings or general reductions in the work force) that
will affect at or around 10% of its workforce, an employer must notify the relevant territorial labor exchange, the municipal institution and the employees’ representatives.
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Stage 2: Situation Analysis
Examples (continued)
– India• If the reason for termination is a commercial decision taken by the employer (for example, to
reduce his workforce), the employer is obliged (depending on the number of workmen employed by him) to retrench the workman or provide retrenchment compensation.
• Under the Industrial Disputes Act, the employer is also obliged to pay compensation to workmen in the event of laying off such workmen or upon the closure of an undertaking in which such workmen are employed.
– Philippines• The authorized causes for terminations of employment are 1) installation of labor saving
devices; 2) Redundancy; 3) retrenchment to prevent losses; and 4) the closing or cessation of operation of the establishment or undertaking.
• In each of the cases, the employer must serve a written notice on the workers and the Department of Labor and Employment at least one month before the intended date of termination.
• Termination pay must also be paid to the workers affected. Severance amounts are driven by the reason for termination (higher for termination due to the installation of labor-saving devices or redundancy).
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Stage 3: Emergency Action
• The objectives that should be set and accomplished during the Emergency Action stage are:– Stabilize the business by gaining control over the situation
• Analyze 13-week cash flow forecast and evaluate which areas to improve• Centralize the cash management function to ensure control
– Stop cash bleed and enable the organization to survive
• Raise cash internally and externally– Review balance sheet for sources of cash– Sell unprofitable business entities– Secure asset-based loans (if needed)
• Lay-off employees and eliminate unnecessary departments quickly and fairly– Stretching out lay-offs is poor for employee morale– Better to cut too deeply all at once than make small cuts repeatedly
• Remaining employees tend to lose focus of necessary functions when there is job uncertainty
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Stage 4: Business Restructuring
• The objectives that should be set and accomplished during the Business Restructuring stage are:– Enhance profitability through remaining operations– Restructure business for increased profitability and return on assets
• At this point, turnaround actions increase to full force– Change focus from cash to profits– Conduct product profitability / customer profitability analyses– From information collected during situation analysis, a turnaround strategy should be identified,
developed and implemented• Evaluate employee compensation and reward dedicated employees
• Fix the capital structure– Renegotiate debt (short and long term)
• Ensure meaningful financial / information systems are in place– Operationalize certain emergency stage actions (e.g., 13-week cash flow)– Ensure accurate cost data (direct / indirect) is available
• Fully involve employees to save the business– Create team power to root out inefficiencies and promote profitability– Maximize workforce efficiency and cut out unnecessary work
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Stage 5: Return-to-Normal
• The objectives that should be set and accomplished during the Return-to-Normal stage are:– Institutionalize emphasis on profitability, ROI, and value-added philosophy– Seek opportunities for profitable growth– Build competitive strengths– Shift from cash flow concerns to maintaining a strong balance sheet, long-term financing
and control systems– Improve customer service and relationship
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Case Study
LaRoche IndustriesTurnaround Options and
Plan Formulation
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Stage 1: Management Change
• Management was focused and prepared to lead the Company through a turnaround• Professionals were hired to assist management in the turnaround process• Management’s compensation was tied to performance• Management accepted the challenge to fix what was broken
– All restructuring options were to be considered– Workdays got longer and the intensity / effort level increased
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To stabilize business, an infusion of capital or a significant reorganization was necessary. Several financial options were considered with the hope of avoiding a major operational restructuring. Financial options considered were:
– Equity Infusion– $75 million second secured debt offering (increases liquidity but raises leverage)– $40 million private placement of second secured debt with bondholders and asset
based lenders– Pre-arranged subordinated notes restructuring– Chapter 11 protection and reorganization
Stage 2: Situation Analysis
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Financial Restructuring Primary Primary Type ofOption Advantage Disadvantage Cost
$75mm second secured debt offering
Resolves short-term liquidity issues, retires some existing
secured debt
Does not resolve leveraged capital structure or cash burn issues
Closing Costs, excess interest, and a subsequent restructuring
$40mm private placement of second secured debt with
bondholders and asset based lenders
Reduces short term financial burden by covering amortization
payments for one year and reducing revolver
Does not resolve leveraged capital structure or cash burn issues
Closing Costs, excess interest, and a subsequent restructuring
Pre-arranged subordinated notes restructuring
De-levers the Company Immediate liquidity needs to be addressed through a bridge loan
while a consensus between parties is reached
Professional fees and fees in relation to bridge loan
Chapter 11 protection and reorganization
De-levers the Company and allows protection and liquidity for
management to implement operational improvements
Negative reaction from public (vendors, employees, customers),
also a costly process
Professional fees for estimated 18 months plus fees on DIP
Stage 2: Situation Analysis
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• Cyclical nature of industry required the flexibility of a revolver.• Availability of capital had to be sufficient to cover operating losses, debt service costs and
capital expenditures during down cycles.
