2009 ageing report: economic and budgetary projections for the eu-27 member states (2008-2060)

8/14/2019 2009 Ageing Report: Economic and budgetary projections for the EU-27 Member States (2008-2060)

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2009Ageing ReportEconomic and budgetary projections for the EU-27Member States (2008-2060) | Statistical Annex

EUROPEAN ECONOMY 2| 2009(provisional version)

EUROPEAN COMMISSION


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KC-AR-09-002-EN-C

ISBN 978-92-79-11363-5

ISSN 0379-0991

DOI 10.2765/80301

European Communities, 2009Reproduction is authorised provided the source is acknowledged.


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2009 Ageing Report:

economic and budgetary projections for the EU-27

Member States (2008-2060)STATISTICAL ANNEX


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CONTENTS

Statistical Annex Cross-country tables ........................................................................................................ 3List of tables....................................................................................................................................................... 4

Main demographic and macroeconomic assumptions..................................................................................... 8

Pension expenditure projections................................................................................................................... 34

Health-care expenditure projections ............................................................................................................. 51Long-term care expenditure projections ....................................................................................................... 55

Education expenditure projections................................................................................................................ 60

Unemployment benefit expenditure projections ........................................................................................... 69

Additional informations................................................................................................................................ 70

Statistical Annex Country fiches ................................................................................................................ 86


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Statistical Annex Cross-country tables


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List of tables

Table A 1 - Fertility rate (births per woman)...................................................................................................... 8

Table A 2 Life expectancy at birth - Males (years).......................................................................................... 8

Table A 3 - Life expectancy at birth - Females (years)....................................................................................... 9

Table A 4 - Life expectancy at 65 - Males (years).............................................................................................. 9Table A 5 - Life expectancy at 65 - Females (years) ........................................................................................ 10

Table A 6 Net migration (thousands people) ................................................................................................. 10

Table A 7 Net migration (as % of population)............................................................................................... 11

Table A 8 - Population (millions people) ......................................................................................................... 11

Table A 9 Children population (0-14) (as % of total population) .................................................................. 12

Table A 10 Prime age population (25-54) (as % of total population) ............................................................ 12

Table A 11 Working age population (15-64) (as % of total population)........................................................ 13Table A 12 Elderly population (65 and over) (as % of total population) ....................................................... 13

Table A 13 Very elderly population (80 and over) (as % of total population) ............................................... 14

Table A 14 - Very elderly population (80 and over) (as % of elderly population)............................................ 14

Table A 15 - Very elderly population (80 and over) (as % of working-age population)................................... 15

Table A 16 Potential GDP (annual growth rate) ............................................................................................ 15

Table A 17 - Employment (annual growth rate) ............................................................................................... 16

Table A 18 Labour input hours worked (annual growth rate) ..................................................................... 16

Table A 19 Labour productivity per hour (annual growth rate) ..................................................................... 17

Table A 20 - TFP (annual growth rate)............................................................................................................. 17Table A 21 Capital deepening (contribution to labour productivity growth) ................................................. 18

Table A 22 GDP per capita (annual growth rate) .......................................................................................... 18

Table A 23 GDP per worker (annual growth rate) ......................................................................................... 19

Table A 24 GDP in 2007 prices (millions EUR) ........................................................................................... 19

Table A 25 Working-age population (15-64) (thousands people).................................................................. 20Table A 26 - Working-age population (15-64) (annual growth rate) ................................................................ 20

Table A 27 Labour force 15-64 (thousands people) ...................................................................................... 21

Table A 28 Participation rate (15-64) (percent) ............................................................................................. 21

Table A 29 - Participation rate (15-24) (percent).............................................................................................. 22Table A 30 - Participation rate (25-54) (percent).............................................................................................. 22

Table A 31 - Participation rate (55-64) (percent).............................................................................................. 23

Table A 32 - Participation rate (15-64) - FEMALES (percent) ........................................................................ 23




Table A 36 - Participation rate (15-64) - MALES (percent) ............................................................................. 25Table A 37 - Participation rate (15-24) - MALES (percent) ............................................................................. 26

Table A 38 - Participation rate (25-54) - MALES (percent) ............................................................................. 26Table A 39 - Participation rate (55-64) - MALES (percent) ............................................................................. 27

Table A 40 - Employment rate (15-64) (percent) ............................................................................................. 27



Table A 43 - Unemployment rate (15-64) (percent) ......................................................................................... 29

Table A 44 Employment 15-64 (millions people) ......................................................................................... 29

Table A 45 Share of young (15-24) (as % of employment aged 15-64)......................................................... 30

Table A 46 Share of prime age (25-54) (as % of employment aged 15-64)................................................... 30

Table A 47 Share of older (55-64) (as % of employment aged 15-64) .......................................................... 31Table A 48 Share of older population (55-64) (population 55 to 64 as % of total population 15-64) ............ 31

Table A 49 Old-age dependency ratio (population 65+ as % of population 15-64) ....................................... 32

Table A 50 Total dependency ratio (population 15- and 64+ as % of pop. 15-64) ........................................ 32


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Table A 51 Total economic dependency ratio (total population-employment as % of employed 15-64)....... 33

Table A 52 Economic old-age dependency ratio (15-64) (inactive population 65+ as % of employed 15-64)

......................................................................................................................................................................... 33

Table A 53 Social security pensions, gross (as % of GDP) ........................................................................... 34

Table A 54 Old-age and early pensions, gross (as % of GDP) ...................................................................... 34

Table A 55 Earnings-related pensions, gross (as % of GDP)......................................................................... 35

Table A 56 Other pensions (disability, survivors), gross (as % of GDP) ....................................................... 35Table A 57 Occupational pensions, gross (as % of GDP).............................................................................. 36Table A 58 Private mandatory pensions, gross (as % of GDP)...................................................................... 36

Table A 59 Social security pensions, net (as % of GDP)............................................................................... 37

Table A 60 Social security pensions, contributions (as % of GDP) ............................................................... 37

Table A 61 Social security pensions, assets (as % of GDP) .......................................................................... 38

Table A 62 Social security pensions, net/social security pensions, gross (percent) ....................................... 38

Table A 63 Pensioners (social security) (thousands people).......................................................................... 39

Table A 64 Pensioners aged 65+ (thousands people)..................................................................................... 39

Table A 65 Share of pensioners below age 65 as % of all pensioners (percent) ............................................ 40

Table A 66 Avg gross pension, (social security in 2007 prices) (thousands EUR)........................................ 40

Table A 67 Benefit ratio (Social security pensions) (percent) ....................................................................... 41Table A 68 Gross replacement rate at retirement (social security pensions) (percent)................................... 41

Table A 69 Contributors (social security pensions, in 1000 persons) (thousands people) ............................. 42

Table A 70 Support ratio (contributors/100 pensioners, social security pensions) (percent) ......................... 42

Table A 71 Social security pensions, gross (as % of GDP) Higher life expectancy scenario...................... 43

Table A 72 Old-age and early pensions, gross (as % of GDP) Higher life expectancy scenario................. 43

Table A 73 - Social security pensions, gross (as % of GDP) Higher labour productivity scenario................ 44

Table A 74 - Old-age and early pensions, gross (as % of GDP) Higher labour productivity scenario ........... 44

Table A 75 - Social security pensions, gross (as % of GDP) Zero migration scenario .................................. 45Table A 76 - Old-age and early pensions, gross (as % of GDP) Zero migration scenario.............................. 45

Table A 77 - Social security pensions, gross (as % of GDP) Higher employment rate (+1p.p.) scenario ...... 46

Table A 78 - Old-age and early pensions, gross (as % of GDP) Higher employment rate (+1p.p.) scenario . 46Table A 79 - Social security pensions, gross (as % of GDP) Higher older workers employment rate (+5p.p.)

scenario ............................................................................................................................................................ 47

Table A 80 - Old-age and early pensions, gross (as % of GDP) Higher older workers employment rate

(+5p.p.) scenario............................................................................................................................................... 47

Table A 81 Social security pensions, gross as % of GDP (percentage points change from 2007) - Baseline. 48Table A 82 Social security pensions, gross as % of GDP (p.p. ch from 2007 due to Dependency ratio) -

Baseline............................................................................................................................................................ 48

Table A 83 - Social security pensions, gross as % of GDP (p.p. ch from 2007 due to Coverage ratio) - Baseline

......................................................................................................................................................................... 49

Table A 84 - Social security pensions, gross as % of GDP (p.p. ch from 2007 due to Employment effect) -

Baseline............................................................................................................................................................ 49

Table A 85 - Social security pensions, gross as % of GDP (p.p. ch from 2007 due to Benefit ratio) - Baseline50

Table A 86 - Social security pensions, gross as % of GDP (p.p. ch from 2007 due to Interaction effect) -

Baseline............................................................................................................................................................ 50Table A 87 Health care spending AWG reference scenario (as % of GDP)................................................ 51

Table A 88 - Health care spending Pure ageing scenario (as % of GDP) ...................................................... 51

Table A 89 - Health care spending Labour intensity scenario (as % of GDP) ............................................... 52

Table A 90 - Health care spending Constant health scenario (as % of GDP)................................................. 52

Table A 91 - Health care spending Fast cost growth scenario (as % of GDP) ............................................... 53

Table A 92 - Health care spending Cost convergence scenario (as % of GDP) ............................................. 53

Table A 93 - Health care spending Death-related cost scenario (as % of GDP) ............................................ 54Table A 94 - Health care spending Income elasticity scenario (as % of GDP) .............................................. 54

Table A 95 Long-term care spending AWG reference scenario (as % of GDP) ......................................... 55Table A 96 - Long-term care spending Pure demographic scenario (as % of GDP) ...................................... 55


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Table A 97 - Long-term care spending GDP per capita scenario (as % of GDP)........................................... 56

Table A 98 - Long-term care spending Constant disability scenario (as % of GDP) ..................................... 56

Table A 99 - Long-term care spending GDP per worker fast growth scenario (as % of GDP) ...................... 57

Table A 100 - Long-term care spending Shift 1% dependents from informal to home care scenario (as % of

GDP) ................................................................................................................................................................ 57

Table A 101 - Long-term care spending - Shift 1% dependents from informal to instit. care scenario (as % of

GDP) ................................................................................................................................................................ 58Table A 102 - Long-term care spending - Shift 1% dependents from informal to home/instit. care scenario (as% of GDP)........................................................................................................................................................ 58

Table A 103 Number of dependents people AWG reference scenario (thousands people) ......................... 59

Table A 104 Number of dependents people receiving formal care AWG reference scenario (thousands

people) ............................................................................................................................................................. 59

Table A 105 - Number of dependents people receiving informal or no care AWG reference scenario

(thousands people)............................................................................................................................................ 60

Table A 106 Education spending - Total (as % of GDP) ............................................................................... 60

Table A 107 - Education spending - Primary (as % of GDP) ........................................................................... 61

Table A 108 - Education spending Low secondary (as % of GDP) ............................................................... 61

Table A 109 - Education spending Upper secondary (as % of GDP)............................................................. 62Table A 110 - Education spending Tertiary education (as % of GDP) .......................................................... 62

Table A 111 Number of students Total (thousands people) ........................................................................ 63

Table A 112 - Number of students Primary (thousands people) .................................................................... 63

Table A 113 - Number of students Low secondary (thousands people)......................................................... 64

Table A 114 - Number of students Upper secondary (thousands people) ...................................................... 64

Table A 115 - Number of students Tertiary education (thousands people) .................................................... 65

Table A 116 Number of teachers - Total (thousands people)......................................................................... 65

Table A 117 - Number of teachers - Primary (thousands people)..................................................................... 66Table A 118 - Number of teachers Low secondary (thousands people) ......................................................... 66

Table A 119 - Number of teachers Upper secondary (thousands people) ...................................................... 67

Table A 120 - Number of teachers Tertiary education (thousands people) .................................................... 67Table A 121 Education spending High compens. per teacher scenario (diff Baseline) (as % of GDP)....... 68

Table A 122 - High ratio teachers/students scenario (diff Baseline) (as % of GDP)......................................... 68

Table A 123 Higher attainment rates in tertiary education scenario (45% by 2020) (diff Baseline) (as % of

GDP) ................................................................................................................................................................ 69

Table A 124 Unemployment benefit spending (as % of GDP) ...................................................................... 69Table A 125 Estimated impact of pension reform on participation rates (2020, 2060) in percentage points

(comparison of projections with and without incorporating recent pension reforms) ....................................... 70

Table A 126 Projected changes in participation rates by age-groups, 2007-2060........................................... 71

Table A 127 Labour supply projections, 2007-2060 (age group : 15 to 64)................................................... 73

Table A 128 Contribution to the overall change in participation rates, 2007-2060 (changes in %) ............... 74

Table A 129 Contribution to the overall change in labour force, 2007-2060 (changes in %) ........................ 75

Table A 130 Employment rate projections 2007-2060 (15-64)...................................................................... 76

Table A 131 Employment projections 2007-2060 (15-64) ............................................................................ 76

Table A 132 Employment rate projections by age and sex, 2007-2060 ......................................................... 77Table A 133 Decomposition of GDP growth, 2007-2060.............................................................................. 79

