20100222 energy mgt future city

8/14/2019 20100222 Energy Mgt Future City

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Building and Facilities MaintenanceVenue : Prince Hotel & Residence Kuala Lumpur, MalaysiaConference Date : 22 February 2010

Energy Management for Future Cities

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By

Harjono Zainal AbidinChairman

QUORUM Oil & Gas Sdn Bhd

[email protected]

019-6939786


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SpeakerHarjono Zainal AbidinConsulting Project Manager

Specializing in Planning & Risk Management

Industry Energy/Oil & Gas Telecommunications/Internet

Facilities Engineer Design Engineering & Construction Operations & Maintenance

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Internet Data Center

Standby Genset for 24X7 Power

Offshore Oil Platform High Reliability Systems


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Macro-view of Facility Management

Cities as an assemblageof buildings & support

infrastructure for humanactivity. Business/Trade

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Government

Economic environment Crisis !


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The first City

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Hanging Gardens of BabylonCenter of Empire, Kowledge & Trade5,000 BC

Followed by India & China .


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Trade Routes

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21st Century

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The 19th century was a century of empires, the 20th century was a century of nationstates. The 21st century will be a century of cities.

Wellington E. Webb, former Mayor of Denver, ColoradoSource IBM Institute for Business Value 2009

Global Internet MapSource Telegeography


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City Systems

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Cities systems and their interrelationships within the larger framework of the citys strategy andgovernance.

Source: IBM Center for Economic Development analysis.


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Cities 100 years ago ..

A century ago, fewerthan 20 cities around

the world hadpopulations in excess of1 million people. Today,

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that number hasswelled to 450 and willcontinue to grow for the

foreseeable future.


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Cities in South East Asia to-day!

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Settlements of varying size facilitate different scale economiesSource: World Bank Report

Kuala Lumpur

Jakarta


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Status of our citiesKuala Lumpur

Jakarta

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Kuala Lumpur Traffic Jam

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Economic crisis?

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Case Study: Argentina

In Argentina at theheight of the financial

crisis 1998 - 2002, thecity systems brokedown

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Water

Communications

Waste

Security

Depositors protest the freezing of theiraccounts. Their mostly dollar-denominatedaccounts were converted to Pesos at lessthan half their new value


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World Bank Report

Will Cities Survive the Financial Crisis?

As world markets suffer, cities in developing nations will inevitably feel the pain most sharply

Cities capture the unique benefits of economic density and are important for the prosperity ofnations, both in good times and in bad

Policymakers should try to make cities work well instead of worrying about their sizeFebruary 3, 2009Consider three cities in the developing world that will be hit early and hard by the worldwide

economic downturn.

Singapore may be the first Asian economy to enter a recession.

Shenzhen in Southern China is preparing to deal with massive job losses, especially in contract manufacturing.

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In South India's Sriperumbudur, falling demand may mean that plans by companies such as Hyundai to expand plants

are scaled back.During the past two decades, Singapore, Shenzhen, and Sriperumbudur have served as connectors to regional and

global markets, and have reaped enormous economic gains from these connections. Now, as world marketssuffer, metropolises, cities and towns in developing nations will inevitably feel the pain most sharply.

Crises bring pain to integrated places, but ultimately we know that places like Singapore, Shenzhen, andSriperumbudur will weather the storm, says Indermit Gill, Director of the World Banks World DevelopmentReport (WDR) 2009 and Regional Chief Economist for the Banks Europe and Central Asia region. This isbecause urban centers are important for the prosperity of nations, both in good times and in bad.

SOURCE

WORLD BANK

http://econ.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/EXTDEC/0,,contentMDK:22054655~pagePK:64165401~piPK:64165026


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What is Peak Oil?

Peak Oil is also called"Hubbert's Peak"

Named for the Shellgeologist Dr. Marion KingHubbert.

In 1956, Hubbert

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accura e y pre c e aUS domestic oil productionwould peak in 1970.


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Decline in Supply

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Oil production in a given country tends to go into decline at about the halfway point because of fallingpressure in the underground reservoirs, and because oil companies usually discover and exploit thelargest oil fields first.


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2010 2020 2030

PEAK OILWORST CASE FUTURE SCENARIO

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Obama


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PEAK OILWORST CASE POWER SCENARIO

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Today .

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What does peak oil mean for our societies?

Our industrial societies and our financial systems were builton the assumption of continual growth

Growth based on ever more readily available cheap oil.

Oil in particular is the most convenient and multi-purposedof these fuels.

Oil currently accounts for about 43% of the world's total fuel

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consumption, and 95% of global energy used for transportation.

Oil and gas are feedstocks for plastics, paints, pharmaceuticals,fertilizers, electronic components, tyres and much more.

Oil is so important that the peak will have vast implicationsacross the realms of war and geopolitics, medicine, culture,transport and trade, economic stability and food production.

Significantly, for every one joule of food consumed, around 10joules of fuel energy have been used to produce it.


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Oil price spikes

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This will cause big spikes in energy prices including natural gas and electricity with potentially devastatingeconomic and social impacts.

