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2014 Budget Highlights “Rising to the Challenge: Re-aligning the Budget to meet Key National Priorities” November 2013 www.pwc.com/gh

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Page 1: 2014 Budget Highlights -FINAL - PwC€¦ · spend within its means. Initiatives to implement ... not sporadic. There should be ... an inflation target of 9% within the band of

2014BudgetHighlights

“Rising to the Challenge:Re-aligning the Budgetto meet Key National Priorities”

November 2013

www.pwc.com/gh

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NationalBudget

“Rising to the Challenge: Realigning the budgetto meet key national priorities” – is the themefor the Government’s 2014 Budget and Statementof Economic Policy. The Minister for Financeand Economic Planning noted that the adoptionof this theme is to ensure progress against thefollowing goals:

Enhance the resilience of the economyagainst risks;

Promote accelerated growth and develop-ment; and

Create jobs.

This year’s theme is set against the backdrop thatnone of the key 2013 macro-economic targets aregoing to be realised! The theme for the 2014Budget is an admission that, as currently struc-tured, the national budget will fail to adequatelydeliver on the Government’s “Better Ghana Agen-da”, if it is business as usual. The Minister stated“…public sector compensation should not putfurther stress on the fiscal envelop. The Budgetmust leave room for infrastructure developmentand other priority programmes”. It is not diffi-cult to figure out what Government’s key budgetpain is in the short-term. The fact that publicsector pay is estimated at approximately 70% ofnational revenue says it all.

However, will the realignment deliver on the long-term strategic objectives of the country? AtPwC, we hope that this question is central to thedebate on the budget. What do we proposeshould be done?

First, we urge that every key stakeholder —especially the Executive, Parliament and SocialPartners— consider how best to effectively imple-ment the policies outlined in the budget toachieve the outcomes as related to the four pillarsof the Ghana Shared Growth Development Agen-da (GSGDA).

The four pillars of the GSGDA comprises:

Putting people first—focus around accessand quality of healthcare and education,jobs, productivity and the vulnerable;

A strong and resilient economy - macroe-conomic stability, private sector competi-tiveness, trade and industry , agriculturalmodernisation and natural resource man-agement;

Strategic infrastructure expansion—oiland gas, roads, ports and developmentzones; and

Transparent, decentralised and accounta-ble governance—corruption, decentralisa-tion and citizen service.

In building consensus, all stakeholders shouldclosely examine the announced realignmentsor adjustments in the 2014 budget to deter-mine if they will be effective in directing thecountry’s limited resources and energies to-wards realising (or setting us on a journey torealise) these four pillars.

Focusing on effective implementation, stake-holders could consider the following:

What are the realistic time frames with-in which the outlined programmes canbe implemented?

How should they be structured?

How should they be sequenced to opti-mise their interdependencies?

How should they be tracked and moni-tored?

What will indicate success or otherwiseto inform change/enhancement in im-plementation strategy?

There are many more questions to be askedand debated to provide clarity to these pillarsthat we have selected to propel us towardslong-term prosperity.

The Minister mentioned the following initia-tives aimed at maximising revenue and con-trolling expenditure:

A gradual shift to the automatic priceadjustment mechanism for petroleumand utility prices;

Review of the Petroleum Revenue Man-agement Act 2011, to enable allowableexpenditures to be aligned to nationalpriority infrastructure programmes;

Further interventions to manage PublicSector compensation;

Restrictions on new borrowing;

A restructuring of debt through refi-nancing to improve tenure and burdenof repayment;

Clearance of outstanding commitmentson counterpart funds to enable comple-tion of pipeline projects and limits onnew contract awards;

Implementation of Programme BasedBudgeting; and

Taxation—new taxes, increases in exist-ing tax rates and some exceptions too.

The main goal is to rein in the fiscal deficit,which is at 8.5% of GDP at the end of Septem-ber 2013. Successful achievement of this goalwill depend on :

These tools being the right ones; and

The implementation resolve of Govern-ment.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Commentary 1

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Commentary

The initiatives/tools announced in the 2014budget, without doubt have been thoroughly con-sidered and evaluated. What often has been ourchallenge as a country has been our implementa-tion discipline. Sometimes too this is because westretch our capacity too thinly in an attempt todeliver on multiple fronts.

In summary, we offer our own views and sugges-tions on the 2014 budgets, focusing on what weconsider to be potentially big impact areas, in theshort and long-terms. These are not new ideas—Government has already presented its policiesand initiatives in these areas. We, however see aneed for Government to put in place structuresthat will facilitate effective implementation andmonitoring to achieve the desired outcomes in atimely manner. We suggest the following:

Public sector pay—as currently being imple-mented, the Single Spine Salary Structure (SSSS)poses a significant risk to the country’s economicstability, as it contributes to the high fiscal deficit-to-GDP levels. Probably, not the same case, butGreece offers us a rather chilling example ofwhat could happen to a country that does notspend within its means. Initiatives to implementinclude: clean-up of the public sector payroll;implementation of effective performance man-agement and performance-based pay systemsthat together ensure that the public sector retainsand rewards high performers for optimal yield ontax payers’ contributions, implementation of atraining system that better guarantees improvedpublic sector productivity.

Power—quality of supply, access and affordabil-ity are all issues to consider, given that powersimply cannot remain a public good. Govern-ment lacks the resources to provide electricity atless than cost recovery tariffs. Private capital isneeded, but requires cost-plus rewards. If busi-nesses will thrive, power is necessary. Govern-ment should implement a long-term strategy thataddresses in acceptable sequence the questions ofaffordability, access and quality, leveraging PPPs.The question of electricity is intricately linkedwith the discussion of gas and related infrastruc-ture.

Infrastructure—roads and ports, in particularare important to open up any economy. Urbanand rural infrastructure, especially roads, differwidely in nature, cost and purposes. For exam-ple, are we concerned about improving urbanmobility or improving all-year round access tofarmlands?

It is important that, as a country, we determinewhat we need at this stage of our socio-economic development and communicate ourpriorities to private sector investors throughthe mix of policies and incentives we put out.Such understanding should help to inform theeconomics we should take into considerationwith regard to the different infrastructure pro-jects. In summary, Government must be a lotmore focused on how it is implementing itsinfrastructure programme to optimise benefits.

Agriculture, industry and trade—initiatives must be planned to have long-termachievement focus. Agricultural modernisationshould be comprehensive, not sporadic. Thereshould be forward-integration with export-ledmanufacturing initiatives. Over time, thisshould lead to high agricultural productivity, astronger private sector, more jobs with betterpay, domestic capital formation, and a strongercurrency.

The above noted enablers coupled with effec-tive project and programme management isnecessary for success. Value for money alsoneeds to be one of the priority criteria formeasuring success and should be main-streamed into procurement processes and im-plementation reviews.

As we move to entrench, our middle incomestatus, we expect the private sector to take on amore active role in various economic activities.In this regard, we note that the setting up ofthe Ghana Infrastructure Fund and other probusiness activities are in the right direction.Unfortunately the Budget is silent on theenhancement of the case for ‘Ease of DoingBusiness’. This could be facilitated by the en-actment of the new Companies Code and otherrelevant business environment laws.

In conclusion, we urge the august House ofParliament to adopt a non-partisan approachin its debate of the budget, a budget whoseeffective implementation will consolidate ourmiddle income status.

Felix AddoCountry Senior PartnerPwC Ghana

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Commentary 2

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NationalBudget

THE ECONOMY

The 2013 Budget was based on the Ghana Shared

Growth and Development Agenda (GSGDA: 2010-

13) which lapses this year. There is a successor

plan for the next term (GSGDA II: 2014-17) which

is being finalised and will incorporate the medium

-term vision and strategy for the country. In the

2013 Budget, one of the primary objectives of

Government was to deal with the high budget defi-

cit caused by overruns stemming from five main

areas; shortfalls from corporate income taxes from

the petroleum sector, subsidies on petroleum

products and utilities, significant delays in in-

flows from Development Partners, a significant

wage and salary bill and finally, increases in inter-

est payments on Government debt. Essentially,

2013 was a challenging year for the economy as

the nation would fail to meet its targets highlight-

ed below:

However, both the Industry and Services sectors

appear to be on track to exceed their sectoral tar-

gets, the exception being the Agricultural Sector .

Economic Objectives and Policies for 2014and the Medium Term

As the nation seeks to ‘Rise to the Challenge: Re-aligning the budget to meet key national priori-ties’, the strategy remains the same as for theprior year:

Putting people first;

Building a strong and resilient economy;

Expanding infrastructure and

Ensuring transparent and accountablegovernance.

Medium Term Targets for 2014—2016

The medium term objective and strategic direc-tion under the new Medium Term DevelopmentPolicy Framework (MTDPF) is to expand oppor-tunities for all and reinforce the foundation forthe socio-economic transformation of the coun-try, in partnership with the private sector. Targetsfor the period 2014—2016 are as follows:

non-oil real GDP growth of at least 8%;

overall real GDP (including oil) growth of8%;

an inflation target of 9% within the band of±2%;

overall budget deficit of 6% of GDP by2016; and

Gross international reserves of not lessthan 4 months of import cover of goodsand services by 2016.

The specific macro economic targets for 2014 arealso set out below:

Debt Sustainability Analysis

Total Public Debt amounted to US$23.5billion as atSeptember 2013 compared to US$19.2billion for thesame period in 2012. The total public debt to GDPratio increased significantly from 49.3% in 2012 to52.0% in 2013.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Overall Summary 3

Sectorial Performance for 2013

Sector GrowthRate Tar-get %

Outturn% **

% of GDP

Agriculture 4.9% 3.4% 21.3%

Industry 8.7 % 9.1% 28.1 %

Services 8.5% 9.2% 50.6%

Description Actual*2013

Target2013

Real GDP Growth (non-oil)

5.8% 6.5%

Overall real GDP(including Oil) Growth

7.4% 8.0%

End of period inflation 11.9% 9.0%

Fiscal balance deficit8.4% 7.2%**

Gross international re-serves

Not less than2.9 months ofimport cover

Not less than3 months ofimport cover

Source: MoFEP Budget Statement 2014* Provisional estimates, Sept. 2013** September 2013 Target

Source: MoFEP Budget Statement 2014* Provisional estimates, Sept. 2013** September 2013 Target

Source: MoFEP Budget Statement 2014* Provisional estimates, Sept. 2013** September 2013 Target

Description Target 2014

Real GDP (excluding oil) 7.4%

Real GDP (including oil) 8%

12 month CPI inflation(average) with a band of(+ 2%)

9.5%

Gross international reserves Reserves not less than 3months of imports ofgoods and services

Overall budget deficit 8.5%

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Overall Summary

The significant increases in public debt result-ed from the following:

Disbursement of US$750 million from theEurobond proceeds;

Drawings of US$383.5million from theChina Development Bank; and

Issuance of 7-year domestic bonds.

In September 2013, external debt constituted45.9% (2012 – 47.8%) and Domestic debt consti-tuted 54.1% (2012—52.2%) of total public debt.According to the 2013 Debt SustainabilityAnalysis (DSA) conducted by the IMF and theWorld Bank, Ghana’s risk of debt distress hasrisen. Per the DSA, the debt service-to-revenue ratio is projected to average about9.1% of GDP between 2013-2018.

Government’s debt management strategyseeks to achieve a cost-efficient access to exter-nal and domestic debt for efficient debt man-agement.

This will be executed via the following:

Liquidity Management;

Revenue Generation from Self Financ-ing Projects

On-Lending and Escrow Account ar-rangements with MDAs/MMDAs;

Financing Capital Expenditures withlong-term Debt ;

Loans-to-Priority Projects Programme;and

Long-term financing from the externalcapital markets.

Petroleum Revenues Outlook for 2014

Government expects to generate a total ofUS$777million in gross revenue from petrole-um receipts in 2014 which is about 34% higherthan the budget for 2013. Government projectsto allocate about US$175million to the GhanaPetroleum Fund (GPF) in 2014 which repre-sents 30% of the total benchmark revenue(that is after accounting for transfers to GhanaNational Petroleum Corporation). The remain-ing 70% will be allocated to the Annual BudgetFunding Amount(ABFA).

Taxation

The tax proposals in the budget reflect Govern-ment’s intention to improve internal revenuemobilisation through tax effectiveness andefficiency by way of tax modernisation pro-grammes to be undertaken by the Ghana Reve-nue Authority (GRA) to ensure the recovery ofuncollected taxes. Some of the key proposalsand initiatives in this regard are as follows:

Direct Taxes

Increasing the withholding tax rate on com-mercial rent from 8% to 15%;

Undertaking transfer pricing audits to reducetransfer pricing abuse;

Increasing the withholding tax rate on man-agement and technical service fees from 15%to 20%;

Expanding the scope of capital gains tax tocover petroleum operations; and

Reintroducing the Windfall Tax Bill to bepassed by Parliament.

Government also plans to have an early ter-mination of the:

National Fiscal stabilisation levy(June 2014 as opposed to December2014)

Special Import Levy (end December2014 as opposed to June 2015)

Special Import Levy on agricultureand fishing inputs (immediately)

Indirect Taxes

2.5% increase in VAT rate to be allocated tothe Infrastructure Fund;

Introduction of special Electronic Point ofSale Device Scheme (EPOS) to reduce VATleakages;

Introducing Special Import Levy (SIL) ex-emption for agriculture and fishing inputs,medical supplies, educational materials, andenergy saving bulbs;

Providing import duty and VAT waiver/exemption for raw materials imported forlocal printing of textbooks and exercise booksand for local production of HIV/AIDS drugs;

Introduction of tax stamps on selected excis-able products; and

Change the basis of petroleum excise dutyfrom specific to ad valorem; and

Increase in the road fund levy.

Tax Administration

Harmonisation and simplification of the ex-isting tax laws into a single Tax Administra-tion Bill;

Review of existing exemptions granted induties and other taxes;

Customs Division of the GRA to improve itscoverage under the Valuation Assurance Pro-gramme with the ultimate aim of acquiringits own valuation model;

Automation and improvement in the opera-tional processes of the GRA; and

Establishment of Free Income Tax Assess-ment Bureau to assist traders (and othersmall businesses which are not limitedliability companies) with basic record

keeping assistance.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Overall Summary 4

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Overall Summary

SECTORAL OUTLOOK

Highlights of key sectoral programmes and activ-ities outlined in the 2014 budget to re-align thebudget to meet key national priorities are as fol-lows:

Ministry of Food and AgricultureKey initiatives include:

Implementation of the Block Farm, Live-stock, Poultry and Agri-business initia-tives under the Youth in Agriculture Pro-gramme;

Facilitating the expansion of private sectorled Agricultural Mechanisation ServicesEnterprise Centres;

Construction of modern farmers marketsin the Brong Ahafo and Northern Regionsto focus on grains and tubers respectively;

Public Private Partnership arrangementsand collaboration to develop AgricultureEstates on the Accra plains and other ex-isting state lands. These private partner-ships are also meant to support the reha-bilitation of existing irrigation schemes topromote all year round farming; and

Scaling up the Agricultural insurancescheme to cover more crops, regions andconsequently protect farmers against loss-es.

Ministry of Energy and Petroleum

Government resolves to develop and ensure relia-

ble high quality energy services at a minimum

cost to all sectors of the economy. The following

initiatives in the two sub sectors are expected to

deliver this objective :

Petroleum Sub Sector

Development of a framework to provide a

basis for the construction, operation and

maintenance of Liquefied Natural Gas

(LNG) facilitate to meet anticipated short-

falls; and

To attain peak oil production of 120,000

barrels of oil per day in the Jubilee Field

in the upstream petroleum subsector.