− Current Interest Costs $30 million− Plus: Projected Maintenance CapEx / Turnarounds $30 million− Equals: Non-Operating Cash Needs $60 million− Equals: Minimum EBITDA Plus Capital Availability Requirement
• This requirement would be reduced by lower debt service costs if bonds were restructured.
• Ultimately, a pre-arranged bankruptcy was not an option due to time and liquidity constraints. Moreover, bonds were held by par holders seeking status quo and not a restructuring.
• Out of cash and credit, LaRoche Industries used the Chapter 11 process in May, 2000 to effectuate its turnaround.
Stage 2: Situation Analysis
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De-lever the Company’s balance sheet
Identify and implement cost
savings initiatives
Resolve Company’s short term cash need (then ensure long term liquidity)
Re-position in marketplace with appropriate strategy and structure
to ensure profitability
Stabilize business
Focus on core businesses, exit / sell non-core businesses
Time Horizon
Later stages of Reorganization
Immediate
REORGANIZATION
Stage 3: Emergency Action
51
• Secure a DIP facility loan to provide initial necessary funding of the business.• Initiate negotiations with key vendors to ensure continued services.• Create a comprehensive employee retention plan.• Focus management efforts towards cash management issues:
– Analyze 13-week cash flow and evaluate areas in which to improve. – Evaluate controls throughout cash management process including purchasing,
collections, payables, etc. – Monitor extensively the Company’s cash inflows and outflows, accelerate
collections and contact vendors to negotiate a stretch in payment terms.• Work with European site partners to gain concessions and improvements in site
economic balance.• Communication is key to customers, employees, vendors, creditor, and any other
related parties.• Implement a Fix, Sell or Keep strategy for all assets on a plant by plant basis.
Stage 3: Emergency Action
52
Management recognized the need for significant changes and with its advisors began to focus on cost reductions both before and after filing for Chapter 11 protection:
Stage 3: Emergency Action
Management realized that the most efficient method of cutting cost would be to sell certain assets, reducing unnecessary losses and expenses and infusing the Company with cash.
Action Result
Corporate consolidation and reduction from 110 to 40 people $5 million annual savings
Suspension of dividend and ownership consulting payments $1.2 – 2 million annual savings
Reduction in discretionary capital spending programs FY 2000 $15 – 20 million cut
Strategic review of operations to identify possible operational improvements (yet most required additional capital to implement)
Sale of AN plants and Gramercy facility
53
Determine appropriate method of disposition to
reap the most benefit (monetary, reducing
liability, etc.)
Determine which assets to dispose of through profitability analysis,
review of past performance and analysis of future
market attractiveness.
Implement decisions, dispose of assets, apply
cash to most appropriate sources
(e.g., paydown of DIP, additions to working
capital).
Stage 4: Business Restructuring
The sale of multiple divisions provides a necessary capital infusion and allows the Company to focus on profitable business segments, reducing cash burn and future obligations.
54
Below are the major business units analyzed for sale or retention during the Chapter 11 proceedings:
Business Estimated Estimate Cost Sale / ReasoningValue to Repair Retain
AN Plants $160mm - Sale Production costs too great, cash burn business, strategic buyer in place, necessary to pay down DIP
Avondale Ammonia JV $12mm - Reject Agreement Non-competitive business effected by natural gas costs, sale would effectively settle claims and issues with JV partner
Gramercy $70mm $10mm Sale Cash burn business, sale would effectively reduce environmental liabilities, payables, and claims ChlorAlp $15mm - $20mm - Retain Entity did not file Ch 11., no potential buyers, the marketplace had turned to the upside of the cycle,
generating positive earningsFrankfurt $16mm - $17mm - Retain Entity did not file Ch 11., no potential buyers, the marketplace had turned to the upside of the cycle,
generating positive earningsIP&S $47mm - $66mm - Retain Profitable business, competitive strengths, lower fixed cost burden
Businesses Approx Sale / Proceed Sold Settlement Price Distribution
AN Plants $44mm $28.5mm to DIP lenders, $10.1mm to pre-petition lenders, $4mm in holdbacks, rest went to fees
Avondale Ammonia JV $800k Cash to pay down DIP and for resolution of all matters and complete severing of all ties with JV party
Gramercy $5mm $2mm cash to pay down DIP, with non-cash reduction of $3mm of environmental liabilities transferred to buyer
Stage 4: Business Restructuring
55
Proposed New Structure
Stage 4: Business Restructuring
• Includes 23 IP&S customer service centers, located in 18 states, storing and distributing anhydrous ammonia.• 11 of these centers will produce and distribute aqueous ammonia products.• Sales of related storage systems and equipment and customer services will also produce income at those centers.• Interest / ownership will be held in agricultural warehouse in Indiana from which phosphate fertilizer and other AN
derivative products will be stored and distributed.• European subsidiaries will be retained and a product mix will be adjusted to take advantage of local market pricing.
