2018 fourth quarter business review
TRANSCRIPT
2018 Fourth Quarter Business Review
(Unaudited)
January 29, 2019
2. All Rights Reserved.28 January 2019© 3M
2019 Earnings Calls
Q1: April 25
Q2: July 25
Q3: October 24
3. All Rights Reserved.28 January 2019© 3M
Forward looking statementThis presentation contains forward-looking information about 3M's financial results and estimates and business prospects that involve substantial risks anduncertainties. You can identify these statements by the use of words such as "anticipate," "estimate," "expect," "aim," "project," "intend," "plan," "believe," "will,""should," "could," "target," "forecast" and other words and terms of similar meaning in connection with any discussion of future operating or financial performanceor business plans or prospects. Among the factors that could cause actual results to differ materially are the following: (1) worldwide economic, political, and capitalmarkets conditions and other factors beyond the Company's control, including natural and other disasters or climate change affecting the operations of theCompany or its customers and suppliers; (2) the Company's credit ratings and its cost of capital; (3) competitive conditions and customer preferences; (4) foreigncurrency exchange rates and fluctuations in those rates; (5) the timing and market acceptance of new product offerings; (6) the availability and cost of purchasedcomponents, compounds, raw materials and energy (including oil and natural gas and their derivatives) due to shortages, increased demand or supply interruptions(including those caused by natural and other disasters and other events); (7) the impact of acquisitions, strategic alliances, divestitures, and other unusual eventsresulting from portfolio management actions and other evolving business strategies, and possible organizational restructuring; (8) generating fewer productivityimprovements than estimated; (9) unanticipated problems or delays with the phased implementation of a global enterprise resource planning (ERP) system, orsecurity breaches and other disruptions to the Company's information technology infrastructure; (10) financial market risks that may affect the Company’s fundingobligations under defined benefit pension and postretirement plans; and (11) legal proceedings, including significant developments that could occur in the legal andregulatory proceedings described in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended Dec. 31, 2017, and any subsequent quarterly reports on Form10-Q (the “Reports”). Changes in such assumptions or factors could produce significantly different results. A further description of these factors is located in theReports under "Cautionary Note Concerning Factors That May Affect Future Results" and "Risk Factors" in Part I, Items 1 and 1A (Annual Report) and in Part I, Item 2and Part II, Item 1A (Quarterly Reports). The information contained in this presentation is as of the date indicated. The Company assumes no obligation to updateany forward-looking statements contained in this presentation as a result of new information or future events or developments.
This presentation refers to certain non-GAAP financial measures including free cash flow, free cash flow conversion, return on invested capital (ROIC), and various measures excluding the impact of the legal settlement and the measurement period adjustment relative to the accounting for the 2017 enactment of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). These non-GAAP measures are not in accordance with, nor are they a substitute for, GAAP measures. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures can be found in the appendix to this presentation.
Note on non-GAAP financial measures
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Q4 2018 summary
Sales of $7.9B, down -0.6% year-on-year
• Organic growth across all business groups and geographic areas
GAAP EPS:
• Q4 2018: $2.27 includes net charge of -$0.04 per share (tax adjustments related to both the Tax Cut and Jobs Act (TCJA) and Q1 2018 legal settlement); and a net benefit of +$0.02 per share (divestiture gain, net of actions)
• Q4 2017: $0.85 included -$1.25 impact from TCJA
Free cash flow of $1.7B, up 23% year-on-year
Returned $2.1B to shareholders via dividends and gross share repurchases
Organic local-currency growth
Operatingmargin
Adjusted earnings per share
$2.31 +10.0% year-on-year
22.4%flat year-on-year
+3.0%year-on-year
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Q4 2018 sales recap
Canada +5%
Mexico +5%
Brazil +5%
Foreign-currency translation:
• Euro -4%, RMB -5%, Yen flat, Real -15%