Power Sub SectorThe key target is to increase electricity accessfrom 75% to 80% in 2014 and attain completionof :

the first phase of the following: 220MWKpone Thermal Power Plant (KTPP) pro-ject, 110MW T2(Tico Expansion) projectand the VRA 12MW Solar PV Project inline with Government objective to achieve5,000 MW generation capacity by 2016(including 10% from renewable sources);

the 161KV Tumu-Han-Wa Transmis-sion Project; and on-going projects suchas construction of ECG 33/11KV prima-ry sub-station at four stations in Ashan-ti Region, construction of a new BulkSupply Point at Tema Smelter II) andthe installation of 70,000 split-prepaidmeter for ECG.

Ministry of EducationGovernment intends to increase access to dis-tance learning programs, interactive lessonsand open schooling, as well as deployment ofpersonnel to the educational sector and im-proving affordability by subsidising basic edu-cation for JHS, SHS and technical trainingamongst others.

Ministry of HealthThe Ministry hopes to strengthen public finan-cial management and health data collection,improve monitoring and supervision of thedigital e-Health Solution Project. The Ministrywill also:

replace equipment in selected healthfacilities, accelerate the maternal healthsupport programme to improve mater-nal health,

scale up membership authenticationand the e-claims systems to enhanceefficiency and reduce false claims,

increase health care infrastructure byconstructing polyclinics in the variousregions of Ghana as well expandingKorle-Bu teaching hospital and lastlybridging equity gaps in access to healthcare and ensure sustainable financingarrangements to protect the poor.

Ministry of Gender, Children and SocialProtectionThe Ministry will finalise and disseminate theNational Child Protection Policy as well as re-view and implement the Early Childhood Careand Development Policy. Under the DomesticViolence (DV) and Human Trafficking (HT)programme, the Ministry will set up and oper-ationalise the HT and DV Funds, operational-ise rapid response team for HT and DV mattersand provide professional psychosocial supportfor HT and DV victims.

Ministry of Trade and IndustryInitiatives to be undertaken during the yearinclude:

Management and marketing supportfor 1,500 horticultural producers inselected towns in the Volta Region;

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Overall Summary 5

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Overall Summary

Developing skills of 1,000 exporters par-ticularly in the Small and Medium Enter-prise (SME) sector to enable them succeedin foreign market;

Establishment of new market opportuni-ties for exporters especially in the Europe-an Market; and

Setting up of a new SME fund to boostsupport for the SMEs.

Ministry of Justice and Attorney-General’sDepartmentThe Law Reform Commission has produced threedraft laws for consideration. These are:

Criminal Injuries Compensation Law;

Marriage Registration Law; and

the Law Reform Act.

The Intestate Succession Bill and Property Rightsof Spouses Bill are being reviewed by the LawReform Commission to correct the anomalies inthe current Regulations.

As part of the Legal education programme, theGeneral Legal Council will license 1,750 Lawyersand 300 law firms to aid proper regulation ofprivate legal practice in Ghana.

The Ghana School of Law will also train 40 law-yers in specialised Commonwealth LegislativeDrafting to aid the enactment of good laws.

INFRASTRUCTURE

The 2014 budget allocates GH¢1.5 billion to in-frastructure. The main areas of infrastructureexpansion in the 2014 budget are Water Re-sources, Works and Housing, Transport, Roadsand Highways and Communications. Govern-ment intends to pursue Public Private Partner-ships to fund some of the infrastructure projects.

WaterPrograms to be implemented for the supply ofwater include developing projects to expand andrehabilitate water treatment plants, transmissionpipelines, expansion of water supply systems andintake facilities, improved access to water andsanitation for 600,000 people in 66 districts inselected regions and development of a rain waterharvesting strategy as a supplement to water ser-vice delivery amongst others.

HousingThe budget will focus on reducing the housingdeficit across the country and this will beachieved by creating an enabling environment forprivate sector participation to deliver affordablehousing units, improving mortgage affordabilityand facilitating the completion of the variousaffordable housing projects.

Roads and HighwaysThe proposed initiatives are targeted towards:

Developing the Public Private Partner-ship (PPP) model for the financing,construction and management of thefollowing key road projects: rehabilita-tion and expansion of the Accra-TemaMotorway, Accra – Kumasi road duali-sation and the Western Corridor roadsPhase 1 (Elubo-Sunyani);

Routine maintenance on 11,600km,16,000km feeder and 4,200km urbanroad networks respectively;

Periodic maintenance activities on892km trunk, 1500km feeder and1200km urban roads of the trunk roadnetwork respectively; and

Implementation of electronic tolling ofroads to improve revenue generationinto the Road Fund.

TransportActivities for 2014 shall emphasise amongstothers the:

Expansion of the Kotoka InternationalAirport (KIA) terminal building project;

Construction works on the upgrade of theTamale Airport as an alternate to KIA;

Development of the ports infrastructureat Akosombo, Buipe and Yapei; and

Continuation of rehabilitation and mod-ernisation of existing railway lines.

CommunicationThe key policy initiatives are:

Developing and maintaining an educa-tional portal for teachers, students, par-ents and researchers, with the expecta-tion that quality education will be deliv-ered to the doorsteps of all.

Implementing the e-Parliamentary Sys-tem, under which members will be able tofile their queries to the Executive;

Continuing installation of the fibre opticinfrastructure and constructing a datacentre and a managed services compo-nent to ensure security of data on theentire network;

Implementing and deploying well-functioning unique national biometric IDsystem under the e-Transform project;

Continuing the installation of fibre OpticBroadband Backbone infrastructure onthe Eastern corridor to accelerate devel-opment and access to Information andCommunication Technology (ICT).

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Overall Summary 6

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NationalBudget

Structural bottlenecks ininfrastructure, labourmarkets, and decliningcommodity prices havecontributed to a slow-down in the growth mo-mentum in many emerg-ing and developing econo-mies.

Inflation has been rela-tively higher in majoremerging market econo-mies as a result of ex-change rate depreciationin recent months.

Ghana has experienced amixed effect from develop-ments in the global econo-my. Increasing unrest andgeographical tensions inthe Middle East and NorthAfrica led to spikes in oilprices. Conversely, de-mand for gold decreasedas unemployment rates inadvanced economies re-mained high particularlythe Euro Zone.

Overview

The expected performance of the economy during2013 as determined by the key indicators are asfollows:

An examination of 2013 economic resultsrelative to targets indicates the need foreffective monitoring of policies aimed atarresting the increasing deficit. Govern-ment should increase efforts to curb publicspending which is increasingly preventingeffective balancing of the budget.

The World Economy

The IMF’s World Economic Outlook (WEO,Oct. 2013) projects a sluggish global eco-nomic growth in 2013, estimated at 2.9%less than the 3.2% recorded in 2012.

The decline resulted from a weaker thanexpected performance from emerging mar-kets and developing economies and a sloweconomic recovery in advanced economies.

The IMF projects global growth of 3.6% in2014. The projected growth will be drivenmore by advanced economies particularlythe United States, where activity will moveinto higher gear as fiscal consolidation eas-es.

In the Euro Zone growth is expected to re-main sluggish in 2014 as a result of bottle-necks in credit. However, policy actionsshould reduce major risks and stabilisefinancial conditions. The region is expectedto gradually pull out of recession, withgrowth reaching 1% in 2014.

Growth in emerging markets and developingeconomies is expected to remain strong at5% in 2014, supported by solid domesticdemand, recovering exports, and supportivefiscal, monetary and financial conditions.Commodity prices will continue to boostgrowth in many low-income countries, in-cluding those in sub-Saharan Africa

Inflation is expected to remain generallystable in advanced countries,supported by a slowdown in commodity pricemovements.

In major emerging developing economies,however, inflation has been relatively higher,a problem that has been magnified by theexchange rate depreciation in 2013. The ex-ternal financing conditions that have led tothe weakening of currencies in emergingand developing economies in recentmonths could also drive up inflation.

Source: IMF WEO, Oct. 2013

Spill-overs from sluggish external demand,reversal of capital flows and declines in com-modity prices pose threats to growth prospects inGhana for short to the medium term. In order toensure that the medium term growth targets aremet, Government needs to pay priorityattention to pipeline infrastructure invest-ments, deepen the ongoing structural reforms andgive priority to non-traditional exports.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: The Economy 7

3.2% 2.9%3.6%

4.9%4.5%

5.1%

1.5% 1.2%2.0%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

2012 2013 2014

Global GDP Growth (%)

World

Emerging Markets and Developing Countries

Advanced Economies

DescriptionActual2013*

Target2013

Real GDP growth (non-oil) 5.8% 6.5%

Overall real gr0wth(including oil) 7.4% 8.0%

End of period inflation 11.9% 9.0%

Fiscal balance deficit 8.4% 7.2%**

Gross InternationalReserves

Not less than2.9 months ofimport cover

Not less than3 months ofimport cover

Source: MoFEP Budget Statement 2014* Provisional estimates, Sept. 2013** September 2013 Target

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The Economy

The West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ)

Economic growth in the West African MonetaryZone (WAMZ) was 6.7% during the first half of2013 compared to 6.4% during the same periodin 2012. The trend was driven by economic activ-ities in member states as follows;

In Nigeria the economy expanded by6.6% largely on account of increasedactivity in Industry and Agriculture.

Economic growth is expected to increasein The Gambia from 3.9% in 2012 to6.4% in 2013 as a result of expansion inagriculture, while Liberia’s growth is pro-jected to record a marginal increasefrom 8.3% to 8.4% on account of in-creased mining activities.

Guinea and Sierra Leone, however,projected growth slowdown from 3.9%and 15.2% in 2012 to 2.9% and 14.6% in2013, respectively.

Ghana’s real GDP growth slowed from11.1% in the first half of 2012 to 6.4% inthe corresponding period in 2013 due toreduced activity in the industrial sector,especially energy and manufacturing, aswell as slower growth of the agriculturalsector.

During the first half of 2013, WAMZ infla-tionary pressures in the Zone eased consider-ably as zone-wide inflation declined to 9.3%at end-June 2013, from 12.6% at end-June2012.

Even though Ghana, Guinea and SierraLeone recorded double digit inflation of 11.6%,12.0% and 10.8% respectively, single-digitinflation rates of 5.8%, 7.0% and 8.4% rec-orded by The Gambia, Liberia and Nigeriaensured an overall inflation rate of 9.3% inWAMZ.

The WAMZ gross external reserves positionimproved with an aggregate stock of reservesof US$51.4 billion at end-June 2013, com-pared to US$41.1 billion during the same peri-od in 2012.

The stock of external reserves increased infour member states, with Nigeria and Gha-na recording the largest increases of 27%and 20.1% over that of end-June 2012 toUS$45.0 billion and US$4.9 billion, respec-tively, at end-June 2013. In Guinea andLiberia, the gross external reserves posi-tion deteriorated by 13.2% and 13.3%, toUS$669.7 million and US$231.4 million,respectively.

Convergence Criteria

The WAMZ primary convergence criteriaare as follows;

As at end-June 2013, Nigeria was the onlymember state that satisfied all the four pri-mary criteria. Liberia and Sierra Leonesatisfied three of the criteria each, with Libe-ria missing out on the external reserves cri-terion, whiles Sierra Leone did not meet theinflation criterion.

The Gambia and Guinea satisfied two criteriaeach. The Gambia missed fiscal deficit andcentral bank financing criteria whiles Guin-ea was unable to meet the inflation andfiscal deficit criteria.

Ghana met only the central bank financingas a percentage of previous year‘s tax reve-nue criterion.

Source: West Africa Monetary Institute

Given rising inflation and public sector wagescoupled with external shocks, Government mustenforce tighter fiscal and monetary policies tobe able to meet the convergence criteria ofWAMZ in the short to medium term.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: The Economy 8

Ghana’s real GDP growthrate fell to 6.4% by end ofJune 2013 from 11.1% endof June 2012. Nonetheless,the country recorded thesecond largest increase inexternal reserves in theWAMZ economies fromJuly 2012 to June 2013.

Despite better perfor-mance in previous years,Ghana is the only countryin the WAMZ to havemissed three of the fourprimary convergence cri-teria for the Zone as atJune 2013.

Primary criteria

1. A single-digit inflation rate at the end ofeach year

2. A fiscal deficit of no more than 4% of theGDP

3. A central bank deficit-financing of nomore than 10% of the previous year’s taxrevenues

4. Gross external reserves that can giveimport cover for a minimum of threemonths

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The Economy

A summary of the WAMZ Secondary Conver-gence criteria are as follows;

No member state of the WAMZ satisfiedall the secondary criteria. Nigeria sat-isfied three criteria which were non-accumulation of arrears, salary mass overtax revenue and exchange rate stabil-ity.

Guinea met salary mass over tax rev-enue and investment from domestic re-ceipts criteria, whiles Liberia compliedwith non-accumulation and liquidation ofdomestic arrears and tax revenue over GDPcriteria.

The Gambia and Sierra Leone did not satis-fy any of the secondary criteria. Ghana metthe criteria on real interest rate and exchangerate stability.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: The Economy 9

Inflation and fiscal deficitremained the more chal-lenging criteria for Memberstates, whiles central bankfinancing and external re-serves were mostly satisfiedby Member States.

Secondary criteria

1. Prohibition of new domestic default pay-ments and liquidation of existing ones

2. Tax revenue should be equal to or greaterthan 20 percent of the GDP

3. Wage bill to tax revenue equal to or lessthan 35 percent.

4. Public investment to tax revenue equal toor greater than 20 percent

5. A stable real exchange rate

6. A positive real interest rate

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The Economy

Summary of Sectoral Performance

Agricultural Sector

The Agricultural Sector grew at 3.4% in

2013. This was markedly higher than 2012’s

1.3%, but still below the 2013 target of 4.9%

Agricultural growth was driven mainly by

the Fishing sub-sector, which grew by 8.9%

in 2013 relative to a growth rate of 4.7% in

2012. The performance of the Fishing sub-

sector is primarily due to the strong growth

in the aquaculture industry.

The importance of the Agriculture Sector in the

socio-economic development of Ghana cannot be

overemphasised. The President in his State of the

Nation Address outlined some policy initiatives

(such as focus on fishing and aquaculture devel-

opment, incentives for cocoa farmers), geared

towards accelerating agricultural modernisa-

tion for job creation. Beyond these policy initia-

tives, Government should put in place practical

implementation steps in the agriculture sector to

enable the economy achieve the full benefits

associated with these policy initiatives.

The Forestry and Logging sub-sector have his-

torically exhibited declining trends, having con-

tracted by 14% and 4% in 2011 and 2012 respec-

tively. With a 0.8% growth in 2013 mainly due

to the investments in reforestation activities,

Government appears to have taken a positive

step towards reviving the Forestry and Logging

sub-sector. Government should ensure that ro-

bust Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) and

performance management systems are imple-

mented along with these initiatives to optimise

the resources being expended to revive growth in

a sector with such high value potential.

Industry Sector

The Industry Sector recorded a growth of

9.1% in 2013, up from 7% in 2012 and above

the 2013 target of 8.7%.

The performance of the Industry Sector was

mainly on account of a 37.5% growth in pe-

troleum activities which fed into a 17.6%

growth in the Mining and Quarrying sub-

sector, up from 5% in 2012.

The Manufacturing sub-sector, however,

posted a growth of 2.5%, down from 5%

growth in 2012, mainly due to the power

crisis which was experienced in the first half

of the year.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: The Economy 10

The Services Sector ac-

counted for the largest

contribution of 50.6% to

the size of GDP in 2013;

Industry contributed

28.1%; while Agriculture

contributed 21.3%.

In spite of the improved

growth in the Agriculture

Sector in 2013 compared

with that of 2012, the sec-

tor’s share of GDP de-

clined from 22.7% in 2012

to 21.3% in 2013 due to

stronger growth in both

the Industry and Services

Sectors.5.0 5.0 5.0

6.0

2.33.0

3.7

5.3

0.8

8.9

-123456789

10

Crops Cocoa Livestock Forestry andLogging

Fishing

%

Agricultural Sub-sector performance

Target Actual**

Source: MoFEP Budget Statement 2014

Source: MoFEP Budget Statement 2014

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The Economy

Growth within the Industry Sector has over the

past 3 years (2011-2013) been driven mainly by

the Petroleum sub-sector. All the other sub-

sectors (relative to performance in 2012) record-

ed marginal growth and in some instances de-

cline in 2013 relative to performance in 2012,

underscoring the need for Government to re-

vamp activities within the other sub-sectors and

also avoid the “Dutch Disease”.

Having attained lower middle income status, it

is imperative for our economy to move from

exporting primary products towards industriali-

sation to enable the creation of more value for

exports, thus expanding our manufacturing base

and creating more jobs.

The Electricity sub-sector was reported to have

recorded less-than-targeted growth, driven

mainly by the sector-wide challenges that were

evident in the first half of 2013. This under-

scores the fact that demand for power is very

high and the generation deficit must be fixed

permanently. It is a relief to note the entire MCA

Compact 2 funds is expected to be channeled to

power generation which will facilitate growth

and expansion within the Industry Sector.

Services Sector

The Services Sector which has over thepast years contributed the largest propor-tion of GDP maintained its high growthrate posting a 9.2% growth in 2013, higherthan the targeted growth of 8.5% butdown from 10.2% in 2012.

The five sub-sectors that drove thegrowth of the Service Industry are as fol-lows:

The Service Sector has over the past years con-

tributed the largest share of GDP. A key con-

cern has been that the Services Sector lacks the

capacity to generate as many jobs as the agri-

cultural sector would and might focus on those

meeting some minimum educational standards.

Expansion and growth in the Agriculture sector

could be the panacea to the rising unemploy-

ment in Ghana particularly for the youth.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: The Economy 11

10.0 12.0 13.0

6.08.5

13.7

24.7

12.1 11.2 9.5

-5

1015202530

Hotels andRestaurants

Information andCommunication

FinancialIntermediation

Health andSocial Work

Transport andStorage

%

Sub-sectors in the Service Sector which experiencedgrowth

Target Actual**

Source: MoFEP Budget Statement 2014

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The Economy

Fiscal Performance

**Provisional estimates, Sept, 2013Source: MoFEP Budget Statement 2014

Revenue

The shortfall in total revenue and grants hasmainly been attributed to lower than antici-pated domestic revenue collection and partlyas a result of low disbursement of grantsfrom our development partners.

The weak revenue performance in all taxtypes, except corporate income tax from theoil companies, accounted for the shortfall indomestic revenue.

The lower than expected tax revenue perfor-mance according to Government relates tolower import volumes, decline in commodityprices on the world market and the slowdown in economy during the first half of the2013, due partly to the energy crisis. Particu-larly, the decline in gold prices resulted inlower than expected company taxes and min-eral royalties.

Government will have to improve domestic reve-nue mobilisation efforts in 2014 in order to re-verse the high budget deficit.

Expenditure

Total expenditure over the nine month period toSeptember 2013 was 6.6% lower than the budgettarget and 25.5% higher than the correspondingperiod in 2012. The growth in expenditure wasmainly due to the increase in interest costs andgrowth in public sector wage bill during 2013.

Interest payments in 2013 totalled GH¢3.3m,39.5% higher than budget target and 111.1%higher than the actual for the corresponding pe-riod in 2012. Of this amount, domestic interestwas 47.2% higher than the budget target. On ayear-on-year basis, domestic interest grew by140.4% reflecting very high domestic borrowingin 2012 to finance the deficit.

Total capital expenditure was 4% of GDPand compares with the budget target of 4.1%of GDP. The shortfall in capital expenditurewas due to the slow disbursement of someproject loans. To ensure that growth is notfurther negatively impacted by a reduction incapital spending due to shortfall in revenue,part of the proceeds from the Eurobond is-sue has been earmarked to fund capital ex-penditures in the Budget.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: The Economy 12

Total revenue for the ninemonth period ended Sep-tember 2013 was 15.1%below target with expendi-ture also 6.6% below tar-get, resulting in an overallbudget deficit of 8.4% ofGDP against a targeteddeficit of 7.2% of GDP.

The shortfall in total reve-nue has been attributedmainly to lower than an-ticipated domestic revenuecollection and partly dueto low disbursement ofgrants from developmentpartners.

Domestic revenue whichcomprises tax and non-taxrevenues, accounted for96% of total actual reve-nue over the first threequarters of 2013.

Tax revenue was belowtarget as a result of lowerimport volumes, decline incommodity prices on theworld market and slowdown in economic activi-ties during the first half of2013 due partly to the en-ergy crisis, thus all culmi-nating lower companytaxes and mineral royal-ties.

The lower than expectedgrants was due to the non-disbursement of budgetsupport from our Multi-Donor Budget Supportpartners.

2013Target

(Jan-Sept)GH¢million

Actual **(Jan-Sept)

GH¢million % Change

Total Revenue 16,341.90 13,868.20 -15.1%

Total Expenditure and Arrears Clearance 22,710.30 21,202.80 -6.6%

Overall Fiscal Balance (6,368.40) (7,334.60) 15.2%

Domestic Revenue 15,285.90 13,333.90 -12.8%

TaxRevenue 12,122.30 10,005.00 -17.5%

Non-Tax Revenue 3,040.90 3,222.90 6.0%

Others 122.70 106.00 -13.6%

Grants 1,056.10 534.30 -49.4%

Total Revenue 16,342.00 13,868.20 -15.1%

Total Expenditure 20,917.00 18,743.40 -10.4%

Recurrent 15,448.80 12,817.50 -24.0%

Capital 3,674.90 3,466.50 -5.7%

Arrears Clearance 1,793.30 2,138.20 19.2%

Discrepancy - 321.20 0.0%

Total Expenditure and Arrears Clearance 22,710.30 21,202.80 -6.6%

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The Economy

Fiscal Deficit

Against a backdrop of a high fiscal deficit in 2013,fiscal policy outlined in the 2014 Budget aimed toachieve fiscal prudence, in order to achieve sus-tainable debt limits and a reduction in the budgetdeficit. Government intends to reduce the budgetdeficit from 8.4% of GDP in 2013 to 6% of GDPby 2016.

To enable it achieve the targeted fiscal bench-marks, Government plans to reduce the budgetdeficit through improved revenue mobilisationand other initiatives. Specifically, its fiscal policywill focus on:

Improving revenue mobilisation throughthe Ghana Revenue Authority’s on-goingModernisation Programme;

Realigning key budget items and enhanc-ing the efficiency of public expendituresthrough the ongoing Public FinancialManagement (PFM) reforms, includingGIFMIS

Reviewing capital expenditures and thestrategies for financing them (in collabo-ration with Bank of Ghana)

Focusing on the completion of pipelineprojects to reduce medium term fiscalrisks; and

Refinancing and extension of tenure ofdebt.

The fiscal deficit at the end of 2013 is estimatedat GH¢8,905 million, equivalent to 10.2% ofGDP. This means that Government must put inplace pragmatic measures to address the in-creasing budget deficit.

We note that financing the deficit will be fromboth domestic and foreign sources. Financingthe deficit from domestic sources (i.e. throughborrowing) will result in a ‘’crowding out” effect,leading to higher interest rates on the domesticmarket.

With its proposed strategies of addressing thehigh debt service cost (such as adopting a refi-nancing scheme to lengthen maturities of con-tracted loans, obtaining better terms for out-standing loans as well as contracting new loanson exception basis only); Government will needto ensure some amount of fiscal discipline inorder to keep the overall budget deficit withindesirable limits.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: The Economy 13

Government aimed toreduce the budget deficitfrom 11.8% of GDP in 2012to 9% of GDP in 2013.

Government aims toachieve this through fiscalprudence and debt sus-tainability such as im-proved revenue mobilisa-tion, rationalising andenhancing the efficiency ofpublic expenditures aswell as reviewing financ-ing methods.

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The Economy

Oil and Gas

Oil production and petroleum receipts:

Crude oil production from the Jubilee Fieldaveraged about 102,503 barrels of oil per day(bopd) for the first three quarters of 2013.

Indications are that, the average daily produc-tion from the Jubilee Field is likely to exceedthe current average of 102,503 bopd by the endof the year owing to development work beingexecuted in the Field.

The actual total volume of oil produced for theperiod January to September 2013 is estimatedat 27.1m barrels which is 89.1% of the full- yearestimate of about 30.4m barrels.

Out of the total volume produced in the first 3quarters of 2013, GNPC lifted about 4.97mbarrels which about the same level as the full-year volume lifted for 2012 (2012 full year:4.9m barrels).

By end of September 2013, GNPC had madefive lifting on behalf of the State. This totalled4,977,922 barrels which resulted in a total reve-nue of US$533.9m.

Government expects to generate a total ofUS$777m in gross revenue from petroleumreceipts in 2014 which is about 34% higherthan the budget for 2013.

Given the provisional estimates for the firstthree quarters of 2013, assuming an averageproduction of 102,503 bopd, it is possible for the2013 full year production volumes to hit 36mbarrels by the end of the year as against a fullyear projection of 30.4m barrels for 2013.

Source: MoFEP budget statement & PwC analysis

Source: MoFEP Budget Statement 2014 & PwC analysis

In 2012, Government did not generate any cor-porate tax revenue from companies with interestin the Jubilee Field as profits made by these com-panies were used to offset their investmentmade prior to commencement of production.However, 2013 results showed marked improve-ment in revenues and the Jubilee partners havestarted to pay corporate income tax. This pre-sents good prospects for Governments revenuesgoing forward.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: The Economy 14

Source: MoFEP Budget Statement 2014 & PwC analysis

Composi-tion of pe-troleum re-ceipts

2013budg-

et

Jan-Sep

2013Actual

2014budg-

et

%

Var

%

Var

(A) (B ) (C) B-A C-AUS $mil-lion

US $mil-lion

US $mil-lion % %

Royalties 143.7 149.0 158.8 4% 10%

Carried andparticipatinginterest 372.0 385.2 410.7 4% 10%Surface rent-als 0.42 0.8 0.8 90% 89%

Corporateincome tax 55.9 172.2 187.2

208%

235%

Gas receipts 9.8 19.4-

100% 99%

Total 581.7 707.3 777.0 22% 34%

Distributionof Petrole-um Receipts

2013budg-

et

Jan-Sep

2013Actual

2014budg-

et%

Var%

VarA B C B-A C-A

US $mil-lion

US $mil-lion % %

Transfer toGNPC 191.4 186.1 192.6 -3% 1%

BoG netreceipts fordistribution toAnnual Budg-et FundingAmount(ABFA) &Ghana Pe-troleumFunds (GPFs) 390.3 521.2 584.4 34% 50%Total 581.7 707.3 777.0 22% 34%

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The Economy

Utilisation of the Annual Budget FundingAmount (“ABFA”)

The ABFA is part of the national budget and istreated as part of the consolidated fund. Thepriority expenditure areas for the ABFA for theperiod 2011 – 2013 are expected to remain thesame in 2014. Actual spend for the first threequarters of 2013 totalled GH¢392.94m andwere in respect of the following priority areas:

Road and other infrastructure- GH¢142.34m(47.5%)

Expenditure and amortisation of loans for oiland gas infrastructure- GH¢119.88m (40%)

Capacity building- GH¢32.58m (10.9%)

Agricultural modernisation- GH¢4.6m (1.5%)

Actual spend of the ABFA over the first threequarters of 2013 shows that, about 47.5%(GH142.34m) was for road and other infrastruc-ture which shows Government’s commitment toprioritise infrastructural development to accel-erate economic growth.

Government estimates to generate aboutUS$584m in Benchmark Revenue (i.e. revenuenet of transfers to GNPC) from petroleum re-ceipts in 2014, out of which 70% will be allocat-ed to ABFA with the 30% allocated to the Gha-na Petroleum Fund (GPF).

In 2013, about 76% of ABFA for the first threequarters was spent on public investment ex-penditure, which was greater than the mini-mum 70% prescribed by Section 21 (4) of thePetroleum Revenue Management Act (PRMA).The other 24% was spent on goods and ser-vices.

ABFA made significant improvement in 2013as revenue targets were met and the Jubileepartners commenced the payment of corporateincome tax.

This compares favourably to 2012 when alloca-tions to ABFA fell short of the target byUS$96.9m due to shortfalls in production tar-gets as well as the non-realisation of corporateincome tax.

Utilisation of the Ghana Petroleum Fund

The Ghana Petroleum Fund (GPF) whichamounted to a total of US$316.09m in 2013is constituted by the Ghana Heritage Fund(GHF) and the Ghana Stabilisation Fund(GSF).

Results for the first three quarters of 2013showed that the GPF received about 6% morein revenue than the ABFA (2012: 92% lessthan the ABFA). However, Government pro-jects to allocate about US$175m to the GPFin 2014 which represents 30% of the totalBenchmark Revenue (i.e. after accounting fortransfers to GNPC).

Key policy initiativesIn accordance with Provisions in PRMA whichrequires policy reviews every three years, the2014 budget proposes the following key policyinitiatives:

A 10 percentage point downward revision(from 40% to 30%) of GNPC’s share of car-ried and participating interest, net of equityfinance cost. This is in light of the increase involumes of crude oil exports.

Formally linking ABFA and the proposedGhana Infrastructure Fund

Capping GSF at $250 million (subject to pe-riodic review) and utilising excess amountsfor debt repayment and setting up a Contin-gency Fund of $50 million to meet urgentunforeseen expenditure. This propositionwas informed by the relatively low invest-ment income on the GSF compared to thehigh borrowing cost for infrastructure pro-jects. The use of the excess amounts for debtrepayment is expected to free capital for in-frastructure development

Reviewing the range of instruments for in-vestment to include higher yielding instru-ments for accumulated funds in GPF’s. Thiswould be based on the advice of the Invest-ment Advisory Committee.

Government needs to ensure that its attempt tobridge the infrastructural gap is not done atthe expense of key sectors such as Agriculture.The 15% ABFA allocation to Agricultural mod-ernisation should be maintained and subse-quently increased to prevent a possible Dutchdisease.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: The Economy 15

In 2014, Government pro-poses to allocate about 15%(GH¢136.4m) of the ABFAto agricultural modernisa-tion which is markedlyhigher than the 1.5% allo-cated in the first threequarters of 2013.

Source: MoFEP Budget Statement 2014 & PwC analysis

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The Economy

Monetary Sector

Broad money supply including foreign cur-rency deposits (M2+) grew by 17.7% fromJanuary to September 2013, a decline from28.8% over the same period 2012.