Cherokee, AL Plant
Crystal City, MO Plant
Seneca, IL Plant
Geneva, UT Plant
Avondale Ammonia JV
AN ManufacturingOperations
Chlor-Alkali Production
Fluorocarbon Production
Hydrate Partnership
Gramercy Plant
GramercyChlor-Alkali
23 IP&S CustomerService Centers
1 AgricultureWarehouse
IP&S (formerly IPG) and NitrogenDistribution Centers
Frankfurt Facility
Pont-de-Claix, FranceFacility (ChlorAlp)
European Ops
LaRocheOperations
Fortier Joint Venture
56
A premise to the Plan of Reorganization is that surviving LaRoche (“NewCo”) must be feasible:– NewCo will cover 80% of the geographical industrial ammonia market, with a current market
size of $140mm per year, expected to grow to $290mm by the year 2005.• Competition primarily has a regional focus while LaRoche’s operations extend nationally.• Ammonia is expected to be the preferred product to facilitate removal of contaminants
from the emissions of electric generating systems, mandated by government regulations.– European businesses remain and are becoming more profitable through the upturn in the cycle
in the European chemical marketplace.
The Plan must also consider the risks involved:– NewCo will face competition from two regional companies and a number of smaller companies
with a local focus, that could become competitors if they elect to diversify downstream from the production of ammonia.
– Risks are inherent in implementing a strategy, including external factors such as the potential for natural gas prices to remain high.
– Capital expenditures will be necessary. Contingent maintenance expenditures can become reality…quickly.
– Government regulations may result in costly transition to new technology in the German plant.• Mercury to membrane technology to comply with environmental mandates.
Stage 5: Return-to-Normal
57
Stage 5: Return-to-Normal
All must be solved to emerge from Chapter 11
Operational Solvency
Funding
Costs of Emergence
Resolution of Outstanding Issues
58
Closing the Deal• U.S. Banks funded the exit financing, but required a “bankable” transaction.
– The new securities had to be priced to allow for liquidity among stakeholders.• Alternative sources of funding were sought out to build a “cushion”.
– An attempt to repatriate funds from European entities was suggested, but European lenders were not keen on upstreaming cash to bankrupt parent.
• Bondholders and unsecured creditors sought cash and were unwilling/unable to provide funds.• Operational solvency was proven and projected cash flows were positive.• A schedule of emergence costs was determined and agreed upon by all constituents• All outstanding issues were resolved and settled prior to emergence• LaRoche Industries, Inc. successfully emerged from Chapter 11 Bankruptcy on September 28,
2001, with an appropriately reorganized capital and organizational structure.
Stage 5: Return-to-Normal
59
Role of Professionals
60
Client
Cost Reduction Analysis
• Identify Key Operating Drivers• Analyze Internal Value Chain• Review Supply Chain Management
Strategy• Review Effectiveness of Sales and
Distribution Network• Assess Ordering Procedures• Calculate Impact of Recommended
Cost Reductions
Business Plan and Financial Projections
• Formulate Overall Business Strategy• Coordinate Capital Investments With
Financial Liquidity• Determine Suitable Capital Structure • Develop Five-Year Projection Model• Coordinate with All Departments
Contributing to Plan
Liquidity Forecasting
• Identify Relevant Data Sources• Analyze Working Capital
Management• Automate Data Collection and
Integration• Create Weekly Cash Flow Model• Design Short-Term Borrowing
Analysis • Assist Management with Short
Term Capital Spending Program
Development of Management Tools
Services to Underperforming Companies
• Develop Inventory Management Application
• Extend Existing Systems to Include Tracking of Forecast Accuracy
• Analyze Cost Components of Marketing and Distribution Programs
• Estimate Financial Impact of New Products
61
Services to Underperforming Companies
• The professionals role is to tailor services in all stages of the demise curve
