2014 second quarter webcast v final
DESCRIPTION
2014 second quarter webcast v finalTRANSCRIPT
2014 Second Quarter
Results WebcastJuly 31, 2014
Speaker
2
Randall Oliphant
Executive Chairman
Cautionary statements
3
All monetary amounts in U.S. dollars unless otherwise stated
Total cash costs shown net of by-product sales unless otherwise stated
CAUTIONARY NOTE REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTSCertain information contained in this presentation, including any information relating to New Gold’s future financial or operating performance are “forward looking”. All statements in this presentation,other than statements of historical fact, which address events or developments that New Gold expects to occur are “forward-looking statements”. Forward-looking statements are statements that arenot historical facts and are generally, but not always, identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “plans”, “expects”, “is expected”, “budget”, “scheduled”, “targeted”, “estimates”,“forecasts”, “intends”, “anticipates”, “projects”, “potential”, “believes” or variations of such words and phrases or statements that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “should”,“might” or “will be taken”, “occur” or “be achieved” or the negative connotation of such terms. Forward-looking statements in this presentation include, among others, statements with respect to:guidance for production, cash costs and all-in sustaining costs; the results of the Rainy River Feasibility Study, including the expected production, costs, grades, planned activities for each of thecompany’s projects; and targeted throughput increase at New Afton, targeted timing for commissioning and full production related to the New Afton mill expansion, Rainy River and sequencing ofBlackwater.
All forward-looking statements in this presentation are based on the opinions and estimates of management as of the date such statements are made and are subject to important risk factors anduncertainties, many of which are beyond New Gold’s ability to control or predict. Certain material assumptions regarding our forward-looking statements are discussed in this presentation, NewGold’s most recent MD&A, its Annual Information Form and its Technical Reports filed at www.sedar.com. In addition to, and subject to, such assumptions discussed in more detail elsewhere, theforward-looking statements in this presentation are also subject to the following assumptions: (1) there being no signification disruptions affecting New Gold’s operations; (2) political and legaldevelopments in jurisdictions where New Gold operates, or may in the future operate, being consistent with New Gold’s current expectations; (3) the accuracy of New Gold’s current mineral reserveand resource estimates; (4) the exchange rate between the Canadian dollar, Australian dollar, Mexican Peso and U.S. dollar being approximately consistent with current levels; (5) prices for diesel,natural gas, fuel oil, electricity and other key supplies being approximately consistent with current levels; (6) labour and material costs increasing on a basis consistent with New Gold’s currentexpectations; (7) permitting and arrangements with First Nations and other Aboriginal groups in respect of Rainy River and Blackwater being consistent with New Gold’s current expectations; (8) allenvironmental approvals (including the environmental assessment process for the Blackwater and Rainy River projects), required permits, licenses and authorizations being obtained from therelevant governments and other relevant stakeholders within the expected timelines; and (9) the results of the feasibility studies for the Rainy River and Blackwater projects being realized.