There was a slower growth in reserve mon-ey in 2013 (21%) compared to 2012 (49.3%and 2011 (37.8%). This resulted from thereduced growth of 30% of Net DomesticAssets (NDA) ( 2012—352%).

2012 Net Foreign Assets (NFA) increasedby 15.6% although there was a significantdecline 0f 24% for the same period in 2012.

Credit extension by the banking sector tothe private sector increased nominally by26% as at September 2013 compared to thesignificant expansion by 43.8% in Septem-ber 2012

Government plans to focus on improvingforeign exchange stability and pursue poli-cies to boost credit accessibility.

Broad money supply continues to grow ata declining rate indicating the lingeringeffect of the high rates for Government in-struments from 2012.

Inflation rate

The inflation rate increased from 10.1%in January 2013 to 11.8% in July 2013. Itrose to 13.1% in October 2013.

The double digit inflation recorded in

2013 is attributable to the pass-through

effect of fuel and utility price hikes and

the rebasing of the Consumer Price Index

(CPI) and the revision of the CPI basket

in May 2013, which included an increase

in the weight of transportation from

6.2% t0 7.2%.

Source: Ghana Statistical Service (GSS) & BoG

Considering the impact of the full effect of thefuel price increases, increase in VAT from12.5% to 15% and the imposition of a with-holding tax on rent (15% for commercialbuildings and 8% for residential buildings),inflationary pressures could worsen. Thiswill result in some uncertainty as to the at-tainability of the 9% average inflation targetfor 2014.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: The Economy 16

There was a year-on-yeardrop in growth of broadmoney supply by about7%

The economy has beenunable to revert to itssingle digit inflation levelsince January 2013, andinflation has worsenedfrom 10.1% in January2013 to 13.1% as at Octo-ber 2013

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The Economy

Interest rates

The monetary policy rate was increased byone percentage point in April 2013 from 15%to 16% and was maintained at 16% in Sep-tember 2013.

The 91-day Treasury bill, 2-year note, and 5-year bond maintained at the December 2012levels of 23.1%, 23% and 23% respectively.

The rates on the 182 day bill, 1 year note and3-year bond however declined marginallyover the period.

The Interbank weighted average rates de-clined from 17.5% as at December 2012 to17.1% as at August 2013.

Bank base rates, have increased from arange of 12.3% t0 26.5% as at December2012 to a range of 14.1% to 29.5% as at June2013.

Financial institutions continue to increase theirlending rates, despite the relatively stable trendin Government treasury rates and the BoGPrime rate. This could be an indication of declin-ing confidence in the creditworthiness of theprivate sector coupled with the relatively attrac-tive rates being offered on risk-free Governmentinstruments—leading to a higher cost of funds.

Exchange rates

The Ghana Cedi depreciated against all itsmajor trading currencies. The Ghana Cedidepreciated by 4.12%, 9.97 and 14.1%against the US dollar, the pound sterlingand the Euro respectively.

The Ghana Cedi made a better showing in 2013against the US dollar and Pound Sterling onthe inter currency market, although it still de-preciated against all three currencies. Thismay be the result of the impact of the stringentpolicies adopted by the BoG to curb the freefallof the Ghana Cedi in 2012. Government mustconsider its external debt service obligationsand put measure in place to ensure that therewill be less pressure on foreign exchange in themedium term. A stronger Ghana Cedi in 2014will improve confidence in the economy

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: The Economy 17

The Cedi continued todecline against all themajor currencies in 2013albeit not as steeply as itdid in 2012

Average bank lendingrates increased from25.7% as at December2012 to 27.4% as at June2013

Source: MoFEP Budget Statement 2014 & PwC analysis

Source: MoFEP Budget Statement 2014 & PwC analysis

Source: MoFEP Budget Statement 2014

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The Economy

External Sector

As at September 2013, the trade deficit wasUS$2,744 million, compared US$3,052.3million end of 2012

Receipts from merchandise exports mar-ginally increased to US$10,329.4 millionfor the nine-month period to September2013, compared to US$10,235.7 millionend of 2012, driven by oil, timber and othernon-traditional exports.

Crude oil exports increased by 41.8% in2013 as a result of the 48% increase involumes of exports as production levelsrose.

As at September 2013 imports wasUS$13,073.5 million, a marginal declinefrom the 2012 position of US$13,205.3million. The drop was attributable to non-oil imports as there was a 1.3% increase inoil imports.

The balance of payments deficit is projectedto reduce to US$884 million in 2013 as aresult of improvement in the capital andfinancial account (2012—deficit ofUS$1,210.9 million).

Source: Ghana Statistical Service

Gross International Reserves

Gross International Reserves decreasedto US$5,212.1 million as at September2013, equivalent to 2.9 months of im-port cover. (end of 2012—US$5,349 mil-lion, equivalent to 3 months of importcover).

Government has projected a minimum of3 months import cover as at the end of2013.

It is evident from the 9-month results that Gov-ernment must accelerate efforts to increase localproduction in order to boost export volumes, asthe declining world market prices for our keycommodities have impacted negatively on ourimport cover.

Additionally, Government’s plans to invest inPrivate sector development via the setting up ofthe SME Fund could increase production bysmall manufacturing companies leading to anincrease in consumption of locally producedgoods thus reducing the country’s reliance onimported consumer products.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: The Economy 18

Decline in global marketprices of some of Ghana’skey commodities – goldand cocoa coupled with adrop in their export vol-umes impacted exportearnings negatively. Goldprices declined by approxi-mately 20% fromUS$1,657.5 in December2012 to US$1,326 in Sep-tember 2013, resulting in a14% decline in the receiptsfrom sale of gold over thesame period.

Government expects toachieve its export targetsfor 2013 however year-endimports are expected to be5.3% below the budgetedamount.

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The Economy

Public Debt

Total Public Debt amounted toUS$23,498.7 as at September 2013 com-pared to US$19,150.7 as at 2012

The total public debt to GDP ratio increasedsignificantly from 49.3% in 2012 to 52.0% in2013

The significant increases in public debtresulted from the following:

Disbursement of US$750 millionfrom the Eurobond proceeds

Drawings of US$383.5million fromthe China Development Bank

Issue of 7-year domestic bond

Source: MoFEP Budget Statement 2014

In 2013, External debt constituted 45.9%(2012 – 47.8%) and Domestic debt consti-tuted 54.1% (2012—52.2%) of total publicdebt.

The increasing trend in domestic debt issuanceindicates that Government is further crowdingout the private sector’s access to credit whichcounteracts Government’s intention to focus onthe development of the private sector. Govern-ment should consider diversifying the sources oflong-term financing to help improve the fiscalsituation and minimise any adverse impact onthe availability of credit to the private sector.

Additional Debt Commitments in 2013

There was a net issuance ofUS$3,056.9million of domestic debt as atSeptember 2013. Additionally, loansamounting to US$1,793million (December2012—US$2,286 million) were signed—including US$1,000 million Eurobond—to finance projects in the Health, Housing,Transport, Local Government and RoadSectors.

Debt Sustainability Analysis (DSA)

According to the 2013 Debt Sustainabil-ity Analysis ( DSA) conducted by theIMF and the World Bank, Ghana’s riskof debt distress has risen, despite thefact that it remains below the recom-mended threshold.

Per the DSA, the debt service-to-revenue ratio is projected to averageabout 9.1% of GDP between 2013-2018.

Although the country has remained below therecommended threshold measures must be putin place to ensure that there is sufficient bufferto absorb the impact of any shocks. It is im-perative that revenue mobilisation is intensi-fied as outlined in the 2014 Budget. Addition-ally, plans of investing in self-financing infra-structural developments must be well imple-mented to reduce the debt service burden onpublic funds.

Debt Management Programme (“DMP”)

Government has developed a debt man-agement strategy to provide a more cost-efficient access to external and domes-tic debt for efficient debt management

The strategies include the following:

Liquidity Management

Revenue Generation from Self-Financing Projects

On-Lending and Escrow Accountarrangements with MDA/MMDAs

Financing Capital Expenditureswith long-term Debt

Loans-to-Priority Projects Pro-gramme

Long-term financing from theexternal capital markets

Government has shown signs that it is imple-menting some of the Debt management strate-gies with the issuance of the US$1,000 millionEurobond to finance long-term projects.Investor confidence in the country could how-ever be dampened by the deteriorating debt/GDP ratio. Overall economic performance issubdued by increased borrowing and this mayfurther deter international investment.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: The Economy 19

Total public debt has in-creased from US$19,150.7million as at the end of2012 to US$23,498.7 mil-lion as at September 2013representing a 23% in-crease.

The total public debt toGDP ratio increased from49.3% in 2012 to 52.0% in2013. For the 9-monthperiod to September 2013,a total amount ofUS$1,793 million worth ofnew loans were signed(2012—US$2,286 million)

Government has devel-oped some key strategiesfor Debt Managementincluding efficient liquidi-ty management and in-vestment into self financ-ing projects

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The Economy

Macroeconomic Targets for 2014

Real non-oil GDP growth of 7.4%

Real overall GDP growth including oil of8%

Average inflation of 8.9%

End period inflation of 9.5% within ± 2%

Overall budget deficit equivalent to 8.5%of GDP; and

Gross International Reserves of not lessthan three months of import cover ofgoods and services

Medium Term Real GDP Growth Projections

Source: Ministry of Finance

Based on the policies and strategies to be imple-mented by Government in the medium term, theeconomy is projected to grow at not less than 8%from 2014 to 2016.

The growth in the agricultural sector despiteerratic weather conditions in sub-Saharan Afri-ca is encouraging. A waiving of VAT on someagricultural products is likely to spur growthwithin the agricultural sector further.

Government has estimated an average GDPgrowth rate of 8% for the medium term to bedriven largely by 5.4% average growth in Agri-culture sector on the back of 5.3% growth inCrops subsector including Cocoa. However,with prices of commodities trending down in-vestment in the wider agriculture sector espe-cially forestry and fishing is highly recommend-ed.

Medium-Term Targets for 2014—2016The specific macroeconomic targets to be pur-sued for the medium-term will include:

An average GDP growth rate (includingoil) of at least 8% per annum;

An inflation rate target of 9% with a bandof ± 2%

An overall average budget deficit equiva-lent to 6% of GDP by 2016; and

Gross International Reserves covering notless than four months of import of goodsand services by 2016.

Source: MoFEP Budget Statement 2014

The contraction of growth in the manufactur-ing sub-sector was primarily due to the pow-er crisis experienced in the first half of theyear. This was primarily due to power gener-ation crises caused by the disruption of gassupply from Nigeria to Ghana under theWest African Gas Pipeline Project. With theGhana Gas Processing plant coming online in2014, there could be added energy security.This is likely to spur growth driven by localmanufacturing companies. The renewableenergy tariff gazetting and the increase inelectricity tariffs could attract foreign invest-ment into the power sector but could ad-versely affect local manufacturers.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: The Economy 20

Real GDP (including oil) isprojected at an average of8.7% from 2014 to 2016.

Government has also tar-geted an overall budgetdeficit of 8.5% in 2014with a further decline to6% by 2016.

ItemIncluding Oil (%)

2014 2015 2016

Overall GDP 8.0 8.2 10.0

Agriculture 4.2 5.8 6.2

Industry 9.1 7.1 12.6

Services 8.9 9.3 9.6

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NationalBudget

No change to personalincome tax bands pendingthe outcome of NationalDaily Minimum WageNegotiations

Transfer pricing audits

Proposal to increase with-holding tax rate on rent ofcommercial properties

Windfall Tax to be re-introduced to Parliament

Personal Income Tax

Government has over the years increased thepersonal income tax (PIT) bands as a way ofcushioning individuals from rising costs and pro-tecting low income earners. In the current budgethowever, Government intends to maintain thecurrent personal income tax bands. This proposalis in line with Government’s bid to reduce theimpact on the wage bill and is subject to the out-come of negotiations on the National Daily Mini-mum Wage.

An increase in the personal income tax bandswill cause a reduction in Government’s revenuesfrom PIT as well as result in an increase in thewage bill of Government since more money willbe paid to public sector workers. With the recentcomplaints from the general public and externalstakeholders about the size of Ghana’s wage bill,this measure is a step in the right direction to-wards avoiding further wage bill increases.

It is unclear what Government plans to doshould minimum wage increase: (1) whetherGovernment will adjust the personal tax rates inorder to increase personal income tax collectionto fund the wage bill; or (2) whether Govern-ment will expand the tax-free (o%) income taxband to ensure that minimum wage remainsuntaxed.

Tax on Property and Property Use

The budget also proposes increasing the rate ofwithholding tax on the rental payments of com-mercial buildings from 8% to 15% in a bid to en-courage the provision of residential accommoda-tion to stem the existing housing deficit. The on-going street naming exercise is expected to facili-tate the identification and collection of the renttax. The GRA, MMDAs and other stakeholders’work on the Cadastral Project is also expected toenhance the valuation of properties for deter-mining property rates.

The increase in the withholding tax rate on com-mercial buildings appears to be a natural pro-gression of the 2013 budget in which Govern-ment bemoaned the conversion of residentialproperties into commercial ones thereby in-creasing the housing deficit further.

The increase in the withholding tax rate on com-mercial buildings is also likely to have a positiveimpact on Government tax revenue.

Commercial property owners are also likely toincrease the rent of their buildings in order topass on the tax to their tenants resulting in high-er costs for businesses.

Transfer Pricing Regulations

The GRA is currently streamlining the transferpricing regulations passed in 2012 into itsoperations mainly by training its staff. Thismove is expected to result in higher tax reve-nues as Government intends conducting ex-tensive transfer pricing audits commencingearly 2014 which it hopes will lead to a reduc-tion in transfer pricing abuses.

The focus on transfer pricing stems fromGovernment’s view that there is a materialloss of tax revenue a result of transfer pricingabuses and audits are being proposed to un-cover abuses.

The GRA has selected a number of taxpayersto file transfer pricing returns as part of theirstreamlining processes. It is unclear whetherthe audits to be carried out as indicated in thebudget, will cover all taxpayers who haverelated party transactions or only those whohave been selected to file transfer pricingreturns.

There also seems to be a high expectation thatthe impending transfer pricing audits willlead to a significant increase in tax revenues,on the basis that transfer pricing abuse al-ready exists, and that these occurrences willbe reduced. This may however be an inaccu-rate assessment of the current situation, andactual tax revenues realised as a result of thisexercise may be lower than expected.

Windfall Profit Tax

The Minister of Finance indicated that theWindfall Profit Tax will be reintroduced toParliament. There are likely to be revisions tothe Bill that will be presented to parliamentsince a committee is currently reviewing sta-bility agreements, incentives and the windfallprofit tax itself, in consultation with civil soci-ety groups.

The passing of this law still seems to be onGovernment’s agenda as it has featured inprevious budgets. Previously, the Chamber ofMines and mining companies shared con-cerns around the approach to calculating thetax. It is expected that the bill to be re-introduced to Parliament will address theseconcerns.

It is also unlikely that the bill, if passed intolaw will result in any additional tax revenuesgiven the falling prices of gold as well as in-creased mining related costs.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Direct Taxation 21

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Direct Taxation

Management and Technical Service Fees

The withholding tax rate on management andtechnical service fees is set to increase from 15%to 20%.

