20110919 jti france market...2011/09/19  · jti pmi bat imt premium (49.9%) 5.90 marlboro dunhill...

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Luxembourg / Trier September 19-20, 2011 JT International Investor Field Trip France Market

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Page 1: 20110919 JTI France Market...2011/09/19  · JTI PMI BAT IMT Premium (49.9%) 5.90 Marlboro Dunhill 5.80 Philip Morris Peter St. Popular (50.1%) 5.40 Chesterfield L&M Basic Pall Mall

Luxembourg / Trier

September 19-20, 2011

JT InternationalInvestor Field Trip

France Market

Page 2: 20110919 JTI France Market...2011/09/19  · JTI PMI BAT IMT Premium (49.9%) 5.90 Marlboro Dunhill 5.80 Philip Morris Peter St. Popular (50.1%) 5.40 Chesterfield L&M Basic Pall Mall

Forward-Looking and Cautionary Statements

This presentation contains forward-looking statements about our industry, business, plans andobjectives, financial conditions and results of operations based on current expectations,assumptions, estimates and projections. These statements discuss future expectations, identifystrategies, discuss market trends, contain projections of operational results and financialcondition and state other forward-looking information.

These forward-looking statements are subject to various known and unknown risks, uncertaintiesand other factors that could cause our actual results to differ from those suggested by anyforward-looking statement. We assume no duty or obligation to update any forward-lookingstatement or to advise of any change in the assumptions and factors on which they are based.Risks, uncertainties or other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from thoseexpressed in any forward-looking statement include, without limitation:

1)health concerns relating to the use of tobacco products;2) legal or regulatory developments and changes; including, without limitation, tax

increases and restrictions on the sale, marketing and usage of tobacco products, governmental investigations and privately imposed smoking restrictions;

3) litigation in Japan and elsewhere;4) our ability to further diversify our business beyond the tobacco industry;5) our ability to successfully expand internationally and make investments outside of

Japan;6) competition and changing consumer preferences;7) the impact of any acquisitions or similar transactions;8) local and global economic conditions; and9) fluctuations in foreign exchange rates and the costs of raw materials.

This presentation contains packages of our brands in some slides. Those slides have beendeveloped to explain JTI’s performance to our investors. And they are not intended to promotethe purchase of our products. 2

Page 3: 20110919 JTI France Market...2011/09/19  · JTI PMI BAT IMT Premium (49.9%) 5.90 Marlboro Dunhill 5.80 Philip Morris Peter St. Popular (50.1%) 5.40 Chesterfield L&M Basic Pall Mall

Daniel Sciamma

FranceGeneral Manager

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4

Agenda

Introduction

Economic and Tobacco Market Overview

JTI France Strategy and Performance

Concluding Remarks

Appendix

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- Introduction -

Page 6: 20110919 JTI France Market...2011/09/19  · JTI PMI BAT IMT Premium (49.9%) 5.90 Marlboro Dunhill 5.80 Philip Morris Peter St. Popular (50.1%) 5.40 Chesterfield L&M Basic Pall Mall

France is the 3rd largest RMC market in JTI’s Western Europe region

Note: (1) all figures in 2010 unless otherwise specified

(2) RYO converted to sticks at 0.75g / stick

Source: Altadis Distribution France (ADF)

Tobacco54.8bn Ready-Made Cigarettes (RMC)10.1bn stick equivalents(2) in Roll-Your-Own / Make-Your-Own tobacco (RYO/MYO)Retail value €16.1 billion

Country65 million people551 500 km2

JTI FranceBased in ParisEmploys 225 people

6

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JTI is the #3 RMC player on the French market with a combined market share of 15.9%

Note: (1) 12 month Moving Average Share of Market

(2) RYO converted to sticks at 0.75g per stick

Source: Altadis Distribution France (ADF)

RMC RYO/MYO Combined(2)

Market Share(1) by Company (%)

15.015.6

28.4

40.5

15.516.2

27.1

40.5

BATJTIIMTPMI

Jul-11Jul-10

13.7

21.220.819.4

14.1

18.2

20.1

22.3

JTIBATIMTPMI

15.316.0

27.3

37.2

15.915.9

26.0

37.6

JTIBATIMTPMI

7

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- Economic and Tobacco Market Overview -

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The French economy shows signs of resilience

