1.frontmatter
TRANSCRIPT
P1: BINAYA KUMAR DASH
February 23, 2010 18:19 C7287 C7287˙C000
© 2010 by Taylor and Francis Group, LLC
P1: BINAYA KUMAR DASH
February 23, 2010 18:19 C7287 C7287˙C000
© 2010 by Taylor and Francis Group, LLC
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
RM
IT U
nive
rsity
] at
18:
32 2
6 Ja
nuar
y 20
14
P1: BINAYA KUMAR DASH
February 23, 2010 18:19 C7287 C7287˙C000
© 2010 by Taylor and Francis Group, LLC
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
RM
IT U
nive
rsity
] at
18:
32 2
6 Ja
nuar
y 20
14
P1: BINAYA KUMAR DASH
February 23, 2010 18:19 C7287 C7287˙C000
CRC Press
Taylor & Francis Group
6000 Broken Sound Parkway NW, Suite 300
Boca Raton, FL 33487-2742
© 2010 by Taylor and Francis Group, LLC
CRC Press is an imprint of Taylor & Francis Group, an Informa business
No claim to original U.S. Government works
Printed in the United States of America on acid-free paper
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
International Standard Book Number: 978-1-4200-7287-7 (Hardback)
This book contains information obtained from authentic and highly regarded sources. Reasonable efforts have been
made to publish reliable data and information, but the author and publisher cannot assume responsibility for the valid-
ity of all materials or the consequences of their use. The authors and publishers have attempted to trace the copyright
holders of all material reproduced in this publication and apologize to copyright holders if permission to publish in this
form has not been obtained. If any copyright material has not been acknowledged please write and let us know so we may
rectify in any future reprint.
Except as permitted under U.S. Copyright Law, no part of this book may be reprinted, reproduced, transmitted, or uti-
lized in any form by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopy-
ing, microfilming, and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without written permission from the
publishers.
For permission to photocopy or use material electronically from this work, please access www.copyright.com (http://
www.copyright.com/) or contact the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc. (CCC), 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923,
978-750-8400. CCC is a not-for-profit organization that provides licenses and registration for a variety of users. For
organizations that have been granted a photocopy license by the CCC, a separate system of payment has been arranged.
Trademark Notice: Product or corporate names may be trademarks or registered trademarks, and are used only for
identification and explanation without intent to infringe.
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Handbook of spatial statistics / [edited by] Alan E. Gelfand … [et al.].
p. cm. -- (Chapman & Hall/CRC handbooks of modern statistical methods)
Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN 978-1-4200-7287-7 (hardcover : alk. paper)
1. Spatial analysis (Statistics) 2. Mathematical statistics--Methodology. I. Gelfand, Alan E., 1945-
II. Title. III. Series.
QA278.2.H374 2010
519.5--dc22 2010006620
Visit the Taylor & Francis Web site at
http://www.taylorandfrancis.com
and the CRC Press Web site at
http://www.crcpress.com
© 2010 by Taylor and Francis Group, LLC
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
RM
IT U
nive
rsity
] at
18:
32 2
6 Ja
nuar
y 20
14
P1: BINAYA KUMAR DASH
February 23, 2010 18:19 C7287 C7287˙C000
Contents
Preface . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ix
List of Contributors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .xi
Part I Introduction
1. Historical Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3Peter J. Diggle
Part II Continuous Spatial Variation
2. Continuous Parameter Stochastic Process Theory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17Tilmann Gneiting and Peter Guttorp
3. Classical Geostatistical Methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29Dale L. Zimmerman and Michael Stein
4. Likelihood-Based Methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .45Dale L. Zimmerman
5. Spectral Domain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57Montserrat Fuentes and Brian Reich
6. Asymptotics for Spatial Processes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79Michael Stein
7. Hierarchical Modeling with Spatial Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .89Christopher K. Wikle
8. Low-Rank Representations for Spatial Processes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .107Christopher K. Wikle
9. Constructions for Nonstationary Spatial Processes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119Paul D. Sampson