The change in rate is quite unexpected especiallysince the rate was originally 20% but was re-vised downwards a few years ago to 15% to beat par with the non-resident income tax rate.This proposal if passed will create a disparitybetween the management fee rate (20%) and thenon-resident income tax rate (15%). We envisagesome pressure on Government to negotiate addi-tional double tax treaties for more favourablerates to be agreed.

Construction Industry Scheme

Government intends introducing a ConstructionIndustry Scheme (CIS) in 2014 to regulatepayments made by contractors to subcontractorsin the building and other related businesses withparticular reference to self-employed subcontrac-tors. The purpose of the scheme is to determinehow to treat these payments for tax purposes.

Payments by contractors to subcontractors inthe building industry is currently subject towithholding tax at 5% (except where exempt)with subcontractors going ahead to pay corpo-rate income tax at 25% on chargeable income.The scheme could be one of Government’smeasures to widen the tax bracket and ensurethat the correct taxes are paid.

The scheme will be expected to clearly definewho qualifies as a contractor or subcontractoramongst other relevant details.

Reward to Informants

Government proposes to revamp a GRA schemewhere rewards are paid to individuals who reportsuspected tax evasion and corruption after suc-cessful collection of duties and penalties, reas-sessment of evaded or avoided taxes and under-declaration of VAT. Ghanaians are urged to as-sist in the fight against duty evasion, tax evasionand corruption as a patriotic duty.

It is expected that steps will be taken to protectmembers of the general public who act as in-formants to the GRA.

Further, GRA will need to put in place clear pro-cesses and procedures in relation to the schemeso that businesses are not subject to unnecessaryscrutiny.

National Fiscal Stabilisation Levy(NFSL)

The NFSL which was initially scheduled toend in December 2014 will now end in June2014.

The NFSL was introduced to aid in closingthe fiscal gap by generating additionalGovernment revenue. However, with thevarious new fiscal measures outlined in the2014 budget, it is likely that Governmenthas identified alternative sources of reve-nue and is terminating the NFSL earlierthan planned.

Reviewing the tax rate for free zones

enterprises

Currently, the Free Zone Act provides thatFree Zone Enterprises enjoy a 10 year Cor-porate Income Tax holiday as an incentivefor registering under the Free ZonesScheme. After the expiration of the tax holi-day, Free Zone Enterprises are entitled topay Corporate Income Tax (CIT) at a rate ofnot more than 8% of chargeable income inline with the rate applicable for incomefrom non-traditional exports of companiesin the domestic territory of Ghana. Further,Free Zone Enterprises are permitted to sell30% of their goods or services in the domes-tic market of Ghana.

Non-Free Zone Enterprises pay CIT at a rateof 25% of their chargeable income.

This CIT rate disparity in relation to domes-tic sales in Ghana (8% versus 25%) appearsto provide Free Zone Enterprises with anunfair advantage.

The proposed amendment seeks to even theplaying field. The domestic sales of goodsand services by Free Zone Enterprises willbe taxable at the same rate as supplies fromNon-Free Zone Enterprises while exportssales continue to be taxed at the conces-sionary Corporate Income Tax Rate cappedat 8%.

The proposed review of the Free Zones Actseems to be aimed at tightening any fiscalloopholes that currently exist and whichhave created unfair advantages for FreeZone Enterprises to the detriment of Non-Free Zone Enterprises. The Free Zone con-cept was created to encourage exportsfrom Ghana thereby expanding the manu-facturing sector with an indirect result ofcreating employment opportunities. Theproposed revision to the CIT Rate for do-mestic sales stays true to this concept.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Direct Taxation 22

Withholding on manage-ment fee to increase to20%

National Fiscal Stabilisa-tion Levy

Proposals to review thetax rate of free zones en-terprises

Proposal to introduce aConstruction IndustryScheme to regulate pay-ments to subcontractorsin the industry

The GRA is to revamp areward scheme in an ef-fort to increase the recov-ery of taxes and penal-ties and the general pub-lic is encouraged to pro-vide information leadingto the recovery of tax

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Direct Taxation

Taxation of Capital Gains for Petroleum

Operations

Government proposes to apply the provisions ofthe Internal Revenue Act, 2000 (Act 592) (IRA)relating to Capital Gains Tax (CGT) to petroleumoperations. The IRA provides that CGT is appli-cable on gains realised as a result of the sale ofchargeable assets including business assets andshares of a resident company. Currently, the Pe-troleum Income Tax Law (PITL) provides thatCGT shall not apply to petroleum operations.

By applying CGT to petroleum operations, Gov-ernment is likely to increase revenue by widen-ing the scope of CGT. The challenge will be toidentify and define petroleum assets whichwould qualify as chargeable assets, the types oftransactions and their basis of calculation. Also,harmonisation of the IRA, PITL and PetroleumAgreements with respect to CGT, will need to becarefully conducted to prevent any contradicto-ry provisions.

The proposed taxation of capital gains for pe-troleum operations is in line with similar devel-opments across Africa and may boost Govern-ment's revenue generating efforts.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Direct Taxation 23

Capital gains to be intro-duced to the petroleumsector.

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NationalBudget

VAT increased to 15%

Waiver of taxes for ex-port oriented manufac-turers

Exemption from rawmaterials imported forthe local production oftextbooks, exercise books,and HIV/AIDS drugs

Verifications of salesusing special electronicpoint of sale devices.

Special import levy endsby December 2014

SIL exemption for agri-culture and fishing in-puts, medical supplies,educational materials,and energy bulbs in 2014

Additional VAT Collection to SupportInfrastructure and Development

Parliament on 15 November approved a newVAT Act which increased the VAT rate from12.5% to 15% (excluding 2.5% for NHIL). Thebudget proposes to dedicate the additional2.5%VAT collection to on-going infrastructureand developments under the proposed InfraFund.

The increase in VAT will impact prices of goodsand services and has the potential of pushingup inflation.

There is no doubt that Government has an ob-jective to increase VAT collection. Out of thetotal taxes on domestic goods and services,VAT is expected to generate GH¢ 4,874.9 mil-lion which is about 29.4% above the 2013 esti-mate and 45.6% above the 2013 projected out-turn.

While acknowledging that the VAT mechanismis more efficient and that the level of accounta-bility leaves little room for doubt, Governmentseems to believe that loopholes continue to existin the VAT system which need to be blocked.The expectation of increased VAT revenue ap-pears to suggest that Government will takesteps to block the tax loopholes in 2014. One ofsuch proposals may be the implementation ofelectronic point of sale devices.

Reducing VAT Leakages through the useof Special EPOS

As part of efforts to reduce tax loopholes in thesystem, proposals will be submitted to parlia-ment in the year seeking to enforce the use ofelectronic point of sale (EPOS) devices verifia-ble by the tax authorities.

This is one of the proposals to reduce tax reve-nue leakages. The implementation of EPOSmay have been one of the factors that informedthe expected increase in VAT revenue in 2014.

The timing of implementation needs carefulconsideration. It would be important that therequired proposals are put before parliamentand approved early enough to allow enoughtime for implementation including ensuringadequate taxpayer education.

Delays with the approval and implementationprocess may cause that the expected benefit ofincreased VAT revenue would rather accrue tofuture fiscal years—2015 and beyond. Howev-er, the question remain as to the to the prepar-edness of the GRA to introduce this scheme asthis may require some technical training forGRA staff.

Maintaining Socially Sensitive VAT Ex-emptions and Promoting Manufactur-ing for exports.

The budget proposal tacitly acknowledges theimportance of using the VAT mechanism tosocially vulnerable groups by exempting prod-ucts from agriculture and fishing sectors,health, education and transportation are ex-empt from VAT. It is expected that the ex-emptions existing in the new VAT Act will bemaintained.

As additional incentive for export production,the waiver of taxes on raw materials for exportoriented manufacturing would be introduced.The waiver is expected to cover VAT.

Duty and VAT Exemption on Raw Mate-rials for Local Production of Text andExercise Books and on Raw Materialsfor Manufacturing HIV/AIDS drugs

Import duty and VAT waiver/exemption forraw materials imported for local printing oftextbooks and exercise books through tendersadministered by the Ministry of Education.This is being done as part of measures to makethe local industries competitive.

There is also import duty and VAT exemptionfor raw materials imported for local produc-tion of HIV/AIDS drugs under the supervisionof the Ministry of Health.

The above initiatives also align with theMDGs.

The Ministries of Education and Healthwould be expected to put appropriate proce-dures in place as well as determine the levelof logistical support is required to assist theselocal manufacturers.

Modification to the Enforcement of theSpecial Import Levy

With a commitment to maintain Ghana’s lib-eral tax regime, the Special Import Levy (SIL)which was scheduled to end in June 2015 willnow end by December 2014.

In the meantime, a proposal is made to pro-vide SIL exemption for agriculture and fishinginputs such as cutlasses, outboard motors andfishing nets; medical supplies such as con-doms; educational materials and energy bulbsthat were exempted from import duty underthe original customs tariff.

The proposal to termination of SIL early (andalso NFSL even earlier) appears to suggeststhat Government expects improvement in the

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Indirect Taxation 24

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Indirect Taxation

second half of 2014.

Introduction of tax stamps to collect ex-cise taxes.

Collections from excise duty is expected to in-crease in 2014. Out of the total taxes on domesticgoods and services, excise tax revenue is ex-pected to be GH¢ 1,205.8 million—about 33.4%above the 2013 estimate and 40.3% above the2013 projected outturn. It is unclear how theimplementation of tax stamps contribute to thisincreased excise duty collection. This move couldpotentially improve tax collection and ultimatelythe cash-flow position of the GRA.

Government intends to introduce tax stamps thisyear on selected excisable products as part ofmeasures on enforcing compliance. The modali-ties for implementation are left to be determinedby the Ministry of Finance in consultation withthe Ministry of Trade and Industry and otherstakeholders.

Like other revenue mobilisation initiatives, it isimportant that they are implemented early inthe year in order that the expected benefits willinure before the end of 2014.

Marginal increases in fuel taxes.

A proposal to change the basis of petroleum ex-cise duty from specific to ad-valorem in order toalign with current excise tax regime. In addition,there is a proposal to marginally increase in theroad fund levy. This will result in a slight increasein the ex-pump price for premium and gas oil.

The effect of fuel price increases reaches almostall sectors within the economy particularly be-cause of transportation which affects most eco-nomic activities and has the potential of increas-ing inflation.

Government should manage adjustments care-fully to ensure that the effects are controlled.

ECOWAS Common External Tariff

The final decision on the CET was ratified on 25October 2013 at the Extra-Ordinary Summit inDakar Senegal. It was decided that the full imple-mentation of the Ecowas tariff regime shouldcommence on 1 January 2015. Ghana, like othermember states, will have to ratify the ECOWASCET through Parliament before 1 January 2015.

The tariff regime prescribes import duty ratesranging between 0% and 35%. This applies toimports by member states from third countries.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Indirect Taxation 25

Tax stamps on selectedexcisable products in 2014

Fuel taxes to increasethrough petroleum exciseduty and road fund levyadjustments

ECOWAS CET regime tobegin 1 January 2015

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Tax Administration

Tax Administration

A number of administrative reforms are also be-ing considered. These include:

Harmonisation and simplification of theexisting tax laws into a single Tax Admin-istration Bill

Government has reiterated its objective ofharmonising the tax administration lawsinto a single Tax Administration Bill.

This is aimed towards enhancing the workof GRA as a one-stop shop for all tax issuesin the country.

When this all-inclusive Law is passed, it isexpected that there would be improved effi-ciencies in the general tax administrationprocesses.

Review of existing exemptions granted induties and other taxes

There are proposals to review existing taxexemptions as this has been identified byGovernment as one of the areas it appearsto be losing revenue.

This is an attempt by Government to tight-en potential loopholes and to raise addition-al tax revenue as applicable.

This move may result in some existing taxexemption agreements being terminated (aspermitted in the contracts) and new appli-cations for exemptions may not be easilygranted.

The potential risk here is that where Gov-ernment is perceived to be aggressivelypursuing revenue generation (in the form ofincreased taxes and minimal or no exemp-tions/incentives), this may erode investors’confidence and Ghana may no longer beseen to be the preferred investment/business destination for foreign investors(including) multinationals.

Government might wish to reconsider thisagenda to ensure there is a fair balancebetween its drive to generate tax revenueand attract foreign direct investment.

The Customs Division of the GRA to improveits Valuation competencies under the Valua-tion Assurance Programme (VAP)

Currently the Customs Division of the GRA

charges import duties and VAT on imports

based on the values provided to it by approved

Destination Inspection Companies.However, Customs is taking steps toimprove the coverage of items under theVAP programme with the ultimate aimof developing its own valuation module.

This move will result in improved effi-ciencies in the clearing system as Cus-toms will be in charge of all the portclearing processes.

Automation and improvement in the op-erational processes of the GRA

This is in line with the GRA’s long-termobjective of automating its administra-tive processes and procedures.

Establishment of Free Income Tax Assess-ment Bureau (FITAB)

FITB will be set up in the Small Tax Pay-ers Offices of the GRA or at standalonelocations where the concentration of in-formal sector operators is high.

FITAB would assist traders (and othersmall businesses), who are not requiredby Law to prepare audited accounts, withbasic record keeping.

This initiative would enable the GRAwiden the tax bracket and levy the rightamount of taxes on small businesses(especially in the informal sector).

Implementation and review of the provi-sions in the Petroleum Revenue Manage-ment Act, 2011 (Act 815) regarding theallocation and distribution of funds

Government will review issues involvingpetroleum benchmark revenue, qualifyinstruments, and membership of the Pub-lic Interest and Accountability Committee(PIAC).

It is expected that Parliament will makeamendments to the Petroleum RevenueManagement Act, 2011 (Act 815).

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Tax Administration 26

Harmonisation of the taxlaws into a Tax Admin-istration Bill

FITAB to assist smalltraders with basic recordkeeping

Review of existing taxexemptions granted

Customs to improve in itsvaluation competencies

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NationalBudget

Government will continueto address challenges fac-ing the mechanisation ofagriculture along the val-ue chain

Government to facilitatethe passage of the Landand Land Use PlanningActs and improve custom-ary land administrationthroughout the country

The ministry will focus onimproving competivenessof industry domesticallyand globally with the aimof propelling the privatesector to assume leader-ship in industry and jobcreation

ECONOMIC SECTOR

Food and Agriculture 2014 Outlook

The importance of the Agriculture Sector in thesocio-economic development of Ghana cannotbe over-emphasised. It is in this light that the2014 Budget re-affirms Government’s commit-ment to accelerate the modernisation of agricul-ture in a bid to improve the economy throughthe use of technology and research.

The key initiatives include:

Implementation of the Block Farm, Live-stock, Poultry and Agri-business initiativesunder the Youth in Agriculture Pro-gramme;

Facilitate the expansion of private sectorled Agricultural Mechanisation ServicesEnterprise Centres;

Construction of modern farmer’s marketsin the Brong Ahafo and Northern Regionsto focus on grains and tubers respectively;

Private partnership arrangements and col-laboration to develop Agriculture Estateson the Accra plains and other existing statelands; and

Scaling up the Agricultural insurancescheme to cover more crops, regions andconsequently protect farmers against loss-es.

The Agriculture sector accounts for 22% ofGDP and 50% employment of the economicallyactive population. It is worth noting that thissector is showing signs of recovery, albeitmodest from a marginal position of 0.8% in2011 to 3.4% in 2013. This sector has a signifi-cant employment potential particularly for theyouth. Initiatives to expand the Youth in Agri-culture Programme and the creation of modernmarkets are therefore employment centredgrowth strategies which would ensure thatemployment is expanded with production.

