1st annual meeting of the health impact of...
TRANSCRIPT
1
14/04/2015
1st Annual meeting of the
Health Impact of Environmental Hazards HPRU
Professor Frank Kelly
King’s College London
HPRU Structure
Director: Prof Frank Kelly (King’s College London)
Administrator: Angela Lewis
Imperial College lead:
Prof Paul Elliott
Theme I
Dr Anna Hansell
Dr Tony Fletcher
Theme II
Prof Tim Gant
Prof David Phillips
PHE lead:
Prof Tim Gant
Theme III
Dr Simon Bouffler
Dr Mireille Toledano
Theme IV
Dr Heather Walton
Dr Rachel Smith
THEME 2:
THEME 3:
THEME 4:
Health Impact of Environmental Hazards
THEME 1: Epidemiological assessment of low level environmental exposures
Modes and mechanisms of toxicity
Health impact of low dose non-ionising and ionising radiation
Health effects of noise and air pollution including nanoparticles
2
GovernanceExternal Advisory Board
Chairman: Prof Roy Harrison (University of Birmingham)
Theme I
Dr Judy Qualters
(US CDC)
Theme II
Prof Heather Wallace
(University of Aberdeen)
Theme III
Prof Hans Kromhout
(Utrecht
University)
Theme IV
Prof Bob Maynard
(University of Birmingham)
Simon Birkett – lay member(Clean Air in London)
Prof Sari Kovats – cross
HPRU representative
Plenary Session I – (15 minute presentations and 5 minute discussion) 10:15 - 10:20 Epidemiological assessment of low level environmental exposures Tony Fletcher 10:20 - 10:40 Carbon monoxide studies Becky Ghosh 10:40 - 11:00 Health impacts from bioaerosols from waste composting facilities Anna Hansell 11:00 - 11:20 Cluster guidelines/Rapid Inquiry Facility Becky Close / Anna Hansell 11:20 - 11:35 Tea/Coffee break 11:35 - 11:40 Modes and Mechanisms of Toxicity Tim Gant 11:40 - 12:00 Epigenetic effects of chemical exposure / Bioaerosols, aeroallergens and complex mixtures Tim Gant 12:00 - 12:15 Mechanisms of chemical effects in response to aeroallergens Martin Leonard 12:15 - 12:30 Foetal Exposures Tim Marczylo 12:30 - 12:45 Toxicokinetics Matt Puncher 12:45 - 13:00 Genotoxicity of air pollutants David Phillips
13:00 - 14:00 Lunch
Imperial
College London
King’s College London
Noise
Small
area
Photo
biology
Key features
• 55 investigators across
7 Departments in 3
Institutions
• Established work programmes & funding in
place for new studies
Air
Pollution
Public
Health England
NP’sTox
Radiation
Non–
ionising
radiation
Health Impact of Environmental Hazards
Our strategy is to combine:
� Large-scale epidemiological enquiry
(small-area, cohorts)
� Establish/develop exposure models
� Advance biomarker research
exposure/early effects/disease
� Toxicology/mechanisms
� Hierarchical statistical approaches
� Inference at individual level
through to population and policy
Exposure
Biomarkers
of exposureBiomarkers of early effects
Disease
Environmental
Modelling
Integrated Environmental
Monitoring
Health Impact of Environmental Hazards
14/04/2015
Patient and Public Involvement & Engagement
PPI Objectives
To make research available to people in their ‘own backyard’ by forging links
with local communities.
Develop good practice guidance for researchers and scientists on engaging
the community in translational research.
