11

Tom ZettelTom ZettelMike BociagaMike Bociaga

Jon OlstenJon OlstenJamie RosinJamie RosinHayne KimHayne Kim

Brandon WashingtonBrandon WashingtonMarques FulfordMarques Fulford

22

OutlineOutline

Mission StatementMission Statement Market/CustomersMarket/Customers CompetitorsCompetitors Mission ScenariosMission Scenarios System Design RequirementsSystem Design Requirements SummarySummary Next StepsNext Steps

33

Mission StatementMission Statement

To create an innovative and cost effective To create an innovative and cost effective commercial aircraft capable of take-off and commercial aircraft capable of take-off and landing in extremely short distances, making landing in extremely short distances, making it available to a larger number of runways, in it available to a larger number of runways, in order to open up more airports, primarily to order to open up more airports, primarily to relieve the continuous growing congestion of relieve the continuous growing congestion of large hubs.large hubs.

44

““Next-Generation DC-3”Next-Generation DC-3”

An aircraft that is going to see very large An aircraft that is going to see very large scale production to fill a popular and scale production to fill a popular and profitable niche in the marketprofitable niche in the market

One that is going to revolutionize air travelOne that is going to revolutionize air travel

55

Economic growth yielding traffic growth.Economic growth yielding traffic growth. Domestic fleet average seat size growth is dramatic.Domestic fleet average seat size growth is dramatic.

Market OutlookMarket Outlook

66

17,650 new single aisle airplanes17,650 new single aisle airplanes

will be delivered over the next will be delivered over the next

20 years.20 years. This will make up 48% of the total This will make up 48% of the total

airplanes in service in 2026.airplanes in service in 2026. By the year of 2058, 61,604 single By the year of 2058, 61,604 single

aisle airplane will be in service. aisle airplane will be in service.

Market OutlookMarket Outlook

77

Primary Customer: AirlinesPrimary Customer: Airlines Currently, over 20% of all flights from O’Hare, LaGuardia, & Currently, over 20% of all flights from O’Hare, LaGuardia, & Newark are DelayedNewark are Delayed

– Bureau of Transportation StatisticsBureau of Transportation Statistics

source: U.S. Department of Transportation - Federal Aviation Administrationsource: U.S. Department of Transportation - Federal Aviation Administration

Customer NeedsCustomer Needs–Carry out short, mid-range missionsCarry out short, mid-range missions–Reduced flight delaysReduced flight delays–Low costLow cost

Proposed missions include flights Proposed missions include flights from Gary Chicago to Dallas Love Field, …693 nmifrom Gary Chicago to Dallas Love Field, …693 nmi

88

Customer Customer BenefitsBenefits “ “Flight delays cost the U.S. economy $15 billion a year”Flight delays cost the U.S. economy $15 billion a year” Mary E. Peters, United States Transportation Secretary, January 22Mary E. Peters, United States Transportation Secretary, January 22ndnd, 2008, 2008

Maximize profitsMaximize profits– Maximize Total RevenueMaximize Total Revenue

Reduce flight delays through direct flights to secondary Reduce flight delays through direct flights to secondary airportsairports

More flight services and availabilities More flight services and availabilities increase the increase the revenuerevenue for airlines. for airlines.

–Reduce CostsReduce Costs Operation costOperation cost

– Less idle time savesLess idle time saves aircraft fuel burn.aircraft fuel burn.

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CompetitorsCompetitors Types of TransportationTypes of Transportation

– AutomobilesAutomobiles– AirplanesAirplanes– TrainsTrains– Personal aircraft/ SkycarsPersonal aircraft/ Skycars

Airplane ManufacturesAirplane Manufactures– Range 1500-2000 nmiRange 1500-2000 nmi– 150-170 passenger capacity150-170 passenger capacity– Single isleSingle isle

1010

Airplane ManufacturersAirplane Manufacturers Aircraft within our size and Aircraft within our size and

range requirementsrange requirements– single aisle planessingle aisle planes

Competition includes Competition includes – N generation Boeing 737NG N generation Boeing 737NG

family and its replacement, the family and its replacement, the 737RS (Y1)737RS (Y1)

– the Airbus A320 series and its the Airbus A320 series and its replacement (NSR)replacement (NSR)

– Embraer’s E-Jets (spec. E-190 Embraer’s E-Jets (spec. E-190 and E-195)and E-195)

– the N+1 generation C110 and the N+1 generation C110 and C130 CSeries jets from C130 CSeries jets from Bombardier (Canadair)Bombardier (Canadair)

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Airplane ManufacturersAirplane Manufacturers

ARrival looked at aircraft ARrival looked at aircraft within our size and range within our size and range requirements (e.g. single requirements (e.g. single aisle planes)aisle planes)

Competition includes the N Competition includes the N generation Boeing 737NG generation Boeing 737NG family, the Airbus A320 family, the Airbus A320 series, Embraer’s E-Jets series, Embraer’s E-Jets (spec. E-190 and E-195), (spec. E-190 and E-195), and the N+1 generation and the N+1 generation C110 and C130 CSeries C110 and C130 CSeries jets from Bombardier jets from Bombardier (Canadair)(Canadair)

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Other CompetitorsOther Competitors

Personal Air VehiclesPersonal Air Vehicles

– The Skycar The Skycar

– Family CommutersFamily Commuters

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Too ExpensiveToo Expensive– Portugal estimates that the high speed rail line "connecting Lisbon Portugal estimates that the high speed rail line "connecting Lisbon

with Madrid and with Porto, due to be operational by 2013, is with Madrid and with Porto, due to be operational by 2013, is estimated to cost around 7.2 billion Euros”, according to Forbes. estimated to cost around 7.2 billion Euros”, according to Forbes. Compare the costs to the new international airport near Lisbon, Compare the costs to the new international airport near Lisbon, estimated at 3 billion Euros, and you can see why people are estimated at 3 billion Euros, and you can see why people are questioning the need.questioning the need.

– http://goeurope.about.com/b/2005/12/09/the-cost-of-high-speed-rail.htmhttp://goeurope.about.com/b/2005/12/09/the-cost-of-high-speed-rail.htm

Why High-Speed Trains are Not Why High-Speed Trains are Not a Competitora Competitor

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Mission ScenariosMission Scenarios

Relieve over congested airport hubsRelieve over congested airport hubs– Land at secondary airportsLand at secondary airports

Near and around major hubsNear and around major hubs Cutting travel time for passengersCutting travel time for passengers

– Half-runway landings and takeoffsHalf-runway landings and takeoffs Double number of takeoffs and landings on one Double number of takeoffs and landings on one

runwayrunway

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Most Congested AirportsMost Congested Airports Chicago O’HareChicago O’Hare Newark InternationalNewark International New York LaGuardiaNew York LaGuardia

AirportAirport Late Late FlightsFlights

Average Average Departure Departure DelaysDelays

Average Average Taxi-OutTaxi-Out

Average Average Scheduled Scheduled Departure Departure to Take-offto Take-off

Cancelled Cancelled FlightsFlights

Percent Percent Flights Flights LateLate

O’HareO’Hare 7,0937,093 55.14 min55.14 min 21.79 min21.79 min 76.93 min76.93 min 485485 22.17%22.17%

NewarkNewark 3,1373,137 69.87 min69.87 min 32.69 min32.69 min 102.56 min102.56 min 320320 24.35%24.35%

LaGuardiaLaGuardia 2,2182,218 59.40 min59.40 min 32.92 min32.92 min 92.33 min92.33 min 415415 21.15%21.15%

*Data taken from www.bts.gov

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Representative City-PairsRepresentative City-Pairs

Chicago, IL to Dallas, TXChicago, IL to Dallas, TX– Approx 697 nmiApprox 697 nmi

Newark, NJ to Charlotte, NCNewark, NJ to Charlotte, NC– Approx 460 nmiApprox 460 nmi