Ministry of Lands and Natural Resources

Government is committed to ensuring the effec-tive and efficient management of the nation’sresources for the socio-economic growth anddevelopment of the country.

The key initiatives to be undertaken during theyear include:

The facilitation of the passage of the Landand Land Use Planning Acts;

Refurbish and automate selected Courts inSekondi-Takoradi, Tamale and Kumasi;

Establishment of 10 customary land Secre-tariats to improve customary land admin-istration;

Assisting the Land Title Registry in Accrato clear backlog of applications for landregistration; and

Further implementation of the Land Ad-

ministration Project (LAP).

In addition to infrastructure development anda favourable regulatory environment, landownership and administration is critical toaccelerating the commercial fortunes of theeconomy. Access to land, and land security inparticular poses a barrier to foreign investors.

The private sector, which is key in Govern-ment’s national priority of building a robustand resilient economy, needs to have access toinstitutional support in the area of land own-ership and administration especially in bothurban and rural areas where land title regis-tration processes can be cumbersome.

Ministry of Trade and Industry

Initiatives to be undertaken during the yearinclude:

Management and marketing support for1,500 horticultural producers in selectedtowns in the Volta Region;

Development of skills of 1,000 exportersparticularly in the SME sector to enablethem succeed in foreign markets;

Establishment of new market opportuni-ties for exporters especially in the Europe-an Market; and

Setting up a new SME fund to boost sup-port for SMEs.

Government should continue to establish Gha-

na as a major manufacturing, value added,

financial and commercial hub in West Africa

by pursuing the above programs that would

propel the private sector to partner Govern-

ment and create jobs.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Sectoral Outlook 27

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Sectoral Outlook

Ministry of TourismGovernment intends developing the tourism po-tential to create employment opportunities. Keyinitiatives highlighted in the budget are:

Organising the National Festival of Arts andCulture as part of efforts to showcase Gha-na’s rich culture; and

Establishment of a legal and regulatoryframework for the development and promo-tion of Creative Arts.

The attraction of Ghana as a tourist destinationhas not been fully exploited by Government.Marketing and aggressive promotion of thecountry in key markets will increase Ghana’scompetitiveness on the international market.

Ministry of EnergyIn 2013 Ghana experienced a power crisis which

affected the economy as a whole and continues to

be an issue hampering development. The Budget

affirms Government’s resolve to develop and en-

sure reliable high quality energy services at a

minimum cost to all sectors of the economy

through the formulation, implementation, moni-

toring and evaluation of energy sector policies.

The following initiatives have been highlighted in

the 2014 Budget:

Petroleum Sub Sector

The development of a framework to providea basis for the construction, operation andmaintenance of Liquefied Natural Gas(LNG) facility in Ghana to meet anticipatedshortfalls in gas supplies for power genera-tion; and

The upstream petroleum subsector to attainpeak oil production of 120,000 barrels of oilper day in the Jubilee Field.

Power Sub Sector

The expected installed capacity will increaseby 342MW with the completion of the firstphase of 220MW Kpone Thermal PowerPlant (KTPP), 110MW T2(Tico Expansion)and VRA 12MW Solar PV Project;

Completion of 161KV Tumu-Han-Wa Trans-mission Project to enhance power transmis-sion;

Completion of the following ongoing pro-jects:

The construction of ECG33/11KV primary sub-station atFawode, Achiase, New Dan-soman and Anyinam in AshantiRegion

Construction of a new Bulk Sup-ply Point at Tema (Smelter II)

The installation of 70,000 split-prepaid meters to replace creditmeters within ECG’s systemsand the supply and installationof a Commercial ManagementSystem for ECG.

Increase electricity access from 75% to80% in 2014.A total of 1,385 communitiesto be connected to the national grid underthe ‘Energy for all Programme’ throughthe Self Help Electrification Project(SHEP) and Ghana Energy Developmentand Access Project (GEDAP).

Building a strong and resilient economy as acore developmental agenda should be drivenby a sustainable supply of energy and power.The energy crisis experienced in recent timesdemonstrates the inadequacy of supply tomeet the rising demand. Though a number ofmedium to long-term initiatives have beenput in place to address these energy challeng-es, the anticipated demand as a result of Gha-na’s growing economy needs to be consideredand adequately met over time to enhance itsmiddle income status. In addition, the weakinfrastructural systems in the energy sectormakes establishing business in Ghana diffi-cult.

Ghana requires $1.7 billion to meet its questfor universal access to power, and govern-ment has received $966.55 million from bilat-eral and multilateral institutions in that re-gard. There is a shortfall of $729 million. It isa relief to note that the entire MCA Compact 2fund is expected to be channelled to powergeneration which could potentially lead togrowth and expansion within the industrysector.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Sectoral Outlook 28

The ministry will continueto facilitate the enablinglegal and social environ-ment to further developthe tourism sector andincrease its potential forrevenue generation

The upstream petroleumsubsector to attain peakoil production of 120,000barrels of oil per day inthe Jubilee Field.

70,000 split pre-paid me-tres to replace credit me-tres within ECG’s systems.

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Sectoral Outlook

MiningMining continues to be Ghana’s second largestforeign exchange earner. Key initiatives in thesector include:

Facilitating the establishment of a smallscale mining competency training centreat the University of Mines and Technology,Tarkwa to offer training to small-scaleminers in proper mining practices.

Promote Alternative Livelihood Projects inmining communities based on the successof the Prestea-Huni Valley Pilot Oil PalmPlantation Project. Establish a 23,000acres of oil palm plantation in the Dunkwa-Ayanfuri area of the Central Region topromote this initiative

The small-scale mining sector provides em-ployment to over 200,000 Ghanaian miners;however activities continue to threaten theenvironment, health and safety if not ade-quately regulated.

The small scale mining competency centreswill teach operators how to mine in a mannerthat the environment won’t be degraded andwould also go some way to regulating theseoperators and making them more law abiding.The Alternate Livelihood Projects will boost

agriculture in these regions and would also

diversify the sources of income of the people in

these communities.

SOCIAL SECTOR

Government has instituted initiatives and com-menced activities with a focus on improving theproductive and technical capacity of people.These initiatives include the provision of quali-ty education, health care, social security andprotection. These areas continue to play a cru-cial role in attaining middle income status andimproving the standard of living. They histori-cally receive substantial budget allocations.

Ministry of Education

Government intends to increase access to edu-cation and also increase infrastructure in thesector to drive and support socio-economicgrowth and national development by imple-menting the following initiatives:

Increase access to education through dis-tance learning, interactive lessons andopen schooling;

Deployment of personnel to the educationsector to improve quality and enhanceefficiency of education service delivery;

Increase enrolment in schools by providinglogistics (ICT, libraries) and accessories (textbooks, exercise, uniforms) to rural communi-ties;

Improve affordability by subsidising basiceducation for JHS, SHS and technical train-ing;

Develop competency-based curricula at thetertiary level (mainly polytechnics) andachieve gender parity in education in linewith the national agenda of 50:50

A budgetary allocation of about 15% (GH₵5bn) isavailable to the education sector. The initiativesoutlined above should go some way to addressthe professional skills gap, quality of education,and should also support Government policy onLocal Content. The desired level of expansion andimproved access to education places on Govern-ment, the critical requirement for more qualifiedand well-motivated teachers. However, teacherremuneration throughout primary, secondaryand tertiary education has been a concern in thesector, and is directly linked to the questionsaround the wage bill.

Ministry of Employment and Labour Rela-tions

Government is focused on accelerating employ-ment creation and promoting vocational and tech-nical skills in the economy. Plans to achieve theseinclude:

Implement labour market information toprovide information for effective planning;

Provide vocational and technical skills byapprenticeship or ‘learning by doing’ ap-proach to both formal and informal sectors;

Roll-out labour intensive public works policyframework and National Employment to en-hance job creation;

Implement policy which link compensationand productivity especially in the public ser-vice.

To bridge the employment gap, there is the needfor Government to coordinate job creation andemployment initiatives which are responsive tothe high unemployment rate, especially amongthe youth. Although thecountry has been on agrowth path, peaking in 2011, youth unemploy-ment especially is on the ascendancy.

Although initiatives to scale up vocational train-ing and enhance the quality of labour marketdata are steps in the right direction, there is theurgent need to increase investments in agricul-ture.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Sectoral Outlook 29

The ministry will contin-ue to provide the neces-sary platform for trans-parent engagement of allstakeholders in the min-ing sector

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Sectoral Outlook

To ensure that the dividends of growth are wide-ly shared through better jobs opportunities andenhanced incomes, especially for the growingunemployed youth.

Ministry of Youth and Sports

As part of plans to develop the capacity of theyouth and integrate them into national develop-ment, Government plans to:

Enact a Sports Law to replace the Sports Act(SMCD 54) and ensure effective implemen-tation;

Improve sports infrastructure through Pub-lic-Private Partnership arrangements;Provide resources (GH₵3.3 million) to 33sports associations to facilitate activities

Formulation of a National Sports Policy is laud-able to enable the Ministry harness the sportingpotential among the youth. Provision of finan-cial resources to facilitate activities is also usefulto increase youth participation, however alloca-tion of the budget remains modest as against thedevelopment needs of the sector.

Ministry of Health

The Health Sector is traditionally one of the sec-tors that receive substantial allocation as it con-tinues to be faced with multiple challenges. Aspart of this Budget, Government will carry outthe following actions to improve access to health,service quality, increase personnel, and enhanceworking conditions across the various professionsin the sector:

Strengthen public financial managementand health data collection;

Improve monitoring and supervision of digi-tal e-health solution and replace equipmentin selected health facilities;

Accelerate maternal health support pro-gramme to improve maternal health;Scale up membership authentication and thee-claims systems to enhance efficiency andreduce false claims;

Increase health care infrastructure by con-structing polyclinics in the various regionsof Ghana as well expanding Korle-Buteaching hospital; and

Bridge equity gaps in access to health careand ensure sustainable financing arrange-ments to protect the poor;

A total of 10% (GH₵3bn) of the overall budgethas been allocated to the sector, indicating thepriority given by Government. It is expectedthat expanding the health sector will provide avariety of options to health services. While,Government aims at increasing health carefacilities, there is the need to institute long termprogrammes which will retain expertise andalso provide technology required for the healthsector. There is also the critical need for aneffective public health financial managementsystems to be put in place to address systemicwaste and inefficiencies.

Ministry of Gender, Children and Socialprotection

The Ministry will finalise and disseminate theNational Child Protection Policy as well as re-view and implement the Early Childhood Careand Development Policy. It will also promote therights of children by creating awareness in com-munities and among stakeholders.

Government is also developing an M&EFramework and Manuals for LivelihoodEmpowerment Against Poverty (LEAP )totrack progress, identify gaps and designtimely interventions for implementation.

In 2014, the Ministry will expand the im-plementation of the LEAP, to cover over100,000 household beneficiaries.

Under the Domestic Violence (DV) andHuman Trafficking (HT) programme, theMinistry will set up and operationalise theHT and DV Funds, operationalise rapidresponse teams for HT and DV matters andprovide professional psychosocial supportfor HT and DV victims.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Sectoral Outlook 30

It is the intention of Gov-ernment to strengthenpublic financial manage-ment and health data col-lection.

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Sectoral Outlook

The implementation of the National Child Pro-tection Policy and the Early Childhood Care andDevelopment Policy is a laudable initiative espe-cially given that the 2010 Ghana Population andHousing Census revealed that 13.6% of the popu-lation is aged between 0-4 years. Challengesremain access to basic facilities such as healthcare and education for both women and chil-dren, which ties in with other policies on educa-tion and poverty alleviation.

INFRASTRUCTURE

According to the 2012 Global Competitive Report(GCR), published by the World Economic Forum“inadequate supply of physical infrastructureranked as Ghana’s 5th most important weakness,placing the country behind the best performingcountries in Africa in terms of quality of infra-structure”. Government in recognition of theinfrastructure challenges has identified infra-structure expansion as a key national prioritywhich needs to be addressed to achieve a morelasting and stable growth. In line with the themeof “Re-aligning the Budget to meet key NationalPriorities”, the 2014 Budget has introducedmeasures to drive the infrastructure sector.

The 2014 budget allocates GH¢ 1.5 billion to in-frastructure. The main areas of infrastructureexpansion in the 2014 budget are Water Re-sources, Works and Housing, Transport, Roadsand Highways and Communications. Govern-ment intends to pursue Public Private Partner-ships to fund some of the infrastructure projects.

Policy Announcements/InitiativesWater

In the 2014 budget, programs to be implementedfor the supply of water include the following:

Developing of projects targeted to expandingand rehabilitating of water treatment plants,transmission pipelines, expansion of watersupply systems and intake facilities;

Improving access to water and sanitation for600,000 people in 66 districts in selectedregions;

Developing protocols between Ghana andCote d‘Ivoire for the management of the Ta-no and Bia river basins; and

Developing a rain water harvesting strategyas a supplement to water service delivery.

Ghana continues to suffer a significant deficitin the supply of potable water to both urbanand rural communities. According to the multi-donor Africa MDG assessment, access to im-proved water sources is 56%. It is estimatedthat an amount of US$237Million is required incapital investment to meet the MDG target of77% by 2015. (AMCOW Country Status Report)

The 2014 budget allocates GH¢ 531Million forboth water and sanitation. It is worth notingthat 81% of this allocation (GH¢ 435Million) isexpected to be funded by Development Partners(DPs). Given that inflows from DPs have de-creased in recent times, the risk to achievingthis budgeted target is high.

One of the laudable initiatives related to watersupply in the 2013 budget was the developmentof a Rainwater Harvesting Strategy. The 2014budget is however silent on the achievement ofthis objective. Given the current challenges withwater supply, we urge Government to continueto develop non-traditional sources of water tosupplement the current water supply.

Housing

The budget focuses on reducing the housing

deficit across the country and this would be

achieved by pursuing the following initiatives:

Creation of enabling environment for pri-vate sector participation to deliver afforda-ble housing units;

Improvement of mortgage affordability inthe country;

Facilitating the completion of the varioushousing projects;

Routine maintenance of the lower and up-per sections of the Korle Lagoon to bringlife into the ecosystem; and

The housing deficit in Ghana is estimated at1.6million. The current annual production ca-pacity is 400,000 units against a requirementof 100,000 units. (Business Ghana Report - 17July 2013). In the 2013 budget statement, Gov-ernment acknowledged that the development ofcommercial properties had become more at-tractive to investors to the detriment of residen-tial properties. In an attempt to encourage thedevelopment of residential properties, the 2014budget has increased the withholding tax oncommercial properties by 3% from 8% to 15%.To achieve the objective of increasing privatesector participation however, other factorssuch as land acquisition and counter-part fund-ing should be streamlined.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Sectoral Outlook 31

The viability of businessas well as access to socialamenities are constrainedby infrastructure deficits.Government continues topursue the PPP model toclose the infrastructuredeficit

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Sectoral Outlook

The other significant initiative in the housingsector is the need to improve mortgage afforda-bility. Even though the budget statement did notprovide additional information on how thiswould be achieved it is encouraging to note thatthis has been highlighted since mortgage afford-ability is a significant bottleneck in acquiringresidential property .