Forward-looking statements are necessarily based on estimates and assumptions that are inherently subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actualresults, level of activity, performance or achievements to be materially different from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such factors include, without limitation:significant capital requirements; price volatility in the spot and forward markets for commodities; fluctuations in the international currency markets and in the rates of exchange of the currencies ofCanada, the United States, Australia, Mexico and Chile; discrepancies between actual and estimated production, between actual and estimated reserves and resources and between actual andestimated metallurgical recoveries; changes in national and local government legislation in Canada, the United States, Australia, Mexico and Chile or any other country in which New Gold currentlyor may in the future carry on business; taxation; controls, regulations and political or economic developments in the countries in which New Gold does or may carry on business; the speculativenature of mineral exploration and development, including the risks of obtaining and maintaining the validity and enforceability of the necessary licenses and permits and complying with thepermitting requirements of each jurisdiction in which New Gold operates, including, but not limited to: in Canada, obtaining the necessary permits for the Blackwater and Rainy River projects; inMexico, where Cerro San Pedro has a history of ongoing legal challenges related to our environmental authorization (EIS); and in Chile, certain activities by El Morro have been delayed due tolitigation relating to its environmental permit; the lack of certainty with respect to foreign legal systems, which may not be immune from the influence of political pressure, corruption or other factorsthat are inconsistent with the rule of law; the uncertainties inherent to current and future legal challenges New Gold is or may become a party to; diminishing quantities or grades of reserves andresources; competition; loss of key employees; additional funding requirements; rising costs of labour, supplies, fuel and equipment; actual results of current exploration or reclamation activities;uncertainties inherent to mining economic studies including the feasibility studies for Rainy River and Blackwater; the uncertainty with respect to prevailing market conditions necessary for a positivedevelopment decision at Blackwater; changes in project parameters as plans continue to be refined; accidents; labour disputes; defective title to mineral claims or property or contests over claims tomineral properties; unexpected delays and costs inherent to consulting and accommodating rights of First Nations and other Aboriginal groups; uncertainties with respect to obtaining all necessarysurface and other land use rights or tenure for Rainy River; risks, uncertainties and unanticipated delays associated with obtaining and maintaining necessary licenses, permits and authorizationsand complying with permitting requirements, including those associated with the environmental assessment processes for Blackwater and Rainy River. In addition, there are risks and hazardsassociated with the business of mineral exploration, development and mining, including environmental events and hazards, industrial accidents, unusual or unexpected formations, pressures, cave-ins, flooding and gold bullion losses (and the risk of inadequate insurance or inability to obtain insurance to cover these risks) as well as “Risk Factors” included in New Gold’s disclosure documentsfiled on and available at www.sedar.com.
Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance, and actual results and future events could materially differ from those anticipated in such statements. All of the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are qualified by these cautionary statements. New Gold expressly disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-lookingstatements whether as a result of new information, events or otherwise, except in accordance with applicable securities laws.
The footnotes and endnotes to this presentation contain important information. The endnotes are found at the end of the presentation.
2014 second quarter highlights
4
89,460oz $745per oz
All-in sustaining costs(1)
Gold production Costs
$251per oz
Total cash costs(2)
Financial
Cash and Equivalents New Afton Rainy River
Net cash generated from
operations
$414million
Cash balance at June 30, 2014
1. Refer to Endnote on all-in sustaining costs under the heading “Non-GAAP Measures”.
2. Refer to Endnote on total cash costs under the heading “Non-GAAP Measures”.
3. Mineral Resources are inclusive of Reserves. For a detailed breakdown of Mineral Resources and Reserves by category, refer to New Gold’s Annual Information Form for the financial year ended December 31, 2013 dated March 28, 2014. Refer to
Endnotes under the heading “Cautionary note to U.S. readers concerning estimates of Mineral Reserves and Mineral Resources” and “Techn ical Information”. New Afton C-zone resource per news release dated July 7, 2014.
+33%versus Q2’13
$59 /Million
$0.12Per share
Mill expansion remains on
schedule for mid-2015
+24%C-zone gold M&I resource(3)
C$180 million of capital
commitments made
Engineering, permitting
and exploration all
advanced
New Afton 26 (1,262) (678) 54 (1,273) (671)
Mesquite 18 993 1,413 44 928 1,191
Peak Mines 28 627 928 49 681 1,000
Cerro San Pedro 17 1,169 1,322 34 1,051 1,193
89 251 745 181 253 707
Margin per ounce(3) 1,053 559 1,053 599
New Afton co-product costs(1)
Gold ($/oz) 442 643 427 636
Copper ($/lb) 1.02 1.48 0.97 1.45
Mine-by-mine operating results
5
1. Refer to Endnote on total cash costs under the heading “Non-GAAP Measures”.
2. Refer to Endnote on all-in sustaining costs under the heading “Non-GAAP Measures”.
3. Based on second quarter average realized gold price of $1,304 per ounce and first half 2014 average realized gold price of $1,306 per ounce.