Table A 134 The cost of ageing overview Baseline scenario (as % of GDP) ............................................. 80

Table A 135 - The cost of ageing overview High life expectancy (1 year) scenario Difference with Baseline

(as % of GDP) .................................................................................................................................................. 81

Table A 136 - The cost of ageing overview Zero migration scenario Difference with Baseline (as % of

GDP) ................................................................................................................................................................ 82

Table A 137 - The cost of ageing overview Higher employment rate (+1p.p.) scenario Difference withBaseline (as % of GDP).................................................................................................................................... 83

Table A 138 - The cost of ageing overview Higher employment rate (+5p.p.) for older workers scenario Difference with Baseline (as % of GDP).......................................................................................................... 84


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Table A 139 - The cost of ageing overview Higher labour productivity (+0.25p.p.) scenario Difference

with Baseline (as % of GDP)............................................................................................................................ 85


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Main demographic and macroeconomic assumptions

Table A 1 - Fertility rate (births per woman)Country Ch. 08-60 2008 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060

BE 0.04 1.75 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.78 1.78 1.78 1.79 1.79BG 0.17 1.38 1.39 1.41 1.42 1.44 1.46 1.47 1.49 1.51 1.52 1.54 1.55CZ 0.19 1.33 1.34 1.36 1.38 1.40 1.41 1.43 1.45 1.47 1.49 1.51 1.52

DK 0.00 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85DE 0.19 1.34 1.35 1.36 1.38 1.40 1.42 1.44 1.45 1.47 1.49 1.51 1.53

EE 0.11 1.55 1.55 1.56 1.57 1.59 1.60 1.61 1.62 1.63 1.64 1.65 1.66IE -0.02 1.90 1.90 1.90 1.90 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.88 1.88 1.88

EL 0.16 1.41 1.41 1.43 1.45 1.46 1.48 1.49 1.51 1.52 1.54 1.55 1.57ES 0.17 1.39 1.39 1.41 1.43 1.44 1.46 1.47 1.49 1.51 1.52 1.54 1.56FR -0.05 1.98 1.98 1.98 1.97 1.97 1.96 1.96 1.95 1.95 1.94 1.94 1.93

IT 0.17 1.38 1.39 1.41 1.42 1.44 1.46 1.47 1.49 1.51 1.52 1.54 1.55CY 0.14 1.45 1.46 1.47 1.49 1.50 1.52 1.53 1.54 1.56 1.57 1.59 1.60

LV 0.18 1.36 1.36 1.38 1.40 1.41 1.43 1.45 1.47 1.48 1.50 1.52 1.54LT 0.20 1.35 1.35 1.37 1.39 1.41 1.43 1.45 1.47 1.49 1.51 1.52 1.54LU 0.07 1.65 1.65 1.66 1.67 1.67 1.68 1.69 1.70 1.70 1.71 1.72 1.72

HU 0.18 1.35 1.35 1.37 1.39 1.41 1.42 1.44 1.46 1.48 1.50 1.51 1.53MT 0.17 1.38 1.39 1.41 1.42 1.44 1.46 1.47 1.49 1.50 1.52 1.54 1.55

NL 0.05 1.72 1.72 1.73 1.73 1.74 1.74 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.76 1.76 1.77AT 0.16 1.41 1.42 1.43 1.45 1.46 1.48 1.49 1.51 1.53 1.54 1.56 1.57

PL 0.21 1.27 1.28 1.30 1.32 1.34 1.36 1.38 1.40 1.42 1.44 1.47 1.49PT 0.18 1.36 1.37 1.39 1.40 1.42 1.44 1.45 1.47 1.49 1.51 1.52 1.54RO 0.19 1.32 1.33 1.35 1.37 1.39 1.41 1.42 1.44 1.46 1.48 1.50 1.52SI 0.19 1.32 1.33 1.35 1.37 1.39 1.40 1.42 1.44 1.46 1.48 1.50 1.52

SK 0.22 1.25 1.26 1.28 1.30 1.32 1.34 1.36 1.38 1.40 1.43 1.45 1.47FI 0.00 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84SE 0.00 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85

UK 0.00 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84NO -0.02 1.90 1.90 1.90 1.90 1.90 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.88

EU27 0.12 1.52 1.52 1.53 1.55 1.56 1.57 1.58 1.59 1.61 1.62 1.63 1.64EA16 0.12 1.53 1.54 1.55 1.56 1.57 1.58 1.59 1.61 1.62 1.63 1.64 1.65EU15 0.08 1.64 1.65 1.66 1.66 1.67 1.68 1.68 1.69 1.70 1.71 1.71 1.72EU12 0.18 1.36 1.37 1.38 1.40 1.42 1.44 1.45 1.47 1.49 1.51 1.52 1.54EU25 0.12 1.53 1.54 1.55 1.56 1.57 1.58 1.59 1.60 1.61 1.63 1.64 1.65EA12 0.09 1.59 1.60 1.61 1.62 1.63 1.63 1.64 1.65 1.66 1.67 1.68 1.69EU10 0.18 1.36 1.37 1.39 1.40 1.42 1.44 1.46 1.47 1.49 1.51 1.52 1.54

Source: Commission services.

Table A 2 Life expectancy at birth - Males (years)Country Ch. 08-60 2008 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060

BE 7.76 76.66 77.00 77.85 78.67 79.47 80.25 81.00 81.73 82.43 83.12 83.78 84.42BG 11.85 69.71 70.25 71.56 72.83 74.06 75.26 76.41 77.52 78.59 79.62 80.61 81.56CZ 9.31 73.86 74.27 75.27 76.25 77.21 78.14 79.04 79.92 80.77 81.60 82.39 83.16

DK 7.85 76.40 76.75 77.60 78.43 79.24 80.02 80.78 81.52 82.23 82.93 83.60 84.25DE 7.60 77.30 77.64 78.47 79.28 80.06 80.82 81.56 82.27 82.97 83.63 84.28 84.91EE 12.84 68.00 68.59 70.02 71.40 72.74 74.04 75.29 76.49 77.65 78.76 79.82 80.84

IE 7.66 77.54 77.88 78.72 79.53 80.32 81.08 81.83 82.55 83.24 83.92 84.57 85.20

EL 7.36 77.44 77.77 78.58 79.36 80.12 80.86 81.57 82.26 82.92 83.57 84.20 84.80ES 7.54 77.40 77.74 78.56 79.37 80.14 80.90 81.63 82.34 83.02 83.68 84.32 84.94FR 7.67 77.45 77.80 78.66 79.48 80.28 81.05 81.79 82.51 83.20 83.86 84.50 85.12

IT 6.91 78.54 78.85 79.61 80.34 81.05 81.74 82.41 83.06 83.69 84.29 84.88 85.45CY 6.95 78.21 78.53 79.30 80.04 80.76 81.45 82.12 82.77 83.39 84.00 84.59 85.16

LV 14.51 65.95 66.61 68.22 69.78 71.30 72.77 74.19 75.56 76.87 78.13 79.33 80.47LT 14.56 65.89 66.55 68.18 69.75 71.28 72.76 74.19 75.56 76.87 78.12 79.31 80.45

LU 8.18 76.32 76.70 77.62 78.50 79.35 80.17 80.96 81.73 82.46 83.17 83.85 84.50HU 12.19 69.70 70.24 71.58 72.89 74.16 75.39 76.58 77.73 78.83 79.89 80.91 81.88MT 8.34 75.98 76.37 77.33 78.24 79.10 79.94 80.74 81.51 82.25 82.96 83.65 84.32NL 7.01 77.93 78.24 78.99 79.73 80.44 81.14 81.82 82.48 83.12 83.74 84.35 84.93AT 7.47 77.42 77.76 78.58 79.38 80.15 80.89 81.62 82.32 82.99 83.65 84.28 84.89

PL 11.14 71.39 71.90 73.14 74.34 75.50 76.62 77.71 78.75 79.76 80.72 81.65 82.53PT 8.27 75.82 76.19 77.10 77.98 78.83 79.66 80.46 81.23 81.98 82.71 83.41 84.08RO 12.12 69.75 70.32 71.70 73.03 74.30 75.53 76.70 77.82 78.90 79.94 80.93 81.87

SI 9.01 74.70 75.10 76.09 77.05 77.98 78.89 79.76 80.61 81.43 82.22 82.98 83.71

SK 11.15 70.87 71.36 72.57 73.76 74.91 76.02 77.11 78.16 79.18 80.16 81.10 82.01FI 8.20 76.13 76.49 77.39 78.27 79.12 79.94 80.73 81.50 82.24 82.96 83.65 84.32SE 6.47 78.96 79.24 79.93 80.61 81.27 81.91 82.54 83.15 83.74 84.32 84.88 85.42

UK 7.67 77.36 77.71 78.55 79.37 80.16 80.93 81.67 82.39 83.09 83.76 84.40 85.03NO 6.84 78.38 78.68 79.43 80.15 80.85 81.53 82.19 82.83 83.46 84.06 84.65 85.22

EU27 8.45 76.03 76.43 77.38 78.29 79.17 80.01 80.82 81.61 82.37 83.10 83.80 84.48EA16 7.94 76.61 76.96 77.84 78.69 79.51 80.30 81.07 81.81 82.53 83.23 83.90 84.55

EU15 7.57 77.24 77.58 78.41 79.22 80.00 80.76 81.49 82.20 82.89 83.55 84.20 84.82EU12 11.16 71.17 71.67 72.91 74.11 75.28 76.40 77.49 78.53 79.54 80.51 81.44 82.33EU25 8.94 74.93 75.33 76.32 77.27 78.20 79.10 79.96 80.80 81.61 82.39 83.15 83.87EA12 7.64 77.16 77.51 78.34 79.16 79.95 80.71 81.45 82.16 82.86 83.52 84.17 84.80EU10 11.00 71.45 71.95 73.17 74.35 75.49 76.60 77.67 78.71 79.70 80.66 81.57 82.45



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Table A 3 - Life expectancy at birth - Females (years)Country Ch. 08-60 2008 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060

BE 6.64 82.30 82.60 83.33 84.03 84.71 85.38 86.02 86.64 87.24 87.83 88.39 88.94BG 9.77 76.70 77.14 78.23 79.28 80.29 81.27 82.22 83.13 84.01 84.86 85.68 86.47

CZ 7.66 80.18 80.51 81.33 82.13 82.92 83.68 84.42 85.15 85.85 86.53 87.20 87.84

DK 7.40 81.03 81.36 82.18 82.97 83.74 84.48 85.20 85.89 86.56 87.21 87.83 88.43DE 6.52 82.57 82.86 83.57 84.26 84.93 85.58 86.21 86.82 87.42 87.99 88.55 89.09EE 8.79 78.74 79.14 80.12 81.06 81.98 82.86 83.71 84.54 85.33 86.09 86.82 87.53

IE 7.32 81.89 82.23 83.04 83.83 84.59 85.33 86.04 86.72 87.38 88.02 88.63 89.21EL 6.12 82.57 82.83 83.48 84.12 84.73 85.34 85.93 86.51 87.07 87.62 88.16 88.68

ES 5.75 83.87 84.13 84.75 85.35 85.94 86.51 87.07 87.61 88.13 88.64 89.14 89.62FR 5.75 84.32 84.59 85.23 85.84 86.44 87.02 87.57 88.11 88.63 89.13 89.61 90.08IT 5.75 84.24 84.50 85.13 85.74 86.34 86.91 87.47 88.00 88.53 89.03 89.52 89.99

CY 6.96 81.70 82.01 82.76 83.49 84.20 84.89 85.56 86.22 86.86 87.48 88.08 88.66LV 10.12 76.67 77.14 78.29 79.39 80.46 81.48 82.46 83.40 84.30 85.17 86.00 86.79

LT 9.44 77.43 77.86 78.93 79.96 80.94 81.89 82.81 83.68 84.53 85.34 86.12 86.87LU 7.26 81.20 81.54 82.36 83.15 83.91 84.64 85.34 86.01 86.66 87.28 87.88 88.46

HU 9.25 78.06 78.48 79.50 80.50 81.46 82.39 83.29 84.16 84.99 85.80 86.57 87.31MT 7.57 81.06 81.41 82.26 83.07 83.86 84.62 85.35 86.06 86.74 87.39 88.02 88.63NL 6.71 82.18 82.48 83.22 83.93 84.62 85.29 85.94 86.57 87.18 87.77 88.34 88.89

AT 6.26 82.93 83.21 83.89 84.55 85.19 85.82 86.42 87.01 87.58 88.14 88.68 89.20

PL 8.11 79.92 80.29 81.19 82.06 82.90 83.71 84.50 85.26 85.99 86.69 87.37 88.03PT 6.37 82.43 82.71 83.40 84.07 84.72 85.35 85.97 86.57 87.15 87.71 88.26 88.79RO 9.97 76.61 77.08 78.21 79.29 80.33 81.33 82.29 83.22 84.11 84.96 85.79 86.58

