2007-02-19 presentation for journalists final · rosneft sibneft lukoil exxon shell bp total capex...
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ROSNEFTROSNEFT
Company Company PresentationPresentation
February 2007February 2007
2
Important NoticeImportant Notice
The information contained herein has been prepared by the Company. The opinions presented herein are based on general information gathered at the time of writing and are subject to change without notice. The Company relies on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable but does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness.
These materials contain statements about future events and expectations that are forward-looking statements. Any statement in these materials that is not a statement of historical fact is a forward-looking statement that involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause our actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. We assume no obligations to update the forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in factors affecting these statements.
This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation of any offer to subscribe for or purchase any securities and nothing contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness. The information in this presentation is subject to verification, completion and change. The contents of this presentation have not been verified by the Company. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its shareholders, directors, officers or employees or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation. None of the Company nor any of its shareholders, directors, officers or employees nor any other person accepts any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith.
3
Oil ReservesOil Reserves
4,008
5,382
6,189
6,592
8,000
10,407
11,229
14,877
15,972
ENI
Shell
ConocoPhillips
Total
ChevronTexaco
BP, incl. TNK-BP
ExxonMobil
Rosneft
LUKOIL
2005 proved oil reserves (mm bbl)2005 proved oil reserves (mm bbl)
Source: Company informationNote: Crude oil SPE reserves for Rosneft, TNK-BP and LUKOIL, SEC for others
6
7
11
11
12
13
14
24
28
ENI
Shell
BP, incl. TNK-BP
Total
ExxonMobil
ChevronTexaco
ConocoPhillips
LUKOIL
Rosneft
2005 oil R/P ratio (years)2005 oil R/P ratio (years)
4
Reserves and Resources Reserves and Resources
10,920
9,778
30,416
18,942
29,862
39,639
70,056
Proved Probable Possible Net Resources
R/P, yr
Source: D&M 2005 reserves report, SPE case, D&M 2005 resource report; company informationNote: Reserves and resources have not been adjusted for riskResources are shown on net basis
Rosneft 2005 oil & gas reserves, resources and reserve lifeRosneft 2005 oil & gas reserves, resources and reserve life
mm boe
31 49 65 115
5
Priobskoye
34%
Young, Efficient and Low Risk Reserve BaseYoung, Efficient and Low Risk Reserve Base
Top 4 fields after Priobskoye(1)
31%
Other
36%
Source: D&M 2005 reserves report SPE case, company information
High concentration of proved oil reservesHigh concentration of proved oil reserves
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
<20% 20%-40% 40%-60% 60%-80% 80%-100%
Rosneft weighted average depletionRosneft weighted average depletion
% of reservesSubsidiary WA Depletion
§ YuganskNG 29% § PurNG 18%
WA for Rosneft 26%
(1) Mamontovskoye, Malobalyskoye, Prirazlomnoye, Vankor
65% of proved reserves in fields which are less
than 20% depleted
6
Oil Production ProfileOil Production Profile
Rosneft daily oil production, kbpd/dayRosneft daily oil production, kbpd/day
Source: Rosneft
0.3%2.7% 3.0%
8.5%
-1.0%-3.9%
TNK-BP Gazpromneft Tatneft SurgutNG LUKOIL Rosneft
Oil production growth in Russia in 2006Oil production growth in Russia in 2006
Source: Central Control Division of FEC.
1.7%
4.5%
9.0% 9.3%
15.1% 15.1%
SakhalinmorNG SelkupNG KrasnodarNG YuganskNG Severnaya Neft StavropolNG
Oil production growth in 2006 (Rosneft subsidiaries)Oil production growth in 2006 (Rosneft subsidiaries)
1,400
1,450
1,500
1,550
1,600
1,650
1,700
1,750
1,800
J F M A M J J A S O N D
20062005
kbpd%
%
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Optimisation of Each Value Chain ElementOptimisation of Each Value Chain Element
Development Planning
§ Efficiency of seismic surveys Ý
§ Growth of reserves perexploration well Ý
§ Expenses pertonne of reserves growth Þ
§ Oil recovery factorÝ
§ Production profileÝ
§ WellstockÞ
§ Fast commissioning Ý
§ HSE Ý
§ Capital and resource-intensity Þ
§ Well construction time Þ
§ Cementing quality Ý
§ Reservoir damageÞ
§ Workoverless periodsÝ
§ Use of well potential Ý
§ OPEXÞ
Construction DrillingProduction anddevelopment
monitoring
Application of most efficient technologies Engagement of best service companies
Exploration
Minimised opex Improved capex efficiencyMaximised production
8
Total Production Management SystemTotal Production Management System
Data gathering, storage and processing Data gathering, storage and processing
§ Information on the entire wellstock
§ Regular replenishment
§ Convenient data input and analysis tools
§ Data quality monitoring
Standard calculation techniques Standard calculation techniques
Входныеданные
Забойноедавление Продуктивность Потенциал
---100 Рзатр - 9.6 атм
Исходные данные для расчета Расчет забойного давления
СЭ ЭЦН Метод Pпр РзабКонструкция скважины атм атмНвд 2 761 м ГФ 116 177Удл 244 м Замер Pзаб 160
Нсп 2062 мК-т сепарации 0.7 Qгаз_затр 233 м3/сутD э/к 129 мм %газ_насос 1%
D нкт 73 ммD шт 0 мм N PI Рзаб_цел Qж Qн dQнHперф 60 м атм м3/сут т/сут т/сут Нд - 520 м
-1.11 4.60 100 535 41 27Замеры 3.23 100 376 29 15Q жидк. 187.194 м3/сутобводен 91 % забой-насос Ннасос_цел Pнасос_цел Qгаз_затр 1552 м3/сутQ нефти 14 т/сут 500 2212 53 %газ_насос 3%Q воды 170 м3/сутHдин 520 м
Pзатр 9.6 атмPпл 218 атмРбуф 8.5 атмPзаб замер 0 атм
Физ-хим свойстваРнас 163 атмГФ 79 м3/тпл. неф. 0.85 г /cм3
Об .к-т нефти 1.2 м3/м3пл. воды 1.015 г /cм3Об .к-т воды 1.008 м3/м3пл.газа 0.800 кг/м3
Параметры пластаТемп . 70 °C
Hсп - 2062 m
Н.верх - 2761 м
Н.низ - 2821 m
Для загрузки данных по текущей скважины в технологическом режиме, нажмите кнопку "Из текущей строки в техрежиме". Изменения данных в листе "Анализ" не отражаются на данных технологического режима.
Поля доступные для изменения
МесторождениеСкважина
Кривая притока
Продуктивность пласта
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200
Дебит жидкости, м3/сут
Заб. давление, атм.
Рпласт = 218 Рпласт = 207 Рпласт = 229
Динамический уровень от давления на забое
глубина спуска насоса
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
0 50 100 150 200 250 300давление на забое, атм
Динамический уровень
, м
§ Calculate production potential
§ Select wells for activities
§ Current and potential well operation analysis
§ Welltest interpretation to clarify the potential
§ Wide range of analytical tools
§ Simulation modeling
§ Web technologies, access from any workstation
Unified software solutions Unified software solutions
Knowledge, technologies, staff Knowledge, technologies, staff
§ Co-operation with leading R&D centres and universities
§ Investments in training
§ Development of technological base
§ Knowledge accumulation and distribution
§ Geological potential of each well
§ Technical potential of equipment
§ Professional potential of staff
Production management system fulfilsProduction management system fulfils
9
Vankor
Remote Drilling Monitoring Center
§ Establishment of Remote Drilling Monitoring Center for the wells of key fields
jointly with the leading international companies
§ Well trajectory management in real time to achieve high drilling efficiency
§ Interaction and experience exchange with the real drilling support centers of
Statoil, ConocoPhillips, Halliburton, Schlumberger etc.
Real Time Drilling MonitoringReal Time Drilling Monitoring
10
§ Creation of detailed geological
and hydrodynamic models
reflecting the spatial distribution of
formation properties
§ Permanent monitoring,
clarification and updates of models
during the fields development
§ Planning of field development system and well interventions using the
model
§ Integration of various-level models into Formation – Well – Development –
Economics system for the comprehensive solutions of oil production
process optimization problems
Geological ModelingGeological Modeling
11
§ Comprehensive system of equipment optimization:
– 13% growth in well potential achievement in 2006
– Increase in operating artificial lift well stock (ESP) of 20 % (with Udmurtneft)
– Growth of ESP run life by 8% (from 290 days to312 days)
– Successful oil production stimulation at the Southern subsidiaries with average incrementof 73 bpd
§ Optimization of oil production intensification system:
– A new method of well potential identification was developed jointly with Tulsa University (potential oil production increment of 142 kbpd)
– New technologies pilot projects launched : • Rosneft–Wellview monitoring system, • salt protection technologies• ESP operation technology for high gas-
to-oil ratios• testing of wear-proof equipment: run life
of 700 days
Reengineering of Processes: Artificial Lift Case StudyReengineering of Processes: Artificial Lift Case Study
400
800
1200
1600
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 200640%
60%
80%
100%
Qliq factual Qliq actual % of potentail achievement
bpd
Achievement of theoretical potential of wells in operationAchievement of theoretical potential of wells in operation