Organic local-currency growth by key countries/regions:
China/Hong Kong +1%
Japan flat
West Europe flat
Organic local-currency growth by area:
• U.S. +4.4%
• Latin America/Canada +5.0%
• Europe/Middle East/Africa +1.3%
• Asia Pacific +2.0%
Net sales
Organic-local currency growth
Acquisitions/Divestitures
-1.3%year-on-year
+3.0%year-on-yearvolume +1.6%, price +1.4%
Foreign currencytranslation
-2.3%year-on-year
$7.9B-0.6% year-on-year
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Operating income margin reconciliation:
Q4 2018 P&L
Q4 2017 22.4%
Organic volume/ productivity/other
+1.0%+1.6% organic volume growth; lower portfolio & footprint actions $58M
Divestitures -1.3%Lower divestiture gains, net of actions/ divested income/stranded costs (Q4 2018 -$10M vs. Q4 2017 +$116M)
Price/raw material +0.2%Selling price benefits net of higher raw materials
FX +0.1% Net of hedge impact
Q4 2018 22.4%
Net sales
Gross margin
Operating income
$1.8B-0.3% year-on-year
48.9%+10 bps year-on-year
Adjusted net income
$1.4B+6.3% year-on-year
$7.9B-0.6% year-on-year
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Q4 2018 EPSQ4 2017 GAAP EPS $0.85
Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) $1.25 Net transition tax of $762M
Q4 2017 EPS, ex. TCJA $2.10
Organic growth/productivity/other +$0.18Benefits from organic growth and productivity; lower portfolio & footprint actions (+$0.07)
Divestitures -$0.13Lower divestiture gains, net of actions (Q4 18+$0.02 vs. Q4 17 +$0.12); divested income/ stranded costs (-$0.03)
FX -$0.03 Pre-tax earnings impact -$27M
Other expense +$0.06Q4 17 high coupon debt tender (-$0.11); Higher retirement expense and net interest
Tax rate* +$0.05 Underlying earnings benefit
Shares outstanding +$0.08 Average diluted shares down 3.4%
Q4 2018 EPS, ex. TCJA and Q1 2018 legal settlement
$2.31
Tax adjustments -$0.04TCJA transition tax adjustment +$0.07; Q1 18 legal settlement -$0.11
Q4 2018 GAAP EPS $2.27
Adjusted earnings per share
$2.31+10.0% year-on-year
*The effect of income taxes on items that had specific tax rates are reflected within their respective impacts in the table above.
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Q4 2018 cash flow
Free cash flow
Dividends
Gross sharerepurchases
$1.7B Free cash flow of $1.7B, up 23% year-on-year
Free cash flow conversion of 128%
Capital expenditures:
• Q4 2018: $531M, up $72M year-on-year
• FY 2018: $1.6B
Returned $2.1B to shareholders via dividends and gross share repurchases in Q4
• FY 2018 dividends of $3.2B; gross share repurchases of $4.9B
$787M
$1.3B
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$3.0B-0.3% year-on-year
+2.5%year-on-year
$627M+8.1% year-on-year
21.2%+160 bps year-on-year
Organic local-currency growth
Net sales
Operating income
Operating margin
Industrial
Organic local-currency growth by business, year-on-year:
• Sales grew in advanced materials, industrial adhesives and tapes, separations and purification sciences, abrasive systems, and automotive aftermarket
Organic local-currency growth by area, year-on-year:
• Sales grew +4% in the U.S., +2% in Latin America/Canada, +2% EMEA, and +1% in APAC
Foreign currency translation decreased sales by -2.7% and divestitures decreased sales by –0.1%
Q4 2017 operating margin included -120 bps from portfolio and footprint actions
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$1.6B+0.3% year-on-year
+3.3%year-on-year
$345M-14.8% year-on-year
22.0%-390 bps year-on-year
Safety & Graphics
Organic local-currency growth by business, year-on-year:
• Sales grew in personal safety and commercial solutions; transportation safety and roofing granules declined
Organic local-currency growth by area, year-on-year:
• Sales grew +7% in Latin America/Canada, +5% the U.S., and +5% EMEA; sales declined -3% in APAC
Foreign currency translation decreased sales by -2.8% andacquisitions, net of divestitures, decreased sales by -0.2%
Strong organic sales growth across all personal safety segments with Scott Safety up double digits
Q4 2017 operating margin included +280 bps from divestiture gains and portfolio and footprint actions
Organic local-currency growth
Net sales
Operating income
Operating margin
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$1.5B+2.4% year-on-year
+4.8%year-on-year
$458M-0.2% year-on-year
30.2%-80 bps year-on-year
Health Care
Organic local-currency growth by business, year-on-year:
• Sales grew in food safety, health information systems, medical solutions, and oral care; drug delivery declined
Organic local-currency growth by area, year-on-year:
• Sales grew +11% in Asia Pacific, +6% in Latin America/ Canada; +5% in EMEA and +3% in the U.S.