SI 6.91 81.90 82.21 82.96 83.70 84.41 85.10 85.76 86.41 87.04 87.65 88.23 88.80SK 8.65 78.72 79.10 80.04 80.95 81.84 82.71 83.55 84.36 85.15 85.91 86.65 87.37

FI 6.23 83.05 83.33 84.01 84.66 85.30 85.92 86.53 87.11 87.68 88.23 88.76 89.28SE 6.17 83.14 83.42 84.09 84.74 85.37 85.99 86.58 87.16 87.72 88.27 88.80 89.31

UK 7.35 81.54 81.87 82.69 83.48 84.25 84.99 85.70 86.39 87.05 87.69 88.30 88.89NO 6.31 82.88 83.16 83.85 84.52 85.17 85.80 86.41 87.00 87.57 88.13 88.67 89.19

EU27 6.92 82.08 82.40 83.17 83.92 84.64 85.34 86.01 86.65 87.27 87.87 88.45 89.00EA16 6.67 82.31 82.61 83.34 84.05 84.73 85.40 86.05 86.67 87.28 87.86 88.43 88.98EU15 6.51 82.62 82.91 83.62 84.32 84.99 85.64 86.27 86.87 87.46 88.04 88.59 89.12EU12 8.60 78.97 79.36 80.32 81.24 82.13 82.99 83.83 84.63 85.41 86.16 86.88 87.57EU25 7.24 81.35 81.67 82.47 83.24 83.99 84.71 85.42 86.09 86.75 87.38 88.00 88.59EA12 6.39 82.80 83.08 83.78 84.46 85.12 85.76 86.37 86.97 87.55 88.12 88.66 89.19EU10 8.34 79.44 79.82 80.74 81.63 82.50 83.33 84.14 84.92 85.68 86.41 87.11 87.78


Table A 4 - Life expectancy at 65 - Males (years)Country Ch. 08-60 2008 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060BE 5.18 16.48 16.69 17.22 17.74 18.26 18.77 19.27 19.76 20.25 20.73 21.20 21.66

BG 6.90 13.12 13.39 14.08 14.76 15.45 16.13 16.80 17.47 18.12 18.77 19.40 20.02CZ 6.09 14.72 14.96 15.58 16.19 16.79 17.39 17.99 18.57 19.14 19.71 20.26 20.80

DK 5.36 16.08 16.30 16.84 17.39 17.92 18.45 18.97 19.48 19.99 20.48 20.97 21.44DE 5.21 16.82 17.04 17.58 18.11 18.63 19.15 19.65 20.15 20.64 21.11 21.58 22.03

EE 6.86 13.01 13.29 13.97 14.66 15.34 16.02 16.69 17.35 17.99 18.63 19.26 19.87IE 5.47 16.75 16.98 17.54 18.10 18.65 19.19 19.73 20.25 20.76 21.26 21.75 22.22EL 4.83 17.18 17.37 17.87 18.36 18.84 19.32 19.79 20.25 20.70 21.14 21.58 22.01

ES 5.04 17.09 17.30 17.82 18.33 18.84 19.34 19.83 20.31 20.78 21.24 21.69 22.13FR 4.79 17.73 17.93 18.43 18.92 19.40 19.88 20.34 20.80 21.25 21.68 22.11 22.52

IT 4.87 17.50 17.70 18.21 18.71 19.20 19.68 20.15 20.62 21.07 21.52 21.95 22.38CY 4.84 17.12 17.32 17.81 18.30 18.78 19.26 19.73 20.19 20.65 21.09 21.53 21.97LV 7.48 12.66 12.97 13.73 14.48 15.24 15.98 16.71 17.43 18.14 18.83 19.49 20.14

LT 7.14 13.12 13.41 14.14 14.86 15.58 16.29 16.99 17.67 18.34 19.00 19.63 20.25

LU 5.15 16.78 16.99 17.52 18.05 18.57 19.07 19.57 20.07 20.55 21.02 21.48 21.93HU 6.98 13.62 13.90 14.62 15.33 16.03 16.72 17.41 18.08 18.73 19.37 20.00 20.60MT 5.52 15.91 16.13 16.69 17.25 17.80 18.34 18.88 19.41 19.93 20.44 20.94 21.43

NL 5.15 16.55 16.76 17.28 17.80 18.31 18.82 19.32 19.81 20.29 20.77 21.24 21.69AT 4.97 17.07 17.27 17.78 18.29 18.78 19.27 19.76 20.23 20.70 21.15 21.60 22.04

PL 6.48 14.45 14.72 15.39 16.05 16.70 17.34 17.98 18.60 19.20 19.80 20.37 20.93PT 5.24 16.35 16.56 17.10 17.63 18.15 18.67 19.18 19.68 20.17 20.65 21.13 21.59

RO 6.78 13.59 13.86 14.54 15.22 15.90 16.57 17.23 17.89 18.53 19.16 19.77 20.37SI 5.71 15.68 15.92 16.50 17.08 17.66 18.22 18.78 19.32 19.86 20.38 20.89 21.39SK 6.92 13.29 13.57 14.26 14.95 15.64 16.32 17.00 17.67 18.32 18.97 19.60 20.21

FI 5.19 16.64 16.85 17.38 17.91 18.43 18.94 19.45 19.94 20.43 20.90 21.37 21.82SE 4.73 17.42 17.61 18.09 18.57 19.04 19.51 19.97 20.42 20.86 21.30 21.73 22.15

UK 5.27 16.87 17.09 17.64 18.18 18.71 19.24 19.75 20.25 20.74 21.22 21.69 22.15NO 4.80 17.33 17.53 18.01 18.50 18.98 19.45 19.92 20.37 20.83 21.27 21.70 22.13

EU27 5.35 16.49 16.73 17.30 17.83 18.36 18.91 19.44 19.94 20.43 20.91 21.38 21.84EA16 5.26 16.56 16.77 17.31 17.84 18.37 18.89 19.40 19.90 20.40 20.88 21.35 21.81EU15 5.10 16.89 17.10 17.62 18.14 18.65 19.15 19.65 20.13 20.61 21.08 21.54 21.98

EU12 6.47 14.19 14.45 15.11 15.76 16.41 17.05 17.68 18.30 18.91 19.51 20.10 20.67EU25 5.62 15.87 16.11 16.68 17.25 17.81 18.37 18.91 19.45 19.98 20.50 21.00 21.49EA12 5.09 16.91 17.12 17.64 18.16 18.67 19.17 19.67 20.15 20.63 21.10 21.56 22.00EU10 6.40 14.36 14.62 15.27 15.91 16.56 17.19 17.81 18.43 19.03 19.62 20.20 20.76



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Table A 5 - Life expectancy at 65 - Females (years)Country Ch. 08-60 2008 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060

BE 4.97 20.12 20.33 20.85 21.36 21.86 22.35 22.83 23.30 23.76 24.22 24.66 25.09BG 6.96 16.11 16.39 17.10 17.80 18.49 19.18 19.86 20.53 21.19 21.83 22.46 23.08

CZ 5.99 18.06 18.31 18.92 19.53 20.13 20.73 21.31 21.88 22.44 22.99 23.53 24.05

DK 5.67 18.98 19.22 19.83 20.42 20.99 21.56 22.11 22.64 23.17 23.67 24.17 24.65DE 5.04 20.10 20.31 20.84 21.35 21.86 22.36 22.85 23.33 23.80 24.26 24.71 25.14EE 6.09 18.10 18.36 18.99 19.61 20.23 20.83 21.42 22.00 22.57 23.13 23.67 24.19

IE 5.65 19.72 19.96 20.56 21.15 21.73 22.29 22.84 23.38 23.90 24.41 24.89 25.37EL 4.91 19.64 19.84 20.33 20.82 21.31 21.79 22.26 22.73 23.20 23.65 24.11 24.55

ES 4.54 20.96 21.15 21.62 22.08 22.54 22.98 23.42 23.86 24.28 24.70 25.10 25.50FR 4.15 22.05 22.22 22.66 23.09 23.51 23.92 24.32 24.71 25.10 25.47 25.84 26.20IT 4.50 21.40 21.59 22.06 22.53 22.98 23.43 23.87 24.29 24.71 25.12 25.51 25.90

CY 5.62 18.96 19.19 19.76 20.33 20.89 21.45 22.00 22.54 23.07 23.58 24.09 24.58LV 6.63 17.14 17.42 18.11 18.79 19.46 20.12 20.77 21.40 22.02 22.62 23.20 23.77

LT 6.20 17.52 17.78 18.42 19.05 19.67 20.28 20.89 21.48 22.06 22.63 23.18 23.72LU 5.05 19.74 19.95 20.47 20.99 21.50 22.00 22.49 22.97 23.43 23.89 24.34 24.78

HU 6.55 17.47 17.74 18.43 19.10 19.76 20.42 21.05 21.68 22.29 22.88 23.46 24.01MT 5.69 19.12 19.36 19.95 20.54 21.12 21.68 22.24 22.78 23.31 23.82 24.32 24.81NL 5.09 19.92 20.14 20.67 21.19 21.70 22.21 22.70 23.18 23.66 24.12 24.57 25.01

AT 4.87 20.33 20.53 21.03 21.53 22.02 22.50 22.97 23.43 23.89 24.33 24.77 25.19

PL 5.89 18.55 18.80 19.42 20.02 20.62 21.20 21.78 22.34 22.88 23.42 23.94 24.45PT 4.94 19.87 20.07 20.58 21.08 21.58 22.06 22.54 23.01 23.48 23.93 24.37 24.81RO 6.91 16.32 16.60 17.30 18.00 18.69 19.37 20.05 20.71 21.36 22.00 22.62 23.23

SI 5.29 19.62 19.84 20.39 20.93 21.46 21.99 22.50 23.01 23.50 23.98 24.45 24.91SK 6.58 17.14 17.41 18.09 18.75 19.41 20.07 20.71 21.34 21.96 22.56 23.15 23.73

FI 4.71 20.66 20.85 21.34 21.82 22.30 22.76 23.22 23.67 24.10 24.53 24.95 25.36SE 4.82 20.48 20.68 21.18 21.68 22.16 22.64 23.11 23.56 24.01 24.45 24.88 25.29

UK 5.59 19.51 19.75 20.35 20.93 21.50 22.06 22.60 23.13 23.65 24.15 24.63 25.10NO 4.86 20.37 20.57 21.08 21.58 22.07 22.55 23.02 23.49 23.94 24.38 24.81 25.23

EU27 5.17 19.96 20.18 20.72 21.25 21.77 22.30 22.81 23.31 23.79 24.25 24.69 25.12EA16 5.10 19.96 20.17 20.70 21.22 21.74 22.24 22.74 23.22 23.70 24.16 24.62 25.06EU15 4.97 20.23 20.44 20.96 21.47 21.97 22.46 22.94 23.41 23.88 24.33 24.77 25.20EU12 6.20 17.84 18.10 18.74 19.37 19.99 20.61 21.21 21.81 22.39 22.95 23.51 24.04EU25 5.40 19.41 19.63 20.19 20.75 21.29 21.83 22.35 22.87 23.37 23.86 24.34 24.81EA12 4.87 20.37 20.58 21.08 21.58 22.07 22.55 23.03 23.49 23.94 24.39 24.82 25.24EU10 6.05 18.17 18.42 19.05 19.67 20.28 20.88 21.47 22.04 22.61 23.16 23.70 24.22


Table A 6 Net migration (thousands people)Country Ch. 08-60 2008 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060BE -27.4 50.7 47.5 41.0 36.2 33.6 31.4 28.8 27.1 26.3 25.2 25.0 23.3

BG 0.2 -1.4 0.4 1.7 0.2 -0.4 -0.5 1.4 2.5 2.0 1.6 1.1 -1.2CZ -7.4 24.0 25.9 27.7 24.7 21.3 22.9 23.3 27.3 24.1 21.9 20.4 16.7

DK -3.5 9.7 9.8 8.5 8.1 8.1 8.7 7.0 6.5 6.0 5.7 5.9 6.2DE -43.9 159.8 146.7 166.3 173.1 186.6 187.0 159.6 131.6 140.5 135.7 137.9 115.9

EE 0.2 -0.6 -0.4 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.3 -0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 -0.3IE -54.4 63.1 53.4 34.5 21.7 13.5 8.7 6.5 6.0 8.0 7.4 7.9 8.6EL -12.9 39.7 39.5 39.9 38.2 38.1 37.2 38.0 36.6 35.5 31.0 28.6 26.8

ES -493.6 623.4 540.2 375.8 263.1 190.4 160.8 149.3 150.5 146.1 135.2 131.8 129.9FR -36.4 99.3 97.9 97.4 92.5 88.9 86.5 82.6 76.9 73.9 69.9 66.4 62.9

IT -85.3 259.5 255.9 248.6 240.8 240.8 248.7 239.9 229.5 206.9 193.4 185.8 174.3CY -3.4 9.3 9.2 8.8 8.5 8.2 7.8 7.5 7.2 6.9 6.6 6.2 5.9LV 0.4 -1.0 -0.8 -0.3 -0.3 -0.2 -0.6 -0.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.5 -0.6

