2020 texas employment data revision highlights · 2018 employment data series have not changed...

2020 Texas Employment Data Revision Highlights

Ali Anari Research Economist

April 9, 2020

© 2020, Real Estate Center. All rights reserved.

1

2020 Texas Employment Data Revision Highlights

Ali Anari

s more accurate time series of

employment data become available,

the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

and the Texas Workforce Commission revise

previously published time series of

employment for U.S. and Texas. This

improves the accuracy and quality of job

datasets. These revisions can significantly

affect the trajectories of levels and job growth

rates in U.S. and Texas industries, as well as

in Texas Metropolitan Statistical Areas

(MSAs), so it's important to review and

monitor the times series of employment data

before and after the revisions.

The Real Estate Center’s analysis shows pre-

2018 employment data series have not

changed significantly. Consequently, this

article compares 2018-19 employment growth

rate data from before and after the latest

revisions.

Impact on Texas Total Nonfarm Jobs

The growth rate of Texas nonagricultural

employment from January 2018 to December

2019 was revised down from 5 percent to 4.7

percent (Table 1, Panel A). The growth rate of

total nonagricultural jobs was revised up from

March 2018 to March 2019 and revised down

for the rest of 2019 (Figure 1.1). Texas private

employment from January 2018 to December

2019 was revised down from 5.7 to 5.3

percent. Total nongovernment jobs were

revised up from March 2018 to April 2019

and revised down from April to December

2019 (Figure 1.2).

Impact on Texas Industries

Annual employment growth rates for three

Texas industries and the state’s government

sector were revised upward (Table 1, Panel

B1). The state’s information industry had the

largest upward revision followed by

transportation, warehousing, and utilities;

professional and business services; and the

government sector.

Job growth rates in eight Texas industries

were revised down (Table 1, Panel B2).

Mining and logging had the largest downward

revision followed by construction, other

services industries, trade, manufacturing,

financial activities, education and health

services, and leisure and hospitality. See

Figures 1.3-1.14 for 2018-19 employment

growth rates by Texas industry.

Impact on Texas Metros

Job growth rates were revised upward in 14

MSAs (Table 2, Panel A1). Abilene had the

largest upward revision followed by

Longview, Midland, Austin-Round Rock,

Brownsville-Harlingen, Laredo, Fort Worth-

Arlington, Texarkana, Waco, El Paso,

Amarillo, College Station-Bryan, Wichita

Falls, and Odessa. Twelve MSAs had

downward revisions (Table 2, Panel B2). San

A

2

Angelo had the largest followed by

Beaumont-Port Arthur, Sherman-Denison,

Corpus Christi, Dallas-Plano-Irving, Killeen-

Temple, Texarkana, Victoria, Houston-The

Woodlands-Sugar Land, San Antonio,

Lubbock, and McAllen-Edinburg-Mission.

See Figures 2.1-2.26 for 2018-19

employment growth rates by Texas MSA.

__________Dr. Anari ([email protected]) is a research economist with the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University.

4

Figure 1.1

-1

0

1

2

3

4

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Texas Nonfarm EmploymentAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Texas Nonfarm EmploymentAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Figure 1.2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Texas Private EmploymentAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Texas Private EmploymentAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Figure 1.3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Texas Information IndustryAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Texas Information IndustryAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


5

Figure 1.4

0

2

4

6

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Texas Transportation, Warehousing, and Utilities IndustryAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Texas Transportation, Warehousing, and Utilities IndustryAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Figure 1.5

0

2

4

6

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Texas Professional and Business Services IndustryAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Texas Professional and Business Services IndustryAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Figure 1.6

-1

0

1

2

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Texas Government SectorAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Texas Government SectorAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


6

Figure 1.7

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Texas Leisure and Hospitality IndustryAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Texas Leisure and Hospitality IndustryAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Figure 1.8

-1

0

1

2

3

4

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Texas Education and Health Services IndustryAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Texas Education and Health Services IndustryAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Figure 1.9

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Texas Financial Activities IndustryAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Texas Financial Activities IndustryAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


7

Figure 1.10

0

2

4

6

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Texas Manufacturing IndustryAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Texas Manufacturing IndustryAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Figure 1.11

-1

0

1

2

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Texas Trade IndustryAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Texas Trade IndustryAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Figure 1.12

0

2

4

6

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Texas Other ServicesAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Texas Other ServicesAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


8

Figure 1.13

0

2

4

6

8

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Texas Construction IndustryAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Texas Construction IndustryAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Figure 1.14

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Texas Mining and Logging IndustryAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Texas Mining and Logging IndustryAnnual Employment Growth Rates,2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Figure 2.1

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Abilene Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Abilene Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


9

Figure 2.2

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Longview Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Longview Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Figure 2.3

-5

0

5

10

15

20

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Midland Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Midland Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Figure 2.4

0

2

4

6

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Austin-Round Rock Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Austin-Round Rock Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


10

Figure 2.5

-1

0

1

2

3

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Brownsville-Harlingen Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Brownsville-Harlingen Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Figure 2.6

-1

0

1

2

3

4

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Laredo Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Laredo Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Figure 2.7

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revison

Fort Worth-Arlington Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Fort Worth-Arlington Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


11

Figure 2.8

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Texarkana Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Texarkana Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Figure 2.9

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Waco Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Waco Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Figure 2.10

-1

0

1

2

3

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

El Paso Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


El Paso Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


12

Figure 2.11

-2

-1

0

1

2

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Amarillo Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Amarillo Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Figure 2.12

0

2

4

6

8

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revsion

Pre-revision

College Station-Bryan Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


College Station-Bryan Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Figure 2.13

-1

0

1

2

3

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Wichita Falls Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Wichita Falls Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


13

Figure 2.14

-4

0

4

8

12

16

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Odessa Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Odessa Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Figure 2.15

-1

0

1

2

3

4

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

McAllen-Edinburg Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


McAllen-Edinburg Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Figure 2.16

-1

0

1

2

3

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Lubbock Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Lubbock Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


14

Figure 2.17

-1

0

1

2

3

4

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

San Antonio-New Braunfels Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


San Antonio-New Braunfels Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Figure 2.18

-1

0

1

2

3

4

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Figure 2.19

-2

0

2

4

6

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Victoria Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Victoria Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


15

Figure 2.20

-1

0

1

2

3

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Tyler Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Tyler Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Figure 2.21

-1

0

1

2

3

4

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre revision

Killeen-Temple Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Killeen-Temple Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Figure 2.22

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Dallas-Plano-Irving Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Dallas-Plano-Irving Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


16

Figure 2.23

-1

0

1

2

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Corpus Christi Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Corpus Christi Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Figure 2.24

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

Sherman-Denison Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Sherman-Denison Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Figure 2.25

-1

0

1

2

3

4

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revison

Beaumont-Port Arthur Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


Beaumont-Port Arthur Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


17

Figure 2.26

-2

0

2

4

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2018 2019

Post-revision

Pre-revision

San Angelo Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


San Angelo Metro AreaAnnual Employment Growth Rates, 2018-2019

Perc

ent

Month


i

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2020 texas employment data revision highlights · 2018 employment data series have not changed...

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