©2008 professor rui yao all rights reserved chapter3chapter3 chapter3chapter3 the interest factor...
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©2008 Professor Rui Yao All Rights Reserved
CHAPTER
3
CHAPTER
3The Interest Factor
in Financing
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Chapter ObjectivesChapter Objectives
• Future value of a lump sum
• Present value of a lump sum
• Future value of an annuity
• Present value of an annuity
• Price and yield relationships
• Internal rate of return / yield to maturity
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Future Value of a Lump SumFuture Value of a Lump Sum
• FV = PV (1+i)n
FV = future values; PV = present value i = interest rate, discount rate, rate of return
• The principle of compounding, or interest on interest:
if we know1. An initial deposit - PV2. An interest rate - i3. Time period - n
We can compute the values at some specified future time period.
Q: What happens with simple interests?
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Future Value of aFuture Value of a Lump SumLump Sum: : An ExampleAn Example
• Example: assume Astute investor invests $1,000 today which pays 10 percent, compounded annually. What is the expected future value of that deposit in five years?
• Solution= $1,610.51
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Present Value of a Future SumPresent Value of a Future Sum
• The discounting process is the opposite of compounding
PV = FV / (1+i)n
• Example: assume Astute investor has an opportunity that provides $1,610.51 at the end of five years. If Ms. Investor requires a 10 percent annual return, how much can astute pay today for this future sum?
• Solution= $1,000
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AnnuitiesAnnuities
• Ordinary Annuity Payment due at the end of the period e.g., mortgage payment
• Annuity Due Payment due at the beginning of the
period e.g., a monthly rental payment
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Future Value of an AnnuityFuture Value of an Annuity
• FVA = PMT (1+i )n-1+PMT (1+i )n-2 …+ PMT = PMT [1/i ( (1+i )n-1)]
• Example: assume Astute investor invests $1,000 at the end of each year in an investment which pays 10 percent, compounded annually. What is the expected future value of that investment in five years?
• Solution = $6,105.10
• Q: What happens if i=0%? • Q: What if n goes to infinity?
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Sinking Fund PaymentSinking Fund Payment
• Example: assume Astute investor wants to accumulate $6,105.10 in five years. Assume Ms. Investor can earn 10 percent, compounded annually. How much must be invested each year to obtain the goal?
• Solution= $1,000.00
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Present Value of an AnnuityPresent Value of an Annuity
• PVA = PMT /(1+i)1 + PMT /(1+i)2…+ PMT /(1+i)n
= PMT [1/i (1-1/(1+i)n)]
Special cases:
Q: What happens if i = 0 % ?
Q: What happens if n goes to infinity?
Example: What is the PV of 8-period annuity with pmt of $1,000, and discount rate of 10%
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Investment Yields / Internal Rate of Investment Yields / Internal Rate of ReturnReturn
• The discount rate that sets the present value of future investment cash returns equal to the initial investment costs today
• Example: What is the investment yield if you will receive $400 monthly payment for the next 20 years for an initial investment of $51,593?
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Present Value of an AnnuityPresent Value of an Annuity
• What if compounding frequency is not annual?
Adjust i and n to reflect compounding frequency
Q: What happens if m goes to infinity (continuous compounding)?
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• Bond is exchange of CF now (the PV, or price) for a pattern of cash flows later (coupons + par)
• Bond price = PV(coupon payments)
+ PV(par value) Requires determination of
• Expected cash flows (coupons and par)
• “Required” discount rate, or required yield
Bond PricingBond Pricing
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• Combine our PV for annuity and lump sum
• Example Semiannual, 10%, fixed rate 20-year bond with a par of
$1,000. No credit risk, not callable, etc. Required yield is 11%• C = c × F = 0.1/2 × $1,000 = $50• r = 0.11/2 = 0.055• n = 20 × 2 = 40• P = $50/0.055 × [1- 1/(1.055)40] +
$1,000/(1+0.055)40
= $50 × 16.04613 + $1,000/8.51332 = $802.31 + $117.46
= $919.77 Note that P<F, i.e., bond trades at a discount.
Q: what is the yield to maturity if P=$900?
nn
n
n
tt
r
F
rr
Fc
r
F
r
FcP
11
11
111
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• More on Bond Pricing Yield = Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
IRR sets the NPV to zero for a bond investment Solve using financial calculator, Excel function RATE
or IRR Special case of one future cash flow (zero-coupon
bond):
n
tt
t
n
tt
t
y
CFP
y
CFP
1
1
10
1
1
1/1
n
n
nn
P
CFy
y
CFP
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• More on Bond Pricing The required yield or discount rate can be thought of
simply as another way of quoting the price.
Special case of one future cash flow (zero-coupon bond):
1
1/1
n
n
nn
P
CFy
y
CFP
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• Price-yield relationship: Decreasing For non-callable bonds, convex
• Callable bond and Yield to call
• Ex: Using Excel (or other) show this For the previous example, vary bond yield to
maturity from 5% to 15%
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• More on Bond Pricing If required discount rate remains unchanged, a par
bond’s price will remain unchanged, but a discount bond will appreciate and a premium bond will depreciate over time.
• Why?
• Show with a spreadsheet
• Example: What is your return if you buy a 10% semi-annual coupon bond at 11% yield to maturity and hold for one year while the yield to maturity
stays the same goes up to 12% goes down to 10%
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Other conventional yield measures• Current yield = (annual coupon)/(current price)
E.g.: Face is $100, current price is $80, coupon rate is 8%: yc = 0.08 × 100/80 = 8/80 = 0.1 = 10%
Ignores capital gains (losses) and reinvestment income
• Yield to maturity: yield (IRR) if bond is held to maturity
• Q: what is the “current yield” for a stock?
Q: What is the ranking ofa. couple rate; b. current yield; c. yield to maturity
for
a. par bond;
b. discount bond;
c. premium bond
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Useful Excel FunctionsUseful Excel Functions
• FV• PV• Rate• PMT
IPMT PPMT
• NPER
• NPV• IRR
• GOAL SEEK / SOLVER