• The “right” turnaround advisory team should be able to provide all of the following services:
• Performance Improvement
• Lending Solutions
• Turnaround & Restructuring
• Transitional Management
• Transaction Advisory
The Corporate Demise Curve
Expected Performance
Infancy Stage - Stagnation
Early Stage - Underperforming
Midstage - Significant Performance Impairment
Late Stage - Crisis
62
• Operational and financial enhancement
• Strategic assessment
• Benchmarking• Shareholder
value improvement
• Cash and working capital management
• Supply chain management
Services to Underperforming Companies
The Corporate Demise Curve
Expected Performance
Infancy Stage - Stagnation
Early Stage - Underperforming
Midstage - Significant Performance Impairment
Late Stage - Crisis
Performance Improvement
63
Services to Underperforming Companies
• Raising additional lender financing
• Business plan development
• Cash flow modeling
• Lender negotiations
• Collateral assessment
The Corporate Demise Curve
Expected Performance
Infancy Stage - Stagnation
Early Stage - Underperforming
Midstage - Significant Performance Impairment
Late Stage - Crisis
Lending Solutions
64
The Corporate Demise Curve
Expected Performance
Infancy Stage - Stagnation
Early Stage - Underperforming
Midstage - Significant Performance Impairment
Late Stage - Crisis
• Turnaround plan development and implementation
• Out-of-court restructurings
• Capital structure and raising of additional capital
• Vendor relationship management
• Cash management, projections and liquidity enhancement
• Bankruptcy-related services
Turnaround & Restructuring
Services to Underperforming Companies
65
The Corporate Demise Curve
Expected Performance
Infancy Stage - Stagnation
Early Stage - Underperforming
Midstage - Significant Performance Impairment
Late Stage - Crisis
• Provide Interim Management such as Chief Restructuring Officer
• Provide Executive Suite with experienced resources to augment / fill critical needs
• Serve in court-appointed positions
Transitional Management
Services to Underperforming Companies
66
Appendix ATurnaround Tools
13-Week Cash Flow Forecast
67
Week Ended 30-Jan 6-Feb 13-Feb 20-Feb 27-Feb 5-Mar 12-Mar 19-Mar 26-Mar 2-Apr 9-Apr 16-Apr 23-Apr Total
Week Number 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lockbox 36.0$ 42.0$ 45.0$ 35.0$ 36.0$ 44.0$ 46.0$ 43.0$ 34.0$ 33.0$ 42.0$ 47.0$ 40.0$ 523.0$
Office 15.0 18.0 22.0 16.0 18.0 18.0 22.0 19.0 17.0 15.5 20.0 23.0 17.0 240.5
Credit Card 3.1 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.3 3.8 4.8 3.5 3.0 3.2 5.0 3.9 3.5 48.5
Auto Debit 7.0 7.0 8.0 7.5 7.5 7.0 8.0 7.7 7.4 7.0 7.8 7.5 7.2 96.6
Cash Receipts 61.1 70.8 78.8 62.3 64.8 72.8 80.8 73.2 61.4 58.7 74.8 81.4 67.7 908.6
Other Income 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 26.0
Operating Receipts 63.1 72.8 80.8 64.3 66.8 74.8 82.8 75.2 63.4 60.7 76.8 83.4 69.7 934.6
Payroll and Related Items (ie. health benefits) 9.3 16.7 8.3 17.6 9.3 16.7 8.3 17.6 9.3 16.7 8.3 17.6 9.3 164.9
Programming 32.2 5.5 59.5 1.3 33.6 0.0 0.0 60.7 0.0 32.0 0.0 59.6 1.3 285.6
Franchise 8.0 4.7 0.1 10.8 0.0 19.0 0.1 1.4 0.0 9.1 0.1 6.8 1.4 61.6
Pole Rent 1.6 1.4 1.8 1.3 1.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.2 1.0 11.9
Cable Data 3.2 0.1 0.1 5.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 5.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 5.6 0.1 20.9
Tax (Sales/ Use/ Property) 1.5 0.8 1.1 4.8 0.5 0.0 1.4 4.7 0.5 0.4 1.6 4.3 2.2 23.9
Professional 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 2.6
Insurance 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.6 1.0 9.0
Daily Other 10.0 9.0 10.0 9.0 9.0 8.0 9.0 8.0 9.0 8.0 9.0 8.0 9.0 115.0
Office Expense 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 9.1
Telephone 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 9.1
Telecommunications Technical 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 10.4
Outside Services 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 10.4
Operating Expenses 71.0 42.0 84.2 54.2 57.6 48.1 23.3 102.3 23.9 70.8 22.6 105.9 28.5 734.4
Total Expenses
