17th german corporate conference - salzgitter ag...2015 2016 q1-q3 2017 china russia ukraine turkey...
TRANSCRIPT
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17th German Corporate Conference
Prof. Dr.-Ing. Heinz Jörg Fuhrmann, Chairman of the Executive BoardFrankfurt, January 15, 2018
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1 Market Situation2 Financials3 Strategy4 Guidance
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Environment IMarket Situation
For the most part stagnating industrial production in the EU; raw material prices very volatile
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Raw materials
Iron ore(62% Fe CFR China,
US$/dmt)
Coking coal(FOB Australia,
US$/t)
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Jan 07 Jan 09 Jan 11 Jan 13 Jan 15 Jan 17
Industrial production
(Jan. 2007 = 100)
France Italy SpainGermany GB
78%82%
92%94%
108%
10/17
Source industrial production: Eurostat, own calculations, last data point October 2017
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0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2015 2016 Q1-Q3 2017
China Russia Ukraine Turkey India Rest
Environment IIMarket Situation
International trade policy
International trade policy dominated by protectionism;European AD-measures against China having impact – steel imports into the EU remain at a high level
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Steel imports into the EU-28
Import of finished steel products (1,000 t/month)
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250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
Jan 15 Jul 15 Jan 16 Jul 16 Jan 17 Jul 17 Jan 18
Following a period of recent rises, steel prices are stabilizing at the moment; different trading policies result in regional price variations
Steel pricesMarket Situation
Spot prices Northern Europe
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Hot-rolled coil prices international
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Northern Europe EXW Ruhr USA EXW Indiana China Schanghai
(€/t) (€/t)
HRC EXW Ruhr Plate EXW Ruhr Medium sections
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450
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550
600
650
700
Jan 15 Jul 15 Jan 16 Jul 16 Jan 17 Jul 17 Jan 18
01/18
01/18
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1,604 1,530 1,423 1,549
1,8971,457 1,339 1,393
9071,177 1,247
1,429
391 581 645761
654 964 1,1131,123
1,346 1,4891,702 1,872344
358386 386
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
2017 2023 2030 cons. 2030 prog.
Drivetrain
Chassis
Alu.
PHS
UHSS
AHSS
HSS
LSS
2025-2030
Stability
ModerateGrowth
ModerateGrowth
Electromobility…
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Market Situation
…is more opportunity than threat for Salzgitter Group!
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-
Rising vehicleproduction
Smaller drivetrains
+ Rising vehicleproduction
Steel canreplace alu.
+ Rising vehicleproduction
Reinforcedchassis
+
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Strip steel demand for SZFG-relevant OEM 2030 (EU28)
Bod
y
(Tt)
Source strip steel demand: EurocarBody, PWC Autofacts, own calculations; Low Strength-, High Strength-, Advanced High Strength-, Ultra High Strength Steel, Press Hardening Steelengl
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Cold roller
Autobody
Autochassis
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1 Market Situation2 Financials3 Strategy4 Guidance
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Key data per 2017/09/30
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Financials
Best result for a nine-month period since 2008
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9M 2017 9M 2016 Δ Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2017
Crude steel production kt 5,151.0 5,171.6 -20.6 1,735.7 1,675.7 1,739.6
External sales1 € million 6,813.2 5,860.5 952.8 2,197.1 2,262.3 2,353.9
Earnings before tax € million 174.5 21.1 153.3 74.2 23.1 77.1
Earnings after tax € million 112.6 14.6 98.1 48.0 15.9 48.7
Earnings per share ndiluted) € 2.01 0.21 1.80 0.87 0.27 0.87
ROCE % 7.9 2.1 5.8 9.3 4.0 10.3
Core workforce2 23,276 23,356 -80 23,276 23,296 23,287
1 only from entities within the Group of Consolidated Companies of Salzgitter Group 2 per reporting date
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9M 2017 9M 2016
Earnings before taxes € million 174.5 21.1
Strip Steel € million 159.2 -27.4
Plate / Section Steel € million -18.7 -24.7
Mannesmann € million 1.4 2.4
Trading € million 44.8 31.7
Technology € million 17.8 17.1
Indust. Participation / Consolidation € million -30.0 22.0
thereof Aurubis investment* € million -8.7 16.8
Earnings development of business units
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Financials
*) including € -80.0 million in valuation effects from the exchangeable bond (9M 2016: € -16.7 million)
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Salzgitter Group on course with third earnings increase in sequence
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1 Market Situation2 Financials3 Strategy4 Guidance
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Programs of measures
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Strategy
2017 – 2021> € 200 million p.a. additional profit contributions
Group Strategy SZAG 2021
FitStructure SZAG
Growth programs
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Organic growth in product areas with high contribution margins Develop potential through investments and R&D initiatives Expansion of the share of non-steel sales from currently 40% to 50%
Focus on cost savings and efficiency enhancement Substantial part from heavy plate companies and Mannesmann Business Unit
2017 – 2021Around € 170 million p.a. earnings improvement potential
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Strategic cornerstones for the development of the Group
Rolled steel production and parts of the tubes production can only grow qualitatively, not quantitatively.