Expand communication of research activities and findings
PPI Strategic Oversight Group (SOG)
Mireille Toledano (Lead)Ian Mudway (Deputy Lead)
THEME 1: Tony Fletcher
THEME 2: Toby Athersuch
THEME 3: Antony Young
THEME 4: Rachel Smith
Epidemiological assessment of low level environmental exposures
Modes and mechanisms of toxicity
Health impact of low dose non-ionising and ionising radiation
Health effects of noise and air pollution including nanoparticles
Ge
ne
ral P
ub
lic
Pa
tien
t G
rou
ps
Go
ve
rnm
ent
NG
Os
Health Impact of Environmental Hazards
3
Dissemination
Potential synergies with
other HPRU’s
• Environmental Change & Health
• Emergency Preparedness and Response
• Chemical and Radiation Threats and Hazards
Strategic need for HPRU
� Environmental exposures major
determinants of human health and disease
� Individual and small-area studies needed
to investigate environmental health
problems of national importance
� New technologies and approaches offer
unprecedented opportunities to
understand pathways and mechanisms
linking environmental exposures to
disease
� Skills shortages in key strategic areas to
deal with the explosion of (big) data
� Requires new integrated multidisciplinary
approaches to research, training and
capacity building
Childhood cancers near mobile phone
masts
12/11/2014
Theme 1 Overview
Theme 1: Epidemiological assessment of low
level environmental exposures Lead: Anna Hansell (Imperial); Deputy lead: Tony Fletcher (PHE)
Presenter: Tony Fletcher (PHE)
Theme 1 (Epidemiology)
Objective: To use epidemiology and surveillance to identify and quantify associations between disease and low level environmental exposures.
Principles underlying Theme 1 work programme:• Selection of specific exposures – widespread exposures
but with uncertainty of disease burden: potentially large impact. First phase CO and bioaerosols
• Selection of methodological focuses – developing science relevant to policy issues: responding to clusters and risk communication, improved hazard identification and risk
assessment• Partnership strengths – Building on and developing
existing research and collaborations in the team
4
Theme 1 Years 1-2
Project 1 Carbon monoxide
studies
14-15 15-16 16-17
Project 2 Bioaerosols from waste
composting facilities
Project 3 Cluster guidelines/
Rapid Inquiry Facility
Project 1 Carbon monoxide
14-15 15-16 16-17
Project 2 Bioaerosols
Project 3 Cluster guidelines/RIF
To be presented in
more detail
Theme 1 Years 2-3
Project 1 Carbon monoxide
14-15 15-16 16-17
Project 2 Bioaerosols
Project 3 Cluster guidelines/RIF
Project 4 Water fluoridation: health
monitoring report for England.
Project 6 Spatial uncertainty in
public health data
Project 5 Epi evidence for health
effects of low level exposures
Project 7 Exposure to emissions
from incinerators.
Theme 1 Years 2-3
14/04/2015
Accidental non-fire related Carbon Monoxide poisoning in England
(2001-2010)
Lead: Rebecca Ghosh (Imperial); Deputy lead: Giovanni Leonardi (PHE)
Presenter: Rebecca Ghosh
Carbon Monoxide (CO) emissions
• CO is a common, potentially fatal, colourless, odourless and tasteless gas that results from the incomplete combustion of fuels.
• CO poisoning can cause sudden collapse, loss of consciousness and
death with high levels of exposure
• Symptoms include headaches,
drowsiness, cheat pains, nausea &
neurological effects depending on level and duration of exposure.
Aims
• To quantify the of the morbidity burden due to accidental non-fire related CO poisoning in England in:
1) the context of other admissions to hospital for CO poisoning
2) to describe these admissions by region, sex, age and deprivation.
• To provide a baseline for future routine surveillance of
CO morbidity
• To help target educational and other interventions to
reduce CO exposures
5
Hospital Episode Statistics inpatient data (2001-2010)
• Primary diagnosis using ICD-10:
• Accidental CO poisoning - T58: Toxic effect of carbon monoxide +
X47: accidental poisoning by and exposure to other gases and vapours
• Compared with:– intentional CO poisoning (T58+X67: intentional self-poisoning by and
exposure to other gases and vapours)
– Unknown intent: (T58+Y17: poisoning by and exposure to other gases and vapours, undetermined intent or no additional external cause code.)
• Non-fire related accidental CO poisoning= T58+X67
excluding:– X00-X09: exposure to smoke, fire and flames
– T20-T32: burns and corrosions
– Y26: exposure to smoke fire and flames, undetermined intent
Methods
• Accidental CO admissions compared to other CO
admissions for each sex
• Crude rates by cause of CO poisoning over time
calculated (using Census based population estimates
as denominator).
