2015 nymex energy options year end review...wti’s 2015 volatility and volume and o.i. in futures...
TRANSCRIPT
2015 NYMEX Energy Options Year End Review
January 2016
Jeff White – Senior Director, Energy Products
© 2015 CME Group. All rights reserved. 2
Energy Market Landscape: 2015 Overview Trends
• A major decline in oil prices stimulated crude and refined volume
• 2015 saw major growth in energy options electronification
• New products and electronic trading functionality
© 2015 CME Group. All rights reserved. 3
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Futu
re P
rice
($)
Front Month
WTI Futures Prices
Energy Market Landscape: 2015 Overview WTI’s 2015 Volatility and Decline
March January
February June May April
August July October September November
December
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Energy Market Landscape: 2015 Overview WTI’s 2015 Volatility and Volume and O.I. in Futures and Options
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%Im
plie
d Vo
latil
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f LO
0.0
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0.00.20.40.60.81.01.21.41.61.8
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M)
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0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.5
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Ope
n In
tere
st (M
M)
Volu
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s)
J F M A M J J A S O N D
Implied Vol of
LO
LO
CL
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0%
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NYMEX Energy Options – Total Volume and Electronic Percentage
MTD ADV % Electronic
Energy Market Landscape: 2015 Overview 49% of NYMEX Energy Options Traded Electronically in December, an increase of 24% throughout 2015
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0%
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NYMEX WTI Options (LO) Electronic Volume and Percentage
Elec MTD ADV % Electronic
Energy Market Landscape: Crude Oil A Record 77% of WTI Options Traded Electronically in December, a 20% Increase Since the Beginning of 2015
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Butteflies 16%
Custom 10%
Diagonal 3%
Horizontal 2%
Other 2%
Risk Reversals 8%
Straddles 5%
Strangle 3%
Vertical 51%
Crude Oil Spread Type
0%
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otal
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Elec
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prea
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g D
aily
Vol
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s)
NYMEX Crude Options - Electronic Spread Volume
Spread ADV % Spread
Energy Market Landscape: Crude Oil 33% of Electronically Traded WTI Options were Executed as a Spread in December
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Energy Market Landscape: Crude Oil Crude Oil Calendar Spread Options Achieved Record Volume and Open Interest in 2015
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2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Ope
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Dai
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olum
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00s)
WTI 1 Month CSO (WA + 7A)
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Energy Market Landscape: Crude Oil Weekly Options Provide Flexibility to Manage Volatility Around High Impact Economic Events
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Aver
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Ope
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Aver
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Vol
ume
Days Until Expiration
Crude Oil Weekly Options - Average Daily Volume and Open Interest by Days to Expiry
ADV Average OI
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Crude Oil Weekly Options - ADV and Max OI by Month Since Launch
ADV Average OI
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0%
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NYMEX Natural Gas Options (LNE + ON) - Electronic Volume and Percentage
Elec MTD ADV % Electronic
Energy Market Landscape: Natural Gas Over 21% of Nat Gas Options Traded on Screen in Dec., a Record
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• 9,714 contracts/day of Financial Natural Gas Options (LN) traded on screen in December, a Record
• Over 21% of Natural Gas Options (LN + ON) traded electronically
0
2,000
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J F M A M J J A S O N D
Elec
tron
ic D
aily
Vol
ume
Electronic Daily Volume in LN
Energy Market Landscape: Natural Gas Record Electronic Volume in Benchmark Financial Nat Gas Options
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Butteflies 32%
Custom 6%
Diagonal 1% Horizontal
1%
Other 7%
Risk Reversals 8%
Straddles 2%
Strangle 3%
Vertical 40%
Natural Gas Spread Type
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otal
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prea
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g D
aily
Vol
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s)
NYMEX Nat Gas - Electronic Spread Volume
Spread ADV % Spread
Energy Market Landscape: Natural Gas Electronic Spread Volume >10,000 Lots/Day in Dec., a RECORD
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New Products: Crude Oil Brent Crude Oil (Futures-Style Margin) Options (BZO) Began Trading in December
BZO Specs
• Plain vanilla monthly option
• American-Style option
• Futures-style Margin
• Exercises into BZ futures
BZO is CME’s First Option with Futures-Style Margin
• Futures-style margined options premium is not paid until exercise or expiration
• Margining style matches the prevailing Brent market convention
www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/crude-oil/futures-style-brent-crude-oil-options.html
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New Products: Crude Oil NEW: Louisiana Light-Sweet Crude Oil Options Launched in Sept.
• The LLS market has been expanding in recent years, and has become a major benchmark for seaborne crude
• Three new Louisiana Light Sweet (LLS) Average Price Options launched Sept.14
• LLS (Argus) Crude Oil APO (XAO)
• LLS (Argus) vs. WTI Crude Oil APO (WJO)
• LLS (Argus) vs. Brent Crude Oil APO (LRO)
• All LLS options are European-style and financially settled
© 2015 CME Group. All rights reserved.
Summary of Highlights Recapping a Record Breaking Year
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Crude Oil
77% of WTI Options Traded Electronically in December, a 20% Increase Since the Beginning of 2015
Record Breaking CSO Volume, >16,600 contracts/day
NEW: Brent (Futures-Style Margin) Option (BZO) trading is strong
Natural Gas
~10,000 contracts/day of Financial Natural Gas Options (LN) traded on screen in December
Over 21% of Natural Gas Options (LN + ON) Traded Electronically in December
Over 10,000 Electronic Spreads were Sent Per Day in Natural Gas in December