New York, NY to Miami, FLNew York, NY to Miami, FL– Approx 935 nmiApprox 935 nmi

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Chicago, IL to Dallas, TXChicago, IL to Dallas, TX

Using secondary airportsUsing secondary airports Gary ChicagoGary Chicago

– Runway 7,003 ftRunway 7,003 ft– 42 mi from Chicago O’Hare42 mi from Chicago O’Hare

Dallas Love FieldDallas Love Field– Runways 8,800 ft and 7,752 ftRunways 8,800 ft and 7,752 ft– 21 mi from Dallas International21 mi from Dallas International

Airport distance 693 nmiAirport distance 693 nmi

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Initial Mission ScenarioInitial Mission Scenario

Will have additional fuel in case of any Will have additional fuel in case of any necessity to loiter or land at alternate airportnecessity to loiter or land at alternate airport

Take off Gary Chicago

Climb

Cruise

Landing Descent

Land Dallas Love Field

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New York, NY to Miami, FLNew York, NY to Miami, FL

LaGuardia to Miami InternationalLaGuardia to Miami International Non-interfering spiral descent and landing Non-interfering spiral descent and landing

on half-runway at each airporton half-runway at each airport Airport distance 935 nmiAirport distance 935 nmi

2020

Take-Off LaGuardia

Climb

Cruise Landing Descent

Loiter

Land Miami International

Initial Mission ScenarioInitial Mission Scenario

Want extra loitering time in case of traffic on Want extra loitering time in case of traffic on runwaysrunways

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Charlotte, NC to Newark, NJCharlotte, NC to Newark, NJ Take off from Charlotte with half-runway Take off from Charlotte with half-runway

takeofftakeoff Land at secondary airport in NewarkLand at secondary airport in Newark

– Essex County Airport (CDW)Essex County Airport (CDW) 20 mi from Newark International20 mi from Newark International

Takeoff from EssesxTakeoff from Essesx– Without refuelingWithout refueling

Non-interfering spiral descent and landing Non-interfering spiral descent and landing on half-runway at Charlotteon half-runway at Charlotte

Airport distance 460 nmiAirport distance 460 nmi

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Initial Mission ScenarioInitial Mission Scenario

Round trip without refuelingRound trip without refueling

Take off Charlotte

Climb Climb

Land Essex County

Take off Essex County

Land Charlotte

Cruise Cruise

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Aircraft Payload/Passenger CapacityAircraft Payload/Passenger Capacity

Passenger capacity and payload still under Passenger capacity and payload still under discussiondiscussion– Based on sizingBased on sizing– Approximating 150 passengersApproximating 150 passengers

Weight limits on shorter runwaysWeight limits on shorter runways– 3,000-5,000ft average limit 30,000 lbs3,000-5,000ft average limit 30,000 lbs

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Significant WantsSignificant Wants

STOL/ESTOL capabilitySTOL/ESTOL capability Ability to operate in secondary airportsAbility to operate in secondary airports Reasonable cruise Mach numberReasonable cruise Mach number Mid-size passenger, payload capacityMid-size passenger, payload capacity Cost effectiveCost effective

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Mission RequirementsMission Requirements

Mission Requirements Descriptor Target Threshold

Takeoff Runway Length LTE 2500 ft 3000 ft

Landing Runway Length LTE 2500 ft 3000 ft

Height to Passenger Door Sill at OWE LTE 5 ft 9 ft

Height to Baggage Door Sill at OWE LTE 4 ft 6 ft

Typical Cruise Mach Number GTE 0.80   0.76  

Range w/ Max Payload GTE 2000 nmi 1500 nmi

Max Take-Off Weight LTE   lb   lb

Max Passengers (single class) GTE 170 pax 150 pax

Operating Cost ($US 2007) LTE 0.08 $/seat-mile 0.12 $/seat-mile

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New TechnologiesNew Technologies Advanced materials such as Advanced materials such as

