21 november 2006 schroders speciality finance conference · this presentation uses figures for 2006...
TRANSCRIPT
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21 November 2006
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Jonathan AsquithChief Financial Officer
SchrodersSpeciality Finance Conference
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Important information
This presentation uses figures for 2006 which represent a linear annualisation of the first three quarters trading performance
These figures are for comparison purposes only and do not constitute a profit forecast or other prediction
21 November 2006
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Perception and Reality
Schroders
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Diverse
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Frankfurt
TorontoMexico City
BermudaCayman Islands
New York
São PauloBuenos Aires
Seoul
Singapore
TaipeiTokyo
Sydney
JakartaHong Kong
Shanghai
Beijing
Paris
Milan
Luxembourg
Lisbon
Copenhagen
Madrid
Guernsey
London
Padua
Jersey
Rotterdam
Geneva
Vienna
Rome
Stockholm
Zurich
Diverse by Geography
International Investment Centres (3)
LondonNew YorkSingapore
Local Investment Operations (7)
ZurichHong KongSeoulSydneyTokyo PhiladelphiaJakarta
Sales and Distribution Offices (24)
Philadelphia
Schroders Diverse
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34 Offices in 26 Countries
London
Singapore
New York
Frankfurt
Tokyo
Schroders Diverse
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Diverse by Channel and by Revenues
In excess of 2800 institutional clients and more than 9000 relationships with distributors who have sold our funds to retail clients
Notes: Closing FUM and Revenues as at 30th September 2006, sub-advisory reported as retailTotal revenue excludes 2.6mn statutory gross profit (other AM)
Revenue - £521mn
48%
13%
39%
FUM - £122.8bn
32.0%
61.3%
6.7%
Institutional Retail Private Banking
Schroders Diverse
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Diverse by Region
UK - 44.7%
Americas - 11.6%
Cont. Europe - 22.9%
Japan - 9.6%
Asia ex Japan - 11.2%
Location of clients (FUM)
Source: Schroders, as at 30 June 2006
Schroders Diverse
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Diverse by Investment Desk28 investment desks
Schroders Diverse
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Diverse by Investment Style
Core, 47%
Specialist, 26%
Specialist Value, 3%
Specialist Growth, 2%
Specialist Yield, 1%
Unconstrained, 7%
Property, 6%
Absolute Return, 3%
Private Bank / Other, 5%
FUM by Product / Investment Style YTD (Sep 06)
Source: Schroders Finance Data
Schroders Diverse
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Diverse by Product
Equities
UK EquityEuropean EquityUK/European Small Cap EquityPacific EquityAsia EquitiesGlobal EquityQuantitative Equity ProductsEmerging Markets EquitiesInternational (ex-US)Japan EquitiesUS Small Cap Equity New YorkUS Large Cap Equity
FixedIncome
UK Fixed IncomeEurozone Fixed IncomeGlobal Fixed IncomeAsia Fixed IncomeUS Fixed Income
Alternatives
Hedge FundsStructured ProductsEmerging Market DebtProperty
Schroders Diverse
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Diverse by People
55%male
Schroders Diverse
45%female
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Summary
Broad range of asset classes
Selection of styles
Multiple client channels
Across the world
Schroders Diverse
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Changing
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Asset Class Rotation
Major new products in last 5 years – Alpha products– Asian Bond– Enhanced cash – Municipal Bond– Global Property– European Equity
Schroders Changing
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Schroders Leading Innovation
Quantitative Active Value
Income Maximiser
Diversified Growth
Strategic Bond
Property Fund of Funds
Commodities and Agriculture Funds
Schroders Changing
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New and Improved for Schroders
Emerging Market Equity
Quantitative Equity
Global ex US / EAFE
Liability Driven Investment
New Balanced
Hedge Funds of Funds
Schroders Changing
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Gross Flows 01/03 – 09/06
2003 - 2006 (£bn) Inflows Outflows Net Flows FUMSept 2006
Institutional 29.2 (54.4) (25.2) 75.3
Retail 65.9 (53.7) 12.2 39.3
Private Bank 6.7 (5.4) 1.3 8.2
TOTAL 101.8 (113.5) (11.7) 122.8
Schroders Changing
Source: Schroders Finance Data
Gross flows mask the rotation of assets
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FUM mix by channel
Source: Schroders Finance DataNotes: 2006* - Annualised Revenues for Sept 2006 YTD
Schroders Changing
FUM (£Bn)
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
2003 2006
Institutional Retail Private Banking
22%
73%
5%
7%
32%
61%
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Revenue mix by channel
Revenue (£Mn)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2003 2006*
Institutional Retail Private Banking
53%39%
48%
37%
10%
13%
Schroders Changing
Source: Schroders Finance DataNotes: 2006* - Annualised Revenues for Sept 2006 YTD
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Margins by channel and overall Schroders Changing
Margins (Bp)
31
8076
46
35
88
113
57
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
Institutional Retail Private Banking AM & PB
2003 2006*
+25%
Source: Schroders Finance DataNotes: 2006* - Annualised Revenues for Sept 2006 YTD
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Improved Efficiency
Total Cost/ Operating Revenue Ratio*
86%
64%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
2003 2006
-25%
Comp/ Operating Revenue Ratio
57%48%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2003 2006
-16%
Schroders Changing
Source: Schroder Finance Data* Combined Asset Management and Private Banking
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Increased ProfitSchroders Changing
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2003 2006*
Institutional Retail Private Banking
-18%
22%
68%
89%
29%
10%
+323%
Asset Mgmt and Private Banking PBT (£Mn)
Source: Schroders Finance DataNotes: 2006* - Annualised Revenues for Sept 2006 YTD used to calculate the ratios
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Unchanging
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Brand
1804-2006
Schroders Unchanging
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The Family
Bruno Schroder
Schroders Unchanging
Johan Heinrich
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HeadquartersSchroders Unchanging
London
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Asset Class Weights (FUM)
71% 72%
20% 18%
4% 4%5% 6%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2003 2006
Equities Fixed Income Alternatives Property
Schroders Unchanging
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Inwardly Unchanged
Culture
Standards
Respect for clients
Citizenship
Schroders Unchanging
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Schroders Today
Independent
Pure asset manager
Exceptionally diverse
Proven capacity for change
Motivated by clients and profits
Strong culture
Unique business model
Schroders Today
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Looking Forward
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The world needs more savings ….