Interaction with the leading research centersInteraction with the leading research centers
IFPFractured reservoirsmodelingHistory matching
SPE
University of TulsaMultiphase flowFlow assuranceArtificial lift
Stanford UniversityReservoir simulationModern welltest analysis
gOcad consortiumAdvanced geological modelling
12
317453Well 222
920515Well 219
325382Well 218
82102Average before geosteering was applied
Oil flow rate, m3/day*
Effective length of horizontal section, m
Well
* average oil rate in Jan 2007
• 3-6 km to the East from Sakhalin Island• Sea depth of ~18 m• Average net pay 5 m• Measured well depth up to 7 km• Pilot field development from 1998
Without geosteering (before 2006)
With geosteering (2006)
OdoptuOdoptu--More Case StudyMore Case Study
13
760 813 830
Plan 2006 Actual 2006 Plan 2007
§ Professors and experts from:– Stanford University,– University of Tulsa,– Rogoland Research,– Institut Français du Pétrole– Institut National Polytechnique de
Lorraine – Ecole Nationale Supérieure de Géologie
§ 5-day training with compulsory testing
§ More than 50 courses:– Geology– Petrophysics– Reservoir Engineering– Simulation– Well productivity
man-weeks
Large Scale Technology TrainingLarge Scale Technology Training
«Heavy Oil Simulation and Improved Oil Recovery» courseRosneft, 20-24 March 2006«Heavy Oil Simulation and Improved Oil Recovery» courseRosneft, 20-24 March 2006
Training Activity at Rosneft HQTraining Activity at Rosneft HQ
14
Calgary
Austin
Dallas
Stanford
Stavanger
Paris
Edinburgh
Moscow
§ Invitation of best experts for training and consultations
§ Visits to R&D centers of other companies
§ Participation in international conferences and workshops
§ Organization of technical conferences dedicated to key subjects of the Company with participation of international experts
§ Joint R&D groups with International Institutes
Tulsa
Houston
London
Relations with Universities and R&D CentersRelations with Universities and R&D Centers
15
Cooperation with leading service companies
West Kamchatka
Sakhalin Projects
Verknechon
South Seas Off-shore
Timano-Pechora
Implementation of best technology, sharing of experience, risks, investments
Sharing and Developing TechnologySharing and Developing Technology
Drilling
Cooperation with leading oil and gas companies
Well-construction
Optimization and Monitoring
16
Industry Leading Drilling Results
New wells average flow rates (bpd) 12m 2006New wells average flow rates (bpd) 12m 2006
704
481445
356
275
160
Rosneft Gazpneft Slavneft TNK-BP Lukoil Surgut
Average daily flow of new wells (bpd) 12m 2005Average daily flow of new wells (bpd) 12m 2005
690
608 589544
320
175
Rosneft Slavneft TNK-BP Gazpneft Lukoil Surgut
17
BestBest--inin--Class Efficiency Underpins RosneftClass Efficiency Underpins Rosneft’’s Business s Business
3.4 3.8
6.0
7.5
9.4
11.011.5
Rosneft Sibneft LUKOIL Exxon Shell BP Total
Capex ($/boe of production) 2005Capex ($/boe of production) 2005
2.1 2.3 2.5
3.3
4.3
5.1
6.2
Rosneft Sibneft LUKOIL TNK-BP BP Exxon Shell
Lifting cost, excl. tax ($/boe) 2005Lifting cost, excl. tax ($/boe) 2005
Source: Company data, J.S. Herold, broker reportsNote: Lifting costs for Sibneft, LUKOIL and TNK-BP data for 2004, for other companies — 2005; Lifting costs include costs of labour to operate the wells and related equipment and facilities, repairs and maintenance, materials, supplies, and fuel consumed and services utilized in operating the wells and related equipment and facilities, property taxes and insurance applicable to proved properties, wells, field flow lines and related equipment and facilities, severance taxes
18
Portfolio ExpansionPortfolio Expansion
Russia
Mongolia
China
Kazakhstan
Finland
Belorussia
Ukraine
Latvia
Estonia
AzerbaijanGeorgia
Udmurtneft
Verkhnechonskoye
March, April 2006: Four blocks next to
Verkhnechonsk, incl. East Sugdinsky
Note: Bar charts showing resources indicated in the auctions selling termsSource: Rosneft
Oilresour.
Gasresour.
February 2006: Three blocks next
to Vankor
Oilresour.
Gasresour.
350 mn bbl 105
bcm
2.44 bn bbl 213
bcm
May 2006: Udmurtneft
Oil reserves
797 mn bbl
Production and development assets
Exploration assets
Vankor
Total 1H06 reserves addition:-Crude ABC1 reserves – 797 mn bbl-Crude D resources – 2.8 bn bbl-Gas D resources – 318 bcm
19
Low Risk Growth in Short and Long TermLow Risk Growth in Short and Long Term
Proved developed oil reserves
Proved Undeveloped ReservesProbable Reserves
Proved undeveloped gas reserves
Exploration Portfolio
7.5bnOil
& ga
s re
serv
es a
nd re
sour
ces
2015
20bn
30bn
70bn
Kharampur, Novochaselskoye
Sakhalin, Kamchatka, Vankor
expansion
boe 2010
Yuganskneftegaz, Purneftegaz, Vankor
2012*Subject to signing of gas sales agreement
> 2 mln bpd Oil
40 bcm Gas*
Up to 2.8 mln bpd
Oil