Restructuring Costs 5.0 1.5 2.0 1.5 2.0 1.5 2.0 1.5 2.0 1.5 2.5 2.0 2.0 27.0
Capital Expenses 19.5 21.5 21.5 21.5 21.5 21.6 21.6 21.6 21.6 17.4 17.4 17.4 17.4 261.3
Operating & Capital Expenses 95.5 64.9 107.7 77.1 81.1 71.2 46.9 125.4 47.5 89.7 42.5 125.3 47.9 1022.7
Operating Cash Flow (32.4) 7.9 (26.9) (12.8) (14.3) 3.6 35.9 (50.2) 15.9 (29.0) 34.3 (41.9) 21.8 (88.1)
Pre-Petition Interest Expense 0.0 (16.3) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (14.7) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (16.3) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (47.4)
DIP Interest and Fees Expense (1.4) (0.2) (0.1) (0.3) (1.4) (0.1) (0.1) (0.3) (0.1) (1.5) (0.2) (0.1) (0.4) (6.2)
Total Interest Expense (1.4) (16.5) (0.1) (0.3) (1.4) (14.9) (0.1) (0.3) (0.1) (17.8) (0.2) (0.1) (0.4) (53.6)
Transfers from/ (to) Other Cash Accounts 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -
Transfers from/ (to) Credit-Linked Deposit Accounts 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -
Borrowing Activity 1.0 9.0 18.0 22.0 0.0 15.0 11.0 0.0 14.0 0.0 27.0 0.0 9.0 126.0
Net Cash Increase (Decrease) (32.8)$ (12.3)$ (9.0)$ 8.9$ (15.7)$ (7.8)$ 46.8$ (50.5)$ 29.8$ (59.5)$ 61.1$ (42.0)$ 30.4$ (52.6)$
Beginning Concentrated Cash Balance (Book) 222.9$ 190.1$ 177.7$ 168.8$ 177.7$ 161.9$ 154.1$ 201.0$ 150.5$ 180.3$ 120.8$ 181.9$ 139.9$
Change in Cash (32.8) (12.3) (9.0) 8.9 (15.7) (7.8) 46.8 (50.5) 29.8 (59.5) 61.1 (42.0) 30.4
Ending Concentrated Cash Balance (Book) 190.1$ 177.7$ 168.8$ 177.7$ 161.9$ 154.1$ 201.0$ 150.5$ 180.3$ 120.8$ 181.9$ 139.9$ 170.3$
68
Appendix B Turnaround Tools
Liquidation Analysis
69
Estimated Hypothetical Liquidation Analysis At December 31, 2002Scenario A: Lender Group Revolving Debt Remains at $700 million with No Collateral($000's)
EstimatedBalance % Realization Realization Amount
Realizable Value of Assets Low High Low HighCash 70,000$ 100% 100% 70,000$ 70,000$ Net Receivables 47,649 42% 53% 20,013 25,254 Net Inventory 425,525 33% 47% 140,423 199,997 Prepaid and Other Current Assets 72,629 0% 0% - - PP&E 312,594 35% 52% 109,408 162,549 Intangible Assets 136,315 0% 0% - - Other Assets 173,526 3% 6% 5,206 10,412 Net Assets of Discontinued Operations 773,567 0% 0% - - Estimated Proceeds before Expenses* 2,011,805 17% 23% 345,050 468,211 * Excluding Trademark
Professional Fees (15,000) (10,000) Wind Down Operating Expenses (93,898) (65,251) Estimated Net Proceeds excluding Trademark 236,151 392,960
Trademark unknown unknown - -
Estimated Net Proceeds 236,151$ 392,960$
70
Recovery Allocation:
Realization AmountSecured Claims Low HighProceeds Available to Secured Claims 10,232 11,938 Total Secured Claims (Mortgages) (48,000) (48,000) % Recovery to Secured Claims before Deficiency Claims 21% 25%Secured Lenders' mortgage deficiency claims (37,768) (36,062)
Reclamation ClaimsNet Proceeds Available for Reclamation Claims 236,151 392,960 Total Reclamation Claims (13,448) (6,724) % Recovery to Reclamation Claims 100% 100%
Priority ClaimsNet Proceeds Available for Priority Claims 222,703 386,236 Total Priority Claims (74,519) (41,073) % Recovery to Priority Claims 100% 100%
Unsecured ClaimsNet Proceeds Available for Unsecured Claims 148,184 345,163 Total Unsecured Claims (includes $1.105 billion unsecured Lender Group claim) (1,695,749) (1,620,919) Secured Lenders' mortgage deficiency claims (37,768) (36,062)
Total Unsecured Claims (1,733,517) (1,656,981) % Recovery to Unsecured Claims 8.5% 20.8%
NOTE - All recoveries are before any recovery estimate has been attributed to intangible assets.
71
Appendix C Turnaround Tools
Projections
72
Revenue
EBITDA
CAPEX
DIP Balance (end of year)
LC Usage
Actual Forecast
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
6,013.2$ 5,466.0$ 5,546.8$ 5,761.8$ 5,945.0$ 6,239.9$ 6,457.0$
825.0 530.0 518.0 695.1 857.6 963.6 1,037.0
313.0 295.0 375.0 361.0 380.0 318.0 315.0
- 259.5 337.0 330.1
- 18.8 25.0 25.0
Projected
Executive Summary
Below is a summary of key financial data from the Business Plan and DIP forecast ($ in millions):
Note: The DIP balance is presented through the term of the DIP loan, December 31, 2003.
