2025: visions for the future of publishing from diane young
TRANSCRIPT
"Earlier on today, apparently, a woman rang the BBC and said she heard there was a hurricane on the way...
well, if you're watching, don't worry, there isn't!".MICHAEL FISH
“The horse is here to stay but the automobile is only a novelty – a fad.”
PRESIDENT OF THE MICHIGAN SAVINGS BANK ADVISING HENRY FORD’S LAWYER, HORACE RACKHAM, NOT TO INVEST IN THE FORD MOTOR COMPANY. - 1903
“The cinema is little more than a fad. It’s canned drama. What audiences really want to see is
flesh and blood on the stage.” CHARLIE CHAPLIN - 1916
The wireless music box has no imaginable commercial value. Who would pay for a message sent to no one in particular?”
UNKNOWN - 1921
“Television won’t be able to hold on to any market it captures after the first six months. People will soon
get tired of staring at a plywood box every night.”DARRYL ZANUCK, 20TH CENTURY FOX - 1946
“Before man reaches the moon, your mail will be delivered within hours from New York to Australia by guided missiles.
We stand on the threshold of rocket mail.” ARTHUR SUMMERFIELD, U.S. POSTMASTER GENERAL - 1959
“Remote shopping, while entirely feasible, will flop.” TIME MAGAZINE - 1966
“I predict the Internet will soon go spectacularly supernova and in 1996 catastrophically collapse.”
ROBERT METCALFE, FOUNDER OF 3COM & INVENTOR OF ETHERNET - 1996
“There’s no chance that the iPhone is going to get any significant market share.”
STEVE BALLMER, MICROSOFT CEO - 2007
Before we worry about the future, where have
we come from?
1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
First print magazine
1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
First print magazine
Awards Show
2000
1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
Awards Show
Subscriptions
2000
First print magazine
1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
Awards Show
Subscriptions Website
2000
First print magazine
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Email and Data
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 20162008
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Email and Data
2008
First revenue from website - £690 for the year!
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Email and DataConsultancy &
online data
2008
First revenue from website - £690 for the year!
2001 2002 2003 2004 2006 2007 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Email and DataConsultancy &
online data
2008
Peer to peer networking & learning
2005
First revenue from website - £690 for the year!
2001 2002 2003 2004 2006 2007 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Email and DataConsultancy &
online data
2008
Peer to peer networking & learning
2005
First revenue from website - £690 for the year! Mobile website
2001 2002 2003 2004 2006 2007 2009 2010 2011 2013 2014 2015 2016
Email and DataConsultancy &
online data
2008
Peer to peer networking & learning
Live events
2005
First revenue from website - £690 for the year!
2012
Mobile website
2001 2002 2003 2004 2006 2007 2009 2010 2011 2013 2014 2015 2016
Email and DataConsultancy &
online data
2008
Peer to peer networking & learning
Social channels
2005
First revenue from website - £690 for the year!
2012
Mobile website
Live events
2001 2002 2003 2004 2006 2007 2009 2010 2011 2013 2014 2015 2016
Email and DataConsultancy &
online data
2008
Peer to peer networking & learning
Branded content agency, TV and video, Youtube channel, Native
advertising. Internationalisation of site
Social channels
2005
First revenue from website - £690 for the year!
2012
Mobile website
Live events
2001 2002 2003 2004 2006 2007 2009 2010 2011 2013 2014 2015 2016
Email and DataConsultancy &
online data
2008
Peer to peer networking & learning
Branded content agency, TV and video, Youtube channel, Native
advertising. Internationalisation of site
Social channels
Retargeting. Ad units. Multiple ad networks. Video ads in-read
Mainstream TV. VR & 360 video
2005
First revenue from website - £690 for the year!
2012
Mobile website
Live events
2001 2002 2003 2004 2006 2007 2009 2010 2011 2013 2014 2015 2016
Email and DataConsultancy &
online data
2008
Peer to peer networking & learning
Branded content agency, TV and video, Youtube channel, Native
advertising. Internationalisation of site
Social channels
Retargeting. Ad units. Multiple ad networks. Video ads in-read
Mainstream TV. VR & 360 video
On site player. International readership and ad spaces. Hubs. Podcasting. Off platform sales. Mobile app
2005
First revenue from website - £690 for the year!
2012
Mobile website
Live events
1985 2008 20150%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
100%
54%
9%
46%
91%
Print Revenue Non-Print Revenue
Revenues not relating to print advertising
Strengths Opportunities
Weaknesses Threats
Editorial quality is prized
We have access to multiple channels
to market
Excitement around media owners
Used to being in control but will have
to let customers string their own stories together
Lack skill and speed to identify the important stuff – new software,
new uses for data
Built communities round common interest
Partnerships
Multiple channels to market
FB and other syndication platforms might be wolves
in sheeps’ clothing
Brands will act as their own multimedia
Growing body of middlemen taking a slice of publishers’ revenues
Everyone has access to multiple channels
to market
Not one industry is immune to change that is
about to dismantle everything
Adblockers
My 2025 thoughts
Learn. Unlearn. Relearn.
Print mag still here but a luxury
Not advertisers but partners
Not publishing but servicing needs of our community
Not publishers anymore – collaters and sellers of audience and information
Unprecedented opportunities for internationalisation
Selling audience in many places
Content always has been and always will be king
But delivery will be queen
Platformless publishing
New channels of delivery will continue to come, but most existing ones will still be there.
Face to face will be just as important as ever
What might the new channels be?
Bendy screens
Wearable tech vs wearable tack
Beaming content into contact lenses, maybe even into implants
VR won't require big headsets and our readers will be able to immerse themselves in our content
And participate remotely via VR
Virtual awards shows with trophy being digitally printed
Delivering content based round habits but also predicting from behaviours what to deliver - personalisation will be prince
As for print?
As for print? Still there but tech will allow people to edit their own version together
My one prediction made with 100% confidence
Everything will still take the web team twice as long as
they said and three times as long as you thought they
needed
Tao:There will be no summer without winter, no ups without downs, no
growth without decay. Your ability to thrive depends, in the end, on your attitude to your life circumstances.