1 transforming with the census ed christopher resource center planning team federal highway...
TRANSCRIPT
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Transforming with the Census
Ed Christopher Resource Center Planning TeamFederal Highway Administration
4749 Lincoln Mall Dr. Rm 600Matteson, IL 60443
How is the Transportation Community Transforming to meet the changes with
the Census Data?
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Back in the Day
Every 10 years the Census Bureau
Counted the Population (Short Form)
Sampled our Characteristics (Long Form)
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Short Form
10 Questions Name Sex Age
Relationship Hispanic Origin
Race Owner/RenterTelephone Number
Part Time ResidencyApril Residents
100% Population count
First Census 1790
Constitutionally Mandated
Sets Congressional Seats
Mandatory Participation $100 fine failing to respond $500 fine for lying
2010 is the 23rd Headcount
In 1930 Census Day became April 1st
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Long Form
1940 Sampling First Used
All HH Occupants
Constitutionally Mandated Questions
Questions Change Overtime
2000 was the LAST Decennial Long Form
17% Sample of Households (1 in 6)
~ 12 pages Monthly Mortgage
Real Estate TaxesIndoor Plumbing
IncomeOccupation
Educational LevelHousehold age
Number of Rooms
Why is the Long Form so important to us?
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OMB required-Metro Areas
Coded to City or County
No Special Tabulations
1960 -- JTW Question Arrives
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FHWA provided table specs
First DOT funding
43 Tables, “Caveat Emptor”
112 Purchasers, Local TAZs
Address coding (DIME) Block level
Urban Transportation Planning Package
1970--First Transportation Tables Produced
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Core Elements
Summarized data by Place of Residence Place of Work Flows between Home and Work
Custom Geography (Local TAZs)
Unique Universes (e.g. workers in HHs)
Designed and paid for by transportation planners for transportation planners
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Census Bureau hired JTW staff
-- better delivery-- geo QC
Work trip imputation (allocation)
150 Buyers
More detail data (more modes, vehicle occupancy, travel time)
1980--UTPP Expands
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Name changed from UTPP to CTPP
Wall-to-Wall Coverage (AASHTO/NARC pooled fund)
First state package
More data (departure time, occupancy)
Extraction software BTS CD release
1990--New Era Begins
Census Transportation Planning Package emerges
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CTPP Community matures
TRB Subcommittee (est. 1998)~Newsletter ~List Serve ~On Call assistance and outreach
Enhanced TAZ Definition process
Improved Extraction software
Disclosure Rules Emerge!!!
2000--CTPP Takes Hold
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Enter the ACS era…
2005--The Long Form goes away
- Continuous Survey Methodology- Conducted Monthly- About 1 in 40 Households Sampled per year- 250,000 Households Sampled per month- Same Transportation questions as 2000 Long Form- 3 basic Period Estimates Annual 65K+ 3-year > 20K 5-year, block Groups and up Smaller sample, Margins of Error (MOE)
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Census Transportation
Planning Products
The CTPP embodies a collection of Census Data used for Transportation Planning. With changing data needs and the ACS, there will be a variety of different products useful for transportation planning emanating from Census Data. There will be Special Tabulations, Standard Tables and even Value Added-products. The CTPP captures all of these.
Think of CTPP as a place to look for Census Data products to help with your Transportation needs
CTPP Transforms Itself
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Buyers/Users Direct Cost Tables