Birth rates
Baby boomers
Longevity
2000 – 2050*
UKItalyUSAChinaKoreaWorld
0.270.290.210.110.110.13
Year 2000
0.480.710.360.420.590.28
Year 2050Ratio of 65+ year olds to 20 – 65 year olds
Source: Adair Turner, Schroders Secular Market Forum, June 2006
Schroders Looking Forward
Dependency Ratio Forecasts
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18 16 14
25 24 19
25 3031
18 17 22
14 13 14
2001 2010 2020
Two thirds of all investable assets will soon be controlled by retirees and near-retirees in the income/protection/preservation mode
Retirement Market is going to continue to grow
* Investable assets include financial assets held in pension accounts such as 401(K) and IRAsSource: Survey of Consumer Finances 1989, 1995, 2001; US Census Bureau, McKinsey analysis
Investable assets by age group (%)*
<45
45-54
55-64
64-74
75+
Retiree Segments:Around 57% in 2001, 67% in 2020
Estimates
Schroders Looking Forward
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Average Life Expectancy**
Average life expectancy has increased from 46 years in 1950 to 66 years now*
Longevity
*The State of the World Population, 1999 and 2004, United Nations Population Fund**OECD Statistics
***McKinsey, The Demographic Deficit: How Ageing will Reduce Global Wealth, March 2005
85
81
81
81
79
83
79
79
79
77
68
70
71
70
70
Japan
Germany
UK
Italy
US
1960**
2005***
2025***
Continuous improvements in healthcare have helped to increaseaverage life expectancy
Schroders Looking Forward
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Structural trends
DB Schemes closing to new entrants and capping benefits
DC Schemes’ share of assets rising
A-Day improved portability of pensions
Government schemes will not fill savings gap
Schroders Looking Forward
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Defined benefit plans under pressure
Disclosure: FRS17 / IAS19
Longevity on an uncontrolled upward trend
Equity shock of 2000-2003 still overhangs market
Funding levels weak
Schroders Looking Forward
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Defined benefit plans’ responses
Limit / close plans where possible
Control volatility of funding ratios
Try to limit costs overall
Schroders Looking Forward
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Implications for defined benefit fund managers
DB reducing (but still important) component of market
Liability–oriented benchmarks
Greater diversification/lower volatility via asset allocation
Challenge of maximising returns
Schroders Looking Forward
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Tools for defined benefit fund managers
Risk analysis
Access to a broad range of asset classes/investment styles
Coverage of alternative and conventional markets
Derivatives expertise for alpha porting and overlays
Solid fund analysis capabilities to extend capacity and fill gaps with 3rd party products
Schroders Looking Forward
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What do our clients want?
S.M.A.R.T
Diverse asset base e.g. Diversified Growth Fund
Property/Unconstrained /Absolute Return funds
Derivatives platform established for structured products and fixed income
High-quality FOF/Manager of Manager products in Equities, Property and Hedge Funds
Schroders Looking Forward
Institutional
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Changing risk appetites of retirees
Focus on:
Liabilities rather than assets
Meeting needs rather than maximising wealth
Risk management rather than risk taking
Diversification
Schroders Looking Forward
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What do our clients want?
Yield based and inflation+ products– Fixed Income– Property– Equity Yield
Life cycle mixes
Absolute Return
Structured products
Schroders Looking Forward
Retail
Schroders can offer all of these
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Sales channels for retirees
Not all sophisticated investors
Seek trusted intermediary channels
Banks/insurance companies are natural choice but lack credibility Need to partner with strong fund management brand
Fund management partner needs to offer broad range of products, strong brand, clean reputation, institutional strength, multi-market relevance
Like Schroders
Schroders Looking Forward
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Looking Forward
A diverse firm
Positioned to meet future demand
Still committed to and caring for existing clients
On a journey
Schroders Looking Forward
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OutcomeChanging
Old Schroders New Schroders Schroders
Time
Schroders Looking Forward
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Schroders – do you see the potential?Schroders Looking Forward
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Important information
This presentation is intended to be for information purposes only and it is not intended as promotional material in any respect. Reliance should not be placed on the views and information in these presentations when making individual investment and/or strategic decisions. Schroders has expressed its own views and opinions in this document and these may change. Although the information and opinions contained in this document have been obtained from sources we consider to be reliable, no responsibility can be accepted for errors of fact or opinion. This does not exclude or restrict any duty or liability that Schroder Investment Management Limited (SIM) has to its customers under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (as amended from time to time) or any other regulatory system
Past performance is not a guide to future performance. The value of investments and the income from them may go down as well as up and investors may not get back the amounts originally invested
Issued in November 2005 by Schroder Investment Management Limited, 31 Gresham Street, London EC2V 7QA Telephone: 020 7658 6000 Fax: 020 7658 6965
Authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority