2015 02 04 international optical transport developments wdm africa 2015
TRANSCRIPT
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 1
Forecasting International Optical Transport Developments and
Understanding How Africa’s Optical System Differs
From the Rest of the World
Herve Fevrier– Chief Strategy Officer – Xtera Communications
4-5 February 2015
WDM Africa 2015 (Cape Town, South Africa)
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 2
The Bandwidth Demand is Insatiable
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100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Year
Da
ta tra
ffic
(p
eta
byte
/ m
on
th)
Minnesota Internet Traffic Studies
(MINTS) for US IP traffic
High
Low
Swanson-Gilder for US IP traffic
Cisco Visual Networking Index
Forecast and Methodology
2007-2012 and 2012–2017
For global IP traffic
Doubling about every 18 months (≈2 dB per year)
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 3
With 100G Being The Dominant Line Rate
Global 10G, 40G, 100G & 100+G DWDM line card revenue
(After Ovum)
0,00
1,75
3,50
5,25
7,00
8,75
Year
2019
10G revenues
40G revenues
100G revenues
100G+ revenues
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
DW
DM
lin
e c
ard
revenu
es (
$B
)
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 4
• 40G is dying much faster than it was anticipated a year ago. – 100G did win in terms of cost and performance due to some industry
“agreements” which created good price points at the start and then volume
etc… the virtuous circle!!
• 100G+ – People talk about 400G, 1T… when it is really a matter of
• Going from 100G to 150G and 200G per optical carrier
• And introducing super channels … kind of super dense wavelength division
multiplexing
• But spectral efficiency has a limit… and we are getting close to it (Google at ECOC’2014 - Nice).
• Need for more spectrum
Channel Rates
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 5
The Internet Growth
2B 11/10/2010
1B 10/05/2005
After Internet Society Annual Report
2012 Internet Penetration
Global IP traffic will grow from 43 PB/month in 2012 to 120PB/month in 2017 (23% CAGR)
After Cisco VNI (2013)
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 6
• Undersea is approx. 35% of total used international bandwidth.
• It is dominated by Internet bandwidth.
• The traffic matrix is becoming more balanced.
Undersea Communications Forecast
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20,0%
40,0%
60,0%
80,0%
100,0%
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
2011 2013 2015 2017 2019To
tal
us
ed
su
bm
ari
ne
cap
acit
y (
Gb
ps)
Used for Internet (%)
Used for private networks (%)
Used for switched voice (%)
Total Used Submarine Capacity (Gbps)
31,3%
32,5%
33,8%
35,0%
36,3%
37,5%
0
250 000
500 000
750 000
1 000 000
2011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Su
bm
ari
ne b
an
dw
idth
p
erc
en
tag
e
To
tal u
sed
in
tern
ati
on
al
ban
dw
idth
(G
bp
s)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Trans-AtlanticTrans-PacificUS-Latin AmericaIntra-AsiaEurope-ME & Egypt
250T
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 7
• The submarine high-capacity belt is now deployed.
• Prime time is for Internet growth from the shores through the continent.
Africa Connectivity: Land of Contrast
After TeleGeography After Ovum
Mobile Broadband Subscription Forecast International Used Bandwidth
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 8
Africa Connectivity: Land of Contrast
Least Connected Countries (as of 2013) Mobile Subscriptions
After ITU
IDI: ICT Development index taking into account ICT access, ICT use and ICT skills
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 9
Five multiplexing dimensions available:
• Time – Faster opto-electronics (enabling 10G, 40G, 100G…)
– Current practical limit: about 30 Gbaud devices
• Frequency – Multiplexing more optical carriers at different frequencies
– Conventional EDFA-based WDM technology limited to C
band (≈ 38 nm)
• Polarization – Propagation of several states of optical polarization, each
supporting a data stream
– Practical today’s implementation: two polarizations
• Quadrature – Multi-level modulation format
– BPSK, QPSK, 8QAM, 16QAM, 64QAM… leading to reach
reduction
• Space – More transmission media are made available in parallel
– Different flavors of Spatial Division Multiplexing (SDM):
ribbon fiber, multi-core fiber, multi-mode fiber
How to Keep up With Bandwidth Demand?
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✔
✔ 1100
Q
1101
I
16-QAM
1110
1111
0101
0111 10 00
I
Q
11 01
QPSK
0
I
Q
1
BPSK
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 10
Evolution With Optical Spectrum Expansion As Enabled With Raman Optical Amplification
All-Raman provides x 3 in terms of spectrum All-Raman provides x 2 in terms of reach All-Raman provides x 6 in terms of Capacity x Reach
Maximizing spectral efficiency AND spectrum without compromising reach
-30
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-15
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-5
0
5
1515 1535 1555 1575 1595 1605
Po
we
r (d
Bm
)
1625
Wavelength (nm)
100 nm of continuous optical bandwidth
in the field since 2004
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 11
• Sir Venkata Raman earned the Nobel prize in Physics in 1930. – Prize motivation: “for his work on the scattering of light and for the
discovery of the effect named after him”.