LT 2.1 -2.2 -1.7 -0.7 -0.2 0.2 -0.3 -0.1 -0.2 0.3 1.2 1.0 -0.1

LU -1.6 4.4 4.3 4.1 4.0 3.8 3.7 3.5 3.4 3.2 3.1 2.9 2.8HU -4.8 19.6 19.1 22.1 22.4 18.0 17.3 19.3 22.3 19.6 17.9 16.6 14.9MT -0.2 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8

NL 0.5 7.8 7.7 8.2 10.6 13.1 13.7 12.6 6.5 6.7 7.2 9.3 8.4AT -10.7 33.1 32.6 31.4 30.5 31.5 31.2 28.7 26.0 25.6 24.7 23.9 22.3

PL 23.7 -15.5 -15.3 8.5 14.0 4.9 -1.3 4.4 17.1 24.4 26.4 17.2 8.2PT -17.3 51.8 51.1 49.2 47.6 46.9 46.1 45.2 45.3 42.5 38.8 36.6 34.5

RO 9.5 -5.6 -5.1 4.0 6.3 1.8 -0.8 11.4 12.9 14.1 12.7 9.4 3.9SI -3.6 5.9 5.2 5.0 4.4 3.6 3.4 3.1 3.3 3.4 3.0 2.6 2.3SK 0.1 3.6 3.2 5.0 5.0 4.0 3.9 4.1 6.1 6.4 6.1 5.2 3.7

FI -5.2 9.7 10.0 9.5 7.8 6.6 5.8 4.6 4.8 4.9 4.9 5.0 4.5SE -31.1 46.8 42.3 33.3 26.9 22.6 20.2 18.1 17.2 16.7 16.7 18.2 15.8

UK -74.6 188.2 183.9 174.3 165.7 158.0 150.9 144.3 138.0 131.8 126.3 122.2 113.6NO -12.8 22.4 20.8 17.5 15.2 13.5 12.4 11.6 11.0 10.6 10.3 10.1 9.6

EU27 -880.4 1683.9 1563.4 1404.8 1252.8 1144.7 1093.1 1043.8 1005.5 977.3 924.3 888.8 803.5EA16 -795.3 1421.9 1305.3 1125.8 985.1 910.6 876.8 815.0 761.8 737.8 693.1 676.2 626.6EU15 -897.3 1646.9 1522.8 1322.1 1166.8 1082.5 1040.7 968.8 905.9 874.7 825.1 807.5 749.5

EU12 16.9 37.1 40.6 82.7 86.0 62.3 52.4 75.0 99.6 102.6 99.3 81.3 54.0EU25 -890.2 1690.9 1568.1 1399.1 1246.2 1143.3 1094.4 1031.0 990.1 961.1 910.1 878.4 800.8EA12 -788.2 1402.2 1286.8 1105.9 966.1 893.8 860.8 799.4 744.3 720.2 676.4 661.2 614.0EU10 7.2 44.1 45.3 77.0 79.4 60.9 53.7 62.2 84.2 86.4 85.0 70.9 51.2



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Table A 7 Net migration (as % of population)Country Ch. 08-60 2008 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060

BE -0.3 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2BG 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

CZ -0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2

DK -0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1DE 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2EE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

IE -1.3 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1EL -0.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2

ES -1.1 1.4 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3FR -0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1IT -0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3

CY -0.7 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4LV 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

LT 0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0LU -0.5 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4

HU 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2MT 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2NL 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1

AT -0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2

PL 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0PT -0.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3RO 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0

SI -0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1SK 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

FI -0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1SE -0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

UK -0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1NO -0.3 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2

EU27 -0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2EA16 -0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2EU15 -0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2EU12 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1EU25 -0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2EA12 -0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2EU10 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1


Table A 8 - Population (millions people)Country Ch. 07-60 2007 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060BE 1.7 10.6 10.8 11.1 11.3 11.5 11.7 11.9 12.0 12.1 12.2 12.2 12.3

BG -2.2 7.7 7.6 7.4 7.2 7.0 6.8 6.5 6.3 6.1 5.9 5.7 5.5CZ -0.8 10.3 10.4 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.4 10.3 10.2 10.0 9.9 9.7 9.5

DK 0.5 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.7 5.8 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9DE -11.6 82.3 82.1 81.9 81.5 80.9 80.2 79.1 77.8 76.2 74.5 72.6 70.8

EE -0.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1IE 2.4 4.3 4.6 5.1 5.4 5.7 5.9 6.1 6.2 6.4 6.5 6.7 6.8EL -0.1 11.2 11.3 11.5 11.6 11.6 11.6 11.6 11.6 11.5 11.4 11.3 11.1

ES 7.4 44.5 46.7 49.4 51.1 52.1 52.7 53.0 53.3 53.4 53.2 52.7 51.9FR 10.3 61.5 62.6 64.2 65.6 66.8 68.0 69.0 69.9 70.6 71.0 71.4 71.8

IT 0.3 59.1 60.0 60.9 61.4 61.7 61.9 62.0 62.0 61.8 61.2 60.4 59.4CY 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3LV -0.6 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.7

LT -0.8 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.5

LU 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7HU -1.3 10.1 10.0 10.0 9.9 9.8 9.7 9.5 9.4 9.2 9.1 8.9 8.7MT 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4

NL 0.2 16.4 16.5 16.7 16.9 17.1 17.2 17.3 17.2 17.1 16.9 16.7 16.6AT 0.7 8.3 8.4 8.6 8.7 8.9 9.0 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.0

PL -7.0 38.1 38.1 38.1 38.0 37.6 37.0 36.1 35.2 34.3 33.3 32.2 31.1PT 0.7 10.6 10.7 10.9 11.1 11.2 11.3 11.4 11.5 11.5 11.4 11.4 11.3

RO -4.6 21.6 21.3 21.1 20.8 20.5 20.0 19.6 19.2 18.7 18.1 17.6 16.9SI -0.2 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8SK -0.8 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.0 4.9 4.7 4.5

FI 0.1 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.5 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.4SE 1.8 9.1 9.3 9.6 9.9 10.1 10.3 10.4 10.5 10.6 10.7 10.8 10.9

UK 15.8 60.9 62.0 63.8 65.7 67.5 69.2 70.7 72.0 73.3 74.5 75.6 76.7NO 1.4 4.7 4.8 5.0 5.2 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.9 6.0 6.0

EU27 12.4 493.3 499.4 507.7 513.8 517.8 519.9 520.7 520.1 518.4 515.3 511.0 505.7EA16 12.0 323.1 328.3 334.9 339.5 342.5 344.4 345.4 345.5 344.4 342.2 339.0 335.1EU15 30.6 389.9 396.4 405.1 411.9 417.0 420.9 423.6 425.2 425.6 424.9 423.0 420.5

EU12 -18.1 103.3 103.0 102.6 102.0 100.8 99.1 97.1 94.9 92.7 90.4 87.9 85.2EU25 19.3 464.0 470.5 479.2 485.8 490.4 493.1 494.5 494.6 493.6 491.2 487.7 483.3EA12 12.5 314.5 319.6 326.2 330.7 333.6 335.6 336.7 336.8 335.9 333.8 330.7 327.1EU10 -11.3 74.1 74.1 74.1 74.0 73.4 72.3 70.9 69.4 67.9 66.4 64.7 62.8



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Table A 9 Children population (0-14) (as % of total population)Country Ch. 07-60 2007 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060

BE -1.3 17.0 16.8 16.7 16.7 16.5 16.3 16.0 15.8 15.7 15.7 15.7 15.6BG -1.5 13.4 13.5 14.2 14.3 13.5 12.6 12.0 12.0 12.3 12.3 12.2 12.0

CZ -2.1 14.4 14.1 14.6 14.7 13.8 12.8 12.2 12.1 12.4 12.6 12.5 12.3

DK -2.4 18.6 18.1 17.3 16.7 16.6 16.9 17.1 17.0 16.6 16.3 16.2 16.3DE -1.3 13.9 13.4 12.8 12.6 12.7 12.7 12.5 12.2 12.1 12.1 12.3 12.6EE -0.9 14.9 15.1 16.3 16.9 16.3 15.1 14.0 13.8 14.1 14.5 14.4 14.0

IE -3.4 20.3 20.7 21.1 21.1 20.2 18.9 17.8 17.4 17.4 17.5 17.3 17.0EL -1.4 14.3 14.3 14.5 14.4 13.7 13.0 12.7 12.7 13.0 13.1 13.1 12.9

ES -1.6 14.5 15.0 15.7 15.5 14.5 13.4 12.8 12.7 13.0 13.2 13.1 12.9FR -1.7 18.4 18.4 18.4 18.2 17.8 17.4 17.1 17.0 17.1 17.0 16.9 16.7IT -1.9 14.1 14.0 13.9 13.4 12.7 12.2 12.1 12.2 12.3 12.3 12.2 12.1

CY -3.0 17.9 17.1 16.9 17.4 17.4 16.6 15.7 15.1 14.9 15.1 15.1 15.0LV -1.7 14.0 13.7 14.7 15.3 14.8 13.6 12.6 12.1 12.3 12.6 12.6 12.3

LT -3.5 15.9 14.7 14.3 14.8 14.8 14.1 13.0 12.1 12.0 12.2 12.5 12.4LU -2.2 18.3 18.0 17.3 16.9 16.9 16.9 16.9 16.7 16.4 16.2 16.1 16.2

HU -2.5 15.2 14.8 14.8 14.8 14.3 13.6 13.0 12.8 12.8 12.9 12.9 12.7MT -4.1 16.8 15.6 14.6 14.6 14.4 14.0 13.3 12.7 12.5 12.6 12.7 12.7NL -3.1 18.1 17.5 16.6 15.7 15.5 15.7 15.7 15.6 15.3 14.9 14.8 15.0

AT -1.8 15.6 14.9 14.4 14.3 14.3 14.1 13.9 13.6 13.5 13.5 13.7 13.8

PL -4.4 15.8 15.0 14.6 14.8 14.2 13.1 12.0 11.4 11.4 11.6 11.6 11.4PT -2.7 15.5 15.3 15.1 14.5 13.8 13.3 13.0 13.0 13.0 13.0 12.9 12.8RO -3.9 15.4 15.1 14.9 14.7 13.9 13.0 12.2 11.8 11.8 11.8 11.7 11.5

SI -1.2 14.0 13.8 14.0 14.2 13.6 12.8 12.2 12.1 12.4 12.8 12.9 12.8SK -5.0 16.1 15.2 14.7 14.6 13.9 12.9 11.9 11.3 11.2 11.3 11.3 11.1

FI -1.3 17.1 16.6 16.4 16.6 16.6 16.3 15.9 15.6 15.6 15.7 15.8 15.7SE -0.6 17.0 16.5 17.0 17.4 17.5 17.3 16.8 16.2 16.1 16.3 16.5 16.5

UK -1.0 17.6 17.3 17.3 17.7 17.8 17.6 17.2 16.8 16.6 16.6 16.6 16.6NO -2.6 19.4 18.9 18.2 18.0 17.9 17.8 17.5 17.2 16.9 16.7 16.7 16.7

EU27 -1.7 15.8 15.5 15.5 15.4 15.0 14.5 14.1 14.0 14.0 14.1 14.1 14.0EA16 -1.6 15.5 15.4 15.2 15.0 14.6 14.2 13.9 13.8 13.8 13.9 13.9 13.9EU15 -1.4 15.9 15.7 15.6 15.5 15.2 14.9 14.6 14.4 14.4 14.5 14.5 14.5EU12 -3.5 15.3 14.8 14.7 14.8 14.1 13.1 12.3 11.9 11.9 12.1 12.0 11.8EU25 -1.7 15.8 15.6 15.5 15.4 15.1 14.6 14.3 14.1 14.1 14.2 14.2 14.1EA12 -1.6 15.5 15.4 15.3 15.0 14.6 14.2 13.9 13.8 13.9 13.9 13.9 13.9EU10 -3.5 15.5 14.8 14.7 14.8 14.3 13.3 12.3 11.9 11.9 12.1 12.1 11.9


Table A 10 Prime age population (25-54) (as % of total population)Country Ch. 07-60 2007 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060BE -6.6 42.2 41.6 40.4 39.1 37.9 37.0 36.8 36.4 36.1 35.8 35.7 35.6

BG -9.3 42.7 42.9 43.3 42.8 41.2 39.3 37.5 35.9 34.1 33.2 33.5 33.4CZ -10.4 44.3 43.8 43.6 43.6 42.1 39.7 37.2 36.1 35.0 33.9 34.0 33.9

DK -5.7 41.3 40.2 39.0 38.1 36.9 36.1 36.0 36.4 36.3 35.9 35.7 35.6DE -9.7 43.2 42.8 41.8 39.4 36.9 36.2 35.9 35.1 34.1 33.7 33.5 33.5

EE -6.7 41.6 41.9 42.6 41.8 40.3 38.8 38.2 37.0 35.0 34.4 34.8 34.9IE -8.3 44.1 44.5 44.1 42.8 41.5 40.2 38.6 37.1 36.5 36.3 36.0 35.8EL -10.0 44.1 44.1 42.9 41.5 39.5 37.5 36.0 34.9 34.5 34.2 34.2 34.1