CFRP which give a projected CFRP which give a projected weight reduction of about 15% weight reduction of about 15% over N generation competitors over N generation competitors from Airbus and Boeing and from Airbus and Boeing and 13% over Embraer’s E-Jets*13% over Embraer’s E-Jets*

Advances in propulsion such Advances in propulsion such as the geared turbofan (GTF) as the geared turbofan (GTF) and the Unducted Fan (UDF) and the Unducted Fan (UDF) for fuel efficiency and noise for fuel efficiency and noise reductionreduction

High lift through blown flaps, High lift through blown flaps, potential use of thrust potential use of thrust vectoringvectoring

Benchmarking with the Benchmarking with the EasyJet “EcoJet” concept for EasyJet “EcoJet” concept for “Green” technologies“Green” technologies

*Based off of Boeing 787 weight savings vs. its competitors

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New Technologies - CFRPNew Technologies - CFRP

Empty Weight Fraction Comparison

y = 3853.1x-0.6833 y = 549.16x-0.5221

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0 200000

400000

600000

800000

1E+06

TOGW

Em

pty

Wei

gh

t F

ract

ion

Airbus A330

Boeing 777

Boeing 787

Pow er (Boeing 787)

Pow er (Boeing 777)

Empty Weight Fraction Material Comparison

y = 233.08x-0.5017

y = 851.58x-0.6321

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70

0 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000

TOGW [lb]

Em

pty

Wei

ght F

ract

ion

Boeing/Airbus Current

Boeing/Airbus CFRP

Power (Boeing/AirbusCurrent)

Power (Boeing/Airbus CFRP)

Assuming the 787’s CFRP construction becomes the industry standard, ARrival applied the weight saving factor of the 787’s design over its peers to current generation Boeing and Airbus single aisle jets.

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BenchmarkingBenchmarking

Based off of ARrival’s projected requirements and the data Based off of ARrival’s projected requirements and the data from our main competitors, ARrival found the competitors from our main competitors, ARrival found the competitors that closely matched our aircraft’s preliminary that closely matched our aircraft’s preliminary specificationsspecifications

Weight savings data from Boeing 787 family over the 767 Weight savings data from Boeing 787 family over the 767 family, 777 family, and Airbus A330 family used to project family, 777 family, and Airbus A330 family used to project weight savings of a CFRP single-aisle plane vs. the weight savings of a CFRP single-aisle plane vs. the 737NG, A320 family, and the larger Embraer E-Jets 737NG, A320 family, and the larger Embraer E-Jets

Bombardier CSeries aircraft match our projected range Bombardier CSeries aircraft match our projected range requirements however, data for this type is sketchy as it is requirements however, data for this type is sketchy as it is an N+1 generation aircraft still in planningan N+1 generation aircraft still in planning

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Benchmarking with N Gen and N+1 Gen Competing A/C

Aircraft W0 [lb] We/W0 pax R [nmi]

Boeing 737-600 124000 0.66 110 3050

Boeing 737-700 133000 0.63 126 3260

Boeing 737-800 155500 0.58 162 2940

Boeing 737-900 164000 0.57 177 2745

Airbus A318 149900 0.58 107 3200

Airbus A319 166500 0.54 124 3700

Airbus A320 169800 0.55 150 3000

Airbus A321 206100 0.52 185 3050

Embraer 190 105359 0.57 106 2300

Embraer 195 107564 0.58 118 2100

Canadair C110-STD 118800 N/A 110 1800

Canadair C130-STD 129300 N/A 130 1800

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SummarySummary

System requirements driven by customer System requirements driven by customer wants and market outlookwants and market outlook

Use new technologies to meet system Use new technologies to meet system requirementsrequirements

Mission is to create an aircraft that will Mission is to create an aircraft that will relieve traffic and congestion at major hubsrelieve traffic and congestion at major hubs

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Next StepsNext Steps

Finalize major design requirementsFinalize major design requirements Plan out specific phases of missionsPlan out specific phases of missions Size aircraftSize aircraft Design aircraft interior layoutDesign aircraft interior layout Determine the use of advanced Determine the use of advanced

technologiestechnologies