(2014) teaching about the world’s largest trade relationship (23.4 mb)
TRANSCRIPT
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Teaching About the World’s Largest Trade Relationship
(AKA: 10 Things You Should Know About the Canadian Economy)
Study Canada Summer Institute 2014Dr. Paul A. Storer
Source:http://sbadrinath.files.wordpress.com/2009/03/different26rqcu3.jpg?w=400&h=226
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Some Questions of Interest
• Why is Canada so important?
• How does globalization affect an economy?
• What happens when you trade with a much bigger country?
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1. Canada is our largest trading partner ….
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1. … and we share the world’s largest bilateral trading relationship
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WSJ, Dec. 31 2009
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Canada China Mexico Japan Germany Korea U.K.0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18% 16.4%
14.6%13.2%
5.3%4.2%
2.7% 2.6%
Country Shares of Total US Goods Trade (2013)
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China Canada Mexico Japan Germany Korea U.K.0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%19.4%
14.6%
12.4%
6.1%5.1%
2.7% 2.3%
Country Shares of US Goods Imports (2013)
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Canada Mexico China Japan Germany U.K. Brazil0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20% 19.0%
14.3%
7.7%
4.1%3.0% 3.0% 2.8%
Country Shares of US Goods Exports (2013)
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2. Canada is the most important export destination
for 70% of the 50 states
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Source: http://www.canadainternational.gc.ca/washington/
Canada’s Rank for States’ Exports of Goods
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Source: Kasoff, Drennen, & Storer Chapter
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3. Canada is the biggest source of U.S.
petroleum imports
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Canad
a
Saudi A
rabia
Mexico
Venezu
elaRussi
a
Colombia Iraq
Kuwait
Nigeria
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.53.1
1.3
0.90.8
0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3
U.S. Petroleum Imports, 2013
Mill
ion
Barr
els p
er D
ay
(Source: US EIA Monthly Review)
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• Source: “The World’s Largest Trading Relationship”,• Embassy of Canada.
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• Source: http://www.pse.com/energyEnvironment/EnergySupply_NaturalGasProfile.aspx
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“Oil / Tar Sands”Source:The Economist
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Oil Sands
Reserves• Source:• www.ubc.ca
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Oil Sands: Surface Digging Method
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• Source: www.guardian.com
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Keystone XLPipelineIssue
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Source: www.latimes.com
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http://nationalpostcomment.files.wordpress.com/2011/11/keystone-pipeline.jpg?w=620
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Source:TheEconomist
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Lac Megantic Derailment & Explosionhttp://www.ctvnews.ca/polopoly_fs/1.1359962!/httpImage/image.jpg_gen/derivatives/landscape_960/image.jpg
Pipeline Alternatives: Rail
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The Economist’s Solution
• GHG Emissions are an “external cost”
• Internalize the “externality”
• Put a price on carbon emissions
• Use will reflect the full costs
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B.C. Carbon Tax Program
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4. Canada’s economic base has evolved over time and economic policy is more
“hands off” than in the 1970s or 1980s
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GDP Shares, April 2012
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The Modern Canadian Economy: Technology
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Transportation
http://www.airlinereporter.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/ascrj700.jpg
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Adaptation: High-end Clothing
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1970s: Government Ownership of Petro-Can
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5. Canada-U.S. trade is often about trading
“apples for apples” and “making things together”
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Making Things Together:Specialization, Scale and“Apples for Apples” Trade
Ford Edge:Oakville, Ontario. Canada cbc.ca
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North American Specialization
Ford Escape:Kansas City, MO
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SeaTac Airport Shuttle Trains:
• Source: http://www.visitingdc.com/images/seatac-train.jpg
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SeaTac Airport Shuttle Trains:Made in PA by a Canadian Company
• Source: http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3379/3198460812_79dd9093c2.jpg
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6. The Canadian economy is strong and quite competitive
Source: The Economist
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…Canada’s economy has performed well under free trade
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2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Unemployment Rate (%)
Canada
United States
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2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Unemployment Rate (%)
Canada
United States
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Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-144
5
6
7
8
9
10
Unemployment Rate in %
U.S.A.
Canada
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Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-144
5
6
7
8
9
10
Unemployment Rate in %
U.S.A.
Canada
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http://g-mond.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/topincomes/
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•Top 1% Share in 2007
• 18.3%
• 13.8%
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7. Trade isn’t just goods: Trade in services and foreign
investment
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http://www.findfamilyfun.com/birch-bay-washington.htm
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• http://www.bloomberg.com/video/91845099/
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• The Economist, U.S. Edition, May 23, 2009
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Source: http://hockeygonewild.wordpress.com/2010/03/09/
Identify the symbols and logos:
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http://www.flickr.com/photos/achimh/4368189976/sizes/l/in/photostream/
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8. Canada had a long history of protecting its economy from
U.S. competition
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Source:Hart, M.A Trading Nation
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The Tariff “Wall”
“Greedy”AmericanWolves
Happy Canadian Farmers AndManufacturers
Sir John A.Macdonald
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Source: Hart, M. A Trading Nation
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Source: Hart, M. A Trading Nation
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• http://news.nationalpost.com• /2012/03/31/tempest-in-a-• yogourt-cup-u-s-based-• chobani-seen-as-threat-to-• local-makers/
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9. Canadians and Americans fear the border – but for
different reasons
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Trade, Culture, and Sovereignty
• Source: Aislin Cartoon
• Montreal Gazette
Source: Molson“I Am Canadian” ad
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Mayflower Pub, Elgin St., Ottawa, July 3, 2012
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• http://si.wsj.net/public/resources/images/OB-TN162_HEALTH_G_20120625193406.jpg
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• Canada: A Source of “Vulnerabilities?”
Source: Bellingham Herald
• Source: ABC news • Source: International Border Commission
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10. Canada-U.S. Trade: What Will the Future Bring?
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70%
72%
74%
76%
78%
80%
82%
84%
86%
88%USA Share of Canada's Exports
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Successes or Failures?
Source: http://www.thestar.com/opinion/editorialopinion/article/1029360--the-cost-of-freer-trade
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http://www.dol.wa.gov/images/DLsamples-EDLLg.jpg