Foreign currency translation decreased sales by -2.4%
Developing market organic growth of +10% led by double-digit increases in China/Hong Kong, Taiwan and SEA
Announced acquisition of M*Modal’s technology business, a leading healthcare technology provider of cloud-based, conversational Artificial Intelligence (AI)-powered systems
Increased investment in 3M™ Clarity™ aligners, population health, and advanced wound care Priority Growth Platforms
Organic local-currency growth
Net sales
Operating income
Operating margin
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$1.3B-4.5% year-on-year
+4.1%year-on-year
$396M+8.2% year-on-year
29.5%+350 bps year-on-year
Electronics & Energy
Organic local-currency growth by business, year-on-year:
• Energy-related sales grew +5%; electronics-related sales grew +3% with growth in both electronics materials solutions and display materials & systems
Organic local-currency growth by area, year-on-year:
• Sales grew +7% in Latin America/Canada, +6% in the U.S. and +5% in APAC; sales declined -7% in EMEA
Foreign currency translation decreased sales by -1.5% and divestitures reduced sales by -7.1%
Operating margins include +190 bps net benefit from divestiture of remaining communication markets business
Organic local-currency growth
Net sales
Operating income
Operating margin
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$1.2B+0.1% year-on-year
+1.9%year-on-year
$257M-5.2% year-on-year
21.3%-110 bps year-on-year
Consumer
Organic local-currency growth by business, year-on-year:
• Sales grew in home improvement and stationery and office supplies; home care and consumer health care declined
Organic local-currency growth by area, year-on-year:
• Sales grew +6% in Latin America/Canada and +5% in the U.S.; sales declined -5% in APAC and -7% in EMEA
Foreign currency translation decreased sales by -1.8%
Continued strong 3M point-of-sale growth amongst major retail customers
Q4 2017 operating margins included -50 bps from portfolio and footprint actions
Organic local-currency growth
Net sales
Operating income
Operating margin
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2018 full-year performance
Organic local-currency growth
Return on invested capital
$8.89+12.1% year-on-year
22.2%
Free cash flowconversion91%
+3.2%year-on-year
GAAP EPS of $8.89, up +12.1% year-on-year; includes:
• TCJA adjustment of -$0.29
• Q1 2018 legal settlement of -$1.28
• CMD divestiture gain, net of related actions +$0.50
Sales components:
• Organic local-currency growth +3.2%
• Acquisitions, net of divestitures +0.1%
• Foreign currency translation +0.2%
Return on invested capital of 22.2%, including -2 ppts net impact from TCJA; Q1 2018 legal settlement; and CMD divestiture gain, net of related actions
Free cash flow conversion of 91%, including -2 ppts net impact from TCJA; Q1 2018 legal settlement; and CMD divestiture gain, net of related actions
Returned $8.1 billion to shareholders via dividends and gross share repurchases; 60th consecutive year of annual dividend increases
See appendix for reconciliation of FY 2018 free cash flow conversion, and ROIC
GAAP earnings per share
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Delivering on our four priorities in 2018Positioning 3M for long-term growth and value creation
People & CultureInnovation
Supports organic growth, and premium operating margins and ROIC
Accelerating investments in Priority Growth Platforms
Transformation
Successful U.S. ERP deployment; accelerating value for customers
70% of global revenues deployed
Portfolio
Completed divestiture of communication markets business
Announced acquisition of technology business of M*Modal
Deepening commitment to sustainability, diversity and inclusion
Ethisphere – World’s Most Ethical Companies®; 5th
consecutive year
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2019 planning estimatesBalanced plan reflecting external environment
Earnings per shareOrganic local currency growth
Return on invested capital
Free cash flow conversion
Refer to appendix for the definition and calculation of ROIC and free cash flow conversion
1% to 4% $10.45 to $10.90
22% to 25%
95% to 105%
2019 GAAP EPS of $10.45 to $10.90, up 18% to 23% year-on-year
2018 GAAP EPS of $8.89, which includes:
• TCJA adjustment of -$0.29
• Q1 2018 legal settlement of -$1.28
• CMD divestiture gain, net of related actions +$0.50
Sales components:
• Organic local-currency growth +1% to +4%
• Acquisitions, net of divestitures neutral
• Foreign currency translation -1%
Capital allocation:
• Capex of $1.7B to $1.9B
• Share repurchase: $2B to $4B
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2019 organic local-currency growth expectations
Industrial
1% to 4%
Health Care
3% to 5%
Consumer
1% to 3%
Safety & Graphics
2% to 5%
Electronics & Energy
0% to 4%
EMEA = Europe, Middle East, Africa
Asia Pacific
1% to 5%
Latin America/Canada
3% to 5%
EMEA
1% to 3%
United States
2% to 4%
By Geography:
By Business:
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2019 key assumptionsIn-line with November; updating for organic growth, pension and M*Modal acquisition
Sales growthRaw Materials/ Transformation
Other financial
Organic growth +1% to +4%
Positive price, more than offsetting raw material headwinds
FX -1% to sales
Spot rates of Euro 1.14, RMB 6.88, JPY 110, BRL 3.88
Acquisition/divestiture neutral to sales
Raw materials
Increased costs (including tariffs), partially offset by sourcing cost reduction projects
Transformation
Increased value realization; portfolio/footprint optimization; and manufacturing/SG&A productivity
Pension
Global funded status 89%;
U.S. 96%Cash contributions $100-200M
Tax rate 20% to 22%
Share repurchases $2B to $4B
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2019 capital allocation plan
Total Funds Available
$14.5B to $16.5B
Sources Uses
R&D ~$1.9B
Capex $1.7B to $1.9B
DividendExpected to grow in line with earnings over time
Net M&AStrengthens portfolio, augments organic growth
Growth investments
Pension/OPEB
Cash to shareholders
Cash & marketable securities at year-end 2019 $3.3B
Added leverage $1.0B to $3.5B
Cash flow from operations(excludes R&D and pension)$9.5B to $10.5B
Share repurchase $2.0B to $4.0B gross Influenced by relative value and other demands on capital
$0.1B to $0.2B
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$1.28
$0.29 ($0.15) ($0.20) to ($0.10)
$0.20 to $0.30 $0.10
($0.15) to ($0.10)
($0.20) to $0.00
2019 GAAP $10.45
to $10.90
$0.00
Growth and Portfolio Management
Raw Materials & Productivity
Other Financial
2018 Subtotal
$9.96
2018 GAAP $8.89
2019 EPS roadmap$0.25 to
$0.35$10.46
$0.40 to $0.75
$0.50 Communication Markets divestiture, net of actions
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Q&A Participants
Nick GangestadSenior Vice President and
Chief Financial Officer
Bruce JermelandDirector, Investor Relations
Mike RomanChief Executive Officer
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Appendix
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Q4 2018 sales recapU.S. APAC EMEA LAC
Organic volume +3.1% +1.4% -0.6% +2.2%
Price +1.3% +0.6% +1.9% +2.8%
Organic local-currency +4.4% +2.0% +1.3% +5.0%
Acquisitions/Divestitures -1.1% -0.4% -2.9% -1.4%
FX ---- -2.4% -4.8% -6.4%
Total growth +3.3% -0.8% -6.4% -2.8%
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Q4 2018 P&L
($M)Q4
2017Q4
2018 Change
Sales $7,990 $7,945 -0.6%
Gross profit $3,896 $3,885 -0.3%
% to sales 48.8% 48.9% +0.1 pts
SG&A $1,755 $1,682 -4.2%
% to sales 22.0% 21.2% -0.8 pts
R&D & related $448 $437 -2.6%
% to sales 5.6% 5.5% -0.1 pts
Gain on sale -$96 -$17 -82.2%
% to sales -1.2% -0.2% +1.0 pts
Operating income $1,789 $1,783 -0.3%
% to sales 22.4% 22.4% ----
Net income $523 $1,347 +157.2%
GAAP earnings per share $0.85 $2.27 +167.1%
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Business segment information($M) Net Sales Operating Income
Business groups Q4
2017Q4
2018Q4
2017Q4
2018
Industrial $2,961 $2,952 $580 $627
Safety & Graphics $1,565 $1,569 $405 $345
Health Care $1,484 $1,520 $460 $458
Electronics & Energy $1,405 $1,342 $366 $396
Consumer $1,210 $1,211 $272 $257
Corporate and Unallocated $3 $3 ($139) ($136)
Elimination of Dual Credit ($632) ($652) ($155) ($164)
Total $7,990 $7,945 $1,789 $1,783
Effective first quarter of 2018, 3M adopted Accounting Standards Update (ASU) No. 2017-07 and made certain business segment reporting changes. Those changes are reflected in the segment reporting data above. Refer to 3M’s January 29, 2019 press release for full details.