10. Monitoring Network Design . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 131James V. Zidek and Dale L. Zimmerman
11. Non-Gaussian and Nonparametric Models for Continuous Spatial Data . . . . . . . 149Mark F.J. Steel and Montserrat Fuentes
v
© 2010 by Taylor and Francis Group, LLC
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
RM
IT U
nive
rsity
] at
18:
32 2
6 Ja
nuar
y 20
14
P1: BINAYA KUMAR DASH
February 23, 2010 18:19 C7287 C7287˙C000
vi Contents
Part III Discrete Spatial Variation
12. Discrete Spatial Variation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 171Havard Rue and Leonhard Held
13. Conditional and Intrinsic Autoregressions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 201Leonhard Held and Havard Rue
14. Disease Mapping . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 217Lance Waller and Brad Carlin
15. Spatial Econometrics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 245R. Kelley Pace and James LeSage
Part IV Spatial Point Patterns
16. Spatial Point Process Theory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 263Marie-Colette van Lieshout
17. Spatial Point Process Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .283Valerie Isham
18. Nonparametric Methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 299Peter J. Diggle
19. Parametric Methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 317Jesper Møller
20. Modeling Strategies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .339Adrian Baddeley
21. Multivariate and Marked Point Processes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 371Adrian Baddeley
22. Point Process Models and Methods in Spatial Epidemiology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .403Lance Waller
Part V Spatio-Temporal Processes
23. Continuous Parameter Spatio-Temporal Processes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 427Tilmann Gneiting and Peter Guttorp
24. Dynamic Spatial Models Including Spatial Time Series . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .437Dani Gamerman
25. Spatio-Temporal Point Processes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 449Peter J. Diggle and Edith Gabriel
© 2010 by Taylor and Francis Group, LLC
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
RM
IT U
nive
rsity
] at
18:
32 2
6 Ja
nuar
y 20
14
P1: BINAYA KUMAR DASH
February 23, 2010 18:19 C7287 C7287˙C000
Contents vii
26. Modeling Spatial Trajectories . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 463David R. Brillinger
27. Data Assimilation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 477Douglas W. Nychka and Jeffrey L. Anderson
Part VI Additional Topics
28. Multivariate Spatial Process Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 495Alan E. Gelfand and Sudipto Banerjee
29. Misaligned Spatial Data: The Change of Support Problem . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 517Alan E. Gelfand
30. Spatial Aggregation and the Ecological Fallacy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .541Jonathan Wakefield and Hilary Lyons
31. Spatial Gradients and Wombling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .559Sudipto Banerjee
Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 577
© 2010 by Taylor and Francis Group, LLC
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
RM
IT U
nive
rsity
] at
18:
32 2
6 Ja
nuar
y 20
14
P1: BINAYA KUMAR DASH
February 23, 2010 18:19 C7287 C7287˙C000
Preface
Spatial statistics has an unusual history as a field within the discipline of statistics. Thestochastic process theory that underlies much of the field was developed within the math-ematical sciences by probabilists, whereas, early on, much of the statistical methodologywas developed quite independently. In fact, this methodology grew primarily from thedifferent areas of application, including mining engineering, which led to the develop-ment of geostatistics by Matheron and colleagues; agriculture with spatial considerationsinformed by the thinking of Fisher on randomization and blocking; and forestry, whichwas the setting for the seminal PhD thesis of Matern. As a result, for many years spatialstatistics labored on the fringe of mainstream statistics. However, the past 20 years hasseen an explosion of interest in space and space–time problems. This has been largely fu-eled by the increased availability of inexpensive, high-speed computing (as has been thecase for many other areas). Such availability has enabled the collection of large spatial andspatio-temporal datasets across many fields, has facilitated the widespread usage of sophis-ticated geographic information systems (GIS) software to create attractive displays, and hasendowed the ability to investigate (fit and infer under) challenging, evermore appropriateand realistic models.