Roads and HighwaysRoad transport is by far the most importantmeans of moving freight in Ghana and is thesector that requires the greatest consideration.The proposed initiatives in the 2014 Budget aresupportive of increasing market access, specifi-cally in the rural areas, reduction of transportcosts and overall ease of transportation of goodsand people throughout the country. In order toachieve these objectives the following key initia-tives have been identified:

Developing the Public Private Partnership(PPP) model for the financing, constructionand management of the Accra-Tema Motor-way rehabilitation and expansion, Accra –Kumasi dualisation and the Western Corri-dor roads Phase 1 (Elubo-Sunyani) roadprojects;

Routine maintenance on 11,600km,16,000km feeder and 4,200km urban roadnetworks and periodic maintenance activi-ties on 892km trunk, 1500km feeder and1200km urban roads of the trunk road net-work and minor rehabilitation works of625km trunk, 1,425km feeder and 200kmurban roads;

Construction of selected trunk roads, ruralroads and urban roads;

Implementation of electronic tolling ofroads to improve revenue generation intothe Road Fund;

Reduction of overloaded vehicles weighed atPermanent Axle Weigh Bridge Stations to 15percent; and

Installation and maintenance of 60 trafficsignals and 21 road safety hazard sitesacross the country.

Over the years, the most significant imple-mentation challenge for infrastructure pro-jects has been the lack of resources. Govern-ment in recognition of this challenge is pursu-ing the use of the Public Private Partnership(PPP) model for financing infrastructure pro-jects particularly for road infrastructure. PPPas a model to financing has received sufficientattention in previous budget and policy an-nouncements. The question to ask is how suc-cessful PPP has been in financing infrastruc-ture projects.

The answer to this question is very importantas it appears that achieving the infrastruc-ture targets, as well as other priorities high-lighted in the 2014 Budget hinges on the suc-cess of these PPP models in particular. Alt-hough there is no sufficient data available yeton past PPP initiatives, it is acknowledgedthat a number of bottlenecks such as the longgestation and procurement process, availa-bility of specialist skills and counterpart fund-ing have hampered the success of PPP pro-jects. Efforts have been made to strengthenthe PPP unit to appropriately oversee PPPinvestments; however the areas of counter-part funding and procurement process couldstill hamper overall effectiveness.

TransportThe Sector objectives are to provide an inte-grated, efficient, cost-effective and sustainabletransport system responsive to the needs ofgrowth and poverty reduction. The emphasisof the 2014 Budget for the ministry includesthe following:

Expansion of the Kotoka InternationalAirport (KIA) terminal building project;

Construction works on the upgrade of theTamale Airport as an alternate to KIA;

Construction of 11 Fish Landing Sites atselected areas;

Development of the ports infrastructureat Akosombo, Buipe and Yapei;

Procurement of appropriate Vessels andequipment to improve transportationservices on the Volta Lake;

Continuation of rehabilitation and mod-ernisation of existing railway lines;

Development of the Eastern Railway Lineand the Boankra Inland Port using thePPP arrangement; and

Continuation with the implementation ofthe Road Safety Strategic Plan whichspecifies programmes and activities to beundertaken by road safety implementingagencies in the country.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Sectoral Outlook 32

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Sectoral Outlook

Government has made significant progress inmodernising its ports sector and is committed tomaking further improvements. Inspite of this,the ports are struggling to keep up with the de-mands of the expanding economy. The BoankraInland port and the Eastern Railway Lineshould be developed in order to ease the conges-tion at the Tema and Takoradi ports.

With growing incomes and more foreign compa-nies establishing themselves in Ghana, KotokaInternational Airport (KIA) requires significantinvestment to make it the regional leader.

The railways network currently handles lessthan 2% of freight and passenger traffic. In re-cent years, the Ghana Railway Company (GRC)has been increasingly unable to carry the fullvolume of mining traffic and a growing share ofminerals is being diverted to the road network.This is severely limiting development of the min-ing sector in the Western region and it willclearly not be able to support the development ofthe emerging oil and gas industry. Governmentshould make rail transport a priority for thetransportation of freight.

Communication

The Communications Sector objective is to devel-op a reliable and cost effective world class com-munications infrastructure and services accessi-ble by all citizens to enhance the promotion ofeconomic competitiveness in a knowledge-basedenvironment. The policy initiatives are:

Development and maintenance of an educa-tional portal for teachers, students, parentsand researchers, expecting that quality edu-cation will be delivered to the doorsteps of allparticularly those in underprivileged com-munities;

Implementation of the e-Parliamentary Sys-tem, under which members will be able tofile their queries to the Executive;

Continuation of the fibre optic infrastructureand the construction of a data centre and amanaged services component to ensure secu-rity of data on the entire network;

Upgrade and rollout of e-Government infra-structure;

Implementation and deployment of a well-functioning unique national biometric IDsystem, under the e-Transform project;

Refurbishment of the old PWD warehousesinto a Grade A facility as a fast track solu-tion to meet urgent real estates’ needs; and

Continuation of fibre Optic BroadbandBackbone infrastructure on the Easterncorridor to accelerate development andaccess to Information and CommunicationTechnology (ICT).

It is worth noting that a major objective of ICTinitiatives highlighted in the 2014 budget isaimed at facilitating communication to im-prove productivity and make public servicemore responsive to the citizenry.

ADMINISTRATIVE SECTOR

Government is continuing its commitment topublic and administrative reform, for effectivemanagement of its administration. A number ofkey strategic areas are undergoing or commenc-ing reform and modernisation.

Ministry of Finance and Economic Plan-ning

The implementation of GIFMIS will serveas a single source system for official budgetpreparation and management, cash andtreasury management, purchase orderingand payments, and financial control andreporting. In an effort to conform to inter-national standards in human resourcemanagement, Government is reviewingand remodelling past and outmoded proce-dures and processes.

A total of 12 sub-vented agencies whichhave the capacity to be on their own withregard to payment of their personal emolu-ments have been identified to be weaned-off Government subvention.

The Office of the Head of Civil Service or-ganised a sensitisation workshop for MDAsaimed at improving performance assess-ment reporting. The Office of the Head ofCivil Service will develop comprehensivehuman resource and training plans to aidthe professional development of Civil Serv-ants and operationalise the Annual Perfor-mance Reporting System.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Sectoral Outlook 33

GIFMIS to serve as a sin-gle source system for offi-cial budget preparationand management.

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Sectoral Outlook

These efforts are focused on increasing publicsector service delivery and reducing transac-tions costs. The weaning off of agencies as acost saving measure is laudable; howeverquality of service delivery should be main-tained.

Ghana Revenue Authority

Ghana Revenue Authority (GRA) will continueits tax modernisation programme to ensure therecovery of uncollected taxes. The measuresinclude:

Plugging of leakages and loopholes in taxadministration

Widen the tax net

Undertake direct tax audit

Intensify customs post clearance recon-ciliation,

Intensify VAT reconciliation

Improve payroll tax auditing

In the 2013 State of the Nation Address, it wasmentioned that GRA and other agencies havebeen tasked to help raise tax and non-tax reve-nues to levels that befit our emerging LowerMiddle-Income Country status. The moderni-sation effort is anticipated to contribute to anincrease in revenue, as Government strives toclose the budget deficit of 8.4% of GDP as atSeptember 2013.

Public Services Commission

Public Services Commission has developed acomprehensive Human Resource ManagementPolicy Framework and Manual as part of thenew Human Resource Management Systembeing developed. The Commission and theManagement Development and ProductivityInstitute will expedite action on the modalitiesfor the introduction of the Public Service-WidePerformance Management System.

The HRMS will increase efficiency in the ad-ministrative machinery by strengthening theoverall capacity of the public service for effec-tive service delivery. Weaning off of a numberof agencies should serve as a cost saving meas-ure, whilst maintaining their efficiency in de-livering services to the public.

Controller and Accountant GeneralDepartment (“CAGD”)

Fair Wages and Salaries Commission willcollaborate with the Controller and Ac-countant General Department (CAGD) andthe Head of Civil Service to carry out a na-tional payroll survey that will rationalisenominal roll with the pay roll of each pub-lic service institution. The objective is toclean the public service payroll and possi-bly reduce the Public Sector wage bill overtime.

CAGD is also upgrading the payroll system;this will contribute to efficiency and perfor-mance by minimizing human intervention,with the implementation of the ElectronicSalary Payment Voucher System (ESPV).

The migration of Public service institutionsonto the Single Spine Salary Structure hascome with a significant increase in Govern-ment’s wage bill. Ghana spends a total of60.9% of its national revenue to pay publicservants’ salaries. Short-to-medium termmeasures have to be taken to ensure the sus-tainability of this policy, and to rebalancespending, while ensuring quality of public ser-vice delivery.

PUBLIC SAFETY SECTOR

Ministry of Justice and Attorney-General’s Department

The Law Reform Commission produced threedraft reports for consideration. These are theCriminal Injuries Compensation Law, MarriageRegistration Law and the Law Reform Act. TheIntestate Succession Bill and Property Rights ofSpouses Bill are being reviewed by the Law Re-form Commission to correct the anomalies inthe current Regulations.

As part of the Legal education programme, theGeneral Legal Council will license 1,750 Law-yers and 300 law firms to aid proper regulationof private legal practice in Ghana. The GhanaSchool of Law will train 40 lawyers in special-ised Commonwealth Legislative Drafting to aidthe enactment of good laws.

Judicial Service

In line with Government‘s determination totransform the Justice delivery system, the Min-istry of Communications is assisting the JudicialService to develop an e-Justice System to im-prove on the effectiveness and efficiency of jus-tice delivery.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Sectoral Outlook 34

Upgrade of payroll sys-tem to enhance efficiencyand transparency

GRA to block loop holes intax administration andwiden tax net

Introduction of humanresource and performancemanagement systems toincrease efficiency andhuman resource manage-ment in the public sector.

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Activities towards the e-Justice System com-menced in 2011 and now has been scaled up toinclude the Ministry of Justice and Attorney Gen-eral‘s Department. The initiative will includeCriminal Justice Information integration; coreCourt Management System, access to relevantlegal software and institutional capacity building.

Under the Courts Administration Programme,the Judicial Service will continue the weekendCourts programme in Accra and also extend it tothe Volta and Ashanti Regions. It will introducethe Commercial Court concept in the CircuitCourts; as a result of which additional court auto-mation equipment and vehicles for the Superiorand Lower Court Judges will be acquired.

Initiatives to automate and to make more effi-cient and timely, access to justice are laudable.The e-Justice System would serve as a good plat-form to increase efficiency and to reduce the costof justice when it becomes fully operational.

Commission on Human Rights and Ad-ministrative Justice (CHRAJ)

The Commission completed the baseline surveyand drafted the National Human Rights ActionPlan to deal with the promotion and protection offundamental rights in a comprehensive, holisticand systematic manner.

The National Human Rights Action Plan is aninitiative which may clarify some of the misper-ceptions about the work of CHRAJ and alsoserve as a good basis to assess the performanceof the Commission. With last year’s elections, aswell as the continued investigation into corrup-tion cases, CHRAJ continues to play an im-portant role in building accountability andtransparency.

Ministry of Interior

In 2014, the National Commission on SmallArms will intensify public education andawareness on armed violence and the Na-tional Arms Marking Project, mobilisingblacksmiths into associations and will pur-sue the skills development and alternativelivelihood schemes. The Commission willcontinue to sensitise, collect and destroyconfiscated weapons from all regions.

The National Peace Council (NPC) will or-ganise training programmes for Regionaland Districts Peace Councils to operational-ise the NPC Act and also mediate in poten-tial conflicts as well as create awareness onnon-violent responses to conflicts.

The Ghana Police Service will intensify thevisibility project, as well as its day and nightpatrols on the highways, commercial andresidential suburbs of the major citiesacross the country. It will also expand theintelligence-led policing through the rewardto informant system.

The initiatives adopted by the Ministry of Inte-rior should lead to an increased awareness ofthe citizenry of law and order in Ghana as wellas to reduced disasters; initiatives on intelli-gence-led policing should make our systemsmore sophisticated and proactive to avert theoccurrence of terrorist activities and mitigatearmed robbery attacks.

Ministry of Defence

The Ghana Navy will undertake the dockingand maintenance of Naval platforms to ena-ble it effectively protect the Nation‘s territo-rial waters and oil facilities.

In 2014, the Ghana Armed Forces (GAF)will commence construction works on the500 bed capacity Military Hospital in Ku-masi.

The expansion of both oil and fishing activitiesin Ghana’s waters calls for an increased level ofvigilance and presence of the navy as the Gulfof Guinea becomes increasingly exposed to pi-racy.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Sectoral Outlook 35

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Appendix

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Appendix 1 36

Millions of Ghana cedis

GOVERNMENT REVENUE

2013 2013 2013 2013 2014 Var Var

BudgetProg

Q1-Q3Prov

Q1-Q3Proj. Out-

turn Budget

(A) (B) (C ) (D) (E ) F=(E-A) G=(D-A)

TAX REVENUE 17,091 12,122 10,005 15,130 20,351 3,260 -1,961

TAXES ON INCOME & PROPERTY 7,825 5,539 4,473 6,834 9,238 1,413 -991

Personal 2,908 2,070 1,736 2,506 3,462 554 -402

Self employed 232 175 127 191 250 18 -40

Companies 3,433 2,352 1,581 2,712 3,662 229 -721

Company taxes on oil 108 78 332 332 412 304 225

Others 1,144 864 697 1,092 1,453 308 -52

TAXES ON DOMESTIC GOODS ANDSERVICES 5,576 4,003 3,403 4,991 7,062 1,486 -585

Excises 904 661 509 859 1,206 302 -44

Excise Duty 246 174 133 256 334 88 10

Petroleum tax 658 487 376 604 872 214 -54

VAT 3,768 2,686 2,291 3,348 4,875 1,107 -420

Domestic 1,483 1,059 937 1,278 1,894 411 -205

External 2,285 1,626 1,354 2,070 2,981 696 -215

National Health Insurance Levy (NHIL) 754 544 480 616 765 12 -137

Customs Collection 457 325 292 414 523 66 -43

Domestic Collection 297 219 187 202 242 -55 -94

Communication Service Tax 151 112 123 167 216 65 16

TAXES ON INTERNATIONAL TRADE 3,690 2,581 2,128 3,305 4,051 361 -384

Imports 2,594 1,827 1,561 2,357 3,087 493 -237

Import duty 2,594 1,827 1,561 2,357 3,087 493 -237

Exports 25 - - 100 100 75 75

Cocoa 25 - - 100 100 75 75

Import Exemptions 1,071 754 567 848 864 -207 -223

SOCIAL CONTRIBUTIONS 164 123 106 171 161 -3 7

SSNIT Contribution to NHIL 164 123 106 171 161 -3 7

NON-TAX REVENUE 4,020 3,041 3,223 4,242 4,343 323 222

Retention 2,864 2,256 1,867 2,493 2,806 -58 -371

Lodgement 1,156 785 1,356 1,749 1,537 381 593

DOMESTIC REVENUE 21,275 15,286 13,334 19,542 24,855 3,580 -1,732

GRANTS 1,258 1,056 534 1,258 1,131 -128 0

Project grants 455 339 282 455 805 351 0

Programme grants 457 457 45 457 325 -131 0

HIPC Assistance (multilaterals) 173 130 135 173 - -173 0

Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative(MDRI) 174 130 72 174 - -174 0

TOTAL REVENUE & GRANTS 22,533 16,342 13,868 20,801 25,986 3,453 -1,732

Appendix 1 – Government revenue projections, outturns and variances for 2013 and 2014

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Appendix

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Appendix 2 37

Millions of Ghana cedis

2013 2013 2013 2013 2014 Var Var

BudgetProg

Q1-Q3Prov

Q1-Q3Proj.