• Data analysed by region, month, age group and area-
level deprivation (Carstairs).
• The empirical Bayes smoothed relative risk of CO
poisoning at local authority/district level was mapped unadjusted and adjusted for deprivation.
Carbon monoxide admissions (2001-
2010, England) by sex and cause
1 Combination of “T58+Y17 – Undetermined intent” and T58 with no intent code provided 2 Difference between sexes statistically significant : Χ2 p<0.001, 3p=0.0034 Of these 571were admissions with T58 but no other intent code5 Of these 362 were admissions with T58 but no other intent code
Accidental-X47 n
(%)
Intentional-X67 n
(%)Unknown 1 n (%) Total n (%)
Including fire related codes
Female 1184 (47.4) 389 (17.9) 265 (41.5) 1838 (34.6)
Male 1316 (52.6)2 1785 (82.1)2 373 (58.5)2 3474 (65.4)
Total 2500 (100) 2174 (100) 638 (100)4 5312 (100)
Excluding fire related codes
Female 1164 (47.3) 389 (17.9) 174 (40.7) 1727 (34.1)
Male 1299 (52.7)2 1782 (82.1)2 254 (59.3)3 3335 (65.9)
Total 2463 (100) 2171 (100) 428 (100)5 5062 (100)
Carbon monoxide admissions (2001-
2010, England) by sex and cause
1 Combination of “T58+Y17 – Undetermined intent” and T58 with no intent code provided 2 Difference between sexes statistically significant : Χ2 p<0.001, 3p=0.0034 Of these 571were admissions with T58 but no other intent code5 Of these 362 were admissions with T58 but no other intent code
Accidental-X47 n
(%)
Intentional-X67 n
(%)Unknown 1 n (%) Total n (%)
Including fire related codes
Female 1184 (47.4) 389 (17.9) 265 (41.5) 1838 (34.6)
Male 1316 (52.6)2 1785 (82.1)2 373 (58.5)2 3474 (65.4)
Total 2500 (100) 2174 (100) 638 (100)4 5312 (100)
Excluding fire related codes
Female 1164 (47.3) 389 (17.9) 174 (40.7) 1727 (34.1)
Male 1299 (52.7)2 1782 (82.1)2 254 (59.3)3 3335 (65.9)
Total 2463 (100) 2171 (100) 428 (100)5 5062 (100)
CO hospital admission rates over time
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
Ra
tes
of
Ad
mis
sio
ns
pe
r
10
0,0
00
Female admission ratesANFR (T58+X47 - excluding fire codes)
Intentional (NFR T58+x67 excluding fire codes)
Unknown intent (NFR - T58+Y17 or no code, excluding fire codes)
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Ra
tes
of
Ad
mis
sio
ns
pe
r
10
0,0
00
Years
Male admission rates
Accidental non-fire related (ANFR) CO hospital admission rates per 100,000 person
years by government office region 2001-2010
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
South
East
London East of
England
North
West
South
West
West
Midlands
Yorkshire
and The
Humber
East
Midlands
North
East
Ra
te p
er
10
0,0
00
Government Office Regions
Female
Male
6
Smoothed relative risk of ANFR CO hospital admissions
ANFR CO hospital admissions by month of admission
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
Pe
rce
nta
ge
of
tota
l a
dm
issi
on
s
Month of Admission
females males
Rate of ANFR CO hospital admissions by age groups
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
Ra
te p
er
10
0,0
00
Age groups
Female rate
Male rate
ANFR CO hospital admissions by Carstairs quintiles
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Pe
rce
nta
ge
of
Ad
mis
sio
ns
Carstairs Quintiles
females
males
Summary
DeathsDeaths
Serious injuries
Accident and Emergency
visits
Primary care consultations
Community level poisoning
ONS mortality (40 deaths per year)
HES inpatients (250 Hospital admissions per
year)
HES A&E (4000 per year)
General Practice data
Local schemes (e.g.
Hackney homes)?