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Q4 & FY TCJA measurement adjustment & legal settlementAdjusted income, operating income margin, earnings per share, & effective tax rate (non-GAAP measures) (Dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
Net Sales
Operating Income
Operating Income Margin
Income Before Taxes
Provision for Income
Taxes
Effective Tax Rate
Net Income Attributable
to 3M
Earnings Per Diluted Share
Earnings Per Diluted Share Percentage
Change
Q4 2017 GAAP $7,990 $1,789 22.4% $1,672 $1,147 68.6% $523 $0.85 ---
Adjustment for TCJA --- --- --- --- ($762) --- $762 $1.25 ---
Q4 2017 Adjusted Non-GAAP Measure $7,990 $1,789 22.4% $1,672 $385 23.0% $1285 $2.10 ---
Q4 2018 GAAP $7,945 $1,783 22.4% $1,720 $371 21.6% $1347 $2.27 167.1%
Adjustment for Measurement Period Accounting of TCJA --- --- --- --- $41 --- ($41) ($0.07) ---
Adjustment for MN NRD Resolution --- --- --- --- ($60) --- $60 $0.11 ---
Q4 2018 Adjusted Non-GAAP Measure $7,945 $1,783 22.4% $1,720 $352 20.5% $1,366 $2.31 10.0%
Full Year 2017 GAAP $31,657 $7,692 24.3% $7,548 $2,679 35.5% $4,858 $7.93 ---
Adjustment for TCJA --- --- --- --- ($762) --- $762 $1.24 ---
Full Year 2017 Adjusted Non-GAAP Measure $31,657 $7,692 24.3% $7,548 $1,917 25.4% $5,620 $9.17 ---
Full Year 2018 GAAP $32,765 $7,207 22.0% $7,000 $1,637 23.4% $5,349 $8.89 12.1%
Adjustment for Measurement Period Accounting of TCJA --- --- --- --- ($176) --- $176 $0.29 ---
Adjustment for MN NRD Resolution --- $897 --- $897 $127 --- $770 $1.28 ---
Full Year 2018 Adjusted Non-GAAP Measure $32,765 $8,104 24.7% $7,897 $1,588 20.1% $6,295 $10.46 14.1%
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In February 2018, 3M reached an agreement with the State of Minnesota that resolved the previously disclosed Natural Resource Damages (NRD) lawsuit filed by the State against the
Company related to certain PFCs present in the environment. Under the terms of the settlement, 3M agreed to provide an $850 million grant to the State for a special “3M Water
Quality and Sustainability Fund.” This Fund will enable projects that support water sustainability in the Twin Cities East Metro region, such as continued delivery of water to residents
and enhancing groundwater recharge to support sustainable growth. The projects will also result in habitat and recreation improvements, such as fishing piers, trails, and open space
preservation. 3M recorded a charge of $897 million ($710 million after-tax), inclusive of legal fees and other related obligations, in the first quarter of 2018 associated with the
resolution of this matter. In the fourth quarter of 2018, 3M recorded a related $60 million tax expense resulting from the Company’s ongoing IRS examination under the Compliance
Assurance Process (CAP) and new guidance released under the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. Also during the first quarter of 2018, 3M recorded a tax expense of $217 million related to a
measurement period adjustment to the provisional amounts recorded in December 2017 from the enactment of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). In the fourth quarter 2018, 3M
finalized the tax impact related to TCJA with a reversal of previously recorded tax expense in the amount of $41 million.
