2019-01-10 aace presentation final · microsoft powerpoint - 2019-01-10 aace presentation final...
TRANSCRIPT
CEVP®• A risk-based estimating process.
• A statistically valid method for expressing cost and schedule estimates as a range.
• Comprised of two components: base and risk/opportunities.
• Base estimate and schedule if project goes as planned.
• Risk register.
• Scalable.
• Use independent subject matter experts to minimize bias.
Construction strategies workshop members review materials from the WSDOT project team.
Outcome = Risk based budget
PM Lessons Learned
• Develop Project Risk Register and update regularly
• Develop effective contracting structure.
• Account for risks and inflation in estimates.
• Manage project as a strong owner.
• Identify and develop risk management plans.
• Engage experts with national and international tunneling experience in urban environments.
• Continue risk management beyond design
Managing
RISK
PM Lessons Learned
• Ensure that design reviewers have a comprehensive understanding of the project.
• Be accurate in coordinating design management personnel.
• Ensure that design-builder’s design and construction personnel coordinate after the contract award.
• Require the design-builder to provide design definition submittals.
• Involve all the project stakeholders and educate them about the project and design build procedures.
Design-Build Contracting Lessons Learned
PM Lessons Learned
• Use of risk-based cost estimating (CEVP) allowed better understanding of cost drivers and informed risk allocation.
• Having the right owner team and experts was essential.
• Pre-qualification and best value selection process critical.
• Risk sharing, shared allowances and incentives structured protection for the contractor, reduced bid contingency.
Design-Build Contracting Lessons Learned
• Draft to final RFP allowed a very interactive and fair process for the project.
• “Upset price” forced contractors to be very competitive.
• Contracted with “best value” bidder.
PM Lessons Learned
• Right of Way Cost and Schedule Risk
• Settlement and vibration
• Buildings
• Major structures
• Utilities
• Environmental
• Noise
• Historic/Cultural resources
• Contaminated soil & groundwater, HAZMAT, UST’s, etc.
ROW Acquisition and Construction Impacts Analysis
PM Lessons Learned
Future Development Above the Tunnel• Load limit would allow development that
exceeds current land use regulations.
• Future development or redevelopment would be unique to each property and depend on:
• Development size and design.
• Tunnel alignment below property.
• Distance between ground surface and top of bored tunnel subsurface parcel.
Industry Resource and Workforce
PM Lessons Learned
• Forecast scarce skill sets. Labor rates will be higher than normal
• Plan for timely / most efficient means of contracting for scarce labor
• Think globally when getting true experts; peer projects
• Create a staffing or “workforce” plan for the program
Global Expertise
PM Lessons Learned
CanadaGermanyItalyJapanMalaysiaSpainUnited KingdomUnited States
PM Lessons Learned
Cost Estimate and Risk Validation Process
PM Lessons Learned
• Cost Estimate – Decentralized vs Centralized
• Risk Development and Unification of cost and schedule through Probabilistic Risk Review (CEVP®)
• Establishing Baseline
• Identify changes to:• Scope (Configuration Change)• Cost• Schedule
• Formally document changes.• Study change impacts.• Bring changes to management attention.• Formalize decisions on changes.• Update baselines & implement the change.
Configuration and Trend/Change Management Program: Objectives
Configuration and Trend/Change Management (Baseline Control)
Progress Measurement
PM Lessons Learned
• Management Support & Communicating the Business Need
• Project Management Factors• Prior Development of Other
Supporting Project Controls Capabilities
• Early Establishment of Procedures• Integration of Contract Language to
EV Requirements• Not all Work Scopes are Suitable for
EV Measurement
Reporting - Stakeholder
PM Lessons Learned
Reporting – Risk Retirement and Contingency Drawdown
PM Lessons Learned
Expert Review Panels / External Experts/ Oversight
PM Lessons Learned
• You can count on external oversight on major programs• Be open and transparent. Admit problems; they should be on the
risk register• Supporting systems can quickly retrieve information• Review reports from oversight groups and look for issues concerning
which you’ll have to answer
Tunnel features:• Two 11-foot lanes in
each direction• 8-foot and 2-foot
shoulders• Modern safety and
traffic systems• No mid-tunnel
entrances or exits
Final product: SR 99 tunnel
How to REACH US
WSDOT Live Traffic Cameraswww.wsdot.com/traffic/seattle/default.aspx
WSDOT Travel Timeswww.wsdot.com/traffic/traveltimes/default.aspx
SDOT Traveler Information Mapweb6.seattle.gov/travelers
Transit Alertskingcounty.gov/metro/signup
Travel News on Twitter@WSDOT_traffic@SDOTtraffic@KCMetroBus@SoundTransit@MyCommTrans
Website: www.99tunnel.comwww.AlaskanWayViaduct.org
Twitter: @BerthaDigsSR99#Realign99
Email:[email protected]
Hotline:1-888-AWV-LINE