ES -13.0 46.7 46.8 45.5 43.4 40.9 38.4 36.1 34.8 34.2 33.9 33.9 33.7FR -5.9 40.9 40.0 38.8 37.4 36.2 35.3 35.3 35.2 35.0 35.0 35.0 34.9

IT -10.0 43.8 43.3 42.3 40.5 38.2 36.3 35.3 34.9 34.6 34.1 34.0 33.7CY -6.7 43.7 44.5 44.7 44.3 43.7 42.6 41.5 40.0 38.9 37.8 37.2 37.0LV -8.4 42.2 43.1 44.1 43.5 41.7 40.0 39.1 37.3 34.7 33.3 33.8 33.8

LT -9.8 42.4 43.2 44.0 43.5 42.1 40.1 38.9 37.4 35.0 33.1 32.5 32.6

LU -8.2 45.5 44.7 43.2 41.6 40.2 39.5 38.9 38.5 38.2 37.9 37.5 37.3HU -9.5 43.6 42.9 42.4 43.0 42.2 40.4 38.0 36.9 35.9 34.9 34.5 34.1MT -8.3 41.9 41.7 41.1 40.9 41.0 40.1 38.5 37.0 35.8 34.6 33.8 33.6

NL -8.0 43.0 41.9 40.4 38.8 37.1 36.4 36.4 36.2 35.8 35.5 35.3 34.9AT -8.8 44.0 44.0 43.0 41.2 39.0 37.8 37.5 36.7 36.1 35.5 35.3 35.2

PL -11.5 43.9 44.1 43.5 43.5 43.0 41.4 39.2 36.6 34.6 33.2 32.6 32.4PT -9.5 43.9 43.9 43.1 41.7 40.5 39.1 37.4 36.2 35.7 35.2 34.9 34.4

RO -11.3 44.2 44.2 45.1 45.6 43.5 41.4 39.0 37.2 34.5 33.6 33.2 32.8SI -12.5 45.7 45.1 43.7 41.7 39.5 37.7 35.8 34.3 33.3 33.0 33.1 33.2SK -13.1 45.5 45.7 45.7 45.4 44.4 42.3 39.4 37.0 34.9 33.3 32.7 32.4

FI -5.7 40.3 39.4 37.9 36.9 35.9 35.6 35.3 34.9 34.9 34.6 34.6 34.6SE -4.0 39.5 39.1 39.1 39.2 37.6 36.5 36.5 36.5 36.0 35.2 35.5 35.6

UK -4.5 41.2 41.1 41.2 40.4 39.1 38.2 38.5 38.1 37.4 36.8 36.7 36.7NO -6.2 41.6 41.1 40.2 39.6 38.3 37.0 36.6 36.4 36.1 35.7 35.4 35.4

EU27 -8.6 43.1 42.8 42.1 40.8 39.0 37.7 36.8 36.0 35.2 34.7 34.5 34.4EA16 -9.2 43.4 43.0 41.9 40.1 38.1 36.8 36.0 35.3 34.8 34.4 34.3 34.2EU15 -8.2 42.9 42.5 41.6 40.0 38.2 36.9 36.3 35.8 35.3 34.9 34.8 34.7

EU12 -10.8 43.9 43.9 43.9 43.9 42.7 40.9 38.7 36.7 34.8 33.6 33.3 33.1EU25 -8.5 43.0 42.7 41.9 40.5 38.8 37.5 36.7 35.9 35.2 34.7 34.6 34.5EA12 -9.1 43.3 42.9 41.8 40.0 38.0 36.7 35.9 35.2 34.7 34.4 34.4 34.2EU10 -10.8 43.9 43.9 43.6 43.5 42.7 40.9 38.7 36.7 35.0 33.7 33.3 33.1



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Table A 11 Working age population (15-64) (as % of total population)Country Ch. 07-60 2007 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060

BE -8.1 65.9 66.0 65.0 63.8 62.4 60.9 59.8 59.2 59.0 58.6 58.2 57.8BG -15.5 69.3 69.1 67.0 65.4 64.7 64.2 63.2 61.3 58.6 56.4 54.4 53.8

CZ -16.9 71.2 70.5 67.5 65.1 64.5 64.3 63.8 61.6 58.4 56.5 55.1 54.4

DK -7.4 66.1 65.5 64.1 63.1 62.0 60.3 58.7 58.2 58.4 59.2 59.4 58.7DE -11.3 66.3 66.0 65.9 64.6 62.6 59.7 57.3 56.7 56.7 56.2 55.4 55.0EE -12.7 68.0 67.9 66.1 64.3 63.5 63.2 63.2 62.1 60.4 58.1 55.7 55.3

IE -10.7 68.6 68.0 66.6 65.6 65.2 65.1 64.6 63.3 61.1 58.8 57.8 57.8EL -11.7 67.1 66.8 65.5 64.5 63.8 62.8 61.0 58.9 56.8 55.3 55.2 55.4

ES -14.1 68.8 68.3 67.0 66.3 65.7 64.5 62.4 59.6 56.6 54.7 54.3 54.7FR -7.8 65.2 64.8 63.1 61.6 60.5 59.4 58.5 57.6 57.5 57.3 57.3 57.4IT -10.9 66.0 65.6 64.5 63.9 63.3 61.6 59.3 57.0 55.5 55.1 55.1 55.1

CY -10.9 69.8 70.3 69.3 67.5 66.1 65.4 65.3 64.9 63.8 61.7 60.0 58.8LV -15.6 68.9 69.0 67.6 66.1 65.0 64.2 63.8 62.4 60.6 57.8 54.6 53.3

LT -15.6 68.5 69.2 69.1 67.6 65.7 63.8 62.7 61.5 60.3 58.1 55.0 52.9LU -7.4 67.6 67.8 67.6 66.9 65.4 63.5 61.9 61.1 60.9 60.8 60.7 60.3

HU -13.5 68.9 68.6 67.4 65.4 64.3 64.5 63.8 62.2 59.4 57.7 56.4 55.4MT -14.8 69.7 69.6 67.4 65.1 63.0 61.8 61.9 61.6 60.2 58.4 56.5 54.9NL -9.7 67.4 67.2 65.6 64.5 62.6 60.2 58.3 57.5 58.0 58.4 58.3 57.8

AT -10.3 67.5 67.5 67.2 66.3 64.6 62.2 60.1 59.2 58.9 58.3 57.8 57.2

PL -18.3 70.8 71.5 70.0 67.0 64.6 63.9 63.8 62.7 60.2 56.8 54.1 52.5PT -10.9 67.3 66.9 66.1 65.5 64.7 63.5 62.1 60.2 58.2 56.9 56.5 56.3RO -16.2 69.8 70.0 69.4 67.9 66.7 66.8 64.9 62.6 59.7 57.3 54.3 53.6

SI -16.4 70.1 69.5 68.1 65.4 63.5 61.9 60.4 58.9 56.7 54.7 53.7 53.8SK -19.3 72.0 72.5 71.5 69.0 67.0 65.9 65.2 63.4 60.2 57.0 54.4 52.7

FI -10.0 66.5 66.4 63.4 61.0 59.3 58.2 57.7 58.2 58.0 57.5 57.1 56.4SE -8.7 65.6 65.3 63.1 61.8 60.9 60.2 59.6 59.5 59.5 59.0 58.0 56.9

UK -7.7 66.4 66.3 65.1 64.0 63.1 61.8 60.9 60.8 61.0 60.5 59.5 58.7NO -8.1 66.0 66.1 65.1 63.9 62.5 61.2 59.9 59.0 59.0 58.9 58.5 57.9

EU27 -11.3 67.3 67.1 65.9 64.6 63.3 61.9 60.4 59.2 58.1 57.1 56.4 56.0EA16 -10.8 66.7 66.4 65.3 64.2 63.0 61.3 59.5 58.1 57.1 56.4 56.0 55.9EU15 -10.0 66.5 66.2 65.1 64.1 62.9 61.3 59.6 58.5 57.8 57.2 56.7 56.5EU12 -16.7 70.2 70.4 69.1 66.8 65.1 64.7 64.0 62.4 59.7 57.0 54.7 53.5EU25 -11.0 67.1 66.9 65.7 64.4 63.2 61.7 60.2 59.0 58.1 57.1 56.5 56.1EA12 -10.6 66.6 66.2 65.2 64.2 62.9 61.2 59.4 58.0 57.0 56.3 56.0 56.0EU10 -17.0 70.4 70.7 69.2 66.6 64.7 64.1 63.8 62.4 59.8 57.0 54.8 53.5


Table A 12 Elderly population (65 and over) (as % of total population)Country Ch. 07-60 2007 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060BE 9.4 17.1 17.2 18.3 19.5 21.1 22.9 24.2 25.0 25.4 25.7 26.0 26.5

BG 17.0 17.3 17.5 18.9 20.3 21.8 23.3 24.7 26.7 29.1 31.3 33.4 34.2CZ 19.0 14.4 15.4 17.9 20.2 21.8 22.9 24.1 26.3 29.3 30.9 32.4 33.4

DK 9.7 15.3 16.4 18.6 20.1 21.4 22.8 24.1 24.8 24.9 24.5 24.4 25.0DE 12.7 19.8 20.6 21.2 22.8 24.7 27.6 30.2 31.1 31.3 31.7 32.3 32.5

EE 13.6 17.1 17.0 17.7 18.8 20.2 21.7 22.8 24.2 25.5 27.4 29.9 30.7IE 14.1 11.1 11.3 12.2 13.3 14.5 16.0 17.6 19.4 21.5 23.7 24.8 25.2EL 13.1 18.6 18.9 20.0 21.1 22.6 24.2 26.3 28.4 30.2 31.5 31.8 31.7

ES 15.7 16.7 16.7 17.3 18.2 19.8 22.1 24.8 27.7 30.5 32.1 32.6 32.3FR 9.5 16.4 16.7 18.5 20.2 21.7 23.2 24.4 25.3 25.4 25.6 25.9 25.9

IT 12.8 19.9 20.3 21.7 22.7 24.0 26.2 28.6 30.8 32.2 32.6 32.7 32.7CY 13.9 12.3 12.7 13.8 15.0 16.5 17.9 19.0 20.0 21.3 23.2 24.8 26.2LV 17.3 17.1 17.4 17.7 18.6 20.2 22.2 23.7 25.4 27.1 29.6 32.8 34.4

LT 19.1 15.6 16.0 16.6 17.6 19.5 22.1 24.3 26.3 27.7 29.7 32.5 34.7

LU 9.5 14.0 14.3 15.1 16.2 17.7 19.6 21.3 22.2 22.7 23.0 23.1 23.6HU 16.0 15.9 16.6 17.7 19.8 21.4 22.0 23.1 25.0 27.7 29.3 30.7 31.9MT 18.9 13.5 14.8 18.0 20.3 22.6 24.2 24.8 25.7 27.3 29.1 30.8 32.4

NL 12.8 14.5 15.3 17.8 19.8 21.9 24.1 25.9 26.9 26.8 26.6 26.8 27.3AT 12.1 16.9 17.6 18.4 19.4 21.1 23.7 26.1 27.2 27.6 28.2 28.5 29.0

PL 22.8 13.4 13.6 15.3 18.2 21.2 23.0 24.2 25.9 28.4 31.6 34.3 36.2PT 13.6 17.3 17.8 18.9 20.1 21.5 23.3 24.9 26.8 28.8 30.1 30.6 30.9

RO 20.1 14.9 14.9 15.6 17.4 19.4 20.3 22.9 25.5 28.5 30.9 34.0 35.0SI 17.5 15.9 16.6 17.9 20.4 22.9 25.3 27.4 29.1 31.0 32.5 33.4 33.4SK 24.3 11.9 12.3 13.8 16.4 19.1 21.3 23.0 25.3 28.6 31.6 34.3 36.1

FI 11.4 16.5 17.1 20.1 22.4 24.1 25.5 26.4 26.2 26.4 26.8 27.1 27.8SE 9.2 17.4 18.2 19.9 20.8 21.6 22.5 23.6 24.3 24.4 24.7 25.5 26.6

UK 8.7 16.0 16.4 17.6 18.3 19.2 20.5 21.9 22.4 22.4 23.0 23.9 24.7NO 10.8 14.6 15.0 16.7 18.1 19.6 21.0 22.6 23.8 24.1 24.4 24.8 25.4

EU27 13.0 17.0 17.4 18.6 20.1 21.7 23.6 25.4 26.8 27.9 28.8 29.6 30.0EA16 12.4 17.8 18.3 19.4 20.8 22.4 24.5 26.6 28.1 29.1 29.8 30.1 30.2EU15 11.4 17.6 18.0 19.2 20.4 21.9 23.9 25.8 27.1 27.8 28.4 28.8 29.0

