20012003 interbull technical workshop, march 2-3 (1) rex l. powell and paul m. vanraden animal...

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2001 2003 nterbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (1) Rex L. Powell and Paul M. VanRaden Rex L. Powell and Paul M. VanRaden Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service, USDA, Beltsville, MD rpowell @ aipl . arsusda . gov Correlation of Longevity Correlation of Longevity Evaluation With Other Evaluation With Other Trait Evaluations From 14 Trait Evaluations From 14 Countries Countries

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Page 1: 20012003 Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (1) Rex L. Powell and Paul M. VanRaden Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service,

20012003Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (1)

Rex L. Powell and Paul M. VanRadenRex L. Powell and Paul M. VanRadenAnimal Improvement Programs LaboratoryAgricultural Research Service, USDA, Beltsville, [email protected]

Correlation of Longevity Correlation of Longevity Evaluation With Other Trait Evaluation With Other Trait

Evaluations From 14 CountriesEvaluations From 14 Countries

Page 2: 20012003 Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (1) Rex L. Powell and Paul M. VanRaden Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service,

2001R. L. Powell and P. M. VanRaden 2003Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (2)

Longevity Aspects StudiedLongevity Aspects Studied

Genetic trends (correlation with birth year)

Correlations of longevity with other traits on each nation’s scale

Overall and adjusted for birth year

Adjustment for yield traits

Page 3: 20012003 Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (1) Rex L. Powell and Paul M. VanRaden Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service,

2001R. L. Powell and P. M. VanRaden 2003Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (3)

DataData

Bulls born 1985-1994 in MACE longevity file (van der Linde and de Jong, 2003)

Only data on “home country” scale (country with the most daughters)

Yield, SCS, and conformation evaluations from Interbull (Nov. 2002)

Some scales reversed to make positive always desirable for longevity and undesirable for SCS

Page 4: 20012003 Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (1) Rex L. Powell and Paul M. VanRaden Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service,

2001R. L. Powell and P. M. VanRaden 2003Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (4)

Correlations of Direct Longevity Correlations of Direct Longevity with Somatic Cell Score and Typewith Somatic Cell Score and Type

CountrySomatic

Cell Score Overall UdderUdder Depth

Foot Angle Stature

Australia -0.23 0.17 0.24 0.12 0.04Canada -0.27 0.28 0.28 0.15 0.01Denmark -0.36 0.37 0.43 0.07 0.00France -0.35 0.40 0.39 0.09 0.09Germany -0.38 0.18 0.29 0.08 -0.08Ireland ּּּּּּּּּ� ּּּּּּּּּ� ּּּּּּּּּ� ּּּּּּּּּ� ּּּּּּּּּ�Israel -0.27 ּּּּּּּּּ� ּּּּּּּּּ� ּּּּּּּּּ� ּּּּּּּּּ�Italy -0.17 0.14 0.28 0.07 -0.09New Zealand ּּּּּּּּּ� -0.27 ּּּּּּּּּ� ּּּּּּּּּ� -0.47Sweden -0.26 0.23 0.32 0.04 0.03Switzerland -0.46 0.36 0.37 0.07 0.13The Netherlands -0.30 0.33 0.36 0.11 -0.01United Kingdom -0.28 0.33 0.49 0.31 0.12United States -0.30 0.24 0.29 0.13 -0.08

Page 5: 20012003 Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (1) Rex L. Powell and Paul M. VanRaden Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service,

2001R. L. Powell and P. M. VanRaden 2003Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (5)

Correlations of Direct Longevity Correlations of Direct Longevity with Birth Year, Combined with Birth Year, Combined

Longevity, and YieldLongevity, and YieldCountry Birth Year

Combined Longevity Milk Fat Protein

Australia 0.57 0.75 0.40 0.23 0.46Canada 0.07 0.88 0.06 -0.04 0.00Denmark 0.02 1.00 -0.13 -0.05 -0.11France 0.26 0.96 0.27 0.11 0.18Germany 0.03 0.99 0.02 0.02 0.03Ireland -0.02 1.00 -0.08 -0.05 -0.07Israel 0.26 1.00 0.52 0.33 0.53Italy -0.13 0.98 -0.24 -0.15 -0.29New Zealand -0.02 1.00 -0.18 0.28 0.02Sweden 0.08 1.00 0.20 0.14 0.17Switzerland 0.09 1.00 -0.04 -0.08 -0.05The Netherlands 0.11 0.99 0.08 -0.18 0.00United Kingdom 0.04 1.00 -0.03 -0.05 -0.02United States 0.17 0.98 0.24 0.18 0.25