Future work
• Use of other national NHS datasets – complete picture for the UK:
• Following CO admissions through the hospital system:
– Linking inpatients back to A&E records
– Outcome of the patient (sent home, died in hospital, died within 30 days of returning home)
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Deliverables and milestones Theme 1, Project 1
• Analysis of hospital admissions – paper submission. Completed. Paper published March 2015 in Journal of
Public Health.
• Joint workshop between HPRU/Institute de Veille
Sanitaire in Paris to compare French/English approaches in environmental public health CO
surveillance. April 2016.
• Assessment of A&E presentations of those subsequently
diagnosed with CO poisoning on hospital admission. By end March 2016.
Further information
www.nihr.ac.uk
Rebecca E. Ghosh; Rebecca Close; Lucy J. McCann; Helen Crabbe; Kevin Garwood; Anna L. Hansell; Giovanni
Leonardi. Analysis of hospital admissions due to accidental non-fire-related carbon monoxide poisoning
in England, between 2001 and 2010 Journal of Public Health 2015; doi: 10.1093/pubmed/fdv026
• The research was funded by the National Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit (NIHR HPRU) in Health Impact of Environmental Hazards at King’s College London in partnership with Public Health England (PHE). The views expressed are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the NHS, the NIHR, the Department of Health or Public Health England.
• Hospital Episode Statistics data are copyright © 2013, Re-used with the permission of the Health and Social Care Information Centre. All rights reserved.
• Population data used were supplied by the Office for National Statistics (ONS), derived from the Census.
Acknowledgements
14/04/2015
Health impacts from
bioaerosols from waste composting facilities
Lead: Anna Hansell (Imperial); Deputy lead: Tim
Gant (PHE)
Presenter: Anna Hansell
Background
• Bioaerosols are airborne biological particles,
microbial fragments and constituents of cells
• Increasing number of large-scale composting
facilities producing bioaerosols
• EA currently hold a precautionary stance
(bioaerosol concentrations must be attained at
certain concentrations by 250m)
• Limited evidence on health effects
1. Systematic Review Study
Aim• To systematically review occupational and community
studies measuring concentrations of bioaerosols and/or assessing health effects associated with bioaerosol
emissions within and nearby composting facilities
Search Strategy• Methods developed based on PRISMA and MOOSE
criteria• Search conducted across 6 electronic databases
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*The majority of toxicological studies were non-human lab-based studies
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
Measu
red
Asp
erg
illu
s f
um
igatu
s
co
ncen
trati
on
-lo
g s
cale
(C
FU
/m3)
Background Indoor Shredding Turning Screening Downwind
Occupational Exposure Studies
• 51 studies• Wide variability in measured concentration on site
Community Exposure Studies• 13 studies• Concentrations generally reduce with distance, although
some remain elevated
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
-1000 -500 0 500 1000 1500
Me
as
ure
d to
tal b
ac
teri
a
co
nc
en
tra
tio
n (
cfu
/m3)
Distance measurement was taken from site (m)
Occupational Health Studies
Community Health Studies
• 12 Studies• 1 experimental, 2 quasi-experimental, 1 cohort study, 6
cross-sectional, 1 lab based, 2 case reports,• Upper respiratory symptoms generally reported
• 6 Studies• 1 panel based, 3 cross-sectional,1 lab based, 1 case
report • Provided limited evidence of increased exposure levels
at distances greater than 200m to 300m• 2 of 3 cross sectional studies used self-report
questionnaires - prone to bias
Quantitative Quality Assessment
• 13 epidemiological studies assessed for bias
• Bespoke quality assessment tool developed assessing:– Study design - Exposure
– Selection - Outcome Assessment
– Responder - Sample Size
– Confounder - Analytical
• Score of 1-4 where 4 = low bias
– Scores ranged 13 to 25 (highest possible score = 32)
• Generally samples sizes were low, with a high risk of response bias
Author
(Year)
Risk of BiasStudy
Design
Selec-
tion
Respon-
der
Confounder Exposure
Ass.
Outcome
Ass.