2014 SECOND QUARTER
Gold production
(000s ounces)
Cash costs(1)
($/oz)
All-in Sustaining
costs(2) ($/oz)
2014 YEAR-TO-DATE
Gold production
(000s ounces)
Cash costs(1)
($/oz)
All-in Sustaining
costs(2) ($/oz)
Co-product
cash costs(1)
Co-product all-in
sustaining costs(2)
NEW AFTON
2014 SECOND QUARTER
Co-product
cash costs(1)
Co-product all-in
sustaining costs(2)
NEW AFTON
2014 YEAR-TO-DATE
NEW GOLD REITERATES 2014 PRODUCTION AND COST GUIDANCE
Consolidated financial summary
6
2013 SECOND QUARTER2014 SECOND QUARTER
Revenues ($ million) $178 $184
Operating margin(1) ($ million) 83 78
Adjusted net earnings(2) ($ million) 8 4
Adjusted net earnings per share(2) ($/share) 0.02 0.01
Net earnings ($ million) 16 15
Net earnings per share ($/share) 0.03 0.03
Adjusted net cash generated from operations(3) ($ million) 59 43
Net cash generated from operations ($ million) 59 (23)
1. Refer to Endnote on operating margin under the heading “Non-GAAP Measures”.
2. Refer to Endnote on adjusted net earnings under the heading “Non-GAAP Measures”.
3. Refer to Endnote on adjusted net cash generated from operations under the heading “Non-GAAP Measures”.
7
Projects update
• Completed over 50% of detailed engineering
• Completed early construction works (relocation of water pipelines)
• Commenced excavation of tertiary grinding building
• Project remains on-time for mid-2015 commissioning and on-budget ($45 million)
• Committed to C$180 million of capital purchases
• Finalized process flow sheets and building layouts
• Anticipate final Environmental Assessment review reports during third quarter
2014
• Additional underground resource potential both west of planned open pit and
southeast of Intrepid deposit
• Filed draft Environmental Assessment report in early July
• Initiated field exploration program with drill targets confirmed in six priority areas
New Afton Mill Expansion
Rainy River
Blackwater
8
Rainy River – Project overview
1. Mineral Resources are inclusive of Reserves. For a detailed breakdown of Mineral Resources and Reserves by category, refer to New Gold’s Annual Information Form for the financial year ended December 31, 2013 dated March 28, 2014. Refer to
Endnotes under the heading “Cautionary note to U.S. readers concerning estimates of Mineral Reserves and Mineral Resources” and “Techn ical Information”.
2. Refer to Endnote on total cash costs under the heading “Non-GAAP Measures”.
3. Refer to Endnote on all-in sustaining costs under the heading “Non-GAAP Measures”.
1.44 g/t ~325 Koz $613/oz $736/oz
FIRST NINE YEARS – GRADE, PRODUCTION, COSTS
JURISDICTION MANAGEABLE CAPITAL RESOURCE SCALE AND POTENTIAL
Ontario, Canada
17km tie-in to power/
close to regional
infrastructure
• $885 million at $0.95
US$/C$ exchange rate
• ~70% of capital
denominated in Canadian
dollars
Reserves(1) +3.8 Moz
M&I Resources(1) +6.2 Moz
Land Package +169 km2
Average
Head Grade
Average Annual
Production
Average Total
Cash Costs(2)
Average All-In
Sustaining Costs(3)
9
Organic pipeline
• Mesquite return to run rate (2015+)
• New Afton expansion (mid-2015)
• Rainy River development (2015/2016)
• CSP to residual leaching (2016)
Existing low cost production base to be further enhanced by our
lower cost development projects(1)
• Sequence Blackwater development
• El Morro advanced
2014(2) 2017(3) Future Potential(4)
GO
LD
PR
OD
UC
TIO
N
1. Refer to Endnote on all-in sustaining costs under the heading “Non-GAAP Measures”. Rainy River and Blackwater life-of-mine all-in sustaining costs are estimated to be $736/oz and $685/oz, respectively, based on their respective Feasibility Studies.