Quantitative growth is possible exclusively in activities apart from steel – especially in the Technology Business Unit.
External growth on a larger scale is not mandatorily necessary for the development of the business units –can, however, be desirable for the Technology Business Unit, especially for product and technology expansion.
Goal: Stipulations:
SZAG 2021 growth programs
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Steel-related Less steel-related
60% 40%
50% 50%2021
2016
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Strategy
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Key component in the group’s “Salzgitter AG 2021” strategy
SZAG 2021 – example Hot-Dip Galvanizing Line 3
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Strategy
Strategy SZAG 2021 – focus on growth Satisfaction of rising quality requirements by customers Reinforcement of the market position in the
automotive segment Expansion of the galvanizing capacity
FitStructure SZAG – cost cutting and efficiency improvement Shortening of retooling standstills due to greater
specialization of the lines within the galvanizing shop along distinct product divisions
Goal: Compensation of the market-induced lower demand for
elo-galvanized steel Satisfaction of higher demand for high- and ultra high-
strength hot-dip galvanized steels
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Key component in the group’s “Salzgitter AG 2021” strategy
SZAG 2021 – example Precision Tubes
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Strategy
Structural tube
AirbagsPump case
Stabilizers
Suspension components
Seat belt- IHU/IHVfixings
Engine-components
Drive shaftsDrivetrain and steering components
Camshafts
Strategy SZAG 2021 – focus on growth Expansion of the plant in Mexico Construction of a production line for thick-walled tubes Upgrade of the existing finishing line
FitStructure SZAG – cost cutting and efficiency improvement Realignment of Mannesmann Precision Tubes Group as a
technology provider Program comprising 180 individual measures
Goal: Sustainable pre-tax margin of 5% as of 2021 Growth with profitable products Extension of the value chain Growth through internationalization
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1 Market Situation2 Financials3 Strategy4 Guidance
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Salzgitter Group – Guidance from November 14, 2017Guidance
We affirm our earnings forecast for the financial year 2017 that we raised on October 24, 2017 and anticipate:
a pre-tax profit of between € 175 million and € 225 million, as well as
a return on capital employed (ROCE) that discernibly exceeds the previous year's figure.
an increase in sales to around € 9 billion,
Legal Note and other remarks
We make reference to the fact that opportunities and risks from currently unforeseeable trends in selling prices, input material prices and capacity level developments, as well as changes in the exchange rates, may still significantly affect performance in the course of the financial year 2017.
To the extent that this presentation contains statements oriented towards or related to the future, such statements are based on our current state of knowledge and the estimates based on such knowledge made by the management of Salzgitter AG. However, as is the case with any forecasts or prognosis, such statements are also subject to uncertainties and risks. Notwithstanding prevailing statutory provisions and capital market law in particular, we are not obligated to update this data. In particular, we shall not assume liability of any kind for knowledge and statements, as well as any acts resulting on the basis of such knowledge or statements that emanate directly or indirectly from the analysis of the data, content and correlations of this document. The information and data made available do not represent an encouragement or invitation to buy, sell or conduct any other type of trade in securities. Salzgitter AG shall neither assume liability for direct nor indirect damages, including lost profits, arising as a result of the utilization of the information or data contained in this document.
For computational reasons, rounding-off differences of +/– one unit (€, % etc.) may occur in the tables. This document is also available in German language. In the event of any discrepancy, the German version shall prevail.
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SZAG
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17th German Corporate Conference
Prof. Dr.-Ing. Heinz Jörg Fuhrmann, Chairman of the Executive BoardFrankfurt, January 15, 2018