Page 6: 20012003 Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (1) Rex L. Powell and Paul M. VanRaden Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service,

2001R. L. Powell and P. M. VanRaden 2003Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (6)

Correlations of Direct Longevity Correlations of Direct Longevity with Birth Year, Combined with Birth Year, Combined

Longevity, and YieldLongevity, and YieldCountry Birth Year

Combined Longevity Milk Fat Protein

Australia 0.57 0.75 0.40 0.23 0.46Canada 0.07 0.88 0.06 -0.24 0.00Denmark 0.02 1.00 -0.13 -0.05 -0.11France 0.26 0.96 0.27 0.11 0.18Germany 0.03 0.99 0.02 0.02 0.03Ireland -0.02 1.00 -0.08 -0.05 -0.07Israel 0.26 1.00 0.52 0.33 0.53Italy -0.13 0.98 -0.24 -0.15 -0.29New Zealand -0.02 1.00 -0.18 0.28 0.02Sweden 0.08 1.00 0.20 0.14 0.17Switzerland 0.09 1.00 -0.04 -0.08 -0.05The Netherlands 0.11 0.99 0.08 -0.18 0.00United Kingdom 0.04 1.00 -0.03 -0.05 -0.02United States 0.17 0.98 0.24 0.18 0.25

0.57Australia

0.26France

Page 7: 20012003 Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (1) Rex L. Powell and Paul M. VanRaden Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service,

2001R. L. Powell and P. M. VanRaden 2003Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (7)

Correlations of Direct Longevity Correlations of Direct Longevity with Birth Year, Combined with Birth Year, Combined

Longevity, and YieldLongevity, and YieldCountry Birth Year

Combined Longevity Milk Fat Protein

Australia 0.57 0.75 0.40 0.23 0.46Canada 0.07 0.88 0.06 -0.24 0.00Denmark 0.02 1.00 -0.13 -0.05 -0.11France 0.26 0.96 0.27 0.11 0.18Germany 0.03 0.99 0.02 0.02 0.03Ireland -0.02 1.00 -0.08 -0.05 -0.07Israel 0.26 1.00 0.52 0.33 0.53Italy -0.13 0.98 -0.24 -0.15 -0.29New Zealand -0.02 1.00 -0.18 0.28 0.02Sweden 0.08 1.00 0.20 0.14 0.17Switzerland 0.09 1.00 -0.04 -0.08 -0.05The Netherlands 0.11 0.99 0.08 -0.18 0.00United Kingdom 0.04 1.00 -0.03 -0.05 -0.02United States 0.17 0.98 0.24 0.18 0.25

0.75Australia

0.96France

Page 8: 20012003 Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (1) Rex L. Powell and Paul M. VanRaden Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service,

2001R. L. Powell and P. M. VanRaden 2003Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (8)

Correlations of Direct Longevity Correlations of Direct Longevity with Birth Year, Combined with Birth Year, Combined

Longevity, and YieldLongevity, and YieldCountry Birth Year

Combined Longevity Milk Fat Protein

Australia 0.57 0.75 0.40 0.23 0.46Canada 0.07 0.88 0.06 -0.24 0.00Denmark 0.02 1.00 -0.13 -0.05 -0.11France 0.26 0.96 0.27 0.11 0.18Germany 0.03 0.99 0.02 0.02 0.03Ireland -0.02 1.00 -0.08 -0.05 -0.07Israel 0.26 1.00 0.52 0.33 0.53Italy -0.13 0.98 -0.24 -0.15 -0.29New Zealand -0.02 1.00 -0.18 0.28 0.02Sweden 0.08 1.00 0.20 0.14 0.17Switzerland 0.09 1.00 -0.04 -0.08 -0.05The Netherlands 0.11 0.99 0.08 -0.18 0.00United Kingdom 0.04 1.00 -0.03 -0.05 -0.02United States 0.17 0.98 0.24 0.18 0.25

0.75Australia0.88Canada

Page 9: 20012003 Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (1) Rex L. Powell and Paul M. VanRaden Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service,

2001R. L. Powell and P. M. VanRaden 2003Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (9)

Correlations of Direct Longevity Correlations of Direct Longevity with Birth Year, Combined with Birth Year, Combined