2. Based on mid-point of 2014 guidance.
3. Based on expected annual production from current operations according to their respective mine plans, including positive production impact of New Afton’s mill expansion targeted for mid-2015, Mesquite mine plan moving into grades more in line with
reserve grade, which is partially offset by Cerro San Pedro ceasing active mining and moving into residual leaching, and includes the first year of full production from Rainy River. Assumes on-time completion of Rainy River.
4. Based on ~325Koz annual production from Rainy River, ~485Koz annual production from Blackwater and ~90Koz annual production from El Morro as outlined in the Feasibility Studies for these projects, and production contribution from New Afton,
Mesquite and the Peak Mines according to their respective mine plans. Assumes the timely development of Blackwater and El Morro.
10
Cash flow growth and value
$79
$182$230 $236 $249
$297
~$400 ~$400
~$600
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E
1. For 2013, figure shown is Adjusted net cash generated from operations. Net cash generated from operations in the 2013 period included certain non-recurring cash flows. Net cash generated from operations in 2013 was $172 million.
2. 2014E based on Bloomberg consensus CFPS of $0.59 multiplied by 504 million basic shares outstanding.
3. 2015 to 2017 estimates based on the following price and exchange rate assumptions (which were also used for 2014 guidance): Gold - $1,300/oz, Silver - $22.00/oz, Copper - $3.25/lb, USD/CDN - $0.90, USD/AUD - $0.88. 2015 estimated cash flow
assumes: successful mill expansion to 14,000 tonnes per day at New Afton in mid-2015, Mesquite moving into mining of higher grade areas of the open pit in 2015 in accordance with the current mine plan, Peak’s copper production increasing from 2014
levels in accordance with the current mine plan, and Cerro San Pedro mining higher grade material in its final year of active mining in accordance with the current mine plan. 2016 estimated cash flow assumes: New Afton processing for a full year at
14,000 tonnes per day, Mesquite remaining in higher grade areas in accordance with the current mine plan, Peak further increasing its copper production in accordance with the current mine plan, and Cerro San Pedro moving into its first year of residual
leaching in accordance with the current mine plan. 2017 estimated cash flow assumes: Rainy River commercial production is achieved on schedule and Rainy River has its first full year of production in 2017 with a production level consistent with the
project’s feasibility study, New Afton processing 14,000 tonnes per day, Mesquite remaining in higher grade areas in accordance with the current mine plan, Peak further increasing its copper production in accordance with the current mine plan, and
Cerro San Pedro continuing its residual leaching in accordance with the current mine plan. Assumes no non-recurring cash flows in 2014, 2015, 2016 and 2017.
4. Based on the average of the estimates by research analysts for the net asset values of the Blackwater and El Morro assets.
(2)
NET CASH FROM OPERATIONS ($ MILLIONS)
Enterprise Value $3.6 billion
Consensus Blackwater and El Morro Value(4) $0.7 billion
Enterprise Value (excluding Blackwater and El Morro) $2.9 billion
Trading at ~4.8x 2017E cash flow at 2014 guidance prices
(3)(3) (3)(1)
New Gold investment thesis
11
A history of value creation
Peer-leading growth pipeline
Amonglowest-cost
producers with established track
record
Invested and experienced
teamPortfolio of assets
in top-ratedjurisdictions
Establishing the leading
intermediate gold company
Endnotes
12
CAUTIONARY NOTE TO U.S. READERS CONCERNING ESTIMATES OF MINERAL RESERVES AND MINERAL RESOURCES
Information concerning the properties and operations of New Gold has been prepared in accordance with Canadian standards under applicable Canadian securities laws, and may not be
comparable to similar information for United States companies. The terms “Mineral Resource”, “Measured Mineral Resource”, “Indicated Mineral Resource” and “Inferred Mineral Resource”
used in this Report are Canadian mining terms as defined in the Canadian Institute of Mining, Metallurgy and Petroleum (“CIM”) Definition Standards for Mineral Resources and Mineral
Reserves adopted by CIM Council on November 27, 2010 and incorporated by reference in National Instrument 43-101 (“NI 43-101”). While the terms “Mineral Resource”, “Measured Mineral
Resource”, “Indicated Mineral Resource” and “Inferred Mineral Resource” are recognized and required by Canadian securities regulations, they are not defined terms under standards of the
United States Securities and Exchange Commission. As such, certain information contained in this Report concerning descriptions of mineralization and resources under Canadian standards
is not comparable to similar information made public by United States companies subject to the reporting and disclosure requirements of the United States Securities and Exchange
Commission.