• Raman effect – Inelastic scattering
• Applications – Raman Spectroscopy
– Raman Amplification
• Laser sources and amplifiers
• Optical Communications – 1962: SRS observation
– 1973: Raman in optical fibers
• Xtera Communications Inc. (1998) – Mohammed Islam (founder – worked on soliton transmission with
L. Mollenauer)
– “Ideas in a different light”: Raman for different windows, a broader spectrum
and obviously reach
Raman History
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 12
• Founded in 1998
• Opening new windows: The S-band (2000-2001)
• Broadening the spectrum: 100nm window (2002-2005)
– 1st commercial deployment
2004: 2.4 Tbit/s
Xtera Communications: The first steps
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 13
Verizon Field Trials
• Deployed more than ten years ago
• Multiple ODFs in the path
• G.652 fiber with multiple splice points as a result of construction activities in the metropolitan area
• Length: 79.2 km per span
• 19 fibers/spans equipped (1,504 km total)
• Average span loss: 21.8 dB
• Existing standard connectors (SC/PC)
• Average fiber attenuation: 0.275 dB/km • Shows three lumped loss of 1.2 ~ 1.9 dB
Bi-directional OTDR example of Verizon span
Challenging environment
G.652 field fiber
79.2 km per span
IL: 20 - 23 dB
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 14
Verizon infrastructure representative of end-of-life numbers
Results for 1,504 km, 61 nm spectrum transmission with high margins
• First trial: 100G – 150 x 100G PM-QPSK (50 GHz) on 1,500 km: 15T / 4,500+ km
• Second trial: 400G (4 x 100G) – MC 4 x 100G PM-QPSK (33 GHz) on 1,500 km: 20T / 3,000+ km
• Third trial: 400G (2 x 200G) – DC PM-16QAM (2 x 200G)
• 50 GHz spacing:
30T / 2,000+ km
• 37.5 GHz spacing:
40T /1,500+ km
Validation Field Trial – Summary
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 15
XWDM [Capacity – Reach] Metric
240 x 100G • 100 nm spectrum • PM-QPSK channels • 50 GHz channel spacing • 2 bit/s/Hz spectral efficiency
120 x 400G • 100 nm spectrum • PM-16QAM 200G carriers
spaced 50 GHz apart • 4 bit/s/Hz spectral efficiency
160 x 400G • 100 nm spectrum • PM-16QAM 200G carriers
spaced 37.5 GHz apart • 5.3 bit/s/Hz spectral efficiency
16QAM on more than 2,000 km of aged fiber (0.28 dB/km)
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 16
• Maximizing the reach at 100G – 1 x 100G on 520 km of ULL fiber, with ROPA
– 4 x 100G on 523 km of Vascade EX2000 fiber, with ROPA
– 1 x 100G on 557 km of Vascade EX2000 fiber, with ROPA
• Maximizing the capacity over long unrepeatered distances – 150 x 100G on 334 km of ULL fiber, without ROPA
– 150 x 100G on 390 km of ULL fiber, with ROPA
– 150 x 100G on 410 km Vascade EX2000 fiber, with ROPA
Recent Unrepeatered 100G Transmission Results
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 17
Optical Repeater for Subsea Cable Systems Launched at
Innovation:
Electrical Improved powering enabling Raman amplification.
Optical Modular optical design. Spectrum increased by 50%.
Mechanical Marine grade titanium. Compact, light and strong.
Manufacturability Flexible and simplified manufacturing process.
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© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 18
• 4 projects: – 1 short
– 2 regional
– 1 long haul
• Deployments: – 2 in 2015
– 1 in 2016
Status of Xtera Repeatered Projects
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 19
• People have worked hard on spectral efficiency since 1989.
– 4 x 2.5G in the C-band
– 40 x 10G in the C-band
– 80 x 10G in the C-band
– 93 x 100G in the C-band
– …BUT…
– The industry still uses
only the C band
• Raman technology offers the possibility to multiply by a factor of x6.5 the available bandwidth in deployed optical fibers which ultimately could mean 200 Tbits/s per fiber pair.
Wireline So Far…
Fiber attenuation (dB/km)
1.0
0.8
0.4
0.2
1.2 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3
Optical wavelength (µm)
C band
Old fibers
Modern fibers
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 20
Raman amplification brings several benefits to the design of high-capacity optical networks:
• Increase the reach
• Ability to deal with very long spans
• Increase capacity / spectrum
Conclusion
Sir Chandrasekhara Venkata Raman (1888 – 1970) First Asian scientist to receive the Nobel prize in physics (in 1930)
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 21
• Africa has now a submarine high-capacity communications belt.
• The next few years is about the penetration of this bandwidth from the shores to the heart of the continent.
• It is of paramount importance that the deployed infrastructure is future-proof both from a longevity point of view (e.g. OPGW cables on high-voltage lines, …) and from the telecommunications point of view (high EOL capacity as compared to BOL capacity, support of future transport rates).
Conclusion: Africa
Maximizing Network Capacity, Reach and Value Over land, under sea, worldwide
© 2015 Xtera Communications, Inc. Proprietary & Confidential 22