EU12 20.2 14.5 14.8 16.2 18.5 20.8 22.2 23.8 25.8 28.4 30.9 33.3 34.7EU25 12.7 17.0 17.5 18.8 20.2 21.8 23.7 25.5 26.9 27.9 28.7 29.4 29.7EA12 12.2 18.0 18.4 19.5 20.9 22.5 24.6 26.7 28.2 29.1 29.8 30.1 30.1EU10 20.5 14.1 14.5 16.1 18.6 21.0 22.6 23.9 25.8 28.3 30.9 33.1 34.6



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Table A 13 Very elderly population (80 and over) (as % of total population)Country Ch. 07-60 2007 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060

BE 5.7 4.6 4.9 5.4 5.6 5.6 6.5 7.4 8.4 9.4 10.0 10.2 10.2BG 9.4 3.5 3.8 4.4 4.6 4.9 6.1 7.1 8.0 8.7 9.6 11.0 12.8

CZ 10.1 3.3 3.6 3.9 4.1 5.0 6.6 7.9 8.4 8.7 9.3 11.1 13.4

DK 5.9 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.7 5.7 7.1 7.7 8.1 8.9 9.7 10.1 10.0DE 8.6 4.6 5.1 5.7 7.1 7.9 8.0 8.9 10.3 12.4 14.0 13.8 13.2EE 7.3 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.2 5.4 5.9 6.8 7.8 8.6 9.0 9.8 10.7

IE 6.9 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.5 4.3 5.0 5.7 6.5 7.3 8.3 9.6EL 9.6 3.9 4.6 5.8 6.5 6.5 7.1 7.9 8.9 9.9 11.2 12.4 13.5

ES 10.0 4.5 4.8 5.3 5.4 5.7 6.4 7.2 8.3 9.7 11.3 12.9 14.5FR 5.9 4.9 5.3 5.9 6.0 6.1 7.3 8.5 9.3 10.0 10.5 10.9 10.8IT 9.6 5.3 5.8 6.6 7.3 7.7 8.5 9.1 10.0 11.5 13.1 14.4 14.9

CY 5.9 2.8 2.8 3.0 3.4 3.9 4.6 5.3 6.1 6.8 7.3 7.8 8.6LV 8.5 3.4 3.9 4.5 5.2 5.6 5.9 6.7 7.9 9.2 9.9 10.9 11.9

LT 8.9 3.1 3.6 4.4 4.9 5.3 5.6 6.4 7.8 9.6 10.7 11.5 12.0LU 5.6 3.3 3.8 4.1 4.3 4.4 5.0 5.8 6.7 7.8 8.6 8.9 8.9

HU 9.0 3.6 3.9 4.4 4.8 5.4 6.2 7.6 8.4 8.5 9.1 10.5 12.6MT 9.1 2.7 3.3 3.9 4.5 5.2 7.1 8.3 9.3 9.9 9.9 10.4 11.8NL 7.2 3.7 3.9 4.3 4.7 5.4 6.9 8.0 9.0 10.1 11.1 11.4 10.9

AT 6.9 4.5 4.7 4.9 5.2 6.2 6.7 7.2 8.4 10.1 11.5 11.7 11.4

PL 10.2 2.9 3.3 4.0 4.4 4.5 5.7 7.7 9.4 10.0 10.1 11.0 13.1PT 8.7 4.1 4.5 5.2 5.8 6.1 6.8 7.6 8.4 9.5 10.5 11.6 12.8RO 10.4 2.7 3.0 3.6 4.2 4.3 4.9 6.2 7.4 7.7 9.4 11.1 13.1

SI 10.5 3.4 3.9 4.8 5.4 6.0 6.7 8.4 9.9 11.0 12.0 12.7 13.9SK 10.7 2.5 2.7 3.0 3.2 3.7 4.7 6.4 7.8 8.7 9.3 10.8 13.2

FI 6.6 4.2 4.6 5.1 5.6 6.2 8.2 9.4 10.1 10.6 10.8 10.5 10.8SE 4.7 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.4 6.3 7.6 8.1 8.4 8.8 9.5 10.0 10.0

UK 4.5 4.5 4.6 4.8 5.0 5.3 6.3 6.7 7.3 8.1 8.9 9.1 9.0NO 5.3 4.7 4.6 4.4 4.4 5.0 6.3 7.1 7.8 8.4 9.3 9.9 10.0

EU27 7.8 4.3 4.7 5.2 5.7 6.1 6.9 7.9 8.9 10.0 11.0 11.7 12.1EA16 8.2 4.6 5.0 5.6 6.2 6.6 7.4 8.2 9.3 10.6 11.8 12.5 12.8EU15 7.3 4.6 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.2 8.0 8.9 10.2 11.3 11.8 12.0EU12 9.9 3.0 3.4 4.0 4.4 4.7 5.7 7.2 8.5 9.0 9.7 11.0 12.9EU25 7.7 4.4 4.7 5.3 5.8 6.2 7.0 7.9 8.9 10.1 11.1 11.7 12.1EA12 8.1 4.7 5.1 5.7 6.3 6.7 7.4 8.3 9.3 10.7 11.9 12.5 12.8EU10 9.8 3.0 3.4 4.0 4.4 4.7 5.8 7.5 8.8 9.4 9.8 10.9 12.9


Table A 14 - Very elderly population (80 and over) (as % of elderly population)Country Ch. 07-60 2007 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060BE 11.9 26.7 28.5 29.5 28.6 26.5 28.2 30.4 33.5 37.0 38.7 39.2 38.6

BG 17.4 20.1 21.6 23.1 22.5 22.7 26.2 28.8 29.9 29.9 30.7 33.0 37.5CZ 17.5 22.6 23.3 22.1 20.3 23.1 28.9 32.9 31.9 29.8 30.1 34.2 40.1

DK 13.2 26.9 25.1 22.7 23.3 26.8 31.0 31.7 32.8 35.7 39.8 41.4 40.1DE 17.3 23.3 24.6 26.7 31.1 32.1 28.9 29.4 33.1 39.6 44.1 42.7 40.6

EE 14.6 20.3 23.4 25.7 27.8 26.5 27.0 29.7 32.3 33.9 33.0 32.9 35.0IE 13.5 24.5 24.8 23.9 23.6 24.2 26.6 28.3 29.3 30.0 30.6 33.3 38.0EL 21.6 20.9 24.2 29.1 30.7 28.8 29.4 30.0 31.4 32.8 35.6 39.2 42.6

ES 17.7 27.1 28.7 30.7 29.8 28.7 28.8 28.9 30.0 31.9 35.1 39.6 44.8FR 12.0 29.6 31.7 31.8 29.9 28.1 31.5 34.8 36.9 39.5 40.9 42.1 41.6

IT 18.9 26.7 28.7 30.6 32.3 32.1 32.5 31.8 32.4 35.6 40.2 44.1 45.6CY 10.5 22.5 22.3 21.9 22.6 23.5 25.5 27.9 30.5 32.2 31.3 31.3 33.0LV 14.9 19.7 22.6 25.3 28.1 27.8 26.7 28.2 31.1 33.8 33.4 33.1 34.6

LT 14.7 19.9 22.7 26.2 27.9 27.0 25.3 26.2 29.8 34.5 35.9 35.4 34.5

LU 14.1 23.7 26.3 27.4 26.5 25.1 25.5 27.1 30.2 34.2 37.4 38.3 37.8HU 16.9 22.6 23.7 24.9 24.0 25.3 28.2 32.7 33.7 30.5 31.1 34.2 39.6MT 16.3 20.2 22.5 21.6 22.4 22.8 29.2 33.4 36.3 36.2 33.9 33.9 36.5

NL 14.6 25.4 25.4 24.1 23.8 24.9 28.8 30.7 33.3 37.8 41.6 42.4 39.9AT 12.6 26.5 27.0 26.4 26.8 29.2 28.2 27.8 30.8 36.5 40.7 41.0 39.2

PL 14.9 21.3 24.4 25.9 23.9 21.0 24.7 31.7 36.4 35.1 31.8 32.1 36.1PT 17.8 23.7 25.2 27.8 28.9 28.5 29.1 30.4 31.5 33.1 34.7 37.9 41.4

RO 19.6 17.9 20.3 23.3 24.2 22.2 24.3 27.1 29.1 26.9 30.5 32.6 37.5SI 20.1 21.3 23.5 27.0 26.5 26.2 26.4 30.5 34.0 35.6 36.8 37.8 41.4SK 15.3 21.2 22.2 22.0 19.7 19.6 22.3 27.8 30.7 30.4 29.5 31.5 36.5

FI 13.4 25.4 27.2 25.4 25.2 25.8 32.0 35.8 38.7 40.1 40.2 38.6 38.8SE 6.8 31.0 29.3 26.2 26.0 29.4 33.9 34.4 34.6 36.1 38.5 39.1 37.8

UK 8.2 28.0 28.1 27.0 27.2 27.9 30.5 30.7 32.4 36.3 38.9 38.2 36.3NO 7.4 31.8 30.5 26.4 24.3 25.5 29.9 31.4 32.9 35.0 38.1 40.0 39.2

EU27 15.2 25.3 26.8 27.8 28.4 28.2 29.4 30.9 33.0 35.7 38.2 39.5 40.5EA16 16.4 25.8 27.4 28.9 29.9 29.6 30.0 31.0 33.0 36.5 39.7 41.4 42.2EU15 15.0 26.3 27.6 28.6 29.5 29.5 30.3 31.0 33.0 36.6 39.7 41.1 41.3

EU12 16.6 20.6 22.9 24.4 23.5 22.5 25.6 30.3 33.0 31.7 31.4 32.9 37.2EU25 15.0 25.7 27.1 28.1 28.7 28.5 29.6 31.1 33.2 36.1 38.6 39.9 40.7EA12 16.5 25.9 27.5 29.0 30.1 29.8 30.1 31.0 33.1 36.7 39.9 41.6 42.4EU10 15.6 21.5 23.8 24.8 23.5 22.5 25.8 31.3 34.3 33.2 31.7 33.0 37.2



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Table A 15 - Very elderly population (80 and over) (as % of working-age population)Country Ch. 07-60 2007 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060

BE 10.8 6.9 7.4 8.3 8.8 9.0 10.6 12.3 14.2 15.9 17.0 17.5 17.7BG 18.8 5.0 5.5 6.5 7.0 7.7 9.5 11.3 13.0 14.9 17.0 20.3 23.8

CZ 20.1 4.6 5.1 5.8 6.3 7.8 10.3 12.4 13.6 14.9 16.5 20.1 24.6

DK 10.9 6.2 6.3 6.6 7.4 9.3 11.7 13.0 14.0 15.2 16.4 17.0 17.1DE 17.0 7.0 7.7 8.6 11.0 12.7 13.4 15.5 18.1 21.8 24.9 24.8 24.0EE 14.3 5.1 5.8 6.9 8.1 8.4 9.3 10.7 12.6 14.3 15.6 17.6 19.4

IE 12.6 3.9 4.1 4.4 4.8 5.4 6.6 7.7 9.0 10.6 12.4 14.3 16.6EL 18.5 5.8 6.8 8.9 10.1 10.2 11.3 12.9 15.2 17.5 20.3 22.6 24.3

ES 19.9 6.6 7.0 7.9 8.2 8.7 9.9 11.5 13.9 17.2 20.6 23.8 26.5FR 11.3 7.5 8.2 9.3 9.8 10.1 12.3 14.5 16.2 17.4 18.3 19.0 18.8IT 19.0 8.1 8.9 10.3 11.4 12.2 13.8 15.4 17.5 20.6 23.8 26.2 27.0

CY 10.7 4.0 4.0 4.3 5.0 5.9 7.0 8.1 9.4 10.7 11.8 13.0 14.7LV 17.4 4.9 5.7 6.6 7.9 8.6 9.2 10.4 12.7 15.1 17.1 19.9 22.3

LT 18.2 4.5 5.3 6.3 7.3 8.0 8.8 10.2 12.8 15.9 18.4 20.9 22.7LU 9.9 4.9 5.5 6.1 6.4 6.8 7.9 9.3 11.0 12.7 14.1 14.6 14.8

HU 17.6 5.2 5.7 6.6 7.3 8.4 9.6 11.9 13.5 14.2 15.8 18.6 22.8MT 17.6 3.9 4.8 5.8 7.0 8.2 11.4 13.3 15.1 16.4 16.9 18.5 21.5NL 13.4 5.4 5.8 6.5 7.3 8.7 11.5 13.6 15.6 17.5 19.0 19.5 18.8

AT 13.2 6.6 7.0 7.2 7.8 9.6 10.8 12.1 14.2 17.1 19.6 20.2 19.8

PL 20.9 4.0 4.6 5.7 6.5 6.9 8.9 12.0 15.0 16.5 17.7 20.4 24.9PT 16.6 6.1 6.7 7.9 8.9 9.5 10.7 12.2 14.0 16.4 18.4 20.5 22.7RO 20.6 3.8 4.3 5.2 6.2 6.5 7.4 9.6 11.9 12.8 16.5 20.4 24.4

SI 20.9 4.8 5.6 7.1 8.3 9.5 10.8 13.8 16.8 19.5 21.9 23.6 25.8SK 21.5 3.5 3.8 4.2 4.7 5.6 7.2 9.8 12.3 14.5 16.4 19.8 25.0