Source: INSEE: French National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies; OFCE: French Economic Observatory

Structural weak economic growth, and a stabilized high level of unemployment

State redistribution mechanisms maintain disposable income growth in a context of limited inflation

Prime Minister announced plan to reduce deficit through public expenses reduction and targeted tax increases

Economic outlook by INSEE and OFCE

GDP variation (%)

-2.5

2012f

1.7

2011f

1.4

2010

1.5

2009

Unemployment (%)

2012f

9.5

2011f

9.3

2010

9.3

2009

9.6

Inflation (%)

-0.6

2012f

0.6

2011f

1.4

2010

1.2

2009

Disposable Income (%)

2012f

2.1

2011f

1.1

2010

1.2

2009

0.6

9

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France is historically a highly regulated market

Smoking ban in all public places since January 2008

Packs of less than 20 cigarettes (RMC) and pouches of less than 30 grams (RYO/MYO) are banned

Only limited communication at Point of Sale is allowed since 1993

Pictorial Health Warnings since April 2011

National Selling Price for each SKU

Retailers State Monopoly: tobacconists’ trade margin fixed by the government

10

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9.5 9.5 9.7 9.7 10.1

2008

63.3

53.6

2007

64.4

54.9

2006

65.2

55.8

-1.3%

2011f

c. 64

54

10

2010

64.9

54.8

2009

64.7

55.0

11

Underlying trend of industry volume contraction, with steady RSP increases

RSP increases in the range of 6% in 2007, 2009 and 2010

Announced a 6% RSP increase effective as from beginning of October

Changing consumer trends drive some migration from RMC to RYO/MYO

Industry shipment volumes (BnU)(1)

Note: (1) RYO converted to sticks at 0.75g per stickSource: Altadis Distribution France (ADF), JTI estimates

RMCRYO

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12

RMC centers on 2 price segments with limited down-trading

SegmentPrice(2)

in €/pack

JTI PMI BAT IMT

Premium(49.9%)

5.90Marlboro Dunhill

5.80Philip Morris Peter St.

Popular(50.1%) 5.40

ChesterfieldL&MBasic

Pall MallLucky StrikeRothmans

Gauloises Bl.News

FortunaGauloises

Share of Market(1) 16.2% 40.7% 15.5% 26.8%Note: (1) 12 month Moving Average Share of Market

(2) as of Sept. 2011Source: Altadis Distribution France (ADF)

THIS SLIDE HAS BEEN DEVELOPED TO EXPLAIN JTI’S PERFORMANCE TO OUR INVESTORS. IT IS NOT INTENDED TO PROMOTE THE PURCHASE OF OUR PRODUCTS.

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13

RYO/MYO concentrates on one price point

Note: (1) 12 month Moving Average Share of Market (2) as of Sept. 2011

Source: Altadis Distribution France (ADF)

SegmentPrice(2)

in €/30g

JTI PMI BAT IMT Gryson

Premium(3.6%)

5.70Wervicq Amsterdamer

5.63Golden Virginia

Caporal

Popular(96.4%) 5.40

MarlboroPhilip Morris

IntervalChesterfield

Pall MallLucky Strike

Samson

NewsJPS

DrumGauloises

Fleur du PaysOrlandoDomingo

Share of Market(1) 14.1% 24.0% 17.0% 19.7% 21.3%

THIS SLIDE HAS BEEN DEVELOPED TO EXPLAIN JTI’S PERFORMANCE TO OUR INVESTORS. IT IS NOT INTENDED TO PROMOTE THE PURCHASE OF OUR PRODUCTS.

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France has a high tax incidence at 80.35% of Retail Selling Price (RSP)

Note: (1) WAP: 2011 RMC market average RSP

5.70

Retail Selling Price and

Tax Incidence, Euros (€)

4.58

VAT

Ad Valorem

Specific tax

80.35%

The excise tax shock of 2002/2003 led to a significant RMC market contraction (-32% 2004 vs. 2002) and favored the NFDP market development

Since then, the excise structure has stabilized, with government revenues increasing steadily

Total tax

RSP(WAP)(1)

0.93

3.25

0.39

14

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Total NFDP consumption of 12bn per annum Some level of repatriation contributing to market limited declineConsumption of NFDP product is more significant for RYOJTI funds and publishes research on cross border salesIndustry and JTI cooperate with the government in combating illicit trade.JTI has signed a Memorandum of Understanding with Government on cooperation in fighting illicit trade