Global production of oil including biofuels and so-called nonconventional sources has scarcely risensince early2005, while the price of oil has soared from $10 per barrel in 1998 to $140 per barrel in June 2008.(U.S. Energy Information Administration, Argus Media.4)


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Economic Impact

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When oil production starts to decline, the economic impact will be dramatic.

Economic growth is largely dependent upon a growing oil supply. The International Energy Agencyhas forecast oil demand to expand at a rate of 1.3% annually over the period 2004-2030.

But after the peak, many forecasters expect global oil production to fall at 2-4% a year, meaning thatthe deficit between the oil we want and the oil we get will expand by 3-5% a year. Within 10-15 yearsof the onset of decline we could have just half the oil supply that projections say is required to sustaineconomic growth.


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How do we manage cities

in an Energy crisis?Reacting to crisisShort term

Basic Services Power

Water

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omms

Waste

Transport Encourage people to use

trains & bus

bicycles Not cars

Telecommute Internet for work


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Alternatives?

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Alternative fuels help but .unless we change our lifestyles

these new technologies will come to naught.


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What to expect?

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What Behavioral changes are necessary?

CHINA

NEW YORK

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Western consumer lifestyle in the East?


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Paris!

A New Fashion Catches On in Paris:Cheap Bicycle RentalsBy STEVEN ERLANGERPublished: July 13, 2008PARIS Theyre clunky, heavy andugly, but they have become modish and they are not thisseasons platform shoes.

A system for renting Vlib bicycles has become hugelypopular in Paris, where about 20,600 of the bikes are inservice.Self-service rental stations are ubiquitous in Paris.

A year after the introduction of the sturdy gray bicyclesknown as Vlibs, they are being used all over Paris. The

A system for renting Vlibbicycles has become hugelypopular in Paris, where about20,600 of the bikes are in service.

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advertising, and other major cities, including American ones,

are exploring similar projects.About 20,600 Vlib bicycles are in service here, with morethan 1,450 self-service rental stations. The stations are onlysome 300 yards apart, and there are four times as many asthere are subway stations, even in a city so well served byits metro system.http://www.nytimes.com/2008/07/13/world/europe/13paris.html?_r=3&oref=slogin

Self-service rental stations areubiquitous in Paris.


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Electric Bicycle Transportation SystemMonday, July 27, 2009 12:30PM - By Chris Weiss

Winners of the Future City Mobility competition,

Marten Wallgren, Il Choi, David Seesing and MiikaHekkinen designed this project dubbed LondonGarden, envisioning a cleaner, more integrated futurefor Londons transportation. The design begins withelectric bicycles that operate in three modes:standard; exercise mode, in which resistance is

Using the Bicycle

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,which uses stored electricity to power a motor. Thefoldable bikes are designed for community use andstored in bus stops modeled to look like trees,blending seamlessly with the natural landscape. Thebus stops also generate electricity using sun, windand rain water. The bicycles work in conjunction withelectric buses and taxis, where theyre broughtaboard and used as seats, bringing their energy

reserve in for use by the vehicles.[via Tree Hugger]


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Energy Efficiency?

Buildings today account for up to 40 percent of the worlds

energy use and are responsible for nearly 40

percent of the worlds greenhousegas emissions.

Technology is available today toreduce these by up to 70 percent.

Thats as much as taking every

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,road around the world.

With prompt action and smartpolicies, we can fundamentally anddramatically reduce the energyneeded for the buildings we live andwork in every day.

EXAMPLESfrom around the globe.


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Sustainable Vancouver .

Vancouver, CanadaVancouver is a coastal city, home to more than 560,000people, and was named the worlds most livable city bythe Economist magazine. Its proved to be not only themost livable, but also Canadas model for using renewableenergy sources.

Vancouver has an ambitious 100-year plan for clean andgreen living. The city already leads the world inhydroelectric energy, which currently makes up 90percent of its power supply. It also plans toreduce itsgreenhouse gas emissions to levels 20 percent lower thanreported in 1990 during the formation of the Kyoto-

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.investments in wind, solar, wave and tidal energy

systems.

Additionally as part of its energy-efficient plans,Vancouver hasn't been shy with implementing emergingtechnologies. Solar-powered trash compactors havesprung up around the city, each the size equivalent to anormal trashcan but able to hold five times the waste(which puts fewer emissions-spewing garbage trucks onthe roads).

SOURCE Sustainable Vancouverhttp://www.cityofvancouver.us/sustainability.asp


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Florida USA

First City Powered by Solar EnergyPlanned in FloridaSubmitted by khalifa saber on Friday, 10 April 2009

A Florida developer unveiled plans today to build the nations firstsolar-powered city. The ambitious plan announced on Thursday isfor a 19,500-home city with energy-efficient buildings that will be

the first city on earth powered by zero-emission solar energy.

The new city, Babcock Ranch would be built on 17,000 acres inCharlotte and Lee counties, with more than half of the land setaside for nature preserves, agriculture and other open space. It willinclude one of the worlds largest photovoltaic power plant, a 75-megawatt solar photovoltaic array, which will be operated by FloridaPower & Light to supply electricity to the developments 6 million

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square eet o res ent a , n ustr a an reta u ngs. ese wall be certified green and surrounded by thousands of acres of open

space.

