19 - 1 copyright mcgraw-hill/irwin, 2002 classical economics and keynes classical theory keynesian...

24
19 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Classical Economi cs and Keynes Classical Theory Keynesian View Causes of Macro I nstability Real Business Cyc le View Does the Economy Self-Correct? New Classical Vie w of Self-Correct ion Rules or Discreti on Rationale for Mon etary Rule Key Terms Previo us Slide Next Slid e End Show Disputes Over Macro Theory and Policy 19 C H A P T E R

Upload: cody-barry

Post on 26-Mar-2015

214 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: 19 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Classical Economics and Keynes Classical Theory Keynesian View Causes of Macro Instability Real Business Cycle

19 - 1Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro Instability

Real Business Cycle View

Does the Economy Self-Correct?

New Classical View of Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary Rule

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

Disputes Over MacroTheory and Policy

19C H A P T E R

Page 2: 19 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Classical Economics and Keynes Classical Theory Keynesian View Causes of Macro Instability Real Business Cycle

19 - 2Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro Instability

Real Business Cycle View

Does the Economy Self-Correct?

New Classical View of Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary Rule

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

CLASSICAL ECONOMICS AND KEYNES

Classical Economics

Adam Smith - 1776Laissez-faireThe Classical ViewVertical Aggregate Supply CurveStable Aggregate DemandReal Output Depends Upon…•Quantity of money possessed by households & businesses•Purchasing power of money is determined by the price level

Page 3: 19 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Classical Economics and Keynes Classical Theory Keynesian View Causes of Macro Instability Real Business Cycle

19 - 3Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro Instability

Real Business Cycle View

Does the Economy Self-Correct?

New Classical View of Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary Rule

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

Classical Theory

P1

Q1

Pri

ce L

evel

Real Domestic Output

AS

AD1

Page 4: 19 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Classical Economics and Keynes Classical Theory Keynesian View Causes of Macro Instability Real Business Cycle

19 - 4Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro Instability

Real Business Cycle View

Does the Economy Self-Correct?

New Classical View of Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary Rule

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

Classical Theory

P1

Q1

P2

Pri

ce L

evel

Real Domestic Output

AS

AD1

AD2

Page 5: 19 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Classical Economics and Keynes Classical Theory Keynesian View Causes of Macro Instability Real Business Cycle

19 - 5Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro Instability

Real Business Cycle View

Does the Economy Self-Correct?

New Classical View of Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary Rule

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

CLASSICAL ECONOMICS AND KEYNES

Keynesian EconomicsJohn Maynard Keynes, 1930sThe Keynesian ViewPrices and Wages Downwardly InflexibleActive Government Policy Required to Stabilize the EconomyHorizontal Aggregate Supply Curve to Full-EmploymentUnstable Aggregate Demand

Page 6: 19 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Classical Economics and Keynes Classical Theory Keynesian View Causes of Macro Instability Real Business Cycle

19 - 6Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro Instability

Real Business Cycle View

Does the Economy Self-Correct?

New Classical View of Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary Rule

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

Keynesian View

P1

Q1

Pri

ce L

evel

Real Domestic Output

AS

AD1

Page 7: 19 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Classical Economics and Keynes Classical Theory Keynesian View Causes of Macro Instability Real Business Cycle

19 - 7Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro Instability

Real Business Cycle View

Does the Economy Self-Correct?

New Classical View of Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary Rule

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

Keynesian View

P1

Q1

Pri

ce L

evel

Real Domestic Output

AS

AD1

AD2

Q2

Page 8: 19 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Classical Economics and Keynes Classical Theory Keynesian View Causes of Macro Instability Real Business Cycle

19 - 8Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro Instability

Real Business Cycle View

Does the Economy Self-Correct?