15

High prices result in significant cross-border sales making NFDP a major industry “player”

Note: (1) RYO converted to stick at 0.75g per stickSource: Altadis Distribution France (ADF), JTI estimates, Omnibus JTI/IFOP

15.815.916.1

25.6

38.0

JTINFDP / Illicit

IMTPMI BAT

Share of total consumption(1), YTD July 2011 (%)

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- JTI France Strategy and Performance -

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17

Uninterrupted share growth driven by GFB brand portfolio expansion, innovation and RYO/MYO extension

Camel Camel Essential Camel B&W Camel ShiftWinston

Camel RYO/MYO Camel Essential

Winston RYO/MYO

B&H (Gallaher acquisition)

Old Holborn RYO (Gallaher acquisition)

RM

CR

YO

/M

YO

Note: (1) RYO converted to stick at 0.75g per stick Source: Altadis Distribution France (ADF)

15.915.714.613.9

13.0

9.48.38.1

1H 20112010200920082007200620052004

RMC + RYO/MYO(1) Share of Market (%)

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Source: Altadis Distribution France (ADF)

Since the Gallaher acquisition, JTI France has strongly outperformed the industry on volume

3 years of uninterrupted share and volume growth

2 brands in the “Top 5”, Camel and Winston

France is a key profit contributor for JTI

Volume Variation H1 2011 vs. H1 2008 (%)

18

-3.4

3.7

BAT

IMT -5.2

19.2

3.7

JTI

RMC+RYOMarket

PMI

Page 19: 20110919 JTI France Market...2011/09/19  · JTI PMI BAT IMT Premium (49.9%) 5.90 Marlboro Dunhill 5.80 Philip Morris Peter St. Popular (50.1%) 5.40 Chesterfield L&M Basic Pall Mall

Enhance our brand portfolio by focusing on GFB and innovations

Drive excellence in execution in Trade Marketing

Strengthen our engagement and dialogue on taxation and regulation

Mobilize our right–sized, efficient and committed organization

19

Strategic focus geared towards sustaining and accelerating growth in the market

Remain the fastest growing manufacturer in volume and profitability to consolidate JTI’s #3 position by leveraging the strength of our GFB, our innovation capabilities and challenging culture

JTI France Mission

Strategic Focus

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42.7

49.7

83.2

29.0

16.8

71.0BAT

57.3

PMI 16.8

Market 50.3

JTI

IMT 83.2

A well-balanced RMC portfolio, giving JTI flexibility to capture opportunities in both price segments

Source: Altadis Distribution France (ADF) – FY 2010

Relevant brands in both segments have enabled JTI to grow simultaneously in Premium and Popular

PremiumPopular

Company price segment split (%)

20

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21

We have clearly differentiated Brand propositions and appropriate architectures to address consumer needs

• Modern and premium image• Very high equity• Strong relevance to Young

Adult Smokers• Strong presence and

credibility also in RYO/MYO

• Strong player in Virginia segment

• Heritage and modernity• Second leg in Popular

segment

• International brand stature

• “High quality” image • Credible presence in all

key market segments • Proven marketing mix

Consumers

84% of total JTI volumes

THIS SLIDE HAS BEEN DEVELOPED TO EXPLAIN JTI’S PERFORMANCE TO OUR INVESTORS. IT IS NOT INTENDED TO PROMOTE THE PURCHASE OF OUR PRODUCTS.

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22

Camel, our Premium offering, has achieved remarkable growth through line extensions and innovations

Source: Altadis Distribution France (ADF)

Camel is today the 3rd brand in the marketCamel “Black & White” was developed locally by JTI France and has now been launched in 17 markets

Line extensions have contributed 12.8% of total Camel volumes YTD

Feb. 2010 June 2011Oct. 2006

6.96.8

6.36.6

6.36.0

5.75.6

4.8

6.3

5.1

1H 2011

2010200920082007200620052004200320022001

Share of Market (%)

2004 YTD H1 20115

6

7

SoM (%)Base family

Essential

Shift

Black & White

THIS SLIDE HAS BEEN DEVELOPED TO EXPLAIN JTI’S PERFORMANCE TO OUR INVESTORS. IT IS NOT INTENDED TO PROMOTE THE PURCHASE OF OUR PRODUCTS.