Developer Syd Kitson is betting heavily that he is going to attractinvestors, businesses and 45,000 residents to his $2 billion ranchcommunity, which he plans to start building next year. He ispromising 19,500 homes, 20,000 permanent jobs, open spaces andplenty of carbon-free megawatts.


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Europe URBACT

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URBAN ACTION

Economic Crisis: Cities' Responses and Resourceshttp://urbact.eu/?id=1529

The current global economic crisis is having an impact across Europe, in a variety of forms and contexts. It is clear that cities and localgovernments are on the front line of the crisis, in terms of its impact on people, businesses and places. From sheer necessity, cities have alsoalready started to explore a wide range of responses.

The URBACT Programme currently supports 44 projects of 255 cities in all 27 EU Member States as well as Norway and Switzerland, workingtogether to learn how to deal with some of the major economic, social and environmental challenges facing European citizens today. Theeconomic crisis has dramatically altered the context in which they are operating.

As a response URBACT has launched a study on the impact of the economic crisis and the responses developed by the URBACT II partnercities to address the recession. The study started in September 2009 and the survey ..


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Solar Cities - a vision of the future

Australia's Solar Cities

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Australia's Solar Cities are Adelaide, Alice Springs, Blacktown, Central Victoria, Moreland, Perth and Townsville.

Each Solar City will integrate a unique combination of energy options such as energy efficiency measures for homesand businesses, the use of solar technologies, cost reflective pricing trials to reward people who use energy wisely,and community education about better energy usage in an increasingly energy-reliant world.http://www.environment.gov.au/settlements/solarcities/

PERTHPerth Solar City is the newest Australian Government Solar City and will be delivered to communitieswithin Perths Eastern region over the next 4 years.designed to help communities rethink the waythey produce, use and save energy.http://www.perthsolarcity.com.au/about/


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Masdar Abu DhabiNORMAN FOSTERS GREEN DESERT UTOPIA In Abu Dhabihttp://www.inhabitat.com/2007/05/09/norman-fosters-green-desert-utopia-in-dubai/

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Not settling for mere zero-energy, Adrian Smith + Gordon Gills Masdar Headquarters are setting new design standardsfor green building, with their scheme that generates more energy than it consumes. The Masdar Headquarters buildingoutside of Abu Dhabi is also the first building in history to generate power for its own assembly, using a solar roof pier

that will be built first to power the rest of the construction.


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ChinaUS-China collaboration:

Green Building Design: For the 2008Olympics in Beijing China, the U.S.Department of Energy (DOE) teamedup with the Beijing Science andTechnology Group to focus ondeveloping green goals, one of thembeing the development of Chinese

green building standards. With theassistance of Joseph Huang of theLawrence Berkeley NationalLaboratory, the DOE also providedtechnical design review and energyanalysis for the design of the Beijing

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. Sustainable Development: Heller

Manus Architects based in SanFrancisco, California was selected byGuangzhou City, Chinas third largestcity, to develop and design a masterplan based on eco-city and smartgrowth design principals.

Smart Grid: Intel and the State Grid

Corporation of China Lab workedtogether to develop grid modeling andsimulation software, network isolation,power station automation, andapplications of embedded technologies.

Guangzhou - Chinas third largest city

SourceGreen Architecture And Building Reporthttp://www.gabreport.com/gabreport/2009/11/2nd-annual-uschina-green-energy-conference-a-catalyst-for-change-and-innovation.html


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Conclusion

Global oil production is at or near a peak

and a permanent decline will follow.

Life and societies will change forever: our transportsystems, how we produce food, where we work andlive esp in cities with tall buildings & highways.

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,

we are to have any chance of mitigating theeconomic effects of peak oil.

The continued expansion of road and air infrastructure nolonger makes any sense.

Food supplies should be our primary concern. In a world of constrained transport, food security will

increasingly depend upon local supply.


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Where are we today?

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Based on consensus it is likely that global oil production will peak and go intosustained decline within the next few years if it has not done so already.


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Last word

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The most fundamental change needed is in the way people think.Local policy will be fundamental to the transition to a lean-energy future.

Thank You


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READINGSTHE NEXT CRISIS: PREPARE FOR PEAK OILBy PATIENCE WHEATCROFT

FEBRUARY 11, 2010, 5:47 A.M. EThttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704140104575057260398292350.html?mod=wsj_share_facebook

Peak Oil Primerhttp://www.energybulletin.net/primer.php

A New Fashion Catches On in Paris: Chea Bic cle Rentals

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By STEVEN ERLANGER

Published: July 13, 2008http://www.nytimes.com/2008/07/13/world/europe/13paris.html?_r=3&oref=slogin

MASDAR CITY - Abu Dhabihttp://www.masdar.ae/en/home/index.aspx

A VISION OF SMARTER CITIESHow cities can lead the way to a prosperous & sustainable future

http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/gbs/bus/html/smarter-cities.html

MYSIG-ENERGYMalaysia Special Interest Group on ENERGY

http://finance.groups.yahoo.com/group/MYSIG-ENERGY

20100222 energy mgt future city

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