Longevity, and YieldLongevity, and YieldCountry Birth Year

Combined Longevity Milk Fat Protein

Australia 0.57 0.75 0.40 0.23 0.46Canada 0.07 0.88 0.06 -0.24 0.00Denmark 0.02 1.00 -0.13 -0.05 -0.11France 0.26 0.96 0.27 0.11 0.18Germany 0.03 0.99 0.02 0.02 0.03Ireland -0.02 1.00 -0.08 -0.05 -0.07Israel 0.26 1.00 0.52 0.33 0.53Italy -0.13 0.98 -0.24 -0.15 -0.29New Zealand -0.02 1.00 -0.18 0.28 0.02Sweden 0.08 1.00 0.20 0.14 0.17Switzerland 0.09 1.00 -0.04 -0.08 -0.05The Netherlands 0.11 0.99 0.08 -0.18 0.00United Kingdom 0.04 1.00 -0.03 -0.05 -0.02United States 0.17 0.98 0.24 0.18 0.25

0.40 0.23 0.46Australia

0.180.110.27France

Page 10: 20012003 Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (1) Rex L. Powell and Paul M. VanRaden Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service,

2001R. L. Powell and P. M. VanRaden 2003Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (10)

Correlations of Direct Longevity Correlations of Direct Longevity with Birth Year, Combined with Birth Year, Combined

Longevity, and YieldLongevity, and YieldCountry Birth Year

Combined Longevity Milk Fat Protein

Australia 0.57 0.75 0.40 0.23 0.46Canada 0.07 0.88 0.06 -0.24 0.00Denmark 0.02 1.00 -0.13 -0.05 -0.11France 0.26 0.96 0.27 0.11 0.18Germany 0.03 0.99 0.02 0.02 0.03Ireland -0.02 1.00 -0.08 -0.05 -0.07Israel 0.26 1.00 0.52 0.33 0.53Italy -0.13 0.98 -0.24 -0.15 -0.29New Zealand -0.02 1.00 -0.18 0.28 0.02Sweden 0.08 1.00 0.20 0.14 0.17Switzerland 0.09 1.00 -0.04 -0.08 -0.05The Netherlands 0.11 0.99 0.08 -0.18 0.00United Kingdom 0.04 1.00 -0.03 -0.05 -0.02United States 0.17 0.98 0.24 0.18 0.25

Italy -0.24 -0.15 -0.29

Page 11: 20012003 Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (1) Rex L. Powell and Paul M. VanRaden Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service,

2001R. L. Powell and P. M. VanRaden 2003Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (11)

Correlations of Direct Longevity Correlations of Direct Longevity with Birth Year, Combined with Birth Year, Combined

Longevity, and YieldLongevity, and YieldCountry Birth Year

Combined Longevity Milk Fat Protein

Australia 0.57 0.75 0.40 0.23 0.46Canada 0.07 0.88 0.06 -0.24 0.00Denmark 0.02 1.00 -0.13 -0.05 -0.11France 0.26 0.96 0.27 0.11 0.18Germany 0.03 0.99 0.02 0.02 0.03Ireland -0.02 1.00 -0.08 -0.05 -0.07Israel 0.26 1.00 0.52 0.33 0.53Italy -0.13 0.98 -0.24 -0.15 -0.29New Zealand -0.02 1.00 -0.18 0.28 0.02Sweden 0.08 1.00 0.20 0.14 0.17Switzerland 0.09 1.00 -0.04 -0.08 -0.05The Netherlands 0.11 0.99 0.08 -0.18 0.00United Kingdom 0.04 1.00 -0.03 -0.05 -0.02United States 0.17 0.98 0.24 0.18 0.25

New Zealand -0.18 0.28 0.02

Page 12: 20012003 Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (1) Rex L. Powell and Paul M. VanRaden Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service,

2001R. L. Powell and P. M. VanRaden 2003Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (12)

Correlations of Direct Longevity Correlations of Direct Longevity with Combined Longevity and with Combined Longevity and

Yield Within Birth YearYield Within Birth YearCountry Birth Year

Combined Longevity Milk Fat Protein

Australia 0.57 0.63 0.23 0.17 0.28Canada 0.07 0.88 0.03 -0.08 -0.05Denmark 0.02 1.00 -0.18 -0.07 -0.15France 0.26 0.96 0.16 0.02 0.03Germany 0.03 0.99 0.01 0.01 0.02Ireland -0.02 1.00 -0.10 -0.07 -0.07Israel 0.26 1.00 0.50 0.28 0.49Italy -0.13 0.98 -0.20 -0.10 -0.26New Zealand -0.02 1.00 -0.19 0.30 0.06Sweden 0.08 1.00 0.19 0.11 0.15Switzerland 0.09 1.00 -0.10 -0.11 -0.10The Netherlands 0.11 0.99 0.03 -0.22 -0.07United Kingdom 0.04 1.00 -0.09 -0.10 -0.09United States 0.17 0.98 0.19 0.13 0.20