An “Inferred Mineral Resource” has a great amount of uncertainty as to its existence and as to its economic and legal feasibility. Under Canadian rules, estimates of Inferred Mineral
Resources may not form the basis of feasibility or pre-feasibility studies. It cannot be assumed that all or any part of an “Inferred Mineral Resource” will ever be upgraded to a higher
confidence category. Readers are cautioned not to assume that all or any part of an “Inferred Mineral Resource” exists or is economically or legally mineable.
Under United States standards, mineralization may not be classified as a “Reserve” unless the determination has been made that the mineralization could be economically and legally
produced or extracted at the time the Reserve estimation is made. Readers are cautioned not to assume that all or any part of the Measured or Indicated Mineral Resources that are not
Mineral Reserves will ever be converted into Mineral Reserves. In addition, the definitions of “Proven Mineral Reserves” and “Probable Mineral Reserves” under CIM standards differ in certain
respects from the standards of the United States Securities and Exchange Commission.
TECHNICAL INFORMATION
The scientific and technical information in this presentation has been reviewed and approved by Mark A. Petersen, Vice President, Exploration of New Gold. Mr. Petersen is an AIPG Certified
Professional Geologist and a “qualified person” under National Instrument 43-101. For additional information with respect to our Mineral Resource and Reserve estimates and the Feasibility
Studies discussed herein, refer to our news release dated February 6, 2014, the Rainy River Technical Report, the Blackwater Technical Report and our other technical reports available at
www.sedar.com.
Endnotes (cont’d)
13
NON-GAAP MEASURES
(1) ALL-IN SUSTAINING COSTS
Consistent with guidance announced in 2013 by the World Gold Council, an association of various gold mining companies from around the world of which New Gold is a member, New Gold
defines “all-in sustaining costs” per ounce as the sum of total cash costs, capital expenditures that are sustaining in nature, corporate general and administrative costs, capitalized and
expensed exploration that is sustaining in nature and environmental reclamation costs, all divided by the ounces of gold sold to arrive at a per ounce figure. New Gold believes this non-GAAP
financial measure provides further transparency into costs associated with producing gold and will assist analysts, investors and other stakeholders of the company in assessing the company’s
operating performance, its ability to generate free cash flow from current operations and its overall value. This data is furnished to provide additional information and is a non-GAAP financial
measure. All-in sustaining costs presented do not have a standardized meaning under GAAP and may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other mining companies. It should
not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with GAAP and is not necessarily indicative of cash flow from operations under GAAP or
operating costs presented under GAAP. Further details regarding all-in sustaining costs and a reconciliation to the nearest GAAP measures are provided in our MD&As accompanying our
financial statements filed from time to time on www.sedar.com.