During the fourth quarter of 2017, 3M recorded a net tax expense of $762 million related to the enactment of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). The expense was primarily related to
the TCJA’s transition tax on previously unremitted earnings of non-U.S. subsidiaries and was net of remeasurement of 3M’s deferred tax assets and liabilities considering the TCJA’s
newly enacted tax rates and certain other impacts. This provisional amount was subject to adjustment during the measurement period of up to one year following the December 2017
enactment of the TCJA, as provided by SEC guidance.
In addition to providing financial results in accordance with U.S. GAAP, the Company also provides non-GAAP measures that adjust for the impacts of the NRD resolution and
enactment/measurement period adjustments to the impact of the enactment of the TCJA. These items represent significant charges/benefits that impacted the Company’s financial
results. Operating income, operating income margin, effective tax rate, net income, and earnings per share are all measures for which 3M provides the GAAP measure and an adjusted
measure. The adjusted measures are not in accordance with, nor are they a substitute for, GAAP measures. The Company considers these non-GAAP measures in evaluating and
managing the Company’s operations. The Company believes that discussion of results adjusted for these items is meaningful to investors as it provides a useful analysis of ongoing
underlying operating trends. The determination of these items may not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other companies.
Q4 & FY TCJA measurement adjustment & legal settlement
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Reconciliation of GAAP amounts to free cash flow conversion
Fourth-quarter 2018 results:
($M)Q4
2017Q4
2018 Change
Major GAAP cash flow categories:
Operating cash flow $1,860 $2,258 $398
Investing cash flow ($2,732) ($416) $2,316
Financing cash flow $1,044 ($2,152) ($3,196)
Free cash flow (non-GAAP measure):
Operating cash flow $1,860 $2,258 $398
Purchases of property, plant and equipment ($459) ($531) ($72)
Free cash flow $1,401 $1,727 $326
Net income attributable to 3M $523 $1,347 $824
Free cash flow conversion 268% 128% -140 pts
Free cash flow and free cash flow conversion are not defined under U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). Therefore, they should not be considered asubstitute for income or cash flow data prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP and may not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other companies. TheCompany defines free cash flow as net cash provided by operating activities less purchases of property, plant and equipment. It should not be inferred that the entire freecash flow is available for discretionary expenditures. The Company defines free cash flow conversion as free cash flow divided by net income attributable to 3M. TheCompany believes free cash flow and free cash flow conversion are meaningful to investors as they function as useful measures of performance and the Company uses thesemeasures as an indication of the strength of the Company and its ability to generate cash.
Full-year 2018 results and full-year 2019 estimate:
($B)Full-year
20182019
Estimate
Free cash flow (non-GAAP measure):
Operating cash flow $6.4 $7.7 to $8.4
Purchases of property, plant andequipment
($1.6) ($1.7 to $1.9)
Free cash flow $4.9 $5.8 to $6.7
Net income attributable to 3M $5.3 $6.1 to $6.4
Free cash flow conversion 91% 95% to 105%
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Reconciliation of GAAP amounts to return on invested capital
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is not defined under U.S. generally accepted accounting principles. Therefore, ROIC should not be considered a substitute for other measures prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP and may not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other companies. The Company defines ROIC as adjusted net income (net income including non-controlling interest plus after-tax interest expense) divided by average invested capital (equity plus debt). The Company believes ROIC is meaningful to investors as it focuses on shareholder value creation.
Full-year 2018 results:
($B) 2018 Results
Return on invested capital (non-GAAP measure):
Net income including non-controlling interest $5.4
Interest expense (after-tax)* $0.2
Adjusted net income (return) $5.6
Ave. shareholder’s equity (including non-controlling interest) $10.4
Ave. short-term and long-term debt $14.9
Ave. invested capital $25.3
Return on invested capital 22%
*Effective income tax rate used for interest expense 23.4%
Full-year 2019 estimate:
($B) 2019 Estimate
Return on invested capital (non-GAAP measure):
Net income including non-controlling interest $6.1 to $6.4
Interest expense (after-tax)** ~$0.4
Adjusted net income (return) $6.5 to $6.8
Ave. shareholder’s equity (including non-controlling interest) $10.0 to $11.0
Ave. short-term and long-term debt $17.0 to $18.0
Ave. invested capital $27.0 to $29.0
Return on invested capital 22% to 25%
**Effective income tax rate used for interest expense 20% to 22%