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6.56.2

5.6

5.0

4.13.83.7

H1 2011201020092008200720062005

23

Winston is the fastest-growing Popular brand and the leader in its segment

From #8 brand to #4 brand in France in just 3 years

PackRejuvenation

SuperSlim BlueRed 30s

Blue 100’sPack

Rejuvenation

Source: Altadis Distribution France (ADF)

Share of Market (%)

THIS SLIDE HAS BEEN DEVELOPED TO EXPLAIN JTI’S PERFORMANCE TO OUR INVESTORS. IT IS NOT INTENDED TO PROMOTE THE PURCHASE OF OUR PRODUCTS.

Page 24: 20110919 JTI France Market...2011/09/19  · JTI PMI BAT IMT Premium (49.9%) 5.90 Marlboro Dunhill 5.80 Philip Morris Peter St. Popular (50.1%) 5.40 Chesterfield L&M Basic Pall Mall

14.114.2

13.1

12.410.5

5.1

0.0H1 20112007 20102006 20092005 2008

24

We are reinforcing further our position in the growing RYO/MYO category, addressing consumer preferences

Gallaher Acquisition

Winston Introduction

Camel Introduction

Source: Altadis Distribution France (ADF)

Camel EssentialIntroduction

Share of Market (%)

THIS SLIDE HAS BEEN DEVELOPED TO EXPLAIN JTI’S PERFORMANCE TO OUR INVESTORS. IT IS NOT INTENDED TO PROMOTE THE PURCHASE OF OUR PRODUCTS.

Page 25: 20110919 JTI France Market...2011/09/19  · JTI PMI BAT IMT Premium (49.9%) 5.90 Marlboro Dunhill 5.80 Philip Morris Peter St. Popular (50.1%) 5.40 Chesterfield L&M Basic Pall Mall

“Executional excellence” at point of sales is a key driver of our brands’ competitiveness in France

A culture of continuous transformation of the Trade Marketing organization to offer to JTI a true competitive advantage

Building a “win-win” partnership with the Trade based on JTI’s ability to meet consumers demand

Leveraging each opportunity through executional excellence and commercial intensity

Innovating at point of sales to optimize our brands stand-out

Efficient and focused resources allocation

Developing an “everything is possible” Trade Marketing mindset through effective coaching and rewarding

25

THIS SLIDE HAS BEEN DEVELOPED TO EXPLAIN JTI’S PERFORMANCE TO OUR INVESTORS. IT IS NOT INTENDED TO PROMOTE THE PURCHASE OF OUR PRODUCTS.

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We foster strong employee engagement in order to maximize our performance

Outperforming Towers Watson’s benchmark in France on all items; very high absolute ratings on Engagement, Organizational Direction & Change and Operating Efficiency

A young (avg. 33.5 year old) yet experienced team (avg. 7 years with JTI)

Effective career management, motivating work environment, challenging culture are the key JTI success factors

100

90

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

+17ppt

+18ppt+16ppt +20ppt

TalentManagement

OperatingEfficiency

OrganisationalDirection &

Change

Engagement

JTI FranceTowers Watson France

Positive Employee Valuation (%)

Source: JTI Employee Engagement Survey / Towers Watson 2010 26

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- Concluding Remarks -

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28

Despite the very strict regulation and high level of taxation, France remains a key market for JTI

JTI France has demonstrated its ability to grow faster than the rest of the industry for the past 6 years, based on:

A strong, well-balanced brand portfolio lending itself to expansion in all relevant consumer segments

Focus and excellence in execution throughout its operation

A culture of challenging status quo and continuous improvement

...that will be further nurtured to drive future performance

A solid base for future growth

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- Appendix -

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Route to market

Source: Altadis Distribution France (ADF) and JTI estimates

MANUFACTURERS

ALTADIS DISTRIBUTION FRANCERMC: 282 SKUsRYO: 131 SKUs

TOBACCONISTSMonopoly – 27,700 outlets

RESELLERS30,000 outlets

Other wholesalers<1.5% SoM

97.7% (RMC)100% (RYO)

2.3% (RMC)

Approximately 60,000 retail outletsTraditional tobacconists are the main volume channel

30