2016 ggsd forum - session 1: presentation by mr. joaquim oliveira martins, head, regional...
TRANSCRIPT
LAND USE POLICIES FOR GREEN GROWTHUrban green growth, spatial planning and land-use9th & 10th November 2016
Mr. Joaquim Oliveira Martins, Head, Regional Development Policy Division, OECD
• Need to find a balance between sustainability, liveability and affordability
• Formal planning instruments can be slow to respond to change and foster innovation
• Policies outside of the planning system need to be aligned with land use objectives—particularly subnational finances and tax policies
Land use policies to foster green and inclusive growth
Property (b
uildings,
infrastr
ucture) Land
Machinery
& Equipment
Inventorie
s
Other natu
ral re
sources
Intellect
ual propert
y
Other non fin
ancial as
sests
Cultivate
d biological re
sources
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
Land and property are by far the most important forms of capital
Disaggregated capital stock (six-country sample)
U$ billion PPP
Note: Data includes Australia, Canada, Czech Republic, France, Japan and Korea.Source: OECD National Accounts Table 9B
The amount of developed land per capita in urban areas differs across the OECD
USAEST
FINAUT
SWEBEL
SVKCZE
DNKHUN
POLFRA
NOR IRL
DEUGBR
PRTCHE
ESPNLD
GRCSVN ITA
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
Developed land per capita in urban cores (in m²) Developed land per capita in commuting zones (in m²)
Source: OECD calculations based on Corine Land Cover and National Land Cover Database
Developed land per capita in urban areas
*All data is based on the OECD definition of Functional Urban Areas (FUAs)
Land use in urban cores and commuting zones in Europe
Urban Cores
010
2030
0 200 600400 800 10000
1020
300 200 600400 800 1000N
umbe
r of m
etro
polit
an a
reas
Developed land per capita in m² Developed land per capita in m²
Commuting zones
Source: OECD calculations based on Corine Land Cover data
Developed land is growing everywhere…
IRL
ESPEST
PRTSVK
NLDCZE
HUN FINFRA
DNKPOL
ITAGRC
SWEUSA
AUTSVN
DEUNOR
CHEGBR
BEL0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
Annual % growth of developed land in commuting zone Annual % growth of developed land in core
Annual growth rates of developed land between 2000 and 2012
Source: OECD calculations based on Corine Land Cover and National Land Cover Database
ESTGRC
NLDHUN
PRTPOL
SVKESP
DEUDNK
CZE ITASWE FIN
FRASVN
AUTCHE
BELIR
LGBR
LUXNOR
USA-1.0%
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%Annual percentage change in developed land per capita 2000 - 2012
…but per capita land use is declining in many countriesPer capita growth of developed land in functional urban
areas (cores and commuting zones combined)
Car use is lower in denser regions
0.02
5ha
0.01
8ha
0.14
ha1h
aD
evel
oped
land
per
cap
ita
0 30 60 90 120Number of vehicles per 100 inhabitants
European TL3 regions Estimated relationship
Source: OECD calculations based on Corine Land Cover and National Land Cover DatabaseNote: The positive relationship between land cover and car ownership is robust to controlling for per capita GDP levels and country fixed-effects.
Regions with 10% less developed land per capita have 0.75 fewer cars per 100 inhabitants
Housing costs have risen strongly in most OECD countries
Inflation-adjusted property prices (1995=100)
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20150
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Australia Belgium Canada Switzerland Germany
Denmark Spain Finland France United Kingdom
Ireland Italy Japan Netherlands Norway
New Zealand Sweden United States Average
Sweden
Japan
Ireland
UK
Germany
Norway
Restrictive land use policies can lead to rising housing costs
Ann
ual c
hang
e ho
use
pric
es
(200
0-20
12)
Annual change in developed land per capita (2000-2012)
• Land use regulations should aim to prevent sprawl…
• …but have to provide sufficient space to construct housing for growing populations
• Otherwise, housing costs rise
-1.0% -0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0%-4%-3%-2%-1%0%1%2%3%4%5%6%
Very little densification is taking place
• Very little densification of building stock on-going since 2000
• Less than 0.01% of developed land in data has changed to a higher density class in Europe; less than 1% has changed in the U.S.
