1 venture capitals across the pacific – today and beyond brian ann hotung capital management, inc....
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1
Venture Capitals Across the Pacific – Today and Beyond
Brian AnnHotung Capital Management,
Inc.San Jose, California
2
Looking Back at Silicon Valley
1937HP Founded
1951StanfordIndustrialPark (FredTerman)
1955SchockleyTransistor
1958FairchildSemiconductor
1976AppleComputer
• Silicon Valley was coined by journalist Don C. Hoefler in 1971 in a series of articles for ELECTRONIC NEWS
1981First PC by IBM
1993First BrowserMosaic
1994Netscape
1971Fist uPIntel
1984Cisco
3
The Scale of Technologies
1960 -The first planar integrated circuit by Fairchild Semiconductor.
1971- The 4004, Intel's first microprocessor
Today – Pentium 4
4
From Start-Up to Giant Intel:
Founded in 1968 with employees of 78,000 now Revenues: $34.2 billion (2004) 40% of revenue in 2003 came from Asia Pacific Went public in 1971. The total fund raised was $5.16
M. Its market cap is $156.55 B as of 5/17/05. Cisco went public in 1990 with $2.2 million of
private capital was invested Its market cap is $122.36 billion as of 5/17/05.
5
Venture Capital – A fact of life in SV
60 semiconductor companies were founded from 1961 to 1972 including NS, AMD, Intersil.
Other notable VCs include Don Valentine (funded Apple, Oracle, and Cisco), John Doerr (funded Compaq, Lotus, Sun and Amazon), and Michael Moritz (funded Yahoo!.)
And yet, a lot of companies were drowned by the busted bubbles.
6
US Venture Activities in #
VentureOne, Ernst & Young
Industry Group 1999 2000 2001 20022003
2004
Healthcare 616 817 614 540 492 496
Information Technology 2490 3624 1913 1348
1234
1235
Products & Services 1445 1798 664 396 302 271
Other 35 48 55 56 64 65
Grand Total 4586 6287 3246 2340209
2206
7
7
US Venture Activities in $ M
VentureOne, Ernst & Young
Industry Group 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Healthcare
$5,069.3
$9,415.4
$6,622.4
$5,759.7
$5,941.9
$6,578.4
Information Technology
$28,721.1
$59,143.5
$23,449.8
$13,131.5
$10,421.1
$11,342.7
Products & Services
$15,601.1
$25,552.2
$5,743.1
$2,523.6
$2,207.6
$2,162.0
Other $137.4 $447.8 $338.2 $401.4 $338.0 $325.3
Grand Total
$49,529.0
$94,558.9
$36,153.6
$21,816.2
$18,908.6
$20,408.3
8
US IPO in #
VentureOne, Ernst & Young
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Healthcare 15 57 11 8 8 39
Information Technology 177 108 10 5 10 16
Products & Services 56 34 1 7 4 12
Other 2 3
Grand Total 250 202 22 20 22 67
9
US M&A Statistics
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
# of Deals 304 458 402 379 335 376
Amount Paid ($M) $43,116.5 $98,102.5 $21,792.1 $10,782.9 $12,920 $22,643.5
Median Amount Raised to Liquidity ($M)* $11.30 $10.38 $14.73 $16.50 $19.00 $21.70
Source: VentureOne
10
Taiwan VC at a glance
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
# of Deals 1499 1850 614 603 1159
$ in NT$100M
295.92
308.03
81.46
117.4
165.4
TVCA Website
12
US vs. TW in US$M Invested
$100.00
$1,000.00
$10,000.00
$100,000.00
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
US
TW
13
The SV Characteristics
The Entrepreneurship The Capital Structure and Support The Infrastructure – hard and soft The Free-spirited Mindset
Anything is possible. The world is bigger than US. Failure is acceptable.
14
Innovations to Inventions From tubes to silicon, to PC, to networking,
and to Internet, Silicon Valley has re-invented again and again to continue its technology lead.
The innovations that created the fortune in SV also facilitated the outflow of jobs and assets.
The Internet is especially crucial as it breaks down the barriers of intellectual assets.
15
Silicon Valley in Transition
Internet changed people’s behaviors, and expedited the globalization.
It also created the bubbles and wealth in Silicon Valley.
However, SV is facing unprecedented challenges into the future as a result of the Internet.
16
Before and After
1996 2000 Now
Nasdaq 1058.65(Jan 1996)
5048 (3/10/2000)
2070.61 (3/4/2005)
IPO of SV Companies
67 78 17 (2004)
Ave. office rent/sq. ft.
$1.75 $4.2 $1.79 (2004)
Median house price
$270,000 $485,000 $610,500 (12/04)
Jobs in SC County
921,700 1,084,500 864,600 (12/04)
17
Challenges
A new ecosystem including many of the Asian countries
Outsourcing beyond just manufacturing
China becoming increasingly important in technology and market
Can Silicon Valley continue to lead?
18
A New Ecosystem
• Efficient and flexible manufacturing capabilities
• Strengths in application engineering and productization
• Successful OEM/ODM business model
• Technology transfer or licensing from U.S. and Japan
• Backward Integration based on OEM business
• Global logistic channels
• Quality engineering resources
• China connection - backyard
• Low-cost, high-volume manufacturing capabilities
• Increasing domestic demand and brands
• Improving Infrastructure
• Government support and foreign investments
• Qualified engineers & well-trained labors
• Industrial standards defined by China
• High-saving rate vs. consumption
• Innovations in technologies and marketing
• Leading position in high-tech development
• Multi-cultured talents
• Seasoned management and professionals
• Well-established capital markets
• Industrial standard development
• Huge market and brand names
19
The New Ecosystem - Taiwan The power house for semiconductor and
IT related products An important customer for many global
device and equipment firms, and a key supplier to the big OEM’s
Strong inroads into the value chain on cost sensitive consumer devices
Uniquely positioned in west meeting the east
Potential limited by the small domestic market.
20
The New Ecosystem - China The world factory in almost everything A key player in the global hi-tech value chai
n as a result of the huge talent pool, government subsidies, and foreign investments
Big domestic market fostering brand names like Huawei and Leveno competing with other global firms
Concerns on the politics and financial disciplines
21
Going Forward US and Taiwan face similar threats from
China and have no other choices but to leverage China and build own strengths to differentiate and win.
China will need continuous foreign investments and support to build the infrastructure.
However, the “hard” infrastructure will not be “hard” to build. The “soft” infrastructure will take generations.
22
Opportunities - SV SV has to invent again in nanotech, clean
energy, life science (e.g. stem cell), new internet business models/applications, and new enterprise applications.
The unique characteristics for innovation is hard to be found elsewhere.
The increasing productivity and outsourcing in Asia will result in a jobless recovery.
23
Taiwan at a Crucial Junction Move up or move out
Micro-profit not sustainable 3C is converging to just 1C- consumer
Cost pressure and commoditization Brands! Brands! Brands!
China in the center stage Cheap production and market potential Global venture capital interest Threats and opportunities
24
Opportunities – Taiwan Well positioned for the emerging 1C
trend Knowledge, leverage and differentiation
Expand upon the existing foundation Eye on the world with China as backyard New business models
The “soft” infrastructure New business practices Methodology, productivity, and efficiency M&A, 1+1>2