Sample
Size
Analytical Total
Occupational health studiesLundholm
(1980)2 2 1 1 3 2 1 1 13
Sigsgaard
(1994)2 4 3 2 2 4 1 3 21
Bunger (2000) 2 2 1 2 1 3 2 3 16Douwes (2000) 2 2 1 2 4 3 1 3 18Heldal (2003) 2 1 1 2 2 3 1 2 14Muller (2006) 2 3 3 1 3 3 1 3 19Bunger (2007) 1 3 2 2 2 3 2 3 18van Kampen
(2012)2 2 1 3 1 3 2 4 18
Hambach
(2012)2 2 4 3 1 3 1 3 19
Community health studiesBrowne (2001) 3 3 2 2 3 3 2 3 21Herr (2003) 2 4 1 4 3 3 3 4 24Herr (2003a) 2 2 1 1 2 4 3 3 18Aatamila
(2011) 2 4 3 4 1 4 4 3 25
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Discussion
Exposure Studies• Heterogeneous in design (wide range of bioaerosols
measured and different sampling techniques adopted)
• Limited details provided (many did not provide background concentrations)
• High variability in measured concentrations on and off site
• Measurement techniques rely on culture methods
• Short term ‘spot’ measurements
Discussion
Health Studies• Short term studies
• Small sample sizes
• No studies on vulnerable populations
• High risk of response bias in studies relying on questionnaire data
• The evidence base is not sufficient to provide quantitative dose-response estimates
Conclusions
• Data remains limited
• Little insight into long-term exposure
• Most health studies performed over short timescales
• No quantitative exposure response estimates
• Qualitative evidence of adverse health outcomes which
supports the current precautionary stance adopted by the Environment Agency
Recommendations for future work
• More detailed and longer term monitoring of bioaerosols
• Improved characterisation of background levels
• An examination of health effects over longer timescales and in larger numbers of individuals
(including potentially sensitive groups) using objective measures
• An initial research focus on respiratory and allergic disease
2. Respiratory admissions near composting sites -pilot study
AimTo conduct a small area study investigating whether higher
rates of respiratory hospital admissions are associated with living in areas near to large-scale waste composting sites
Methods• All sites in England 2008-10 with an outdoor composting
component (n=148)• Respiratory related hospital admissions up to 2500m from
site by distance band and continuously• Statistical analysis completed using a random intercept
hierarchical Poisson regression model
• Results adjusted for age, sex, deprivation, smoking and overdispersion
Results
Distance UnadjustedRR (95% CI)
p-value
Adjusted (for area deprivation and smoking)
RR (95% CI)
p-value
250-750m compared with
1500-2500m
1.05 (0.99-1.11)p=0.08
1.01 (0.95-1.06)p=0.68
750-1500mcompared with
1500-2500m
1.02 (1.00-1.05)p=0.06
1.03 (1.01-1.05)p=0.04
P for trend p=0.01 p=0.10
Log-transformed distance
0.97 (0.94-1.00)p=0.06
0.98 (0.96-1.00)p=0.05
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Limitations• Could not assess 0-250m band
• Potential exposure misclassification and population location uncertainties
• Unclear temporal relationships with exposure
Conclusions• Detected borderline significant health effects in those
living nearer to site• Supports current Environment Agency (EA)
precautionary stance
Limitations and Conclusions
• Review of exposures and health outcomes, journal submission. Completed. Published 1 April 2015 in Journal of
Toxicology and Environmental Health Part B• Short paper on bioaerosols from intensive farming.
Completion in year 2• Analysis of hospital admissions for respiratory disease.
Paper submission by end December 2015.
• Emissions modelling of bioaerosols from industrial composting sites. Paper submission by end of year 2
(March 2016)
Deliverables and milestones Theme 1, Project 2
Further information
www.nihr.ac.uk
For further details on cluster guidelines please contact:[email protected], [email protected],
Pearson, C., Littlewood, E., Douglas, P., Robertson, S., Gant,
T.W., and A.L. Hansell. 2015. Exposures and health outcomes
in relation to bioaerosol emissions from composting facilities: A systematic review of occupational and community studies.