73
(dollars in millions)
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
US 3,551.633$ 3,107.611$ 3,172.639$ 3,295.016$ 3,399.665$ 3,568.361$ 3,692.453$ Canada 162.206 146.126 149.983 155.768 160.716 168.690 174.557 UK 500.560 459.986 425.126 441.524 455.547 478.152 494.780 Mexico 178.039 172.772 177.332 184.172 190.021 199.451 206.387 Germany 626.252 638.036 639.875 664.557 685.663 719.686 744.714 Italy 179.837 158.352 162.531 168.801 174.162 182.804 189.161 France 321.226 334.544 343.373 356.618 367.944 386.202 399.632 Netherlands - 0.030 0.062 0.064 0.066 0.069 0.072 ROW 493.466 476.904 477.149 495.554 511.293 536.664 555.327
6,013.218$ 5,494.361$ 5,548.071$ 5,762.073$ 5,945.076$ 6,240.079$ 6,457.082$
* Sales do not include intercompany sales
Revenue by Year by Country
74
2000 - 20062000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Total
Prior year revenue 6,488.0$ 6,013.0$ 5,466.0$ 5,546.8$ 5,761.8$ 5,945.0$ 6,239.9$ 6,488.0
Change due to:Uncommitted business - - 76.6 192.1 216.9 392.9 329.0 1,207.5 Net new business - - 216.8 100.4 (1.2) (79.3) (101.2) 135.5 Mix - - (10.8) (12.5) (9.1) 21.0 8.4 (3.0) Volume (255.8) (316.0) (39.0) (26.0) 9.8 (10.0) 8.4 (628.6) Discontinued operations - - (164.4) - - - - (164.4) Pricing (3.5) (26.1) (48.4) (39.0) (33.2) (29.6) (27.4) (207.2) Exchange rate (250.5) (158.4) - - - - - (408.9) Other 34.8 (46.5) 50.0 - - (0.1) (0.1) 38.1
Total change (475.0) (547.0) 80.8 215.0 183.2 294.9 217.1 (31.0)
Total revenue 6,013.0$ 5,466.0$ 5,546.8$ 5,761.8$ 5,945.0$ 6,239.9$ 6,457.0$ 6,457.0$
% Change -7.3% -9.1% 1.5% 3.9% 3.2% 5.0% 3.5% -0.5%Cumulative % Change -7.3% -15.8% -14.5% -11.2% -8.4% -3.8% -0.5%
Note: Change due to volume in 2000 and 2001 includes net new business.
Revenue Bridge 2000 – 2006(dollars in millions)
75
(dollars in millions)
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
US 421.980$ 180.395$ 151.501$ 200.210$ 291.110$ 342.210$ 383.610$ Canada 27.003 4.752 7.900 10.700 13.000 13.700 14.100 UK 104.844 84.391 50.655 69.300 85.400 103.200 106.000 Mexico 65.067 64.461 76.100 102.100 122.400 130.500 146.600 Germany 113.984 107.872 101.575 106.500 126.900 128.000 127.900 Italy 28.673 27.455 29.300 38.500 30.800 32.000 32.500 France 27.991 32.887 39.700 53.100 60.700 69.200 74.700 Netherlands 2.411 0.933 0.900 0.900 0.900 0.900 0.900 ROW 41.357 70.198 85.840 113.690 126.790 144.290 150.690
833.309$ 573.343$ 543.471$ 695.000$ 858.000$ 964.000$ 1,037.000$
EBITDA by Year by Country
76
Note: Change due to volume in 2000 and 2001 includes net new business.
EBITDA Bridge 2000 – 2006(dollars in millions)
2000 - 20062000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Total
Prior year EBITDA 1,215.0$ 825.0$ 530.0$ 518.0$ 695.1$ 857.6$ 963.6$ 1,215.0
Change due to:Productivity (73.6) 4.4 146.0 146.2 119.4 109.8 101.3 553.5 Uncommitted business - - 23.5 54.9 60.7 105.8 92.1 337.0 Restructuring - - (3.4) 47.3 59.8 10.5 23.3 137.5 Net new business - - 62.3 41.2 11.3 (14.0) (18.2) 82.6 One-Offs - - 47.0 14.2 6.1 (2.0) (4.0) 61.3 Mix - - (2.3) (3.8) 7.6 14.4 13.3 29.2 Volume (83.8) (36.1) (22.6) (14.0) (0.8) (3.6) (0.1) (161.0) Pricing (34.5) (36.0) (48.4) (39.0) (33.2) (29.7) (27.5) (248.3) Inflation - - (181.7) (124.8) (100.3) (111.3) (121.2) (639.3) Exchange rate (93.2) (141.0) - - - - - (234.2) Other (104.9) (86.3) (32.4) 54.9 31.9 26.1 14.4 (96.3)
Total change (390.0) (295.0) (12.0) 177.1 162.5 106.0 73.4 (178.0)
Total EBITDA 825.0$ 530.0$ 518.0$ 695.1$ 857.6$ 963.6$ 1,037.0$ 1,037.0$
% Change -32.1% -35.8% -2.3% 34.2% 23.4% 12.4% 7.6% -14.7%Cumulative % Change -32.1% -56.4% -57.4% -42.8% -29.4% -20.7% -14.7%
77
Summary of Cost Reductions and Restructuring Initiatives
• The Company’s plan includes significant cost reduction and restructuring initiatives. Below is a summary of the incremental change in EBITDA per year as a result of these initiatives (dollars in millions):
• The forecasted EBITDA trends by product group resulting from the cost reductions are depicted on the following page.