New Classical View of Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary Rule

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

CAUSES OF MACRO INSTABILITY

Ca + Ig + Xn + G = GDP

Equation of Exchange

M V = P Q = GDP

Changes in InvestmentMainstream View

Monetarist View

Adverse Aggregate Supply Shocks

Stable Velocity

Page 9: 19 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Classical Economics and Keynes Classical Theory Keynesian View Causes of Macro Instability Real Business Cycle

19 - 9Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro Instability

Real Business Cycle View

Does the Economy Self-Correct?

New Classical View of Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary Rule

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

CAUSES OF MACRO INSTABILITY

Instability of Investment is the Main Cause of Output ChangesMonetary Policy is a Stabilizing Factor

Mainstream View

Monetarist ViewWith a Stable Velocity, Nominal GDP Depends Upon the Money Supply

Summary

Page 10: 19 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Classical Economics and Keynes Classical Theory Keynesian View Causes of Macro Instability Real Business Cycle

19 - 10Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro Instability

Real Business Cycle View

Does the Economy Self-Correct?

New Classical View of Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary Rule

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

Real Business Cycle ViewReal-Business-Cycle Theory

P1

Pri

ce L

evel

Real Domestic Output

ASLR1

AD1

Q1

Page 11: 19 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Classical Economics and Keynes Classical Theory Keynesian View Causes of Macro Instability Real Business Cycle

19 - 11Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro Instability

Real Business Cycle View

Does the Economy Self-Correct?

New Classical View of Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary Rule

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

Real Business Cycle ViewReal-Business-Cycle Theory

P1

Q2

Pri

ce L

evel

Real Domestic Output

ASLR1

AD1

Q1

ASLR2

Page 12: 19 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Classical Economics and Keynes Classical Theory Keynesian View Causes of Macro Instability Real Business Cycle

19 - 12Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro Instability

Real Business Cycle View

Does the Economy Self-Correct?

New Classical View of Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary Rule

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

Real Business Cycle ViewReal-Business-Cycle Theory

P1

Q2

Pri

ce L

evel

Real Domestic Output

ASLR1

AD1

AD2

Q1

ASLR2

RecessionWith StablePrice Levels

Page 13: 19 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Classical Economics and Keynes Classical Theory Keynesian View Causes of Macro Instability Real Business Cycle

19 - 13Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro Instability

Real Business Cycle View

Does the Economy Self-Correct?

New Classical View of Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary Rule

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

Real Business Cycle ViewReal-Business-Cycle Theory

P1

Q2

Pri

ce L

evel

Real Domestic Output

ASLR1

AD1

AD2

Q1

ASLR2

RecessionWith StablePrice Levels

CoordinationFailures

CoordinationFailures

Page 14: 19 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Classical Economics and Keynes Classical Theory Keynesian View Causes of Macro Instability Real Business Cycle

19 - 14Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro Instability

Real Business Cycle View

Does the Economy Self-Correct?

New Classical View of Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary Rule

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

DOES THE ECONOMY SELF-CORRECT?

New Classical View

Self-Correction? Rational Expectations TheorySpeed of AdjustmentUnanticipated Price Changes

“Price Level Surprises”Fully Anticipated Price-Level Changes

Page 15: 19 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Classical Economics and Keynes Classical Theory Keynesian View Causes of Macro Instability Real Business Cycle

19 - 15Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro Instability

Real Business Cycle View

Does the Economy Self-Correct?

New Classical View of Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary Rule

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

Q1

Pri

ce L

evel

Real Domestic Output

AD1

ASLR

P1

An increase in ADAS1

Self-Correction

a

NEW CLASSICAL VIEW OF SELF-CORRECTION

Page 16: 19 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Classical Economics and Keynes Classical Theory Keynesian View Causes of Macro Instability Real Business Cycle

19 - 16Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro Instability

Real Business Cycle View

Does the Economy Self-Correct?

New Classical View of Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary Rule

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

P2

Q1

Pri

ce L

evel

Real Domestic Output

AD2

AD1

ASLR

P1

An increase in ADAS1

Self-Correction

a

b

NEW CLASSICAL VIEW OF SELF-CORRECTION

Page 17: 19 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Classical Economics and Keynes Classical Theory Keynesian View Causes of Macro Instability Real Business Cycle

19 - 17Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro Instability

Real Business Cycle View

Does the Economy Self-Correct?