Page 13: 20012003 Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (1) Rex L. Powell and Paul M. VanRaden Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service,

2001R. L. Powell and P. M. VanRaden 2003Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (13)

Correlations of Direct Longevity Correlations of Direct Longevity with Combined Longevity and with Combined Longevity and

Yield Within Birth YearYield Within Birth YearCountry Birth Year

Combined Longevity Milk Fat Protein

Australia 0.57 0.63 0.23 0.17 0.28Canada 0.07 0.88 0.03 -0.08 -0.05Denmark 0.02 1.00 -0.18 -0.07 -0.15France 0.26 0.96 0.16 0.02 0.03Germany 0.03 0.99 0.01 0.01 0.02Ireland -0.02 1.00 -0.10 -0.07 -0.07Israel 0.26 1.00 0.50 0.28 0.49Italy -0.13 0.98 -0.20 -0.10 -0.26New Zealand -0.02 1.00 -0.19 0.30 0.06Sweden 0.08 1.00 0.19 0.11 0.15Switzerland 0.09 1.00 -0.10 -0.11 -0.10The Netherlands 0.11 0.99 0.03 -0.22 -0.07United Kingdom 0.04 1.00 -0.09 -0.10 -0.09United States 0.17 0.98 0.19 0.13 0.20

Australia 0.63

Page 14: 20012003 Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (1) Rex L. Powell and Paul M. VanRaden Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service,

2001R. L. Powell and P. M. VanRaden 2003Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (14)

Correlations of Direct Longevity Correlations of Direct Longevity with Combined Longevity and with Combined Longevity and

Yield Within Birth YearYield Within Birth YearCountry Birth Year

Combined Longevity Milk Fat Protein

Australia 0.57 0.63 0.23 0.17 0.28Canada 0.07 0.88 0.03 -0.08 -0.05Denmark 0.02 1.00 -0.18 -0.07 -0.15France 0.26 0.96 0.16 0.02 0.03Germany 0.03 0.99 0.01 0.01 0.02Ireland -0.02 1.00 -0.10 -0.07 -0.07Israel 0.26 1.00 0.50 0.28 0.49Italy -0.13 0.98 -0.20 -0.10 -0.26New Zealand -0.02 1.00 -0.19 0.30 0.06Sweden 0.08 1.00 0.19 0.11 0.15Switzerland 0.09 1.00 -0.10 -0.11 -0.10The Netherlands 0.11 0.99 0.03 -0.22 -0.07United Kingdom 0.04 1.00 -0.09 -0.10 -0.09United States 0.17 0.98 0.19 0.13 0.20

0.23 0.17 0.28Australia

0.16 0.02 0.03France

Page 15: 20012003 Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (1) Rex L. Powell and Paul M. VanRaden Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service,

2001R. L. Powell and P. M. VanRaden 2003Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (15)

Correlations Between Milk Yield Correlations Between Milk Yield and True Longevity Estimated at and True Longevity Estimated at

Different TimesDifferent Times

Correlation Publication Year and Reference

.67 - .92 1966 Robertson and Barker

.54 - .77 1967 Miller et al.

.46 1993 VanRaden and Klaaskate

.13 2002 VanRaden

f(time) 2002 Lawlor et al.

Page 16: 20012003 Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (1) Rex L. Powell and Paul M. VanRaden Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service,

2001R. L. Powell and P. M. VanRaden 2003Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (16)

ConclusionsConclusions

Correlations of longevity with SCS and conformation traits were fairly uniform across countries

Components of fitness vary across time and location

Yield component of functional and true longevity not always as advertised

Page 17: 20012003 Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (1) Rex L. Powell and Paul M. VanRaden Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service,

2001R. L. Powell and P. M. VanRaden 2003Interbull Technical Workshop, March 2-3 (17)

ConclusionsConclusions

Correlations of longevity with SCS and conformation traits were fairly uniform across countries

Components of fitness vary across time and location

Yield component of functional and true longevity not always as advertised Use unadjusted Apply adjustments at Interbull