Outturn Budget

GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE (A) (B) (C ) (D) (E ) F=(E-A) G=(D-A)

Compensation of Employees 9,004 6,733 6,602 9,721 10,597 1593 717

Wages & Salaries 7,465 5,577 5,884 8,539 8,968 1502 1073

Social Contributions 1,539 1,156 718 1,182 1,629 91 -357

Use of Goods and Services 1,742 1,080 657 1,045 1,530 -213 -697

o/w ABFA from Oil (20% of ABFA) 105 75 40 105 - -105 0

Interest Payments 3,194 2,355 3,285 4,444 6,179 2984 1249

Domestic 2,574 1,932 2,843 3,791 5,203 2629 1217

External (Due) 620 423 442 652 976 356 32

Subsidies 1,022 999 302 1,267 50 -972 245

Subsidies to Utility Companies 795 771 282 1,147 - -795 352

Subsidies on Petroleum products 228 228 20 120 50 -178 -108

Grants to Other Government Units 6,209 4,707 3,181 4,297 6,498 289 -1912

National Health Fund (NHF) 918 667 488 597 927 9 -321

Education Trust Fund 691 493 66 166 739 48 -525

Road Fund 207 155 153 183 227 20 -24

Petroleum Related Funds 10 7 3 8 6 -4 -2

Dist. Ass. Common Fund 1,149 812 312 424 1,370 220 -726

Retention of Internally-generated 2,864 2,256 1,867 2,493 2,806 -58 -371

Transfer to GNPC from Oil Revenue 369 316 292 426 424 54 57

Social Benefits 39 29 1 39 49 10 0

Lifeline consumers of electricity 39 29 1 39 49 10 0

Other Expenditure 1,798 1,339 1,249 1,575 864 -933 -223

Reserve Expenditure Vote 727 585 682 727 - -727 0

Tax Expenditure (Exemptions) 1,071 754 567 848 864 -207 -223

Capital Expenditure 5,155 3,675 3,467 4,544 5,967 812 -611

Domestic financed 1,305 945 1,139 1,305 1,442 137 0

o/w ABFA from Oil 422 322 105 316 900 478 -106

Foreign financed 3,851 2,730 2,327 3,240 4,526 675 -611

TOTAL EXP. & NET LENDING 28,163 20,917 18,743 26,931 31,734 3570 -1232

APPROPRIATION 32,066 23,876 22,147 31,403 36,209 4144 -662

Total Expenditure 28,163 20,917 18,743 26,931 31,734 3570 -1232

Road Arrears 250 250 205 250 232 -18 0

Non-Road Arrears 1,820 1,323 1,798 1,977 2,584 764 157

Tax Refunds 311 220 135 227 407 96 -84

Amortisation 1,295 953 670 1,395 1,184 -112 100

Petroleum Funds and Conting. Fund 226 213 595 623 69 -157 397

Appendix 2– Government revenue projections, outturns and variances for 2013 and 2014

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Glossary

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Glossary 38

ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS

ABFA Annual Budget Funding AmountAESOP Annual Education Sector Operational PlanAIDS Acquired Immune Deficiency SyndromeAMA Accra Metropolitan AssemblyAML Anti-Money launderingAMSECs Agricultural Mechanization Services Enterprise CentresARB Association of Rural BanksART Anti-Retroviral TreatmentAU African UnionBACs Business Advisory CentresBECE Basic Education Certificate ExaminationBNI Bureau of National InvestigationsBOG Bank of Ghanabopd barrels of oil per dayBPOs Business Process OutsourcingBR Benchmark RevenueCAPI Carried and Participating InterestCBT Computer based theoryCDB China Development BankCEDECOM Central Regional Development CommissionCET Common external TariffCFR Case fatality rateCHPS Community Health Planning and servicesCOCOBOD Ghana Cocoa BoardCODAPEC Cocoa Disease and Pest ControlCPI Consumer Price IndexCS-DRMS Commonwealth Secretariat Debt Recording and Management SystemCSIR Council for Scientific and Industrial ResearchCSM Cerebrospinal MeningitisCSOs Civil Society OrganisationsCST Communication Service TaxCT Computerized TomographyDACF District Assemblies Common FundDDF District Development FundDPCU District Planning Coordinating UnitDSA Debt Sustainability AnalysisDSRA Debt Service Reserve AccountDTRD Domestic Tax Revenue DivisionDV Domestic ViolenceDVLA Driver and Vehicle Licensing AuthorityDWAP District Wide Assistance ProjectECCD Early Childhood Care and DevelopmentECG Electricity Company of GhanaECOWAS Economic Community of West African StatesEDAIF Export Development and Agricultural Investment FundEFC Equity Financing CostEFT Electronic Funds TransferEIA Environmental Impact AssessmentEPA Environmental Protection AgencyEPI Expanded Programme of Immunizatione-PV Electronic Payment VoucherETCs Entity Tender CommitteesETLS ECOWAS Trade Liberalisation SchemeEU European UnionFAA Financial Administration Act

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Glossary

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Glossary 39

FAR Financial Administration RegulationsFDB Food and Drugs BoardFDI Foreign Direct InvestmentFIFA Federation of International Football AssociationFINSSP Financial Sector Strategic PlanFOAT Functional Organisational Assessment ToolFOB Free-On-BoardGAEC Ghana Atomic Energy CommissionGATA Ghana Aviation Training AcademyGCMS Ghana Customs Management SystemGCTA Ghana Cooperative Transport AssociationGDP Gross Domestic ProductG-DPG Government-Development Partner GroupGEDAP Ghana Energy Development and Access ProjectGEPA Ghana Export Promotion AuthorityGER Gross Enrolment RatiosGES Ghana Education ServiceGFZB Ghana Free Zones Board Theme: ―Rising to the Challenge: Re-aligning

the Budget to meet Key National Priorities‘‘.GGF Ghana Green FundGHF Ghana Heritage FundGHuMIS Ghana Human Resources Management Information SystemGIF Gamma Irradiation FacilityGIFMIS Ghana Integrated Financial Management and Information SystemGIPC Ghana Investment Promotion CentreGLR Ghana Law ReportsGNPC Ghana National Petroleum CompanyGOG Government of GhanaGOTA Global Open Trunking ArchitectureGPFs Ghana Petroleum FundsGPHA Ghana Ports and Harbours AuthorityGPI Gender Parity IndexGPRTU Ghana Private Road Transport UnionGRA Ghana Revenue AuthorityGRATIS Ghana Regional Appropriate Technology Industrial ServiceGRSCDP Gender Responsive Skills and Community Development ProjectGSF Ghana Stabilization FundGSGDA Ghana Shared Growth and Development AgendaGSS Ghana Statistical ServiceGYEEDA Ghana Youth Employment and Entrepreneurial Development AgencyH.E His Excellencyha HectareHIV Human Immunodeficiency VirusHR Human ResourceHT Human TraffickingHRMIS Human Resource Management Information SystemHT Human TraffickingIAA Internal Audit AgencyIAUs Internal Audit UnitsIBES Integrated Business Establishment SurveyICCES Integrated Community Centres For Employable SkillsICT Information Communication TechnologyID IdentityIE/C Information, Education and CommunicationIEC International Electro technical CommissionIGF Internally Generated FundiIMR Institutional Infant Mortality RatesILGS Institute of Local Government StudiesIMF International Monetary FundIPPD Integrated Personnel Payroll DatabaseJHS Junior High School

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Glossary

JVS Joint Venture CompaniesKATH Komfo Anokye Teaching HospitalKBTH Korle Bu Teaching HospitalKG KindergartenKIA Kotoka International AirportKTPP Kpone Thermal Power PlantL. I. Legislative InstrumentLAP Land Administration ProjectLDCs Least Developed CountriesLEAP Livelihood Empowerment Against PovertyLED Local Economic DevelopmentLESDEP Local Enterprises and Skills Development ProgrammeLGSS Local Government Service SecretariatLNG Liquefied Natural GasLPG Liquefied Petroleum GasLTE Long Term EvolutionM&E Monitoring and EvaluationM2+ Broad Money SupplyMAF MDG 5 accelerated frameworkMARPs Most at Risk PopulationsMASLOC Micro-Finance and Small Loans CentreMASTESS Mathematics, Science and Technology Scholarship SchemeMDAs Ministries, Departments and AgenciesMDBS Multi-Donor Budget SupportMDGs Millennium Development GoalsMDPI Management Development and Productivity InstituteMESTI Ministry of Environment, Science, Technology and InnovationMGD Million Gallons a DayMICS Multiple Indicators Cluster SurveyMMDAs Metropolitan, Municipal and District AssembliesMMR Maternal Mortality RatioMoF Ministry of FinanceMoFA Ministry of Food and AgricultureIEC International Electro technical CommissionIGF Internally Generated FundiIMR Institutional Infant Mortality RatesILGS Institute of Local Government StudiesIMF International Monetary FundIPPD Integrated Personnel Payroll DatabaseISO International Organization for StandardizationITNs Insecticide Treated NetsITU‘s International Telecommunications UnionsJHS Junior High SchoolJVCs Joint Venture CompaniesMoF Ministry of FinanceMoFA Ministry of Food and AgricultureMRI Magnetic Resonance ImagingMSE Micro and Small EnterpriseMSME Micro, Small and Medium Enterprisemt Metric tonnesMTDS Medium Term Debt StrategyMTEF Medium Term Expenditure FrameworkMTO Medium Taxpayer officesMTTD Motor Transport and Traffic DivisionMVA Megavolt ampereMW MegawattsNAFTI National Film and Television InstituteNAPTEX National Board for Professional and Technician ExaminationsNBSSI National Board for Small Scale IndustriesNCA National Communication Authority

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Glossary

NDA Net Domestic AssetsNDF Net Domestic FinancingNDPC National Development Planning CommissionNEDCo Northern Electricity Distribution CompanyNER Net Enrolment RatiosNFA Net Foreign AssetsNGOs Non-governmental OrganisationNHIL National Health Insurance LevyNIA National Identification AuthorityNMTDPF National Medium-Term Development Policy FrameworkNOC National Oil CompanyNPC National Peace CouncilNSEZ Northern Sector Ecological ZoneNTHC National Trust Holding CompanyNVTI National Vocational Training InstituteOAG Office of the Administrator-GeneralODA Official Development AssistanceOIC Opportunities Industrialisation CentreOPD Out Patient DepartmentP2P Procure to PayPANAFEST Pan African FestivalPBB Programme-based BudgetingPBWGs Programme Budget Working GroupsPDF Project Development FacilityPFM Public Financial ManagementPIMS Public Investment Management SystemPIP Public Investment ProgrammePJCC Permanent Joint Commissions for CooperationPM10 Particulate Matter 10PPA Public Procurement AuthorityPPBMEs Policy, Planning, Budgeting, Monitoring and Evaluation UnitsPPME Public Procurement Model of ExcellencePPP public private partnershipPRMA Petroleum Revenue Management ActPROTOA Progressive Transport Owners AssociationPV PhotovoltaicPWD Public Works DepartmentR&D Research and DevelopmentRCCs Regional Coordinating CouncilsRECOMEPs Regional Committees on MSE PromotionREP Rural Enterprises ProgrammeRTFs Rural Technology FacilitiesTRBs Tender Review BoardsTRIPS Total Revenue Integrated Processing SystemTSA Treasury Single AccountTVET Technical and Vocational Education and TrainingUK United KingdomUN United NationsUNFPA United Nations Population FundUNWTO United Nations World Tourism OrganizationUS United StatesVAT Value Added TaxVRA Volta River AuthorityWAEC West Africa Examination CouncilWAMI West Africa Monetary InstituteWAMZ West Africa Monetary ZoneWASSCE West Africa Senior Secondary Certificate ExaminationWEO World Economic OutlookWHO World Health organizationWIMAX World Wide Interoperability Microwave Access

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Glossary 41

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Contact us

COUNTRY SENIOR PARTNER

Felix Addo Partner (Direct Line: 761614) – [email protected]

ASSURANCE

Michael Asiedu-Antwi Partner (Direct Line: 761533) – [email protected] Amui Partner (Direct Line: 761449) – oseini.x.amui @gh.pwc.comMaxwell Darkwah Partner (Direct Line: 761471) – [email protected] Frimpong Partner (Direct Line: 761611)– [email protected] Brocke Director – [email protected] Karanja Director – [email protected] Gomado Director – [email protected] Arhin Director – [email protected] Turkson Senior Manager – [email protected] Aboagye Senior Manager – [email protected] Attatsitsey Senior Manager – [email protected] Ansong Senior Manager – [email protected] Hodasi Senior Manager–[email protected] Quaye Senior Manager–[email protected]

ADVISORY

Wyczynsky (Vish) Ashiagbor Partner (Direct Line: 761465) – [email protected] Nipah Director – [email protected] Kallon Director – [email protected] A Akufo Senior Manager – [email protected] Nelson Senior Manager – [email protected] Sanusi Senior Manager – [email protected] Arthur Senior Manager – [email protected] Atiase Dzogbenuku Senior Manager – [email protected] Aikens Senior Manager – [email protected] Sondo Senior Manager –[email protected] King Senior Manager –[email protected]

TAX

Darcy White Partner (Direct Line: 761576) – [email protected] Kwatia Partner (Direct Line: 761459) – [email protected] Adiasani Director – [email protected] Bedwei Director – [email protected] Pwadura Director – [email protected] Klobodu Senior Manager – [email protected] Ayi-Owoo Senior Manager –[email protected] Owusu-Ewli Senior Manager –[email protected] Gyan-Quansah Senor Manager –[email protected]

OPERATIONS

Nelson Opoku Director– [email protected] Aryee-Quaynor Director– [email protected] Nti-Appiah Senior Manager – [email protected] Coleman Senior Manager – [email protected] Norkor Nelson Senior Manager – [email protected] Kaba Senior Manager – [email protected] Kpodo Manager – [email protected]

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Contact us 42

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OFFICE

Accra Office : No.12 Airport City

Una Home 3rd Floor

PMB CT 42, Cantonments

Accra, Ghana

Tel: + 233 (0) 302 761500

Fax :+233 (0) 302 761544

Takoradi Office: Plot No.51, Airport Ridge

P. O. Box TD 274

Takoradi, Ghana

Tel: + 233 (0) 3120 28416

Fax: +233 (0) 3120 28410

Sierra Leone Office: No. 2 MIK Drive

Off Barrack Road, Murray Town

Freetown

Sierra Leone

Tel: +233 30 2761500

Fax: +233 30 2761544

Liberia Office: Tel: +231 886 963 951

For additional copies of this publication please contact Paula Adum-Yeboah- [email protected]

No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photo-copying, recording, scanning or otherwise, except with prior express written permission of PricewaterhouseCoopers Ghana.

© 2013 PricewaterhouseCoopers (Ghana) Ltd. All rights reserved. In this document, “PwC” refers to PricewaterhouseCoopers (Ghana) Ltd, which is amember firm of PricewaterhouseCoopers International Limited, each of which is a separate legal entity.

PwC Ghana 2014 Ghana Budget Highlights: Contact us 43