• Caveat: existing data not ideal to measure density; only two density classes for Europe; four density classes for the U.S.
Europe United StatesDensified land since 2000/01
Land with constant density since
2000/01Source: OECD calculations based on Corine Land Cover and National Land Cover Database
• Many cities have densities similar to when they were much smallerLow density neighbourhoods that were once at the urban fringe are now within urban cores without having densified
• Greater densities are needed to adapt urban form and build housing for greater populations
• Public spaces need to be of high quality in denser environments to ensure well-being
High quality density is needed
• Growing economy and population • Many competing demands on land
Example in practice: Green Growth in Amsterdam
Six spatial development ambitions to 2040:
1. Increasing density in what is already a dense city
2. Transforming mono-functional areas3. Enhancing regional transportation 4. Increasing the quality of public space5. Investing in the recreational use of green
space and water6. Preparing for a post-fossil fuel era
Amsterdam’s spatial development ambitions
• New spatial planning legislation pursues certainty where needed, and flexibility where prudent
• It encourages flexibility and experiential land uses where possible
• To be implemented in 2018
New Dutch Environmental and Planning Act (2016)
How to make planning more flexible and foster good land use?
How land is used
Public policies aimed at steering land use
• Spatial planning• Transport planning• Land use planning• Environmental regulations • Building code regulations
Public policies not targeted at land use
• Tax policies • Transport taxes and subsidies• Fiscal systems and inter-
governmental transfers • Agricultural policies • Energy policies
How land is permitted to be used How individuals and businesses want to use land
Fiscal and tax systems incentivise: i. local governments’ planning policiesii. land use decisions by firms and
individuals
Incentives need to be better aligned with land use objectives
Aligning fiscal and tax incentives to land use objectives
Examples: How fiscal and tax systems influence land use
In some countries, local governments obtain a large
share of revenues from business taxes
Local governments have incentives to allocate as much land as possible to commercial uses to maximise tax revenues.
In some countries, ownership of single-family homes
receives preferential tax treatment
Residents have incentives to live in low-density
neighbourhoods in sub-urban areas
Examples: How fiscal and tax systems influence land use
Agriculture is heavily subsidised across most of the
OECD
Without subsidies, agricultural land uses would change
Many countries make expenses for commuting by car tax
deductible
Lower costs of commuting provide incentives to live
further from the place of work (often in peri-urban areas) and
increase car reliance
THANK YOUContact: [email protected]
For more information contact: Abel Schumann: [email protected] Krawchenko: [email protected]
Extra slides
Distribution of land uses in FUAs
BELGBR
NLDCHEPRT
DEUDNK
USALU
XGRC
ITA
CZEFR
AHUN
POLAUT
SVKIR
LFI
NES
TESP
SWESVN
NOR0%
10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
Other Forests Agricultural land Developed land
Source: OECD calculations based on Corine Land Cover and National Land Cover Database
Ratio of per capita land use in commuting zones relative to cores
ESTAUT
USAGRC
BELESP
HUNCZE
POLFIN
FRASVK
NORCHE
SWEDNK
PRTGBR
DEU ITA IRL
NLDSVN
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Ratio developed land per capita Commuting zone - Urban core
Source: OECD calculations based on Corine Land Cover and National Land Cover Database
Population growth in commuting zones is disproportionally high
IRL
NORCAN
BELUSA
NLDKOR FIN
DNKJP
ACHE
DEUSVK
POLGRC
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
Annual population growth in commuting zones 2000-2014 Annual population growth in urban cores 2000-2014
Population growth rates in urban cores and commuting zones
Source: OECD calculations based on Corine Land Cover and National Land Cover Database
Per capita land use is becoming more sparing in many commuting zones
ESTNLD
DNKDEU
SVKPOL
PRTSWE FIN
AUTGBR
BELHUN
CZE ITAFRA
SVNCHE
GRCESP
NOR IRL
USA-2.0%
-1.5%
-1.0%
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
Annual % growth of developed land per capita in commuting zone Annual % growth of developed land per capita in core
Growth rates of developed land per capita
Source: OECD calculations based on Corine Land Cover and National Land Cover Database