1960 OMB ??? ???
1970 112 $0.6 M 43
1980 152 $2.0 M 82
1990 $2.5 M 120
2000 $3.0 M 203
2005 +AASHTO
ConsolidatedPurchase
$5.8 MMultiple Products
All States and MPOs
Transformation over time
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All States + DC
AASHTO Led
Oversight Board
Five Year period ~ 2011 (2012)
AASHTO CTPP Program
Federal Technical Advisory GroupTRB Subcommittee -- List Serve (830 strong)Quarterly Newsletter -- OutreachSeveral Websites
Acquire Data and Develop Products 63%
Research, Training and Outreach 21%
Manage Program 3%
Board Discretion 12%
TOTAL $5,844,332
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StatesLaine Heltebridle, PA (Region I)Nathan Erlbaum, NY (Region I)Hui Wei Shen, FL (Region II)Paul Agnello, VA (Region II)
Phillip Mescher, IA (Region III)Ahmad Jaber, UT (Region IV)
Ayalew Adamu, CA (Region IV)
MPOsKuo-Ann Chiao, NYMTC
Steven Gayle, BMTSMell Henderson, MARCArash Mirzaei, NCTCOG
Guy Rousseau, ARCClara Reschovsky,MWCOG
Pete Swensson, TRPCVacant Ex Officio Members
Ed Christopher, FHWABrian McKenzie, Census Bureau
Alison Fields, Census BureauRich Denbow, AMPO
Elaine Murakami, FHWARobert Padgette, APTA
Alan Pisarski, ConsultantSteven Polzin, USF. CUTR
Nanda Srinivasan, TRB John Sprowls, FTA
Chair: Jennifer Finch, CO (Region IV)Vice Chair: Jonette Kreideweis, MN (Region III)
AASHTO Liaison:: Penelope Weinberger
17 voting members: 9 states and 8 MPOs
Consensus Decision Making
AASHTO CTPP Oversight Board (ACOB)
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Penelope WeinbergerCTPP Program Manager, AASHTO444 North Capitol Street NE Suite 249Washington, DC [email protected]://ctpp.transportation.org
Special Staff Additions
Brian McKenzieCTPP Program ManagerCensus [email protected]
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CTPP Data Products
CTPP 3-Year Main Product
September 2010
2006, 2007, 2008
20,000 Pop. Areas
(County, Place, PUMAs)
Actual Flows
http://trbcensus.com/products/
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The 3-year Product Design
2000 Geography
MSA – EACH Principal City
Metropolitan Statistical Area
State-POW PUMA
State-PUMA
State-Place
State-County-MCD
State-County
Nation (US Total)
Product Structure
3-PartsPart 1- Place of Residence
Part 2- Place of Work
Part 3- Flows between Home and Work
(with Extraction Software)
State
http://trbcensus.com/products/3-year_ACS/ctpptables-09apr01-rev2.xls
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3-year CTPP Product Summary
Highlights Low LightsBased on CTPP2000 Tables
Many NEW Univariate Tables
More Age Tables
Streamlined Race Tables
More HH and HH Lifecycle Tables
More English Proficiency Tables
Way more Flows Tables
Incomplete Coverage
RoundedReduced Number of Crosstabs with Mode
-- Travel time-- Household income-- Vehicle availability-- Age-- Time leaving home
Tables will have Suppression
-- Means based on 3 values
-- 3 records in Flow
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3-Year Data Profiles
Uses 2005-2007 ACSCompares to 2000Focused on TransportationIncludes Significance Tests
http://download.ctpp.transportation.org/profiles_2005-2007/ctpp_profiles.html
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CTPP 5-year data product
CTPP 5-Year Main Product
Fall 2012
2006, 07, 08, 09, 2010
Small Areas
(Tract, TAZ, Block Group)
New TAZs and TADS
Synthetic Data and Flows
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“NEW” TAZs Traffic Analysis Zones
http://trbcensus.com/notes/ACSTAZs.pdf
• Developed in Summer 2011
• TAZs will nest with TADs
• GIS equivalency process
• Funded under Consolidated Purchase
• FHWA is contacting state DOTs to set up contacts
TAZTraffic Analysis
Zone
Traditional Size
TADTraffic Analysis
District
20,000 population
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Building the 5-year data
Key product to the 5-year CTPP product
NCHRP Project 8-79 ($550K)Producing Transportation Data Products from the American Community Survey that Comply with Disclosure RulesContractor Westat Inc.
http://www.trb.org/TRBNet/ProjectDisplay.asp?ProjectID=2708
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Emerging Issues
Livability and performance measures
Light Rail Conundrum
Bad Urbanized Area Population data
Issues with ACS PUMS (0ver 65)
The Transformation Never Stops
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Resources
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“Status Report” newsletter
http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/ctpp/status.htm
http://www.trbcensus.com/newsletters.html
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ACS Data Profiles & AAHTO CTPP Page
http://ctpp.transportation.org
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Report 588 A Guidebook for Using ACS Data forTransportation Planning
275 pagesTrend AnalysisHow to recalculate
Margins of Error
http://onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/nchrp/nchrp_rpt_588.pdf
Training and Technical Assistance
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A Compass for Understanding And Using ACS Data
Set of user-specific handbooks
Train-the trainer materials
E-learning ACS Tutorial
http://www.census.gov/acs/www/UseData/Compass/compass_series.html
Working with ACS
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Recorded Webinars
http://ctpp.transportation.org/pages/webinars.aspx
Permanently housed on the AASHTO CTPP Website
As completed temporarily linked on the FHWA CTPP web room
http://fhwa.na3.acrobat.com/ctpp1
Recently completed June 18, 2010: Introduction to CTPP June 11, 2010: NEW webinar on Urbanized areas
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Getting Data - Census Standard Products
http://factfinder.census.gov
FactFinder
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What is on your mind?
http://www.edthefed.com/presentations/CTPPhistory(07-07-2010).ppt
For a free copy of these slides go to
http://www.dot.gov/ctpp
http://www.TRBcensus.com
http://ctpp.transportation.org