(2) TOTAL CASH COSTS
“Total cash costs” per ounce figures are non-GAAP measures which are calculated in accordance with a standard developed by The Gold Institute, a worldwide association of suppliers of gold
and gold products that ceased operations in 2002. Adoption of the standard is voluntary and the cost measures presented may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures of other
companies. New Gold reports total cash costs on a sales basis. The company believes that certain investors use this information to evaluate the company’s ability to generate liquidity through
operating cash flow and that this measure, along with sales, is considered to be a key indicator of the company’s ability to generate operating earnings and cash flow from its mining
operations. Total cash costs include mine site operating costs such as mining, processing and administration costs, royalties, production taxes, and realized gains and losses on fuel contracts,
but are exclusive of amortization, reclamation, capital and exploration costs and net of by-product sales. Total cash costs are then divided by ounces of gold sold to arrive at a per ounce
figure. Co-product cash costs remove the impact of other metal sales that are produced as a by-product of gold production and apportion the cash costs to each metal produced on a
percentage of revenue basis, and subsequently divides the amount by the total ounces of gold or silver or pounds of copper sold, as the case may be, to arrive at per ounce or per pound
figures. Unless otherwise indicated, all total cash cost information in this presentation is net of by-product sales. These measures, along with sales, are considered to be a key indicator of a
company’s ability to generate operating earnings and cash flow from its mining operations. This data is furnished to provide additional information and is a non-GAAP financial measure. Total
cash costs and co-product cash costs presented do not have a standardized meaning under GAAP and may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other mining companies. It
should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with GAAP and is not necessarily indicative of cash flow from operations under
GAAP or operating costs presented under GAAP. Further details regarding total cash costs and a reconciliation to the nearest GAAP measures are provided in our MD&As accompanying our
financial statements filed from time to time on www.sedar.com.
(3) ADJUSTED NET EARNINGS
“Adjusted net earnings” and “adjusted net earnings per share” are non-GAAP financial measures. Net earnings have been adjusted and tax affected for the group of costs in “Other gains and
losses” on the condensed consolidated income statement. The adjusted entries are also impacted for tax to the extent that the underlying entries are impacted for tax in the unadjusted net
earnings from continuing operations. The company uses this measure for its own internal purposes. Management’s internal budgets and forecasts and public guidance do not reflect fair value
changes on senior notes and non-hedged derivatives, foreign currency translation and fair value through profit or loss and financial asset gains/losses. Consequently, the presentation of
adjusted net earnings and adjusted net earnings per share enables investors and analysts to better understand the underlying operating performance of our core mining business through the
eyes of management. Management periodically evaluates the components of adjusted net earnings and adjusted net earnings per share based on an internal assessment of performance
measures that are useful for evaluating the operating performance of our business and a review of the non-GAAP measures used by mining industry analysts and other mining companies.
Adjusted net earnings and adjusted net earnings per share are intended to provide additional information only and do not have any standardized definition under IFRS and may not be
comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. They should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS.
The measures are not necessarily indicative of operating profit or cash flows from operations as determined under IFRS.
Endnotes (cont’d)
14
(4) OPERATING MARGIN
“Operating margin” is a non-GAAP financial measure with no standard meaning under GAAP, which management uses to further evaluate the company’s results of operations in each
reporting period. Operating margin is calculated as revenue less operating expenses and therefore does not include depreciation and depletion. Operating margin is intended to provide
additional information only and does not have any standardized definition under IFRS; it should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in
accordance with IFRS. Other companies may calculate this measure differently and this measure is unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies.
(5) ADJUSTED NET CASH GENERATED FROM OPERATIONS
“Adjusted net cash generated from operations” is a non-GAAP financial measure. Net cash generated from operations has been adjusted for a one-time charge incurred in the second quarter
of 2013 related to the settlement of the company’s legacy gold hedge position. The company believes the presentation of adjusted net cash generated from operations enables investors and
analysts to better understand the underlying operating performance of our core mining business. Adjusted net cash generated from operations is intended to provide additional information only
and does not have any standardized meaning under IFRS. It should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS.
Contact information
15
Investor Relations
Hannes Portmann
Vice President, Corporate Development
416-324-6014