FI 12.8 6.3 7.0 8.1 9.3 10.5 14.1 16.4 17.4 18.2 18.7 18.3 19.1SE 9.4 8.2 8.1 8.3 8.8 10.4 12.7 13.6 14.1 14.9 16.2 17.2 17.6

UK 8.5 6.8 6.9 7.3 7.8 8.5 10.1 11.0 11.9 13.3 14.8 15.4 15.3NO 10.2 7.1 6.9 6.8 6.9 8.0 10.2 11.9 13.2 14.3 15.8 16.9 17.2

EU27 15.3 6.4 6.9 7.9 8.8 9.6 11.2 13.0 15.0 17.1 19.2 20.7 21.7EA16 15.9 6.9 7.6 8.6 9.7 10.5 12.0 13.9 16.0 18.6 21.0 22.3 22.8EU15 14.2 7.0 7.5 8.4 9.4 10.3 11.8 13.4 15.3 17.6 19.7 20.8 21.2EU12 19.9 4.3 4.8 5.7 6.5 7.2 8.8 11.3 13.6 15.1 17.0 20.1 24.1EU25 15.0 6.5 7.1 8.0 9.0 9.8 11.4 13.2 15.1 17.3 19.4 20.7 21.5EA12 15.8 7.0 7.6 8.7 9.8 10.6 12.1 14.0 16.1 18.7 21.1 22.4 22.8EU10 19.8 4.3 4.9 5.8 6.6 7.3 9.1 11.7 14.2 15.7 17.1 19.9 24.1


Table A 16 Potential GDP (annual growth rate)Country Avg 07-60 2007 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060BE 1.8 2.5 2.5 2.3 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7

BG 1.9 6.4 4.0 3.0 2.4 2.0 1.7 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.7 0.8CZ 1.8 5.2 4.2 3.0 2.5 1.6 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.9 1.1

DK 1.7 2.3 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.8 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.6DE 1.2 1.4 1.9 1.9 1.5 0.9 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.0

EE 2.1 7.8 5.0 3.2 2.6 2.3 2.2 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.8 1.2IE 2.4 5.2 4.1 3.4 2.9 2.6 2.3 2.1 1.8 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.0EL 1.8 3.8 3.0 2.7 2.9 1.8 1.3 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4

ES 1.9 3.7 2.9 3.1 3.4 2.5 1.8 1.3 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.6FR 1.8 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8

IT 1.4 1.5 1.5 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4CY 2.8 3.6 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.2 2.9 2.6 2.3 2.0 1.8 1.8 1.8LV 1.8 8.6 5.0 3.0 2.1 2.0 1.8 1.0 0.7 0.2 -0.1 0.4 1.1

LT 1.8 8.0 5.0 3.6 2.5 1.8 1.5 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.4

LU 2.7 4.5 5.0 4.0 2.7 2.3 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.0 2.0HU 1.7 2.9 3.3 2.8 2.4 2.1 2.1 1.5 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.9 1.0MT 1.7 2.9 2.3 2.7 2.7 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.8 1.0

NL 1.5 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3AT 1.7 2.2 2.2 1.9 1.9 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.5

PL 1.7 5.9 4.2 3.1 2.5 2.5 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5PT 1.8 1.3 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.5 2.2 1.8 1.5 1.2 1.3 1.4

RO 2.0 6.4 5.2 3.9 2.9 2.2 1.6 1.8 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.6 0.3SI 1.6 4.9 3.4 3.2 2.6 1.4 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.1SK 2.0 6.5 6.2 4.2 3.4 2.3 2.0 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5

FI 1.7 3.4 2.6 1.9 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.5SE 1.9 3.5 2.7 2.2 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.7

UK 2.1 2.7 2.7 2.4 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.8NO 2.0 6.0 2.1 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8

EU27 1.7 2.7 2.5 2.3 2.1 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.4EA16 1.6 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.1 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4EU15 1.7 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.0 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

EU12 1.8 5.7 4.4 3.3 2.6 2.2 1.8 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.7EU25 1.7 2.6 2.4 2.3 2.1 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5EA12 1.6 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.0 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.5EU10 1.8 5.5 4.2 3.2 2.6 2.2 1.9 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.8



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Table A 17 - Employment (annual growth rate)Country Avg 07-60 2007 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060

BE 0.2 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0BG -0.8 2.3 0.0 -0.5 -0.9 -1.0 -1.0 -1.2 -1.3 -1.4 -1.4 -1.0 -0.9

CZ -0.4 1.1 0.4 0.0 -0.4 -0.5 -0.3 -0.6 -0.8 -0.8 -1.0 -0.8 -0.5

DK 0.0 0.5 -0.1 -0.1 -0.2 0.1 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 -0.1DE -0.4 0.2 0.4 0.3 -0.2 -0.9 -0.4 -0.6 -0.6 -0.5 -0.7 -0.7 -0.7EE -0.6 1.5 0.1 -0.7 -0.7 -0.7 -0.5 -0.5 -0.7 -0.9 -1.1 -0.9 -0.5

IE 0.7 3.3 2.5 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.1 -0.2 -0.1 0.1 0.3EL -0.2 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 -0.4 -0.4 -0.6 -0.7 -0.6 -0.5 -0.4 -0.3

ES 0.2 3.3 2.2 1.2 0.8 0.1 -0.1 -0.4 -0.8 -0.9 -0.6 -0.3 -0.1FR 0.2 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1IT -0.1 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 -0.3 -0.7 -0.7 -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.3

CY 0.9 2.1 2.5 1.7 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2LV -0.9 2.1 -0.1 -1.0 -1.2 -1.0 -0.9 -0.9 -1.0 -1.5 -1.9 -1.3 -0.6

LT -0.9 1.8 0.4 -0.1 -0.9 -1.2 -1.2 -1.1 -0.9 -1.2 -1.5 -1.5 -1.3LU 0.9 3.1 3.6 2.1 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3

HU -0.5 -0.1 0.8 0.3 -0.2 -0.5 -0.6 -0.8 -1.0 -1.0 -0.9 -0.8 -0.7MT -0.2 2.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 -0.3 -0.1 -0.3 -0.5 -0.7 -0.9 -0.9 -0.7NL -0.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 -0.2 -0.4 -0.5 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.4

AT 0.0 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.2 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.3 -0.2

PL -0.6 2.8 0.5 -0.3 -0.6 -0.3 -0.6 -0.8 -1.1 -1.4 -1.5 -1.5 -1.2PT -0.1 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 -0.1 -0.3 -0.4 -0.5 -0.5 -0.4 -0.3RO -0.9 0.2 0.1 -0.1 -0.5 -0.9 -1.1 -0.9 -1.6 -1.3 -1.4 -1.1 -1.4

SI -0.6 1.2 -0.2 0.0 -0.5 -0.9 -0.9 -0.9 -1.0 -1.0 -0.9 -0.7 -0.6SK -0.6 0.8 1.5 0.7 0.3 -0.7 -0.6 -1.1 -1.2 -1.4 -1.5 -1.4 -1.2

FI -0.1 1.2 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.2SE 0.2 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 -0.1 0.0

UK 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1NO 0.3 3.8 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

EU27 -0.1 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.0 -0.2 -0.2 -0.3 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 -0.3EA16 -0.1 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 -0.3 -0.3EU15 0.0 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2EU12 -0.7 1.5 0.4 -0.1 -0.5 -0.6 -0.7 -0.8 -1.1 -1.2 -1.3 -1.2 -1.0EU25 -0.1 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1 -0.2 -0.2 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 -0.4 -0.3 -0.3EA12 -0.1 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2EU10 -0.6 1.9 0.5 -0.1 -0.5 -0.5 -0.6 -0.8 -1.0 -1.2 -1.3 -1.2 -0.9


Table A 18 Labour input hours worked (annual growth rate)Country Avg 07-60 2007 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060BE 0.2 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

BG -0.8 2.4 0.0 -0.5 -0.9 -1.0 -1.0 -1.2 -1.3 -1.4 -1.4 -1.0 -0.9CZ -0.4 1.0 0.4 0.0 -0.4 -0.5 -0.3 -0.6 -0.8 -0.8 -1.0 -0.8 -0.5

DK 0.0 0.3 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0.1 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 -0.1DE -0.5 -0.1 0.4 0.2 -0.2 -0.9 -0.4 -0.6 -0.6 -0.5 -0.7 -0.7 -0.7

EE -0.6 1.6 0.1 -0.7 -0.7 -0.7 -0.5 -0.5 -0.7 -1.0 -1.1 -0.9 -0.5IE 0.7 2.9 2.5 1.5 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0.1 0.3EL -0.2 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 -0.4 -0.5 -0.6 -0.7 -0.6 -0.5 -0.4 -0.3

ES 0.1 2.7 2.1 1.2 0.8 0.1 -0.1 -0.4 -0.8 -0.9 -0.6 -0.3 -0.1FR 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1

IT -0.1 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 -0.3 -0.6 -0.6 -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.3CY 0.8 1.9 2.5 1.7 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2LV -0.9 2.0 -0.1 -1.0 -1.2 -1.0 -0.9 -0.9 -1.0 -1.5 -1.9 -1.3 -0.6

LT -0.8 2.4 0.4 -0.1 -0.9 -1.2 -1.2 -1.1 -0.9 -1.2 -1.5 -1.5 -1.3

LU 0.9 2.7 3.6 2.1 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3HU -0.5 -0.3 0.8 0.3 -0.2 -0.5 -0.6 -0.8 -1.0 -0.9 -0.9 -0.8 -0.7MT -0.2 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 -0.2 -0.1 -0.3 -0.5 -0.7 -0.9 -0.9 -0.7

NL -0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 -0.3 -0.4 -0.5 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.4AT 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.3 -0.2

PL -0.7 2.8 0.4 -0.3 -0.6 -0.4 -0.7 -0.9 -1.2 -1.4 -1.4 -1.4 -1.2PT -0.1 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 -0.1 -0.3 -0.4 -0.5 -0.5 -0.4 -0.3

RO -0.8 1.0 0.1 -0.1 -0.5 -0.9 -1.1 -0.9 -1.6 -1.3 -1.4 -1.1 -1.4SI -0.6 1.2 -0.3 0.0 -0.5 -0.9 -0.9 -1.0 -1.0 -1.0 -0.9 -0.7 -0.6SK -0.6 1.0 1.5 0.7 0.3 -0.7 -0.7 -1.1 -1.2 -1.4 -1.5 -1.4 -1.2

FI -0.1 0.8 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.2SE 0.2 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 -0.1 0.0

UK 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1NO 0.3 3.9 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

EU27 -0.1 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 -0.2 -0.2 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 -0.3EA16 -0.1 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 -0.3 -0.3EU15 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2

EU12 -0.7 1.7 0.4 -0.1 -0.5 -0.6 -0.7 -0.9 -1.2 -1.2 -1.3 -1.1 -1.0EU25 -0.1 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 -0.2 -0.2 -0.3 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 -0.3 -0.3EA12 -0.1 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2EU10 -0.6 1.9 0.5 -0.1 -0.5 -0.5 -0.6 -0.8 -1.0 -1.2 -1.2 -1.2 -0.9



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Table A 19 Labour productivity per hour (annual growth rate)Country Avg 07-60 2007 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060

BE 1.7 1.3 1.3 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7BG 2.7 4.0 4.0 3.6 3.3 3.0 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.2 1.7 1.7 1.7

CZ 2.2 4.1 3.8 3.0 2.9 2.2 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7

DK 1.7 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7DE 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7EE 2.6 6.0 4.9 3.9 3.3 3.0 2.7 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7

IE 1.8 2.2 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7EL 2.0 2.5 2.3 2.4 2.9 2.2 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7

ES 1.8 1.0 0.8 1.9 2.7 2.4 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7FR 1.7 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7IT 1.6 0.3 0.6 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7

CY 1.9 1.7 1.3 2.1 2.7 2.3 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7LV 2.7 6.4 5.1 3.9 3.3 3.0 2.7 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7

LT 2.6 5.4 4.6 3.7 3.3 3.0 2.7 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7LU 1.7 1.7 1.4 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7

HU 2.3 3.2 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.7MT 1.9 1.5 1.9 2.5 2.7 2.1 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7NL 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7

AT 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7

PL 2.4 3.0 3.7 3.4 3.1 2.8 2.7 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7PT 1.9 1.1 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.7 2.5 2.2 2.0 1.7 1.7 1.7RO 2.9 5.4 5.1 4.0 3.4 3.0 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.0 1.7 1.7 1.7

SI 2.2 3.6 3.7 3.2 3.1 2.3 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7SK 2.6 5.3 4.7 3.5 3.1 2.9 2.7 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7

FI 1.8 2.5 2.6 2.0 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7SE 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7

UK 1.8 2.5 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7NO 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7

EU27 1.8 1.7 1.7 2.0 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7EA16 1.7 1.3 1.3 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7EU15 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7EU12 2.5 3.8 3.9 3.4 3.1 2.8 2.5 2.1 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7EU25 1.8 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7EA12 1.7 1.3 1.3 1.7 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7EU10 2.4 3.6 3.7 3.2 3.0 2.7 2.5 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7


