2040 socioeconomic study - vlmpo presentation
DESCRIPTION
This presentation is supplemental to the 2040 Socioeconomic Study completed by Transport Studio at the request of the Valdosta-Lowndes Metropolitan Planning Organization. More information is on our website at www.sgrc.us/transportation.TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: 2040 Socioeconomic Study - VLMPO Presentation](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022081413/5498284fb47959da0f8b48ff/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Valdosta-Lowndes MPO2040
Socioeconomic Data StudyVLMPO Policy Committee
October 29, 2013
![Page 2: 2040 Socioeconomic Study - VLMPO Presentation](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022081413/5498284fb47959da0f8b48ff/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Agenda
• Why?• What?• How?• Results!
![Page 3: 2040 Socioeconomic Study - VLMPO Presentation](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022081413/5498284fb47959da0f8b48ff/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Why do you need socioeconomic data?
• The need for transportation improvements • People and jobs create trips• How many?• When?• Where from?• Where to?
• Federal funding• Federal requirements• GDOT regulations
![Page 4: 2040 Socioeconomic Study - VLMPO Presentation](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022081413/5498284fb47959da0f8b48ff/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
What kind of data?
• Population and employment• Base and existing year data• 2010 base year • Today’s updates
• 2040 horizon year projections• Interim year projections
![Page 5: 2040 Socioeconomic Study - VLMPO Presentation](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022081413/5498284fb47959da0f8b48ff/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Planning Data
Transportation• Population and households• Income
• Employment• Service• Retail• Manufacturing• Wholesale
• Student enrollment
Comprehensive planning• Housing• Gender• Age• Race• Educational attainment• Labor force
Required for model
![Page 6: 2040 Socioeconomic Study - VLMPO Presentation](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022081413/5498284fb47959da0f8b48ff/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
How? LRTP Data and Projection Process
• Base year data• Determine horizon year
control totals• Distribute growth to zones• Traffic analysis zones or TAZs
• Verify and revise• Develop interim year data
![Page 7: 2040 Socioeconomic Study - VLMPO Presentation](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022081413/5498284fb47959da0f8b48ff/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Various Population Projections
![Page 8: 2040 Socioeconomic Study - VLMPO Presentation](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022081413/5498284fb47959da0f8b48ff/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Horizon Year Population – Lowndes County
![Page 9: 2040 Socioeconomic Study - VLMPO Presentation](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022081413/5498284fb47959da0f8b48ff/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Horizon Year Population – Model Area2010 Travel Demand Model Area Population 110,7802040 Travel Demand Model Area Population 154,82040% increase in thirty years
![Page 10: 2040 Socioeconomic Study - VLMPO Presentation](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022081413/5498284fb47959da0f8b48ff/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Major Assumptions
• Household and employment growth follow population growth trend• Ratio of jobs to housing in region• Kinds of jobs in region• Service• Retail• Manufacturing• Wholesale
• Growth Areas• Densities• Dwelling units per acre• Jobs per acre
![Page 11: 2040 Socioeconomic Study - VLMPO Presentation](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022081413/5498284fb47959da0f8b48ff/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Horizon Year Targets (2040)
County-
wide Population
Travel Demand Model (TDM) Area Variables
TDM Populat
ion
TDM Employment
Manufacturing Employment
Service Employment
Retail Employment
Wholesale
Employment
TDM Househ
olds
Lowndes 149,288 146,302 76,082 5,057 50,025 19,634 1,366 59,472
Berrien 24,514 841 1 0 1 0 0 342
Brooks 17,644 3,720 65 3 44 2 16 1,512
Lanier 13,868 3,959 5 0 1 4 0 1,609
Total 205,314 154,822 76,153 5,060 50,071 19,640 1,382 62,936
![Page 12: 2040 Socioeconomic Study - VLMPO Presentation](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022081413/5498284fb47959da0f8b48ff/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
VLMPO Travel Demand Model (TDM) Area
TDM Populatio
n
TDM Househol
ds
TDM Total
Employment
Manufacturing
Employment
Service Employm
ent
Retail Employm
ent
Wholesale
Employment
2010 110,780 45,040 54,340 3,610 35,730 14,010 990
2040 154,820 62,940 76,150 5,060 50,070 19,640 1,380
Households and employment follow population growth trend in the region
![Page 13: 2040 Socioeconomic Study - VLMPO Presentation](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022081413/5498284fb47959da0f8b48ff/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
![Page 14: 2040 Socioeconomic Study - VLMPO Presentation](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022081413/5498284fb47959da0f8b48ff/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
![Page 15: 2040 Socioeconomic Study - VLMPO Presentation](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022081413/5498284fb47959da0f8b48ff/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
![Page 16: 2040 Socioeconomic Study - VLMPO Presentation](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022081413/5498284fb47959da0f8b48ff/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Developable land by Growth Area
and other parameters
Future population and employment
distributed to zones
Land already developed -or- not suitable for development
Land suitable for development
![Page 17: 2040 Socioeconomic Study - VLMPO Presentation](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022081413/5498284fb47959da0f8b48ff/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
A
B
D
C
Distribute Growth to Zones
A. Growth Areas within zone boundary
B. Suitable and available for development
C. Developable acres within each Growth Area are assigned jobs or housing
D. Developable acres with access to water or sewer service may be assigned jobs or housing
![Page 18: 2040 Socioeconomic Study - VLMPO Presentation](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022081413/5498284fb47959da0f8b48ff/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Population 2010
![Page 19: 2040 Socioeconomic Study - VLMPO Presentation](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022081413/5498284fb47959da0f8b48ff/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Population Density 2010
![Page 20: 2040 Socioeconomic Study - VLMPO Presentation](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022081413/5498284fb47959da0f8b48ff/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Population Density 2040
![Page 21: 2040 Socioeconomic Study - VLMPO Presentation](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022081413/5498284fb47959da0f8b48ff/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
![Page 22: 2040 Socioeconomic Study - VLMPO Presentation](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022081413/5498284fb47959da0f8b48ff/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
Employment Density 2010
![Page 23: 2040 Socioeconomic Study - VLMPO Presentation](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022081413/5498284fb47959da0f8b48ff/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
Employment Density 2040
![Page 24: 2040 Socioeconomic Study - VLMPO Presentation](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022081413/5498284fb47959da0f8b48ff/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
Findings
• Identified Growth Areas will accommodate most growth by 2040• Some households assigned to areas zoned residential with existing access to
water or sewer service• Service jobs assigned to areas with existing access to water or sewer service
based on zoning
• Industrial Growth Areas contain more land than will be needed by 2040 for projected manufacturing and wholesale jobs
![Page 25: 2040 Socioeconomic Study - VLMPO Presentation](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022081413/5498284fb47959da0f8b48ff/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
Recommendations
• Consistent Census boundaries and traffic analysis zone boundaries• Update Census boundaries to reflect real life conditions if applicable• Adjust zone boundaries as needed
• Evaluate Growth Areas during plan update(s)• Evaluate land use scenarios with VLMPO travel demand model• Evaluate policies and development patterns through comprehensive planning
process
• Continue coordination with MAFB and other major employers