In the process, spatial statistics has been brought into the mainstream of statistical researchwith a proliferation of books (including this one), conferences and workshops, as well ascourses and short courses. Moreover, while there has been a body of strong theoreticalwork developed since the 1950s (Whittle, Bartlett, Besag, etc.), it is safe to say that, broadly,spatial statistics has been changed from a somewhat ad hoc field to a more model-drivenone. Though the entire field continues to be in flux, we, as editors taking on this project,feel that it is now mature enough to warrant a handbook. In this regard, we hope that thisvolume will serve as a worthy successor to Noel Cressie’s (1993) encyclopedic effort, whichhas served as the “handbook” since its publication. However, this observation further arguesthe need for a new handbook. In addition to a dramatic increase in size since Cressie’s bookappeared, the literature has become exceptionally diverse, in part due to the diversity ofapplications. Collecting a review of the major portion of this work in one place, with anextensive bibliography, should certainly assist future research in the field.
Spatial statistics is generally viewed as being comprised of three major branches: (1) con-tinuous spatial variation, i.e., point referenced data; (2) discrete spatial variation, includinglattice and areal unit data; and (3) spatial point patterns. However, this handbook consistsof 31 chapters spread over six sections. Our rationale is as follows. The three main areasform the subject matter of Parts II, III and IV, respectively, and span the majority of the book.However, we felt that a historical introduction detailing the aforementioned evolution ofthe field would be valuable. In addition, with so much space–time work being available,it was clear that a section on this material was needed. Finally, as anticipated with sucha project, we needed an “Additional Topics” section to collect some important topics thatbuild upon material presented in the earlier sections, but, in some sense, seemed beyondthose earlier ones. We acknowledge that some readers will feel that certain topics are under-represented or inadequately discussed. We cannot disagree, noting only that no selectionwould make all readers happy.
ix
© 2010 by Taylor and Francis Group, LLC
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
RM
IT U
nive
rsity
] at
18:
32 2
6 Ja
nuar
y 20
14
P1: BINAYA KUMAR DASH
February 23, 2010 18:19 C7287 C7287˙C000
x Preface
The list of contributors to this volume is outstanding, a collection of very prominentresearchers in the field. Moreover, we have attempted to give the handbook a more unified,integrated feel. We specifically precluded the notion of stand-alone contributions. Rather, foreach chapter, the editors provided the contributor(s) with a core set of material to be coveredas well as chapter reviews, which reinforced this. In addition, though there is inherent vari-ability in technical levels across the chapters, we have targeted a background/preparationat the level of a master’s in statistics. We hope that this will make the book accessible to re-searchers in many other fields, researchers seeking an easy entry to particular topics. In thisregard, we have tried to balance theory and application while targeting a strong emphasison modeling and introducing as many real data analysis examples as feasible.
We have focused a bit less on computation (though there are some exceptions) and not atall on GIS displays and software (arguing that this is primarily descriptive). In this spirit,we have also avoided discussion of what is often referred to as spatial analysis becausethis work resides primarily in the geography literature and does not tend to be stochastic.However, with regard to computing issues, typically, there is some discussion in mostof the nontheoretical chapters. We also decided not to say much about available softwarepackages. In our view, the material we have included is perceived as durable, while softwarefor spatial and spatio-temporal analysis is evolving rapidly and is perhaps best pursuedthrough appropriate references cited in the volume.
In summary, we have enjoyed assembling this handbook, finding collegial ease andconsistent agreement across the editorial team. We greatly appreciate the efforts of ourcontributors who provided their chapters and their revisions in a timely manner to enablethis book to come together with minimal delay. And, we appreciate the encouragement ofRob Calver from Taylor & Francis to undertake this project and Sarah Morris and MarshaPronin, also from T&F, who helped put the entire package together.
Alan E. Gelfand
Peter J. Diggle
Montserrat Fuentes
Peter Guttorp
© 2010 by Taylor and Francis Group, LLC
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
RM
IT U
nive
rsity
] at
18:
32 2
6 Ja
nuar
y 20
14
P1: BINAYA KUMAR DASH
February 23, 2010 18:19 C7287 C7287˙C000
List of Contributors
Jeffrey L. AndersonNational Center for Atmospheric ResearchBoulder, Colorado
Adrian BaddeleyCSIRO Mathematical and Information
SciencesPerth, Western AustraliaandSchool of Mathematics and StatisticsUniversity of Western AustraliaCrawley, Western Australia
Sudipto BanerjeeSchool of Public HealthUniversity of MinnesotaMinneapolis, Minnesota
David R. BrillingerDepartment of StatisticsUniversity of CaliforniaBerkeley, California
Brad CarlinDivision of BiostatisticsSchool of Public HealthUniversity of MinnesotaMinneapolis, Minnesota
Peter J. DiggleDivision of MedicineLancaster UniversityLancaster, United Kingdom
Montserrat FuentesDepartment of StatisticsNorth Carolina State UniversityRaleigh, North Carolina
Edith GabrielIUT, Departement STIDUniversity of AvignonAvignon, France
Dani GamermanInstituto de Matematica – UFRJRio de Janeiro, Brazil
Alan E. GelfandDepartment of Statistical ScienceDuke UniversityDurham, North Carolina
Tilmann GneitingInstitut fur Angewandte MathematikUniversitat HeidelbergHeidelberg, Germany
Peter GuttorpDepartment of StatisticsUniversity of WashingtonSeattle, Washington
Leonhard HeldBiostatistics UnitInstitute of Social and Preventive
MedicineUniversity of ZurichZurich, Switzerland
Valerie IshamDepartment of Statistical ScienceUniversity College LondonLondon, United Kingdom
James LesageDepartment of Finance and EconomicsMcCoy College of Business
AdministrationTexas State University – San MarcosSan Marcos, Texas
Hilary LyonsDepartment of StatisticsUniversity of WashingtonSeattle, Washington
xi
© 2010 by Taylor and Francis Group, LLC
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
RM
IT U
nive
rsity
] at
18:
32 2
6 Ja
nuar
y 20
14
P1: BINAYA KUMAR DASH
February 23, 2010 18:19 C7287 C7287˙C000
List of Contributors xii
Jesper MøllerDepartment of Mathematical SciencesAalborg UniversityAalborg, Denmark
Douglas W. NychkaNational Center for Atmospheric ResearchBoulder, Colorado
Kelley PaceDepartment of FinanceE.J. Ourso College of BusinessLouisiana State UniversityBaton Rouge, Louisiana
Havard RueDepartment of Mathematical SciencesNorwegian University of Science
and TechnologyTrondheim, Norway
Paul D. SampsonDepartment of StatisticsUniversity of WashingtonSeattle, Washington
Mark SteelDepartment of StatisticsUniversity of WarwickCoventry, United Kingdom
Michael SteinDepartment of StatisticsUniversity of ChicagoChicago, Illinois
Marie-Colette van LieshoutProbability and Stochastic
Networks (PNA2)Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Jonathan WakefieldDepartments of Statistics and BiostatisticsUniversity of WashingtonSeattle, Washington
Lance WallerRollins School of Public HealthEmory UniversityAtlanta, Georgia
Chris WikleDepartment of StatisticsUniversity of MissouriColumbia, Missouri
Jim ZidekDepartment of StatisticsUniversity of British ColumbiaVancouver, British Columbia, Canada
Dale ZimmermanDepartment of Statistics
and Actuarial ScienceUniversity of IowaIowa City, Iowa
xii
© 2010 by Taylor and Francis Group, LLC
Dow
nloa
ded
by [
RM
IT U
nive
rsity
] at
18:
32 2
6 Ja
nuar
y 20
14