2011 - greening growing cities - cif partnership forum - cape town - james leather (25 june)

8/6/2019 2011 - Greening Growing Cities - CIF Partnership Forum - Cape Town - James Leather (25 June)

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Delivering Climate-Smart MobilityW hat Does it M ean in Practice

June 25, 2011June 25, 2011

CIF Partnership ForumCIF Partnership ForumJamie LeatherJamie Leather

Asian Development Bank Asian Development Bank


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A Crisis in Transport and Urban

Congestion costs 2-5% of Asian GDP

Road accidents cost 2-5% of Asian GDP Local pollution - respiratory health cost Energy use ~ 30% of World energy Fuel securit - US 50-150 barrel

CO2 - 23% from transport sector

Economic developmentE uitable accessQuality of Life


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Urban Ex ansionKuala Lumpur 1989-2002

- Population increase - 2.7 to 5 million Density decrease - 7,130 to 6,160 per sq km

1989 2001


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Urban Transportanag ng ncerta nty

Kolkata Pop: 7.8 million Density 16,200 per sq. km Built u area: 480 s . kmsIf

Density decrease (3,000/sq.km)How best to provide access

and/or mobility?4,345

2,300

5,470

5,270

2,790

6,485

Europe

North America

All cities

13,720

6,785

9,250

6,630

17,980

6,955

10,010

9,470

South/ Central Asia

Latin America

North Africa

Sub Saharan Africa

9,350

16,495

15,380

25,360

0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000

E Asia

Southeast Asia

Density (persons per sq. km.)2000 1990

Source: Angel 2005


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Vehicle grow th projections

800

400

450

500

600

250

300

350

M o t o r i z a t i o n I

( i n m i l l i o n s )

200

300

400

100

150

200

n d e x ( V / 1 0 0 0 o

t a l V e h i c l e s

0

100

0

50

2005 2008 2015 2025 2035 2005 2008 2015 2025 2035 2005 2008 2015 2025 2035 2005 2008 2015 2025 2035 2005 2008 2015 2025 2035 2005 2008 2015 2025 2035

ASEAN (Major Countries) China INDIA OECD North America OECD Europe OECD Pacific

P )

PRC

Total Vehicles (in millions) (Left Axis) Motorization Index (V/1000 P) (Right Axis)


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Bei in 2010Bei in 2010

7


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Predict and Provide

he city of today

and tomorrow!


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THE SOLUTIONSTHE SOLUTIONS


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A Sustainable Transport Path

Solutions forusta na e ransport

Avoid Shift Improve

Avoid the needto travel

Shift to moreefficient

Improve fuel andvehicle

transport modes technologies


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Avoid the Need for Travel:ransport an an se ntegrat on

land use and the need to travel: Im rove the access to oods and service while

minimizing the need to travel

Village concept of high density urban planning

Linking these villages with efficient publictransport TP

PP

P

P

ransit Orientated Design Behavioral changes

TT

T

T

PP

P

P

P P

T

T

T


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Shift Travel Patterns:,

Vehicle Use u c ranspor sys ems a prov e oor- o- oor

solutions Safe secure and user-friendl hi h ualit ublic

mass-transport

Pedestrian zones and walkways Segregated cycle paths Park-and-ride car and bike parks

Market instruments that charge full cost and cost of externalities to private motorized transport vehicle re istration arkin con estion ricin ERP


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Improve Transport:,

Fuel Sources

Vehicle energy efficiency and emissions world-wide standards, advances (south-south) orrec y mp emen e an r gorous y en orce

vehicle inspection programs-

transport to clean and CO 2 efficient fuels


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Same Principles but Different

Princi les Develo ed Develo in

Countries Countries Avoid Reduce travel through

traffic demand Avoid unnecessary

eneration of travelmanagement (TDM) through integrated land

use and traffic

managementShift Shift from private

vehicles to NMT andpublic transport

Shift investment focus toNMT and public transport

Improve Clean up existingvehicles and fuels

Ensure that future vehiclesare as clean as possibleand enhance e-vehicle


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Trans ort Co-BenefitsPollution CO 2 Congestion

Im prove - reduce emissions per kilometer

Technology/ vehicle change +++ ++ ?

Behavioral change (Fleet mng, driver training) ++ + +

- , ,

Shift - reduce emissions per unit transported

Passenger transport:Mode switch +++ ++ +++

Usage of larger units + + ++

Improved occupation rates ++ ++ ++

Freight transport ++ ++ ++

Avoid - reduce number of trips

-

TDM/TOD ++ +++ ++


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Integrated Solutions areIntegrated Solutions are


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Key Issues for dicsussion:ow to use most e ect ve y

catalyze a change in mindset

Measurement cross cutting (CO2 and developmentmpac s

Enabling environment institutions, policy, finance,stakeholder participation

Social issues pro-poor, inclusive, gender


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Our Sustainable Transport I nitiative w ill make

- climate change mitigation objectives.

Haruhiko KurodaHaruhiko Kurodares en , s an eve opmen anres en , s an eve opmen an

2009 Delhi Sustainable Development Summit2009 Delhi Sustainable Development Summit

hank youhank you

Jamie LeatherJamie Leather [email protected] [email protected]

2011 - greening growing cities - cif partnership forum - cape town - james leather (25 june)

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