Table A 20 - TFP (annual growth rate)Country Avg 07-60 2007 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060BE 1.1 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1

BG 1.5 1.2 0.9 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.4 1.1 1.1 1.1CZ 1.4 3.1 2.6 1.8 1.8 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1

DK 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1DE 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1

EE 1.5 2.7 2.2 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1IE 1.1 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1EL 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.3 1.7 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1

ES 1.1 0.3 0.3 1.1 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1FR 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1

IT 1.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1CY 1.2 0.7 0.7 1.3 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1LV 1.5 3.1 2.6 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1

LT 1.5 2.8 2.3 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1

LU 1.1 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1HU 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1MT 1.2 1.0 1.1 1.6 1.7 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1

NL 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1AT 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1

PL 1.4 1.7 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1PT 1.2 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.1

RO 1.6 2.5 2.2 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.1SI 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1SK 1.6 3.5 3.2 2.0 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1

FI 1.2 2.0 1.8 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1SE 1.1 1.6 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1

UK 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1NO 1.1 2.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1

EU27 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1EA16 1.1 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1EU15 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1

EU12 1.4 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1EU25 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1EA12 1.1 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1EU10 1.4 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1



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Table A 21 Capital deepening (contribution to labour productivity growth)Country Avg 07-60 2007 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060

BE 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6BG 1.3 2.7 3.1 2.1 1.6 1.3 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6

CZ 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6

DK 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6DE 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6EE 1.2 3.3 2.7 2.1 1.6 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6

IE 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6EL 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6

ES 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6FR 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6IT 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6

CY 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6LV 1.1 3.3 2.5 2.0 1.6 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6

LT 1.1 2.6 2.4 1.9 1.6 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6LU 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6

HU 0.9 1.8 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6MT 0.7 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6NL 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6

AT 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6

PL 1.0 1.3 2.2 1.8 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6PT 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6RO 1.2 2.9 2.9 2.1 1.6 1.3 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6

SI 1.0 2.1 2.2 1.5 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6SK 1.0 1.8 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6

FI 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6SE 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6

UK 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6NO 0.6 -0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6

EU27 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6EA16 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6EU15 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6EU12 1.0 1.7 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6EU25 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6EA12 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6EU10 1.0 1.4 1.8 1.6 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6


Table A 22 GDP per capita (annual growth rate)Country Avg 07-60 2007 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060BE 1.5 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.5 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6

BG 2.5 7.0 4.6 3.5 2.9 2.7 2.4 2.2 2.0 1.4 1.0 1.4 1.6CZ 1.9 4.8 4.0 2.9 2.5 1.8 1.7 1.4 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.6

DK 1.6 1.9 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.2 1.5 1.6 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.5DE 1.5 1.6 1.9 1.9 1.6 1.0 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5

EE 2.4 8.0 5.2 3.4 2.8 2.6 2.6 1.7 1.4 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.7IE 1.5 2.6 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.7EL 1.8 3.4 2.6 2.5 2.8 1.8 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.8

ES 1.6 2.1 1.5 2.1 2.9 2.2 1.7 1.2 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.9FR 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7

IT 1.4 0.9 1.1 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.3 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.8CY 1.7 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.4LV 2.4 9.2 5.5 3.4 2.6 2.5 2.5 1.6 1.3 0.8 0.5 1.1 1.9

LT 2.3 8.6 5.5 3.9 2.8 2.2 2.0 1.4 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.2

LU 1.8 2.9 3.8 2.9 1.6 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5HU 2.0 4.0 3.4 2.9 2.6 2.4 2.4 1.8 1.4 1.3 1.1 1.3 1.5MT 1.7 2.2 1.9 2.4 2.4 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.3

NL 1.5 2.0 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5AT 1.5 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6

PL 2.1 6.7 4.2 3.1 2.6 2.7 2.4 1.5 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.3PT 1.7 1.0 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.4 2.1 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.5 1.6

RO 2.5 7.5 5.4 4.1 3.2 2.5 2.1 2.2 1.6 1.2 0.9 1.3 1.2SI 1.8 4.5 3.1 3.0 2.6 1.6 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7SK 2.3 6.5 6.1 4.1 3.4 2.4 2.3 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.3

FI 1.7 3.0 2.2 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.4 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.6SE 1.6 2.8 2.0 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.5

UK 1.6 1.2 2.1 1.8 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.5NO 1.5 5.1 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5

EU27 1.7 2.2 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7EA16 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.9 1.8 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7EU15 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7

EU12 2.2 6.1 4.4 3.3 2.8 2.5 2.2 1.6 1.3 1.1 0.9 1.2 1.4EU25 1.6 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7EA12 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7EU10 2.1 5.7 4.2 3.2 2.7 2.4 2.2 1.5 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.1 1.4



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Table A 23 GDP per worker (annual growth rate)Country Avg 07-60 2007 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060

BE 1.7 1.2 1.3 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7BG 2.7 4.0 4.0 3.6 3.3 3.0 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.2 1.7 1.7 1.7

CZ 2.2 4.0 3.8 3.0 2.9 2.2 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7

DK 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7DE 1.7 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7EE 2.7 6.2 4.9 4.0 3.3 3.0 2.7 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7

IE 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7EL 2.0 2.7 2.3 2.4 2.9 2.2 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7

ES 1.8 0.4 0.7 1.8 2.6 2.3 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7FR 1.7 1.1 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7IT 1.5 0.2 0.6 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7

CY 1.9 1.4 1.3 2.1 2.7 2.3 2.0 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7LV 2.7 6.3 5.1 4.0 3.4 3.0 2.7 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.7

LT 2.7 6.1 4.6 3.7 3.4 3.0 2.7 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7LU 1.7 1.4 1.3 1.9 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7

HU 2.3 3.0 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.7MT 1.9 0.9 1.9 2.5 2.7 2.1 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7NL 1.7 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7

AT 1.7 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7

PL 2.4 3.0 3.7 3.4 3.1 2.8 2.7 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.7PT 1.9 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.7 2.5 2.2 2.0 1.7 1.7 1.7RO 2.9 6.2 5.1 4.0 3.4 3.0 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.0 1.7 1.7 1.7

SI 2.2 3.6 3.7 3.1 3.1 2.3 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7SK 2.6 5.7 4.6 3.5 3.0 3.0 2.7 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7

FI 1.8 2.2 2.6 2.0 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7SE 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7

UK 1.8 2.0 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7NO 1.7 2.2 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7

EU27 1.8 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7EA16 1.7 1.1 1.3 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7EU15 1.7 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7EU12 2.5 4.1 3.9 3.4 3.1 2.8 2.6 2.0 2.0 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7EU25 1.8 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7EA12 1.7 1.0 1.3 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7EU10 2.4 3.6 3.7 3.3 3.1 2.7 2.5 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.7


Table A 24 GDP in 2007 prices (millions EUR)Country Ch. 07-60 2007 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060BE 532.6 330.8 354.3 400.0 443.1 481.5 521.6 566.7 617.6 672.9 731.4 793.7 863.4

BG 45.0 28.9 33.9 40.1 45.6 50.6 55.5 60.1 64.5 67.6 69.3 71.1 73.9CZ 187.2 128.1 147.9 174.5 199.5 219.2 236.2 252.3 264.2 276.3 286.9 299.1 315.3

DK 338.1 227.7 241.2 262.1 283.9 309.8 334.4 363.8 394.7 433.7 476.5 521.2 565.7DE 2172.9 2423.8 2550.1 2808.1 3047.6 3209.7 3369.8 3539.4 3720.8 3940.8 4161.6 4374.7 4596.7

EE 28.1 15.5 18.7 22.5 25.8 29.0 32.4 35.1 37.1 38.8 40.0 41.4 43.6IE 454.3 185.6 208.4 249.0 289.6 331.0 373.5 416.6 458.0 496.7 536.4 582.5 640.0EL 336.0 228.9 253.6 291.2 331.1 368.2 396.8 421.5 444.2 467.6 494.7 527.2 565.0

ES 1760.4 1049.8 1143.3 1323.8 1546.8 1774.3 1969.4 2126.3 2242.3 2337.3 2453.6 2610.5 2810.3FR 3052.6 1892.2 1999.7 2212.8 2437.9 2663.0 2900.1 3165.0 3463.3 3781.2 4129.6 4516.2 4944.9

IT 1723.1 1535.5 1598.8 1751.6 1925.5 2102.5 2264.6 2399.5 2525.0 2671.7 2846.9 3042.9 3258.6CY 49.4 15.6 17.4 20.9 25.2 29.9 34.6 39.5 44.6 49.7 54.5 59.5 65.0LV 26.8 19.9 24.1 28.8 32.5 35.8 39.3 41.8 43.6 44.5 44.3 44.6 46.7

LT 38.4 28.0 33.5 41.0 47.4 52.4 56.7 59.5 61.9 63.8 64.7 65.3 66.4

LU 105.7 36.1 41.3 51.4 60.0 67.7 75.3 83.7 93.2 104.0 115.8 128.5 141.9HU 147.3 101.1 110.6 127.8 145.0 161.2 178.4 194.5 206.6 217.1 226.7 236.5 248.4MT 7.5 5.4 5.8 6.6 7.6 8.5 9.3 10.0 10.7 11.3 11.8 12.3 12.9

NL 675.7 559.5 594.3 649.2 702.9 752.3 800.9 854.8 920.8 994.0 1072.9 1153.3 1235.2AT 378.2 272.7 291.0 322.7 354.9 386.1 415.5 449.1 485.6 523.1 563.4 605.1 650.9

PL 420.3 307.3 359.8 427.0 488.0 551.9 613.9 655.5 678.7 693.1 702.6 712.1 727.6PT 260.3 162.8 171.1 189.1 209.3 231.6 258.3 290.4 319.7 346.8 370.8 395.1 423.0

RO 214.5 121.3 144.8 178.6 209.5 235.9 257.5 280.4 303.2 315.1 321.2 328.6 335.8SI 41.6 33.5 37.9 44.5 51.0 55.8 58.8 61.2 63.4 65.7 68.3 71.3 75.1SK 91.3 54.8 65.6 83.2 99.8 112.7 125.1 132.8 136.7 139.5 140.9 142.7 146.1

FI 255.1 178.8 195.6 217.5 238.1 256.9 276.0 298.1 322.8 349.2 375.8 403.4 433.8SE 567.8 332.0 357.9 403.3 445.4 489.1 534.9 584.2 639.4 701.8 765.9 830.3 899.7

UK 4009.3 2018.8 2172.3 2461.5 2738.2 3030.0 3351.7 3710.6 4121.4 4584.2 5056.1 5526.5 6028.1NO 363.4 214.1 228.8 253.9 280.4 308.0 336.4 366.4 400.6 440.1 483.8 529.4 577.5

EU27 17229.9 12294.8 13233.2 14891.5 16561.9 18150.7 19692.0 21194.2 22678.1 24223.2 25837.0 27575.0 29524.6EA16 11773.2 9020.8 9608.0 10735.9 11921.2 13009.8 14039.8 15029.5 16003.0 17033.0 18154.7 19395.6 20794.0EU15 16401.1 11435.1 12174.4 13602.6 15085.5 16503.6 17895.1 19299.1 20750.4 22325.1 24015.0 25829.2 27836.2EU12 1274.2 859.6 1002.3 1196.6 1375.3 1539.5 1691.6 1814.2 1904.6 1968.8 2014.4 2065.1 2133.9EU25 17151.3 12144.5 13042.1 14655.0 16291.6 17855.9 19384.9 20872.0 22343.7 23904.1 25548.5 27314.8 29295.8EA12 11658.4 8856.7 9404.7 10479.9 11622.5 12685.5 13696.0 14680.0 15658.7 16699.9 17840.2 19100.2 20515.1EU10 1025.4 709.4 823.4 978.5 1121.6 1255.9 1384.0 1480.5 1544.4 1594.7 1633.3 1675.1 1734.8



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Table A 25 Working-age population (15-64) (thousands people)Country Ch. 07-60 2007 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060

BE 135 6977 7116 7193 7218 7203 7147 7122 7126 7148 7144 7133 7112BG -2370 5323 5225 4943 4701 4511 4332 4132 3878 3593 3341 3108 2953

CZ -2154 7325 7328 7086 6863 6780 6695 6559 6260 5857 5584 5355 5171

DK -123 3598 3612 3584 3575 3558 3502 3440 3421 3441 3493 3506 3475DE -15682 54574 54204 53981 52639 50640 47873 45346 44160 43228 41857 40238 38892EE -287 913 906 875 843 820 801 785 758 726 686 645 626

IE 947 2959 3137 3366 3548 3701 3826 3913 3936 3896 3838 3848 3905EL -1340 7501 7554 7513 7453 7382 7273 7060 6809 6550 6335 6234 6161

ES -2188 30609 31877 33071 33892 34226 33964 33110 31774 30203 29120 28617 28421FR 1070 40132 40584 40498 40426 40464 40415 40369 40268

2009 ageing report: economic and budgetary projections for the eu-27 member states (2008-2060)

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