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15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 1 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System Aeronautics GmbH On behalf of IATA

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Page 1: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

15th Septmeber 2009

Chart 1

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

Application of WAFS Products

Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

Lufthansa System Aeronautics GmbH

On behalf of IATA

Page 2: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

15th Septmeber 2009

Chart 2

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

Agenda

Introduction

Current application of WAFS products

UAD – HiRes Trial

New WAFS Products – New Opportunities

Page 3: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

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Chart 3

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

Introduction

Safety

Passenger Comfort

Environmental Impact

Economic

Other

Page 4: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

15th Septmeber 2009

Chart 4

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

Agenda

Introduction

Current application of WAFS products

UAD – HiRes Trial

New WAFS Products – New Opportunities

Page 5: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

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Chart 5

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

Current application of WAFS products

UAD

Flight plan and fuel calculation

SIGWX as charts and in BUFR code formDispatcher information and crew briefing

Page 6: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

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Chart 6

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

Optimization process is separated in horizontal- and vertical forward optimization

Current application of WAFS products

Supported Optimization criteria:

MFT (minimum fuel track)

MTT (minimum time track)

MCT (minimum cost track)

MDT (minimum distance track)

Fixed or user defined tracks (predefined routes, OTS-tracks, route definition etc.)

Free Flight

Page 7: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

15th Septmeber 2009

Chart 7

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

Current application of WAFS products

Page 8: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

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Chart 8

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

Meteorological Data Products – Wind Chart

Page 9: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

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Chart 9

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

Meteorological Data Products – Cross Section

Page 10: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

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Chart 10

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

Meteorological Data Products – Wind Components

Page 11: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

15th Septmeber 2009

Chart 11

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

Meteorological Data Products – Icing Probability

Page 12: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

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Chart 12

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

Meteorological Data Products – SIGWX Chart

Page 13: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

15th Septmeber 2009

Chart 13

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

Agenda

Introduction

Current application of WAFS products

UAD – HiRes Trial

New WAFS Products – New Opportunities

Page 14: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

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Chart 14

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

UAD – HiRes Trial

Proposal for UAD improvement (WAFSOPSG/3 2006)

vertical resolution ― addition of two levels between FL 300 and 400-(12 hPa-levels + maxwind + tropopause)

horizontal resolution ― improvement to 60 km (appr. 0.5 degree)

temporal resolution ― increase to 3 hours or less (11 forecasts)

Page 15: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

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Chart 15

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

UAD – HiRes Trial

HiRes Trial Conclusion:

Thinned GRIB as currently used, does lose details of the original forecast

A horizontal resolution of 0.625 degree does not have significant different results than the horizontal resolution of 1.25 degree

A temporal resolution of 3 hours does give some differences although this is not remarkable

(Reason: the trial was performed in a season with low variation in the atmosphere)

Influence of Maxwind and Tropopause level is lower than the statistical standard deviation

HiRes-Data is more consistent

Page 16: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

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Chart 16

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

UAD – HiRes Trial

HiRes Trial Recommendation:

Replace Thinned GRIB by a regular grid net

Introduce a 3 hourly temporal resolution

Keep the horizontal resolution by 1.25 degree in longitude and latitude

Add three additional levels between FL240 and FL400 (not included in the project)

Page 17: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

15th Septmeber 2009

Chart 17

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

Agenda

Introduction

Current application of WAFS products

UAD – HiRes Trial

New WAFS Products – New Opportunities

Page 18: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

15th Septmeber 2009

Chart 18

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

New WAFS Products – New Opportunities

UAD in GRIB2:

Regular grid net

3 hourly temporal resolution

Horizontal resolution 1.25 x 1.25 degree in longitude and latitude

Add three additional levels between FL240 and FL400

Page 19: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

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Chart 19

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

New WAFS Products – New Opportunities

Advantages of UAD in GRIB2:

No loss of accuracy by thinning the grid

Improved description of rapid changes in the atmosphere

Improved forecast in the jet stream level band and for drift down

No changes in the weather products for dispatcher and pilots

Page 20: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

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Chart 20

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

New WAFS Products – New Opportunities

Disadvantages of UAD in GRIB2:

Longer distribution time

More storage capacity required

Possible more hardware performance required

Possible longer calculation time for optimization

New data decoder needed

Page 21: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

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Chart 21

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

New WAFS Products – New Opportunities

Additional WAFC gridded forecast:

icing

turbulence

cumulonimbus (CB) clouds

Page 22: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

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Chart 22

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

New WAFS Products – New Opportunities

Icing forecast:

Replacement of the simplified icing probability charts by more precise forecasts

Consideration of potential icing areas in optimistation for ETOPS flights

Once the reliability of the icing forecasts is approved, a reduction of the icing fuel penalties can be requested

Page 23: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

15th Septmeber 2009

Chart 23

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

New WAFS Products – New Opportunities

Turbulence and CB forecast:

Improved SIGWX information for dispatcher and pilots

Avoidance option in optimisation possible

Information also useable in EFB

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Chart 24

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

New WAFS Products – New Opportunities

Turbulence Avoidance:

Passenger comfort

Reduction of turbulence induced incidents with injuries

Reduction of aircraft maintenance

Avoiding turbulence during planning has no significant impact in fuel, costs and flight time,

(Pre-requisit: Forecast is reliable)

Page 25: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

15th Septmeber 2009

Chart 25

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

New WAFS Products – New Opportunities

Page 26: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

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Chart 26

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

New WAFS Products – New Opportunities

Page 27: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

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Chart 27

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

New WAFS Products – New Opportunities

Turbulence Avoidance:

Flying under or over turbulence area

Flying around turbulence area

Additional fuel in the exampel 300 KG (under) resp. 1200 KG (around)

Page 28: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

15th Septmeber 2009

Chart 28

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

Thank you for your attention !

Page 29: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

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Chart 29

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

Page 30: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

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Chart 30

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

Page 31: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

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Chart 31

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

Page 32: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

MET Services

Page 33: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

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Chart 33

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

Algorithm to calculate wind component and temperature for a segment

Current application of WAFS products

Page 34: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

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Chart 34

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

Current application of WAFS products

The upper air data contain the following flight planning relevant information in a grid resolution of 1.25 x 1.25 degree:

hPa 100 Wind, TemperaturehPa 150 Wind, TemperaturehPa 200 Wind, TemperaturehPa 250 Wind, TemperaturehPa 300 Wind, TemperaturehPa 400 Wind, TemperaturehPa 500 Wind, Temperature, rel. HumidityhPa 600 Wind, Temperature, rel. HumidityhPa 700 Wind, Temperature, rel. HumidityhPa 850 Wind, Temperature, rel. Humidity

Tropopause Level Height, Temperature

Maxwind Level Height, Wind

Page 35: 15th Septmeber 2009 Chart 0 WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009 MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Application of WAFS Products Hans-Rudi Sonnabend Lufthansa System

15th Septmeber 2009

Chart 35

WAFS Workshop – Paris 2009MET Services, Hans-Rudi Sonnabend

Current application of WAFS products

TO_WPT FROM_WPT Costs

ABC

DEPDEPDEP

212523

AA

EB

5240

CG 45BB

EF

4953

GG

FJ

7379

EE

KH

8475

FF

HI

7067

II

LM

9685

HL 86JM 119KO 117KL 109MQ 115LP 118QDEST 134OP 136PDEST 130

DEP DEST

16

40

19

12

19

J

28

34

I14

17

O33

25

Q30

P32

F24

28

D

E

19

31

G22

A

B

C

2125

23

H

K

35

26L

M18

29

internal worklist