New Classical View of Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary Rule

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

P2

Q1

Pri

ce L

evel

Real Domestic Output

AD2

AD1

ASLR

P1

An increase in ADAS1

AS2

P3

Self-Correction

a

bc

NEW CLASSICAL VIEW OF SELF-CORRECTION

Page 18: 19 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Classical Economics and Keynes Classical Theory Keynesian View Causes of Macro Instability Real Business Cycle

19 - 18Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro Instability

Real Business Cycle View

Does the Economy Self-Correct?

New Classical View of Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary Rule

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

Mainstream View

Downward Wage InflexibilityEfficiency Wage Theory

•Greater Work Effort•Lower Supervision Costs•Reduced Job Turnover

Insider-Outsider Theory and Relationships

DOES THE ECONOMY SELF-CORRECT?

Page 19: 19 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Classical Economics and Keynes Classical Theory Keynesian View Causes of Macro Instability Real Business Cycle

19 - 19Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro Instability

Real Business Cycle View

Does the Economy Self-Correct?

New Classical View of Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary Rule

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

RULES OR DISCRETION?

Monetary RuleBalanced Budget

In Support of Policy Rules

In Defense of Discretionary Stabilization Policy

Discretionary Monetary Policy

Discretionary Fiscal PolicyIncreased Macro Stability

Page 20: 19 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Classical Economics and Keynes Classical Theory Keynesian View Causes of Macro Instability Real Business Cycle

19 - 20Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro Instability

Real Business Cycle View

Does the Economy Self-Correct?

New Classical View of Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary Rule

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

RATIONALE FOR A MONETARY RULEFederal Reserve Increases Money Supply at the Long-Run Growth Rate of GDP

P1

Q1

Pri

ce L

evel

Real Domestic Output, GDP

AD1

Q2

ASLR1

Fed IncreasesThe Money

SupplyResulting in…

ASLR2

P2

Page 21: 19 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Classical Economics and Keynes Classical Theory Keynesian View Causes of Macro Instability Real Business Cycle

19 - 21Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro Instability

Real Business Cycle View

Does the Economy Self-Correct?

New Classical View of Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary Rule

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

RATIONALE FOR A MONETARY RULEFederal Reserve Increases Money Supply at the Long-Run Growth Rate of GDP

P1

Q1

Pri

ce L

evel

Real Domestic Output, GDP

ASLR2

AD2

AD1

Q2

ASLR1

GrowthWithout

Inflation orDeflation

P2

Page 22: 19 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Classical Economics and Keynes Classical Theory Keynesian View Causes of Macro Instability Real Business Cycle

19 - 22Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro Instability

Real Business Cycle View

Does the Economy Self-Correct?

New Classical View of Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary Rule

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

RULES OR DISCRETION?

Summary of Alternative Views

Chapter Conclusions

Page 23: 19 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Classical Economics and Keynes Classical Theory Keynesian View Causes of Macro Instability Real Business Cycle

classical viewKeynesian viewmonetarismequation of exchangevelocityreal-business-cycle theorycoordination failuresrational expectations theorynew classical economicsprice-level surprisesefficiency wageinsider-outsider theorymonetary rule

ENDBACKCopyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin 2002

Page 24: 19 - 1 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Classical Economics and Keynes Classical Theory Keynesian View Causes of Macro Instability Real Business Cycle

19 - 24Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002

Classical Economics and Keynes

Classical Theory

Keynesian View

Causes of Macro Instability

Real Business Cycle View

Does the Economy Self-Correct?

New Classical View of Self-Correction

Rules or Discretion

Rationale for Monetary Rule

Key Terms

PreviousSlide

NextSlide

EndShow

Next:

SupplyAnd

DemandElasticities AndGovernment-Set Prices

Chapter 20