Journal of Toxicology and Environmental Health, Part B. Vol 18,
No.1, P.1-27 http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/10937404.2015.100
9961#abstract
14/04/2015
Theme 1/Project 3:Cluster guidance/Rapid Inquiry
Facility
Lead: Tony Fletcher (PHE); Deputy lead: Anna Hansell (Imperial)
Presenters: Rebecca Close (PHE) & Anna Hansell
Background
• Investigating potential clusters can be difficult and time consuming
• PHE has guidelines available for investigating outbreaks of infectious diseases & unusual illness
• Guidelines for investigating non-infectious disease cluster enquiries is not currently available in England
• Some other countries such as US and the
Netherlands have cluster guidance
Aim of cluster guidance
• The aim is to complete and make available guidelines on investigation of clusters of non-infectious disease
consulting widely in the public health community
• Final guidelines will incorporate:
– Case studies
– Suggested roles and responsibilities
– Guidance on use of the Rapid Inquiry Facility (RIF)
11
The guidance - approach
• Staged approach, comprehensive steps within stages
• Local public health authorities will be responsible for leading and coordinating the cluster investigation
• Directors of Public Health will involve PHECs and other relevant departments
• Three track approach adopted for cluster investigation:
– Health events
– Exposure investigation
– Communication
• Stage 1: Screening
• Stage 2: Assessment (Statistical analysis and check for biologic plausibility)
– 2a: Preliminary evaluation
– 2b: Occurrence evaluation
– 2c: Event evaluation
• Stage 3: Aetiological investigation
– 3a: Feasibility study
– 3b: Aetiological investigation
The guidance - stages
Rapid Inquiry Facility 4.0
A tool that allows users to assess the
relationship between the environment and
health.
– Links spatial and non-spatial data
– Free open source
web platform
Rapid Inquiry Facility 4.0
Disease Mapping
Visualising mortality or morbidity rates and spatial patterns of disease.
• Direct / Indirect standardized rates
• Bayesian Smoothing R-INLA
• Cluster detection
Risk analysis
Initial assessment into whether an environmental risk factor has a
statistical association with a health outcome in a local population.
• Uses Exposure’ bands (modelled/distance and point/area sources)
• Tests whether the risks in the different exposure groups arehomogeneous, or show heterogeneity
• Tests whether the risks display a linear trend with exposure.
Analysis set-up
Disease submission parameters
Visualising results
Disease mapping viewer
12
Deliverables and milestones Theme 1, Project 3
• Three case studies of previous cluster investigations.
Completed
• Produce cluster guidance for consultation, incorporating
appropriate use of the RIF risk analysis and disease mapping
functions. Completion in June 2015. (PHE lead)
• Evaluation of the cluster guidance implementation.
Submission by December 2016.(PHE lead)
• Enhanced RIF - development of software on cluster analysis
and disease mapping, available as freeware. A beta working
version will be available by March 2016. (Imperial lead)
• Presenting a workshop on the RIF at at least one conference
by March 2016. (ISEE 2015)
Further information
www.nihr.ac.uk
For further details on cluster guidelines please contact: [email protected], [email protected]
[email protected], [email protected]
The RIF is funded by the National Institute for Health Research
Health Protection Research Unit (NIHR HPRU) with Public
Health England (PHE), the US Centers for Disease Control andPrevention (CDC) and the European commission has also
supported previous RIF versions. For more info on the RIF find
us on github:https://github.com/smallAreaHealthStatisticsUnit/rapidInquiryFa
cility
12/11/2014
Theme 1 Overview of outreach
Presenter: Anna Hansell (Imperial)
Theme 1
• Carbon monoxide: Joint workshop planned in Paris with Institute de Veille Sanitaire
• Bioaerosols: Review paper briefing teleconference including industry representatives
– Analyses of this and CO work presented to MRC-PHE Centre Community Advisory Board
• Cluster guidelines / Rapid Inquiry Facility: Work
presented at PHE Applied Scientific Meeting, March 2015
• Two team members have attended training: a PPI
course (PD) and Science and Media Training course (RG)