Incremental Annual Savings2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Total
SG&A reduction 26.0$ 30.8$ 27.6$ 22.3$ 14.5$ 121.2$
Global purchasing initiatives 24.6 20.5 6.3 5.0 2.3 58.7
Plant/facility consolidation - Global Powertrain (5.1) 11.8 9.1 0.8 14.1 30.7 Global Seals/Gaskets/SPG (13.7) 12.5 27.0 (1.5) 7.8 32.1 Friction Americas 12.2 8.9 10.5 - - 31.6 Friction Europe 2.7 - 2.0 2.0 - 6.7 Total Aftermarket 8.9 9.1 6.9 9.0 1.6 35.5
Sub-total plant/facility consolidation 5.0 42.3 55.5 10.3 23.5 136.6
Productivity - Global Powertrain 34.9 47.5 44.7 39.5 33.4 200.0 Global Seals/Gaskets/SPG 20.7 20.2 20.0 18.8 19.4 99.1 Friction Americas 2.8 7.3 5.2 4.8 4.6 24.7 Friction Europe 5.7 5.8 2.5 3.7 3.6 21.3 Total Aftermarket 33.2 26.9 26.8 24.2 22.7 133.8
Sub-total productivity 97.3 107.7 99.2 91.0 83.7 478.9 Increase in EBITDA 152.9$ 201.3$ 188.6$ 128.6$ 124.0$ 795.4$
78
Appendix DPresenter Bios
79
Randall S. Eisenberg Senior Managing Director, FTI Consulting, Inc.
Randall S. Eisenberg is a senior managing director in FTI’s Business Turnaround & Restructuring Services practice in New York. Specializing in the revitalization of underperforming companies, Mr. Eisenberg has over 13 years of experience advising senior management and Boards of Directors in revitalizing companies that are stagnant or are under performing.
Mr. Eisenberg’s broad experience includes virtually all aspects of the development and implementation of turnaround plans in an out-of-court setting or through the Chapter 11 (and certain other international court-supervised) processes. His diverse background extends into airlines, distribution, financial, food service, healthcare, hospitality, manufacturing, real estate, retail, and services wherein he has served as advisor to companies, served in interim management positions, andadvised secured and unsecured creditors.
Mr. Eisenberg has led many large and high profile national and international assignments for companies and their equity sponsors. His experience includes a broad range of services to underperforming companies emphasizing implementation of sound business practices that focus on rebuilding shareholder and stakeholder value. He has served as an advisor to senior management of US Airways and Kmart; a court appointed Joint Provisional Liquidator to RSL Communications, Ltd., a $1+ billion in revenue global telecommunications company with operations in more than 20 countries and 50 subsidiaries; and assisted an international fortune 500 retailer, an international software publisher and distributor, as well as many other diverse companies.
Prior to its acquisition by FTI, Mr. Eisenberg was a partner with the US division of PricewaterhouseCoopers’ Business Recovery Services practice. He is Past Chairman of the National Board of Directors of the Turnaround Management Association and member of the American Bankruptcy Institute. He received the Outstanding Contribution to the Turnaround Profession Award from the Turnaround Management Association.
Mr. Eisenberg holds a Bachelors degree from the University of the Pacific and an MBA from Northwestern University. He is a Certified Turnaround Professional and a Certified Public Accountant in the States of New York and California.
Mr. Eisenberg can be reached at [email protected] or (212) 499-3614.
80
Elliot Fuhr Senior Managing Director, FTI Consulting, Inc.
Elliot Fuhr is a senior managing director in FTI’s Business Turnaround & Restructuring Services practice in New York. Mr. Fuhr specializes in assisting senior management and Boards of Directors in the areas of financial and operational restructuring, mergers and acquisitions, divestitures, loan workouts, business planning and rapid implementation projects. He has broad industry experience including engagements with apparel, retail, technology, manufacturing, financial institutions, real estate, chemical, and oil & gas companies.
Mr. Fuhr has advised numerous clients in a variety of industries. Mr. Fuhr has assisted in the restructuring a $5 billion international wireless provider through a restructuring in chapter 11; evaluated and sold National Car Rental System, Inc. for General Motors Corporation; assisted in the restructuring a $600 million inorganic chemical company through a pre-arranged plan of reorganization; and assisted in the restructuring of a $550 million textile company both through out-of-court negotiations and through the pre-packaged chapter 11 process. His combined experience includes workflow and operational improvements, organizational restructuring, cash flow modeling, valuations, restructuring strategies, and business planning, and accounting.
Prior to joining FTI, Mr. Fuhr was a senior engineer and economist at Exxon Company, U.S.A. and Exxon Chemical Americas for six years. While at Exxon, he was project leader of a highly successful energy conservation program. Mr. Fuhr then joined a "Big Five" firm and a boutique turnaround firm where he developed an expertise in restructuring troubled companies. He has over 19 years experience in consulting.
Mr. Fuhr has published articles about troubled Company restructuring including: “Assessing the Likelihood of a Turnaround in the High Tech Sector,” ABI Journal (August 1999), "Diagnosing Distressed Companies: A Practical Example," ABI Journal (October 1994); and "Business Aspects of Chapter 11 Reorganization," Advanced Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Seminar, University of Michigan Law School (1995). Mr. Fuhr is also a contributing author to “Turnaround & Workouts II – Global Restructuring Strategies for the Next Century”, Wiley, 1999.
Mr. Fuhr holds a Bachelors degree in Chemical Engineering from the University of Pennsylvania and an MBA in Finance from the Stern School of Business at New York University. He is a member of the Turnaround Management Association and is a Certified Insolvency and Reorganization Accountant (CIRA).
Mr. Fuhr can be reached at [email protected] or (212) 499-3641.
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Sean A. Gumbs Managing Director, FTI Consulting, Inc.
Sean A. Gumbs is an executive with over 12 years of experience creating and maximizing value for stakeholders of troubled companies. He has specialized in providing strategic, operational, managerial and financial solutions to distressed companies and investors in both Chapter 11 and out-of-court restructurings. Sean has experience in a wide range of industries, including financial services, retail, forest products, software publishing and real estate.
Mr. Gumbs has led critical aspects of the bankruptcy process including vendor crisis management for Kmart Corporation; participated in pre-bankruptcy planning for US Airways; reviewed and refined the short-term management process for a $1 billion international software publisher / distributor; and assisted a $1 billion financial data company to create a profit improvement plan and conduct debt renegotiation discussions with its lenders.
In addition to the citations above, Mr. Gumbs has assisted underperforming companies in a variety of industries to develop restructuring plans that included financial and operational solutions. He has performed business and asset valuations (both going-concern and liquidation) to assist in the disposition of non-core assets. Mr. Gumbs has assisted companies throughout all stages of the Chapter 11 bankruptcy process, including bankruptcy contingency planning, negotiation of DIP financing and development of the plan of reorganization. He has reviewed operations and management structures to identify inefficiencies, cut costs and increase profitability. He has recommended and implemented cash management and capital budgeting systems to stabilize and improve cash flow.
Mr. Gumbs’ professional experiences prior to entering the restructuring field include shareholder value strategy consulting and financial risk management. He holds a B.S. in Economics from the University of Pennsylvania and an MBA from the Harvard Business School. He is a member of the Turnaround Management Association and the Association of Insolvency and Restructuring Advisors.
Mr. Gumbs can be reached at [email protected] or (212) 499-3633.
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Peter L. Tourtellot Managing Director, the ALTMA Group
Mr. Tourtellot is currently one of the founding principals of Anderson Bauman Tourtellot Vos & Company, a highly successful turnaround management firm created in 1989, now part of the ALTMA Group.
He participated in taking 1.4 billion dollar NYSE Blue Bell (Wrangler Jeans) private through an ESOP transaction, resulting in substantial return to all participants.
As a turnaround professional he has served as CEO and President of numerous companies. He managed the turnaround of a large, respected distribution firm which was just days from filing bankruptcy before he took the helm. He was a Chapter 11 Trustee in the Color-Tex International (North Carolina Finishing) case (Boston Bankruptcy Court) and Federal Receiver for Spartan Mills, Spartanburg, SC. He has served as interim president or consultant to a number of corporations which range from manufacturers to retail chains to service firms. He has also earned the designation of Certified Turnaround Professional (CTP) from the Association of Certified Turnaround Professionals.
Mr. Tourtellot served as the President and Chairman of the Turnaround Management Association. He is the current President of the Association of Certified Turnaround Professionals and is a member of their board of directors. He has co-authored "How To Save A Client" for the North Carolina State Bar Quarterly, and has written numerous articles for business publications, such as "Preserving The Family-Run Business" and “How Outsiders Find the Inside Track” for Institutional Investors.
He graduated from the University of Phoenix with a degree in business administration and is a graduate of the Executive Program at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. He is a member of the advisory board for the Love School of Business at Elon University where he was elected Chairman in 2003 to serve a three year term. He is a director on the national board of the Turnaround Management Association and serves on the board for the Carolinas Chapter.
Mr. Tourtellot can be reached at [email protected] or (336) 275-9110.
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Information in this presentation is based upon the professional experiences of the preparers.
Other valuable sources of information used were:– the Certified Insolvency and Restructuring Advisor (CIRA) materials produced by the
Association of Insolvency and Restructuring Advisors; and– The Certified Turnaround Professional (CTP) materials produced by the Turnaround
Management Association.
Sources